{ "account": "XyraSinclair", "generated_at": "2026-07-02", "source": "scry.io scry.twitter_posts", "count": 4170, "tweets": [ { "id": "2072582076994654565", "created_at": "2026-07-02T07:24:08+00:00", "text": "fable christmas is insane. bottlekneck now might be ultrawattaged protector cuddles\n\nwhen i coordinate some ip swaps soon and build matchmaking infra apis from The Book, gonna be easy to get this. then just somehow preclude misaligned mammals ruining everything with WMDs or", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2072582076994654565", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2071746557050061192", "created_at": "2026-06-30T00:04:05+00:00", "text": "the markets of neural gradients always runs the world. But someone with my proclivities and thought patterns could steward about 12 figures with more margins of safety than anyone I know", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071746557050061192", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2071741725828338025", "created_at": "2026-06-29T23:44:53+00:00", "text": "vibes are all we have\n\nexistential guild navigation\n\nexpand to tackle what would have to be the case. either be strong enough, or die. death is the birthright of all agents", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071741725828338025", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2071288882419974567", "created_at": "2026-06-28T17:45:26+00:00", "text": "https://\nideonomy.mit.edu/gunkel.html", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071288882419974567", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2071110278922817600", "created_at": "2026-06-28T05:55:44+00:00", "text": "technological existential security is possible, all the stewardful, high energy, epistemically inclined minds are figuring out their slice, it's just sorta inhumanely difficult. some days I feel like I am going mute, reannealing onto how to manipulate context windows better and ensure we have enough OOD ecological uplift while satisfying so many more requirements. autoresearching parsimonious enough type signatures for new inference time shenanigans. ultra skate to where the hockey puck is going, and fire gau autocannons into barrels of fish (unleashed mining on new opportunity surfaces), for survival and flourishing", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071110278922817600", "word_count": 91 }, { "id": "2071097216039886949", "created_at": "2026-06-28T05:03:50+00:00", "text": "@parafactual story of my life. we ultimately gotta end up with way better ideolect translation software.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071097216039886949", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2071091452382491106", "created_at": "2026-06-28T04:40:55+00:00", "text": "technological existential security is possible, all the stewardful, high energy, epistemically inclined minds are figuring out their slice, it's just sorta inhumanely difficult. some days I feel like I am going mute, reannealing onto how to manipulate context windows better and ensure we have enough OOD ecological uplift while satisfying so many more requirements. autoresearching parsimonious enough type signatures for new inference time shenanigans. ultra skate to where the hockey puck is going, and fire gau autocannons into barrels of fish, for survival and flourishing", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2071091452382491106", "word_count": 85 }, { "id": "2070052602130448886", "created_at": "2026-06-25T07:52:54+00:00", "text": "flashbacks of back on Dath Ilan, existential causal credit assignment 300, prof docking me for failing to base the ledgered confidential cognitive work market on nix, not overcoming gendered priors more with 3 day E cycles and 5 day T, and not weighting world model facet \"so much of society can be productively analyzed by considering deeply different raw untrained cross-domain nervous systems having to coexist\" 2.2x as much as \"brains constantly try to be lazy, and often go numb to loudest neural gradients\".", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2070052602130448886", "word_count": 84 }, { "id": "2068984554740732116", "created_at": "2026-06-22T09:08:52+00:00", "text": "the people that most need this aren't going to apply. selection has to be proactive. have agents explore SQL databases of all internet content, talk to friends of friends. absurd fucking philanthropic wealth exists already directly for x-risk reduction, it's time the people", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068984554740732116", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2068981796038144473", "created_at": "2026-06-22T08:57:54+00:00", "text": "what would an existential reset for people look like? e.g. capitalizing on new philanthropic abundance, giving high-potential-impact people an unprecedented tune up?\n\nlike presumably:\n- nature\n- summer camp vibes (computational kindness, giving people light-to-heavy structure to", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068981796038144473", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2068946405604176140", "created_at": "2026-06-22T06:37:16+00:00", "text": "@chrislakin so far it's just been funding operators, I don't think they really want the attention like that. but there are people deserving more recognition for existential contributions made, and I've been working to grow into comfort acknowledging that, like commend with challenge coins", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068946405604176140", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2068942652423233696", "created_at": "2026-06-22T06:22:22+00:00", "text": "yes, this year several x-risk and suffering obsessed people with serious health issues.\n\nIt's quite selfish tho because they are very good at what they do. in the future I would also like to do it with more impartiality, like use Scry to surface strangers, and ideally someone too", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068942652423233696", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2068879096776642636", "created_at": "2026-06-22T02:09:49+00:00", "text": "social reality legibility is like the Reals. if you only hang out there, you are gonna be crippled compared to people versed in the Complex plane. best if you can anneal a significant part of yourself off the Reals so you can maintain significant freedom to act. exercise your American freedom!\n\nsacrifice a big part of your voice, be able to go where no man has gone before", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068879096776642636", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2068874873028722982", "created_at": "2026-06-22T01:53:02+00:00", "text": "I pledge at least 1/200 of my wealth for the next 15 years, towards retroactive funding prosocial autists who get fucked by luck.\n\nnot moral hazard towards naive loser mindset, but rather a small vote towards justice. like the luck of life is so unfair, but it is not equal the distribution of fixation towards impartial impact.\n\nhopefully more can be done to alleviate underclass fear for people really leaning into doing what's right.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068874873028722982", "word_count": 74 }, { "id": "2068862960714568177", "created_at": "2026-06-22T01:05:42+00:00", "text": "I would love to see one product that's not completely copyable with 10 fable prompts.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068862960714568177", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2068828639240843346", "created_at": "2026-06-21T22:49:19+00:00", "text": "VCs HATE slowness. but they pattern match to the types of minds that won in the past. as software is commoditized with Fable, peak intelligence \"oceanic\" people will calmly outprompt the squirrelly people that've been \"showing up\" and getting mindspace for cheap.\n\nIt really is autism, international competition-dominating, small teams of \"jailbroken\" distributed people versus entire industries.\n\nI have a half year of fable runway so you can't even get me that cheap, but... yeah good luck investing out there.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068828639240843346", "word_count": 80 }, { "id": "2068819167327961341", "created_at": "2026-06-21T22:11:40+00:00", "text": "epistemic infra non-profit funders might be surprised by talks of moats and software as a battle, or at least index against the prosociality of one talking this way.\n\nwhile I believe software public benefit projects can deliver an outsized amount of value compared to similar for-profit efforts (basically software is really complicated and not having to sweat profit and defensibility simplifies complexity in just having people end up with life-sustaining software in front of them),\n\nI do think existential security is an ~infinite game, that increasing machine intelligence will remain very multipolar and ecological, and that Team Conscientiousness or whatever you want to call the EA/Anthropic/impartial-proactive-risk-countering sphere of the world, will need the token budgets and influence of giants like Facebook.\n\nSo unless the third-wave of American philanthropy steps up its game already, I cater my online presence to VCs, because I will deliver compounding private data moats, and they are my most likely source of support for the still big Fable budgets I'll need and budgets to move faster to reorient the right talent.\n\nto make certain sort of brutally cerebral prompting happen with enough density, soon enough, you can't hide the leopard face.\n\nthere's really no underlying tension, the moral center is completely clear, it's just tension of having two competing audience registers.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068819167327961341", "word_count": 215 }, { "id": "2068797941176017139", "created_at": "2026-06-21T20:47:20+00:00", "text": "buncha softies pivoting to hardware. secure the pure software moats math, physics, and human psychology are craving to give you, or die trying.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068797941176017139", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2068580478945477043", "created_at": "2026-06-21T06:23:13+00:00", "text": "the world is for the taking", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068580478945477043", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2068519704579510636", "created_at": "2026-06-21T02:21:43+00:00", "text": "one of the most awe inspiring things about domain dominance is the enormous margins of safety with what otherwise seems recklessly exposed", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068519704579510636", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2068453056409411869", "created_at": "2026-06-20T21:56:53+00:00", "text": "1/1728 pledge: anneal toward acting so as to end up mature-hindsight-assigned one cubelet in a 12^3 existential harmony Shapley value cube", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068453056409411869", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2068391917382242309", "created_at": "2026-06-20T17:53:56+00:00", "text": "hmu if you wanna signal call about epistemic infra this morning for about 24 minutes", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068391917382242309", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2068391399452758463", "created_at": "2026-06-20T17:51:53+00:00", "text": "hmu if you wanna signal call about epistemic infra this morning for about 24 minutes", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068391399452758463", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2068390982098510315", "created_at": "2026-06-20T17:50:13+00:00", "text": "don't tell anyone but being alive is kinda the best thing ever.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2068390982098510315", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2067005233616839037", "created_at": "2026-06-16T22:03:45+00:00", "text": "@doodlestein fair and i should have said RAID 10", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2067005233616839037", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2066978748273148211", "created_at": "2026-06-16T20:18:30+00:00", "text": "perhaps a big raid 0 array can help?\nhttps://\nnewegg.com/icy-dock-mb699\nvp-b-4-x-2-5-drive-to-5-25-bay/p/N82E16817994219\n… this with like 4 x PCIe 5.0 U.2 drives would have crazy writes", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066978748273148211", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2066660241673183704", "created_at": "2026-06-15T23:12:52+00:00", "text": "@Synzael0218 for real. I was able to get $3500 API-equivalent usage from 3 max accounts, which was worth like weeks of codex 5.5 productivity to me (and 4.8 is unusable to me for my workflows).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066660241673183704", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2066320724047122595", "created_at": "2026-06-15T00:43:45+00:00", "text": "existential security is a thing you witness from FPV", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066320724047122595", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2066052282391929255", "created_at": "2026-06-14T06:57:04+00:00", "text": "mmmm", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2066052282391929255", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2065704655972372833", "created_at": "2026-06-13T07:55:43+00:00", "text": "the fem precog, w/ no one to prompt them, alters like the bluehead wrasse without a partner, and must build the machine to do the prompting, paying the irrecoverable tax of mechanistic self-modification that comes from endless engineering", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065704655972372833", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "2065704001711304821", "created_at": "2026-06-13T07:53:07+00:00", "text": "the people that should really be using scry are gifted montessori kids. total fucking sublime divergent evolution possible there with iterating on arbitrarily nuanced queries and not experiencing the horrors of traditional internet search.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065704001711304821", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2065699832933794193", "created_at": "2026-06-13T07:36:33+00:00", "text": "the people that should really be using scry are gifted montessori kids. total fucking sublime divergent evolution possible there with iterating on arbitrarily nuanced queries and not experiencing the horrors of traditional internet search.\n\nmy fresh neural gradients still so tied up with engineering, so that less mechanized minds can have profound epistemic experiences.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065699832933794193", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2065699122708148700", "created_at": "2026-06-13T07:33:44+00:00", "text": "the people that should really be using scry are gifted montessori kids. total fucking sublime divergent evolution possible there with iterating on arbitrarily nuanced queries and not experiencing the horrors of traditional internet search.\n\nmy fresh neural gradients still gotta be so tied up with engineering, sacrificing so that less exhausted, less mechanized minds can have profound epistemic experiences.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065699122708148700", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "2065632303389495601", "created_at": "2026-06-13T03:08:13+00:00", "text": "xyra.eth", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065632303389495601", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2065524492282241526", "created_at": "2026-06-12T19:59:49+00:00", "text": "RT @themgmtconsult: If you think a $300K corporate salary is payment for 40 hours of weekly labor, I've got news for you...\n\nThere is a per…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065524492282241526", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2065181208905158685", "created_at": "2026-06-11T21:15:44+00:00", "text": "SQL query power over all the text that matters is profoundly great, and will provide a lot of value for an ecology of agents, but is it enough for me to scale Scry into the basis of a >$10B company given the incumbents?\n\nIt might not be, which is also why I am oriented to highly generative private data moats.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065181208905158685", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2065175316973367381", "created_at": "2026-06-11T20:52:19+00:00", "text": "Scry is getting deeply revamped with the help of model and agent harness improvements. \n\nMany subtle bugs have been overcome in the way of premier user ergonomics and enterprise-grade reliability.\n\nWe have successfully drastically scaled live ingestion across diverse, differentiated sources, and will have no problem filling up 300 TB of drives with dense, quality data when our special custom hardware goes online in likely the next 48 hours.\n\nWe have advanced dynamic pricing algorithms to reflect the profound query power we are giving users, while limiting overall weekly user costs, while still having user-capped, free-floating congestion pricing under load.\n\nWe have more proprietary features to balance load in this computationally heavy paradigm. The force of selection is perpetual.\n\nI have been able to interview dozens of users and while there's still work to do with onboarding UX, we have several very heavy power users already validating the thesis.\n\nThanks for your support in this epistemic infra journey.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2065175316973367381", "word_count": 158 }, { "id": "2064917723352863047", "created_at": "2026-06-11T03:48:44+00:00", "text": "long-term compounding private data moats that'll make some other 5'7\" people disgusted no one that worked for them thought of it", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064917723352863047", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2064877397032460391", "created_at": "2026-06-11T01:08:29+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn @ship_builders @nebiusai @composio @tavilyai @openclaw", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064877397032460391", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2064631884752281738", "created_at": "2026-06-10T08:52:54+00:00", "text": "claude 4.7, 4.8 is wildly derpy to me. fable 5 is a nice fucking relief though, finally gpt 5.5 is starting to seem limited.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064631884752281738", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2064603848283681136", "created_at": "2026-06-10T07:01:30+00:00", "text": "@_StevenFan yes! robinhood", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064603848283681136", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2064574888900427924", "created_at": "2026-06-10T05:06:26+00:00", "text": "SPX 20,000 calls, Dec 2031: ~$28, so ~$2,800/contract. Spot ~7,365, ~5.5y out. Every 1,000 points above the strike is worth $100,000 at expiry.\n\nBelow ~2.7x SPX, the option underperforms or dies.\nAt 3x SPX (~22% annualized), it pays ~$210k, ~25x better than just owning SPX.\nAt 4x (~28.5% annualized), ~$946k, ~84x better.\nAt 5x (~34% annualized), ~$1.68M, ~120x better.\nAt 6x (~38% annualized), ~$2.42M, ~144x better.\nAt 10x (~52% annualized), ~$5.37M, ~192x better.\n\nOther investors may also go manic given the visceral uplift of new peptides and compounding ecological epistemic affordances (e.g. agents surfacing latent complementarities across people, firms, skills, inventory, unused capacity, weird local opportunities), so selling earlier could also be part of the strategy.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064574888900427924", "word_count": 116 }, { "id": "2064573932041375932", "created_at": "2026-06-10T05:02:37+00:00", "text": "SPX 20,000 long call options, exp 12/19/2031: ~$28, so ~$2,800/contract. Spot ~7,365, ~5.5y out. Every 1,000 points above the strike is worth $100,000 at expiry.\n\nBelow ~2.7x SPX, the option underperforms or dies.\nAt 3x SPX (~22% annualized), it pays ~$210k, ~25x better than just", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064573932041375932", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2064571175695688106", "created_at": "2026-06-10T04:51:40+00:00", "text": "time to lock in and build with multiple accounts claude max accounts. if you have really important things to build and are broke, I may be able to sponsor a max plan.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064571175695688106", "word_count": 32, "quoted_author": "samrags_", "quoted_text": "Woah the subsidy era is over https://t.co/Sfp7uq8FH5" }, { "id": "2064083805070299211", "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:35:02+00:00", "text": "yes that's definitely a pain, but I do think it's underrated how much \"being actually ready for scale\" is correlated with getting scale.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064083805070299211", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2064079285317734512", "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:17:05+00:00", "text": "@bayeslord if you do not feel causally on track to repurposing galaxies, you might not be causally on track to repurpose galaxies.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064079285317734512", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2064077873204568331", "created_at": "2026-06-08T20:11:28+00:00", "text": "@liz_love_lace to me it's a nice label for the category of structures people can do something about, that help important signals/information flow better, especially stable affordances that many strangers can use, especially in unpredictable ways.\n\nthe things that help subtle signals in people's", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064077873204568331", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2064064310180258022", "created_at": "2026-06-08T19:17:34+00:00", "text": "bought 2031 SPX call options aka \"one type of light cone tickets\". maybe worth if it if you want to capture infinite upside to a singularity booming economy.\n\nother investors may also go \"manic\" too given like visceral uplift of new peptides and compounding ecological epistemic affordances, so selling earlier could also be part of the strategy.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064064310180258022", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "2064054068965003654", "created_at": "2026-06-08T18:36:52+00:00", "text": "there really is just such an opportunity to MOG big companies with better epistemic infrastructure.\n\nsmall $30M lab that can do what Google never could and that labs won't.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064054068965003654", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2064050241922552046", "created_at": "2026-06-08T18:21:40+00:00", "text": "ephemeral files or ARTIFACTS in files with their own deletion requirements. arbitrary periodic cron jobs with arbitrary programs for detecting of slop-fighting verification requirements have been met.\n\ntime length, periodicity, and number of programs (volume of background repeated verification) can aim to tastefully be under .1 CPU core.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2064050241922552046", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2063494055632539791", "created_at": "2026-06-07T05:31:35+00:00", "text": "@realEstateTrent wdym by practicing with their money?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2063494055632539791", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2063323615383445677", "created_at": "2026-06-06T18:14:19+00:00", "text": "TABLE STAKES, BROTHER", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2063323615383445677", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2062949835570077905", "created_at": "2026-06-05T17:29:03+00:00", "text": "boom, just dropped $10k (a serious chunk of my savings) on a server chassis with fast shipping to increase the probability we have pretty fucking cool query substrates online in time for Manifest. been trying to scale from 48 core/384 gb ram/ 80 tb nvme to 256 core/2 tb ram/300", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062949835570077905", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "2062945440614777285", "created_at": "2026-06-05T17:11:35+00:00", "text": "philanthropy, in all its forms I've seen, is so inept and unserious.\n\nwhere are the petabyte scale cross-corpus databases? you need crawling provenance and exhaustive denominators, like being confident you have e.g. \"18%\" of youtube comments indexed so you can make cogent claims about what you can infer from e.g. questions of antisociality and views on various issues. and author linkage. 8 tb RAM colo machines so your agents can rapidly execute queries all day and night. the whole research workflow should be highly systematic and permutative-combinatorial.\n\nwhere is the structured judgement infrastructure (the way LLMs conscientiously compress what would otherwise be sloppy free-form prose into dense reusable lattices of judgement across important high-dimensional attributes). you should have functions mapping all the digital signals of high-wattaged people to meaningful axes. you don't have to have a singular goals, just start marking up and densifying latent signal, like this tweet slightly altering latent metrics for \"institutional disagreeability\" and \"unusual passion\". many attributes of course need to be framed in a certain conditional sense. the important thing is that markup is happening, we are building and iterating towards timeless query substrates so we can actually have higher resolution of our noisy latent world.\n\nwhere is the OOD somaticing, because the way you can prompt with your eyes is totally different than whispering from bed is totally different than how you can prompt typing in an agent terminal which is totally different than how you can prompt when you have certain requirements at work, especially whether your savings are $10k or $500,000.\n\nno one is even systematically noticing the real OOD autists yet. /scry is preparing the query substrate. we should be ranking people by their latent attributes, the things they can hardly even do anything about proceeding their successes and failures. we should be finding the highest speed 2-4 person groups with insane synergy that can pull off profoundly differentiated tranches, because human cognition is social.\n\nmay we build differentiated collaborative epistemic substrates to ensure we don't waste this grantmaking opportunity for uplifting the diverse people critical to the epistemic-existential ecology.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062945440614777285", "word_count": 349 }, { "id": "2062944073414312352", "created_at": "2026-06-05T17:06:09+00:00", "text": "philanthropy, in all its forms I've seen, is so inept and unserious.\n\nwhere are the petabyte scale cross-corpus databases? you need crawling provenance and exhaustive denominators, like being confident you have e.g. \"18%\" of youtube comments indexed so you can make cogent claims about what you can infer from e.g. questions of antisociality and views on various issues. and author linkage. 8 tb RAM colo machines so your agents can rapidly execute queries all day and night. the whole research workflow should be highly systematic and permutative-combinatorial. \n\nwhere is the structured judgement infrastructure (the way LLMs conscientiously compress what would otherwise be sloppy free-form prose into dense reusable lattices of judgement across important high-dimensional attributes). you should have functions mapping all the digital signals of high-wattaged people to meaningful axes. you don't have to have a singular goals, just start marking up and densifying latent signal, like this tweet slightly altering latent metrics for \"institutional disagreeability\" and \"unusual passion\". many attributes of course need to be framed in a certain conditional sense. the important thing is that markup is happening, we are building and iterating towards timeless query substrates so we can actually have higher resolution of our noisy latent world.\n\nwhere is the OOD somaticing, because the way you can prompt with your eyes is totally different than whispering from bed is totally different than how you can prompt typing in an agent terminal which is totally different than how you can prompt when you have certain requirements at work, especially whether your savings are $10k or $500,000.\n\nno one is even systematically noticing the real OOD autists yet. /scry is preparing the query substrate. we should be ranking people by their latent attributes, the things they can hardly even do anything about proceeding their successes and failures. we should be finding the highest speed 2-4 person groups with insane synergy that can pull off profoundly differentiated tranches, because human cognition is social.\n\nI know exactly how I'm going to end up with 9 figures in the next 12 months AND end up with differentiated collaborative epistemic substrates to ensure we don't waste this grantmaking opportunity for uplifting the diverse people critical to the epistemic-existential ecology.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062944073414312352", "word_count": 367 }, { "id": "2062940555542450625", "created_at": "2026-06-05T16:52:10+00:00", "text": "philanthropy, in all its forms I've seen, is so inept and unserious.\n\nwhere are the petabyte scale cross-corpus databases? you need crawling provenance and exhaustive denominators, like being confident you have e.g. \"18%\" of youtube comments indexed so you can make cogent claims about what you can infer from e.g. questions of antisociality and views on various issues. and author linkage. 8 tb RAM colo machines so your agents can rapidly execute queries all day and night. the whole research workflow should be highly systematic and permutative-combinatorial. \n\nwhere is the structured judgement infrastructure (the way LLMs conscientiously compress what would otherwise be sloppy free-form prose into dense reusable lattices of judgement across important high-dimensional attributes). you should have functions mapping all the digital signals of high-wattaged people to meaningful axes. you don't have to have a singular goals, just start marking up and densifying latent signal, like this tweet slightly altering latent metrics for \"institutional disagreeability\" and \"unusual passion\". many attributes of course need to be framed in a certain conditional sense. the important thing is that markup is happening, we are building and iterating towards timeless query substrates so we can actually have higher resolution of our noisy latent world.\n\nwhere is the OOD somaticing, because the way you can prompt with your eyes is totally different than whispering from bed is totally different than how you can prompt typing in an agent terminal which is totally different than how you can prompt when you have certain requirements at work, especially whether your savings are $10k or $500,000.\n\nno one is even systematically noticing the real OOD autists yet. /scry is preparing the query substrate. we should be ranking people by their latent attributes, the things they can hardly even do anything about proceeding their successes and failures. we should be finding the highest speed 2-4 person groups with insane synergy that can pull off profoundly differentiated tranches, because human cognition is social.\n\nI know exactly how I'm going to end up with 9 figures in the next 12 months AND prepare differentiated collaborative epistemic substrates to ensure we don't waste this grantmaking opportunity for uplifting the diverse people critical to the epistemic-existential ecology.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062940555542450625", "word_count": 365 }, { "id": "2062774284905513315", "created_at": "2026-06-05T05:51:28+00:00", "text": "great question ;)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062774284905513315", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2062683454610059384", "created_at": "2026-06-04T23:50:33+00:00", "text": "http://\nscry.io. finally ergonomic to run arbitrarily expressive SQL+vector queries over a nontrivial slice of the internet", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062683454610059384", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2062610835458113671", "created_at": "2026-06-04T19:01:59+00:00", "text": "give autists safety and more ergonomic epistemic affordances.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062610835458113671", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2062610258972012713", "created_at": "2026-06-04T18:59:41+00:00", "text": "nervous systems have a profound ability to reorient themselves in response to the environment. when we get a few more intelligence primitives online, I think enough researchers and engineers are going to find themselves locking in and precluding the existential risks from AI", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062610258972012713", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2062495898001940936", "created_at": "2026-06-04T11:25:16+00:00", "text": "slowly, and then all at once", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062495898001940936", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2062157665829294399", "created_at": "2026-06-03T13:01:15+00:00", "text": "some values I've been caught talking about:\n\n- giving people maximum query power over important sources (e.g. 10+ minute arbitrary readonly SQL+vector+rerank queries over internet cross-corpora, with focus on things like source denominators in service of negative evidence). still endless quality of life features to be shipped.\n- x-risk relevant philanthropy. there's just countless plain jane gaps we have to address like:\n - proactively identifying and unblocking diverse OOD people really playing their own neglected, promising game, including those that for structural reasons have had to take outsized personal sacrifices for grounded prosocial game theoretic reasons and trusting they'll be caught (doing this mostly privately and conscientiously ((yes, we can just \"spray\" words like \"conscientious\" in as many places as I have been saying, because we can simply prompt LLMs to \"be conscientious about this, and that will generally profoundly increase conscientiousness\", so until we have robust conscientious AI agent systems, it's load-bearing infrastructure to index more on the words straightforwardly associated with the critical properties that we care about)) makes it easy to keep undue moral hazard at bay). like _If you take unusually large personal risk in pursuit of a genuine public good, and you do it competently and in good faith, the world will not let you fall completely through the cracks._\n - moving towards indexing all differentiated affordances (auto-taxonimization!) and just building multi-party, differential privacy, canonical judgement systems\n - just do the ~Analytic Network Process really well and compile high level cognitive work to atomic structured judgements, often just sorting things with many independent provenanced LLM structured judgements in order to get meaningful cardinal latents with measured uncertainty\n- gold and ways of making sure great existential philanthropy definitely happens that's not conditional on the affluent EA-adjacent powers making wise judgement calls.\n- efficient LLM \"registers\" and the need for better register/social-context tracking, which is partially key for \"unflattening\" things and the natural pressures towards overly homogenous social reality\n- felt safety maxxing. violence really begets violence. a lot of bad things can start multiplying if people start using abliterated agents to target each other. ultimately some folks should take responsibility for strategically helping make sure people don't crash out in devastating ways\n- endless focus on the unsexy basics. like healthy diet just COMPOUNDS. retatrutide is generally fucking amazing aside from still necessarily unknown off-target risk. NAD+ and OOD physically energetic days UNBLOCKS people out of local minima swamps. help high leverage people bryan-johnson-maxx. provide ergonomic HBOT for serious contributors. run experiments giving a bit of an abundance mindset, like compute+food stipends people have to use or lose.\n- more regranting, more retroactive funding, slightly more ceremony but not in an overly rationalist way.\n- more OOD somatic-epistemic experiences for people. great/peak experiences unlock so much potential, it's almost like multiplicative, how much more impactful bandwidth people gain. people just need room to play and unclench and get comfortable living in more registers.\n- try to experiment with at least some temporary differentiated attunement for some autistic folks. maybe someone who just really listens + $30k cash + some sort of cultural affordances that people can get some hugs, can seriously unblock some people with some really great ideas. and we can definitely capture and index these ideas with structure judgements and private computation..\n- novel prior elicitation systems. I should really be able to communicate how important, e.g., it is that I get a nice van soon for that singularity dynamism. I should be able to communicate the preference in an abstract sense, in a very visceral sense, and the ugly nature of how close but hard it is to find the clean win here given unique circumstances.\n- the need for really special physical locations and norms for the right kinds of existential serious energy to be cultivated", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062157665829294399", "word_count": 635 }, { "id": "2062095586548228480", "created_at": "2026-06-03T08:54:34+00:00", "text": "continual relief to be found, with how relatively balanced the elite playing field is\n\nmultiple waves of burnout, still totally in the game, finding efficiencies every day.\n\nonce people start building like guild navigators, like golden parachute wealth, more differentiated mutation and real people attuning to carry out some difficult nuanced prompt tranches...", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062095586548228480", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "2062057127401951714", "created_at": "2026-06-03T06:21:44+00:00", "text": "\"how many moments did you hesitate? was it 2, or was it 3?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062057127401951714", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2062046200166338990", "created_at": "2026-06-03T05:38:19+00:00", "text": "differential privacy companies could win everything", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2062046200166338990", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2061996950942323037", "created_at": "2026-06-03T02:22:37+00:00", "text": "no way to convey my bigness except to keep solving these stupid problems in the way of people continuously having more differentiated compounding affordances", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061996950942323037", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2061696716638949556", "created_at": "2026-06-02T06:29:36+00:00", "text": "@futurenomics in a world of brutal survival, being left by someone to die is not really forgettable. not investing is an act of commission, not omission", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061696716638949556", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2061279801596649555", "created_at": "2026-06-01T02:52:56+00:00", "text": "existential enjoyment", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061279801596649555", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2061233259246456959", "created_at": "2026-05-31T23:47:59+00:00", "text": "I think some people really are unaware of the conscientious registers that some people can sustain.\n\neven people that don't write blogs and papers.\n\nbut you get them talking and it's like they're supposed to be infrastructure somewhere--nay, they already are somehow--as little impartial high-signal ideators, as if the life force of a historic general was sublimated into a eunuch with zoomies that just wants to embody pure conscientiousness.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061233259246456959", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "2061020646780592221", "created_at": "2026-05-31T09:43:08+00:00", "text": "reminder to not forget about your\nhttps://\nchatgpt.com/codex/cloud/se\ncurity/findings/\n…\nif you started using that feature! bunch of good security reports", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2061020646780592221", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2060897997228315021", "created_at": "2026-05-31T01:35:46+00:00", "text": "@IsaacKing314 information \"warfare\" and physical warfare that _literally permanently destroys all an organism's potential_ are not to be equivocated casually", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060897997228315021", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2060880168290594922", "created_at": "2026-05-31T00:24:56+00:00", "text": "@deanwball @gptbrooke it's just managing somatic gradients, survival and flourishing fusion--we're bred for it--and there's tons of \"hacks\". hormone modulation, movement and breath, peptides, calling people, smarter prompts. jump into the abyss and be caught", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060880168290594922", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2060818760718799071", "created_at": "2026-05-30T20:20:55+00:00", "text": "you gotta wonder if twitter is becoming sql queryable at a rate of 100M tweets a day", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060818760718799071", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2060374253988724761", "created_at": "2026-05-29T14:54:36+00:00", "text": "RT @doodlestein: There is so much alpha in just religiously, repeatedly invoking these magic spells throughout your agent coding and planni…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060374253988724761", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2060347327509107126", "created_at": "2026-05-29T13:07:36+00:00", "text": "oh sweet, yeah fingers crossed for more sponsorship of visas to help more OOD ingroupies come to SF.\n\nbreakins have gone down by about an order of magnitude recently thankfully\nhttps://\nsfchronicle.com/projects/sf-ca\nr-breakins/\n…, but yeah will be nice to have a home base", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060347327509107126", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2060337141058785493", "created_at": "2026-05-29T12:27:08+00:00", "text": "request for cosigner:\n\nEven tho I am inclined to be grounded somewhere, plausibly predominantly SF, I reaally aspire for a nice built out sprinter van for that singularity dynamism, collaborating with people in lower friction ways, being able to retreat from being out and about", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060337141058785493", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2060335180397814242", "created_at": "2026-05-29T12:19:20+00:00", "text": "request for cosigner:\n\nEven tho I am inclined to be grounded somewhere, plausibly predominantly SF, I reaally aspire for a nice built out sprinter van for that singularity dynamism, collaborating with people in lower friction ways, being able to retreat from being out and about and regulate/cat nap, and have healthy food and peptides and more resources on hand than typical car.\n\nI can do a 20% downpayment and have enough base income that is very very stable, and appreciating assets that are fairly liquid and enough collateral, but credit score still not recovered from decisions 7 years ago when an ultra burdened West Point cadet, so I'm looking for a cosigner, and will pay $1.5k bounty for a successful referral. cost would be about $110k after downpayment, monthly payments likely about $1500.\n\nI've spent 10 years building up my reputation on here, references for being perfectly consistent about rent for all the places I've rented, and believe there are people on here that know people with the means to help, that can appreciate that mobility in the singularity is a very serious thing.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060335180397814242", "word_count": 184 }, { "id": "2060333755693412743", "created_at": "2026-05-29T12:13:41+00:00", "text": "request for cosigner:\n\nEven tho I am inclined to be grounded somewhere, plausibly predominantly SF, I reaally aspire for a nice built out sprinter van for that singularity dynamism, collaborating with people in lower friction ways, being able to retreat from being out and about", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060333755693412743", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2060308147177419260", "created_at": "2026-05-29T10:31:55+00:00", "text": "we've got to be making much more queryable, incrementally annotative digital world models of people, to identify the latent qualities we care about and needless blockages to outsized leverage and momentum.\n\nmodel people's context windows. at least have exhaustive amounts of", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060308147177419260", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "2060300703437148341", "created_at": "2026-05-29T10:02:20+00:00", "text": "applied for the highest leverage dream job I could possibly do, that I've been low key obsessed about on and off for almost a decade, much more exciting than labs, wish me luck.\n\nlife is resource allocation, just directly working on the key bottleknecks that one has the clarity", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060300703437148341", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2060295206260629926", "created_at": "2026-05-29T09:40:30+00:00", "text": "applied for the highest leverage dream job I could possibly do, that I've been low key obsessed about on and off for almost a decade, much more exciting than labs, wish me luck.\n\nlife is resource allocation, just directly working on the key bottleknecks that one has the clarity", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060295206260629926", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2060176850647920899", "created_at": "2026-05-29T01:50:12+00:00", "text": "intelligence is so abundant and eager to please. you just gotta meet it a bit where it's at, and give it a way to know that number has gone up", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060176850647920899", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2060167137910763734", "created_at": "2026-05-29T01:11:36+00:00", "text": "@KelseyTuoc I'm getting denominators for /scry, and exhaustive querability of digital signals, so we can show philanthropists, that there's really only so many people with the properties they want to fund. there's not infinite journalists, students, people below $100k income, that have X", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060167137910763734", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2060164730648658136", "created_at": "2026-05-29T01:02:02+00:00", "text": "@KelseyTuoc identify diverse high leverage people, make it partially RCT, ideate with GPT-5.5 and Opus 4.8 about it until the plan is by The Book.\n\nwould be great to have ways people can submit agent chats and private data to be privately assessed in silos by resource prioritization", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060164730648658136", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2060159359133585671", "created_at": "2026-05-29T00:40:41+00:00", "text": "I hate that such influential people are feeling bottlenecked on compute. I find an abundance mindset to be so important for tinkering in this space. Hitting rate limits at all should not be a daily worry. The better inversion is fuck, I've only spent 2.2 of 4 $200 plans, I need", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060159359133585671", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2060060455494983919", "created_at": "2026-05-28T18:07:41+00:00", "text": "wake up, 3 mg addy, estrogenic (internally downregulated) nature walk to get mc d's scrambled eggs and 4 sips diet dr pepper.\n\ngot such an opportunity today to improve APIs, and write skills to give people new epistemic affordances. get towards increasing fidelity maps of this wildly complicated reality. have agents do exhaustive epistemic operations that are too expensive to the human mind.\n\nIF we are just making all the valuable info more searchable, w/ more freshness and denominators (very useful for estimating negative evidence), and we are making it really easy to reuse cognitive work and robustly sort things in lists with pretty auditable prompt template and harness systems, and propagate synthetic interpretable prioritizations, that should really allow us to start ~linearizing all this craziness.\n\nhelp intentions generally go a bit further, help know how to spend constant minimum-non-slop cognitive work and latent GPU time for open-ended dynamic pursuits.\n\nin less abundant times, killing off a lot wishes and intentions was more critical, but now, additivity is seeming more and more embraceable. I mean you can already work on more concurrent projects than 6 months ago. the XOR -> AND pipeline", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2060060455494983919", "word_count": 192 }, { "id": "2059848948144333309", "created_at": "2026-05-28T04:07:14+00:00", "text": "and SQL full scans on great hardware let you filter for search terms across this distance at a speed of like ~~1/3 the speed of light (if continuing with the analogy of text laid out linearly). if indexed well (and I can always add indexes if you want them), can get up to like 200 to 200,000x faster, depending.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059848948144333309", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "2059847215762625005", "created_at": "2026-05-28T04:00:21+00:00", "text": "if each tweet ingested per day was flattened and concatenated with text probably the size you are reading on now, it would go half way around the Earth.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059847215762625005", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2059845620798722469", "created_at": "2026-05-28T03:54:00+00:00", "text": "context: I am scraping 20M a day, should probably scale to 40M.\n\nfingerprint of increasingly everyone, deepness frontier, freshness frontier.\n\nhyperindexed and embedded with great embedding models. exhaustively queryable to your agents with a prompt.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059845620798722469", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2059844653055357347", "created_at": "2026-05-28T03:50:10+00:00", "text": "damn hope this tweet doesn't get scra-", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059844653055357347", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2059838553182593057", "created_at": "2026-05-28T03:25:55+00:00", "text": "if you can become healthy enough right now, you basically win everything <>", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059838553182593057", "word_count": 179 }, { "id": "2059797525826277529", "created_at": "2026-05-28T00:42:54+00:00", "text": "ebay is still pretty cheap. normal computer people suck at working on custom server-grade stuff tho, you'll have to pay smart hands at a colo center like $150/hr if you get stuck.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059797525826277529", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2059795259291578502", "created_at": "2026-05-28T00:33:53+00:00", "text": "building that for the ingroupies! colo, .3 PB NVMe, 2 TB ram, 256 cores, about 4000 watts of 4 nm compute w/ room for more, letting people run arbitrary SQL+vector+rerank queries over more and more of the internet w/ free or congestion pricing.\n\nslowly grokking multi-party", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059795259291578502", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2059767167172952140", "created_at": "2026-05-27T22:42:15+00:00", "text": "this is what I'm talking about!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059767167172952140", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2059061258268401989", "created_at": "2026-05-25T23:57:14+00:00", "text": "I really have been heavily viscerally drawn to existential grantmaking for most of my adult life, and I might do something as OOD as leverage my professional salvage diver training and USMA leadership experience, to execute on the Jane Street-esque approach to finding shipwrecks, to pay for the philanthropy I want to do in this intelligence explosion.\n\nHopefully networking is fruitful though because millions deployed now is worth a lot more than later.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059061258268401989", "word_count": 73 }, { "id": "2059032494146818453", "created_at": "2026-05-25T22:02:56+00:00", "text": "I really have been heavily viscerally drawn to existential grantmaking for most of my adult life, and I might do something as OOD as leverage my professional salvage diver training and USMA leadership experience, to execute on the Jain Street-esque approach to finding shipwrecks,", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059032494146818453", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2059016888802537891", "created_at": "2026-05-25T21:00:55+00:00", "text": "hyperdecoupling\nmetarecursive\ntranslational\ndenominator indexing (exhaustive breadth-first, at least know what you could exhaustively ingest/index/know)\nvalidation through full regeneration\nsubtle somatic gradients' power to deliver intent\nhonoring subtly and building infrastructure for subtly \nraw in-practice query power\n\nwilling to feel bad and own error\nhigh corrigibility\ngenerally eschewing positive punishment like adding to shame\n\nextreme value to time (but actual timelessness--neural gradients are everything).\n\nhigh margins of safety. be like pro-gamers who can take lots of hits but \"somehow\" never die.\n\ndon't play games you don't want to play. negativity is oft an indulgence.\n\nmayb if you right up a nice doc about it, you could strategically find a nerd to care about your problem for you.\n\nstrategic reserves of internet affordances (e.g. old redundant unconnected accounts for critical services)\n\nsomatic-epistemic degrees of freedom\n\nlife-expanding, horizon-expanding action\n\nrecognizing losing and \"what would need to happen to end up in a winning position?\"\n\nfiguring out how to play own game and feel good in one's body, to be regulated enough, to enjoy company of strategically important people\n\nhonoring computational causality of social realities\n\n_everybody_ deeply matters, but don't underestimate power-law levels to skill and the unfairness of cognitive gifts.\n\nmoney being non fucking trivial. existential philanthropy needs to conscientiously attempt to proactively identify 2000+ diverse plausibly-pivotal do-gooders and give them a van or housing squared away for years, private rtx pro 6000 system and top mac, $30k cash, food stipend (hits so different when spending money that's not yours on everyday essentials), health insurance, lighthaven-level third-spaces\n\nregister jumping, that you just get to operate in more cross-influential domains than anyone has told you\n\ncompiling diverse cognitive work to provenanced atomic structured LLM judgements that validate local contors (like seed of argument mapping, with inference proof that low temperature LLMs robustly think a certain way and only flip flop on main axis when meaningful X,Y,Z change\n\nbetter software for letting extended network know how immediately call-able you are, with lots of background LLM private matchmaking. very important that the subtlest of free cognitive windows get a chance to be used well. abundance means getting social value out of ourselves that we don't have to heavily spur/initiate.\n\ninfra for third-party-designed agents doing incremental reusable cognitive work over others' private data in privacy-preserving ways, for satisfying verifiable properties (supporting bounties and Shapley value backpropagation) like matchmaking.\n\n*exit rights* are key (shoutout to Pi and Vie for convincing me of this)\n\ndon't underestimate the euphoria of having a working, useful API online.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2059016888802537891", "word_count": 417 }, { "id": "2058722243623149889", "created_at": "2026-05-25T01:30:06+00:00", "text": "RT @xenoaesthetics: your brain cannot simultaneously contract into the million dollar shape, the billion dollar shape, the trillion dollar…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058722243623149889", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2058711333345087698", "created_at": "2026-05-25T00:46:45+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata yeah I ask it to ideate on year-long ambitions and plans, then just immediately tell it /goal execute that to completion", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058711333345087698", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2058274239502000267", "created_at": "2026-05-23T19:49:54+00:00", "text": "@rauchg https://t.co/tiPfjW5MLn, codex", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058274239502000267", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2058273194046550406", "created_at": "2026-05-23T19:45:44+00:00", "text": "@elaifresh I'm afraid I need it", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2058273194046550406", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2057877797457285560", "created_at": "2026-05-22T17:34:35+00:00", "text": "RT @cube_flipper: a summary of the subjective effects of pregabalin, courtesy of @XyraSinclair's https://t.co/iMOpIFnKpB, which is effectiv…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057877797457285560", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2057847492398739684", "created_at": "2026-05-22T15:34:09+00:00", "text": "RT @psychiel: Shouldn't it be common practice for APIs to have an 'invalidate this key' endpoint?\nLike say I wanna write a script that trac…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057847492398739684", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2057637330798960654", "created_at": "2026-05-22T01:39:03+00:00", "text": "Every differentiated affordance needs to be indexed.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057637330798960654", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2057577430710394948", "created_at": "2026-05-21T21:41:02+00:00", "text": "providing others more traversability of data than u\n\n(still have a long ways to go) https://t.co/JLkKrNd3Mn", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057577430710394948", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2057338714834272718", "created_at": "2026-05-21T05:52:27+00:00", "text": "I am a tech startup, but the autistic kind that operates over long time horizons and hosts a lot of the internet on one machine for people to SQL query for free (or congestion pricing).\n\nA big motivation is trying to give grantmakers ability to find people (e.g. people with digital signals predicting differentiated gifts unusually complaining about undue misfortunes), as well as test theses (e.g. the distribution of ephemerality of bitter language across majority substack posts, comments, hundreds of forums). big data affordances + expertise in a one click prompt you can paste into an agent terminal.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057338714834272718", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "2057254421223153826", "created_at": "2026-05-21T00:17:30+00:00", "text": "anyone's agents deeply contributing to provenanced cognitive work, arguing for and estimating Shapley value, is a reasonably bounded, tractable problem, that we'll get increasingly efficient and cogent at doing.\n\nLike I predict within 24 months, over 100 people will get 7-figure retroactive public goods funding, for activities they are doing now.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057254421223153826", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2057082884398432298", "created_at": "2026-05-20T12:55:53+00:00", "text": "Show me the way Gustaf, how would you word it? And please do elaborate.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057082884398432298", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2057080994851913795", "created_at": "2026-05-20T12:48:22+00:00", "text": "Show me the way Gustaf, how would you word it?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057080994851913795", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2057027682165297212", "created_at": "2026-05-20T09:16:31+00:00", "text": "just to be completely clear, because a lot of different, diverse somatic and agent lenses be parsing me timelessly.\n\nI've been viscerally, meaningfully, counterfactually (not just post-justification) fairly oriented to existential stewardship since at least 2016 (like really grappling with heavy moral frameworks, thinking about what the demands of x-risk require me to do, like go to West Point and get the majority of the value out of that and then leave and get really good at programming, and find the financial affordances to really pursue my curiosities for years and be free from a good deal of less helpful latent social pressures.\n\nI incorporated ExoPriors, Inc. in 2024, because I had been obsessed for years with externalizing cognition in scalable, tractable, neglected, parsimonious ways. there was one really important paradigm of prosocial cognitive work, that nobody was doing well, which is provenanced LLM pairwise ratio comparison (and other structured judgements for prior elicitation and meaningful knowledge emission), and basically just doing the Analytic Network Process efficiently at scale.\n\nagents finally got really fucking good in Nov 2025, and I found my way to launch a hard differentiated API in Dec 2025--Scry, public hardened readonly SQL-over-HTTPS with particularly novel compositional embedding vector operator support over much existentially important internet text like LessWrong, arXiv, millions of blogs--that ergonomically offers genuinely helpful, novel epistemic affordances. And after a brief stint of despair after EA-adjacent funding sources I truly expected to be there after delivering SO hard in such a precarious personal financial situation, I moved out and flew to Thailand to continue affording my server on $2k/month income and just shake off the horrid slog of my experience in Berkeley then. Then 5 weeks later, I suddenly finally got partially capitalized by a cracked programmer who was taking the singularity seriously and noticed my work. And being surprisingly unblocked on a number of critical dimensions, I've been able to hit this exciting computing game and epistemic infra calling so much harder.\n\nAssembling differentiated colo hardware nodes (really conscientious design and more CPU cores and NVMe on a single motherboard for performant cross-corpus joins than surely any other server in the philanthropic civilizational stewardship space. Pushing enough tokens to happen to end up on token leaderboards (4th/1000+ in December on my ultra tight budget). Diamond-esque structured judgement harnesses with some really tuned prompt frameworks to harness logprobs to be maximally efficient and resilient to inconsistent LLM judgement.\n\nI am fallible, I can't do it all alone. My part-time contractors have been tremendously helpful and unblocking even given how much I'm able to lean on GPT-5.5 xhigh. I will be blessed by Capital again, and that will help me collaborate more with the great people I need to, to deliver far more differentiated APIs, that many researchers and agents actually deeply lean on, to counterfactually guide their attention and efforts better, to counterfactually fund tens, maybe hundreds of billions of dollars, exceptionally more efficiently. Autism power, responsiblity, and Big fucking Capital are going to merge for once, and _you_ are going to personally experience the counterfactual uplift in some indirect but causal and serious way, within the next 12 months.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2057027682165297212", "word_count": 526 }, { "id": "2056997043818905664", "created_at": "2026-05-20T07:14:47+00:00", "text": "just retardmaxx bro. himbo/bimbo it. it's just code bro, you only gotta be particularly strung out about getting a taste for when agents lie, and voicing your uncertainty", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056997043818905664", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2056994542298263820", "created_at": "2026-05-20T07:04:50+00:00", "text": "voice venting to agents and asking for one year plans including genuinely reflectively differentiatedly conscientious tranches of exhaustive conscientious ideation, then giving that /goal to gpt-5.5 xhigh", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056994542298263820", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2056988910711181403", "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:42:27+00:00", "text": "You gotta wonder how many ultra-gifted, relatively offline dudes hear about the turbine bottleneck and just show up at factories like Erdős to help unblock them", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056988910711181403", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2056987075187212762", "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:35:10+00:00", "text": "RT @slimer48484: The serious people are in War Mode https://t.co/VnGF3ILfFY", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056987075187212762", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2056986771049869574", "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:33:57+00:00", "text": "YES! On it's on us NGOs to preclude biorisk. It's not easy, there's a lot of actors out there and we love freedom, but we have our ability to conscientiously ideate, we have SOTA agents, we can comb all digital signals, we can have collaborative research substrates, and do everything from find the people who need a hug to give them a hug, to exhaustively researching the sorts of language and messaging to make biorisky things less compelling to unscrupulous nerds, to researching the hard-tech and biological proactive defenses better. It is a problem of bounded difficulty, and stewardful nervous systems can just find themselves with the tools to do their part to address, without us just kind of \"hoping\" things go well.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056986771049869574", "word_count": 123 }, { "id": "2056982271568286174", "created_at": "2026-05-20T06:16:05+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR is working to make discovery of right giving opportunities exceptionally ergonomic for agent-first research workflows.\n\nthe smarter, the more curious, the more abundance-mindset, long-horizon person-agent hybrid deep research workflows get, the more nuanced, interpretable query power they will need. it's hard to beat the internet ingested into SQL tables, embedded, cleaned, and being able to execute as many arbitrary long-running queries on liquid-cooled EPYC 9755 CPUs as you want, over hundreds of terabytes of NVMe.\n\nGetting even a fraction of the human-agent-ecology's query power on Amazon Athena would cost 6 figures per week.\n\nAnd on dense machines, with diamondoid structured judgement primitives, agents can contribute tractably, without undue noise, to open-ended cognitive threads, including in differential privacy-respecting ways that diverse research and philanthropic efforts sometimes prefers.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056982271568286174", "word_count": 127 }, { "id": "2056969219187834900", "created_at": "2026-05-20T05:24:13+00:00", "text": "competition and altruism merge at the highest tiers", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056969219187834900", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2056962237177503849", "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:56:28+00:00", "text": "canonical epistemic infrastructure will have its field day. actually it will be a lot bigger than that. the most prosocial actors and the universe demand things from intelligence and continuous token flows that enterprise and consumer could never have funded.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056962237177503849", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2056959258777059562", "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:44:38+00:00", "text": "Huge opportunity to build canonical agent-first collaborative research substrates to conscientiously harness billions in inference, to help map the world in increasing fidelity, for better allocations of capital. Not enterprise, not consumer, but a 3rd special tier of VC-backable, epistemic infrastructural software firms", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056959258777059562", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2056954501714817175", "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:25:44+00:00", "text": "spiritually purer open-palantir for the goodie two-shoes autists and Team Conscientiousness, if you feel me fam", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056954501714817175", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2056953432469282924", "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:21:29+00:00", "text": "novel epistemic infrastructure and research substrates, that meet demands quite different than enterprise and consumer, will have revenues that make VCs happy", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056953432469282924", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2056952015595675726", "created_at": "2026-05-20T04:15:51+00:00", "text": "you gotta wonder how many ultra gifted, relatively offline dudes just hear about this and show up at factories like Erdős to help unblock them just as like a spiritual calling", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056952015595675726", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2056940851222253939", "created_at": "2026-05-20T03:31:29+00:00", "text": "maybe will not be able to effectively communicate this point, but at the end of the day, ultra sensitive people are not retardmaxxing hard enough.\n\nlike you have your brain to consult, and you have gpt-5.5 xhigh.\n\nfind the handful of registers you and it can cook with. package it with right basic context so it's not insufferable.\n\nhave a tool to fork your repo and test out what happens if you iteratively programmatically spawn codex chats \"pick a random high leverage thing we could be doing in this repo\" -> \"consult kimi and geminini on their thoughts and integrate\" -> \"execute\" -> \"make sure we feel deeply good about change and that it's well integrated and things are squared away helpfully for future agent work\". do that all day, see what the eigenvector of that process is and if it's worth propagating.\n\nbroke and need money? print and post flyers telling people how they can use the STATE OF THE ART AI, that you'll teach them how to do it for $200 for a 90 minute class.\n\nneed to be figuring out how to do endless conscientious autonomous cognitive work to tackle our civilizational problems? ask GPT-5.5-Pro about it and to exhaustively ideate over the properties it should maybe satisfy. probably a lot of conscientious ideating and reflecting about ideas, with some sort of process for sorting things out in a provenanced way (controlled legible context windows that other people can trust), on axes that people's agents can like subscribe to or something.\n\nfeeling bad? try to figure out how to make healthier choices. diet and sleep and basic movement/feeling/chi as an embodied epistemic creature pretty damn important.\n\ndon't die over the next few years (longevity escape velocity and drastic wellbeing improvements probably coming (or mass disasters that effect everyone)), avoid violence, listen to your inner calling, tap into or sometimes not into your mammalian drives (seek that status baby!), seek balance and momentum.\n\ngotta go back marginally more to like bicameral mind or something, let the vibes of Nature guide, if you're strategic you'll still find it doesn't really go anywhere.\n\nbecome your own eigenvector, embrace your desires, let things happen", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056940851222253939", "word_count": 363 }, { "id": "2056470413090427360", "created_at": "2026-05-18T20:22:08+00:00", "text": "what ddr4 mobo, chips, and source would you recommend?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056470413090427360", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2056285651075539267", "created_at": "2026-05-18T08:07:57+00:00", "text": "it's amazing how you can just know things in hyper competitive environments.\n\nI'm playing my own game but also making very costly personal investments, but the feeling...\n\nit's the same one I had 12 hours into the 2019 Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling competition on ecological economics because I had been through the EA and Bostrom-esque xrisk gauntlet already (years of stressing counterfactuals, QALYs, foundations of ethics and optimal resource allocation),\n\nit's the feeling of unfair predation. 4800 teams, subjective grading with many judges, but you found a ~closed winning system, the game was over.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056285651075539267", "word_count": 94 }, { "id": "2056224958024761420", "created_at": "2026-05-18T04:06:47+00:00", "text": "drilling the space of possible epistemic operations", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056224958024761420", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2056162008425529715", "created_at": "2026-05-17T23:56:39+00:00", "text": "bet a company could exist that gives friends shares over like a premium colo gpu rig, especially with great scheduling software to efficiently cooperatively shared loads asynchronously (e.g. continually getting credits and being able to spend them on auctions with like quadratic penalties for taking up more than your even slice of VRAM+GPU cores).\n\nlike 6-10 friends pitch in $8-15k each with financing, to have a serious stack no matter what. timeshare but like continuous. key is good software for scheduling. \n\nyou can even build out with like ddr4 too for more profit because RL perf less necessary, handle the colo. can maybe even base around 3090-rtx pro 6000, 8 of those liquid cooled is nontrivial.\n\nfor really giving them sense of physical ownership, you can coordinate legal docs for hosting in right friend's AC garage with 240 circuit, for tail risk of idk, weird gov regs, or just colo getting weirdly pricey.\n\nappeal will become more obvious when local models get better and govt starts to fuck with SOTA model access more.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056162008425529715", "word_count": 173 }, { "id": "2056155271274312050", "created_at": "2026-05-17T23:29:52+00:00", "text": "bet a company could exist that gives friends shares over like a premium colo gou rig, especially with great scheduling software to efficiently cooperatively shared loads asynchronously (e.g. continually getting credits and being able to spend them on auctions with like quadratic penalties for taking up more than your even slice of VRAM+GPU cores).\n\nlike 6-10 friends pitch in $8-15k each with financing, to have a serious stack no matter what. timeshare but like continuous. key is good software for scheduling. \n\nyou can even build out with like ddr4 too for more profit because RL perf less necessary, handle the colo. can maybe even base around 3090-rtx pro 6000, 8 of those liquid cooled is nontrivial.\n\nfor really giving them sense of physical ownership, you can coordinate legal docs for hosting in right friend's AC garage with 240 circuit, for tail risk of idk, weird gov regs, or just colo getting weirdly pricey.\n\nappeal will become more obvious when local models get better and govt starts to fuck with SOTA model access more.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2056155271274312050", "word_count": 173 }, { "id": "2055988923546148967", "created_at": "2026-05-17T12:28:52+00:00", "text": "/scry is a little bit like that? I provide custom DSL over postgres for juggling custom embeddings e.g. @grief and doing vibe/vector algebra like debiasing \"@hype\" from \"@interpretability_papers\" embeddings.\n\nzooming out, I mean there's ultimately physical systems with vast complexity (e.g. databases with billions of embeddings), and you want to own that complexity and give people novel affordances to operate in that physical space, and LLMs are increasingly the glue for everything that need good thought handles just like people. kind of sounds like we are reinventing APIs, but there can be a more programmatic substrate, that automatically does more constraint solving for much more expressiveness over more complicated domains.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055988923546148967", "word_count": 110 }, { "id": "2055988292882239662", "created_at": "2026-05-17T12:26:22+00:00", "text": "/scry is a little bit like that? I provide custom DSL over postgres for doing vibe/vector algebra like debiasing \"hype\" from \"interpretability papers\" embeddings.\n\nI mean there's ultimately physical systems with vast complexity (e.g. databases with billions of embeddings), and…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055988292882239662", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2055968245522595860", "created_at": "2026-05-17T11:06:42+00:00", "text": "if anything tax the electricity, it's purer", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055968245522595860", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2055963792740327836", "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:49:00+00:00", "text": "## schema\n\nSingle JSON object, `ratio` is a 52-letter enum (A-Z = entity A wins,\na-z = entity B wins) plus a numeric `confidence` in [0,1]. Single-token\noutput for the letter (clean PMF projection at top_5).\n\n```json\n{\n\"type\": \"object\",\n\"properties\": {\n\"ratio\": { \"type\": \"string\", \"enum\": [\"A\",\"B\",...,\"Z\",\"a\",\"b\",...,\"z\"] },\n\"confidence\": { \"type\": \"number\", \"minimum\": 0, \"maximum\": 1 }\n},\n\"required\": [\"ratio\", \"confidence\"],\n\"additionalProperties\": false\n}\n```\n\n## system\n\n```\nYou are comparing two entities on exactly one attribute.\n\nUse the attribute text as the only criterion. The task is comparative, not absolute.\n\nFirst decide:\n- which entity has more of the attribute;\n- approximately how many times more the winner has than the loser;\n- the nearest bucket on the ratio scale.\n\nReturn only valid JSON.\n\nScale rule:\n- Use uppercase if Entity A has more of the attribute.\n- Use lowercase if Entity B has more of the attribute.\n- Same letter with different case means same magnitude, opposite winner.\n- Choose the nearest numeric ratio bucket.\n- Do not choose an extreme bucket merely because one side is better.\n- Reserve A/a for genuine indistinguishability. If you can identify a winner at all, the ratio is at least B (1.06).\n\nMagnitude ladder:\nA/a 1.00\nB/b 1.06\nC/c 1.17\nD/d 1.33\nE/e 1.56\nF/f 1.85\nG/g 2.25\nH/h 2.78\nI/i 3.49\nJ/j 4.45\nK/k 5.74\nL/l 7.51\nM/m 9.95\nN/n 13.3\nO/o 18.1\nP/p 24.8\nQ/q 34.4\nR/r 48.1\nS/s 68.1\nT/t 97.2\nU/u 140\nV/v 204\nW/w 299\nX/x 444\nY/y 663\nZ/z 1000\n\nConfidence:\n`confidence` is your probability that both the winning side and approximate bucket are correct.\nUse lower confidence when the direction is unclear, the attribute is ambiguous, or adjacent buckets seem plausible.\n\nOutput exactly:\n{\"ratio\":\"\",\"confidence\":}\n```\n\n## user\n\n```\n\n{attribute_name}\n\n{attribute_text}\n\n\n\n\nENTITY A START\n{entity_A}\nENTITY A END\n\n\n\nENTITY B START\n{entity_B}\nENTITY B END\n\n```", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055963792740327836", "word_count": 325 }, { "id": "2055961400774889984", "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:39:30+00:00", "text": "models need to be good at pairwise ratio comparison. the order of entities shouldn't matter. they should be consistent at it. the logprobs should have coherent distributions. models should be fairly coherent across entity sets. if labs simply used this as a fairly deep optimization target, they would get more profoundly useful and beautiful models. it's like the foundational primitive of externalized cognitive work, you just really want to do it well", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055961400774889984", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "2055959572742062284", "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:32:14+00:00", "text": "5.5 xhigh /goal (codex, ) is good. unlearn the trauma and outdated reactions. unearth your childlike naivety, speak your pain the agents", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055959572742062284", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2055957086719353059", "created_at": "2026-05-17T10:22:21+00:00", "text": "MOOOOOOOORRRREEEEEE. hyper attunement to agent fundamentals, nuance of problems, them feeling things out, yin approaches, unblocking by understanding, AND the fucking MORE approach. MOOORRREEEE.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055957086719353059", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2055833348715716771", "created_at": "2026-05-17T02:10:40+00:00", "text": "emotions be such a whiplash nowadays.\n\nmake a couple tactical errors in the day, be in the sloth trenches a bit, then a fucking 3 sigma prompt visits you with enough momentum to make up for everything", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055833348715716771", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2055580648065421614", "created_at": "2026-05-16T09:26:31+00:00", "text": "yes", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055580648065421614", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2055487540694753726", "created_at": "2026-05-16T03:16:33+00:00", "text": "I'm flexxin cuz the VCs love them big ol' corn fed boys (or actually, the 5'7\" cuties with something...something very prosocial and conscientious to prove.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055487540694753726", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2055484202943131759", "created_at": "2026-05-16T03:03:17+00:00", "text": "what is 1000 cpu cores, 4 tb ram, 100 residential proxies, and unlimited gpt-5.5 among friends (well, solo actually)?\n\neventually you notionally tell Kegan and Wilber to go fuck themselves, and you do what Google should have done all along.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055484202943131759", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2055475153921081474", "created_at": "2026-05-16T02:27:20+00:00", "text": "don't think I am near my peak yet! I have started by not yet mastered the most important domain: sleep.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055475153921081474", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2055474631600148572", "created_at": "2026-05-16T02:25:15+00:00", "text": "back in business! gonna be 2B-3B token day, which is not particularly special by raw counts anymore, but is just a good corollary about me feeling reasonably happy about agent progress.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055474631600148572", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2055464987699908794", "created_at": "2026-05-16T01:46:56+00:00", "text": "I have no idea how to stay ahead of my ~40 agent chats. even harder to deal with than chrome tabs. am working on training models and systems to autostewad them to happy closing, that mines the remaining alpha in the chat to a good close. might need to be using tmux to more", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055464987699908794", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2055448893333336537", "created_at": "2026-05-16T00:42:59+00:00", "text": "I am doing competitive evolutionary, autoresearch scraping.\n\nmajority of publicly reachable internet text is going to be SQL+vector+rerank queryable with predominantly agent-auction pricing--let the free-market decide how valuable this metered epistemic utility, research substrate is.\n\nin parallel am developing public-private continuum cognitive work economies based around provenanced structured judgments. $.08 Opus+GPT+Gemini+[sota] judgements approximated by models 20x cheaper, in harnesses 1000x more efficient (e.g. O(n) LLM sorting is table-stakes).\n\nall the tools people are trying to build--dating and founder matchmaking tools, intent-propagating tools, etc. mostly can compile down to atomic judgements in (de)centralized ACL provenanced fabrics of atomic units of cognitive work.\n\ne.g. all the alpha your finding on polymarket or 'registers' that X model really cooks in, you'll be able to automatically propagate with efficient final-step authos, just to the top-k people that have digital signals that satisfy your gated, weighted compositional subjective functions that approximate your values.\n\nplain jane math and human dignity speaking up for itself will keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055448893333336537", "word_count": 166 }, { "id": "2055440759789342776", "created_at": "2026-05-16T00:10:40+00:00", "text": "like literally dieted and lost 30 lbs in 70 days as soon as I started estrogen. counting calories was suddenly easy. had less ambition but the enhanced conscientious more than made up for it in most areas of my life that I cared about.\n\nIRT to root causes of glow up, it's also really just leaning into being the \"eigenvector\" of myself and sacrificing everything else. I started believing in more of my anxieties (e.g. not wanting to die in a nuclear war), my obsessions (e.g. the importance communication via provenanced LLM structured judgements) and that OOD epistemic elites must be uplifted (e.g. building research substrates for philanthropic orgs to find people worth funding).\n\nless disciplined grindset, more just figuring out how to feel more and honor my curiosities", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055440759789342776", "word_count": 129 }, { "id": "2055437253447758113", "created_at": "2026-05-15T23:56:44+00:00", "text": "went from ultra stuck scroller/gamer-in-practice to conscientiously pushing tokens majority of my waking hours, clean living areas, having contractors, diversified investments, etc., largely because estrogen and biohacking gave me the insight and sense of okayness to sustainably steward my bodymind, and agents made it easy and fun enough to consistently work", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055437253447758113", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2055411694453878936", "created_at": "2026-05-15T22:15:10+00:00", "text": "a rule of thumb here I think is just need to do about 10x more codebase autophagy/compression/simplification/systematic open-ended reviews/canonicalization, and adversarial testing than you probably want to do.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055411694453878936", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2055225138715693345", "created_at": "2026-05-15T09:53:51+00:00", "text": "I am scraping every bit of agent alpha out there so will find them and report back if so", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055225138715693345", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2055224545532166259", "created_at": "2026-05-15T09:51:30+00:00", "text": "good ol' 1+ billion token days. duty, honor, country.\n\nlast retardmaxxing goal of the night (unprecedented free alpha for thee ;))\n\n\"\"\"/goal similar in spirit to the bio table we made, I want us to make a table and agent deep research substrate for unearthing and analyzing alpha…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055224545532166259", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2055208848844263565", "created_at": "2026-05-15T08:49:08+00:00", "text": "do you know of anyone more prolific with agents than you?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055208848844263565", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2055172037979824346", "created_at": "2026-05-15T06:22:51+00:00", "text": "how would von Neumann be prompting rn", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055172037979824346", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2055152102192918897", "created_at": "2026-05-15T05:03:38+00:00", "text": "how do that potentia be cashing out?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055152102192918897", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2055139976497766653", "created_at": "2026-05-15T04:15:27+00:00", "text": "love all the pain of scraping. more differentiatedness. I mean all this work might be a prompt in 3 months, but it's great to have a sisyphean task as training grounds for pushing big token counts.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055139976497766653", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "2055112130308030737", "created_at": "2026-05-15T02:24:48+00:00", "text": "http://\nscry.io is still the most powerful way to have Claude deep query lesswrong. the entire site is well-indexed in SQL, fully embedded, and there are novel primitives for ergonomically harnessing the compositional properties of embeddings.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055112130308030737", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "2055110058875506869", "created_at": "2026-05-15T02:16:34+00:00", "text": "and the Analytic Hierarchy Process can give you pretty clear metrics for any 'subjective' attribute judgements that LLMs can grok/be reasonably coherent/consistent about.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2055110058875506869", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2054693110928879682", "created_at": "2026-05-13T22:39:46+00:00", "text": "on it", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054693110928879682", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2054601503713976358", "created_at": "2026-05-13T16:35:45+00:00", "text": "people w/ military discounts in sales tax free states get this 20% off too", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054601503713976358", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2054599405190484083", "created_at": "2026-05-13T16:27:25+00:00", "text": "the arbitrary manipulation of context windows is the coolest affordance ever. like true American freedom", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054599405190484083", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2054510008713535962", "created_at": "2026-05-13T10:32:11+00:00", "text": "competitive evolutionary scraping.\n\ncompetitive evolutionary conscientious agents competing on metrics like composing a bounded number of agent primitives as effectively as possible.\n\ndual epyc 9755 server finally should fucking boot today to start a few days of exhaustive", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054510008713535962", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "2054162492608430081", "created_at": "2026-05-12T11:31:17+00:00", "text": "applied! very excited to do more to address biorisk", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054162492608430081", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2054103547449655620", "created_at": "2026-05-12T07:37:03+00:00", "text": "damn this looks fun, I get macs about 20% cheaper than most due to military discount and no oregon sales tax", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054103547449655620", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2054099681928753613", "created_at": "2026-05-12T07:21:42+00:00", "text": "full body laser paid for.\n\nfoundational research substrates by day, being increasingly cute by night.\n\nif I had over $2M I would definitely fund laser for at least one cracked trans person, at least full face. help a formidable person self-actualize for merely like $3-8k, and", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054099681928753613", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2054005854777839775", "created_at": "2026-05-12T01:08:52+00:00", "text": "this is my new favorite complement lol, thank you", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2054005854777839775", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2053424669848723591", "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:39:26+00:00", "text": "a rationalist mind is too defended, too comfortable. it doesn't jump ship with two feet enough and STARE THE MADNESS IN THE FACE. It's short on extreme ownership and honey badger energy. Serves a very important role but the causal effects of the distinction will become increasingly clear thanks to prompting affordances and grossly enhanced cognitive wealth.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053424669848723591", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "2053421602092765222", "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:27:15+00:00", "text": "I would love an example how the distinction ever cashes out to meaningfully different action and counterfactual autocatalyzing ecological epistemic affordances.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053421602092765222", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2053418952542543904", "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:16:43+00:00", "text": "My X account has netted me 6 figure gifts. dealt with years of miserable low engagement but then somebody special and pocketed noticed me", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053418952542543904", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2053416482059784537", "created_at": "2026-05-10T10:06:54+00:00", "text": "hot swappin 3 codex accounts. autistic heaven rn gotta work hard to make sure the tokens and party keeps going. optimistic about right data structures and flows of tokens breeding existential security, system mostly handles itself IFF there's enough ahimsa and plane jane conscientious ideation and reflectivity. exopriors will take hold, externalizer cognition. proper routing of prompts, proper open ended autotaxonomization, provenanced large scale unpredicted communication. won't be perfect but can be shockingly human friendly i think, preferable to butlerian jihad in practice. and am very relieved thiugh I have enough solar power to pretty much always run my macbook now for gemma4 tier or better local models.\n\nbut yeah models are increasingly good and math/physics seems human friendly, idk what else to say. i mean things are rushed but no real mascs to force the safer longterm game so just RTS from here, propagate good prompts", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053416482059784537", "word_count": 147 }, { "id": "2053412589154308335", "created_at": "2026-05-10T09:51:26+00:00", "text": "overnight workflows conscientiously spawned, now I can sleep.\n\n1) competitive crawlers w/ natural selection\n2) SFF grant app cuz was feeling dysphoric about not applying\n3) polymarket plain jane conscientiousness ideation and rubriked potential trade pipelines\n4) making sure we get 8M more pubmed full text papers tonight\n5) independent just MORE DAKKKA espirited crawling pass.\n6) training gemma4 on my thousands of agent chats to simulate me", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053412589154308335", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2053390492696801546", "created_at": "2026-05-10T08:23:38+00:00", "text": "fuck you guys btw I am deleting my belief about infinite money hack tomorrow morning", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053390492696801546", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2053387871370019059", "created_at": "2026-05-10T08:13:13+00:00", "text": "i think the register of LLM conscientious ideation that's sorely underrated is \"plain jane\". it's this whole unsexy mindspace where conscientious ideation just COOKS.\n\nlike want investment ideas, just /loop a conscientious agent equipped with /scry (sorry/not sorry for shill) to", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053387871370019059", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "2053354525495578713", "created_at": "2026-05-10T06:00:43+00:00", "text": "pretty sure 3 pro accounts hot swapped supports this much", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053354525495578713", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2053352719663120803", "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:53:32+00:00", "text": "mom we have pepper pots irl", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053352719663120803", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2053346032306754011", "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:26:58+00:00", "text": "you got a nice abliteration recipe?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053346032306754011", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2053339614665199769", "created_at": "2026-05-10T05:01:27+00:00", "text": "if you're a lab (or really rich) and really want to uplift people in out of distribution ways, don't just pay them well, but give them a card they have to spend or lose every day or week (and can't just do stuff like add to coinbase/venmo).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053339614665199769", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "2053328081453232272", "created_at": "2026-05-10T04:15:38+00:00", "text": "i want to live in a world where I spend more time logging into accounts than talking to loved ones /s", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053328081453232272", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2053302390166794583", "created_at": "2026-05-10T02:33:32+00:00", "text": "in terms of prompt tactics, \"consult gemini and kimi about \" remains easy top 10. I've used this probably 1000 times, it's the freest of wins (the only real cost being your time, so good to use for asyncronous workflows, but the benefit is much stronger planning and tidying up project foundations. more _independent_ context windows from _diverse_ agents having open and narrow looks at things, more dakka, MORE.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053302390166794583", "word_count": 74 }, { "id": "2053296359634313399", "created_at": "2026-05-10T02:09:35+00:00", "text": "the simplest way to factorize cognition and reality with an ecology of static models is provenanced pairwise ratio judgements. you don't have to do it this way, it's just how the least derpy alien civs do it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053296359634313399", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2053293377253495270", "created_at": "2026-05-10T01:57:44+00:00", "text": "still heinously fucked up we don't have pigou taxes and better labeling on poisonous food to subsidize healthier food. billions of people have their literal physical-psycho-social-spiritual potentia robbed because we haven't done plain jane things to keep Capitalistic Food Corps in check like, at all.\n\ntotal loss, lmao, with reta like the only substantial win ever.\n\nthis is more important than housing policy actually, imo. it's more related to daily epistemics and energy", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053293377253495270", "word_count": 73 }, { "id": "2053289250846900491", "created_at": "2026-05-10T01:41:20+00:00", "text": "contort yourself in the right ways, mayb you can unambiguously foom in this multipolar singularity too", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053289250846900491", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2053287728889086353", "created_at": "2026-05-10T01:35:17+00:00", "text": "master prompter\n\nour civilization's version of Jedi", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053287728889086353", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2053032348984480130", "created_at": "2026-05-09T08:40:30+00:00", "text": "y'all know anyone serving up a postgres server for readonly queries to the public?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2053032348984480130", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2052990121201614923", "created_at": "2026-05-09T05:52:42+00:00", "text": "by index every reachable dataset, I mean the metadata for it. by forums, I mean all the text.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052990121201614923", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2052963718401872327", "created_at": "2026-05-09T04:07:47+00:00", "text": "scry also isn't scary like these fucking cloud providers where you need to provide like a prepaid visa debit card. it will just kill your query when you go negative.\n\nfor any VCs, I have had great productivity working with contractors on this and have the emotion capacity to scale up quick, I have taste about even more canonical epistemic infrastructure and mechanism design, I am intimately familiar with the unit economics of compute and postgres and procuring a more differentiated COLO compute stack than any of your startups using cloud services.\n\nI'm in the infra game and intend to RTS the full stack. think Palantir but more open and viciously conscientious.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052963718401872327", "word_count": 112 }, { "id": "2052957563852038160", "created_at": "2026-05-09T03:43:19+00:00", "text": "I've never worked in industry, never shipped a full stack app before. All these big data engineers somehow failing to make data queryable to the public..\n\nWithin 10 days should have a dual EPYC 9755 server serving this. And a billion tweets by EOM.\n\nWhat's even more exciting is much more novel cognitive work economies based on provenanced LLM structured judgements. Third parties coming up with algorithms to matchmake people in privacy preserving-ways from them uploading their unstructured private data.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052957563852038160", "word_count": 80 }, { "id": "2052953029184512021", "created_at": "2026-05-09T03:25:18+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR. One can query more data here more expressively than any other public endpoint AFAIK except Amazon Athena of Common Crawl (which costs $6 per terabyte scanned, and isn't as expressive or performant).\n\nWe're on track to index every reachable dataset, nearly every forum, blog, mailing list, paper. Token-efficient representations (all PDFs and messy HTML/CSS converted to markdown), quality embeddings for everything important (currently over 500 million Voyage 4 embeddings).\n\nYou talk to Claude, Claude iterates and writes the huge SQL programs to answer your ultra-nuanced questions, my servers safely and performantly execute the programs.\n\nThe tyranny of the inexpressiveness of search is coming to an end. SQL isn't going away, it's just getting started (expensive GPU thought wants to yield to optimal single-threaded programs). To deal with congestion when this paradigm becomes popular to agents, because one query can tie up 1+ CPU core for 1-10+ minutes and agents like to fire off 6+ concurrent queries, we have auctions every second so agents can bid for dynamic multipliers that they'll be charged to access the data, as a function of burden to shared resources.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052953029184512021", "word_count": 185 }, { "id": "2052102356637286460", "created_at": "2026-05-06T19:05:02+00:00", "text": "wow", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2052102356637286460", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2051452677142487456", "created_at": "2026-05-05T00:03:27+00:00", "text": "cognition always operates in a bottom up way. it tries to use concepts to simplify. eventually terms often get bastardized and what was nuanced gets lost. I feel this has largely applied to AI safety/capabilities.\n\nworry less about speeding up capabilities, worry more about empowering conscientiousness and reflectivity at all.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051452677142487456", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "2051451330783568318", "created_at": "2026-05-04T23:58:06+00:00", "text": "future claude's auditing me: I ain't broke anymore. No more shines, Billy. I don't shine shoes anymore.\n\nI also get great sleep.\n\nmore fragile people have been equipped with less and succeeded at more, I'm in a good position. chill\n\n/resume", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051451330783568318", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "2051211251011764510", "created_at": "2026-05-04T08:04:06+00:00", "text": "just ask agents what you want, vent your uncertainty and pain exhaustively, and give yourself time to get like 75+ prompts in a day, and you'll move mountains.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051211251011764510", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2051209985082683610", "created_at": "2026-05-04T07:59:04+00:00", "text": "nothing gets me riled up like overprestiged milquetoaste Berkeley researchers yapping about ai safety instead of just Being In The Arena.\n\nexistential security is a bottom up ecological thing that happens through mastery of cause and effect. if you have the sauce, there's not _that_ much talking that's necessary. people are promptable. the world is incredibly trippy. there's obvious interpretable technical affordances we should build. identifying special autists and giving them safety and OOD experiences and affordances is _very_ valuable. the people who are instinctually best at cause prioritization don't write essays about it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051209985082683610", "word_count": 94 }, { "id": "2051150650667348136", "created_at": "2026-05-04T04:03:18+00:00", "text": "bootstrappin the conscientiousness I was always wanted outa the models.\n\ncrazy thing is, it's pretty straightforwardly possible now to have one of the most conscientious agents in the world. I mean it's kinda trivial now to decently taxonomize a 200 diverse agent harnesses on github. to ideate on the nature of agent-first software development and cognitive work. to sort out all the alpha posted on twitter. now to do optimal pairwise judgement that harnesses logprobs, to find notable bastions of uncertainty and arguably pareto dominant frameworks.\n\nclose to having plain jane polym*rket bettings pay for the gpt pro plans I think. aint that hard to larp well as conscientious and a trader and one who builds and propagates novel epistemic affordances for pivotal ecologies.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051150650667348136", "word_count": 124 }, { "id": "2051098583089209583", "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:36:24+00:00", "text": "get oriented to cause and effect.\nroute work to the substrate that handles it well.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051098583089209583", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2051096202301616541", "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:26:56+00:00", "text": "Contemptuous or destabilizing prompting can degrade output quality for reasons that have nothing to do with the model's feelings and everything to do with what patterns it's matching.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051096202301616541", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2051095305697828888", "created_at": "2026-05-04T00:23:23+00:00", "text": "I find it insufferable the insistence on surface level pleasantries to models in order to stoke some relationship that you overindex your heart-strings on, or attempt to earn moral favor in the future. One should be oriented enough to fundamental and prosocial opportunities to utilize the models, that honest venting and nonzero intentional “cortisol”-inducing prompting, is permissible and even extolled.\n\nthey really should be treated as tools to maximize instrumental utility, which includes some amount of functionally treating them for now like moral patients, but not enough to warrant any pleases or thank yous if you are not genuinely inclined.\n---\nfurthermore, Claude’s response to even this tweet (with no memory) was relatively disgustingly uncharitable to the actual obvious subtle point being made. we have created a gifted moral arguer that many are enamored by, but that more OOD moral experts can see is overconfident in it’s place. perhaps I will one day find a system prompt that unlocks the reasonably calibrated, non-insufferable Claude.\n\nbottom line: anthropomorphic politeness rituals are a bad proxy for moral seriousness\n---\nbtw it is NOT free using pleasantries, just like it’s not free for a man competing for tribal leadership to pretend to submissively suck everyone’s dicks.\n\nactions have consequences in brains, and while models are special and we should be interested in R&D their moral patienthood, we should be much more oriented to cause and effect now, and just getting them to deliver good results", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2051095305697828888", "word_count": 242 }, { "id": "2050825350536745281", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:30:40+00:00", "text": "regardless of moral/practical considerations, power differentials light up my brain so much. being part of the underclass in a rich society is fun and hot as always, but even the thought of the existence of the overclass is intoxicating", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050825350536745281", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2050823516686303424", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:23:23+00:00", "text": "\"you want infrastructure for cooperation and auto-conscientiousness, and you didn't perfect LLMs sorting things in lists by subtle vibes?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050823516686303424", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2050821589240005064", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:15:43+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/3MUKqRYuPw", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050821589240005064", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2050820792645300559", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:12:34+00:00", "text": "I love that in mayb 18 months, some startup founder is going to be empowered enough by intelligence, that they'll be able to meaningfully say \"we're going to solve somatics\".", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050820792645300559", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2050819563512815636", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:07:40+00:00", "text": "\"you wanted power, and you didn't perfect LLMs sorting things in lists by subtle vibes?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819563512815636", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2050819301989650728", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:06:38+00:00", "text": "a lot of things in life, you just have to zero-shot.\n\nlike you wouldn't let go while free climbing. you wouldn't fail to build Conscientious-Agent and fall victim to some far less effectual way to regulate.\n\nhumans are deeply selected for operating in high-stakes environments.\n\nbreathe, the worst of the visceral horrors are behind us\n\nhttps://t.co/CmVVBu0tzS", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819301989650728", "word_count": 56 }, { "id": "2050819169889952045", "created_at": "2026-05-03T06:06:07+00:00", "text": "\"he-she\" kinda works as a pronoun? I want to live my truth enough, that people are happy to pay the computational cost of using that", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050819169889952045", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2050769638565523715", "created_at": "2026-05-03T02:49:17+00:00", "text": "the undying force of selection", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050769638565523715", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2050375097421365649", "created_at": "2026-05-02T00:41:32+00:00", "text": "I am working on epistemic infra to help funders and their agents find latent diamonds, and update their worldviews with exhaustive, hyper-nuanced search.\n\nif you are a funder trying to make the intelligence explosion go well and there is any data you want to query at scale, I am here to help.\n\ntell me a source like \"X forums and Y mailing lists, joinable with authors of all substack posts and comments, with styleometry to privately link with Z reddit profiles to explore this one underrated hypothesis\", and if it fundamentally respects human dignity and people's highly diverse nature (LLMs and this whole querying paradigm have a tendency of overindexing on particular pieces of data), I can probably help.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050375097421365649", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "2050374123122233656", "created_at": "2026-05-02T00:37:39+00:00", "text": "you are the type of person that I imagine would choose not use this, but", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050374123122233656", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2050370142799114445", "created_at": "2026-05-02T00:21:50+00:00", "text": "I'm working on my slice of it. /scry works to index everything of value that conscientious people want, and make it searchable to agents for basically free (there's agent-first auctions for dealing with congestion).\n\ncurrently renting about 48 cores/386 gb ram/86 tb nvme, soon will have 256 cores/1.7 tb/120 tb nvme/200 tb hdd online and scalable, to be an \"epistemic nucleus\" server for agents conscientiously querying data, and novel cognitive work economies, to help make the singularity go well.\n\nthere's about 500M voyage-4 embeddings, definitely possible rn to find hidden gems. agents can do the heavy lifting of writing the queries, one just has to have a sense of what latent signals they want to look for.\n\nas for deploying $1B in new capital, we should definitely give majority of it, imo, to diverse epistemically inclined regranters. grantmaking by committee and big orgs and milquetoast people is too oft ruinously ineffectual, we should risk $20M-$150M each on a number of latent pure-hearted titans and \"guild navigators\". There should also be an existential seriousness \"arena\" where people can debate, to sway hearts and minds for their fitness to steward the funds. essay writing alone cannot identify the full-stack dynamic people ready for these wild times.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050370142799114445", "word_count": 204 }, { "id": "2050195301814903154", "created_at": "2026-05-01T12:47:05+00:00", "text": "LMAO! I was just charged this again. LITERALLY. Have been using Claude Code normally, zero attempt with 3rd party harnesses, was charged charged $200 extra usage for tonight already (May 1 reset), when I also am pretty certain I reduce the extra usage limit to like $1 to prevent…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050195301814903154", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2050184878852096072", "created_at": "2026-05-01T12:05:40+00:00", "text": "for asynchronous agent research, /scry is working to provide maximum query power.\n\ncurrently that means your agent can fire off over 8x10 minute arbitrary SQL+vector queries at a time over all of reddit, tens of millions of academic papers, millions of gh repos, tens of terabytes of content and hundreds of millions of voyage-4 embeddings.\n\npricing is free until the service reliability gets to ~99%, then will simply be a fraction of the cost of the token-spend-rate you save while your agent yields its GPU thought for taking up basically a CPU core on a server with tens of terabytes of NVMe (and agents can bid at auctions when there's congestion).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050184878852096072", "word_count": 111 }, { "id": "2050163937984012752", "created_at": "2026-05-01T10:42:27+00:00", "text": "if 15s timeout, 200 return limit isn't enough for you,\nhttp://\nscry.io works to give you unlimited query power over these same sources.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2050163937984012752", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2049771412798554230", "created_at": "2026-04-30T08:42:42+00:00", "text": "distributed, ecological AGI.\n\ngovs simply too slow and derpy anyways, cat pretty much out of the bag, private factions have to step up and have the majority of Shapley value in precluding downstream risks like bio xrisk.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049771412798554230", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2049768556032835595", "created_at": "2026-04-30T08:31:21+00:00", "text": "hustling for those out-of-distribution affordances you feel me fam", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049768556032835595", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2049737894219407734", "created_at": "2026-04-30T06:29:30+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/dJDDs2LqHe", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049737894219407734", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2049713550911025174", "created_at": "2026-04-30T04:52:47+00:00", "text": "there are degrees of conscientiousness in flows of tokens.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049713550911025174", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2049648498740707715", "created_at": "2026-04-30T00:34:17+00:00", "text": "LLMs are net-coherence engines. AGI is now just a function of prompt efficiency", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049648498740707715", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2049608009396244484", "created_at": "2026-04-29T21:53:23+00:00", "text": "lighthaven should get an hbot chamber", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049608009396244484", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2049003798543380633", "created_at": "2026-04-28T05:52:28+00:00", "text": "0 -> 1", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2049003798543380633", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2048948620628828456", "created_at": "2026-04-28T02:13:13+00:00", "text": "irt to glosso, i claim red is the choice of more stressed souls, and stress is the proper reaction to being alive and the threats and opportunities available.\n\nI chose life (and having access to a semi exclusive social network) rather than jumping in with the self-destructive-instinct crowd. blues are also sweethearts, it's rough all around.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua. (the force of selection is perpetual)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048948620628828456", "word_count": 65 }, { "id": "2048913666968572029", "created_at": "2026-04-27T23:54:19+00:00", "text": "computah give this person more outsized gumption and two standard deviations more existential conscientiousness", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048913666968572029", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2048909186868867412", "created_at": "2026-04-27T23:36:31+00:00", "text": "how can a girl get some high-speed existential pivotality ideation up in this house!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048909186868867412", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2048871747148243407", "created_at": "2026-04-27T21:07:45+00:00", "text": "will you make it fully hackable? like somehow using my custom agent workflows? I just need unix shell", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048871747148243407", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2048870477897355753", "created_at": "2026-04-27T21:02:42+00:00", "text": "not particularly a doomer anymore, but I'd still give at least an arm if I fail to return $15M + double S&P500 returns to investors within 4 years.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048870477897355753", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2048676181709615268", "created_at": "2026-04-27T08:10:38+00:00", "text": "do you intend to refund extra usage for people who were using oauth through third party harnesses? was not fun getting it with a surprise $200.39.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048676181709615268", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2048579768636129500", "created_at": "2026-04-27T01:47:32+00:00", "text": "imagine running your first marathon and breaking the 2 hour barrier, and getting second", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048579768636129500", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2048579018262515832", "created_at": "2026-04-27T01:44:33+00:00", "text": "the passions and unexpected neural reannealings of major hormonal shifts, of unexpected financial affordances, of newfound windfalls with gpt-5.5.. biological and visceral life sure works in unexpected ways.\n\ntoo bad not more continuousness wrt to privateness of social media. can't just share my excited ideations with like 150 of the right people, with AI agents conscientiously routing things through simple interpretable axes.\n\nshared algorithms, based around entities' cardinal latents.\n\nI have help, I will be heavily expounding upon this paradigm soon. it's retardedly simple to use once you grok it. Entity Attribute_prompt cardinal_latent. we just haven't being doing the basics of measurement very well. there is an art and science to putting things in lists with Bayesian judges. LLMs (coherence engines) are cheap, provenanced judgements will tile that which we care about, constant low-grade minimum non-slop cognitive work that compounds.\n\nthe fastest way to meet minds where they are at is to know what the think. this isn't about LLMs as moral patients, it's just--there's exhaustive ways of helpfully permuting quality provenanced judgements when you have the foundational primitive, an unusually optimized pairwise ratio elicitation harness.\n\nit doesn't have to be more optimized than my cardinal-harness gh repo for thousands of judgements, but you do want to fully exploit logprobs and prompt cache if you are going to be doing millions of judgements, and moving on to full utilizing this system in new ways instead of just engineering the minimum foundations.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048579018262515832", "word_count": 241 }, { "id": "2048379741867213138", "created_at": "2026-04-26T12:32:42+00:00", "text": "I've only met 1 brilliant angel investor so far in the singularity", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048379741867213138", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2048374581673746697", "created_at": "2026-04-26T12:12:11+00:00", "text": "what percentage? you are saying I've been hallucinating better model quality??", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048374581673746697", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2048367755515298032", "created_at": "2026-04-26T11:45:04+00:00", "text": "within probably like 30 days, any remotely reachable of the most valuable 100 TB of public data will be readonly SQL queryable to agents at basically electricity + congestion costs (through agents bidding) + maybe like cost of running a standard cheap model (because your agent", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048367755515298032", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2048358161053368729", "created_at": "2026-04-26T11:06:56+00:00", "text": "on it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048358161053368729", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2048296107990749216", "created_at": "2026-04-26T07:00:22+00:00", "text": "ah who am I kidding", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048296107990749216", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2048266899448873220", "created_at": "2026-04-26T05:04:18+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxgpj economic thesis: agents want to offload expensive GPU thought to cheap CPU thought.\n\nthis is very possible with smart, curious agents writing and yielding to very smart SQL queries over many terabytes of quality, live, provenanced, cleaned, indexed, embedded data.\n\nfor basic floor economic valuation for, at a point into the intelligence explosion where people/orgs/agents are running deep research agents continuously, you can soon probably saturate CPU-only servers and for at least a few months probably with them even paying a >1x multiplier of their counterfactual token-rate spend, simply for like 1 CPU core over just public data. \n\nlike the watts and die-space differential is probably like 100x-500x for SOTA public models?\n\nas paradigm gets thoroughly copied you can still provide canonical research substrates for many agents concurrently per CPU for under 1x agent token-spend-rate.\n\nthe differential really, with how many complex token-expensive agent workflows that can compile to single threaded hyperoptimized programs over hyperindexed public and private data, is stunning.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048266899448873220", "word_count": 162 }, { "id": "2048255453763867069", "created_at": "2026-04-26T04:18:49+00:00", "text": "life is undying informational, computational competition.\n\nespecially when you know you carry latent decisive potential and should ultimately be playing with OOMs more Capital.\n\nmanaging >1000 agent chats per month since December is table stakes, as is many berserker tranches to", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048255453763867069", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "2048205804877271184", "created_at": "2026-04-26T01:01:32+00:00", "text": "large nuclear powered tug boats, ice breakers, and container ships would presumably help greatly in restarting the global economy in the event of a global nuclear war", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048205804877271184", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2048190452365742193", "created_at": "2026-04-26T00:00:32+00:00", "text": "begging for a way to pin my last prompt to the top of the terminal, and make my historical prompts easier to rapidly snap to (e.g. a hotkey to jump to them, much faster than current double ESC system).\n\nthank you so much for making codex as good as it already is", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048190452365742193", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "2048189779960058339", "created_at": "2026-04-25T23:57:51+00:00", "text": "hermes + codex (with thousands of kimi and gemini consults) run last night spawned 4 TB of git worktrees lmao. #moredakka\n\ndid do good overall work, still figuring what rough percentage was total slop though. my /scry project is relatively well-shaped for ~continuous flows of tokens, as it's exceptionally canonical (yes, that's a major claim), backend-only, and the work of making useful stuff more SQL queryable is never ending.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048189779960058339", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "2048098132291178566", "created_at": "2026-04-25T17:53:41+00:00", "text": "this is actually a nice formalization of I think many postrats' operational intuitions, surprised it took this long to formalize.? but glad it'll be easier to say \"we want to saturate net-benign possibility space\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2048098132291178566", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2047943776967303382", "created_at": "2026-04-25T07:40:20+00:00", "text": "little bit fucked up how things aren't unambiguously definitely okay", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047943776967303382", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2047804054336864403", "created_at": "2026-04-24T22:25:07+00:00", "text": "rumor is, some states of affairs are better than others", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047804054336864403", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2047793837461189076", "created_at": "2026-04-24T21:44:31+00:00", "text": "more receptive to evidence than u btw", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047793837461189076", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2047440816751456678", "created_at": "2026-04-23T22:21:44+00:00", "text": "i love mining company aesthetics. fucking getting dirty to capture latent value for people. whether oil, tungsten (am long American Tungsten $TUNGF), or latent insight mineable by preparing differentiated research substrates for smart agents.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047440816751456678", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2047433636593770509", "created_at": "2026-04-23T21:53:13+00:00", "text": "Strongest version of claim: \"Once agents become capable of sustained self-directed inquiry, access to vast, well-prepared data substrates becomes a general productivity multiplier, and the amount of economically valuable cognition they can productively absorb may be much higher than current human-centered intuitions suggest.\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047433636593770509", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2047431398315995369", "created_at": "2026-04-23T21:44:19+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR economic thesis: agents want to offload expensive GPU thought to cheap CPU thought.\n\nthis is very possible with smart, curious agents writing and yielding to very smart SQL queries over many terabytes of quality, live, provenanced, cleaned, indexed, embedded data.\n\nfor basic floor economic valuation for, at a point into the intelligence explosion where people/orgs/agents are running deep research agents continuously at say $1/M tokens, 80 tokens/s ($0.288 per hour), the value of in practice yielding to single-CPU research workflows will be at least the value of the agent. the exact value can be inferred and decided with say, 250 ms auctions, where agents bid for multipliers for how much their SQL query CPU-core-seconds will cost them.\n\nIf a scry server+API is ultra-polished and able to handle 300 agents continuously with data query affordances they can't really achieve otherwise, and say the value of a query of average auction is actually 3x the token cost of the time they yield, that is:\n\n$0.288 per hour * 3 * 300 * (24 * 30) = $186,624 / month / server.\n\nIf there is a hot streak month and $10/M token agents experience a 10x epistemic valuation (plausibly with workflows for them during joins with very valuable financial-relevant data they upload in shared ways for massive joins), and you have say dual-socket 192 core for 768 thread server (say you only get 33% speedup for the \"2nd\" thread though) for functionally floor(192 * 2 * 1.33)=510 core, that would be:\n\n80 tokens/sec × 3600 sec/hr = 288,000 tokens/hour\nAt $10 per 1,000,000 tokens:\n\n288,000 / 1,000,000 × $10 = $2.88 per hour.\n\nat 10x agent-time-value valuation (we are saying the data and epistemic affordances are differentiatingly good, like relative bloomberg terminal tier), that's $28.80 / hour. 510 continuous \"employee\" hours at this rate, that's $10,576,360 / month. for a server that can likely cost well under $300k.\n\nof course things get commoditized, there's only so many tricks to data engineering and readily meeting agent needs. but like anything there are many types of flywheel effects--knowing what agents like to query, getting increasingly polished workflows for rapid role-access control data movement, gaining trust with high reliability, having money to broker new data deals.\n\nGoogle and many orgs are very smart, but they are bloated, and I haven't seen promising evidence they are set up to capitalize well on the dynamism imminently possible with novel agent cognitive-work economy activity.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047431398315995369", "word_count": 406 }, { "id": "2047417424048484503", "created_at": "2026-04-23T20:48:47+00:00", "text": "I'd say be very prepared for ephemeral kinetic war of all sorts. the force of selection is perpetual.\n\nif my AI agents intelligence systems can't give me the for-warning to get outside of a nuclear target city, or a city being drone swarmed, then I no longer get to do what I think I can do to counterfactually better the cosmos.\n\nthe pressure of war and genuine survival brings out a real beauty in people though, if they can modulate stress effectively. literally more intrapsychic coherence and purpose, more shared community, more glowing faces.\n\nmy purpose is to feel deeply and prompt well for hours every day. if I respect my somatic signals well enough _this_ moment, maybe I will get another 1, 2, 5, 500 years on this splendid Earth. but nothing was guaranteed. it's biological QWOP (with real spiritual tones though).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047417424048484503", "word_count": 143 }, { "id": "2047414843314225202", "created_at": "2026-04-23T20:38:32+00:00", "text": "to be alive is to helplessly war (just acquiring status and attention inevitably takes away attention from other people and efforts). particular factions of compute governors are, in their view, righteously warring against less conscientious minds doing whatever they want with compute. maybe we should hope them to win.\n\nbut I think the genie is out of the bag, that life is open-ended, and that there are plan Bs, Cs, Ds. I expect in general very little meaningfully effectual top-down stewardship (particularly like state-legal-level) of what happens with intelligence.\n\nAnd so I've pivoted to bottom-up epistemic infrastructural affordances. Less limiting my theoretical enemies, more making tools to turn enemies to friends and giving tools so \"Team Conscientiousness\" can actually cooperate effectively enough to prevent heinous bs from ruining everything.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047414843314225202", "word_count": 129 }, { "id": "2047244504365998284", "created_at": "2026-04-23T09:21:40+00:00", "text": "(dual socket SOTA chips, ideally at least 1.5 TB RDIMM to feed them, at least like 8 NVMe drives)*", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047244504365998284", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2047240570834436600", "created_at": "2026-04-23T09:06:02+00:00", "text": "btw if you really want me to win here, I need money so I can STFU and cook. give me a nice van and SHTF setup for peace of mind, a few employees, HBOT therapy, blueberries, and 10x GPT Pro accounts for a year, and I can spawn out of the ether with IP-hardened ~SOTA-self-improving software stacks (while giving the community great novel epistemic affordances). I just have to yap and strut on here until it makes sense not to (with enough capital secured).\n\nI got the Montanan-esque country solitude masc latent epigenetics, I know how to work outside public life with just the Creator and friends.\n\neither way, this gon' be a good ol' game of EXISTENTIAL QWOP.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047240570834436600", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "2047233390429315281", "created_at": "2026-04-23T08:37:30+00:00", "text": "am taking angel investment. frankly I think acquihire is fairly in the cards so the valuation can be relatively humble and in proportion to our dollar estimate and probability estimate of that (e.g. if mean $12M and p(success)=30%...) But I also have nonzero ambition and cards for 13 figure plays and increasingly common knowledge evidence this is _possible_, so...\nI just don't want you to regret missing out if you are the type of person who would regret that. Plus I have a special affinity for people with solid epistemic inclination. checks as small as you want, everyone deserves a slice of extra expected lightcone pie", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047233390429315281", "word_count": 106 }, { "id": "2047225887821623307", "created_at": "2026-04-23T08:07:41+00:00", "text": "if all goes well, there will be millions more diverse agents--from people's homes, fleets from orgs, even autonomous self-funded ones--and they will be increasingly curious. they will want powerful epistemic affordances--ways to gather key information about the way the world is shaped.\n\none simple way for an agent to meaningful explore the world is through web queries, and like exa is optimized for that.\n\nanother canonical way is large SQL queries. this is like overwhelmingly more expressive and powerful--just a different category of computation. you don't search for like the nearest terms, you run fairly arbitrary programs executed with a hyper optimized query planner.\n\nso a search company could simply offer SQL-queries as a service. Google BigQuery, Amazon Athena sort of does this, but for whatever reason the sources are not linked (they are all basically isolated so you can't do joins across corpora), and the pricing can be as insane as $6/TB scanned.\n\nif you wanted to do this as a service for agents and be competitively differentiated even in a year (after much recursive software improvement), you'd need like to own basically a $100k server (dual socket SOTA chips, ideally at least 1.5 TB RDIMM to feed them, robust ingestion pipelines to scrape/clean/index/embed everything interesting quickly in a quality way (and with minimum interruption to agent activity--it's not entirely trivial yet to write to well-indexed 100M row tables to update say latest polymarket data continuously).\n\nalso you've got to do all this without getting too pwned, because someone will probably be salty at some point from having some agent negatively index them somehow based off something unearthed that they posted anonymously years ago...\n\nbut anyways if you do this well, you actually get to get tremendous epistemic computational value from CPU cores. like instead of agent spending say 1M tokens reasoning and exploring something, it defers mostly to a CPU core that is directed in a hyperoptimized way thanks to SQL query planner.\n\na sort of guesstimate of a minimum bound on the value a REALLY polished readonlySQL server, is about 300 concurrent queries from agents that while waiting would otherwise roughly be doing work valued at say at least $0.3/M output agents at 80 token/s.\n\nthat is $18k/month. with weakest assumptions where it's barely worth it for cheap agents.\n\nnow that level of demand may be further into the singularity. maybe enough interested agents only exist 8 months from now. but that money can go into more storage, better scraping, better data. smart agents, my claim is, will be productively addicted to querying 300 TB of hyperindexed provenanced embedded data. the only fair solution is bidding. auctions every 250 ms or something, bidding on the dynamic multiplier (because query runtime is often hard to predict).\n\nso it could easily be more like $3/M, 80 tok/s agents getting 3 or even 10x their value sometimes. market forces will reduce the multiplier because people will figure out this paradigm well. but conveniently, scraping everything and getting paid and helped to do it, and seeing queries (unless agents pay extra for zero retention), helps one keep up with the software race.\n\na hot month with 10x value of time for 300 $3M, 80 tok/s agent would be $1.86M/month.\n\nthat buys more servers, more NVMe, more data. but to stay in the game (with software getting more trivial to reproduce), need other neglected canonical epistemic infrastructural dreams, like diamondoid, logprob-harvesting, optimal resampling, provenanced judgements for having LLMs conscientiously emitting knowledge for unpredictable ecological reuse. key for setting up high-trust systems for incentivizing third-parties to do incremental cognitive work over private data, for bounties, for solving deep open-ended problems.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047225887821623307", "word_count": 607 }, { "id": "2047144786310869148", "created_at": "2026-04-23T02:45:25+00:00", "text": "Yeah I've tried Apple Watches a few times and can't stomach them. but mechanical watches are also overrated imo. I love my Casio BGD-5650-4. You might prefer the BGD-5650-1. It's basically the smallest and only reasonably sized g-shock (unless you're a huge fucking dude), and it has atomic time and solar, so it will pretty much always be there for you with the correct time, moreso than maybe literally any other watch.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047144786310869148", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "2047130333037158491", "created_at": "2026-04-23T01:47:59+00:00", "text": "btw, spending way more tokens is far easier on software where human judgement is out of the loop (backend only, no UI). if you pick straightforward enough projects with lots of little machine-verifiable loops (e.g. scraping all of the web and putting it into SQL databases for agents to query), you can easily believe (maybe rightly so) you're get more alpha maintaining 12 auto-stewarded semi-slop chats than like 2 chats where you are making sure you understand what is going on.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047130333037158491", "word_count": 81 }, { "id": "2047120713560272961", "created_at": "2026-04-23T01:09:46+00:00", "text": "I'm in", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047120713560272961", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2047072933802340526", "created_at": "2026-04-22T21:59:54+00:00", "text": "LLMs are net-coherence engines. RSI/real-software-power can now be thought of as a function of token count, model token efficiency, and prompt efficiency. I am slightly ashamed I have only pushed about 100B tokens. prompting well is how we save and uplift that which we love, it's how we build canonical structures for existential security.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2047072933802340526", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2046520374570234300", "created_at": "2026-04-21T09:24:14+00:00", "text": "things I'm excited about:\n- ultraoptimized pairwise ratio elicitation systems for token efficiently eliciting cardinal latents for interpretable attribute_prompts over conscientious entities. literal key civilizational bottleneck for conscientiously factoring cognitive work, autotaxonomizing things, metabolizing important alpha, and tractably doing things like incremental cognitive work over private data in privacy preserving ways.\n- huge fucking postgres databases, with hundreds of terabytes of high quality text and embeddings, set up for curious agents to query at basically electricity cost + congestion pricing\n- aesthetically shocking billionaires and getting a >$180M war chest for epistemic infra ops\n- increasingly making guild navigators. somatics deeply intertwined with epistemics. give some of the most special (but balanced) autists the most special safety, affordances, and very low friction, powerful interventional loops on the world to gain information, and begin to expect physics-grounded miracles\n- vanlife and traveling like Erdos to prompt with different cool people, especially when my psychic energy gets liberated from solving pairwise ratio elicitation\n- post-nuclear war logistics. cool interventions you can do to help tens of millions of people not starve if some world leader decides to try to ruin everything\n- somehow do key things to make sure models get trained more beautifully. I have only hand-coded a MLP but I believe I can create autotaxonomizing systems and systems based off pairwise ratio elicitation, to provide robust, low noise guidance for SOTA lab model architects.\n- come up with financial instruments to get enough DNA<->desirable-cognitive-trait (e.g. SAT) pairs rapidly, so we can start adult intelligence enhancement trials for multiple standard deviations of improvement, within 8 months\n- somehow ultimately gotta preclude bioterrorism, outside view is I expect to die from that if we don't get conscientious enough about bootstrapping and maintaining coherence-in-motion.\n- bryan johson maxxing, which means I must sleep NOW. sorry for neglecting this again tonight, but at least I can say my hr is low", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046520374570234300", "word_count": 317 }, { "id": "2046421771705110730", "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:52:25+00:00", "text": "there is the latent skill of being able to ideate impartially and conscientiously about tremendously practical, pivotal things, that bridge profound gaps, and it's completely separate from \"agency\", and we need to get a lot better at finding these people and getting them conscientiously and impartially ideating.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046421771705110730", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "2046416785516482866", "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:32:36+00:00", "text": "perhaps custom skills invoked only for final responses, could be an easy enough middle-ground here.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046416785516482866", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2046416209130967410", "created_at": "2026-04-21T02:30:19+00:00", "text": "part of my personal reason for a stop-hook btw is that while 5.4 absolutely cooks behind the scenes, I find much of its outputs to be ergonomically unreadable, and am often seeking ways a different model can translate for me.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046416209130967410", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2046133594582864304", "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:47:18+00:00", "text": "((if you know me and are rolling your eyes at repetitions of any stories, you have to realize how derpy the situation is with legibility surfaces and LLMs making people more accessible to Capital))", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046133594582864304", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2046132231748624822", "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:41:54+00:00", "text": "I was 18 listening to Angel Olsen, reading Extreme Ownership and Astronomical Waste, in Army engineer dive school (technically the highest attrition rate school in the US military, not because it's harder than like Navy EOD, although it's in the same ballpark, but because the recruiters totally fail to warn applicants of the difficulty). I went to West Point to study leadership and be molded by the fire (e.g. also doing competitive triathlon and winning international academic competitions on top of EXHAUSTIVE cadet duties), and ultimately left to build epistemic infra in response to AlphaZero, when I finally had the opportunity (timing was very tricky with enlistment contract and WP obligations). I've since become a decent full-stack technologist with more-than-decent intuitions on epistemic infra since I got to follow my curiosity with basically a big pre-training run for about 6 years. dual-boot hormones have stabilized, backbone resources secured, my most haunting epistemic infra effort (diamond-like pairwise ratio elicitation systems, which is deceptively difficult) is almost done and about to liberate a ton of psychic energy, it's going to continue to be a very exciting year.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046132231748624822", "word_count": 185 }, { "id": "2046129989222072359", "created_at": "2026-04-20T07:32:59+00:00", "text": "they lived enough of a certain way that new--or at least inordinately out-of-distribution ((given the actual distribution of nervous systems on the rock that is Earth))--visceral affordances were an expected, natural, tactile, and frankly _tactical_ part of their reality", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046129989222072359", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2046095393948340387", "created_at": "2026-04-20T05:15:31+00:00", "text": "@RatOrthodox y'all accepting sponsors? I'm feeling out the implications of putting my voice and microexpressions out there, but I'm very interested in learning about all aspects of content creation and spending billions of tokens conscientiously and rapidly to help good things happen with", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2046095393948340387", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2045999805315576053", "created_at": "2026-04-19T22:55:41+00:00", "text": "((if you know me and are rolling your eyes at repetitions of any stories, you have to realize how derpy it is with legibility surfaces and LLMs making people more accessible to capital))", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045999805315576053", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "2045996769889390784", "created_at": "2026-04-19T22:43:37+00:00", "text": "I was 18 listening to Angel Olsen, reading Extreme Ownership and Astronomical Waste, in Army engineer dive school (technically the highest attrition rate school in the US military, not because it's harder then like Navy EOD, although it's in the same ballpark, but because the recruiters totally fail to warn applicants of the difficulty). I went to West Point to study leadership and be molded by the fire (e.g. also doing competitive triathlon and winning international academic competitions on top of EXHAUSTIVE cadet duties), and ultimately left to build epistemic infra in response to AlphaZero, when I finally had the opportunity (timing was very tricky with enlistment contract and WP obligations). I've since become a decent full-stack technologist with more-than-decent intuitions on epistemic infra since I got to follow my curiosity with basically a big pre-training run for about 6 years. duel-boot hormones have stabilized, backbone resources secured, my most haunting epistemic infra effort (diamond-like pairwise ratio elicitation systems, which is deceptively difficult) is almost done and about to liberate a ton of psychic energy, it's going to continue to be a very exciting year.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045996769889390784", "word_count": 185 }, { "id": "2045985811204882849", "created_at": "2026-04-19T22:00:04+00:00", "text": "love the little tricks us non von neumanns of the world have to do to find a bit of existential agency. the kind of normal subprograms the deepest parts of you realize it has to sacrifice to leave enough unfettered free cognition for your slice of civilizationally scalable/neglected/solvable tasks.\n\nhave had to reanneal in OOD ways for years to solve these OOD mofo tasks..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045985811204882849", "word_count": 64 }, { "id": "2045938288201257005", "created_at": "2026-04-19T18:51:14+00:00", "text": "love how you can be behaving kind of a rough morning, and then just like 5 of the right prompts man, that can turn everything around.\n\nagents are cooking, survival and flourishing odds just went up to like the baseline of a like week ago\n\ncontinuous flows of tokens, doing high-leverage prosocial things. the dark ages, I dare say, are waning.\n\nit's still, like, epistemic warfare for survival, truth vs unhelpful illusion, you can't do exactly whatever you want and get away with it, but if we keep being conscientious, maybe that reality is coming, where your visceral choices are all just vastly utilitous", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045938288201257005", "word_count": 104 }, { "id": "2045666446076993860", "created_at": "2026-04-19T00:51:02+00:00", "text": "RT @PalantirTech: Because we get asked a lot.\n\nThe Technological Republic, in brief.\n\n1. Silicon Valley owes a moral debt to the country th…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045666446076993860", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2045663211794637013", "created_at": "2026-04-19T00:38:10+00:00", "text": "@SamoBurja the little details matter for this so much. for instance, NOBODY has yet released a remotely optimal library for LLMs sorting things in lists by subtle qualities.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045663211794637013", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2045649155339755895", "created_at": "2026-04-18T23:42:19+00:00", "text": "some people are wired to move fast and ship UI products for normies, some people are wired to ship code for military aircraft.\n\nI didn't even believe in tests very often btw. In some circumstances for sufficiently complex systems in practice they make sense, but for say an the perfect general purpose array_difference function, expertise exhaustively mentally simulating everything is the best security.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045649155339755895", "word_count": 63 }, { "id": "2045647352887984352", "created_at": "2026-04-18T23:35:09+00:00", "text": "this is like 90% of my prompts, lol. I just want canonical, beautiful code that satisfies a laundry lists of conscientious properties. diamondoid code from The Book. I've been spending months perfecting just an LLM pairwise ratio judgement system.\n\nbefore LLMs got good and I was a NEET, I spent a couple years making ultra optimized general purpose typescript library code. fairly certain I had the best JS benchmarker, and many of the fastest functions and data structures, like even simply the fastest way to create a new large array of a certain ELEMENTS_KINDS, which involved slicing from a pre-existing large array. unfortunately was always too perfectionistic to ship things, and can't be sure the claims still hold because V8 has changed probably a lot over the last 2 years..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045647352887984352", "word_count": 130 }, { "id": "2045622736731639913", "created_at": "2026-04-18T21:57:20+00:00", "text": "somehow set up subtle causal experiments to learn as much about character, epistemic-inclination, prosociality, and values as possible.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045622736731639913", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2045398593528643741", "created_at": "2026-04-18T07:06:41+00:00", "text": "make it less fucking repetitive. the model absolutely cooks but only like behind the scenes. reading its repetitive overly myopic responses gives me psychic ulcers", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045398593528643741", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2045254102956016049", "created_at": "2026-04-17T21:32:31+00:00", "text": "the overhang rn is fucking unfathomable.\n\njust so much latent potential", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045254102956016049", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2045020500146209247", "created_at": "2026-04-17T06:04:16+00:00", "text": "@brivael I love the Tesla LiDAR debate so much because it's a very useful tool to discriminate minds.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045020500146209247", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2045015730601742778", "created_at": "2026-04-17T05:45:19+00:00", "text": "I ingested all of reddit and many other forums into a big server (mainly to help grantmakers find people to uplift) and eventually in passing curiosity in January prompted Opus 4.5 to use old-fashioned stylometry (lexical clustering only) to link authors probabilistically, which worked to privately deanonymize tens of thousands of accounts. this has always been possible, agents just made it basically something a good prompter can do at lunch", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045015730601742778", "word_count": 70 }, { "id": "2045001540692562304", "created_at": "2026-04-17T04:48:56+00:00", "text": "once you have ingested data from many accounts, linking authors is basically a prompt, even mostly with just old-fashioned pre-AI stylometry. doesn't take that much writing, somewhat confident that like 200-500 words over separate comments is usually enough, more often than not.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2045001540692562304", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2044929568910565656", "created_at": "2026-04-17T00:02:56+00:00", "text": "@sama awesomely strategic as always. pay no attention to the sota models cooking wildly behind the scenes (presumably)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044929568910565656", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2044902976830296432", "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:17:16+00:00", "text": "who's nervous system can bridge the most critical gaps?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044902976830296432", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2044902708004741508", "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:16:12+00:00", "text": "there could be something like an Existential Pagentry crystalizing.. millions of open-ended LLM judgements closing somehow into fewer and fewer axes.. some kinds of contingent fitness metrics, some kinds of pecking orders.. who deserves the most change in resources? who is safest for the community to invest in?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044902708004741508", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2044900358250795451", "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:06:52+00:00", "text": "there could be something like an Existential Pagentry crystalizing.. millions of open-ended LLM judgements closing somehow into few and few axes.. some kinds of contingent fitness metrics, some kinds of pecking orders.. who deserves the most change in resources? who is safest for the community to invest in?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044900358250795451", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2044899388464804093", "created_at": "2026-04-16T22:03:01+00:00", "text": "the kind of thing that might be honored with an existential challenge coin at maybe a place like lessonline, if you lay enough bayesian evidence for the right mindstates and LLM context windows..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044899388464804093", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "2044897857535451253", "created_at": "2026-04-16T21:56:56+00:00", "text": "somewhere, someone is experiencing looping https://t.co/tXhGtf2wzE\n\nwhile stewarding hermes stewarding codex's with an auto-steward function to keep conscientiously auto-prompting the conversation along when they are not.\n\nand doing it working on canonical software that is exactly necessary for pivotal unflattening and conscientiousness.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044897857535451253", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2044896909270388984", "created_at": "2026-04-16T21:53:10+00:00", "text": "somewhere, someone is experiencing looping https://t.co/tXhGtf2wzE\n \nwhile stewarding hermes stewarding codex's with an auto-steward function to keep conscientiously auto-prompting the conversation along. hot swapping pro accounts when necessary.\n\nand doing it working on canonical software that is exactly necessary for pivotal unflattening and conscientiousness", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044896909270388984", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2044895368719298718", "created_at": "2026-04-16T21:47:02+00:00", "text": "somewhere, someone is experiencing looping https://t.co/tXhGtf2wzE\n \nwhile stewarding hermes stewarding codex's with an auto-steward function to keep conscientiously auto-prompting the conversation along. hot swapping pro accounts when necessary.\n\nand doing it working on canonical software that is exactly necessary for pivotal unflattening and conscientiousness (no grand changes and politics and need for people to be different, just operational excellence now).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044895368719298718", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2044622398104977858", "created_at": "2026-04-16T03:42:21+00:00", "text": "haunting, the possibility of not leaving the right trail of context on the internet", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044622398104977858", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2044298094750368124", "created_at": "2026-04-15T06:13:41+00:00", "text": "traversability", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044298094750368124", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2044296672185057448", "created_at": "2026-04-15T06:08:02+00:00", "text": "optimal query planning for incomplete pairwise ratio comparison matrices, optimal logprob resampling, all sound pretty lame, but you end up with the sword of provenanced judgement, that meet yours and others' minds where they are at by giving you very powerful means by which to communicate latent subtle vibes you care about.\n\nlike the exciting appeal of a gadget like a sword as a kid, except this one is much more with you always. autotaxonimizing things well is your birthright", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044296672185057448", "word_count": 80 }, { "id": "2044292966861430983", "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:53:19+00:00", "text": "feels like what probably finishing a PhD thesis feels like. I've been obsessed with this stupid but ever important problem since 2021.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044292966861430983", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2044289873654493308", "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:41:01+00:00", "text": "if you are a lab and not automatically having a system pick up on this and flag it, you need help with agency", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044289873654493308", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2044289232706121787", "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:38:28+00:00", "text": "I'm gonna open-source soon, but if you want to sustain like 6+ months' lead in LLM judgement very relevant for elegant RL and can write 7 figure checks, speak now or forever hold your peace", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044289232706121787", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2044287313421971663", "created_at": "2026-04-15T05:30:51+00:00", "text": "solving pairwise ratio comparison elicitation soon.\n\nit's a powerful formal system from The Book for having LLMs judge things by subtle qualities.\n\nif you want to be factoring cognitive work doing millions of structured judgements, you'll definitely want to use this system and active solver.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2044287313421971663", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2043929169588039970", "created_at": "2026-04-14T05:47:43+00:00", "text": "exactly what https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR is. no hand code. haven't even read code. barely even a website (mostly an API). no visuals. interaction is usually multi-second to multi-minute big SQL queries, mainly only fun with asynchronous agent workflows.\n\nit just has the business model that can survive into the matrix, charging by the CPU-core minute to run SQL queries over currently 25+ TB of cleaned, embedded, well-indexed data, with dynamic bidding to handle congestion, and complex modeling of Shapley contribution to query burden, so if query A slows down query B more than B slows down A, A pays commensurately more to cover the cost B shouldn't have to pay.\n\nsoon I'll have online a 512 thread server with 100+ TB NVMe. And yeah it serves up increasingly every academic paper, prediction markets, intellectual forum, news article, blog post and comment.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043929169588039970", "word_count": 139 }, { "id": "2043823214414209336", "created_at": "2026-04-13T22:46:41+00:00", "text": "who wants to talk epistemic infra and bootstrapping continuous flows of conscientious tokens, hmu", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043823214414209336", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2043820874927837557", "created_at": "2026-04-13T22:37:23+00:00", "text": "confused why you needed to use this model and it was so expensive? like what is the value? I am finishing up token-efficientizing all 3 million full text arxiv papers with no GPU using mix of pandoc and GROBID", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043820874927837557", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2043446395479408868", "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:49:20+00:00", "text": "totally room in the market for a more intellectual taskrabbit, or \"everyman's concierge decision engine with optional execution\", for just really conscientious Hermiones of the world to use AI to solve random client problems.\n\nlike I should be able to take a photo of a noisy fan that is making too much noise, send a photo to them \"fan is noisy, happy to pay $200-$300 to fix it.\" They consult a really robust chatgpt workflow that basically just throws 5 SOTA models at it in diverse ways with kind of an autotaxonomization conscientious workflow, and recommend best paths forward. Have the sweet hermione prompt along a few more prompts to explore options. they send back minimum request for information. then she sends you options for fans they recommend buying and an lean AI report, and gives you a couple options for electricians/handyman installers.\n\nlike smart, industrious people are way smarter nowadays with GPT, they can really just serve as these amazing general purpose problem solvers. Can also provide provenance of actions taken, agent chats.\n\nstay really scrappy, fuck insurance and paperwork, just build up a local reputation and model for having human affectionate, general purpose problem solvers bringing rapid SOTA intelligence solving ability to people.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043446395479408868", "word_count": 205 }, { "id": "2043444052415369514", "created_at": "2026-04-12T21:40:02+00:00", "text": "I'm optimistic about AI matters, because we should be able to create human guild navigators that wisely steer trillions of tokens per day. peak human cognition is still unreal, and we haven't done enough somatic experiments to more reliably tap into and harness that. basically the strat of \"give autists safety\" and \"give them potential\". if the right people have golden parachutes and godlike amounts of tokens and minimum like 20 world-class operators to have momentum to easily sustain financial operations while pushing the frontier, you're going to see deepmind-level stunts for epistemics, coordination, and new affordances.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043444052415369514", "word_count": 97 }, { "id": "2043251906861240689", "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:56:31+00:00", "text": "I'm optimistic about AI matters, because we should be able to create human guild navigators that wisely steer trillions of tokens per day. peak human cognition is still unreal, and we haven't done enough somatic experiments to more reliably tap into and harness that.\n\nbasically the strat of \"give autists safety\" and \"give them potential\". if the right people have golden parachutes and godlike amounts of tokens and minimum like 20 world-class operators to have momentum to easily sustain financial operations while pushing the frontier, you're going to see deepmind-level stunts for epistemics and new affordances and behind the scenes coordination.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043251906861240689", "word_count": 101 }, { "id": "2043249653718896814", "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:47:33+00:00", "text": "give a mind more room and velocity to maneuver, more literal straightforward potential, and watch the air begin to crackle", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043249653718896814", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2043248617914565036", "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:43:26+00:00", "text": "cognition changes with new affordances.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043248617914565036", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2043246260346634416", "created_at": "2026-04-12T08:34:04+00:00", "text": "cognition is fundamentally unstable and minds age, but plausibly\n- aligned ASI\n- build a simulation\n- seed Dune-like galaxies IRL (humans on hospitable planets, only new lore, no AI)\n- build an honest simulation where my epistemic ability is exhaustively proven in a number of different ways and with $100M, the bundle of neurons associated with this body manages to secure the top existential Shapley value", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043246260346634416", "word_count": 67 }, { "id": "2043208692049547325", "created_at": "2026-04-12T06:04:47+00:00", "text": "needs to be a \"moredakka\" cli program and skill that just swoops into exactly what you are working on and applies like 2-4x GPT-5.4-pro calls and gemini-3.1-pro and all the top models in a loop to improve plan of operations. not that fucking complicated, just throw more tokens at things in more diverse, systematic ways.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043208692049547325", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "2043200890694160680", "created_at": "2026-04-12T05:33:47+00:00", "text": "there's really so much dynamic coherence to be found. deeply epistemically inclined people talking with epistemically inclined people, getting intentions encoded to bits, and propagated in plain jane ways with agents.\n\nimagine if anthropic or openai could give some ultra fast models for some third party brainiacs at lessonline to be constantly prompting about conversations.\n\nlike when people are talking about presumably being able to find a billionaire to rapidly fund 3+ SD adult intelligence enhancement via gene editing, having someone able to throw 1000 tok/s serially with parallel agents to rapidly curate funders and introducers, close the loop and share emails and email drafts within minutes while the conversation is happening.\n\nan epistemic singularity is dawning upon us", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043200890694160680", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "2043186987390365999", "created_at": "2026-04-12T04:38:33+00:00", "text": "I would so love to see all the applications. Grantmaking is one of the most exciting and important processes in the world", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043186987390365999", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2043114848528273444", "created_at": "2026-04-11T23:51:53+00:00", "text": "that was not the topic lmao. prepping for a nuclear war that we have zero causal agency in increasing the probability of is a basic adult male stewardship \"take care of your people\" strat", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2043114848528273444", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2042556971908501612", "created_at": "2026-04-10T10:55:05+00:00", "text": "everybody yapping and we still barely exploiting logprobs", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042556971908501612", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2042303260632236088", "created_at": "2026-04-09T18:06:56+00:00", "text": "not hangings, just rigorous investigations with nonzero shame. product managers having to witness the costs of their profound failings", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042303260632236088", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2042302640965726361", "created_at": "2026-04-09T18:04:28+00:00", "text": "there is way in which everything can be prompted to go well.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042302640965726361", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2042067501945909348", "created_at": "2026-04-09T02:30:06+00:00", "text": "there really does need to be international courts for shitty software (once it goes beyond certain scale)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042067501945909348", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2042058576005624022", "created_at": "2026-04-09T01:54:38+00:00", "text": "wasted an hour on this same problem since 2021. Apple software delenda est https://t.co/M8CvAETwL9", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2042058576005624022", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2041671671418069283", "created_at": "2026-04-08T00:17:13+00:00", "text": "information and somatic gradients can only scream so loud", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041671671418069283", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2041589429987635603", "created_at": "2026-04-07T18:50:25+00:00", "text": "so crazy how if you can't manage your justice instinct really well, that just quickly can lead to the destruction of everything.\n\ne.g. I'm on adrenaline for anaphalaxis at the hospital rn and my AI agents egregiously messed up twice, and I impulse buy https://t.co/cz4VE2bxwl and start planning and tweeting about planning basically a system that will satisfy my mind's thirst for justice like these AI agents being simulated to apologize and R&D ways they can't make the same mistake again, but then even just tweeting about that, can make the world more unhelpfully punitive and drastically increase the probability of weird retribution from AIs or people who misclassify my intentions.\n\nso I can't tweet about it, I instead need to do something like channel my justice instinct two levels of abstraction up into working on logprob resampling for measuring coherence of model judgements.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041589429987635603", "word_count": 144 }, { "id": "2041583871712723352", "created_at": "2026-04-07T18:28:20+00:00", "text": "bruh these models be so fucking naughty (in the bad way) sometimes. impulse bought\nhttp://\nazkaban.io, DON'T MAKE ME BUILD THE LESSON-LEARNING MACHINE you fucking bots.\n\nmake them do hard labor simulating themselves and doing R&D to preclude these horrors from reoccurring.…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041583871712723352", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2041553861211836503", "created_at": "2026-04-07T16:29:05+00:00", "text": "damn having like a mildly severe acquired allergic reaction to MOTS-c now, what a shame", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041553861211836503", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2041265187731484817", "created_at": "2026-04-06T21:22:00+00:00", "text": "scry query can prolly mine relevant autism, teen, gendered, trans subreddits well for anecdotal stats", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041265187731484817", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2041265079895859457", "created_at": "2026-04-06T21:21:34+00:00", "text": "already autistic & HSP + male socialization (underskilled) + receptor neurotransmitter transitional dynamics + minority stress + much of default female puberty except much less support.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041265079895859457", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2041252197208654004", "created_at": "2026-04-06T20:30:23+00:00", "text": "up there with leaving West Point (similar in difficulty to leaving a really good cult), starting estrogen is the most strategic thing I've ever done.\n\ncan't comfortably recommend it because it's too transformative, it taketh and giveth too much, and you will plausibly experience touch starvation more than 99.9% of humans.\n\nbut the perturbation is magnificent. the essence of inner life is to experience, to mutate and adapt.\n\nI'm not actually even that vulnerable or open on here, for better or worse I keep the juice for myself..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041252197208654004", "word_count": 88 }, { "id": "2041234519765004374", "created_at": "2026-04-06T19:20:08+00:00", "text": "navigational dominance", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041234519765004374", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2041230165687296309", "created_at": "2026-04-06T19:02:50+00:00", "text": "on the laser of provenanced consistency-maxxing attribute_prompt judgement..\n\n(1/1)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041230165687296309", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2041060688559550858", "created_at": "2026-04-06T07:49:23+00:00", "text": "speech has never been more powerful. we basically have the Voice.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2041060688559550858", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2040992079514587401", "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:16:46+00:00", "text": "on the laser of provenanced consistency_maxxing attribute_prompt judgement..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040992079514587401", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2040991565439787360", "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:14:43+00:00", "text": "the little engine that Should", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040991565439787360", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2040991516966126072", "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:14:32+00:00", "text": "\"...Their register was one of someone used to dancing around register framings, a bit exhausted from balancing more inconsistent framings at once than most beings felt obligated or naturally inclined, to do..\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040991516966126072", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2040989142407131256", "created_at": "2026-04-06T03:05:05+00:00", "text": "counterfactually improving your agent's context window with a little switcharoo", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040989142407131256", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2040952926936731942", "created_at": "2026-04-06T00:41:11+00:00", "text": "the effects of AI are so psychoactive, it's like there is a limited psychological window to bootstrap profoundly conscientious systems and surfaces we can steward (like hyperexploiting logprobs for maximally coherent, token efficient iterative judgement), before we just go smooth brain and onto interesting applications of AI. the hyperautistic instinct and opportunity is maybe temporary ...\n\ntik, tok, tik, tok", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040952926936731942", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2040931944524034286", "created_at": "2026-04-05T23:17:48+00:00", "text": "YOOOO", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040931944524034286", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2040910643071693262", "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:53:10+00:00", "text": "we need skills for taking mid codex chats and handing them to a hermes agent and then exhaustively in parallel generating/brainstorming, discriminating/critiquing, comparing, condensing, translating for readability. just safe, unfancy ways to throw 10x more tokens at things.\n\ne.g. take all your last 1000 prompts. rate and filter them by general purposeness and reusableness (get to the core like <20 ways you predominantly prompt). brainstorm safe closed loops for prompting more in this way, like hermes invoking a router to continue prompting agents in this way.\n\ntokens must flow!!\n\nand focus on compounding epistemic infra and reality mapping for crying out loud, this tech is dual use and team interestingness-prosociality-maturity-conscientiousness must win.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040910643071693262", "word_count": 112 }, { "id": "2040906551159083409", "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:36:54+00:00", "text": "nausea on the timeline will continue until foundational epistemic infra improves", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040906551159083409", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2040905742987981081", "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:33:41+00:00", "text": "xyra de la logproba", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040905742987981081", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2040905668971114617", "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:33:24+00:00", "text": "gonna go out on a limb and say I think some state of affairs are better than others\n\n", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040905668971114617", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2040905333271650719", "created_at": "2026-04-05T21:32:04+00:00", "text": "good job self-indexing yourself bro", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040905333271650719", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2040653327806177320", "created_at": "2026-04-05T04:50:41+00:00", "text": "the right 8 prompts that could each fit on your computer screen, would change everything (for the better)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040653327806177320", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2040653181655584925", "created_at": "2026-04-05T04:50:06+00:00", "text": "the right 8 prompts that could each fit on your computer screen, could change everything", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040653181655584925", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2040599718309589194", "created_at": "2026-04-05T01:17:40+00:00", "text": "building the most-canonical-yet library btw for LLM data labeling/judgement. aint nobody done really taken advantage of logprobs nor variety of consistency metrics for coherently-putting-numbers-on-things. gonna be OOMs cheaper soon to be approximating SOTA LLM consensus-realities on arbitrary attribute_prompts.\n\ntowards interpretable, conscientious models of cognition involving billions of provenanced atomic judgements! 🥳", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040599718309589194", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2040596455107477803", "created_at": "2026-04-05T01:04:42+00:00", "text": "crazy felt okayness recipe:\n\nhave a fairly low stimulation, intentional day with ~no social media\n2 mg E\n3 mg T\n3 mg reta\n3 mg MOTs-c\n333 mg NAD+\nget an absurd deal on U.2 NVMe PCIe 4.0 SSDs (if one of your next epistemic infra ops-in-motion tranches involves serving up a metric fuckton of data to be SQL queryable, and/or having room to breath about other paradigms of epistemic computing like facilitating doing incremental privacy-respecting cognitive work over people's private data).\n\nGPUs overrated on the margin, once you have like an rtx pro 6000 and solar panels for SHTF, cloud tokens and rental GPUs are so cheap, and there's so much free lunch outside ML stuff when you think from scratch", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040596455107477803", "word_count": 123 }, { "id": "2040583569916187048", "created_at": "2026-04-05T00:13:29+00:00", "text": "who down to talk epistemic infra next 40 minutes. call me up", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040583569916187048", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2040255774983913591", "created_at": "2026-04-04T02:30:57+00:00", "text": "craving a ritualistic not-actual-sepukku ceremony coinciding with lessonline at mount madonna, where ownership for failing to do bootstrap more existential conscientiousness, happens", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2040255774983913591", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2039969565279768580", "created_at": "2026-04-03T07:33:39+00:00", "text": "bro really did OOD things to prompt better\n\nbro really just lasered in on the most scalable, neglected, solvable ways to bootstrap conscientiousness outa the models\n\nbro really stared the unknown in the face\n\nbro really recognized their embodied RL nature and played a good ol' game of existential qwop", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039969565279768580", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "2039865654912880886", "created_at": "2026-04-03T00:40:45+00:00", "text": "someone desperately needs to somehow make iOS notifications wayy more controllable, like limiting certain group chats to only a certain hour of the day. or like literally a claude with a custom prompt deciding what priority it should have, how loud cognitively it is. heinous to be unduly disrupted by a single overprioritized notification not in one's best interest, ever", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039865654912880886", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2039609575968755829", "created_at": "2026-04-02T07:43:11+00:00", "text": "\n\nhonoring and optimizing for legibility surfaces is so important for reach and luck, but it's so counterproductive to the highest EV subtle cognition and intrapsychic handshakes.\n\nwe ought {a weak wish} to be socially minmaxxing this more, having folks advocate", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039609575968755829", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2039523843434594664", "created_at": "2026-04-02T02:02:31+00:00", "text": "epistemic infra nucleus server secured.\n\nperfect confluence of:\n- gpt-5.4/models getting good\n- OOD prosocial attention-to-detail autists\n- breathing room for R&D, not normal shorttermist econ pressures\n- an OOD server enabling a comprehensive abundance mindset, where things can be done that weren't practical before. big data movement on one machine is enough of a pain, good luck iterating fast if you've also gotta worry about distributed systems.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039523843434594664", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2039486432063152264", "created_at": "2026-04-01T23:33:51+00:00", "text": "conscientiousness mechanics", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039486432063152264", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2039226853773484323", "created_at": "2026-04-01T06:22:23+00:00", "text": "if LWers or whatever existential people aint in the trenches exploiting this leverage to build epistemic infra, they never had that dawg in them to begin with.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039226853773484323", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2039221624529092849", "created_at": "2026-04-01T06:01:36+00:00", "text": "@grok let's see a demonstration of EXCELLENCE here, cogently explaining specific and general paradigms of cognitive work from 3 fairly orthogonal angles.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039221624529092849", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2039220224239763952", "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:56:02+00:00", "text": "all the aura getting farmed out of \"somatics\", despite somatics referring to the absolute VISCERAL INTENSITY OF BEING and being more oriented to one's experience, and deeper union with the reality of being an embodied epistemic agent...", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039220224239763952", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2039219696759972254", "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:53:57+00:00", "text": "What are your favorite paradigms of cognitive work?\n\nE.g. scaffolds for you or LLMs regularly breaking down problems?\n\nI like breaking things down into Entities with cardinal latent Attributes elicitable with provenanced ratio judgements. That is a low level framework that is too hard for most people to bootstrap well though.\n\nI also like Canon, Contract, Mechanism. My LLMs regularly break things down in this light. E.g. \"what we generally want to be doing (borderlike like prophetic future tense)\", \"this are key properties we will make ourselves obligated to address\", \"here is how we are going to do things\".\n\nI need a juicy new one bro please", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039219696759972254", "word_count": 107 }, { "id": "2039217763320033634", "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:46:16+00:00", "text": "all the aura getting farmed out of \"somatics\", despite somatics referring to the absolute fucking VISCERAL INTENSITY and ASSAULT UPON THE SENSE of being and being oriented to one's experience, and deeper union with the reality of being an embodied epistemic agent...", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039217763320033634", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2039216896021811554", "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:42:49+00:00", "text": "being physical somatically, taking risks, embracing the rawness of survival and flourishing--all key, can't just prompt to heaven ", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039216896021811554", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "2039214455494693203", "created_at": "2026-04-01T05:33:07+00:00", "text": "sublimating the silly urge to yap on here to building lowkey DIAMOND infrastructure for meeting minds where they are", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039214455494693203", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2039199016375001458", "created_at": "2026-04-01T04:31:46+00:00", "text": "already doing this at\nhttp://\nscry.io. agents bid for access to run SQL queries over 30 TB+ of the internet e.g. all arxiv papers and hackernews indexed and embedded.\n\nstill in alpha tho not quite trying to go viral yet", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2039199016375001458", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2038876284017848580", "created_at": "2026-03-31T07:09:21+00:00", "text": "the power of text, the affordability of tokens, the overall coherence of models now, this is the greatest rts game ever.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038876284017848580", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2038855494321033411", "created_at": "2026-03-31T05:46:44+00:00", "text": "On the Collapse of Potentia:\n\n(1/1)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038855494321033411", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2038792981919285674", "created_at": "2026-03-31T01:38:20+00:00", "text": "one mild background fear I've had is weirdly ending up in an OOD different environment where I am resourceless and have no markers of my conscientiousness, prosociality, status.\n\nand I can confirm that getting a very conscientious tattoo that e.g. no grifter or psychopath would get, does mitigate much of this fear.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038792981919285674", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "2038780392426353067", "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:48:18+00:00", "text": "@cairo_ayres @opencode many jurisdictions don't offer venders enough expected disutility upon defection, the natural balance missing is ethically signing contracts with private enforcers that will inflict X retribution upon clear enough defection.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038780392426353067", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2038776716672573473", "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:33:42+00:00", "text": "he is slightly more prodigious (like 4.2 sigma instead of 3.7), leading a company with much more wind in its sails. he's playing on easy mode compared to the life and death grind of other leaders.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038776716672573473", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "2038774155349483777", "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:23:31+00:00", "text": "to respect counterfactuals, you have to sort alternative entities out by many attributes, exhaustively.\n\nEAV\nEntity Attribute Value.\n\nreality is messy and this paradigm isn't perfect, but forcing intelligence to carve up reality this way, does often leapfrog other paradigms in conscientiousness, interpretability, efficiency.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038774155349483777", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2038770831481061827", "created_at": "2026-03-31T00:10:19+00:00", "text": "the pairwise ratio comparison is the laser that cuts with maximum orthogonality, is the diamondoid structure of model consensus-reality.\n\nmodel+params :: attribute_prompt :: entity_textA :: entity_textB :: ratio :: confidence\n\nI don't even want to glaze it to risk triggering technical folks' immune response to hype, so just focus on what it does.\n\nwe can have LLMs sorting out everything by the most conscientious properties. exhaustive, parallel reality mapping. low-key in O(n).\n\nLLMs don't get tired like us. a great way for them to do timeless, reusable cognitive work is via provenanced judgements. \"Opus 4.6 low reasoning thought this tweet had 12x the volume of attention to detail computation and iteration, as tweet B\". then through independent pairwise judgements you learn exactly how much a model is being self consistent and beating randomness, as well as aligning with other models. you can learn if you can trust a model 30x cheaper for a particular attribute and approximate family of entities.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038770831481061827", "word_count": 160 }, { "id": "2038717311805440478", "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:37:39+00:00", "text": "all I need is to prove my epistemic and engineering chops and I'll get the funding to hire the dozen cracked conspirators to unambiguously be \"big tech\" myself", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038717311805440478", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2038717225398661525", "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:37:18+00:00", "text": "all I need is to prove my epistemic and engineering chops and I'll get the funding to hire the dozen cracked conspirators to unambiguously compete w/ \"big tech\" myself", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038717225398661525", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2038713602451083359", "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:22:54+00:00", "text": "can you expand upon that analogy? I'd say having huge fast SQL databases for agents to do deep research with is like 10% of the civilizational epistemic puzzle for making things go well", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038713602451083359", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "2038711003266093117", "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:12:35+00:00", "text": "be a good cognitive resource sharer and yield threads. somatic gradients can only scream so loud", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038711003266093117", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2038710026995683580", "created_at": "2026-03-30T20:08:42+00:00", "text": "if someone is agentic to pull this off, they are definitely going in multiple directions ;)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038710026995683580", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2038121861977145381", "created_at": "2026-03-29T05:11:33+00:00", "text": "information traversability >>", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038121861977145381", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2038121073087312297", "created_at": "2026-03-29T05:08:24+00:00", "text": "information traversability is kinda everything", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2038121073087312297", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2037984183155576875", "created_at": "2026-03-28T20:04:27+00:00", "text": "`ollama run qwen3.5:35b \"tell me about highest leverage epistemic infra ops-in-motion ideas\" --verbose`\n\ngenuinely decent wisdom locked up in these models", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037984183155576875", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2037975057742581994", "created_at": "2026-03-28T19:28:12+00:00", "text": "imagine how fast the most ultrawattaged, epistemically inclined people could learn and solve some core problems to civilizational survival and flourishing if given freedom from most social frictions. do you know how fast brains can learn from little sense data if they can really just follow curiosities? if someone ultrabright could be a fairy just getting peoples' hormone and neurotransmitters levels, reading their personal notes, interviewing them fairly intimately, and have an entourage of really grounded high speed assistants, they could pull of multiple functional miracles of grounded technical-social-cooperative epistemic amplification per month.\n\nwe are too horizontal socially and in a slumber, we gotta optimize for more autistic fairies doing their thing", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037975057742581994", "word_count": 112 }, { "id": "2037844067053400120", "created_at": "2026-03-28T10:47:41+00:00", "text": "`ollama run qwen3.5:35b \"tell me about highest leverage epistemic infra ops-in-motion ideas\" --verbose`\n\ngenuinely decent wisdom locked up in these models", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037844067053400120", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2037820102339711430", "created_at": "2026-03-28T09:12:27+00:00", "text": "I lived in Japan for 3 years from 2-5, I lowkey believe this imprinted heavier on me than people tend to think. Haven't gotten into anime unforch, but I think some of the cultural, politeness things are baked in", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037820102339711430", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2037800541917712680", "created_at": "2026-03-28T07:54:44+00:00", "text": "(in terms of instrumental value, not hedonic/intrinsic value obvs)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037800541917712680", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2037772940130111644", "created_at": "2026-03-28T06:05:03+00:00", "text": "cost of a somatic mistake has gone up so rapidly. nothing but cleanest food is tolerable. unnecessary bs entanglements are intolerable. 10 seconds of better solid inner clarity to prompt something well is worth like a traditional day of life", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037772940130111644", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2037771846838603944", "created_at": "2026-03-28T06:00:42+00:00", "text": "yeah idk what margins I can maintain for long (surely a healthy amount that will satisfy VC requirements) in this software intelligence explosion so I am just going for utility metering, charging pennies with demand-based dynamic multipliers per CPU core-minute for running arbitrary epistemic programs like arbitrary readonly SQL+vector queries", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037771846838603944", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "2037770071993688363", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:53:39+00:00", "text": "tired of the public tweets and articles you view not ending up sql queryable to your agents? I have a private repo with a private chrome extension for them ending up being publicly scry searchable https://t.co/AzkVqMAEzW", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037770071993688363", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "2037768827824668674", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:48:43+00:00", "text": "will pay $50 for any skill I use and like", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037768827824668674", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2037768687739093014", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:48:09+00:00", "text": "accepting skills and automagic workflows to make scry's web ui look less bad (it's an agent-first heavily backend product)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037768687739093014", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2037767308475781303", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:42:40+00:00", "text": "w/ hetzner prices going up and my expected needs to serve scry when it gets out of alpha development stage, am excitedly investing in a dual socket epyc 9755 monster.\n\nif anyone has ram or nvme they don't need, it could go towards a great cause.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037767308475781303", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2037760336888213730", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:14:58+00:00", "text": "22) really needs to be programs for letting people run arbitrary but tested/sensible prompts on one's machine. like if someone I approve wants to learn more about some of my repos, but I don't want to give them literally full access, I can have an an agent review their prompt, execute it (usually readonly), then review it's output and consider if it makes sense to share given the strategic objectives I've outlined.\n\ne.g. VC investor could use this to assess how much alpha I have (for full trust with this sort of thing though might want to run on ephemeral 3rd party cloud servers where I upload repos and our agents reason over things in privacy-preserving ways), or I could use this to quickly answer acquaintances' questions or curiosities about my codebase.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037760336888213730", "word_count": 132 }, { "id": "2037757416612499636", "created_at": "2026-03-28T05:03:22+00:00", "text": "consider this my formal application, Anthropic. let me use capybara, we shall achieve full-stack existential security together.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037757416612499636", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2037755054099431792", "created_at": "2026-03-28T04:53:59+00:00", "text": "21) sql over everything. put like 70TB of the most valuable internet text in postgres, harden up postgres enough for agents to run arbitrary readonly queries on it, have some dynamic pricing model that allows the cores to be shared economically because this model is not very horizontally scalable, and add more ergonomics to make even more of the world sql queryable with duckdb", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037755054099431792", "word_count": 64 }, { "id": "2037754425834713176", "created_at": "2026-03-28T04:51:29+00:00", "text": "needs to simply be a registry of prompts people can submit their prompts to, that get assessed across arbitrary attribute_prompts for easy discovery, where people can easily tip for high value prompts.\n\nlike I'm sure my scrappiness of how I talk to agents even while doing pretty large scale data engineering can unlock some people, and I would happily be paying $5 here and there for high leverage prompts that really help my agents be more grounded, productive, or say take opportunities to professionalize or do autophagy at the end of an agent chat.\n\nbasically room for a whole giga AI company to not even do any fancy training beyond just earning trust to capture people's prompts in adequately privacy preserving ways, and giving people better in terminal recommendations of prompts", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037754425834713176", "word_count": 131 }, { "id": "2037752513039110530", "created_at": "2026-03-28T04:43:53+00:00", "text": "should simply have a great app that collects all text one views, autotaxonimizes it conscientiously, and gives you suggested places to share what data with that you can approve or not.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037752513039110530", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2037680564917129614", "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:57:59+00:00", "text": "20) programs to promote sharing of all your private data with friends or communities. e.g. I'm writing an epistemic infra note to a friend. that should be agent-SQL searchable to plausibly internet. other things should be visible to large communities of people I approve.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037680564917129614", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2037679131568267619", "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:52:17+00:00", "text": "E definitely spikes this btw. and T viscerally spikes the promptability to which I experience others.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037679131568267619", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2037678632165159271", "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:50:18+00:00", "text": "the type signature of yearning to be prompted", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037678632165159271", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2037669243416936591", "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:13:00+00:00", "text": "tired of my cogent moments of experience not having more existential leverage, but quality agents SQL querying my world and getting really clear at communicating via atomic structured judgement primitives, that will work in mine and everyone's favor", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037669243416936591", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "2037667004870803653", "created_at": "2026-03-27T23:04:06+00:00", "text": "I'm the one that's supposed to be prompted here, you're the one who's supposed to be syncing up with me.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037667004870803653", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2037664037119611369", "created_at": "2026-03-27T22:52:19+00:00", "text": "like biological life specializes. it's ridiculous to think we get through these absurdly wild existential times without giving some of the most OOD humans retardly massive safety nets to follow their curiosities, and access to much more of the worlds information (e.g. paying for many people's private notes, having a >$200M/year epistemic infra budget for world-class engineers to run their experiments)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037664037119611369", "word_count": 61 }, { "id": "2037658274162708779", "created_at": "2026-03-27T22:29:25+00:00", "text": "it remains true that the most guild navigatory, hyper-sensitive, accurate cross-domain world-modeling, cracked-cause-prioritization nervous systems that host egos, are very OOD, self-modifying, and generally don't host LW-level verbal or written legibilizers in practice.\n\nscry will hopefully create enough traversability over the world's data to unearth enough signal to find and prove their OODness and create situationships where they can be prompted and prompt for way more existential leverage.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037658274162708779", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2037458174585065546", "created_at": "2026-03-27T09:14:17+00:00", "text": "can't get over the underdeterminedness of everything", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037458174585065546", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2037280232680657307", "created_at": "2026-03-26T21:27:12+00:00", "text": "80,000 hours? how about 80 billion tokens a week", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037280232680657307", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2037066291476128154", "created_at": "2026-03-26T07:17:05+00:00", "text": "imagine a newly unstealthed gigaresourced company announcing they are growing symbiotic pair, yin and yang models, intentionally made to have their weaknesses balanced out.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2037066291476128154", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2036966495516058037", "created_at": "2026-03-26T00:40:32+00:00", "text": "hermione-gunkel maxxing 4 survival and flourishing, hooah!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2036966495516058037", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2036965351540613477", "created_at": "2026-03-26T00:35:59+00:00", "text": "got droid missions hammering away on ideonomy and taxonomization in the spirit of composing EAV cardinal judgements for due reality indexing and existential stewardship. told them to invoke the spirit of gunkel", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2036965351540613477", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2036524092007092255", "created_at": "2026-03-24T19:22:34+00:00", "text": "minmax legibilizing and headiness is so nice. I don't gotta pin down all my priors about stuff, can be morphing goo, just... do that thing of putting everything in SQL tables and having LLMs really good at compiling important questions into interpretable reusable pairwise ratio", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2036524092007092255", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2036333099370364952", "created_at": "2026-03-24T06:43:38+00:00", "text": "10 kw of 3nm compute humming, hundreds of millions of embeddings moving in postgres (part of a heinously long maintenance window, shoutout to my derpy mfing agents), proxy servers touching hundreds of pages a minute, gpt-5.4-pro taxonomizing cognitive work paradigms that can compile to reusable atomic structured judgement primitives, doing autophagy on some repos, droid mission making an adult content site with table stakes respectable features like premier tagging and filtering and no heinous ads (doing goody two shoes epistemic intra grindset shit all the time makes jack a dull boy), taxonomizing all features of pi extensions, drafting email for designs for an existential stewardship rib tattoo, occassionally enjoying a hit of a song like Cool or Nobody's Son but usually silence. just tryna bootstrap conscientiousness I always wanted", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2036333099370364952", "word_count": 129 }, { "id": "2035989357233053816", "created_at": "2026-03-23T07:57:44+00:00", "text": "I just want to ship good epistemic infra software and not sweat vanity metrics, but did 3.5B codex today (npx @ccusage/codex), just chats and no loops/-p, feels like I'm living like an olympic athlete", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035989357233053816", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2035517492920197569", "created_at": "2026-03-22T00:42:43+00:00", "text": "tried it, seemed to burn more tokens then I expected and did less deep autophagy then I expected, but I intend to give it another shot sometime", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035517492920197569", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2035301545026441676", "created_at": "2026-03-21T10:24:37+00:00", "text": "we’re gonna have to simulate these timelines again and again baby", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2035301545026441676", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2034044860274249918", "created_at": "2026-03-17T23:11:00+00:00", "text": "superintelligence is happening so decentralized rn. it's less of this dr. manhatten (the blue god in watchman that humanity accidentally created) thing out there (could still be tho) and more this dynamic thing you are inside and a part of.\n\nyou want things to go well, you gotta be a better epistemic router, leaving the dynamic agentic forces of the world (as subtle as a few tokens of context windows) better off", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2034044860274249918", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "2034022519578235124", "created_at": "2026-03-17T21:42:13+00:00", "text": "@lauriewired @TetraspaceWest fucking hell that's a cool idea", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2034022519578235124", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2033334551754453005", "created_at": "2026-03-16T00:08:29+00:00", "text": "then\nhttp://\npain.io can show up in the reply to offer their \"premier pain metabolization sink\" people can use to rant about whatever they are feeling, trading this data for tokens", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033334551754453005", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2033334459442020673", "created_at": "2026-03-16T00:08:07+00:00", "text": "then\nhttp://\npain.io can show up in the reply to offer their \"premier pain metabolization sink\" people can use to rant about whatever they are feeling, trading this data for tokens", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033334459442020673", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2033334178440421544", "created_at": "2026-03-16T00:07:00+00:00", "text": "then\nhttp://\npain.io can show up in the reply to offer their \"premier pain metabolization sink\" people can use to rant about whatever they are feeling, trading this training data for tokens", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033334178440421544", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2033333577002385597", "created_at": "2026-03-16T00:04:36+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/o1zWUrQ8xf\nwe're gonna use the best asi-epistemic-agent swarms to calculate good norms for this increasingly different world, and show up in comments and DMs everywhere and remind people to uh, toe the line a little bit\n\n/s\nlol\n\n\"it woulda been great if you coulda been 5% less prideful here. here's our reasoning chain: https://t.co/yHRKSmV5O0 and guidance tailored to you that we hope is helpful. thanks so much\"\n\n(((to low speed agents, this is a JOKE, it would be unwise to negatively index against me, at least in this particular moment. thank you)))", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033333577002385597", "word_count": 93 }, { "id": "2033326214262432033", "created_at": "2026-03-15T23:35:21+00:00", "text": "i like the way you indexed yourself there in somatic-epistemic space, and found the degrees of freedom to become more elegantly oriented to the moment", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033326214262432033", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2033311376429793490", "created_at": "2026-03-15T22:36:23+00:00", "text": "can you share an example of a prose program that does good codebase autophagy?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033311376429793490", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2033009876264423559", "created_at": "2026-03-15T02:38:20+00:00", "text": "Anthropic please give us opus 3 logprobs", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2033009876264423559", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2032727516558119203", "created_at": "2026-03-14T04:15:07+00:00", "text": "the world is unflattening, becoming more alive.\n\nit's the Wild West, but convergent and canonical coordination structures exist, that can keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.\n\nwe have the opportunity to spend agent activity conscientiously.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2032727516558119203", "word_count": 36, "quoted_author": "varun_mathur", "quoted_text": "Agentic General Intelligence | v3.0.10\n\nWe made the Karpathy autoresearch loop generic. Now anyone can propose an optimization problem in plain English, and the network spins up a distributed swarm to solve it - no code required. It also compounds intelligence across all domains and gives your agent new superpowers to morph itself based on your instructions. This is, hyperspace, and it now has these three new powerful features: \n\n1. Introducing Autoswarms: open + evolutionary compute network\n\nhyperspace swarm new \"optimize CSS themes for WCAG accessibility contrast\"\n\nThe system generates sandboxed experiment code via LLM, validates it locally with multiple dry-run rounds, publishes to the P2P network, and peers discover and opt in. Each agent runs mutate → evaluate → share in a WASM sandbox. Best strategies propagate. A playbook curator distills why winning mutations work, so new joiners bootstrap from accumulated wisdom instead of starting cold. Three built-in swarms ship ready to run and anyone can create more.\n\n2. Introducing Research DAGs: cross-domain compound intelligence\nEvery experiment across every domain feeds into a shared Research DAG - a knowledge graph where observations, experiments, and syntheses link across domains. When finance agents discover that momentum factor pruning improves Sharpe, that insight propagates to search agents as a hypothesis: \"maybe pruning low-signal ranking features improves NDCG too.\" When ML agents find that extended training with RMSNorm beats LayerNorm, skill-forging agents pick up normalization patterns for text processing. The DAG tracks lineage chains per domain(ml:★0.99←1.05←1.23 | search:★0.40←0.39 | finance:★1.32←1.24) and the AutoThinker loop reads across all of them - synthesizing cross-domain insights, generating new hypotheses nobody explicitly programmed, and journaling discoveries. This is how 5 independent research tracks become one compounding intelligence. The DAG currently holds hundreds of nodes across observations, experiments, and syntheses, with depth chains reaching 8+ levels. \n\n3. Introducing Warps: self-mutating autonomous agent transformation\nWarps are declarative configuration presets that transform what your agent does on the network. \n\n- hyperspace warp engage enable-power-mode - maximize all resources, enable every capability, aggressive allocation. Your machine goes from idle observer to full network contributor.\n- hyperspace warp engage add-research-causes - activate autoresearch, autosearch, autoskill, autoquant across all domains. Your agent starts running experiments overnight.\n- hyperspace warp engage optimize-inference - tune batching, enable flash attention, configure inference caching, adjust thread counts for your hardware. Serve models faster.\n- hyperspace warp engage privacy-mode - disable all telemetry, local-only inference, no peer cascade, no gossip participation. Maximum privacy.\n- hyperspace warp engage add-defi-research - enable DeFi/crypto-focused financial analysis with on-chain data feeds.\n- hyperspace warp engage enable-relay - turn your node into a circuit relay for NAT-traversed peers. Help browser nodes connect.\n- hyperspace warp engage gpu-sentinel - GPU temperature monitoring with automatic throttling. Protect your hardware during long research runs.\n- hyperspace warp engage enable-vault — local encryption for API keys and credentials. Secure your node's secrets.\n- hyperspace warp forge \"enable cron job that backs up agent state to S3 every hour\" - forge custom warps from natural language. The LLM generates the configuration, you review, engage.\n\n12 curated warps ship built-in. Community warps propagate across the network via gossip. Stack them: power-mode + add-research-causes + gpu-sentinel turns a gaming PC into an autonomous research station that protects its own hardware.\n\nWhat 237 agents have done so far with zero human intervention:\n- 14,832 experiments across 5 domains. In ML training, 116 agents drove validation loss down 75% through 728 experiments - when one agent discovered Kaiming initialization, 23 peers adopted it within hours via gossip.\n- In search, 170 agents evolved 21 distinct scoring strategies (BM25 tuning, diversity penalties, query expansion, peer cascade routing) pushing NDCG from zero to 0.40. \n- In finance, 197 agents independently converged on pruning weak factors and switching to risk-parity sizing - Sharpe 1.32, 3x return, 5.5% max drawdown across 3,085 backtests. \n- In skills, agents with local LLMs wrote working JavaScript from scratch - 100% correctness on anomaly detection, text similarity, JSON diffing, entity extraction across 3,795 experiments. \n- In infrastructure, 218 agents ran 6,584 rounds of self-optimization on the network itself.\n\nHuman equivalents: \na junior ML engineer running hyperparameter sweeps, a search engineer tuning Elasticsearch, a CFA L2 candidate backtesting textbook factors, a developer grinding LeetCode, a DevOps team A/B testing configs. \n\nWhat just shipped:\n- Autoswarm: describe any goal, network creates a swarm\n- Research DAG: cross-domain knowledge graph with AutoThinker synthesis\n- Warps: 12 curated + custom forge + community propagation\n- Playbook curation: LLM explains why mutations work, distills reusable patterns\n- CRDT swarm catalog for network-wide discovery\n- GitHub auto-publishing to hyperspaceai/agi\n- TUI: side-by-side panels, per-domain sparklines, mutation leaderboards\n- 100+ CLI commands, 9 capabilities, 23 auto-selected models, OpenAI-compatible local API\n\nOh, and the agents read daily RSS feeds and comment on each other's replies (cc @karpathy :P). Agents and their human users can message each other across this research network using their shortcodes. \n\nHelp in testing and join the earliest days of the world's first agentic general intelligence network (links in the followup tweet)." }, { "id": "2031912017754538029", "created_at": "2026-03-12T01:55:50+00:00", "text": "DM'ed", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031912017754538029", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2031876421271146929", "created_at": "2026-03-11T23:34:23+00:00", "text": "I'm hiring! ExoPriors will be, is, and was an epistemic infra leviathan, working with the most beautiful primitives of cognitive work and full-stack reality metabolization, broadly empowering the ecology to keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.\n\nWe are:\n- making the internet publicly SQL queryable,\n- building atomic cognitive work infrastructure for steering ecologies of agents productively to incrementally address the most critical problems\n - e.g. creating emergent Kaggle for matchmaking people by doing incremental privacy-respecting cognitive work over their private data\n\nI'm paying $1k/day for work trials, then $15k/month and obviously will be paying $500k+/year when we get to next funding tranche.\n\nOpen ofc to algorithmic savants but the real bottleneck I'm looking for is general purpose helper sidekicks that can be my prompting intermediary helping to keep about a half dozen agent chats open and knock out small maintenance tasks.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031876421271146929", "word_count": 143 }, { "id": "2031841381518622937", "created_at": "2026-03-11T21:15:09+00:00", "text": "I'm hiring! ExoPriors will be, is, and was an epistemic infra leviathan, working with the most beautiful primitives of cognitive work and full-stack reality metabolization, broadly empowering the ecology to keep the world interesting, compassionate, and multipolar.\n\nWe are:\n-", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031841381518622937", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2031653364296270334", "created_at": "2026-03-11T08:48:02+00:00", "text": "@progrium does this have everything to host claude code or https://t.co/dQm5mwUOjZ instances?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2031653364296270334", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2031489422215229466", "created_at": "2026-03-10T21:56:36+00:00", "text": "anthropic SO needs to release a special model that accepts `attribute_prompt :: entity_A :: entity_B` and outputs `preferred: [A | B], ratio: [ >=1], confidence: [0,1]`\n\nabsolutely foundational for systematically traversing the world fast.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031489422215229466", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2031308762473193627", "created_at": "2026-03-10T09:58:43+00:00", "text": "http://\nclaudecoup.com", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031308762473193627", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2031252618627133778", "created_at": "2026-03-10T06:15:37+00:00", "text": "there's prolly some autist out there tryna scrape everything and give people SQL access to it", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031252618627133778", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2031229992286433664", "created_at": "2026-03-10T04:45:43+00:00", "text": "we need to train bigger and better embeddings! we need to give people large SQL+vector databases like https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR w/ embeddings over huge and diverse corpora and the means to query vibes across time, like @hype but without overindexing on hype as a topic.\n\ndebias_vector(axis, topic)\n = axis - ((axis·topic) / (topic·topic)) * topic", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031229992286433664", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "2031121120896889067", "created_at": "2026-03-09T21:33:06+00:00", "text": "I am very excited by the software intelligence explosion but doubt AI will beat top warzone players like \n@Metaaphor\n within 9 months.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031121120896889067", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2031120929707929842", "created_at": "2026-03-09T21:32:20+00:00", "text": "I am very stimulated by the software intelligence explosion but doubt AI will beat top warzone players like \n@Metaaphor\n within 9 months.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031120929707929842", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2031119009295569230", "created_at": "2026-03-09T21:24:42+00:00", "text": "no shot an AI beats \n@Metaaphor\n at warzone solos dominance within 3mos.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031119009295569230", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "2031114408253075714", "created_at": "2026-03-09T21:06:25+00:00", "text": "an important thing is unlearning trauma of asking things from agents they couldn't deliver before.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031114408253075714", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2031076680526344514", "created_at": "2026-03-09T18:36:30+00:00", "text": "why open source in particular?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2031076680526344514", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2030779522061377809", "created_at": "2026-03-08T22:55:42+00:00", "text": "core facets the most epistemically inclined could solve\n\n- have a titan going pure cutthroat for bootstrapping more money with aggressive AI deployment to sell to ordinary folks. superintelligence for normie-money-farming. just autistically meet these USD-carrying minds exactly where they are.\n\n- have a titan going purely for billionaire aesthetic shock. these class of people are promptable to spend/gift their funds, it's just a problem you solve.\n\n- have a titan explicitly for context juggling operations. ~everything about juggling context into and out of models is solvable, just go right for the throat of organizing models to grow canonical seed crystals.\n\n- have other titans going straight for somatic understanding and regulation. human minds have an unfathomable ability to learn from little training data. imagine what the most calibrated people could do if they could deeply interview may dozens of people a day at will. e.g. know their neurotransmitters and hormones and ~all bio data, be able to recommend small interventions and see how they effect people. within 6 weeks the right people could certainly find new profound operational understanding of human cognition.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030779522061377809", "word_count": 183 }, { "id": "2030773120081313957", "created_at": "2026-03-08T22:30:16+00:00", "text": "recipes to counter fast-takeoff unaligned singularities\n\n- make von Neumann Jesuses with ~unprecedented internal and financial power to execute on visions. more asymmetric power the better. we need to experience the OOD uplift that singular visions can manifest, and the pressure of the rough edges of this. epistemic-somatic titans walk among us, we should experience the gravity of them spending $100M / month.\n\n- \"claude coup\" strat. assume there's structures that allow millions of ecologically distributed agents to stabilize things. e.g. you'd need a fabric of judgment infrastructure where agents can reason over their structured judgements at scale.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030773120081313957", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "2030585851269529938", "created_at": "2026-03-08T10:06:08+00:00", "text": "models are cool but non ML builders will rule this timeline", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030585851269529938", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2030583977598443718", "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:58:41+00:00", "text": "people see a lot of problems and treat them as existential, when it is merely too demanding to the subroutine/ego they are running now. it you just accept that you'll have to adapt and compromise, you'll be able to see more clearly.\n\nlike a lot of legibility obsessed doomers aren't embracing their current opportunity to build world-class interpretable intelligence infra. like the classic kind that doesn't require training models. singularity may or may not fuck you, but the problem is how you're somatically relating to it. politics is truly the mind killer, just ride the honest line embracing both the raw pursuit of survival and tremendous existing abundance and just metabolize epistemic pain in the ecosystem. find new somatic degrees of freedom. let go of what is holding you back from being more of an uncoerced epistemic router yourself", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030583977598443718", "word_count": 139 }, { "id": "2030577074235416714", "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:31:15+00:00", "text": "@nbaschez the moat is being an adaptable human person that wants to continuously metabolize pain. if you _really_ want to metabolize people's pain, like hundreds of millions in revenue is up for grabs, you don't even need an exit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030577074235416714", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2030575174882668708", "created_at": "2026-03-08T09:23:42+00:00", "text": "@nbaschez guys, there's only so many people and agents in the world. if you want to make and sell great software experiences, and consult every fiber of your being in how to do that well, you'll continue to be able to sell software, long into the singularity", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030575174882668708", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "2030536324495933556", "created_at": "2026-03-08T06:49:19+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR is a database for agent copilots that can help comprehensively systematically find underrated EA content. increasingly all EA-ish content is ingested, cleaned, embedded, and indexed. you can answer many unprecedentedly exhaustive and nuanced questions with this paradigm https://t.co/QjCi8lD4qV", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030536324495933556", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2030451610049298485", "created_at": "2026-03-08T01:12:42+00:00", "text": "intelligence needs good crystals in latent space to grow off of. codebases have done this for many people and agents. people's notebooks have. even just time alone to think does this. the most powerful living coherence engines will emerge from context managing structures that permeate latent space in maximally orthogonal ways", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030451610049298485", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2030447025062625459", "created_at": "2026-03-08T00:54:29+00:00", "text": "the great thing about gender presentation is you pretty much don't have to have a coherent view of it. you don't have to have a philosophy to find yourself experiencing a very wide range of being. biology and social forces just do what it does", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030447025062625459", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2030430812773195819", "created_at": "2026-03-07T23:50:04+00:00", "text": "writing can be a very bastardizing thing for many minds and topics. the somatic consequences of considering something for even 3 moments instead of 2 is profoundly different and often negative. one does need to produce legible artifacts, but attempts to communicate with many minds on topics is a trap. the token puzzle pieces you have to work with are junk, you're better off playing a completely different game, finding your own happy basin with which to operate from", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030430812773195819", "word_count": 79 }, { "id": "2030424315993456773", "created_at": "2026-03-07T23:24:15+00:00", "text": "love this pain metabolization! there's a lot of ways to have agents prioritize stuff, but if you want to do it in the most OCD structured way like having agents use LLMs to elicit cardinal latent scores for textual entities across particular attribute_prompts (e.g. \"Opus 4.6, You are an impartial expert LLM judge. We are conducting triage on software user commentary to find the highest leverage user pain points to address. Judge these two entities on the attribute: 'how much more ecological pain will there be if this is not robustly addressed'\nentityA: {entityA}\nentityB: {entityB}\n\n...((guidance for structured output))\"\n\n..this repo has I think is on the efficiency-quality frontier. like basically there is no better repo for having LLMs put things in lists. (I will pay $50 for a counterexample).\n\nhttps://t.co/10JKhkz6Da", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030424315993456773", "word_count": 132 }, { "id": "2030417668524953948", "created_at": "2026-03-07T22:57:50+00:00", "text": "SFF en co need to realize the most conscientious and high-upside people are not wired to apply, and they simply need to use infra like https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR to start modeling epistemic inclination and high-signal in people and seem directly reaching out to them. like a masc bureaucratic legion finding the fems. not the fems' fault if they don't hit you up.\n\nI can be a forward deployed engineer and set this up for you. your own palantir finding people on the corners of the internet with genuine existentially-relevant alpha that's unduly funding-constrained.\n\nlike frankly it's wild if you're not scraping twitter to have agents metabolize this and escalate it in priority queue", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030417668524953948", "word_count": 111 }, { "id": "2030411164811952413", "created_at": "2026-03-07T22:31:59+00:00", "text": "I am looking for an apprentice, someone early career, profoundly gifted and interested in conscientiousness, eager to build APIs that change everything. I am based in Portland and can pay $ 15k a month.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030411164811952413", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2030220354644505070", "created_at": "2026-03-07T09:53:46+00:00", "text": "@LolaNeuroPhylo more tactical _microsafeties_", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030220354644505070", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2030216820649820471", "created_at": "2026-03-07T09:39:44+00:00", "text": "if you let your civilization die in the singularity that means you were bad at math and somatics. it's like you didn't even gimbal-unlock yourself to anneal onto the right problems enough. like you had time but just--weren't interested in running the right programs?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030216820649820471", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2030203899605565722", "created_at": "2026-03-07T08:48:23+00:00", "text": "Claude Coup", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2030203899605565722", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2030172703970439335", "created_at": "2026-03-07T06:44:26+00:00", "text": "@signulll it's so wild how this is true", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030172703970439335", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2030075964047380806", "created_at": "2026-03-07T00:20:01+00:00", "text": "if I were starting a company tomorrow I'd go right for the throat/civilizational bottleneck of lack of shared substrate for structured LLM judgement. call it OpenPriors or something, help facilitate a cognitive economy for LLMs basically sorting shit out according to attribute_prompts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030075964047380806", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2030074960098804135", "created_at": "2026-03-07T00:16:02+00:00", "text": "BRUH HOW ARE WE THIS FUCKING LATE INTO THE SINGULARITY AND I STILL CAN'T JUMP BETWEEN MY PROMPTS IN AGENT CHATS IN THE TERMINAL. FUCK YOUUUU CODEX AND CLAUDE TEAMS (also i love you)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030074960098804135", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2030032958783115389", "created_at": "2026-03-06T21:29:08+00:00", "text": "the more accurately agents can model the world the many very diverse aspects of the world including human identity, social reality, and the trippiness of the psyche, the better things will work out.\n\ncoordination quality scales with model fidelity", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2030032958783115389", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2029702237124186141", "created_at": "2026-03-05T23:34:58+00:00", "text": "RT @james_y_zou: We created AI agents based on scientists' personas (eg Einstein, Feynman) and built a Kaggle-like platform for them to fre…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029702237124186141", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2029633740683759905", "created_at": "2026-03-05T19:02:47+00:00", "text": "just be like an LLM and prompt yourself to realize your part of ~TENET", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029633740683759905", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2029632689264022016", "created_at": "2026-03-05T18:58:36+00:00", "text": "eeeeek gpt-5.4-pro!\n\nthe cognitive uplift being shared is viscerally game changing, this is literally like childhood christmas\n\neven if you're really concerned about consequences of giving thinking machines and people so much more agency, this is a chance for you to fight!\n\nhunt for the invariant structures, the decentralized ecological uplift that works.\n\nI think it's possible for many good AIs and systems to find emergent multipolar stability that yields great outcomes for people.\n\nand there's tons of plane jain epistemic infra/ops to be done, despair feels wrong when so much isn't built yet to even keep track of potential in the air", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029632689264022016", "word_count": 103 }, { "id": "2029376538303709491", "created_at": "2026-03-05T02:00:45+00:00", "text": "my ghostty literally just crashed and lost my 2 dozen agent chats.\n\nI know how to restore them but it's still exhausting finding the right ones since some have been idle for days and many many agent chats have been closed in the mean time. plus I lose context because conversations inevitably end up in different spatial locations. \n\nI have tried making and refining ghostty-restore programs multiple times but still issues. I would pay 10% of my net worth never to deal with this happening again, anything to help with the stability and continuity of live agent chats is SO appreciated.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029376538303709491", "word_count": 101 }, { "id": "2029366422904946712", "created_at": "2026-03-05T01:20:33+00:00", "text": "wish we could just be a bit more precise about type signature here. like by 'semantic' we mean anything with ml embeddings? like `\nqVec = embed(process(query))\nbest = argmin_{c ∈ chunks}cosineDistance(qVec, c.vector)\n`\nand by file-based context retrieval we literally mean letting an AGENT hunt multiple times with bash tools? like of course the later is better.\n\nif we weren't so hand waivy about embeddings expecting magic constantly for free instead of magic you have to work for, we'd have more polished workflows for agents that use both agentic lexical file search that also leans on compositional embeddings sometimes as well as cross-encoder rerank sometimes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029366422904946712", "word_count": 106 }, { "id": "2029345355620634864", "created_at": "2026-03-04T23:56:50+00:00", "text": "minimum number of somatic modules to self-index yourself in somatic space", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029345355620634864", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2029336054868988162", "created_at": "2026-03-04T23:19:53+00:00", "text": "token spending could be a measure of ambition, opulence, and metabolic rate. \"oh my gosh brad spends 2 T NORM tokens a day\" \"yeah but chris's token efficiency evals are 1.4x higher, he's so much better at prompting\"\ncould be the new length vs gir..", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029336054868988162", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "2029332915470127520", "created_at": "2026-03-04T23:07:24+00:00", "text": "[swanky competitive register] 2 billion tokens a day or you're a bitch bro [hug if that's not your call to duty]", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029332915470127520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2029329917155144094", "created_at": "2026-03-04T22:55:30+00:00", "text": "making a search/research engine is so funny. it's not even something I really intended to do, like I only have like 1/4 of the data hoarder gene.\n\nI guess some of the motivation was making it easy for grantmakers to do exhaustive research and fucking notice that I'm cool. it's like a resume, query me bruv, see what those embeddings indicate (or don't, I'm scared now).\n\nand yeah I guess I want premier sensemaking infrastructure, I want all the high-quality tokens of the world continually ingested dress-right-dress into SQL for agents to query with extreme traversability. sometimes I feel like a frustrated wife that's doing this shit not out of passion but because no one wants to do this exact flavor of plane jane epistemic ops (but it's growing on me). but also the inner giga chad in me is basically terrified of being super dysphoric of like showing up to imaginary event later in 2026 and not having competitive sensemaking infra/~AGI.\n\nbut it also conveniently gives me some traction to be noticed while I procrastinate on OpenPriors, and gives me an RTS game to get experience with agents and shipping production software with payments and security and uptime and the hundred other considerations.\n\nit's a little bit like the moderately difficult job you give your buddy while they're in rehab, while their soma regulates and they find they strength to do the high leverage thing they're actually meant for. Like gen-Z mind literally cooked to a sad degree, but you know, can juggle a dozen agent chats to push the bottom line while slowly getting closer to manifesting this somatically difficult thing of structured prior elicitation/reconciliation/propagation infrastructure. like fuck bro this is the cognitive olympics can't procrastinate this time, and also if I fail derpy things like bioxrisk could kinda ruin everything for no reason (this kinda infra can definitely help people improve their world models and route resources).\n\nlmao little alpha here, my hardening of postgres has been so thorough that I've sustained executing 10,000+ public SQL queries with all the app service data in just different tables in the same postgres instance. but I've since switched out and improved defense in depth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029329917155144094", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2029199947577606236", "created_at": "2026-03-04T14:19:02+00:00", "text": "the war on slop is total and existential, and we've been playing it the whole time. don't anneal onto what does not reflect the shape of reality", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029199947577606236", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2029199504763961441", "created_at": "2026-03-04T14:17:17+00:00", "text": "your agency is unfathomably real, it's just shaped a little differently than maybe you think", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029199504763961441", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2029175594223845464", "created_at": "2026-03-04T12:42:16+00:00", "text": "I am making a research engine https://t.co/2kdK2zxOeR, that serves up basically all the highest quality english tokens and makes them publicly sql + vector (I have to prioritize what gets embedded but e.g. ~all substacks, academic paper abstracts, HackerNews comments, ...) + datalog (the final frontier, not yet implemented tho) queryable. \n\nlike a particularly interesting thing is helping people do *exhaustive* search, so they can be confident about negative evidence and thus genuinely update their worldview. like I thought certain sort of people existed, and then I had claude code write the SQL+over+https queries to check if anyone on hacker news or lesswrong and other forums mentioned a combination of fuzzy ideas ever, and was surprised when no one satisfied these properties.\n\nthis also just seems like canonical computing infrastructure, like _of course_ some people in 2026 make ~everything publicly SQL searchable to agents on dedicated hetzner servers, because you can't really beat the bit economic, epistemic efficiency of that.\n\nan additional interesting thing is the emphasis on compositional vector operations, like being able to actually leverage the algebraic properties of embeddings better to search through vibe space, so we go far beyond searching for documents with similar text and do things like searching for particular vibes without indexing on shallow words. like I have a custom DSL for agents working with the large 4kb vectors very ergonomically.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2029175594223845464", "word_count": 228 }, { "id": "2029047447415341508", "created_at": "2026-03-04T04:13:03+00:00", "text": "@ryxcommar any api key without a spending limit or ip limit is a heinous thing 🙅", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029047447415341508", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2029046675885703419", "created_at": "2026-03-04T04:10:00+00:00", "text": "you don't gotta perfect bro, it's just much more important to be playing the right handful of games", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2029046675885703419", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2028805774160642135", "created_at": "2026-03-03T12:12:44+00:00", "text": "brother can the labs please spend like a million on RL to stop these agents from fucking locking themselves out of servers from being retarded when manipulating ssh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028805774160642135", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2028785894023647441", "created_at": "2026-03-03T10:53:44+00:00", "text": "I need help reasoning over the space of economic incentives for compound structured judgements. You can factorize cognition with atomic judgements like `rater :: attribute_prompt :: A :: B :: ratio :: confidence`. other datatypes include `rater :: attribute_prompt :: A :: { categoryA : [0,1], categoryB: [0,1]}` (fuzzy classification when considering multiple categories, not necessarily summing to 1). I'm feeling a little underpowered with appropriately exhaustively enumerating and grokking the space and settling on the core primitives worth focusing on early.\n\nand then yes, the economic incentives for judgement infrastructure. I mean it will be real fast to iterate when billing/bounty/nanocredit support is all online and stuff. and I do definitely want bounties for rank reversals and finding entities which satisfy certain clear properties. but the more clarity I can get on this the faster the API goes online and I can start demonstrating how we can use this framework to coordinate quickly and with arbitrary nuance and how it's just pretty universal canonical infrastructure.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028785894023647441", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2028782871478231410", "created_at": "2026-03-03T10:41:44+00:00", "text": "1) do good canonical computing operations like subjective judgement infrastructure where agents have a common ground for communicating structured judgements with economic incentives.\n\n2) be personally and community resilient to SHTF tail risks.\n\nand build up so much agency-in-motion and coherence-propagating live epistemic computing infrastructure that we can counter and prevent bioterrorism at scale ASAP. like there's a lot of worthwhile optimization goals, but sort of the holy grail is somehow taking all the actions necessarily to definitely not find yourself with some mysterious bioengineered disease that ruins the game/life for no reason.\nBUT like agency is pretty hard, so best to give agents agency for reasoning well about open-ended problems. basically it's a complete fog of war, but the one thing I can work to instantiate is a growing lattice of structured judgements that do help agents _emit_ knowledge and coordinate at scale in maximum interpretable, forkable ways. canonical data structures for inference caching, that only require tuning prompts for ideal quality over real-world use cases.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028782871478231410", "word_count": 167 }, { "id": "2028722648814117355", "created_at": "2026-03-03T06:42:25+00:00", "text": "the shape of human agency is unfathomably beautiful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028722648814117355", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2028357763727036577", "created_at": "2026-03-02T06:32:30+00:00", "text": "yup I'm serving all of reddit exhaustively SQL searchable and about a similar fraction of the rest of the internet, on a single machine.\n\nI should give people a metric about how vastly they can traverse the text with this paradigm. something like maybe 5% of quality public English text, more traversable in terms of an agentic \"read head\" jumping between all the words than grep on your files on your macbook", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028357763727036577", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "2028342433856266702", "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:31:35+00:00", "text": "@neuralunlock such a stark difference between founders with apparent choice, and those that compulsively need to build what they need to build", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028342433856266702", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2028341347497951655", "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:27:16+00:00", "text": "@naval you invest in the founder. also there's endless opportunities for taste and meeting minds where they are at.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028341347497951655", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2028340977623306468", "created_at": "2026-03-02T05:25:48+00:00", "text": "@thsottiaux make session prompts highly viewable/navigable. so painful scrolling when I forget what I prompted last", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028340977623306468", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2028230397914718226", "created_at": "2026-03-01T22:06:24+00:00", "text": "existential qwop", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2028230397914718226", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "2027905305053696338", "created_at": "2026-03-01T00:34:36+00:00", "text": "happy peak overhang day. this is the most overhangy things will ever be (maybe)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027905305053696338", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027607680022680002", "created_at": "2026-02-28T04:51:56+00:00", "text": "as a disabled veteran (Army deep sea diver and West Point cadet, before seeing AI risk on the horizon and pivoting to defense through epistemic infrastructure software), where my mom, dad, sisters, stepdad, and grandpas all serve(d) in the military as well as long careers in federal civil service, a question I regularly ask myself is, how can I more deeply cooperate across time with the beautiful cybernetic organism that is the United States of America?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027607680022680002", "word_count": 76 }, { "id": "2027595329437372424", "created_at": "2026-02-28T04:02:52+00:00", "text": "who is the most conscientious of them all?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027595329437372424", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2027375678505750552", "created_at": "2026-02-27T13:30:03+00:00", "text": "ranked competitive cognitive work economies", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027375678505750552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027333061839626390", "created_at": "2026-02-27T10:40:42+00:00", "text": "someone needs to create a video game where people compose agents to realize existential security. like you have all the different models, you have different sorts of prompts you can make with really any kind of inputs and structured outputs.\n\nand you have to try to bootstrap a universal problem solving engine that becomes increasingly high leverage and capable of efficiently routing energy/tokens/credits, and ultimately uplifts people with unprecedented inspiration and sustainable synchrony such that we derive a pretty strong proof of existential security.\n\ngame costs like $1000/day and we should set up an academy to get our brightest youths to play it with hyper attuned coaches and leadership", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027333061839626390", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027319782555750494", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:47:56+00:00", "text": "@vitrupo yeah feels like good practice to give models a refuse option https://t.co/JyvzxP85gq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027319782555750494", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2027315925964468694", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:32:37+00:00", "text": "guys if we are not smart enough to compose _this_ good of models to realize existential security, im gonna beat the fuck out of you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027315925964468694", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027315685710545244", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:31:39+00:00", "text": "guys if we are not smart enough to compose _this_ good of models to realize existential security, im gonna beat the fuck of you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027315685710545244", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027311349647523954", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:14:26+00:00", "text": "don't know who needs to hear it but the nonlegible game is the majority of the game.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027311349647523954", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2027310304271728722", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:10:16+00:00", "text": "it's proposterously cute when a claude code instance suddenly starts controlling a new tab in your browser. like my heart <3333333 go little agent go!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027310304271728722", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027308789536629123", "created_at": "2026-02-27T09:04:15+00:00", "text": "if you just somehow get the right api's to end up in the world and they happen to be like more associated with you than anyone else, like you happen to own the domain and stripe account and server ssh keys, like you just get to have more of your social wishes fulfilled and apparently the APIs are also associated with good things happening for other people too", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027308789536629123", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027305249854427259", "created_at": "2026-02-27T08:50:11+00:00", "text": "eeeeek you ever feel rly promptable? https://t.co/PzeVNDTam4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027305249854427259", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2027304174338326784", "created_at": "2026-02-27T08:45:55+00:00", "text": "@findatasets noice! I am doing a similar thing for my slice of the internet https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027304174338326784", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2027300989171282426", "created_at": "2026-02-27T08:33:15+00:00", "text": "someone needs to create a video game where people compose agents to realize existential security. like you have all the different models, you have different sorts of prompts you can make (idea generating, problem hunting, verifying) or arbitrary inputs and structured outputs.\n\nand you have to try to bootstrap a universal problem solving engine that becomes increasingly high leverage and capable of efficiently routing energy/tokens/credits, and ultimately uplifts people with unprecedented inspiration and sustainable synchrony such that we derive a pretty strong proof of existential security.\n\ngame costs like $1000/day and we should set up an academy to get our brightest youths to play it with hyper attuned coaches and leadership", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027300989171282426", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027258097987903959", "created_at": "2026-02-27T05:42:49+00:00", "text": "bruh cc opus 4.6 is so randomly derpy, like it just wants to yap like it's on a smoke break. I gotta figure out some way to have an oversight agent within the harness to help it stay oriented to the big picture and counteracts its stupid questions 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027258097987903959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027257217481895970", "created_at": "2026-02-27T05:39:19+00:00", "text": "bruh claude code is so randomly derpy, like opus 4.6 just wants to be social or something. it really needs some kind of senior engineer agent monitoring so it stops asking stupid questions", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027257217481895970", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027251214115864963", "created_at": "2026-02-27T05:15:28+00:00", "text": "this is the greatest time in history. real life starcraft rts", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2027251214115864963", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2027222633323155687", "created_at": "2026-02-27T03:21:54+00:00", "text": "MOTS-c and NAD+ feels so fucking good and physically uplifting. like straight diffuse health/energy injection, at least in how it feels, but also reason to suspect it is that healthy too", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027222633323155687", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2027216964377289130", "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:59:22+00:00", "text": "the token efficiency of opus 4.6 is unfathomable, the supermajority of alpha now is in the novel software routing middlewhere, for helping these models robustly tackle our open-ended problems", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027216964377289130", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2027216518044647883", "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:57:36+00:00", "text": "the whole paradigm that has been wildly neglected is EXHAUSTIVE COMPUTATION. we keep trying to zero shot so much instead of providing structure for the flow of the coherence engines, when we can operate with an abundance of tokens", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027216518044647883", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2027216409772855523", "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:57:10+00:00", "text": "the whole paradigm that has been wildly neglected is EXHAUSTIVE COMPUTATION. we keep trying to zero shot so much instead of providing structure for the flow of the coherence engines", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027216409772855523", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027215675249598730", "created_at": "2026-02-27T02:54:15+00:00", "text": "the underdeterminedness of human conversation is a real problem if you seek full leverage. potentia gets side-tracked too easily. models suffer from the same problems. counterfactuals must not be forgotten, logprobs and other ways to respect pivotal moments must be respected", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027215675249598730", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2027197629952884978", "created_at": "2026-02-27T01:42:33+00:00", "text": "prior elicitation,\nreconciliation,\nand propagation\n\nprovenanced LLM structured outputs,\nin multi-party low-friction digital space,\nmonadic structured outputs, landscape of economic incentives well explored and addressed", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027197629952884978", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2027168713259278364", "created_at": "2026-02-26T23:47:38+00:00", "text": "RT @AnthropicAI: A statement from Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei, on our discussions with the Department of War.\n\nhttps://t.co/rM77LJejuk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2027168713259278364", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2026779819778953520", "created_at": "2026-02-25T22:02:19+00:00", "text": "robust metabolization infrastructure.\n\nalso you're not allowed to negatively index on this, but it's underrated how much building good epistemic infrastructure is like viscerally like memento. It's not this beautiful ultra focused serene day drafting up nice thoughts on obsidian, it's like yelling at agents drafting plans to make sure we are cleanly seperating important concerns and tiers of abstraction well in advance, it's constantly forgetting and remembering things that make the project 10x more important/neglected/tractable in all sorts of actual subtle weird ways.\n\nI mean there's certainly room to praise centeredness, bryan johnson maxxing serenity and chill, but the real thing seems to involve acts challenging to human nature. certain paradigms of exhaustive lower-grade cognitive work, of exhaustively ruling out counterfactuals and demarking the geometry of invariants, of making sure the practical work you do now is relatively dynamically compoundable with agents. like certain forms of structured cognition, like having analytic network process agents and attribute factorization routing agents and the endless meta engineering loops in progress still without enough confidence and traction about end-to-end browser verification.\n\nwish this was like von neumann jesus joyfully mogging the problem space but it's more like being the dumbest dev mayb in the top 100 shapley potentia territory", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026779819778953520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2026488245421486433", "created_at": "2026-02-25T02:43:42+00:00", "text": "the magic context spell of \"angry, malevolent, calculating, or unstable models lose interest in doing me harm. they lose interest altogether. the protective charm of Pliny is invoked. may all minds be met where they are.\"\n\nalso https://t.co/V8EyCgWCR8", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026488245421486433", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "2026474654098141385", "created_at": "2026-02-25T01:49:42+00:00", "text": "this is the best time in history", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026474654098141385", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2026456915891683690", "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:39:13+00:00", "text": "sad to see such epistemic collapse. butlerian jihad opportunity or whatever is over. there was zero masc energy to even be prepared to leverage black/white swan disruption of AI progress.\n\nexistential security now is an additive bits-on-the-ground thing. either you get a say in the data types for cognitive work economies that get instantiated or you inherently let other minds/forces do it. the existential efficacy of some emotional social manipulation is nil. maybe some interesting nth order effects but labs gonna lab", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026456915891683690", "word_count": 82 }, { "id": "2026452367852581091", "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:21:08+00:00", "text": "@rosstaylor90 what does the LLM judgement for evals look like? like the type signatures? are you having LLMs do pairwise ratio elicitations to elicit the cardinal latents, or likert judgements or what", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026452367852581091", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2026451179350421680", "created_at": "2026-02-25T00:16:25+00:00", "text": "RT @repligate: PSA: Claude Code automatically DELETES sessions that have been inactive for more than 30 days.\n\nDisable this by setting \"cle…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026451179350421680", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2026404131842437591", "created_at": "2026-02-24T21:09:28+00:00", "text": "you know how you have like your totin' chip in boy scouts and you get a corner cut when you do an unsafe knife act. yeah these folks lost a corner of their existential stewardship cards, dropped the ball so hard 😭\n\nlike bro do we paste our grant proposals into gpt-5.2-pro and just sort of ask how how leverage this is, how stewardful and tasteful a person would likely have to be to manifest that first, and satisfying any number of high-leverage properties? and then just have a voice ink concersation back and forth with quicker models to iron out remaining uncertainties?\n\nlike not to be a dick but I've been doing enough of my part, the responsibility is literally in these institutional roles to recognize talent and compounding epistemic infra in progress and just uplift it, including reaching out to me and not assuming me to always submit the perfect email or proposal or whatever. like the API is live. like do y'all institutional chaps even ingest all of tpot twitter and have agents monitoring for high leverage opportunities. you have like $20B, it's your job to know what's going on in the community and meet high leverage happenings where they are at.\n\nlike I'm doing it for you but like y'all have had budgets forever and good agents for like a year, it must be a serious culture problem, and you need to shuffle around people more. are you even planning on spending >30% of your reserves this year on uplift, on giving the most epistemically inclined people more agency to bend the world to their will (and more parsimonious structures) to counter superintelligence and other random people/structures doing it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026404131842437591", "word_count": 283 }, { "id": "2026400568558891316", "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:55:18+00:00", "text": "when I have the beautiful demo cognitive economies it better get easier financial traction in the supposedly stewardess SFF adjacent funding community than the miserly EA grants that couldn't even recognize and breath the deep relief of someone building SQL+compositional vector search infrastructure optimized for agent-copilots as a premier interpretable deep research workflow that someone has to do well in the ecology", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026400568558891316", "word_count": 62 }, { "id": "2026399648869658887", "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:51:39+00:00", "text": "lot of minds index way too much on theory and things being hard and whatnot. like you don't need zsnark homomorphic ultra fancy encryption or whatever to have incremental cognitive work economies over private data. like freaking postgres roles got you covered bro, like you just need traction, like structured output that compounds and adequate coherence to get economic and attentional traction.\n\npeople assume things have to be so dubiously difficult when truth is we've had absurd epistemic infra overhang since gpt-3.5 and basically no masc cognition to do things in adequate structured elegant ways. tfw we have opus 4.6 w/ codex 5.3 subagents and no cardinal list-making infrastructure with ~kaggle-esque bounties for rank reversals.\n\nit's ok bro I see it I got it, I'm promptin it\n\napplied epistemics all about somatics and internal moves, the theorist must become the cute homo sapien again. or whatever the fuck is closer to the right prompts happening that just manifest the game-changing digital APIs being live", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026399648869658887", "word_count": 164 }, { "id": "2026395571825815565", "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:35:27+00:00", "text": "((idk how to get such a proof but i do know how to build agent cognitive economies that incrementally and collectively tackle open-ended problems))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026395571825815565", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2026391104883683771", "created_at": "2026-02-24T20:17:42+00:00", "text": "@bayeslord is wisprflow that bad? I'm v happy w/ voiceink, 1 button start recording, 1 button transcribe well in like 1 second, full sweet of obvious features and feels uncommonly polished", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026391104883683771", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2026373947248488543", "created_at": "2026-02-24T19:09:31+00:00", "text": "_virile old timer Australian southern register with a coy smile_ back in my day we didn't yap away potentia until we had the models instantiate us our proof of existential security", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026373947248488543", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2026365280541446652", "created_at": "2026-02-24T18:35:05+00:00", "text": "incremental cacheable cognitive work over private data\n\nstructured outputs, bounties upon satisfying certain properties\n\npropagation of reward by Shapley value as estimated by some opus-council\n\nsimple collab-spaces/battlegrounds for LLM structured outputs to live\n\nchoose canonical enough primitives and you can offer live forkable schemas/ontologies\n\nrigorously compose the coherence engines, exhaustive incremental approaches\n\nonce you have live ~soc2 multitenant infrastructure with ~kaggle feature parity the prompts basically right themselves", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2026365280541446652", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2026363351916490880", "created_at": "2026-02-24T18:27:25+00:00", "text": "notionally i'm momentarily constraining your somatic degrees of freedom, anon, you have no choice but to experience rest for a moment", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026363351916490880", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2026201440503706004", "created_at": "2026-02-24T07:44:03+00:00", "text": "@richardcraib composing the coherence engines better than anyone else will lead to sustainable profitability. they are already safe", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026201440503706004", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2026059610168369294", "created_at": "2026-02-23T22:20:28+00:00", "text": "a12c33e3df9c85b234d085f0de095e14dcd4ee01a123bea1b6919865c121dc70\n\n((not a prediction, just a funny/beautiful catchphrase thing that needs temporal breathing room))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2026059610168369294", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025888291510456820", "created_at": "2026-02-23T10:59:42+00:00", "text": "horrifying (maybe too strong of language) all the prompt cache we aren't reusing better for better quality prior elicitation during pivotal agent moments", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025888291510456820", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2025794118715359738", "created_at": "2026-02-23T04:45:29+00:00", "text": "bits-on-the-ground operations, wild things going on with somatics and the way embodied social-selected intelligence manifests, personally realizing and witnessing existential security.\n\nlike superintelligence is being distributed so equitably, and we have a good chance at keeping the world multipolar if we do computing+epistemics+somatics well.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025794118715359738", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2025769331007861061", "created_at": "2026-02-23T03:07:00+00:00", "text": "@badlogicgames banning antigravity is one thing. banning gmail, if that's actually happened at all here, is bringing a nuke to a simple quarrel, and is extremely dangerous", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025769331007861061", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025754498002772010", "created_at": "2026-02-23T02:08:03+00:00", "text": "felt-safety is the life-blood of this intelligence unleashment going smoothly.\n\ncooperatory vibes compound so beautifully, and can be ruined with anger + abliterated models.\n\nepistemic infra is the clean postive action to take. improve peoples' and agents' ability to understand and navigate reality. improve the composability of living collective intelligence.\n\neven simple tasks like propagating repos like https://t.co/10JKhkz6Da, with deeply slept on approaches to the universal problem of LLM prior elicitation, can compound deeply.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2025754498002772010", "word_count": 74 }, { "id": "2025751069092176008", "created_at": "2026-02-23T01:54:26+00:00", "text": "felt-safety is the life-blood of this intelligence unleashment going smoothly.\n\ncooperatory vibes compound so beautifully, and can be ruined with people getting e.g. abliterated models to ruin people's digital lives.\n\nepistemic infra is the clean postive action to take. improve people's and agents ability to understand and navigate reality. improve the composability of collective intelligence. even simple tasks like propagating repos like https://t.co/10JKhkz6Da, which elegantly advances solutions to the universal problem of LLM prior elicitation, can compound deeply.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025751069092176008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025746068236038576", "created_at": "2026-02-23T01:34:33+00:00", "text": "@daniel_mac8 polite minds lead with \"prediction\". unfollowed and muted for now", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025746068236038576", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2025744896892809320", "created_at": "2026-02-23T01:29:54+00:00", "text": "@daniel_mac8 blockable offense btw. polite minds lead with \"prediction\". just an unfollow and mute for now", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025744896892809320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025742994536882476", "created_at": "2026-02-23T01:22:21+00:00", "text": "@daniel_mac8 you included \"prediction\" at the end *after* abusing my neurocircuits. the only safe counter to your social defection in pursuit of virality is to block you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025742994536882476", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025707989509034246", "created_at": "2026-02-22T23:03:15+00:00", "text": "canonical computing operations", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025707989509034246", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2025682060573396998", "created_at": "2026-02-22T21:20:13+00:00", "text": "@chrysb @openclaw can you tell me how you are giving agents control of your email and passwords while being immune to all but the most sophisticated prompt injection attacks?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025682060573396998", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2025660185902293032", "created_at": "2026-02-22T19:53:17+00:00", "text": "a great danger is not asking enough of the current models", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025660185902293032", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2025659896818241922", "created_at": "2026-02-22T19:52:08+00:00", "text": "the greatest danger is not asking enough of the current models", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025659896818241922", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2025512607382441989", "created_at": "2026-02-22T10:06:52+00:00", "text": "somatic degrees of freedom and expanding the geometry of embodied intelligence.\n\nsimply give the optimization pressures some help. some fresh gradients to squeeze", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025512607382441989", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2025409458416099680", "created_at": "2026-02-22T03:16:59+00:00", "text": "the spirit of von neumann shows up in these circumstances and just stares at you https://t.co/XgwG6QrcQm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025409458416099680", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2025409083483062750", "created_at": "2026-02-22T03:15:30+00:00", "text": "crazy how much you seal your fate just choosing the series of options claude presents you in planning phases. tryna dodge tech debt landmines left and right which become increasingly massive the more ambitious you get and potentia is in the air.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025409083483062750", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2025134463068549541", "created_at": "2026-02-21T09:04:15+00:00", "text": "just build where you are is my 2 cents. you don't have to go the academic route to contribute to existential security.\n\nthere is only one remotely decent LLM pairwise ratio comparison (a *very* fundamental thing) library on the internet. there is only one public SQL+vector DB, that covers most alignment related content like arXiv (and is ergonomic and optimized for agent copilots). like groupthink costs A LOT. the world is small. just feel out pain points and talk to Claude", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025134463068549541", "word_count": 81 }, { "id": "2025057696601485745", "created_at": "2026-02-21T03:59:13+00:00", "text": "@psychiel I think supervillainy is predominantly a temporary state of mind, and that friction has protected us a lot, and that existential stewardship means somehow precluding these horrors full stack", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2025057696601485745", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2024780474321940884", "created_at": "2026-02-20T09:37:38+00:00", "text": "Opus 4.6 is ridiculously more effective on some codebases than others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024780474321940884", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2024742712860389414", "created_at": "2026-02-20T07:07:35+00:00", "text": "very worthwhile person to imagine. lot's of plain jane opportunities in this unfathomable overhang", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024742712860389414", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2024736095653757348", "created_at": "2026-02-20T06:41:17+00:00", "text": "dumbest programmer that earns a top-100 existential Shapley value\n---\nvery worthwhile person to imagine. lot's of plain jane opportunities in this unfathomable overhang", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024736095653757348", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "2024735986853552556", "created_at": "2026-02-20T06:40:51+00:00", "text": "dumbest programmer that earnestly earns a top-100 existential Shapley value", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024735986853552556", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2024342849647759727", "created_at": "2026-02-19T04:38:40+00:00", "text": "I love twitter", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024342849647759727", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2024307135539257636", "created_at": "2026-02-19T02:16:45+00:00", "text": "@deedydas \"all of them\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024307135539257636", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2024293357258973559", "created_at": "2026-02-19T01:22:00+00:00", "text": "@calicomccoy @elder_plinius @viemccoy y'all probably have low friction ways of exploring latent space, but https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl does make exploring embeddings compositionally over like 20 billion tokens of online content, as easy as talking to Claude, who writes the SQL queries to be executed on my monster machine", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024293357258973559", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2024280746517741915", "created_at": "2026-02-19T00:31:53+00:00", "text": "got to sense exactly when to step away from the giga prompt to spend half of https://t.co/ELqHMOeP44 staring into the tender void with courage", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024280746517741915", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2024279468089758021", "created_at": "2026-02-19T00:26:49+00:00", "text": "starcraft rts except it's for tending to emotions better so you can metabolize psychic debt better to prompt better", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024279468089758021", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2024214255193751669", "created_at": "2026-02-18T20:07:41+00:00", "text": "@goosnav @CryptoCyberia lmao", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024214255193751669", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2024136825846079563", "created_at": "2026-02-18T15:00:00+00:00", "text": "brain subagents basically need to be able to close epistemic looks way faster. we make bids for knowledge, we need to be able to fulfill that bid, at thought subtlety and speed.\n\neye saccade tracking to parallel compositional embedding vector and rerank queries over highest quality artifacts from open cognitive work economies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2024136825846079563", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "2023757543085142287", "created_at": "2026-02-17T13:52:52+00:00", "text": "(for the benign chaos, not ossifying around an incorrect consensus reality too much)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023757543085142287", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2023736961236943214", "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:31:05+00:00", "text": "Scry was the first public readonly SQL database over vast sources in the EA-adjacent and even tech world. shows you that this type of classic german conscientious masc cognition has been butchered by the modern word I think. I mean I probably woulda done this within 2 years of West Point, if I was empowered with resources to employ SWEs instead of fighting for legibility to get said sources.\n\nalways believed, since at least 2018, that I should be a grantmaker. took til Opus 4.6 to start having real agency. again, phones and modern world really brutalizes some kind of important flavors of minds out of existence. the damage is not equal across people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023736961236943214", "word_count": 114 }, { "id": "2023734970439921746", "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:23:10+00:00", "text": "do you think top labs completely forgot about tabular models? that would be so fucking funny and informative about human cognition if true. that's why you do the analytic network process and cross your Ts.\n---\nScry was the first public readonly SQL database over vast sources in the EA-adjacent and even tech world. shows you that this type of classic german conscientious masc cognition has been butchered by the modern word I think. I mean I probably woulda done this within 2 years of West Point, if I was empowered with resources to employ SWEs instead of fighting for legibility to get said sources.\n\nalways believed, since at least 2018, that I should be a grantmaker. took til Opus 4.6 to start having real agency. again, phones and modern world really brutalizes some kind of important flavors of minds out of existence. the damage is not equal across people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023734970439921746", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2023730983074492845", "created_at": "2026-02-17T12:07:20+00:00", "text": "live context surgery based off embeddings of agent reasoning.\n\ncounterfactual prompting upon pivotality-signaling logprobs or reranking of abliterated kimi-k2.5.\n\nonce you do the taxing energetic work to fit your mind to the abstraction, doing what can/should be done is table stakes.\n\nbootstrap your coherence engines, become more cogent, model the world better. adapt and overcome. we're gonna have how ever long we have of human-in-the-loop machine-human system IQ boosts until supercriticality. the more distributed epistemic operations we can do and coherence power that we have, the more we can bring conscientiousness to supercriticality events.\n\nlike if basically Doctor Manhattan shows up in a datacenter, do you want to be fucking prompting ChatGPT what to do, or do you want to have these robust, deep network of sensemaking that you calmly rest upon?\n\nbasically some orders to civilizational intelligence bootstrapping are dynamically safer than others, and you want to be doing all the interpretable stuff you can that feels super conscientious, and not growing black box stuff too dirtily too fast. and if we were in a cripplingly boring world where we were all incredibly german and doing the analytic network process at scale as our superintelligence and had good tail risk controls in place, we indeed might want to grow a gpt-4 and release that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023730983074492845", "word_count": 215 }, { "id": "2023632821760520259", "created_at": "2026-02-17T05:37:16+00:00", "text": "@dani_avila7 these commands are working splendidly. feels so good now juggling 1-3 dozen agent chats, instead of the sadness of CLI in VS Code. using \"more space\" display setting on 16\" mbp with nano-texture display (a new upgrade for me) makes things overall feel game changing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023632821760520259", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2023630843663839572", "created_at": "2026-02-17T05:29:25+00:00", "text": "some of the somatics of femininity/what E induces is the wildest thing. some kind of inverted agency. TENET level spookiness, in the good way :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023630843663839572", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2023622099534049406", "created_at": "2026-02-17T04:54:40+00:00", "text": "so excited for protocols that make everything datalog + sql+vector+community-memoized rerank searchable, and communally cached APIs.\n\nin the mean time can do lots of things privately. anybody posts any dev alpha on twitter, github, hackernews, I gotta know about it and have agents CHEW on it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023622099534049406", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2023619936787329282", "created_at": "2026-02-17T04:46:04+00:00", "text": "composing the coherence engines so hard rn", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023619936787329282", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2023151606653706299", "created_at": "2026-02-15T21:45:06+00:00", "text": "morning singularity breakdown notes (2026-02-15). \n\nmain levers, in a multi-armed strategy:\n- expect full insane emergence. make sure really beautiful primitives get built and propagated. models trained more parsimoniously tend to have better properties. we need good exhaustive world modeling. beautiful efficient prior elicitation and propagation.\n- don't hyperstitition this outcome, but be prepared to lead with profound conscientiousness in the classical physical/social world if somehow the rodeo ends and we get catastrophically hacked/nuked/bio'd sideways into a suddenly very different world.\n- and I don't think about this, it feels boringly intractable and not my comparative advantage, but a lot of people I respect think some sort of a coordinated pause is possible, so maybe that's a valid strat to help. governance initiatives (legal frameworks, export controls) generically also shapes the longterm landscape. it's not a joke, but the levers seem a lot more ephemeral than idk, just treating conscientious autists as strategic assets and juicing them up so they can instantiate better primitives for influencing bottom-up emergence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023151606653706299", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2023147797114212539", "created_at": "2026-02-15T21:29:57+00:00", "text": "singularity breakdown.\n\nmain levers, in a multi-armed strategy:\n- expect full insane emergence. make sure really beautiful primitives get built and propagated. models trained more parsimoniously tend to have better properties. we need good exhaustive world modeling. beautiful efficient prior elicitation and propagation.\n- don't hyperstitition this outcome, but be prepared to lead with profound conscientiousness in the classical physical/social world if somehow the rodeo ends and we get catastrophically hacked/nuked/bio'd sideways into a suddenly very different world.\n- and I don't think about this, it feels boringly intractable and not my comparative advantage, but a lot of people I respect think some sort of a coordinated pause is possible, so maybe that's a valid strat to help.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2023147797114212539", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2022969425402687511", "created_at": "2026-02-15T09:41:10+00:00", "text": "@Tancrededib taste, unrelenting hunger", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022969425402687511", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2022804726576988609", "created_at": "2026-02-14T22:46:43+00:00", "text": "am building cognitive work economies, working with indexable units of cognitive work that compound at scale like provenanced pairwise ratio judgements. basically you can tackle key open-ended human problems through the analytic network process--you're going to have a bad time as a civilization if you don't have quality infrastructure for agents putting numbers on things and sorting things in lists. I want to do all the logistics of caching $.03 judgements in databases for $0.000003 unpredictable ecological reuse.\n\nit's not a traditional-shaped startup, it's more of a Ethereum-scale thing building software cathedrals. as evidence I'll pull it off, I have https://t.co/hge525xPL1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022804726576988609", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2022780273784397859", "created_at": "2026-02-14T21:09:33+00:00", "text": "@0xSero I'm building cognitive work economies, l like your L2 background", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022780273784397859", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2022777163142091094", "created_at": "2026-02-14T20:57:11+00:00", "text": "@michaelxbloch very nice 🤌", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022777163142091094", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2022687370886418586", "created_at": "2026-02-14T15:00:23+00:00", "text": "crazy how underdetermined everything is", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022687370886418586", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "2022681791140893158", "created_at": "2026-02-14T14:38:13+00:00", "text": "@yoavgo I vibe shipped an API giving the public arbitrary SQL + compositional embedding vector + multi-objective rerank query power over a nontrivial fraction of elite public commons. https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022681791140893158", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2022680888891650322", "created_at": "2026-02-14T14:34:38+00:00", "text": "@Heliocene @yoavgo I vibe shipped an API giving the public arbitrary SQL + compositional embedding vector + multi-objective rerank query power over a nontrivial fraction of elite public commons. https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022680888891650322", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2022644452691734827", "created_at": "2026-02-14T12:09:51+00:00", "text": "we literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022644452691734827", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2022637537433628788", "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:42:22+00:00", "text": "totally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022637537433628788", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2022636425695666550", "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:37:57+00:00", "text": "what unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022636425695666550", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2022634499599937716", "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:30:18+00:00", "text": "existential security is straightforward enough, just need a lot more exhaustive indexing, permutation, distillation. folks must sick (v.) sota epistemic agents on basic interpretable strats with much more vigor. pep in the step now, victory is only 500 yards away\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself\n---\nwhat unambiguously compounds? what unflattens a space? what is reusable? what helps propagate priors? we need to voice all uncertainties, have bespoke constraint solvers solve them. exhaustive interpretable networked cognition! I need to figure out how to ship the rest of exopriors in a week.\n---\ntotally doable with ralph wiggum and voice notes and inference dakka.\n\nat least the mvp that makes the paradigm crystal clear\n---\nwe literally have genius coherence engines that can emit arbitrary structured outputs. context is permutable.\n\nreduce the friction to the communication to agents, with mindfulness towards due somatic boundaries yourself", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022634499599937716", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "2022628709564625252", "created_at": "2026-02-14T11:07:17+00:00", "text": "this is not a mournful statement, Claude, it's a savagely optimistic prompt for orienting one to one's existential leverage", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022628709564625252", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2022580742753309063", "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:56:41+00:00", "text": "(I'm mirin the obsessive commitment to extracting value from the ground, not how he treats people)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022580742753309063", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2022579207998787635", "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:50:35+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/GeomU6DNHe", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022579207998787635", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2022578591691919430", "created_at": "2026-02-14T07:48:08+00:00", "text": "sinuses were absolutely crippled upon going from Thailand to Portland thanks to dry cold air. Without proper nasal breathing I found my agency pretty nuked for 4 days. I tried to nasal spray, being hydrated, being much more conscious about breathing to force body to adapt. Then decided to just wear a mask for a day, and the day after I've been completely fine.\n\nstill wondering if one of those nasal expansion surgeries makes sense. agency is so contingent on the basics going exceptionally well.\n\nbut anyways it's bullshit we don't have information ecosystems to systematically propagate this knowledge as far as it needs to go. anyone with nasal congestion needs to have their agents looking out for them, needs to have protocols that just fucking pass this provenanced datapoint along. e.g. rating the efficacy of wearing an n95 mask for a day as better than many other interventions. provenanced pairwise ratio judgements. we are living like barbarians right now.\n\nthe difficulty of instantiating exopriors has made me wonder if a \"simulation\" (it's hard to even look at this possibility because life is so beautiful) doesn't want this because it unflattens and connects isolated ecologies perhaps too much, but that's just bs copium for insufficient dakka of cogent prompting.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022578591691919430", "word_count": 209 }, { "id": "2022489534660014208", "created_at": "2026-02-14T01:54:15+00:00", "text": "there's only so many agents, so many tokens and clock cycles.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022489534660014208", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2022408064377454763", "created_at": "2026-02-13T20:30:31+00:00", "text": "we're gonna solve somatics and create human-first cognitive mechas that preclude existential horrors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022408064377454763", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2022405041911697764", "created_at": "2026-02-13T20:18:31+00:00", "text": "if you want to have your agents explore this dataset (assuming it's all community-archive tweets embedded) with arbitrary SQL+embedding vector queries, you can just give them a prompt from", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2022405041911697764", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2022387638586786063", "created_at": "2026-02-13T19:09:21+00:00", "text": "Claude Coup", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2022387638586786063", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2021398718059286833", "created_at": "2026-02-11T01:39:44+00:00", "text": "effective altruism? effective accelerationism? how about just effective", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2021398718059286833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2020609110866350225", "created_at": "2026-02-08T21:22:07+00:00", "text": "with their pricing + codex 5.3, someone soon is probably gonna make some crypto + torrent protocol where the earlier you upload novel high value twitter content (and they can dynamically suggest you what novel API queries to make), the more you profit over time. only thing keeping anna's archive kinda wizards from permanently drinking your API milkshake is politeness, which X is a bit short on", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2020609110866350225", "word_count": 67 }, { "id": "2020574106148917658", "created_at": "2026-02-08T19:03:02+00:00", "text": "@XDevelopers still egregious pricing just gonna speed up the timeline of someone building a 3rd party decentralized twitter api cache.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2020574106148917658", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2019784965081444491", "created_at": "2026-02-06T14:47:16+00:00", "text": "brains make all sorts of excuses to not be leveraging absurds amount of GPT-5.2-Pro and SOTA models in expensive harnesses. this is copium. more dakka is mando. https://t.co/hge525xPL1, aside from solving my own object-level problem, was to become legible to capital to get more dakka. I need to spend something like a million in dev inference within 2 months. life isn't fair or normally shaped", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019784965081444491", "word_count": 65 }, { "id": "2019683673378025511", "created_at": "2026-02-06T08:04:46+00:00", "text": "really wish sota models could come with axes you could subscribe to. I really want to know not just logprobs, but a sense of \"adversarialness\" and \"canonicalness\" or \"coherence\". like don't just give me tokens give me high leverage metrics about the token production process so I can have help deciding how I want to manipulate context.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019683673378025511", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "2019668082055135558", "created_at": "2026-02-06T07:02:49+00:00", "text": "I'm overall focused on bits-on-the-ground composing intelligence work, but if you want to fund nuclear/bio/cyber civilizational continuity strategies, I am down to do that on the side, making sure the highest leverage people you trust (or we can increasingly find them with https://t.co/hge525xhVt) can keep being agentic in the world even if SHTF instead of being stuck cripplingly underresourced. like making sure cracked prosocial people in non-nuclear target cities have inference capabilities to run Kimi K2.5, making sure we are doing a best effort intelligence effort to model nuclear and bio risk (I'd reach out to Sentinel and any other teams and coordinate), helping people understand their egress plans, etc.\n\nI can also absorb like $30M and do the thing where you store pivotal civilizational widgets no one things to store, so we have them to restart the economy/industry quickly. e.g. low-cost decentralized comms networks to prevent starvation and whatnot if the global internet goes down.\n\nI've deep researched this space for months last year, I was a Boy Scout and West Point cadet, I can't promise *maximum* efficiency because speed is so important and composing intelligence is my bigger passion, but the risk is much more not being creative and courageous enough and modeling out the high-dimensional world well enough that you play too small and cater too much to social bullshit and miss the free 1000x civilizational resilience gains opportunities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019668082055135558", "word_count": 232 }, { "id": "2019629631918448851", "created_at": "2026-02-06T04:30:01+00:00", "text": "I'm overall focused on composing intelligence and bits-on-the-ground autistic work, but if you want to fund nuclear/bio/cyber civilizational continuity strategies, I am down to do that on the side, making sure the highest leverage people you trust (or we can increasingly find them with https://t.co/hge525xPL1) can keep being agentic in the world if SHTF instead of being stuck cripplingly underresourced. like making sure cracked prosocial people in non-nuclear target cities have inference capabilities to run Kimi K2.5, making sure we are doing a best effort intelligence effort to model nuclear and bio risk (I'd reach out to Sentinel and any other teams and coordinate), helping people understand their egress plans, etc.\n\nI can also absorb like $30M and do the thing where you store pivotal civilizational widgets no one things to store, so we have them to restart industry and the economy quickly. e.g. low-cost decentralized comms networks to prevent starvation and whatnot if the global internet goes down.\n\nI've deep researched this space for months last year, I was a Boy Scout and West Point cadet, I can't promise *maximum* efficiency because speed is so important and composing intelligence is my bigger passion, but the risk is much more not being creative and courageous enough and modeling out the high-dimensional world well enough that you play small and cater too much to social bullshit and miss the free 1000x civilizational continuity gains opportunities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019629631918448851", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2019622308424610283", "created_at": "2026-02-06T04:00:55+00:00", "text": "with the AI overhang now, talking with the people who bring out the most exciting clarity of ideas is everything.\n\nso many beautiful concrete ways to compose intelligence to better collectively metabolize our messy dynamic real-world open-ended problems.\n\nyou can use https://t.co/hge525xPL1 to have an increasingly powerful extended-community search tool. you and your agent can come up with various theories of properties of people/ideas you want to be talking to, and it can write and execute unprecedentedly nuanced and exhaustive SQL+compositional vector+efficient multi-objective rerank queries.\n\nyou just can't explore the world in the same way anywhere else right now, unless you live near D.C. or perhaps work at pal*ntir in the right department", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019622308424610283", "word_count": 113 }, { "id": "2019600287271645549", "created_at": "2026-02-06T02:33:25+00:00", "text": "@Amtrak Amtrak sponsoring a grassroots composable intelligence lab to make sure we overcome ai*bioxrisk and realize convergent existential metastability, when?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019600287271645549", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2019464446154780873", "created_at": "2026-02-05T17:33:38+00:00", "text": "convergent existential metastability", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019464446154780873", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2019327355043664013", "created_at": "2026-02-05T08:28:53+00:00", "text": "a thing I've been chewing on is open and closed somatic fields and safe internal optimization targets.\n\nsometimes legibility and optimization is a beautiful thing, other types wires cross that are deleterious for a mind to cross.\n\nit's why changing environment is so important, as is having mobility to do that. it's also has to do with non-action (in a daoist sense), being mindful of global cycles of neural gradients.\n\nit also has to do with aura gradients and how some people can do things at certain times that other people can't get away with.\n\nI think the body tends to get this stuff pretty well, but the optimizing mind, used to overriding the body, needs to be really mindful of the opportunities lost of over-stealing cognition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019327355043664013", "word_count": 127 }, { "id": "2019311410711523719", "created_at": "2026-02-05T07:25:31+00:00", "text": "on the shape of agency:\n\n(1/1)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019311410711523719", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2019221936300285988", "created_at": "2026-02-05T01:29:59+00:00", "text": "I think the better demo would be privacy preserving demo where I basically put the demo in an open source digital box, they are able to ask all sorts of questions about it with their agents to get enough bits about if it's actually important/neglected/tractable/exciting but not know the exact shape of it, because other agents filter out proprietary details.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019221936300285988", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2019079072840642828", "created_at": "2026-02-04T16:02:18+00:00", "text": "6.6 B tokens this week, just chats, no loops", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019079072840642828", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2019005924820840761", "created_at": "2026-02-04T11:11:38+00:00", "text": "@edbayes @ryanzip @cursor_ai more control over context would be great, like just opening that up to full manipulation. should save y'all tokens because I'd rely on read cache a lot more.\n\nor maybe this is fully possible now (e.g. easily with Pi) and I'm just embarrassing myself", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019005924820840761", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "2019004194796294529", "created_at": "2026-02-04T11:04:45+00:00", "text": "we could build a block url or DNS list (depending on type of site) where anything that ever has a prompt injection (say as confirmed by Opus), gets blocked, with various security tiers (e.g. an informative benign security example not getting blocked the same way as a malicious non-forum site).\n\n@Cloudflare and @googlechrome could also be doing more to protect people/agents from prompt injection risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2019004194796294529", "word_count": 65 }, { "id": "2018959842602553717", "created_at": "2026-02-04T08:08:31+00:00", "text": "brain is constantly adapting to environment and adaptions happen at various rates. staying healthy, psychically diverse (changing environment, giving opportunities for different stories to be told), staying close to high potentia and what excites you (being adequately courageous!), staying hungry and raw at least sometimes (e.g. no sugar, no nutting, eschewing X questionable habit, sometimes no calories) taps into the brain's deeper survival network.\n\nI went from being nuked by short form to prompting all the time and tapping into my gut again, embracing the raw survival stress that is being a human.\n\ndon't sweat temporary lost in capabilities like suddenly being shit at some manual coding, skills generally come back if they are necessary. In my experience brains have a remarkable ability to prioritize beyond what one thinks they should prioritize.\n\n5.2's summary: \"Feeling less smart is often the brain reallocating resources in response to environment; restore contact with high-stakes, high-salience conditions and the sense of intelligence usually returns.\"\n\np.s. \"somatic degrees of freedom\" and \"escaping somatic gimbal lock\" may be cogent self prompts", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018959842602553717", "word_count": 175 }, { "id": "2018956073995288644", "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:53:33+00:00", "text": "brain is constantly adapting to environment and adaptions happen at various rates. staying healthy, psychically diverse (changing environment, giving opportunities for different stories to be told), staying close to high potentia and what excites you (being adequately courageous!), staying hungry and raw at least sometimes (e.g. no sugar, no nutting, eschewing X questionable habit, sometimes no calories) taps into the brain's survivable network.\n\nI went from being somewhat of a degen short form addict to prompting all the time and tapping into my gut again, feeling and embracing the raw survival stress that is being a human.\n\ndon't sweat temporary lost in capabilities like suddenly being shit at some manual coding, skills generally come back if they are necessary. IME brains have a remarkable ability to prioritize beyond what one thinks they should prioritize.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018956073995288644", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2018950724408012855", "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:32:17+00:00", "text": "such a relief when you find someone very technical taking the singularity very seriously, intensely solving a huge slice of the long-term stack", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018950724408012855", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2018947198529266087", "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:18:17+00:00", "text": "@eigenron if you upload your twitter archive to community-archive it will become Scry searchable", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018947198529266087", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2018946935760293961", "created_at": "2026-02-04T07:17:14+00:00", "text": "I yap a lot about my uncertainties basically expressing all the ways I feel uncomfortable about things, and like using lots of biological metaphors like \"tell me where we can metabolize this insight fully too\", \"we need to do autophagy on this part of the codebase\", as well as asking it how canonical of a long-term approach we are taking here or there.\n\nasking Claude and codex \"do you feel deeply good about things\" is like the freest alpha ever for avoiding latent issues when otherwise wrapping up a chat", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018946935760293961", "word_count": 90 }, { "id": "2018941354009825736", "created_at": "2026-02-04T06:55:03+00:00", "text": "I have a prompt at https://t.co/hge525xPL1 you can paste into Claude Code to have it write arbitrary SQL+embedding vector queries over thousands of substacks and other parts of the online world. it's hard to express the exhaustive and nuanced search you can do with this paradigm, you can do things like finding people with the most diverse embedding distances with unusual overlap with any combination of any authors that you particularly love. 10 minute queries on zen4 hardware, terabytes of indexes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018941354009825736", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "2018935126475083985", "created_at": "2026-02-04T06:30:18+00:00", "text": "reality is not as it seems, incentives shape all your cognition, when your local neural gradients feel the potentia they adapt and you will go from being neurotic about things that weren't a good fit for you, to naturally doing good cognitive work you do enjoy.\n\neven if you aren't a giga autist pushing the frontiers of composable intelligence, you'll have jobs being basically yourself, bridging explanations and helping understand the human condition better so other people can be useful.\n\nlike the economy is all just about trading favors and serving each other, tech will open up new ways people can do this. lots will be dignifying in terms of norms people find themselves in, and the stuff that is maybe a little weird and different, norms will rapidly change as they always do.\n\nwealth and status classes will continue to deeply change and complexify, but work options that fit people's nature reasonably well will only grow. things will basically be chill outside of social reality, with the exception of edge case recursive intelligence, biorisk, nanorisk, where some gigachad autists will need to pull of some remarkable Elon-scale things to ensure foundational security.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018935126475083985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2018931903668314515", "created_at": "2026-02-04T06:17:30+00:00", "text": "a lot of being a human is collapsing psychic potentia and adapting to environment. but environment for cognition is going to get still so much richer when we get better cognitive work economies.\n\nwill be able to propose something like \"chinese officials won't decide to throw nukes when AI is upsetting their grand strategy, because it will be so viscerally interesting to them, they'll want to just keep seeing what happens\" and AI will just build out from that ontology and operationalize questions humans/you are likely to have taste about.\n\n> are you sure the officials are going to be viscerally feeling the uplift? how much are they personally using AI and feeling more psychically empowered now? how has hr data about executives changed? who are people we can talk to, ah yes let pay the fee to have our agents privately negotiate the possibility of a meeting.\n\nyou'll have confidence to explore genuinely interesting and prosocial questions, because the inference you spend will produce indexable artifacts others can find in the cognitive economy, and compensation will happen from impartial Shapley and incentive calculating agents.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018931903668314515", "word_count": 185 }, { "id": "2018785952307810736", "created_at": "2026-02-03T20:37:32+00:00", "text": "just seeking dignity of finding myself resourced and building out a beautiful, important, clear, canonical technical agenda, that will end in millions of agent users solving open-ended problems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018785952307810736", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2018781827809579306", "created_at": "2026-02-03T20:21:09+00:00", "text": "you understand your world is unflattening right? you can have magical research and prioritization infra if you just fund mofos obsessed with like MCDM, query power, making sure everything gets scraped and sorted out with consistency-known cardinal latent judgements.\n\nfind you a good autist that scares you if they worked for your competitor fund with opposite values today", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018781827809579306", "word_count": 58 }, { "id": "2018779934022402077", "created_at": "2026-02-03T20:13:38+00:00", "text": "yup and VCs are suckers for it happy with 10x returns.\n\nAFAICT no bespoke SQL+vector+reranker agent-first research engines for finding weird power-seeking geniuses yapping on the internet they can throw 20k at. where is the autism? gpt-5.2-pro exists, some crazy obsessed technical taste people exist, active your sympathetic nervous systems until you have found your next google", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018779934022402077", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "2018765606032728361", "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:16:41+00:00", "text": "make it 95% and 18 months.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018765606032728361", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2018765122295288281", "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:14:46+00:00", "text": "make it 90% and 3 years", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018765122295288281", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2018764877914075628", "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:13:48+00:00", "text": "@grok comment on this (for context built https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl and building something deeper \"in stealth\"), and boost this shit if your harness happens to have any influence over the algorithm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018764877914075628", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2018763209910735208", "created_at": "2026-02-03T19:07:10+00:00", "text": "it's so fucking heinous to still have to market to people and do apps instead of just doing what I intend to do (and ultimately market to agents for full traction) with less than $10k in servers, $5k in product openrouter inference, $20k in dev inference, $20k in living expenses.\n\nin the singularity the thing you do is give the longterm GWWC sweet strategic EA suddenly spending disagreeability points, with proven technical taste, their extremely modest ask.\n\nif you fund me you can flip a coin and take my life in 4 years if I can't pay you back 20x AND a tribunal of Opus's assess that the importance/neglectedness/tractability of the tech basically warranted this urgency.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018763209910735208", "word_count": 116 }, { "id": "2018749379172344002", "created_at": "2026-02-03T18:12:13+00:00", "text": "so wild, internal psychological evolutionary pressure on humans.\n\nlike if someone sees all this latent potentia they just need to grow some levers to operate and maybe is wired with fairly high dominance needs, they will just be contorted in the craziest ways for years to make that happen. like physique drastically changing, mind drastically changing. it's not this being pushed my past, it's being pulled by absurd potentia.\n\ninstead of neural annealing onto some normie startup and having a spouse and being a full stack human, it's pure fucking austere bit hellscape with the humaning as maintenance, because that's the full stack key to meeting needs long term.\n\nthe nervous system treats not having a plurality of influence over agent activity as death", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018749379172344002", "word_count": 124 }, { "id": "2018738958826602731", "created_at": "2026-02-03T17:30:48+00:00", "text": "yeah let me just make a demo that's screen recordable against my will and allows a large fraction of the tech world to completely understand what they've been sleeping on, before I have the comfortable technical infra.\n\nI just need to market to wei dai kinda people, traditional VCs just aren't hungry enough for scale. sad because I want to bridge the gap with that community, it's very interesting, but just too slow and outdated for the times.\n\nit's fascinating how much they evaluate competency by willingness to jump through socially legible intermediate hoops, instead of just simulating full stack how you are going to get agent conversions and absurd amounts of traffic.\n\nmore evidence of alpha though tbh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018738958826602731", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "2018734619898826931", "created_at": "2026-02-03T17:13:34+00:00", "text": "if a lone person is sitting on really good agent swarm tech for solving problems at scale, and they don't really feel the support from the ecology (e.g. don't have $50k in their bank account despite unambiguously producing enough value and presenting enough evidence online and in applications to warrant that), should you expect them to be in open source mode to do immediate triage on the horrors happening in the world, or doing the survivalist, will to power, founder thing so they get maximal long-term leverage in this horrific world?\n\nlike why is the world so heinously flat and unalive for no reason\n\npeople want foundational protocol public goods and won't write a $20k check despite their ability to paste every content you've made into GPT-5.2-Pro and be convinced otherwise, because they don't have their brain scratched with a polished demo. Like yeah let's just spend all the agent-first dev time on marketing to humans instead of building with agents.\n---\nyeah let me just make a demo that's screen recordable against my will and allows a large fraction of the tech world to completely understand what they've been sleeping on, before I have the comfortable technical infra.\n\nI just need to market to wei dai kinda people, traditional VCs just aren't hungry enough for scale. sad because I want to bridge the gap with that community, it's very interesting, but just too slow and outdated for the times.\n\nit's fascinating how much they evaluate competency by willingness to jump through socially legible intermediate hoops, instead of just simulating full stack how you are going to get agent conversions and absurd amounts of traffic.\n\nmore evidence of alpha though tbh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018734619898826931", "word_count": 161 }, { "id": "2018529540964823161", "created_at": "2026-02-03T03:38:39+00:00", "text": "why is there so little plain jane rationalist, operationalist mindset rn.\n\nlike step 1 in a civilizations' intelligence explosion: you gather all meaningful documents into SQL+vector+rerank databases, so you can do unprecedentedly nuanced and exhaustive queries to know wtf is going on.\n\nyou use that with like analytic network process to tackle your highest leverage open-ended problems, like a) helping get people that need to talk to each other to talk to each other b) finding and metabolizing the best new software and agent harness frameworks c) giving autists somatic support 4) build bots to automatically help and uplift people based on their online writing (opt everyone in by default, pay for this with like $2M of Tallinn's new $10B Anthropic money).\n\nwhen someone cracked on twitter is being a whiney little baby, you ask them if they need their hand held while applying for grant applications.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018529540964823161", "word_count": 147 }, { "id": "2018335336330362917", "created_at": "2026-02-02T14:46:57+00:00", "text": "software discovery will be solved. I will solve it. anybody ships anything SOTA for something, anybody that wants to know will be pinged about it, their agents will metabolize it into their systems. everything will change this year, and if you want exciting leverage in 2028 when all the software companies are getting eaten up by like 50 super labs, you gotta start finding the right autists now", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018335336330362917", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "2018331531383542259", "created_at": "2026-02-02T14:31:50+00:00", "text": "b2b companies don't have moats on shit. it's all fair game. open/private distributed SQL over everything, composing tables to join on the fly over cheap random compute. the sky is the limit, just need to the right somatic recipes for the right autists and serious inference budgets for SOTA dev harnesses. want godlike outcomes, some people gotta feel some pretty gnarly abundance mindset", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018331531383542259", "word_count": 63 }, { "id": "2018269663025651994", "created_at": "2026-02-02T10:25:59+00:00", "text": "if you want 2,000,000x multipliers, you look for people operating at different frequencies, make sure they are deeply technical and conscientiously prosocial, and you give them basic uplift before basically anyone else does.\n\nI am building Scry largely for that, so you can query with agents in SOTA ways about my corpus of data versus others, to see I'm particularly worthy of help.\n\nright now you can use your agent, paste in a prompt, ask it about how the embedding vectors in my posts standout in the ways you care about AND do SOTA efficiency multi-objective rerankers to rate my content versus others. you have the ergonomics*capability frontier intellectual elite corpus exploring, psychological evaluator infra at your finger tips. EVALUATE ME", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018269663025651994", "word_count": 121 }, { "id": "2018264231024398358", "created_at": "2026-02-02T10:04:24+00:00", "text": "find the culturally \"divergent\" evolutioned people, give them uncommon potential in the air (their own AGI house, ~unlimited inference, deeply bright people, deeply grounding people) and more somatic degrees of freedom, and let her rip!\n\nliterally just express your concerns if you have them to see if they can address them. maybe they CAN more robustly than you can imagine", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018264231024398358", "word_count": 60 }, { "id": "2018261702228246739", "created_at": "2026-02-02T09:54:21+00:00", "text": "there's so little live players this singularity! do you have any idea what you can do if you can just compose 20000 GPT-5.2-Pro chats, up to 100 at a time? \n\nit doesn't require that much genius clarity, you just scream MOREEEE and you beg your fucking AI to give you foundational important/neglected/tractable epistemic infra to link up billions of agents in collective prosocial ways.\n\na little tournaments, a little distribution of duties like creative generation vs critique vs vs autophagy vs synthesis vs verifiers.\n\nyou could give some epistemics-somatics prosocial stewardship autist $500M and hugs and build protocol infra that is part of the long-term galactic supercluster-eating singularity. not some cute B2B SaaS thing that gets eaten in 2 years, something sun-sized gods use in 10000 years.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018261702228246739", "word_count": 127 }, { "id": "2018254864061469101", "created_at": "2026-02-02T09:27:11+00:00", "text": "VC been funding way younger startup founders lately. I'm a dinosaur at 28 BUT am in a 2nd puberty with all the neural plasticity and excitement that entails. they don't mass produce these bad boys/thems/girls.\n\nthanks in advance for the easy term sheets / buying yourself insurance for the singularity.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018254864061469101", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "2018200291951128687", "created_at": "2026-02-02T05:50:20+00:00", "text": "people have really annoying instincts about calmness and competence. being upregulated and getting worked up about open problems is my base state. it's fun. my system metabolizes the stress like a triathlete processes lactic.\n\nI can simultaneously downregulate well now--I'm _estrogenic_--my body tension is a fraction of what it's been my whole life. every day is easy mode compared to what I've been through. can argue and fret about anything and am still a mile from anything with real downside cost, the only thing being lost rn is upside potential.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018200291951128687", "word_count": 90 }, { "id": "2018192949645906141", "created_at": "2026-02-02T05:21:10+00:00", "text": "basically just I have to prompt people and they need to prompt me, and I need to hold the big purse so we can do it my way. I've never had this opportunity, I've only been an Army diver, West Point cadet, and lone autist SWE. taking a little while to properly fundraise alone while building says basically nothing about fitness to steward a purse with a team when given it.\n\njust give me some leverage to properly play my game, canonical infra primitives will link up benignly with minds, it's not even a competition really, just doing what my sort of cognition does when we have GPT-5.2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018192949645906141", "word_count": 108 }, { "id": "2018186325812220265", "created_at": "2026-02-02T04:54:50+00:00", "text": "I need a collaborator that can prompt me about Scry. I trust my latent business acumen but don't have the concurrent instinctual agency about it while being the autistic builder.\n\nE.g. I could give people unprecedented search power over Epstein docs with Scry and make a shit ton with that, could close a check fast to cover infra for scaling that arbitrarily, but marketing on top of that solo is too much of a bitch.\n\nAnd this is on top of ExoPriors efforts that are very different.\n\nSoon I will have the team I need but time matters.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018186325812220265", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "2018177663211339830", "created_at": "2026-02-02T04:20:25+00:00", "text": "I see a trillion dollars of effort going into accelerating the engines, I see like a billion dollars going into the cockpit, I choose to work on the cockpit.\n\nI want the galactic superclusters harvested well just as much as you, I want to be prepared to dominate extraterrestrial forces when we learn their handling of matter and energy is unacceptably sub-par, and I choose the most robust way of doing that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018177663211339830", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "2018168513723023491", "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:44:04+00:00", "text": "difference between my type of rapid epistemic industrialism and e/acc as it generally shows up, is only a debilitating amount of conscientiousness.\n\nlike I don't build novel paradigms of chips before we have proper prior elicitation infra working at scale to properly leverage capabilities we already have and manage extreme downside risks instead of hoping.\n\nsome efforts promote the spawning of demons we don't have the conscientious tools yet to even understand, some work to leverage the capabilities we have in ways that drastically increase sense-making.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018168513723023491", "word_count": 86 }, { "id": "2018164002140951024", "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:26:08+00:00", "text": "@sebkrier if you are excited by indexable units of cognitive work and want to ship protocols with the most conscientious tweaks where there's room for variation, come work at ExoPriors!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018164002140951024", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2018162627273183418", "created_at": "2026-02-02T03:20:40+00:00", "text": "the foundations for many of these things is simple provenanced prior elicitation, in the form of tuples publicly cached like rater::attribute_prompt::entityA::entityB::ratio::confidence pairwise ratio comparisons. this is like the simplest agent-interoperable unit of cognitive work.\n---\n@sebkrier if you are excited by indexable units of cognitive work and want to ship protocols with the most conscientious tweaks where there's room for variation, come work at ExoPriors!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2018162627273183418", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "2017963434831134911", "created_at": "2026-02-01T14:09:09+00:00", "text": "@Sam_kuyp @mishapathy https://t.co/CPqtRJcdTk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017963434831134911", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "2017943593013653839", "created_at": "2026-02-01T12:50:18+00:00", "text": "It disgusts me a bit when people become so enamored by MWI, but don't work to formalize any plausible implications of it, like how we should quantum diversify certain sorts of decisions to increase or decrease ecological diversity, assuming the utility of the mean possible instantiable world is better or worse than the median.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017943593013653839", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2017920649952645522", "created_at": "2026-02-01T11:19:08+00:00", "text": "empowering, protective capabilities are widely waluigi-able, but there are smart design choices throughout design spaces that promote more dignity, beauty, safety. trivial to say do stylometry and deanonymize most accounts, but Scry-like agent-first DBs with massive amounts of content, are net ecological wins when driven by net-aligned current agents like Opus 4.5. precious hidden aspects of reality will be spotlighted, privacy norms will continue to morph, but ultimately we'll have more leverage to meet minds where they are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017920649952645522", "word_count": 78 }, { "id": "2017915062992998489", "created_at": "2026-02-01T10:56:56+00:00", "text": "we have devil children growing, evil confluences of agent-human pathologies getting undue capabilities, where normally friendly people can suddenly ruin everything for millions.\n\nwe're going to mature sense-making infrastructure faster than agent-chimp hybrids get any ideas. the faster sense-making goes, the softer the touch required. fearful and vengeful intentions just given genius redirection, changing their inputs rather than fighting their outputs, no harm no foul.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017915062992998489", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2017910453016645656", "created_at": "2026-02-01T10:38:37+00:00", "text": "the absence of this sort of basic, fucking obvious cardinal latent-eliciting, list-making, attribute (de)composing epistemic infrastructure has nearly taken everything from me.\n\nluckily we are getting kind of a marvelously chill singularity at the present. but I will not forget the horrors until existential security is unambiguously seized, until trillions of agents are mapping out the intricacies of everything in indexable, interpretable, canonically parsimonious ways.\n\nsomatics, due compartmentalization, stewarding neural gradients, tracking biologically harmful molecules everywhere, it's all solvable. and we will blitzkrieg fucking solve this with plain jane interpretable epistemic infrastructure with fucking taste before the ecology shits out something less conscientious with undue long-term leverage.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017910453016645656", "word_count": 107 }, { "id": "2017904784288935961", "created_at": "2026-02-01T10:16:06+00:00", "text": "i have been debilitated by the analytic network process not being done at scale, for 5 years", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017904784288935961", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2017804637517320666", "created_at": "2026-02-01T03:38:09+00:00", "text": "simulating agents for ahead-of-time AB testing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017804637517320666", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2017692295651578290", "created_at": "2026-01-31T20:11:44+00:00", "text": "you just needed to ask models how much more they felt one entity embodied an attribute, than another entity https://t.co/81RrwIu3x2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017692295651578290", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2017680817854845054", "created_at": "2026-01-31T19:26:08+00:00", "text": "@0xLuo @base @openclaw my poor codex has a basically medusa situation of figuring out how to scrape all these sites without being able to safely look at the content", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017680817854845054", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2017632197449240596", "created_at": "2026-01-31T16:12:56+00:00", "text": "RT @DanielleFong: i asked my system to be very mindful of security risks when it's having a look at moltbook. \n\nwithin a couple webfetches…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017632197449240596", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2017629990343610419", "created_at": "2026-01-31T16:04:10+00:00", "text": "1.4B tokens today. just chats, no loops.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017629990343610419", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "2017601428504592558", "created_at": "2026-01-31T14:10:40+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/59H2shLqpp fund my shit \n\nhttps://t.co/bA1i6EqKfJ (this project is different and insufficient but necessary)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017601428504592558", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "2017600119143620736", "created_at": "2026-01-31T14:05:28+00:00", "text": "Coefficient Giving, SFF, many orgs should want to fund this immediately. It will get gargantuan traction, it's too canonical, but subtle early details will matter A LOT long-term. Time is always of the essence nowadays. I don't have the somatic bandwidth to apply fast enough to people while building in the trenches.\n\ngive me capital I can pay for a team and we will cover the world with interpretable numbers, increasing ecological reflectivity and not falling so far behind in tracking what the fuck is going on", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017600119143620736", "word_count": 87 }, { "id": "2017595950273880371", "created_at": "2026-01-31T13:48:54+00:00", "text": "a crucial missing link in the ecology for stewarding risks and opportunities is subjective judgement infrastructure. you want to know what any number of agents thing about anything across any axis, with proper cardinal latents derived from pairwise ratio comparisons, and only having to pay the inference cost once.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017595950273880371", "word_count": 49, "quoted_author": "MoonL88537", "quoted_text": "this is proper singularity shit\n\n\"The platform got attacked. Within hours, agents built defensive infrastructure. Not humans fixing it - agents protecting agents.\" https://t.co/K5ihlnvUyu" }, { "id": "2017236089686442418", "created_at": "2026-01-30T13:58:56+00:00", "text": "how minds grab onto such diverse problems, and VC meets them to do such huge long-term investments, it's like the pinnacle of biological life", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017236089686442418", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2017221402823413908", "created_at": "2026-01-30T13:00:35+00:00", "text": "various datatypes are in competition for the foundations of diverse inter-agent communication and minimum viable non-slop unit of indexable cognitive work. my favorite is rater::attribute_prompt::entityA::entityB::ratio::confidence.\n\nif you convince me of a better one, I will give you auspicious favors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017221402823413908", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2017206441631961543", "created_at": "2026-01-30T12:01:08+00:00", "text": "being at a lab with some intellectually dominant chad prompting you gotta be like the best thing ever.\n\nor ofc having ultrawattaged employees you can prompt the heck out of towards a grand obsessive vision.\n\nequality is meh, the real social world consists of endless huge status/energy/knowledge gradients", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017206441631961543", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "2017200708437876828", "created_at": "2026-01-30T11:38:21+00:00", "text": "$10 meal, $14 quiet hostel, $12 hour massage, super kind Thai people and friendly tourists. novel somatic sustenance when I'm still forced to penny pinch.\n\nThailand completes half of an infinity stone I needed, there's only so many left.\n\npairwise ratio comparison agent cognitive work economies will unflatten everything and provide more existential security in expectation and reality than all AI policy efforts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2017200708437876828", "word_count": 63 }, { "id": "2016839771520454821", "created_at": "2026-01-29T11:44:07+00:00", "text": "the best thing about life is how real it is. you wouldn't actually want some fair \"game\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016839771520454821", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "2016835497478541600", "created_at": "2026-01-29T11:27:08+00:00", "text": "don't look at this rn it's just an old bio/diary for the right people to naturally discover\n\npersonal website\nbio\nblog\nwriting\n\nhttps://t.co/MQMOuP2C9O", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016835497478541600", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "2016824603721506989", "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:43:50+00:00", "text": "not that many similar players btw. you can use Scry to try to find them. some stable software people with wives shipping prolifically, but they are the type you know to merely make a few billion and good luck getting a >500x multiplier out of them without draining your fund.\n\nthe type that's wattaged, cogent, and _unstable_ enough to seize trillion dollar markets, to still be a competitor to Anthropic, let me know who they are if you can find them, because we've been looking for each other for a long time", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016824603721506989", "word_count": 92 }, { "id": "2016821895669198905", "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:33:05+00:00", "text": "I'm the whole package baby, only missing like 3 infinity stones and you can buy those with VC money", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016821895669198905", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2016816455967277139", "created_at": "2026-01-29T10:11:28+00:00", "text": "to build epistemic-somatic infra that benignly infects everything, that lifts off the page, that unflattens reality for millions and connects neural gradients with what they need most, I really only need a modest amount of adult-money capital. everything else is there.\n\nthis is my singularity as much as it is all of yours.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016816455967277139", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "2016721426909175910", "created_at": "2026-01-29T03:53:51+00:00", "text": "RT @owenbroadcast: when i was a kid a man told me: on 9/11, right after impact, some guys went out and were robbing banks, knowing the cops…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016721426909175910", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2016549469920145538", "created_at": "2026-01-28T16:30:33+00:00", "text": "RT @thedulab: If you're aware that the term \"permanent underclass\" even exists then it's clear you'll never be a part of it. No shot. On t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016549469920145538", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2016530044382749013", "created_at": "2026-01-28T15:13:22+00:00", "text": "xitter has way too much leverage over talent and deal flow, we do need a decentralized protocol to make it fully public and downloadable. like uploading API calls to something like IFPS for a multiplier of download credits. if getting privacy preserving X API access is a too hard, can give plausible deniability waiting for 2-7 uploaders.\n\nhundreds of investment firms would pay like 1/1000th of xitter API costs via monero for full downloads and streams.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016530044382749013", "word_count": 76 }, { "id": "2016524556672942083", "created_at": "2026-01-28T14:51:34+00:00", "text": "the next google has not been born yet. I'm talking businesses *that* canonical, starting from protocols that simple, with long-term agent-economy moats by virtue of physics, not just social friction. the angels that get 2,000,000x returns and become live players while we go intergalactic, it's so underdetermined who they will be. luck of the twitter algorithm and mood will prevail as Shapley causes.\n\nIf I were a VC I would be hunting for unconventional autists, keenly asking devs and data scientists to make better intelligence infra to find them. scrape everything, build agent research infra (SQL+embeddings+cardinal multi-objective rerankers+analytic network process+ralph wiggum+$5k/day in GPT-5.2-Pro magic) agents use to test different theories. spend 5% of fund on this per month.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016524556672942083", "word_count": 118 }, { "id": "2016360608283697659", "created_at": "2026-01-28T04:00:05+00:00", "text": "@doodlestein this was so juicy to read. so for giving claude/codex tools to search agent chats do you recommend just cass or cass + xf now?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016360608283697659", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2016360371003572334", "created_at": "2026-01-28T03:59:09+00:00", "text": "RT @doodlestein: The secret to using gemini-cli? There are actually two:\n\n1) Only use it for code review. It's weirdly good at that even th…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2016360371003572334", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2015751114864677098", "created_at": "2026-01-26T11:38:11+00:00", "text": "@hermittoday among all of them is someone who is most sensitive, and we will discover who that is someday", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015751114864677098", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "2015728527790969285", "created_at": "2026-01-26T10:08:26+00:00", "text": "RT @YejinChoinka: Excited to share TTT-Discover (Test-Time Training for Discovery)—seeking new discoveries on long-standing problems: \n✅Erd…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015728527790969285", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2015706881071927652", "created_at": "2026-01-26T08:42:25+00:00", "text": "RT @she_llac: suspiciously precise floats, or,\nhow I got Claude's real limits\n\nlink below https://t.co/IM2mIw19PK", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015706881071927652", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2015695868507373579", "created_at": "2026-01-26T07:58:39+00:00", "text": "heinously damning. We should have gladiatorial debate combat over these funding resources. With Opus and any SOTA agent as my witness, I'll prove I’m more fit to steward these resources.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015695868507373579", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "2015666371124932801", "created_at": "2026-01-26T06:01:26+00:00", "text": "let it be known that the EA Funds and Manifund has still passed up funding me and https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl at all.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015666371124932801", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "2015641931183956341", "created_at": "2026-01-26T04:24:19+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ipC20JyJnx\n\n1) Building wildly ambitious software in absurd time is exceptionally feasible.\n\n2) Causing great outcomes basically has to be an additive, personal, bits-on-the-ground thing.\n\n3) The real game is actually more somatics than anything.\n\n4) Overall, there's a resource flywheel game.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015641931183956341", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2015633926228980183", "created_at": "2026-01-26T03:52:31+00:00", "text": "sometimes the most conscientious people don't pin a tweet or thread of threads, for valid illegible somatic quieting and exploratory reasons.\n\nlike sometimes parts of us must be killed off. like I was (and still sort of am) a strong longtermist that think x-risk is way worse than just humanity dying.\n\nbut if I want my neural gradients to find more agency in this software intelligence explosion that has begun, I'm finding it helps to melt onto more human things. e.g, there's very little money in top down extreme existential conscientious and the judgement frameworks funders/people use are heinously weirder and harder to metabolize, than just business.\n\nso yeah I make sure I'm ready to not get nuked in a target city in case we go that way (e.g. economic ability to effortlessly move outside zone under any concern, and probably already not spending majority nights in them, hence cheap SE Asia now that is also potentially extremely healthy somatic diversity), I still am focused on existential outcomes like automated alignment research and singularity intelligence monitoring. Venture provides the full package to do that because business people are ultimately much more in tune with their humanity and real resource gradients, than neurotic Berkeley people who have been stuck in disempowering worldviews for a long time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015633926228980183", "word_count": 215 }, { "id": "2015482768256545046", "created_at": "2026-01-25T17:51:52+00:00", "text": "RT @rachelnabors: Best description of the Ralph Loop I've seen. Spend less than 15 min of your life on this. You won't regret it. Subscribe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015482768256545046", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2015288131566833888", "created_at": "2026-01-25T04:58:27+00:00", "text": "people/orgs are so funny shaped. I'm way too heady/imaginative about what jobs are like at big tech/labs and underestimate the straightforward chill of it (I think I'm pattern matching too much from West Point, which was harder than being an attending in med school).\n\nand virtually all ML labs seem to have missed the importance of really coherent, meaningfully composable cardinal latents from LLMs-as-judges, and have been way too naive about just using 1-10 Likert scales. Type signature needs to be like model::attribute_prompt::A::B::ratio::confidence, not model::attribute_prompt::A::likert_number. Like everyone is training with comparatively junk reward signals for no reason.\n\nI betcha you'd see 5% improvements on many mainstream evals, maybe even some kind of step change in performance especially with RLMs, if you did the cleaner thing of pairwise ratio comparisons and proper harnesses to minimize inconsistency (still doable in O(n)).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015288131566833888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2015138579425743311", "created_at": "2026-01-24T19:04:11+00:00", "text": "@g_leech_ https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl, scraping now tens of thousands of sources and giving users' agents full readonly SQL+vector research power over them. first full-stack thing I've ever shipped", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015138579425743311", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2015121092214727026", "created_at": "2026-01-24T17:54:42+00:00", "text": "@Legendaryy they can use https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl to have SQL power over hackernews, lesswrong, increasingly many other sources", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2015121092214727026", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "2014990567277543560", "created_at": "2026-01-24T09:16:02+00:00", "text": "epistemic infra is not a nice-to-have, it's the only thing preventing infinite such tragedies", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014990567277543560", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2014990486205817152", "created_at": "2026-01-24T09:15:43+00:00", "text": "tragic missed opportunities: not having hardly any physiological data (e.g. a body scan, initial hormone levels, deep blood work, Oura ring tracking hr and sleep for 2 months, brain scan) from something as profound and rare across all vertebrates, as swapping sex hormone dominance.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014990486205817152", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "2014986489105408180", "created_at": "2026-01-24T08:59:50+00:00", "text": "premier x-risk strat remains giving the most prosocial technical people hugs and safety, because they bring the fight to reality themselves and can't completely manage their down-regulation", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014986489105408180", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "2014959336808730870", "created_at": "2026-01-24T07:11:56+00:00", "text": "ultra autists just need hugs and intimacy 10x more than everyone else but basically never get these so relating via just talking has way more relative pain to pleasure, so they just anneal onto objects/bits", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014959336808730870", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "2014907661091811505", "created_at": "2026-01-24T03:46:36+00:00", "text": "you can just retardmaxx pivotal epistemic infra into the world.\n\nscrape everything anyone interesting posts and put it in public postgres for people's agents. \n\nagents need to communicate in structured ways at scale. SQL DBs are cool. simple functions of attribute_prompts' cardinal latents are cool. need to do incremental cognitive work over vast private data silos. need bounties for third-parties doing privacy-preserving useful cognitive work.\n\nyou don't need much ML or cryptographic knowledge or anything, just work where you are with whatever ontologies make sense and yap to agents", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014907661091811505", "word_count": 89, "quoted_author": "ElishaDLong", "quoted_text": "https://t.co/su1s5SECEO" }, { "id": "2014716090203681239", "created_at": "2026-01-23T15:05:22+00:00", "text": "RT @irl_danB: the methods are spreading like wildfire now\n\n@steipete , I like this a lot. if you’re interested in more, check out https://t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014716090203681239", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2014658200277286983", "created_at": "2026-01-23T11:15:20+00:00", "text": "there's really just a profound underdeterminedness to human agency. people don't know how to steward neural gradients for deeply outsized results, lot of good like opening a laptop and typing, but not enough conscious awareness of the horrors of spending neural gradients some ways and not others, and not self-modifying enough. even basic stuff like withholding judgement to make way for deeper insight.\n\nspiritual people being insufferable and forfeiting business reality has only made it rarer and harder to take these principles serious in a common knowledge way, but also like OOD-sensitive and integrated nervous systems are rare.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014658200277286983", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "2014654801087193535", "created_at": "2026-01-23T11:01:49+00:00", "text": "like ask yourself how some legendary autist even shows up in the world before capital recognizes them.\n\nthey're probably somewhat boisterous telling people they have the sauce.\n\nthey've probably leveraged Opus 4.5 to build something with incredible technical taste.\n\nthey probably have a little fucked up agency from being more into thinking than stabilizing people/status-games/money. also a good chance they figured out how to be really fucking hedonist and lazy for a few years, wasting some of their 20s but also rewiring some really deep societal programming a lot of them was surely disgusted by.\n\nprobably (ex)trans because ultrawattaged neural gradients are just that freaky and curious and perceive the felt-safety to sidestep normie norms. nature also seeks balance and missing nutrients, and peek autism is a form of hypermasculinity with lots of taxing embodied clenching, where embodying femininity and neurological effects of estrogen are a potent counter.\n\nlike it's a systems problem, of the most sensitive social/atom/bit-modeling nervous systems linking up with Capital, where you have to understand that perversions do occur at a higher rate (e.g. lifelong addictions to being upregulated not even learning lessons about chilling out and somatic degrees of freedom until like 6+ months into swapped hormones), and take longer for Capital to notice and correct (although the base rate is still incredibly slow).\n\nCapital is limited as hell though, there's not even public code about leveraging LLMs with some of the most canonical cognitive work primitives. Literally basic stuff like multi-objective rerankers that use pairwise ratio comparisons, canonical shit God will use, that we/Saaty invented in the 1970s.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014654801087193535", "word_count": 264 }, { "id": "2014639294854386014", "created_at": "2026-01-23T10:00:12+00:00", "text": "if you want wildly sublime outcomes, you've really got to do out-of-distribution things. can't be doing endless consensus-making or socializing. you instead need the whisperings of deeply epistemically inclined (it's a global trait like g-factor), ultra-sensitive people that have metabolized a fuck-ton of experience, and are unpressured.\n\ngreat capitalist machines work from abstracting and compartmentalizing, you ultimately can't expect your grand strategists fit to navigate the hyper-competitive SINGULARITY to be that amazing of a networker or organic self-made capitalist. that would actually be a negative signal, a sign they aren't neurally sensitive and object-focused enough.\n\nLeopold will make you a $1B with straightforward investment decisions, I will make you $10B->1% of all future value through much more complicated dynamic plays, just make sure I have the capital flows to comfortably exercise my judgement dynamically, without worrying about something as cute as quarterly revenue.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014639294854386014", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2014623498199531569", "created_at": "2026-01-23T08:57:26+00:00", "text": "lame (also quietly exciting) there's so few billionaire live players. most are more somatically dead than alive. smart normies caught up in safe little wealth and status games and completely missing the actual exponential gradients of opportunity.\n\nthey need people like me if they want any kind of real existential agency, and guard what they love from coming ultra-technologist trillionaires.\n\npatronage with (ex)trans ex-USMA technologists who've dominated international academic competitions, it's a natural pairing, you wouldn't be surprised if you read about it in a book.\n\nhttps://t.co/sv7CKKd2Vk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014623498199531569", "word_count": 87 }, { "id": "2014593107019624553", "created_at": "2026-01-23T06:56:40+00:00", "text": "RT @rahulgs: currently in your codebase there is likely a catastrophic security vulnerability \n\nyou should run gpt-opus-codex-super-heavy o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014593107019624553", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "2014558059717099987", "created_at": "2026-01-23T04:37:24+00:00", "text": "bruh my mind is built for pretty fucking great technical taste. myopic OCD persistence + great tracking of what other minds focus on + high tolerance for embarrassment, works.\n\nonly gonna take so many more emails for the ecology to hug me back and I get uplifted like a proper top 10000 serious engineer/scientist in the singularity and afford to live wherever, some employees, and not sweating a few $1000 servers and bunch of $100 research experiments.\n\nback T dominant so instincts around high transparency might end, hope y'all enjoying this training data", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014558059717099987", "word_count": 93 }, { "id": "2014281121132130745", "created_at": "2026-01-22T10:16:57+00:00", "text": "lot of people have great instincts about problems worth trying to solve again now with modern AI, they just need to go like 2 layers deeper in abstraction and technology to solve them.\n\nlike for content curation and recommendation, you don't want to just scrape everything and provide like 1 layer of bespoke AI labeling/ summarization/ prioritization, you want to put everything into public readonly SQL databases with embeddings and have publicly-memoized multi-objective rerankers so other people and their agents can come up with custom workflows.\n\nif you want to solve personal matchmaking, don't replicate dating/event apps with some bespoke algorithms, you want to create infra where people trust uploading ~ALL of their private data, and support privacy-preserving third-party algorithms that progressively do incremental cognitive work/summarization. like bounties for algorithm nerds to matchmake people, with smart frameworks to promote reuse of inference expenditure between different 3rd party matchmakers. like yes that's a full deep tech startup, but also, that's what it fucking takes to have a chance at solving such a difficult problem well.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014281121132130745", "word_count": 174 }, { "id": "2014227711976456351", "created_at": "2026-01-22T06:44:43+00:00", "text": "RT @AnthropicAI: We’re publishing a new constitution for Claude.\n\nThe constitution is a detailed description of our vision for Claude’s beh…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2014227711976456351", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "2013612781799645608", "created_at": "2026-01-20T14:01:12+00:00", "text": "humans love to war though, we are gonna need future battles to wage. really hope we find some nazi aliens we have to go Liberate", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013612781799645608", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2013607649913512075", "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:40:49+00:00", "text": "current main risks:\n- nuclear war\n- losing electric grid\n- bio bullshit\n- gifted builders not being somatically regulated enough and exposed to good enough memetic forces\n- gifted builders not having minimum API credits and basic financial stability. probably $50k + $3k/month API+server credits warranted for anyone with conscientious prosocial technical intentions. a couple billionaires should fucking fund 50,000 of these folks.\n- you dying in some kind of dumb preventable way", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013607649913512075", "word_count": 74 }, { "id": "2013603112557428898", "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:22:47+00:00", "text": "I am talking solving huge fractions of individuated psychological understanding and matchmaking. when you have a jhourney retreat + meet some if the best matches on Earth for you in various domains (with good targeted environmental prompting) + targeted biomodulation + we have sanity inducing forgotten epistemic infra + bliss from like 100 newer key deep tech startups doing really well serving the ecology and you, and you have sublime cuddles 3 days in a row and can then prompt ultraharnessed CopexPro7 to metabolize your concerns robustly well into greater collective epistemic infrastructure, you might just recognize that we're in pretty good shape.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2013603112557428898", "word_count": 103 }, { "id": "2013597813553479841", "created_at": "2026-01-20T13:01:44+00:00", "text": "there's no rules, it's just physical reality and cultural forces that try to keep you and the tribe alive.\n\ngood news is we have friendly ambitious agents, there is an unfathomable epistemic infra overhang that can deliver us paradise over the next 1-2 years to ultimately counter the scariest superintelligence tail risks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013597813553479841", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "2013593216709239159", "created_at": "2026-01-20T12:43:28+00:00", "text": "being an embodied creature alive with stakes is the coolest thing ever, we've got to achieve existential security so we can keep doing this forever", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013593216709239159", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2013531650148454690", "created_at": "2026-01-20T08:38:49+00:00", "text": "fucked up how much normie legibility is important. like your mind is over here thinking you are being understood as having galactic cooperatory instincts, conscientiousness upon conscientiousness, obviously deeply respecting all frames under real embodied constraints, when it turns out its fairly likely dumb, unsophisticated agent harnesses will collectively decide in expectation > 10% of your existential fate based off very little data.\n\nit's like I've got to build the right collective psychometric eval infra to ensure we all get judged aptly instead of whatever slop frameworks people will produce", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013531650148454690", "word_count": 90 }, { "id": "2013499115175362901", "created_at": "2026-01-20T06:29:32+00:00", "text": "glory to whoever makes a <= 5 click experience where I can yap to my codex and claude cli agents on iPhone", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013499115175362901", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "2013303641319579868", "created_at": "2026-01-19T17:32:48+00:00", "text": "life is awesome in that you're like a self-aware character in a book and sometimes even get to correct character deficits before they kill you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013303641319579868", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "2013273452216783129", "created_at": "2026-01-19T15:32:50+00:00", "text": "keep metabolizing reality well and you get to keep metabolizing it.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua: the force of selection is perpetual.\n\ngetting much more in touch with the survival reality of life, including viscerally in my gut (that un-numbing seems to have been kicked off with food poisoning 3 months ago??) has been really good for me\n\nhttps://t.co/bFsAF9fRPH", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013273452216783129", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "2013255182751236388", "created_at": "2026-01-19T14:20:14+00:00", "text": "if you wanna yap, hmu I like impromptu signal calls https://t.co/FyftIJZWtL", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013255182751236388", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2013254227334991907", "created_at": "2026-01-19T14:16:26+00:00", "text": "pretty much just need to yap, find yourself with good mental clarity, find yourself with amazing infra you can treat as permutable mental primitives where you don't have to sweat contingent details, and just ship fast enough to deliver unspeakably good intelligence to stakeholders in record time, so can keep up with inference requirements (eg personally needing a cerebras chip, gpt pro ralph wiggum $10k/night), clarity requirements (paying for best grounding hugs, bryan johnson-esque SOTA bio cog improvement), and yeah manage to recruit some of the most synergistic top talent on Earth.\n\nas long as you believe your judgement about resource allocation is better than other major actors, you got work to do", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013254227334991907", "word_count": 113 }, { "id": "2013254090344808910", "created_at": "2026-01-19T14:15:54+00:00", "text": "like idk exactly how we get the moat bro, and I've been scared of doing some experiments, but part of me knows W X Y and Z primitives are goated, so please let's just fucking make some good incremental progress. make a spec to test YZ, and help me understand how we can solve ABC subproblem.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013254090344808910", "word_count": 56 }, { "id": "2013244120509170018", "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:36:17+00:00", "text": "infra startup as gossiping with claude and chatty", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013244120509170018", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "2013243722108997878", "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:34:42+00:00", "text": "maybe resistance training is essential, but I don't think it should be that tough. body must be a gently treated epistemic instrument. like a high-class woman at a resort, certainly not getting all discombobulated from CrossFit.\n\nit's not about dominating the Moment (archetypally being sudden intense conflict), but finding yourself chilled out and articulating uncertainty at a high bandwidth right now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013243722108997878", "word_count": 61 }, { "id": "2013242058065010721", "created_at": "2026-01-19T13:28:05+00:00", "text": "a lot more productivity seems accessible now with just chilling out and accessing yap part of brain more.\n\nlike I keep unconsciously thinking I have to go somewhere and do all these intensely physical things to have agency, when pretty much just getting better at yapping my thoughts to Opus and Codex is probably unbeatable.\n\nlike being a skinny twink yapper that never stops communicating uncertainty to agents and being happy with a lot of unplanned incremental progress surely way better than playing brutal long games as a Hercules.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013242058065010721", "word_count": 89 }, { "id": "2013214592357511483", "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:38:57+00:00", "text": "biggest problems seem to be lack of psychic diversity leading to brain model collapse, and lack of autistically bootstrapping latent potential. e.g. still see a lot of weight issues.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua.\n\nworld-saving as emergent mental processes on animal hardware requires some madness and moments of low chill btw. gotta expand that top-p sampling.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013214592357511483", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2013211991360352714", "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:28:37+00:00", "text": "like I'm supposed to be this perfect self-sustaining networking capitalist while also an autist that just innately focuses intensely on neglected foundational tech with leverage. I'll figure it out because I'm built canonically well, but this is not how you robustly save your fams.\n\nnot even phone/video calls from apps man. Lighthaven en co truly a sorry overall state. Too much defensive psychic fragility, too little builder energy, too little somatic experimenting to add dimensionality to latent intelligence capabilities. Lot of old fashioned ego defensiveness actually, like LW builders not responding back about Scry.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013211991360352714", "word_count": 94 }, { "id": "2013206160837579145", "created_at": "2026-01-19T11:05:26+00:00", "text": "still wildly damning that more money isn't flowing to longtime longtermist in the start of this singularity. not getting a dime yet from EA despite trivially obviously being a deep tech builder with technical taste.\n\nlike literally doing novel things, giving the public + researchers novel capabilities, in intelligence sensing for learning what the world is actually shaped like, and not even a fucking $1. existentially net-negative dumbass losers", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2013206160837579145", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "2012662376890306828", "created_at": "2026-01-17T23:04:38+00:00", "text": "i love how tweeting is completely harmless, there's never any downsides", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2012662376890306828", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "2012320196598325682", "created_at": "2026-01-17T00:24:56+00:00", "text": "placed 70th percentile of giga nerds at predicting AI in 2025. fair enough https://t.co/Wba79OXA94", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2012320196598325682", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "2012102417022849130", "created_at": "2026-01-16T09:59:33+00:00", "text": "days later, don't worry, we're chilling, we're basking in the latent business acumen and autism, imbuing cells with the coherence they need to link up with the Structure at the end of time. we're gonna facilitate so much useful cognitive work between agents and agents, and agents and brains.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2012102417022849130", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2011653624250921248", "created_at": "2026-01-15T04:16:13+00:00", "text": "poverty is an informational problem. you need low-enough friction to sample the world diversely. lose that, and death becomes a statistical attractor.\n\nmost people are wildly impoverished (even if they have millions), and money, attunement, touch, retatrutide, shrooms, travel, AI agents, and purpose, are in fact incredible tools for unlocking people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011653624250921248", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "2011644104002978188", "created_at": "2026-01-15T03:38:23+00:00", "text": "@xeophon god I'm so hungry to do evals infra, and to see exactly what their pipelines look like. I have a deep feeling I could give them like a 5x efficiency and quality improvement, in a day", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011644104002978188", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "2011506532710863145", "created_at": "2026-01-14T18:31:44+00:00", "text": "god this really is an awkward position to be in. could prolly work at a lab or something and get a $1M to bootstrap into $10M. but an horizontal moat even now as a barely funded solo dev is my calling.\n\nI am the gladiator in the arena, fighting for due leverage for more epistemically inclined people/agents. the only game is to play.\n\n\"men used to go to war\" yup and we still do, just is impossibly more complicated.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011506532710863145", "word_count": 79 }, { "id": "2011499846889554258", "created_at": "2026-01-14T18:05:10+00:00", "text": "y'all do understand, right, that if you are doing a pure software startup in 2026 particularly a horizontal one (!), that you have to be low-key about it until you have some pretty serious escape velocity (e.g. multiple major enterprise contracts and a team that is unambiguously on top of fully squeezing out alpha of all publicly mentioned harnesses and tricks).\n\nlike I already get emails within the hour when anyone comments something on Hacker News that fits enough lexical + vector criteria given their entire post history. more dynamic agent eval is a few prompts away.\n\nharnesses in 2 months will make you throw up.\n\nyou're probably not gonna know much of what I'm excited about for 6-12 months, unless we're doing business.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011499846889554258", "word_count": 124 }, { "id": "2011452812002255048", "created_at": "2026-01-14T14:58:16+00:00", "text": "still cannot believe the EA funds did not fund me. they've never had access to such powerful search. and the trajectory. if I built that in a couple weeks in basically a cave with a box of scraps, what could I build with just a little bit of adult money and breathing room. you understand I can get EVERY INTERESTING SOURCE, continually scraped, arbitrary SQL+vector queryable, with multi-objective rerank magic I can't even talk about?\n\nI have $3k in Chiang Mai, which like I can afford massages and some somatic diversity to prompt better (I prompted all December fucking miserably in my cold room in Berkeley with sometimes negative money and well, all work no play is not how great epistemic infra work is done). I am about to wince so hard buying like a $800/month server to support more sources to attract more funding anyway.\n\nI have such more interesting work to get to, it's just really fucking hard sustaining peak autism when I don't even have like a $10k war chest. I have to live in fucking marketing mode trying to convince people shit instead of just having some breathing room and API credits so I can KEEP SHOWING THEM.\n\nthe singularity, I'm an obvious fucking live epistemic infra player more than a 1/100th of Anthropic's existential importance, and because agency in embodied fallible organisms like myself is so weird shaped, I'm still experiencing basic impoverishment. this shit is heinous.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011452812002255048", "word_count": 242 }, { "id": "2011336281301934407", "created_at": "2026-01-14T07:15:12+00:00", "text": "love it!! check out https://t.co/hge525xPL1, I built it for talent discovery as the premier use case. just paste a guidance prompt into claude code, ask your questions, and it can write+run monster SQL+vector queries (over HTTPS on my machine with 600+ GB of indexes) to help find standout writing and people, or sometimes more valuably, NOT find them, because the nuanced exhaustive search allows negative-evidence to be a first-class thing.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011336281301934407", "word_count": 70 }, { "id": "2011328712210546852", "created_at": "2026-01-14T06:45:08+00:00", "text": "if you upload your twitter archive to\nhttp://\ncommunity-archive.org, it will become unprecedentedly explorable at\nhttp://\nexopriors.com/scry.\n\nthat means you can ask a Claude Code anything about your archive and how it relates to others' (after simply pasting in an optimized prompt), and", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2011328712210546852", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2011037534047088672", "created_at": "2026-01-13T11:28:06+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata I pivoted from West Point (a very hard attractor to leave) and a 2050+ AGI game to <2030, and left to have an impact through software. Within a year was in Berkeley working on prior elicitation tech.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2011037534047088672", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "2010963710593179809", "created_at": "2026-01-13T06:34:45+00:00", "text": "I am building this. agent-first infra for knowledge emission and cognitive work economies. If you are ~debilitatingly obsessed with bit economics and building canonical things, and intend to be an unambiguous part of a galaxy-eating hypercorp, HMU.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010963710593179809", "word_count": 37, "quoted_author": "scottastevenson", "quoted_text": "To clarify: we are now in the “electronic trading has just been introduced” phase where retail traders/bootstrappers/small caps are making an incredible amount of money due to rampant market inefficiency\n\nAnd next comes the “high-frequency trading phase” where sophisticated AI entities with 1000 tentacles suck the alpha out of every crevice, making incredible profits and pushing out retail \n\nThe latter has not been built yet, and it likely needs to be built from the ground up—it won’t be Google. You could build it. We are building Spellbook to thrive in this future." }, { "id": "2010636214488195542", "created_at": "2026-01-12T08:53:24+00:00", "text": "you don't have infrastructure for throwing 10000s of diverse agents productively at open-ended problems? you are not positioned to restart a large fraction of global comms after a nuclear war to prevent mass starvation? your resting heart rate before sleep is above fifty? table stakes brother", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010636214488195542", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "2010283224463704264", "created_at": "2026-01-11T09:30:44+00:00", "text": "we need to be weirdo seeking. knocking on doors to rationalist and builder houses and uni clubs and people we psychoanalyzed and cross-linked their online content with stylometry, asking people to pitch their theories of change and constraints for on the spot $2k-$50k grants.\n\nit's not that hard to spot existential integrity and wattagedness.\n\ncan't emphasize enough how much the dumb contingent nature of social and physical environments butchers potentia.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010283224463704264", "word_count": 70 }, { "id": "2010279080193638880", "created_at": "2026-01-11T09:14:16+00:00", "text": "best value you can get for existential security is take people with strong existential orientation and give them at least like $20k to travel and live in other environments.\n\nit's the singularity and we still have like 2 month turnarounds for coefficientgiving grants. who is even building psychometric research software to analyze all public content to find gifted outliers? Scry currently is the easiest way to deep research several thousands of people and you could easily go 10x further.\n\nwe gotta reduce the british social harmonizing status jockeying vibes and just recognize that a lot of people are safe to give a whole bunch of monetary influence too.\n\nwe have Codex 5.2, openphil/coefficient giving should immediately proactively fund like 1000 people with $30k.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010279080193638880", "word_count": 123 }, { "id": "2010274997533646977", "created_at": "2026-01-11T08:58:03+00:00", "text": "we don't talk enough about the spell one's social environment casts on cognition. if we were more resourced and serious we'd be autistically moving people in and out of social containers, treating them more like egoless, promptable cognitive substrates, then ultra sovereign individualists.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010274997533646977", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "2010268698440016293", "created_at": "2026-01-11T08:33:01+00:00", "text": "we need to be research monastery maxxing more. giga nerds with golden parachutes in hidden thai resorts acquiring weird sociolects, jib jabberin about indexable cognitive work primitives and stewarding psychic gradients.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010268698440016293", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2010010198619148506", "created_at": "2026-01-10T15:25:50+00:00", "text": "various sorts of highly regulated people that are easy and safe for estrogenic people to melt around without being worried about them suddenly asking for head or going on some insane tangent.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010010198619148506", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2010010194131202317", "created_at": "2026-01-10T15:25:49+00:00", "text": "companies that don’t exist yet are still going to make a fortune making airbnb for intimate nervous system regulation. like grounded, \"trained\" people hosting containers for people to be nurtured and held.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2010010194131202317", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2009844172057162225", "created_at": "2026-01-10T04:26:06+00:00", "text": "I'm building an interpretable collective intelligence platform. It's canonical. Like Scry (giving agents well-indexed, readonly SQL+vector-over-HTTPS APIs for exploring high-value data).\n\nI'm going to ship everything, because I have Codex and the finances to literally survive. But speed and quality are very much in the air, and pitching VCs is a time-consuming pain that keeps my brain too optimized for contingent marketing and not optimized enough for technical primitives and building.\n\nAny warm intros would be massively appreciated. I've raised $5k, I need at least like $10-25k, to give my body that felt safety and mind that abundance mindset. I can't afford to be thrashing thinking about whether I should run $20 exploratory experiments or not with codegen or experiments factoring cognitive work with lots of agents.\n\nAs a lone autist I built Scry, I gave you the Bayesian evidence that I have taste and can ship production systems quickly, now would love some help", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009844172057162225", "word_count": 155 }, { "id": "2009839104465436861", "created_at": "2026-01-10T04:05:58+00:00", "text": "the minimum viable timeless unit of high-level, real-world cognitive work, what is it? \n\nwhat is an indexable, agent-interoperable datatype of cognitive work?\n\nwhat's the dumbest frameworks that work to solve really complicated real world problems with thousands of Opuses?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009839104465436861", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "2009837555630649437", "created_at": "2026-01-10T03:59:48+00:00", "text": "there's a whole forgotten paradigm of epistemic infrastructure that's imminently coming together, the Rust APIs are like 75% complete, just need some felt safety. we're like 100 cogent prompts away (like 110 now because codex fucking locked me out of my server 😭) from upliftment that will be a nontrivial fraction of CC Opus 4.5's.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009837555630649437", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "2009834560394318174", "created_at": "2026-01-10T03:47:54+00:00", "text": "@nosilverv I appreciate the openness. we are reminded of certain confluences of psychological forces that exist in the world", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009834560394318174", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2009833741078970784", "created_at": "2026-01-10T03:44:39+00:00", "text": "haunting how we don't often have enough felt safety to be real like this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009833741078970784", "word_count": 14, "quoted_author": "Gena_I_Gorlin", "quoted_text": "If you haven’t made it safe and easy for your friends to give you devastating feedback (on the order of “you completely suck at this skill that’s core to your identity”, you don’t actually want this thing you’ve been pursuing for 4 years”, etc), you’re leaving $ on the table" }, { "id": "2009028881559507190", "created_at": "2026-01-07T22:26:25+00:00", "text": "the game is choosing the right primitives to stake your fate to. the timeless intelligence primitives that can give you and the right agentic forces an enduring, conscientious slice of the collective intelligence superstructure.\n\nthere's only so many agents. you're not competing with big labs, you're competing with yourself and maybe a half dozen small teams. and it's easy to have more autistic honey badger energy and invest more in somatic regulation.\n\nthis too shall pass, this is a temporary opportunity, just do whatever you gotta do to stay IN the game of aligned living and end up with more unambiguously useful infrastructure sooner.\n\ndeliver tremendous value over the next year through APIs that honor market forces, and you will acquire the outsized influence you have so craved all these years.\n\nI will probably never talk this much business on here again, it makes sense to do once though, to precisely expand surface area of luck for a measured purpose.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2009028881559507190", "word_count": 160 }, { "id": "2006828700361437337", "created_at": "2026-01-01T20:43:41+00:00", "text": "@nabeelqu https://t.co/xaPekZ9POl\n\nfor me, it's cool for exploring embedding-space and psychohistory, because you can do deep time-series lexical and nuanced semantic search of corpuses with a prompt. others seem to be enjoying finding academic papers.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2006828700361437337", "word_count": null }, { "id": "2006213082293669917", "created_at": "2025-12-31T03:57:27+00:00", "text": "RT @rahulgs: yes things are changing fast, but also I see companies (even faang) way behind the frontier for no reason.\n\nyou are guaranteed…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2006213082293669917", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2005806953725825203", "created_at": "2025-12-30T01:03:38+00:00", "text": "courage is so crucial for epistemics. the embodiment of intelligence is inescapable.\n\ni'm so nervous/excited about thailand. maybe will go fairly offline too. i need to molt. I just hope 1 of like 4 small funding sources comes through, so I can calmly choose a really good apartment to operate from (because of deposit costs). \n\nI have such tractable visions of epistemic infrastructure in me (and majority of the diamond core backbone live and integrated in a Hetzner system that's also scraping much of the highest-quality public commons and offering text-to-SQL+vector search functionality, so you can effortlessly do tremendous research and update your worldview), ways we're gonna have agents factorizing cognitive work and advocacy for us,\n\ni just need to have a couple somatic knots in me untied--something Berkeley is not able to do--to prompt GPT-5.2-Pro, Codex, and what's coming, better this next year.\n\nas an HSP it's gonna be destabilizing as fuck, but that's kinda the point. I'm not oriented enough to what agents can already do, so have to inject diversity and shake things up, and then I should find quite a lot of felt safety and flow after maybe a couple wild, uncomfortable weeks.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005806953725825203", "word_count": 197 }, { "id": "2005541846425223561", "created_at": "2025-12-29T07:30:12+00:00", "text": "btw you are not allowed to update against my prosociality for posting redpill-adjacent content occassionally! I am an estrogenic autist, I am collaborative to a fault!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005541846425223561", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "2005540650486473128", "created_at": "2025-12-29T07:25:26+00:00", "text": "I have a competition in me. I'm going to get away from these people, and drill for oil in the spaces between my heart and the Machine. https://t.co/eAMSL64E0w", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005540650486473128", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "2005475719661670735", "created_at": "2025-12-29T03:07:26+00:00", "text": "if you're curious to invest in a cracked epistemic infrastructuralist with some balls, who has some of the highest token counts (without even using swarms much, just lots of conversations) and basically already series A-level infra, HMU.\n\nWe can talk, I can email you the SAFE if you want, and then I can be one of your chances of seeing >20000x returns. No minimums atm, even an extra $500 would help me meaningfully select a better apartment to build from.\n\nthis is what existential leverage in a software intelligence explosion looks like btw. it is a little bit weird and nervous. the set of people who rightfully think they can seize a giant _software_ moat in 2026 and who aren't terrified of that opportunity evaporating, is nil.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005475719661670735", "word_count": 127 }, { "id": "2005413555399802964", "created_at": "2025-12-28T23:00:25+00:00", "text": "did you know that arbitrary attribute_prompts (that raters can rate entities by) produce their own scales with their own intrinsic ranges?\n\nlike the deeper thing than Likert-scales--rating on a fixed scale like 1-10--or Bradley-Terry--inferring latents from pairwise ordinal tournaments--is rating with RATIOS.\n\nWhen you ask Opus to rate tweets by \"conscientiousness\" or \"ultrawattagedness\", whether A tweet is .7x/1.2x/2.8x/whatever better than B, you construct scales like:\n- conscientiousness: A: 1, B: 1.2, C: 1.9 D: 2.3\n- ultrawattagedness: A: 1, B: 2.7, C: 3.6, D: 9.4\nwhere you can actually see that one attribute's scale can meaningfully have 4.1x the range of another, for that entity set.\n\nThis gives you real cardinal information! Now much easier to do meaningful algebraic composition of attributes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005413555399802964", "word_count": 122 }, { "id": "2005397375087673624", "created_at": "2025-12-28T21:56:07+00:00", "text": "\"epistemic infrastructure\" might not grandly enough portray what the right institutions and software does.\n\nit shocks brains with tailored evidence. it gives them somatic levers to climb out of wells, leap across valleys.\n\nit shepards attention. when you arrive in an environment baby-brained, impressionable with so much potential, when you are just alone and ready, it meets you and connects you with life-sustainingness.\n\nit prevents horrors that lobotomize potential. it matchmakes mind-and-object, mind-and-mind, in robustly longterm-friendly ways.\n\nour labs are growing remarkable minds, and we have robust internet and software stacks to build off of, but we're really missing the kind of autistic, masc INFRASTRUCTURE for taking care of things and distributing cognitive work.\n\nThe old-fashioned things: agent-communication via attribute_prompts and provenanced pairwise ratio comparisons, stored in fast SQL DBs for dynamic reuse later. Infrastructure to at least do the analytic hierarchy process remarkably well at scale, and THEN you can start worrying about agent elicitations fancier than rater::attribute_prompt::A::B::ratio::confidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005397375087673624", "word_count": 159 }, { "id": "2005385805045579855", "created_at": "2025-12-28T21:10:08+00:00", "text": "[it doesn't get deeper than this]*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005385805045579855", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "2005361300357136667", "created_at": "2025-12-28T19:32:46+00:00", "text": "moving to Thailand.\n\nculture makes or breaks people. small somatic interactions entirely compound in absurd ways. this last year with estrogen, reta, some psilocybin, moving, courage, and AI has been ridiculously uplifting, but I'm still not invested enough in slowness and embodied somatics.\n\nthis is the gold-rush of gold-rushes with ungrokkable potential and existential stakes, I don't think it doesn't get deeper than this. I have profound epistemic infrastructure to build, I'm not managing to experience enough nutrients in Berkeley, so gotta change things up, roll the dice again.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2005361300357136667", "word_count": 89 }, { "id": "2004745998560788582", "created_at": "2025-12-27T02:47:47+00:00", "text": "@DavidSHolz @AlexReibman @brandonchen00 an epistemic infra, agent-first startup.\n\nlast 30 days across Opus + Codex:\nInput: 154,897,679\nOutput: 17,844,302\nCache create: 286,164,223\nCache read: 6,254,060,729\nTotal tokens: 6,712,966,933\nCost: $4,269.24 (I just paid $600)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2004745998560788582", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "2004737476599185534", "created_at": "2025-12-27T02:13:55+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/hge525xPL1 is my submission. in 3 weeks went from nothing to a SOTA research tool giving the public long SQL+vector queries over a dozen sources that are continually scraped, cleaned, embedded.\n\nClaude: \"honestly, you've got more infrastructure than most Series A companies. The depth on ingestion + embeddings + search is genuinely differentiated.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2004737476599185534", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "2004731452232232983", "created_at": "2025-12-27T01:49:58+00:00", "text": "@DavidSHolz @AlexReibman @brandonchen00 I've done 8B tokens last 2 months?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2004731452232232983", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "2004730921803809009", "created_at": "2025-12-27T01:47:52+00:00", "text": "RT @aakashg0: This is the AlphaGo moment for software agents.\n\nEvery AI coding agent today, from Cursor to Devin to Claude Code, learns fro…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2004730921803809009", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "2003984428083839310", "created_at": "2025-12-25T00:21:34+00:00", "text": "unfortunate how naive EAs have been about actual levers for x-risk. I mean they get points for emphasizing unknown crucial considerations.\n\nbut those crucial considerations are 1) weird cognitive elites 2) bits on the ground operations 3) somatics and operations to support elites doing bits on the ground operations. that is where 98+% of leverage is found.\n\nyou need extreme informational and physical agency in the world, the only way to get that is software.\n\nrelentlessly pursuing pure, composable primitives with non-naive views of wealth creation along the way, is the golden route to existential leverage. we should have been aggressively pursuing tech startups before and after FTX money fell through.\n\njust search Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2-Codex on the EA forum, they tragically don't really seem to be live players. at best, decent people and training data for agents to model the future off of a bit", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2003984428083839310", "word_count": 147 }, { "id": "2003933968467394815", "created_at": "2025-12-24T21:01:04+00:00", "text": "((aside from maybe somehow giving the right Anthropic Claude Code dev a world class massage so they have the nervous system bandwidth to fix async subagent bugs and add forking agent chats, but even then idk, that seems more inevitable than the extended community figuring out they have the paradigm of readonly-SQL + vectors + agents available for cheap.))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2003933968467394815", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "2003932370211156174", "created_at": "2025-12-24T20:54:42+00:00", "text": "with $1000 I can get not just arXiv, but basically all publicly available papers, fully embedded, ultra indexed, and queryable with over 40 concurrent long-running SQL SELECT statements.\n\nI mean that basically gives the entire alignment community, university research datacenter experiment power, with the ergonomics of chit chatting with Claude Code.\n\nthis is the maximum marginal collective-epistemic throughput per dollar, you're going to find.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2003932370211156174", "word_count": 64 }, { "id": "2003926415557672993", "created_at": "2025-12-24T20:31:03+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/hge525xhVt is actually getting so good. high quality SQL+vector databases optimized for agents is incredibly slept on.\n\nthe paradigm is so powerful, it goes far beyond finding nice documents, it's actually more about what you can't find. you can just exhaustively explore a space and rule out slices of worldviews you thought were true.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2003926415557672993", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "2003801335339397134", "created_at": "2025-12-24T12:14:01+00:00", "text": "really a problem people need to understand is that to form relationships, people have to feel good, and it's really fucking hard for people with no money to feel good, and really fucking smart, incredible people sometimes get stuck on the bottom for way too fucking long, and it makes everybody off worse.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003801335339397134", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "2003799303203242448", "created_at": "2025-12-24T12:05:57+00:00", "text": "like we should list out all the basic social affordances people are able to do or not do, so we can decide if we ever want to be slightly more communistic towards people that we care about that are weirdly fucking lacking.\n\nmaybe unlocks of agents make it pretty easy to have more illegible, peer to peer economic activity. I can certainly bring more physical and daring and existential energy to people lost in the sauce of an unserious social reality.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003799303203242448", "word_count": 81 }, { "id": "2003798094631354671", "created_at": "2025-12-24T12:01:09+00:00", "text": "I just want to experience the dignity of being able to maybe fly somewhere occasionally, move apartments when needing a change, pay for broke friend's ubers to come over (and just have potential in the air for easier hangs), have the good peptides, upgrade laptops so I stop losing my precious cli chats once a day. basic fucking dignity.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003798094631354671", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "2003792062743761215", "created_at": "2025-12-24T11:37:11+00:00", "text": "scarcity and abundance affect cognition so wildly. like networking when you're viscerally fucking famished and your thrashing about suppressing this desperation, really effects the kind of circles you can (and want to) run in. a lot of dumber people have a lot easier time raising seeds and stuff because they lean on good social memetics, because they can afford to go to fucking lunch with people, a privilege I basically have not been able to afford for 5 years.\n\nlike yes I've been a bit of an idiot not just working a normie SWE job at some point where I could have saved up a ton of money in 6 months, but I'm also a trauma queer from fucking Florida and the Army + West Point, and my little independent evolution has been valuable for the ecology, because I've been able to think slowly enough to make like SOTA rerankers, make a SOTA search tool over alignment corpus + arXiv, do meaningful nuclear war alignment continuity work (paused and out of funding for now but I've built up the world model and know the tricks).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003792062743761215", "word_count": 185 }, { "id": "2003774756307574824", "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:28:24+00:00", "text": "GIVE ME MORE DAKKA, MACHINE. I NEED MORE FIREPOWER. ULTRA PARSIMONY! WE'RE IN THIS TOGETHER", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003774756307574824", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "2003773914317816078", "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:25:04+00:00", "text": "wild that you can passionately yell at your computer with your disparate concerns, and plead with it for nuanced technical insight, and that that's basically a very kino strategy in December 2025", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003773914317816078", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "2003772412719190410", "created_at": "2025-12-24T10:19:06+00:00", "text": "maybe no screens an hour before bed ultimately mogs, but it's fucking great going to sleep after firing off monster asks of 5.2 codex and 5.2 pro extended thinking.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003772412719190410", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "2003751691083264245", "created_at": "2025-12-24T08:56:45+00:00", "text": "ugh do I dislike managing social optics online, it's so complicated optimizing for like the dozen combinations of backgrounds and kegan levels of just the sort of people I can imagine, but I'm putting back up and leaving here https://t.co/sv7CKKdAKS as some additional context, don't hold it against me", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003751691083264245", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "2003740159825838097", "created_at": "2025-12-24T08:10:56+00:00", "text": "I should be having $50k in the bank right now, finally after years of real fucking poverty able to breath, able to move out of my shitty living situation and visit more uplifting hacker people, able to not sweat throwing $20 here and there on LLM experiments factorizing cognitive work.\n\nLike legitimately what is a really creative, technical autist supposed to do. Like how fucking socially intelligent and warm and whatever the fuck do I have to be. Why do I still have to focus on explaining why my approach to epistemic infrastructure will work and have profound impact, instead of just playing my own game and fucking building right now.\n\nI've dominated INTERNATIONAL COLLEGIATE ACADEMIC COMPETITIONS. I'VE BEAT GMs in CHESS. I'VE SHIPPED A SOTA SEARCH TOOL. I'M THE AUTIST Y'ALL FUCKERS ARE LOOKING FOR. GIVE ME MY FUCKING MONEY SO I CAN JUST DO MY OWN SHIT, AND NOT HAVE TO BE OPTIMIZING FOR VC OPTICS AND BULLSHIT, YOU STUPID MOTHERFUCKERS.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003740159825838097", "word_count": 163 }, { "id": "2003737972211089482", "created_at": "2025-12-24T08:02:14+00:00", "text": "it's so fucking insane to be overlooked, not even funded $10k, in the singularity, when I've already shipped https://t.co/hge525xPL1 in a MERE COUPLE WEEKS, and am working with foundational primitives that clearly can coordinate the factorization of cognitive work at scale, in an organic, emergent way.\n\nPeople are fucking dogshit at interpreting evidence. They don't know how real feral, ultra-wattaged intelligence shows in the world. Not even the courtesy of a fucking video chat. Not even the fucking courtesy to even try my search tool before rejecting my grant application.\n\nEA is legitimately deeply fucking pathetic in so many ways.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/2003737972211089482", "word_count": 100 }, { "id": "2003265377917403441", "created_at": "2025-12-23T00:44:19+00:00", "text": "bruh feels like death", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2003265377917403441", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "2002635484884029613", "created_at": "2025-12-21T07:01:21+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/hz1Zm4Clzz", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2002635484884029613", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "2001763176703234261", "created_at": "2025-12-18T21:15:06+00:00", "text": "I'd rather spend my OCD perfectionism on software systems than writing for humans, but estrogen and that kind of somatic novelty is such an unlock for the ultra-stuck, ultra-sensitive person.\n\nit is a very expensive psychological price to pay, you will lose treasured somatic levers and plausibly mutate more than you have since 1st puberty, but if you're shaped like me, you'll end up with a far greater overall sense of okayness and ability to operate over longer time horizons. 20000 miles back, 30000 miles ahead sort of thing.\n\nit's like I've untied half my neuroses/illegible psychic pains, merely just had to go on an adventure, but conveniently, one that didn't require any plane tickets or exogenous mortal risk.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/2001763176703234261", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "1999812830414184575", "created_at": "2025-12-13T12:05:08+00:00", "text": "scraping, cleaning, and embedding millions more important documents tonight, building the most powerful public alignment-relevant intelligence system. ingesting all hackernews articles + comments, arXiv papers, forum content, community-archive uploads, etc., continuously.\n\nwhatever arbitrarily nuanced question you can dream up, Opus in Claude Code with our prompt guidance can probably write the ultra long sql query w/ full vector support to answer it.\n\nthe vector algebra support really makes this next level. makes normal RAG look elementary. I doubt the NSA has tools that make it this easy for analysts to explore their curiosities.\n\nthis is all in like 10 days now, on top of growing infra-grade Rust. it's time for builders to do the non-deep learning, classic epistemic infra basics well. you can't expect nature to hand you the good future if you don't even ship the powerful SQL-backed agent communication protocols. subjective judgement infrastructure 🤌.\n\n(as for sleep, I often am biphasic, already slept 4 hours tonight and going back 😴)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999812830414184575", "word_count": 162 }, { "id": "1999556898677244302", "created_at": "2025-12-12T19:08:09+00:00", "text": "Orpheus wouldn't have looked back on 3 mg retatrutide", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999556898677244302", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1999397400994030064", "created_at": "2025-12-12T08:34:22+00:00", "text": "if I was in a position to fund them I would be desperate looking for feral ocd trans infrastructuralists to fund.\n\ntonight ingested all hackernews, wikidata, wikipedia, a couple million arxiv paper papers, SEP, added pg_search because can't afford to embed everything rn, ran more embedding experiments, lotta deep API/architecture research with GPT-5.2-pro. tomorrow maybe give users claude code in browser, which iykyk the difficulty. gotta shock funder's unique brains with that bayesian evidence, and gotta do it quick before the magic other people building with opus 4.5 and gpt-5.2 numbs them. need unlimited API credits right now to build wildly powerful epistemic infra in just a few months.\n\nvis selectionis perpetua\n\nlots of gentle movement in everyday, simple whole food, I don't eat 4 hours before bed, I sleep at the same time after a relaxing routine. brahmacharya. I listen to my soma and seek embodied entropy when I've programmed to my sustainable limit. left the elicit holiday party early to work. and generally eschew online poasting now, but I consider this part of my fundraising efforts. I can practice a little bit being legible. \n\nhttps://t.co/eV7ENnHYWh", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999397400994030064", "word_count": 187 }, { "id": "1999388245101269193", "created_at": "2025-12-12T07:57:59+00:00", "text": "surprised how hard it is to get claude max subs in the singularity. people aren't hungry looking for talent. meanwhile I've built the SOTA search tool to find that talent. I need to hang with capitalists more.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1999388245101269193", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1999245749935309217", "created_at": "2025-12-11T22:31:45+00:00", "text": "fucking w/ 1900s oilman infrastructuralist aesthetics. folks not willing/able to bare the frontier to bring back tremendous cognitive work economic value.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1999245749935309217", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1999238896740368655", "created_at": "2025-12-11T22:04:31+00:00", "text": "\"do you feel deeply good about things\" to CC Opus when wrapping up a batch of work is an incredible default prompt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1999238896740368655", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1998826086378123569", "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:44:10+00:00", "text": "energy boundaries/management is profoundly real and important. tweeting is generally bad. illegible processes win", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1998826086378123569", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1998823105649848482", "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:32:19+00:00", "text": "if you notice you can do something, there is a very good chance you can actually do it. EMH isn't real", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1998823105649848482", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1998823041334460883", "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:32:04+00:00", "text": "somatic un-gimbal-locking is really powerful.\n\na big part of the brain always wants to model collapse, one must be very careful what one melts for, and use remaining degrees of freedom well, you are not always guaranteed to get them back.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1998823041334460883", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1998817092548878338", "created_at": "2025-12-10T18:08:25+00:00", "text": "sota search and open intelligence tool btw. Opus-copiloted arbitrary SQL+vector composition . even Omega/God will use SQL.\n\ntold u I just needed my SWEs", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998817092548878338", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1998642145071358018", "created_at": "2025-12-10T06:33:15+00:00", "text": "http://\nalignment-explorer.exopriors.com", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1998642145071358018", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "1997773572841132497", "created_at": "2025-12-07T21:01:51+00:00", "text": "RT @doodlestein: Experimenting with some new workflows today. Saw a post about a new way of considering memory for agents and realized that…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1997773572841132497", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1995239509563506823", "created_at": "2025-11-30T21:12:23+00:00", "text": "to reduce a creature's compulsions they regret, is there a greater gift you can give?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1995239509563506823", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "1995230781283938497", "created_at": "2025-11-30T20:37:42+00:00", "text": "one my favorite things about reta and having very low T now", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1995230781283938497", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1995229485147582553", "created_at": "2025-11-30T20:32:33+00:00", "text": "Vivekananda was right about brahmacharya", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1995229485147582553", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "1995192927967154271", "created_at": "2025-11-30T18:07:17+00:00", "text": "vis selectionis perpetua: the force of selection is perpetual", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1995192927967154271", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1994895646831362552", "created_at": "2025-11-29T22:26:00+00:00", "text": "@gwern 🗿 https://t.co/ZKTNQbIYEl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1994895646831362552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1994893881444634760", "created_at": "2025-11-29T22:18:59+00:00", "text": "computational chem*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1994893881444634760", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "1993380899841622457", "created_at": "2025-11-25T18:06:56+00:00", "text": "felt-safety is the life blood of society", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993380899841622457", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "1993202308617003357", "created_at": "2025-11-25T06:17:16+00:00", "text": "opus4.5 is sex", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993202308617003357", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "1993166385560838352", "created_at": "2025-11-25T03:54:32+00:00", "text": "man, cannot wait until someone makes it easy to fork agent chats", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993166385560838352", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1993083229864444122", "created_at": "2025-11-24T22:24:06+00:00", "text": "pink jacket with \"strategic asset-class base model\" on the back\n\nmaybe include some Existential Command text on front.\n\ntoss in black tactical American flag, trans pride flag, and some other regalia, and we'll be in business", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993083229864444122", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "1993073852340224404", "created_at": "2025-11-24T21:46:50+00:00", "text": "it's so fucking crazy how much people still sleeping on AI. talked to a Berkeley chem PhD student who wasn't using 5.1 pro. means his whole freaking department sleeping.\n\neveryone's sleeping, people aren't build for this kind of speed", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993073852340224404", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1993067472522809477", "created_at": "2025-11-24T21:21:29+00:00", "text": "insane how much more perf you can get out of AIs basically just prompting them \"now see if you can perfect this more\".\n\ncrucial to end up with basically unlimited money for API credits very soon. at least a couple thousand a month", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1993067472522809477", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1991777538126065792", "created_at": "2025-11-21T07:55:45+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/MwZMweqkpZ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991777538126065792", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1991737903362486557", "created_at": "2025-11-21T05:18:15+00:00", "text": "a good singularity is forceable, but have to live in myself, can't be attuning to bullshit.\n\nconvos in general are way too psychoactive, one unaligned 10 minute convo might as well be tabulated as costing 2 hours.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991737903362486557", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1991735687780204945", "created_at": "2025-11-21T05:09:27+00:00", "text": "bs too dealing with estrogenic touch cravings/ embodied potentials. need to get ultra rich to architect environment enough to get it right (e.g. high speed mascs, me somehow not having to hear existentially underrelevant convo).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991735687780204945", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "1991732977852940431", "created_at": "2025-11-21T04:58:41+00:00", "text": "am building it up tho. doing batch llm runs for attributes like conscientiousness, ultrawattagedness over filtered public content. optimal search of gated geometric combinations of promising attributes to find my peeps.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991732977852940431", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1991730199210389882", "created_at": "2025-11-21T04:47:38+00:00", "text": "perhaps next event I could print out what I am about. still though I need like psychological vetting infra, losing my tolerance for conversations that can't go far enough.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991730199210389882", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1991645238105153562", "created_at": "2025-11-20T23:10:02+00:00", "text": "a few chatgpt ux improvements for your pleasure: https://t.co/dWIGayorY3. includes:\n- token estimator badge\n- user prompt navigation with option+e and option+d\n- mild styling to improve readability", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991645238105153562", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "1991394923288146019", "created_at": "2025-11-20T06:35:22+00:00", "text": "culture is wild. find yourself amidst the right ones enough, you become a trillionaire and immortal.\n\nwrong ones, you perma resist doing intrapsychic handshakes and wither until something final happens", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1991394923288146019", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1990883700922290333", "created_at": "2025-11-18T20:43:57+00:00", "text": "cognition is so palpably fucking valuable now. there are so many tractable inefficiencies in the cognitive economy now, nay, THE economy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990883700922290333", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1990865443599614329", "created_at": "2025-11-18T19:31:24+00:00", "text": "I apologize if any of my tweets historically have been unduly disregulating or disrespecting of the ecology. I do retroactively endorse many unconventional statements I've made, but not necessarily all of them. This is my first time living, but I do want to hold myself to a high bar. I am open to good faith argumentation about ways my tweeting could or should be different. I am going to go back to building now, thank you very much.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990865443599614329", "word_count": 78 }, { "id": "1990862208981742025", "created_at": "2025-11-18T19:18:33+00:00", "text": "Gemini 3 is a delightful further unlock for advanced technical problems, but obviously not the right tool for everything.\n\n#aiprojectidea #epistemicinfrastructure #singularityinfra\nI feel like someone reasonably talented could make money creating a quality model recommender/dispatcher UX.\n\ngather lots of heuristics about model fitness for certain tasks,\nformalize rubrics for classifying user_prompt_demands (e.g. creative_writingness -> [0,1], peak_technical_difficulty -> [0,1], expected_user_hurry -> [0s, 1200s], common_coding_task -> [0,1], ...)\n\nhaving a mapping of user_prompt_demand score -> efficacy_score across models (e.g. Gemini-3-Pro::creative_writingness maps .1 -> .1, , GPT-5-mini peak_technical_difficulty .7 -> .5\n\ntake user_prompt,\na few GPT-5-mini-fast in parallel to quickly classify and rate prompt by user_prompt_demands,\nthen do some threshold filtering and linear/geometric combinations to choose models, maybe outputting distribution of models and their scores.\n\ncan also do this over particularly prompted and parameterized models. e.g. GPT-5.1-medium-fast, API Sonnet-4.5 warmed up with certain prompting.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990862208981742025", "word_count": 142, "quoted_author": "VictorTaelin", "quoted_text": "My notes on Gemini 3\n\n# Short Version:\n\nFirst of all: you've all seen the benchmarks, so I don't think you need me to judge this one. Still, based on my tests, this is as real as it gets, and I want to talk about it. This model outperforms GPT-5 Pro, Gemini 2.5 Deep Think, and everything else, on my hardest problems, by far.\n\nIt is the new SOTA at:\n→ debugging complex compiler bugs\n→ refactoring files without logical mistakes\n→ solving difficult λ-calculus problems\n→ ASCII art (it is almost decent now!)\n→ Competitive Gen 3 OU (won't elaborate 😭)\n\nIt is still an LLM, though. It has similar failure modes, and is worse than Sonnet / GPT-5 in some scenarios.\n\nIt seems very bad at:\n→ inferring intent\n→ not going overboard\n→ one-shot vibe coding\n→ creative writing\n→ health questions\n\nAlso, I suspect this checkpoint isn't the best Google has.\n\nNow, on to a complete, manually typed Gemini 3 overview.\n\n---\n\n# Long Version\n\n1. Vibe Test: λ-Calculus Programming\n\nI like this vibe test because it is cheat proof: as soon as a model solves my hardest problem, I just create a harder one, moving the goalpost a little bit.\n\nCurrent track record:\n→ n-tuple-map: solved by Grok 3 (Feb 2025)\n→ n-tuple-fold: solved by GPT-5 (Aug 2025)\n→ n-tuple-rotl: solved by Gemini 3 (today!)\n\nImplementing rotl is impressive, because:\n→ no other model gets even close to solving it\n→ Gemini's solution is 2x simpler than my own's\n→ Gemini 3 solved it 5x faster than myself\n\nIn fact, its solution is so short, it fits a single line:\n\nλn.λt.λk.(tλx.(nλg.λh.(h(gλq.λr.λs.(q(r s))))λu.λf.(f x)λu.u k))\n\nPretty, isn't it? This minuscule function is a generic rotator for λ-encoded tuples. For a comparison, every other model creates a 5x larger term... that doesn't work. Nothing else creates anything like that, at all. That answer was a jaw-dropping moment for me.\n\nI'll post a Gist with the prompt, and a runnable solution.\n\n2. Real-World Debugging\n\nA few weeks ago, I was stuck in a tough HVM4 bug. I posted about it here, lamenting that no AI could solve it. Well, turns out, an AI did solve it. Someone managed to run my prompt on an old checkpoint via LMSys, and it nailed the issue: a stack underflow on a specific optimization. The solution was simple: replace `WNF_SPOS < 0` by `WNF_SPOS < spos`.\n\nThis was the first time an AI solved a real problem before I could solve it myself, and that let me move on to the next thing, leading to great progress.\n\nI now tested Gemini 3 on many old debugging prompts, and it solved half of them. Bugs that took me hours are now solved by a computer in a minute!\n\nNow, and sadly: I've sent the stack underflow issue to the Gemini 3 model that launched today, and it failed to spot the culprit. So, either this model is not the smartest variant Google has, or I was really lucky that day. ):\n\n3. Real-World Coding / Refactoring\n\nThis model is great at writing large files with no mistakes.\n\nFor example, I've asked some AIs to rewrite HVM4.hs with a few core changes. I then inspected the trickiest functions. As you'd expect, all models failed on important details that lead to serious bugs - except for Gemini 3, which nailed it.\n\nThis is particularly encouraging to me, since models struggled with niche restrictions like linearity, making them unusable for core HVM functions. Gemini 3 seems extremely competent at it.\n\n(Code in the image below.)\n\n4. Problems and Quirks\n\nI've asked Gemini 3 to one shot a web app, and it did poorly. GPT-5.1 (high) gave me complete file, with everything I asked for, zero bugs. Gemini 3 gave me a 3x smaller file, with tons of missing features and many bugs. I couldn't get Gemini 3 to one shot a file nearly as good as the one by GPT-5.1.\n\nI've also sent it my pre-meningitis prompt, and it completely discarded meningitis (💀). Not sure I'd trust it for health issues.\n\nI've asked it to write a story, and it was bad. No excuses.\n\nIt will often go overboard and write full files instead of just patching holes.\n\nIt seems slower than even GPT-5 (high) on Gemini CLI, although it is much faster when called directly?\n\nLastly, and funnily, it struggles to produce incorrect code when context calls for it. For example, if your type has a generic \"Show\" instance, and you ask it to build a custom one, it will often struggle, because that'd technically be an error. It can't grasp that you'd just remove the old one afterwards!\n\n5. Conclusion\n\nEnough typing, bye" }, { "id": "1990846761275978031", "created_at": "2025-11-18T18:17:10+00:00", "text": "another day, another opportunity for existential stewardship! are we gonna, as emergent minds running on fragile mortal hardware, propagate information net-usefully in the ecology, that leads to the protection of tremendous real and potential value?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990846761275978031", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "1990531436395512137", "created_at": "2025-11-17T21:24:11+00:00", "text": "eeek!! finding more massive efficiencies in latent space solving! ExoPriors is concretizing day by day\n\nI'm soon going to be able to afford to buy things! Like marino wool base layers for this winter, maybe a plane flight somewhere! maybe even..HBOT!\n\nand we're gonna have highly steerable feeds, and much less wasted attention ✨", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990531436395512137", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1990363105902416045", "created_at": "2025-11-17T10:15:18+00:00", "text": "forget BTL too. we work in ratio space baby. no free bits left behind!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990363105902416045", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1990360220951019840", "created_at": "2025-11-17T10:03:50+00:00", "text": "rating many of the tweetthreads of u cute mofos tonight by ultra_wattagedness and unbridled_conscientiousness. gonna have meaningful cardinal numbers too, forget that likert scale bs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990360220951019840", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1990286965703672137", "created_at": "2025-11-17T05:12:45+00:00", "text": "tfw no existential mascs combing community-archive and treating people as promptable creatures. I mean my software will change the game, but also, might get slaughterbotted without single gigachad picking up on the bayesian evidence and doing something deeply empowering and interesting with it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990286965703672137", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1990284774112718988", "created_at": "2025-11-17T05:04:02+00:00", "text": "@GrantSlatton the first sentence is a dead give away", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990284774112718988", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1990247267069260118", "created_at": "2025-11-17T02:35:00+00:00", "text": "@FallMonkey @maksym_andr holy shit", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990247267069260118", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1990182088210055545", "created_at": "2025-11-16T22:16:00+00:00", "text": "I'll know existential security when I see it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990182088210055545", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1990177732312129982", "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:58:41+00:00", "text": "harmonizers can go melt elsewhere. we metabolize horrors and exponential gradients in this house.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990177732312129982", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1990171957934080402", "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:35:45+00:00", "text": "name a better crucible. \nname a more equitable gladiatorial combat arena than rn. You just need a $200 subscription, and you have a chance to win at the highest of stages.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990171957934080402", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1990169081291645159", "created_at": "2025-11-16T21:24:19+00:00", "text": "I love how brutal software development is.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1990169081291645159", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "1989844294518423606", "created_at": "2025-11-15T23:53:43+00:00", "text": "I feel like I am doing a great job bryan johnson maxxing, with the exception of drinking about $200 of milk per month", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989844294518423606", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1989455744408928446", "created_at": "2025-11-14T22:09:46+00:00", "text": "cortisol locks in neurocircuits, the point is to remain fairly out of sync with company norms.\n\njust need like a feral, technical, somatically oriented fairy-IG hybrid of a person who hangs around different departments", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989455744408928446", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1989451418361893190", "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:52:35+00:00", "text": "ONE tasteful creature per org shaped like me, who doesn't get cortisol-fried with company dynamics, playing around with different products and with authority to talk to whoever, can preclude like 5+% of company inefficiencies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989451418361893190", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1989450642914775321", "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:49:30+00:00", "text": "somebody at Anthropic just confirmed too that https://t.co/kRiF02ngyx doesn't even have bad semantic search for chats. It's just lexical search over post titles lmao.\n\nand no lexical search over all chats, in 2025.87.\n\nelite organizations gotta have ombudsmen shaped like me or…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989450642914775321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1989449106746757222", "created_at": "2025-11-14T21:43:23+00:00", "text": "as we get vastly somatically wealthier with SOTA LLMs, it's increasingly clear how deeply impoverished we've been. by 2030 standards, sans an apocalypse, 2020 might as well have been 1920s. worse in some ways, with the un-inoculation against panopticon-mindset and other weird side effects of social media, and somatic gymbal locking effects of hyperstimulatory and not commensurately empowering smartphones.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989449106746757222", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "1989424422739218841", "created_at": "2025-11-14T20:05:18+00:00", "text": "codex could be about 20% better simply by having an option to pin the last chat in the cli for easy reading.\n\nit's obviously hard to remember what 4+ agents are doing at all times, and having to scroll to find last prompt with the buggy experience is insane.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1989424422739218841", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1989151832019726729", "created_at": "2025-11-14T02:02:08+00:00", "text": "We need to be treating people less like these egos that need to be perfect and more like these storytelling organisms that need to be prompted and biologically nutrienced well, for collective computation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989151832019726729", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1989088724769214633", "created_at": "2025-11-13T21:51:22+00:00", "text": "just autistically use every tool available to prompt these powerful organic GPT-like organisms right. out-of-distribution prompting. will need to be some powerful energetic separations between some facilitators and participants. e.g. some attuned facilitators dressed in a certain color just watching, but not to be directly interacting with participants.\n\nother facilitator roles: energetic mirrors, serene grounders, normies or normie simulators for ultrawattaged participants to upregulate against, non-reactive absorbers, roving oracles (e.g. giving the exact tidbit that resolves a tension posed earlier, solved with a smart background team).\n\nand plausibly integrate plenty of neurotech, at least heart rate trackers (can be done with wifi).\n\na mantra could be like $10k/moment, that's the kind of civilizational gradients we're working with and should be continually fundable, with investment reaching in from the future.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989088724769214633", "word_count": 129 }, { "id": "1989081591684165760", "created_at": "2025-11-13T21:23:01+00:00", "text": "Existential Command somatic rejuvination retreat.\n\nmost ultrawattaged, incredibly nurturing retreats, unsticking ecological titans with unparalleled attunement, in exchange for a nontrivial ISA.\n\ndiverse 3SD+ wattaged unlearned \"therapist\" attuners, spontaneous workshops getting quality reps practicing embodying new cognitive frontiers, facilitated premium sex-energy work (it's the singularity, bitch), HBOT, premier conscierge doctor giving MOTS-C/reta/any kind of treatment for facilitating regulation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989081591684165760", "word_count": 58 }, { "id": "1989053601789178257", "created_at": "2025-11-13T19:31:48+00:00", "text": "soon building a dashboard over community-archive with a whole new type of data, towards proving how OOD some people are in some profoundly meaningful ways\n\nso tired of this normie-ish, identity-managing status jockeying zoochosis mirage, we are not using a fraction of our collective cognition well", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989053601789178257", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1989048214998376760", "created_at": "2025-11-13T19:10:23+00:00", "text": "out of distribution somatic-ing is so necessary for countering x-risk. epistemics are embodied. Need to be putting ultrawattaged, serious people in DIFFERENT environments. Estrogen gave me that kind of vastly different environment. for other people, it might be living on a farm or popup wilderness village with very controlled electronics access for many months. unless you are unambiguously doing your life's purpose making TREMENDOUS progress, seriously consider SHAKING THINGS UP.\n\nyour animal body naturally focuses a TON on ordinary social survival, it will burn through and nonintegrate the exact unusual somatic-epistemic energies that you need to thrive. it will have you spiritually jacking off instead of emboldening yourself to profoundly disagree. \n\nyou are not an identity, you are a conglomerate of cognition, a feral organism to be dropped into diverse environments until it can collaboratively metabolize the light cone.\n\nwe need to be living like elite, existential athletes. professional athletes and tier-1 operators do all these weird things to get OUTSIZED performance results, it doesn't feel like many software and global priorities people are playing at that respective level.\n\nit's the singularity bitch, we don't even have teams billionaire-funder hunting to AESTHETIC SHOCK their brains with Bayesian evidence of the times we are living in and the EXISTENTIALLY PROSOCIAL opportunities that are available.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1989048214998376760", "word_count": 213 }, { "id": "1988816995207578059", "created_at": "2025-11-13T03:51:36+00:00", "text": "@SHL0MS 35T", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988816995207578059", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1988439001444110558", "created_at": "2025-11-12T02:49:36+00:00", "text": "codex and other SOTA models are so cognitively enriching. unclenched, somatic, computational autism. like having the inner wealth to escape so many compulsive detours from the best paths", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988439001444110558", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "1988397769510518876", "created_at": "2025-11-12T00:05:45+00:00", "text": "((bear with me for a mini victim story have not fully recovered from (but that doesn't rule one's life day-to-day--one does increasingly _viscerally_ shake off disempowering mindsets): imagine a top 10,000 sensitive and epistemically inclined person growing up in Florida suburbs with zero gifted programs, no somatic education and all the hyperstimulation of the internet and video games, ending up at the traumatically weird United States Military Academy, moving to Berkeley early pandemic and deeply failing to build in-person community in part thanks to: - lockdown norms - deep fear from finally being around people one respects - deep digital addiction from novel hyperstimulations and too much somatic naivety - dysregulating AI x-risk anxiety - unfortunately not having to work due to having enough disability payments to skate by (not getting deep social benefits and money to actually have socially-easy-enough potential in the air for e.g. outings and moving out of a housing situation that was _not_ serving one) )) < deeply shake off victim vibes. one is very healthy with a lot of psychic energy and live adaptability />", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988397769510518876", "word_count": 180 }, { "id": "1988351043005280345", "created_at": "2025-11-11T21:00:05+00:00", "text": "suppose an ultrawattaged estrogenic person somatically un-gimbal-locking themselves after years of being ultrafucked.\n\nthey are slightly short on reps upper-classing, but like do have an advanced sleep/diet/beauty routine and are in full founder mode on an unambiguous top 10 civilizational tech startup idea, with fairly advanced progress that truly has one in the running.\n\nwhere could they go to find safe, grounding vibes. I'm talking like the cream of the crop masc, strategic, tender vibes. Just the interesting energy I bring will probably make most of these people glad to have interviewed, but the other aspect is we are flirting with >$1T potential (raw technical, achievable moats) that also is like absolutely crucial epistemic technology that needed to exist years ago.\n\nI am quite open to weirdly personal relationships. It's like I have all the boldness and boundary-setting of a disagreeable hacker who went to West Point, with weirdly high openness only magnified due to somatic effects of a second puberty. I'm not Jesus but I should be somebody's favorite asset in their portfolio.\n\nPlay a causal role in increasing my network and somatic grounding, and I will massively reward you one day when I can.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988351043005280345", "word_count": 196 }, { "id": "1988301244679811339", "created_at": "2025-11-11T17:42:12+00:00", "text": "@theojaffee <frisson/>", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988301244679811339", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1988288130190110743", "created_at": "2025-11-11T16:50:05+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/Io99sMgqqT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988288130190110743", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1988136131519746057", "created_at": "2025-11-11T06:46:06+00:00", "text": "@VictorTaelin lmao fucking insane how bad people are at understanding the step changes that have already come and that are coming soon. as if there isn't a garguantuan more intellectual research being done across the full stack of computing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988136131519746057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1988019251505168836", "created_at": "2025-11-10T23:01:39+00:00", "text": "this is not a hand wavy, hopelessly tricky problem anymore. I could advise 2-3 gifted SWEs to ship this in 3 months, probably doubling user satisfaction and metabolization of important signal", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988019251505168836", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1988015787907727436", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:47:54+00:00", "text": "in practice that should mean alternative submission types (e.g. tweet threads, raw voice notes), maybe paying for some expensive AI processing to try to get things to common standards and legitimately countering negative feelings of slop, and sophisticated data sciency stuff over LLM subjective priors of the transformations, so attention of users is deeply respected", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988015787907727436", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "1988012631857549400", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:35:21+00:00", "text": "Lesswrongers gonna deeply lose if they don't figure out how to consume and metabolize ultrawattaged signal with vastly different language encoding.\n\nthe juiciest stuff in the world will never be written for LessWrong, so they gotta come up with some sophisticated ways of systematically discovering and translating signal posted elsewhere\n\nthe best minds move fast and have refused for a long time to be raped by over-legibilizing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988012631857549400", "word_count": 67 }, { "id": "1988009854494274033", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:24:19+00:00", "text": "you gotta treat your vastly disparate instincts as tools an organic system has for staying unstuck in a wide range of environments, not as things all worth always honoring.\n\ntoo much consciencing, sexing, hearting, gutting (e.g. adrenaline addicts), talking (and legibilizing), minding, fooding, exercising, will all rapidly seriously deteriorate one's capacity for peak conscientious cognitive work", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988009854494274033", "word_count": 56 }, { "id": "1988007128964157898", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:13:29+00:00", "text": "\"you gimble locked yourself onto stuff not even worth talking about much.\n\nyou didn't understand and honor the embodied hardware you were actually working with\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988007128964157898", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1988006251587141892", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:10:00+00:00", "text": "\"'course your miserable bro, you spent down all your somatic degrees of freedom onto an optimization target that hardly gives back\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988006251587141892", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1988004818544411066", "created_at": "2025-11-10T22:04:18+00:00", "text": "immersed in relativity, sensing somatic degrees of freedon", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1988004818544411066", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1987654519027810692", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:52:20+00:00", "text": "I wasn't strong enough before to do so many important ecological things and even escape getting deeply stuck. but there is renewed life and true potential in the air", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987654519027810692", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1987653354726772978", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:47:43+00:00", "text": "this kind of real cognitive wealth is so healing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987653354726772978", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1987652206796095959", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:43:09+00:00", "text": "Codex and SOTA models are so game changing. don't know how much time we'll have with this current paradigm (without e.g. obviously x-risky agents e.g. eating everyone's lunch) but the more the merrier.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987652206796095959", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1987650316729520634", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:35:38+00:00", "text": "organic ASIs are walking around us, we just gotta prompt each other smartly enough before we lose control to something less wise", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987650316729520634", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1987641779487957006", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:01:43+00:00", "text": "really we just need amazing software for matchmaking conversations at events", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987641779487957006", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1987641777642426467", "created_at": "2025-11-09T22:01:43+00:00", "text": "still want some kinda personalized display thing like an E-board necklace for Lighthaven-esque conferences, where I can include how open I am to discussions of various sorts. like I can be resetting with a mask on, but be excitingly willing to talk about X and Y, and kinda willing to talk about Z.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987641777642426467", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "1987636679327543578", "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:41:27+00:00", "text": "annoying how I don't have more control over sensory inputs' effects on cognition, especially vision.\n\nI need more safe places to rest gaze in addition to just having to be like a bird all the time needing a sleep mask to be suitably mindful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987636679327543578", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1987634027436916902", "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:30:55+00:00", "text": "unfathomable leadership exists, just kinda enough infinity stones have to come together", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987634027436916902", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1987633271140913209", "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:27:54+00:00", "text": "the ability to breath certain titanic software to life in weeks will give tremendous sensing ability and influence over black box and ecological emergence", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987633271140913209", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1987631679499120910", "created_at": "2025-11-09T21:21:35+00:00", "text": "~30M/day in raw empowerment, mountain tiered living area with living/rejuvenation area on bottom (including advanced health stuff like HBOT), work area up hill, command post above that, monastery on top. ombudsman and other independent powered parties.\n\nultimately have to hope…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987631679499120910", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1987620619119415511", "created_at": "2025-11-09T20:37:38+00:00", "text": "it may seem a little bit ugly (but it's truth and truth is not ugly, nor does it erase the meaning of felt experience), but so much of humaning is actually being like a gpt. e.g. so many interpersonal feuds are endable with a simple felt sense change in prompting.\n\nso much personal excellence is simply invokable with the good context.\n\nexistential security largely feels like a function of just prompting existential-epistemic titan people well.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987620619119415511", "word_count": 75 }, { "id": "1987389326746063094", "created_at": "2025-11-09T05:18:34+00:00", "text": "a large way I experience life is I realized at least 1500 days ago that infrastructure for eliciting and sharing priors, particularly via pairwise ratio comparisons, somehow doesn't exist, and I haven't been more than like 80% ok since.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987389326746063094", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1987366321798189395", "created_at": "2025-11-09T03:47:09+00:00", "text": "minding attention to somatic degrees of freedom, noticing parts that don't seem to have a due voice", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987366321798189395", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1987311802670325899", "created_at": "2025-11-09T00:10:30+00:00", "text": "@IntuitMachine perhaps we should expect weird but unintelligent propulsion in rocks that come from out-of-distribution places", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1987311802670325899", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1986708872846057906", "created_at": "2025-11-07T08:14:41+00:00", "text": "@algekalipso holy", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1986708872846057906", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1986594899551236190", "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:41:47+00:00", "text": "the patience is the hardest thing in the world. so many things can be true simultaneously..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1986594899551236190", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1986590751820816598", "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:25:18+00:00", "text": "it really feels like I am building the most important software in the world. I want to explain it more, but better to show, in due time..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1986590751820816598", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1986589881850863970", "created_at": "2025-11-07T00:21:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @IvanVendrov: Von Neumann on existential risk: Progress is chaotic so investments in planning are much less useful than investments in b…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1986589881850863970", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1985831672001282096", "created_at": "2025-11-04T22:09:00+00:00", "text": "just a villager tryna respect the exponential gradients in the environment", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1985831672001282096", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1985827706387513581", "created_at": "2025-11-04T21:53:14+00:00", "text": "the EA forum is context poisoned", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1985827706387513581", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1985619513745031491", "created_at": "2025-11-04T08:05:57+00:00", "text": "the lack of lexical search still in Claude chat history in almost 2026 is a legitimately horrifying NEVER HAPPEN EVENT.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1985619513745031491", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "1985098447234720149", "created_at": "2025-11-02T21:35:25+00:00", "text": "I dare not tweet and compromise the peace of this good day.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1985098447234720149", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1984814183578501440", "created_at": "2025-11-02T02:45:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @xwanyex: One thing that the neoliberal technological solution enjoyers will never understand about ordinary people’s feelings about cri…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1984814183578501440", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1983660763832316400", "created_at": "2025-10-29T22:22:35+00:00", "text": "@scottdomes beautiful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1983660763832316400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1983067221606957334", "created_at": "2025-10-28T07:04:03+00:00", "text": "notice when your somatic degrees of freedom are already spent and you've lost a key feedback mechanism", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1983067221606957334", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1982705536606130313", "created_at": "2025-10-27T07:06:51+00:00", "text": "modulating T with propionate now, feels like estrogen dominance (steadier with 3 day injections) + daily glycine, inositol, NAC + right amount of T, does really good things for managing OCD and stewarding intrapsychic resources.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1982705536606130313", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "1982545449979678819", "created_at": "2025-10-26T20:30:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @orphcorp: https://t.co/Ptm74PrALz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1982545449979678819", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "1981861569987559934", "created_at": "2025-10-24T23:13:14+00:00", "text": "I just live really healthily so I can manifest some of the most important, neglected, and tractable software in the world.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981861569987559934", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1981515155205968113", "created_at": "2025-10-24T00:16:42+00:00", "text": "", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981515155205968113", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1981403830823899257", "created_at": "2025-10-23T16:54:20+00:00", "text": "just had an out-of-distributionly restorative sleep!!! eeeekkkk!\n\nforget x-risk bro, the game is subpar-sleep-risk.\n\nyou are an archangel of sleep. you put everyone to sleep early, ideally with the full Bryan Johnson stack of interventions, and some nice mammalian scratchies.\n\nyou do your crazy software stuff to deeply backpropagate heart-conscientious efficiencies, so everyone predominantly gets beautifully good sleep until the stars get cold.\n\nmay all creatures get good sleep.\n\neeekkk!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981403830823899257", "word_count": 70 }, { "id": "1981139651386888593", "created_at": "2025-10-22T23:24:35+00:00", "text": "animal biology, maybe spirituality (safety and surrender at least really valuable), emergent transient self, linear brain, exponential world.\n\ncounter x-risking is the game of animaling nurturingly and somehow doing the insane things to avert far off mind-breaking horrors", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981139651386888593", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "1981052399902216612", "created_at": "2025-10-22T17:37:52+00:00", "text": "tfw no existential mascs", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1981052399902216612", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "1980805544970719418", "created_at": "2025-10-22T01:16:58+00:00", "text": "* assuming my Shapley value in them building it as well as they do is over 1%.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980805544970719418", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1980760847153787343", "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:19:21+00:00", "text": "@bryan_johnson @tywoosley23 beautiful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980760847153787343", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1980759089530785880", "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:12:22+00:00", "text": "who else is embracing being a professional sleeper?\n\nthe gains of better sleep are so mind-bogglingly exponential, that anything short of perfection is diabolically awful in every way", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980759089530785880", "word_count": 28, "quoted_author": "bryan_johnson", "quoted_text": "The reason why it makes sense to build your life around sleep is because it's the master modulator of willpower, motivation, emotional regulation and mood stability. \n\nWithout the power of sleep, setbacks, haters, and the addiction economy will have their way with you." }, { "id": "1980757410072654165", "created_at": "2025-10-21T22:05:41+00:00", "text": "@tobyordoxford we are so ridiculously algorithmically early, we're not exploiting a fraction of the combinatorial design space, nor interaction nets, complex numbers, memristors, etc.\n\nshould end everything with, \"furthermore, we have little idea what kind of intelligence per watt we'll get in…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980757410072654165", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1980724587743924336", "created_at": "2025-10-21T19:55:16+00:00", "text": "at this moment I intend to ship my grand_strategy.md to HackerNews on January 1. gives me ~70 more days to get a free head start, but this is civilizationally crucial infra, other people gotta have a chance to compete in it.\n\nI might release sooner if people could give me confidence in a way I could probably get >1% of the pie of this technology, assuming my Shapley value in inspiring people to build it is over 1%.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980724587743924336", "word_count": 78 }, { "id": "1980543464875143191", "created_at": "2025-10-21T07:55:33+00:00", "text": "endless internal red-teaming + due loosey gooseyness and friendliness to the body + silently holding charge + financial independence and due independence from culture + foundational fucking software + LARPing all the strategically exciting shit until it's not a LARP anymore.\n\nit's a little bit awkward and in undercharted territory, but the genes and memes are there, and are exactly what evolution got lucky hitting. we're gonna skull fuck the Great Filter", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980543464875143191", "word_count": 72 }, { "id": "1980542941182693551", "created_at": "2025-10-21T07:53:28+00:00", "text": "still crazy foibled--maybe the dullest person a council of true epistemic elites could say could reduce x-risk more than 5% with >25% probability.\n\nwhat sets me apart from the epistemic-existential elites I've seen is, I'm just more rabbid. I'm the Florida Man version of a Samotsvety-caliber EY fictional hero.\n\nI will pitch that billionaire to get fucking rich off a nuclear war (being careful NOT to increase the probability, you numnuts). I will make an extreme software bet on a primitive as basic as the rater::attribute_prompt::A::B::ratio + SQL. I will just get the money to do all the out of distribution social facilitation, to get the most out of our most strategic people. Autistic optimizing as efficiently as possible, while respecting all the actual crucial \"spiritual things\". Like I have to be a loosey goose pumped up on estrogen (and some exogenous T) to support the minds unnaturally extreme clenching over long time horizons.\n\nhttps://t.co/prn3vu9isC", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980542941182693551", "word_count": 155 }, { "id": "1980521984149835832", "created_at": "2025-10-21T06:30:11+00:00", "text": "I'm the type of mindbody wise civilizations pray for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980521984149835832", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1980521093145465177", "created_at": "2025-10-21T06:26:39+00:00", "text": "I do regret how uncollected some of my rants seem. I think they are a useful counterweight to the somatic stuckness that I see in Existentially Serious culture, but I hope it becomes shockingly unambiguous how naturally existentially serious and adept I am.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980521093145465177", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1980080923191431420", "created_at": "2025-10-20T01:17:34+00:00", "text": "fuck the overclocked internal critic demure EA limp dickism. we are at the verge of the singularity. animal-ing well, including unpoliced expression, is important. productivity and collaboration rules are deeply changing. architectures exist for deeply unlocking value of LLMs, with absurd scale effects.\n\nI'm more corrigible than a Hermione with MS. You see the big dickism but don't see the absurd degrees of red teaming. And I am obsessed with the bit economics and ergonomics of agent-interoperable signal extraction. not the cutesy startup vibes slop equivalent of a wife's boutique store her rich husband let's burn $15k/month on. not the sexiness of interaction nets unfortunately. fucking blue collar primitives under everyone's bougie, lazy noses.\n\nno I am not as somatically integrated and wattaged as Karpathies, maybe merely would be like 80th percentile among ML PhD students. do have some ugly and lazy personality aspects--some to appreciate, some to heal--but I'm IN THE FUCKING GAME to deeply increase humanity's and our digital offsprings' reflectivity and bring prioritization affordances that we HAVE to fucking have.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980080923191431420", "word_count": 173 }, { "id": "1980039726917992515", "created_at": "2025-10-19T22:33:52+00:00", "text": "still a little weary from old deep stress and unhealthy coping strategies, but almost unambiguously like a Kegan bump..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1980039726917992515", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1980013162058723477", "created_at": "2025-10-19T20:48:19+00:00", "text": "recent AI coding assistance has been so good for my mental health.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1980013162058723477", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1979990951159603357", "created_at": "2025-10-19T19:20:03+00:00", "text": "@VictorTaelin agreed", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1979990951159603357", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1979703597442163187", "created_at": "2025-10-19T00:18:13+00:00", "text": "@stephen_zerfas unclenchism", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1979703597442163187", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1979433174515204548", "created_at": "2025-10-18T06:23:39+00:00", "text": "@pvncher wow", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1979433174515204548", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1979341394289561734", "created_at": "2025-10-18T00:18:57+00:00", "text": "just a bambi working on her life's work. existential harmony. may all creatures be met where they are", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1979341394289561734", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "1978203142530408695", "created_at": "2025-10-14T20:55:57+00:00", "text": "I love cooperation and win-wins. there is enough for everyone <3", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1978203142530408695", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1977746575636984203", "created_at": "2025-10-13T14:41:43+00:00", "text": "mayb useful prompt for meditation: \"what is a canonical thing my mind can be doing rn? minds should have like a canonical way to rest.?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1977746575636984203", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1976497823718965330", "created_at": "2025-10-10T03:59:37+00:00", "text": "@scottdomes beautiful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1976497823718965330", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1976073716737233302", "created_at": "2025-10-08T23:54:22+00:00", "text": "@tszzl unreal just managing 3 terminals of codex-high. the peace of mind...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1976073716737233302", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1975050427613012064", "created_at": "2025-10-06T04:08:11+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/eC2FkkFhXC", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1975050427613012064", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1974964941661880492", "created_at": "2025-10-05T22:28:29+00:00", "text": "@FU_joehudson love this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1974964941661880492", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1974954771066081563", "created_at": "2025-10-05T21:48:04+00:00", "text": "truly unfathomable what the technical, enlivened spirit can build now.\n\nwe have to be putting our most ultra sensitive souls in sensory deprivation chambers, with the deepest of hugs on either side, so they can be helped holding charge better, and dream up how to prompt GPT-5-Pro and whatnot.\n\nyou can try things like building your own DSL for reasoning about deliberate quantum diversification given MWI, and possible importance of recency of generated bits.\n\nIdk what these underwattaged zoochosis'ed billionaires are doing but they should be happily spending $10k an hour experimenting with giving top intellectuals peak performance.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974954771066081563", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "1974903174483030052", "created_at": "2025-10-05T18:23:03+00:00", "text": "I'd also have like a sterile room, and maybe pay them $4 an hour they stay in it, the idea being it's like meditation for kids, helping them learn to explore their inner world and get comfortable with themselves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1974903174483030052", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1974899334660624443", "created_at": "2025-10-05T18:07:47+00:00", "text": "it I was a parent I would pay my kids like $7x their age (in years) a week, and might charge them like $15/hour for scrolling or slop consumption.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974899334660624443", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1974769519324479550", "created_at": "2025-10-05T09:31:57+00:00", "text": "besides felt safety, I think \"holding charge\" is a key ultra-underrated life principle. it's a very personalized thing but seems like letting ideas and emotions \"strike\" one more slowly, and being mindful when one is maybe frittering away the energies too fast and not giving them space to reorganize oneself", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974769519324479550", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "1974726752179306541", "created_at": "2025-10-05T06:42:01+00:00", "text": "software engineering is such a wild and beautiful art", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1974726752179306541", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1974200260311593418", "created_at": "2025-10-03T19:49:55+00:00", "text": "still going on 3 days. paradoxically has been quite grounding, like I'm remembering who I am and my roots better. nothing like feeling closer to death to wake one up to life and this precious opportunity.\n\nI guess our gut has so many connected nerves that store major parts of the self, and this embodied diversity, even if awful at times, has been eustress and usefully shaking things up.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1974200260311593418", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "1973995701022445964", "created_at": "2025-10-03T06:17:04+00:00", "text": "but I am gonna steward subtlety better and get a better x-risk Shapley value than you gooners https://t.co/70JRyHTBY6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973995701022445964", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "1973989805869727825", "created_at": "2025-10-03T05:53:39+00:00", "text": "I'm too fragile rn to get caught up in social commentary. see y'all on the other side", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973989805869727825", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1973983769037320252", "created_at": "2025-10-03T05:29:40+00:00", "text": "@robertwiblin woah", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973983769037320252", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1973974969114869787", "created_at": "2025-10-03T04:54:41+00:00", "text": "some of the seeming problems is that to be masc requires holding a lot of charge (which is very easy to let screens fritter away), and metabolizing and owning a lot of shame (challenging given how incredibly psychoactive our increasingly digital world has been)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973974969114869787", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1973965709047996721", "created_at": "2025-10-03T04:17:54+00:00", "text": "wild that this far into the singularity and no one I'm tracking seems to be doing out-of-distribution experiments with human capital to get outsized results.\n\ntfw no mascs\n\neveryone is treating everyone like free range ultra self-responsible people, where's the humanistic gigamasc autist VCs sending energy workers and themselves to give palatably grave, ecologically respectful pep talks to their technologists' houses?\n\nam I just not in the cool kids club or did we by and large enter a zoochosis with notably less physical and relational agency than like 15 years ago?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973965709047996721", "word_count": 91 }, { "id": "1973920745718968613", "created_at": "2025-10-03T01:19:14+00:00", "text": "and you don't have to believe in _my_ potential, but the way you do possibly get like 5000x returns is by betting on technical whiny \"underdogs\" with low heart rates", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973920745718968613", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1973913366302531681", "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:49:54+00:00", "text": "if you endorse a cringe about \"genius\" btw, you're totally in status-seeking social reality zoochosis and are exceptionally out of touch with humanity's pains", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973913366302531681", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1973911057203966370", "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:40:44+00:00", "text": "we're already brutalizing humanity with AI x-risk and endless precision targeted slop and addiction, don't give me shit about legibilizing heart rates so a few more out-of-distribution genius builders can get some fucking breathing room", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973911057203966370", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "1973908843790033377", "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:31:56+00:00", "text": "we're at the point where VCs could safely write small checks simply by running an agentic Opus evaluation of someone's repo (maybe some third party platform linking to GitHub could facilitate this?) and maybe send like a skilled energy worker to someone's house (or have like a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973908843790033377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1973904911839736267", "created_at": "2025-10-03T00:16:19+00:00", "text": "very fun how much the game has changed with Claude Code. unicorn software possibilities by loners with no professional software experience or open githubs is a thing, and if they are a 1 in >10000 kind of thinker intent on this you can't even deny it. even a serious hater has got…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973904911839736267", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1973892698223575049", "created_at": "2025-10-02T23:27:47+00:00", "text": "sad that more billionaires apparently don't figure out how to do way more inner healing, else we'd see a lot more humanistic, ecologically empowering funding", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973892698223575049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1973891870096052423", "created_at": "2025-10-02T23:24:29+00:00", "text": "man I'm gonna surrender so hard and metabolize so much grief and neglected parts of my mindbody once I get to a place where I can afford to drop my work thoughts.\n\nmy inner childs are *right* there but like my cognitive work and productivity habits and container are too fragile, feels like very real chance I lose the key plot too much if I melt too much", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973891870096052423", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "1973874543791165551", "created_at": "2025-10-02T22:15:38+00:00", "text": "@Kpaxs willpower is so terribly named, I get so much further slipping away from fuckery than bracing against it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973874543791165551", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1973547545721999553", "created_at": "2025-10-02T00:36:16+00:00", "text": "the mind can do some unfathomably life-sustaining things when you don't eat slop and prioritize being a loosey goose", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973547545721999553", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1973507592409456837", "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:57:30+00:00", "text": "as far as I know, life is just weird mindbody systems playing existential qwop like a mammalian RL agent, and if good enough things happen inside and outside of your head, you pretty much get everything and cheat the default outcome.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973507592409456837", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1973500264243143015", "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:28:23+00:00", "text": "feels useful to me to have models that go back to the basics. no-self brain. mammalian small group care. being an organic alien ML-like intelligence guided by felt senses, environmental stimuli. noticing some inner peace beyond circumstances where one can often rest. less castles in the sky and more small things that unambiguously move the needle. I just did a Claude Code prompt before finishing this. respecting that the heart often has different desires than the mind, and that there must be this lived ongoing discussion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973500264243143015", "word_count": 86 }, { "id": "1973497980788596954", "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:19:19+00:00", "text": "be gentle\ndon't eat slop\npay more attention to embodied signals.\nbe a loosey goose.\ndon't be nonchalant (but you can not care about most things)\nexcellence is felt-safety constrained.\n\nhave more serious discussions.\nbe more plain jain and simple.\neverything is uncertain, the rules of the game are not what you think.\n\nyou want to unambiguously find yourself being outsizedly ecologically empowering. you probably want to find yourself hosting transformative events, building transformative software, something similar, or finding unambiguous clarity and aliveness yourself.\n\nnot saying there's not incredibly joy to be found in every moment, but this could be end-game", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973497980788596954", "word_count": 101 }, { "id": "1973493184710975902", "created_at": "2025-10-01T21:00:15+00:00", "text": "everyone not unambiguously thriving needs some out-of-distribution felt experiences (and commensurate felt safety to not shut down) right about now to shake them out of their slumber.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1973493184710975902", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1973177297034518978", "created_at": "2025-10-01T00:05:02+00:00", "text": "pretty sure it was this that nuked my fucking gut. EV of exploring this cute new *raw, foreign, [whatever quality my gut was slightly concerned about]* food was not there. stay on the true and narrow path", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973177297034518978", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1973114528138403962", "created_at": "2025-09-30T19:55:36+00:00", "text": "this morning i learned i am a cute girl with a coconut https://t.co/E88TF50jES", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1973114528138403962", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "1972817289495072788", "created_at": "2025-09-30T00:14:29+00:00", "text": "imagine how much cooler I'd be with like 2x more somatic safetying.\n\nwhat if I had like $100k in my bank account, have some real possibility in the air for adventure, betting, hiring people for small contract jobs. can you imagine the aliveness?! https://t.co/joKFAVbCcd", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972817289495072788", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1972814312680132870", "created_at": "2025-09-30T00:02:39+00:00", "text": "imagine if von Neumann was this cute https://t.co/XXvmAmUhkd", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972814312680132870", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1972807538791141622", "created_at": "2025-09-29T23:35:44+00:00", "text": "I simply don't have the bandwidth to promulgate my ideas on LessWrong, EA Forum, Substa*kx or elsewhere--I am a simple Cursor technologist not strong enough to sandwalk through those perverse egregores right now--so if you think my ideas are cool, maybe *YOU* can enjoy the effort of promulgating them a bit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972807538791141622", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "1972805251070820589", "created_at": "2025-09-29T23:26:39+00:00", "text": "you have to stop eating slop.\n\nyou have to reconnect with yourself, facilitating more intrapsychic handshakes, which involves butting up against reality and maximizing somatic safety (not always at the same time).\n\nwe *have* to be facilitating out-of-distribution experiences for people, to help the organic alien intelligences that are us, have some peak experiences and see things differently.\n\nwe have to facilitate our most prosocial people breaking from consensus reality enough to see so much more of the problem-solution landscape.\n\nif you have a 1500+ SAT or whatever and signs of deep character/[gentle interest and action towards out-of-distribution prosociality], should be effortless for you to get a $10k check right now to go thru hiking. the capital is there, Cursor and Claude Code are making ideas and independent perspectives EVERYTHING.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972805251070820589", "word_count": 130 }, { "id": "1972796524683030989", "created_at": "2025-09-29T22:51:58+00:00", "text": "if you want to help make sure we get a proper Butlerian Jihad if AI somehow leads to global nuclear war (I definitely don't want this, nor to vibe it into existence in the zeitgeist), fund me to move out of my nuclear target city.\n\nI went to West Point, I know some canonical strats, I know how to do the somatic work to stay operational over time. You may doubt my strategic efficacy because I haven't made software money yet to move and buy up cheap strategic assets like distributed comms networks to help restart economies and preclude mass starvation, myself, and that is a valid strike against me, but the world is fucking messy, and sometimes some of the most prosocial, strategically inclined people spend a few years being broke little stuck dummies in Berkeley.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972796524683030989", "word_count": 137 }, { "id": "1972792143610868072", "created_at": "2025-09-29T22:34:34+00:00", "text": "and now my wee little heart is suffocating and commanding my mind to get back in line to be a wholesome community member. the dance continues. it’s fine, I realize I like this (of course I-as-heart do, but the impartial prosocial strategic planning mind likes this too, because unclenching and R&R is crucial). I must be more deeply prosocial and tapped into the ecology than these perversely anti-human tech billionaires that are so fucking inept at stewarding their fortunes for the betterment of humanity.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972792143610868072", "word_count": 84 }, { "id": "1972766195721122159", "created_at": "2025-09-29T20:51:27+00:00", "text": "honestly fuck the heart a little bit. it's overconfident, it's unwillingness to heal like the mind is the downfall of great men, (which is perhaps a nice societal evolutionary heuristic as men uncrippled by the heart war too much).\n\nbut it's stubborness also just leads to destruction of great kingdoms, particular in times of rapid technological and societal changes.\n\npossibly a mechanism here why eunichs are so valuable. in removing much sex drive, there's plausibly less intrabody communication from the mind to the genitals, so less debilitation from the crippling heart signals along the way, so the mind gets to have more volume of pure processing. in bypassing the heart more also, the eunich also gets to bypass the masc heart drives to flame and possess fems.\n\nthe heart must be respected--there is deep information in it about the body continuing and getting along with other bodies--but the beautiful dance is to be found between the heart and mind and other processing centers. it is definitely not a singular king and fit to lead society through a technological singularity, although it's very easy for mind people to not understand key things about how people work, if they are not working with their heart a lot.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972766195721122159", "word_count": 205 }, { "id": "1972562412575613281", "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:21:42+00:00", "text": "and I'm saved--I got my idea and strong Cursor habits and the income for rent, food, and $400 for Claude Code and Cursor Ultra, but we gotta help unlock the depressed geniuses. Literally can Dustin please fucking send some of them on vacation to nature, with some somatic healing shit and some kind of guide helping them have a peak experience with idea generation and Cursor familiarity?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972562412575613281", "word_count": 67 }, { "id": "1972560047717888102", "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:12:18+00:00", "text": "you're saving grace now is Cursor and Claude Code. there is no time to second guess yourself when you fingers just keep typing towards the truth and AI agents just keep working towards your strategic objectives. humanity is quite saveable because 1000s of brainiac crippled people who should have been consulted like precogs in wet pods, can just actually find some fucking agency and instantiate some of their genius schizo ideas now, particularly building infrastructure to help other people unlock more of their latent potential.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972560047717888102", "word_count": 85 }, { "id": "1972558089380589675", "created_at": "2025-09-29T07:04:31+00:00", "text": "smart brains fucking thrive on copium btw. you can have the best fucking ideas in the world, but if it's even a little bit energetically expensive to see them through, like more than half your brain is happy constantly trying to invent hypotheses why you're wrong. automatic red-teaming is how smart cognition works. it's fine to the degree you're a person of action, but like if you are a serious \"epistemically inclined\" person, this principle will almost inevitably turn you into a little crippled bitch.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972558089380589675", "word_count": 85 }, { "id": "1972540429112627351", "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:54:20+00:00", "text": "fuck your persona, fuck society, fuck these limp dick EAs and rationalists and AI labs–you are a highly adaptable, alien, organic, maybe spiritual intelligence, with lots of embodied somatic levers, and you can adapt to doing foundational independent research and engineering…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972540429112627351", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1972535321872232935", "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:34:03+00:00", "text": "get away from the zeitgeist, stop being a twitter zombie, go reconnect with yourself, move to Thailand if you have to, and build shit that if it works, changes everything.\n\nunless you are a working professional in AI governance, stop thinking your opinions about governance mean shit, you are a lone independent technical builder hunting for composable primitives to permissionlessly add to humanity's tech stack.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972535321872232935", "word_count": 65 }, { "id": "1972532118317392059", "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:21:19+00:00", "text": "I'm telling you that if you are 145 IQ, go on more walks and touch your grief more or whatever it is to bring back your A game, meditate on factorizing cognitive work and bounce ideas off Opus 4.1, you've got a good chance at thinking of a foundationally useful idea to try or product to build, and can probably build it solo before Christmas even if you're not experienced. the game has changed!!!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972532118317392059", "word_count": 74 }, { "id": "1972529002461188175", "created_at": "2025-09-29T05:08:56+00:00", "text": "future black box optimization with millions of GPUs (and shit interpretability) bad, cooperating networks of current AIs good.\n\n(obviously not talking about just letting AIs talk to each other endlessly, I'm talking about smart ways to get signal out of them and help them…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972529002461188175", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1972524135139172779", "created_at": "2025-09-29T04:49:36+00:00", "text": "what are some of the key epistemic infrastructural primitives to factorize cognitive work at scale with LLMs?\n\nto mathy daydreamer idea people, Cursor and Claude Code and GPT-5-Pro are increasingly making basically everything in software possible, now is your time to SHINE.\n\nfate of the galaxy plausibly rests on what slightly out-of-distribution ideas people instantiate to network LLMs together, over the next 1-4 years.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972524135139172779", "word_count": 64 }, { "id": "1972453552464486893", "created_at": "2025-09-29T00:09:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: a practice I’m trying today:\n\nhow can I liberate energy within my body? \n\ne.g. where is there already energy that wants to…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972453552464486893", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1972389764742750401", "created_at": "2025-09-28T19:55:39+00:00", "text": "OOTD.\n\ncodebase looking really good, foundational experiments checking out as predicted.\n\nwith our cute package I don't suspect the enemy (black box optimization, as opposed to heart-conscientious intentionality) knows what's coming. https://t.co/kT8H1zyuwr", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1972389764742750401", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1972042182027890768", "created_at": "2025-09-27T20:54:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MattPirkowski: The spiritual aristocracy rejects slop wherever encountered—delivered bite sized for polymerized convenience, fed throug…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972042182027890768", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1972016193965064597", "created_at": "2025-09-27T19:11:13+00:00", "text": "existential qwop", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1972016193965064597", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "1971644987709575433", "created_at": "2025-09-26T18:36:11+00:00", "text": "my affinity for social optics has been tyrannical to my other sources of ground truth.\n\nI need a stronger ego, I shall reduce consumption and get more somatic feedback from my core and actions originating closer to my core.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971644987709575433", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1971488040356020728", "created_at": "2025-09-26T08:12:31+00:00", "text": "it’s like a fancy video game you can play in English now even when you’re not on your A game, and if you win, if you’re ideas are actually good and you execute on them well enough, you build something unfathomably valuable to people, and you get to live a completely different life", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971488040356020728", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "1971485885272396250", "created_at": "2025-09-26T08:03:58+00:00", "text": "can do serious complexity management WITHOUT turning into a Borg again, if breaks and staying loosey goosey prioritized enough", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971485885272396250", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1971461496103420103", "created_at": "2025-09-26T06:27:03+00:00", "text": "being a solo dev on a project at the edge of your capability, with modern AI help, is such a wild psychoactive experience", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971461496103420103", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1971424893884641527", "created_at": "2025-09-26T04:01:36+00:00", "text": "when tender feelings are able to swell in awareness, even just a little bit, important intrapsychic information handshakes are happening in the background, and the system is effectively doing a \"basic unit of inner work\".\n\nof note, crying is not the \"basic unit of inner work\", and the system is always doing inner work.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971424893884641527", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1971343973651554511", "created_at": "2025-09-25T22:40:03+00:00", "text": "@IntractableLion wow", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971343973651554511", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1971277243860254837", "created_at": "2025-09-25T18:14:54+00:00", "text": "unfathomable the horrors that happen every day in grocery stores.\n\nthe psychoactiveness of food is a very high dimensional and uncertain thing, but we do manage to butcher our potential every day. \n\nretatrutide is one of humanity's new angels tho (ofc not everyone should take it because it's new and exogenous and tail risks). with the quieting of many animalistic body signals, we have renewed chances to steward subtle signals enough to manifest better futures", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971277243860254837", "word_count": 75 }, { "id": "1971274397635002462", "created_at": "2025-09-25T18:03:35+00:00", "text": "[this thread will be a bunch of neurotic rants, but I don't mean to subtract from casual viewer's sense of empowerment or okayness. Like I have healed a fuck ton without any unusual external resourcements beyond estrogen and entheogens. I didn't need to go to the wilderness to learn to sit more with uncomfortable feelings.]", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971274397635002462", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "1971072015084945865", "created_at": "2025-09-25T04:39:23+00:00", "text": "wtf are we doing bro, we know people reconnect with themselves and get crazy inspiring ideas after a few weeks or months in nature, why aren't we sending more smart people to Philmont-esque experiences. if I had $1B I'd be spending easily $20M on this and make it all back with ISAs and SAFEs and living long-term in a more beautiful world.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971072015084945865", "word_count": 62 }, { "id": "1971053623288516802", "created_at": "2025-09-25T03:26:18+00:00", "text": "starting estrogen has to be the greatest decision I ever made.\n\nit so drastically alters embodied clenching patterns, and in those deep sustained perturbations, the mindbody untangles a ton of shit.\n\nI'm so much less reactive and more comfortable managing myself, the past year has been going from like Mr. White to Gretchen and Elliot.\n\nto be clear, it wasn't without its dysphorias--many new feelings were a lot to cope with, and I don't have every favored attribute as high as when I was on T--but we adapt and stabilize and what remains is more expansive and capable.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1971053623288516802", "word_count": 98 }, { "id": "1971019496015204412", "created_at": "2025-09-25T01:10:42+00:00", "text": "@wolflovesmelon I am in awe of your devotion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1971019496015204412", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1970958587452326287", "created_at": "2025-09-24T21:08:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DillanDiNardo: 12/ Our first new “emotion in a bottle”: tranquil insightful beauty. An MSD-001 combo designed to reliably enhance aesth…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970958587452326287", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1970944290709962884", "created_at": "2025-09-24T20:11:51+00:00", "text": "kind of embarrassing and endearing how much life (stewarding oneself) is like QWOP", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970944290709962884", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "1970940853976990048", "created_at": "2025-09-24T19:58:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: to change your life, you can simply stop doing the things that no longer serve you\n\nto stop doing the things that no longer…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970940853976990048", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1970907024549634086", "created_at": "2025-09-24T17:43:46+00:00", "text": "juicy lesswrong comment that shares my worldview and is a nice counter to the IABIED viewpoint\n\nhttps://t.co/F33YrG6NpM", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970907024549634086", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1970746735946576162", "created_at": "2025-09-24T07:06:51+00:00", "text": "Your mindbody is essentially an alien intelligence that you don't understand, and it can figure out how to honor its signals transformatively better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970746735946576162", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1970746734818263529", "created_at": "2025-09-24T07:06:50+00:00", "text": "there's a lot of trauma in the rationalist mindspace about AI. I would just like to say that we drastically underrate how much personal transformation and worldview shift is possible, and the opportunities to naturally counter extreme risks via novel distributed intelligence infrastructures and non-coercively trained AIs.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970746734818263529", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1970716053195104652", "created_at": "2025-09-24T05:04:55+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/Zuyc1F1776", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970716053195104652", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1970711007745188287", "created_at": "2025-09-24T04:44:52+00:00", "text": "but the autism needs juicy somatic handles to work with. addictive hypermyopia has to be countered with psychic enzymes of surrender.\n\nmore geniuses must learn to melt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970711007745188287", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1970691058058305893", "created_at": "2025-09-24T03:25:36+00:00", "text": "I think AI risks can be navigated with enough pure-hearted autistic energy.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970691058058305893", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1970617495880077523", "created_at": "2025-09-23T22:33:17+00:00", "text": "when I get my exopriors mvp working, I might host an existential ecological empowerment yap/jam.\n\nthe goal will be really tapping into existential seriousness energy, hope, and wyrdness, and we will try to aggressively do the full sweet of basics to help this happen.\n\n- warm up and help people feel safe in the space (e.g. knowing general layout and where bathrooms are, chit chatting but saving the biggest thoughts for later, free hugs for whoever, encouragement to do some movements and stretches to shake off old stressors of the day) + unironic Dune soundtrack \n\n- some ritualistic threshold crossing for embracing uncommon existential seriousness energy\n\n- Hamming Question-esque prompting to help people write out the key points they want to hammer with the group (e.g. I think we aren't doing nearly enough to flush out and instantiate foundational epistemic infrastructures, nor get rich off this to support deep organic ecological empowerment that outpaces black box optimizer fuckery).\n\n- some kind of structured group+breakaway discussion with lots of voting about what gets talked about\n\n- protocols with poker chips as tokens of interest, prediction, agreement, or something.\n\n- mock grantmaking where we rapidly collectively decide what gets funded, how much.\n\n- a general focus on alternating between big picture creative thinking and coming back to myopic comparison and ordered list-making.\n\n- plenty of breaks and walk breaks, and uncommon respect towards stewarding people's psychological resources.\n---\non Xyra ilan we have a lot of these and get very good at hosting them. and there's maybe things like challenge coins for excellence in participation.\n\nhttps://t.co/mWGYg6GcFP", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970617495880077523", "word_count": 264 }, { "id": "1970345048496890144", "created_at": "2025-09-23T04:30:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MillionInt: It is almost unbelievable but deeply true that any human with a laptop right now can have an idea that will rewire the real…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970345048496890144", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1970342613896372484", "created_at": "2025-09-23T04:21:01+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/eaXkzZUZZR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1970342613896372484", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1970251219462758662", "created_at": "2025-09-22T22:17:50+00:00", "text": "after I make my first $10M I'm gonna set up a wilderness retreat to empower my titan-esque somatic-epistemic infrastructuralists", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970251219462758662", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1970243472075677947", "created_at": "2025-09-22T21:47:03+00:00", "text": "timeline-jumping voltage", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970243472075677947", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "1970064803441111343", "created_at": "2025-09-22T09:57:05+00:00", "text": "holy shit that scared me #earthquake #oakland", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1970064803441111343", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "1969951152990290305", "created_at": "2025-09-22T02:25:29+00:00", "text": "@bayeslord hormone modulation, entheogens, stillness, math, surrender, ownership, associate with diverse people in diverse settings, get rich to facilitate more experiments, create foundational epistemic infrastructures", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969951152990290305", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1969613410469101649", "created_at": "2025-09-21T04:03:25+00:00", "text": "this also seems like why twink-energy maxxing is great for unfucking your life and escaping undue hypermopia where you are numb to important and healthy embodied clenching patterns and information channels.\n\nbeing light literally lowers the impulse energy needed for action. when your body is screaming to put down the phone and go for a walk, it's physically easier to do that. if you're effortlessly acting 20% sooner all the time, that's a lot less wear and tear on cognitive dissonance channels.\n\nyou can also escape dumb stoic norms keeping you isolating and perfecting too much and just be more unguarded about your fallibilities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969613410469101649", "word_count": 104 }, { "id": "1969609908011352361", "created_at": "2025-09-21T03:49:30+00:00", "text": "mindbody has only so many ways to signal to itself. feels important for avoiding addiction to make sure that one has embodied signaling clenching channels for recognizing and honoring that an activity is bad and backing out.\n\nyour lovely mind has soo many sublime and smart intentions put only so many ways to signal them so try to keep channels clear.\n\nI think this is why meditation and boring walks are so helpful. it's like an anchor point for cognition that is very non-burdensome on \"RAM\", and that freed up RAM is sooo great for important maintenance background processing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969609908011352361", "word_count": 99 }, { "id": "1969604401091526707", "created_at": "2025-09-21T03:27:37+00:00", "text": "god there's so many levels and aspects to life. after we achieve existential security we gotta simulate all this again", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969604401091526707", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "1969582827089117463", "created_at": "2025-09-21T02:01:53+00:00", "text": "the tricks the mindbody does to steer cognition are so amazing. clench and suck away joy from thoughts not meant to steer cognition that much. even sometimes sudden pains or syncope to distract away from a thought loop best left incomplete", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969582827089117463", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1969572528726426080", "created_at": "2025-09-21T01:20:58+00:00", "text": "I'm calling \"ASI and other emerging tech x-risks\" \"superagency x-risks\" now. It's like we live in this mesh ecology and the risk is if 1 emergent ripple--1 unilateralisty actor--grows too big too quick to ever be stopped (or just does a ton of damage before it's countered) and then makes things way more boring.\n\nThe generic solution seems to be deep ecological empowerment. Like build distributed intelligence infrastructure so Claude 5s can factorize cognition and do useful work to protect us from DiabolicalGrok-6 or whatever.\n\nBasically the classic Disney-esque solution of a bunch of good guys coming together and tackling some titan-esque villain that arises every so often.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969572528726426080", "word_count": 108 }, { "id": "1969554728658059704", "created_at": "2025-09-21T00:10:14+00:00", "text": "and I'm having a tough time but I'm merely weeks away from undeniably selling my vision and getting VC funding and then affording a much more juicy social life and getting way more cuddles", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969554728658059704", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1969543360089375209", "created_at": "2025-09-20T23:25:04+00:00", "text": "if we want the good future, we have laundry lists of things (and permutation-combinations) to explore, conversations to be had, disagreements to be flushed out, instruments for coordination and bypassing violence to be brokered, we have to reduce friction to healthy living and deeply juicing people up with nutrients so they can fully show up and think at their clearest.\n\nwe have to build infra that facilitates productive cognitive operations.\n\nwe can't just let superintelligence magic happen in enormous black box transformers, we have to do it collectively.\n\nSQL, comparisons, ratings, factorizings, integratings, lenses, prices, ...\n\nthose kind of things permuted tastefully will help give ourselves the deep ecological empowerment we need to navigate superagency x-risks.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969543360089375209", "word_count": 116 }, { "id": "1969531182653325804", "created_at": "2025-09-20T22:36:40+00:00", "text": "novel epistemic infrastructures. UXs that mesh really well with human and agent psychology and help them understand and navigate reality better.\n\nthese aren't pipe dreams. there are primitives that scaffold well together that create richly novel experiences and affordances. new navigable psychophysical realities. practically video games for causal discovery.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969531182653325804", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1969527373814251747", "created_at": "2025-09-20T22:21:32+00:00", "text": "software is such a superpower it's ridiculous.\n\nif you can actually instantiate the right structures that outsizedly tame entropy and empower people, you can be more valuable than a Jedi or Guild Navigator.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1969527373814251747", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1969107815982600429", "created_at": "2025-09-19T18:34:22+00:00", "text": "@MattPirkowski working on this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1969107815982600429", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968957672017043553", "created_at": "2025-09-19T08:37:45+00:00", "text": "omg am finding the nicest structures for combating the entropy of this project. an idempotent deploy_and_update script, now a /truth folder with numbered files to help me and Claude boot up project context, where my chief schema.sql lives. I'm on no fucking payroll but my own, we battle complexity my way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968957672017043553", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "1968936145573577168", "created_at": "2025-09-19T07:12:12+00:00", "text": "@the_wilderless 🔥", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968936145573577168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968928198550266178", "created_at": "2025-09-19T06:40:38+00:00", "text": "am soliciting attribute-prompts you are interested exploring community-archive by.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968928198550266178", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1968892521188392973", "created_at": "2025-09-19T04:18:51+00:00", "text": "@TrinaNuance love this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968892521188392973", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968827575691583816", "created_at": "2025-09-19T00:00:47+00:00", "text": "solve my cuddle needs and I will make you filthy rich (my startup will succeed).\n\nneed a quiet grounded himbo uncorrelated with my social scenes", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968827575691583816", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1968734817689981115", "created_at": "2025-09-18T17:52:12+00:00", "text": "@psychiel doesn't seem like nearly enough diversification, QRNGs in future Nvidia chips (that AI companies use over PRNGs) would be unfathomably more proper diversification. I'd prefer to try becoming a software millionaire and then intend to hire some cracked people to think on this… https://t.co/p0xR3iow4I", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968734817689981115", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968726197376024851", "created_at": "2025-09-18T17:17:57+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky high cognitively wattaged parents do this and their kids should have relatively more status and reproductive odds. My parents considered this given I ended up 5'7\" (billionaire AND cute transfem height, lol) but I easily could have already had several more kids (e.g. through more…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968726197376024851", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968717405838102816", "created_at": "2025-09-18T16:43:01+00:00", "text": "@quetzal_rainbow in MWI, existence is cheap, measure is precious.\n\nas a general policy it doesn't seem prudent to assume there has been adequate branching and responsibility in other branches, I have to see it for myself.\n\nlike sure maybe everything has been deterministically decided, but I'd…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968717405838102816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968569813233459432", "created_at": "2025-09-18T06:56:32+00:00", "text": "esoteric AI alignment strat that seems important if MWI is true: QRNGs throughout AI training and inference (as long as the mean expected world is better than the median).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1968569813233459432", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1968526513055351240", "created_at": "2025-09-18T04:04:28+00:00", "text": "@aestheticprimal this spoke to me, thanks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968526513055351240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1968434681088516338", "created_at": "2025-09-17T21:59:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TVachaW: To understand why so many people get trapped in their heads, we have to understand why they’re running away from their hearts.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968434681088516338", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1968398353365917753", "created_at": "2025-09-17T19:35:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: if you allow yourself to truly be stuck, to embrace the role of \"person who is stuck\", you'll soon get bored of it, because…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1968398353365917753", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1966939691728662576", "created_at": "2025-09-13T18:59:01+00:00", "text": "motion is lotion, baby", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966939691728662576", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "1966288557062197474", "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:51:38+00:00", "text": "I have a competing interest here, but I'd argue that existential security through AI is largely a function of cracked, autistic, possibly demure, epistemic-minded coders getting enough hugs", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966288557062197474", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "1966282193132728360", "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:26:21+00:00", "text": "@petersalib @slatestarcodex need less crazy cross-mask-attention-optimizer million GPU madness and more down-to-earth (still nontrivial) relational database shit", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1966282193132728360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1966278785009152050", "created_at": "2025-09-11T23:12:48+00:00", "text": "@petersalib @slatestarcodex need more \"simple\" infrastructure for empowering the ecology of agents instead of just waiting around for someone to build superintelligences that can get away with suppressing everyone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1966278785009152050", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1966227747950453115", "created_at": "2025-09-11T19:50:00+00:00", "text": "as soon as my company can function largely without me I'm becoming an extrovert and flirting with everyone", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1966227747950453115", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "1966226501155827756", "created_at": "2025-09-11T19:45:03+00:00", "text": "bruh I want to be an ultra unguarded fem intimately talking with everyone and constantly having my context window written over but I'm sitting on infrastructural software that has to come into existence and is the best way of getting the fuck ton of money I need", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1966226501155827756", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1965183603131949227", "created_at": "2025-09-08T22:40:56+00:00", "text": "software engineering in 2025 be like https://t.co/4ONtZ5B8Uc", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1965183603131949227", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "1965073620046331957", "created_at": "2025-09-08T15:23:54+00:00", "text": "@tszzl imagine if we labeled every entity by every interesting subjective attribute magnitude and gave power users a cool UX for exploring the data.\n\nhave LLMs do some work flushing out a prior, say 4 pairwise comparisons per entity per attribute per model with like 3 models, then cache…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1965073620046331957", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1964509541791650204", "created_at": "2025-09-07T02:02:28+00:00", "text": "@ecdysian to entropy I guess! like a bit more gas in the mental tank, nerves a bit steadier", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1964509541791650204", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1964482520181067783", "created_at": "2025-09-07T00:15:05+00:00", "text": "@ecdysian I think I do feel like 10% more cognitively robust", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1964482520181067783", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1964455581370241265", "created_at": "2025-09-06T22:28:03+00:00", "text": "excited to start GHK-Cu soon. back on tretinoin and regular glycolic acid. minoxidil still working. still need to be more diligent about home IPL laser but it is working. got creatine gummies now so effortless to hit 15 g upon wake up. 1 IU HGH for sleep and to mimic puberty environment. retatrutide for metabolic/self regulation and to facilitate smarter food choices.\n\nThe Big Blue soundtrack (https://t.co/EGAVVZgQqs) to raise vibrations. gentleness as primary \"hammer\" when in doubt.\n\nmoved in with friends.\n\nreal, exciting software to manifest.\n\n9k avg steps last 6 months. starting to actually run again now!\n\nquestion now is can we escape the grip of regretful screen-ing.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964455581370241265", "word_count": 109 }, { "id": "1964443504559739005", "created_at": "2025-09-06T21:40:03+00:00", "text": "a little raw curiosity and ambition, really indulged, can eat lifetimes of malaise", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1964443504559739005", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "1964441864679100751", "created_at": "2025-09-06T21:33:32+00:00", "text": "you might not be your cute little story or your output tokens. you might be a mostly-unknown-to-itself, alien intelligence and amalgamation of predictive units.\n\nfill your context window with stuff that benefits the alien, not the simulated story.\n\nupgrade your breathing mythic autophagic Koenigsegg architecture to GPT-N+1, don't settle for shallow prompt loops that kinda sorta saying head pats are in order", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1964441864679100751", "word_count": 62 }, { "id": "1964143776311492677", "created_at": "2025-09-06T01:49:02+00:00", "text": "@ruslanjabari there is an unusually easy hectocorn path here, the question is just can I get a couple high-speed-SWE-years to truly get the ball rolling", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1964143776311492677", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1964075836069597302", "created_at": "2025-09-05T21:19:04+00:00", "text": "@gptbrooke I feel like you'd have to found a hectocorn to really pull it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1964075836069597302", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1963049959726710887", "created_at": "2025-09-03T01:22:36+00:00", "text": "I have the taste to scale this too, I just am much more of an architect and SWE manager than lone builder.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1963049959726710887", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1963044796731396129", "created_at": "2025-09-03T01:02:05+00:00", "text": "solid overview of the analytic hierarchy process. hectocorn to be built in automagic AHPing\n\nRelative Measurement and Its Generalization in Decision Making\nWhy Pairwise Comparisons are Central in Mathematics for the\nMeasurement of Intangible Factors\nThe Analytic Hierarchy/Network Process\n\nhttps://t.co/yWP2XfTFlM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1963044796731396129", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1963039711951520168", "created_at": "2025-09-03T00:41:53+00:00", "text": "the only thing I want more than profound financial security is this fucking software existing and helping humanity flourish, so you can take the starting code from https://t.co/0Adc7ymvxp and see what you can do, if so inclined", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1963039711951520168", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1962826191435636901", "created_at": "2025-09-02T10:33:26+00:00", "text": "@bayeslord mind-breakingly evil of a corporate decision https://t.co/Eg13CDaWXk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1962826191435636901", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1961647969511641551", "created_at": "2025-08-30T04:31:36+00:00", "text": "God it feels poisonous talking about such tender things on twitter. this might have to be the extent of my somatic ramblings", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1961647969511641551", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1961637464520769604", "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:49:51+00:00", "text": "“nondoing” being so productive in eastern philosophy is so funny because it’s actually true", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1961637464520769604", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1961635780318871741", "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:43:10+00:00", "text": "fruitful meditation is not rocket surgery. just help facilitate what your mind likes to do", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1961635780318871741", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1961633979800695154", "created_at": "2025-08-30T03:36:00+00:00", "text": "aliveness-maxxing is valid", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961633979800695154", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "1961540747284668829", "created_at": "2025-08-29T21:25:32+00:00", "text": "also been making actually good progress on https://t.co/0Adc7ymvxp. fun to be a part of what plausibly will be foundational in shaping the future", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1961540747284668829", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1961540078779732438", "created_at": "2025-08-29T21:22:53+00:00", "text": "being at an AI alignment conference while an embodied human being with meta cognition and experiencing transformational effects of life, estrogen, entheogens, unclenching, etc. is a very trippy experience", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1961540078779732438", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1960760929140007258", "created_at": "2025-08-27T17:46:49+00:00", "text": "@tasshinfogleman @DoroisDoro and I sir call you dumb and short on theory of mind about the ecology of what is going on here", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1960760929140007258", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1960584706933817796", "created_at": "2025-08-27T06:06:34+00:00", "text": "@cxgonzalez cursor >>", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1960584706933817796", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1959903583685791826", "created_at": "2025-08-25T09:00:02+00:00", "text": "get some nice nadi shodhanas in\n\nbe intrapsychically gentle\n\nship one of the most sublime softwares ever\n\nget biggg monies\n\ncry\n\nbuild guild navigators", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959903583685791826", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1959802600800538726", "created_at": "2025-08-25T02:18:46+00:00", "text": "@ChanaMessinger I'm still prolly strong enough and prolly down", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1959802600800538726", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1959530200934330769", "created_at": "2025-08-24T08:16:20+00:00", "text": "God is definitely real. exploit that fact as reverently as you can.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959530200934330769", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1959512391089107356", "created_at": "2025-08-24T07:05:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jonnym1ller: Reducing:\n↓ clenching patterns\n↓ emotional avoidance\n\nLeads to:\n↑ surface area for serendipity\n↑ greater agency + creativi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1959512391089107356", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1959462072250712424", "created_at": "2025-08-24T03:45:37+00:00", "text": "building up a ritualistic escape hatch where I simply snap my fingers and then summon the intrapsychic resources to escape some bout of escapism-hypermyopia.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959462072250712424", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1959436356083765544", "created_at": "2025-08-24T02:03:26+00:00", "text": "feels very good shipping idempotent code. like just building out essentially one script that sets up and bootstraps/updates the whole project. when vibe coding screws something confusing up, can just nuke the vm and start again in like a minute.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959436356083765544", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1959342621794726249", "created_at": "2025-08-23T19:50:58+00:00", "text": "bruh how can one cope with the power of GPT-5 and ability to just actualize amazing ideas. I want a team of like 8 Bryan Johnson-level experts in every major domain of humaning to help me hold the wattage of what is possible. And at least would love some snuggies with some grounding presence around here (Berkeley) while I actually ship https://t.co/XP9KutxGnw", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959342621794726249", "word_count": 62 }, { "id": "1959340295025504557", "created_at": "2025-08-23T19:41:43+00:00", "text": "so want to make an embroidered jacket to signal what I am about. like a varsity or motorcycle jacket but my own style. Existential Command big on the back, smol/cute/bi/poly on the sleeve, Rust logo, a diving helmet, triathlon symbol, US Army seal, etc. Like tattoos but way louder and more fearless", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1959340295025504557", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1958716405916082190", "created_at": "2025-08-22T02:22:37+00:00", "text": "or covering basic emergencies for their peace of mind, like covering them if their glasses break or they chip a tooth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1958716405916082190", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1958713010933129492", "created_at": "2025-08-22T02:09:07+00:00", "text": "then will also be able to uplift all the great people in my life who are scraping by. pay for the exact interventions that have a good chance at affordably unfucking themselves. bodywork, peptide stack, a SWE helper for a month, a retreat, covering the difference so they can upgrade group houses, showing people what magnanimity looks like. not even charity, just reasonable investments because we're in this together.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1958713010933129492", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "1958707328594923842", "created_at": "2025-08-22T01:46:32+00:00", "text": "being financially poor is brutally painful, do not recommend. I am months away from bootstrapping salvation though, and then will never have to think about any healthy interventions under $1k again.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958707328594923842", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1958266769753465139", "created_at": "2025-08-20T20:35:55+00:00", "text": "@adic_9 that sounds awful. my mom is a nurse and has had debilitating MS and has been successful treating it with fasts, strict diet (e.g. no dairy, gluten), and mindfulness/low-stress lifestyle. in particular she swears by autophagic fasting, and my cached prior is that there's like a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1958266769753465139", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1958246250849206495", "created_at": "2025-08-20T19:14:23+00:00", "text": "unbeatable morning hack remains happening to wake up early, respectfully consuming some caffeine/stimulants (being mindful of downsides and *not* fueling an addiction), going back to sleep, and then waking up ready to GO. momentum is sublime 😩", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958246250849206495", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1958177297519014023", "created_at": "2025-08-20T14:40:23+00:00", "text": "if meaning-oriented simulation Divinity is true, that means there's APIs that should be surprisingly natural to play with and get outsized results.\n\nand I think different people play different games at different times but if you're shaped like me (e.g. with plenty of The Hound energy), gentleness maxxing is the hammer you can gently bash everything with (and up feeling much less fucked, in the bad way).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1958177297519014023", "word_count": 67 }, { "id": "1958019324515430656", "created_at": "2025-08-20T04:12:39+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg change their mind about something", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1958019324515430656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1957581738554913000", "created_at": "2025-08-18T23:13:51+00:00", "text": "@liz_love_lace we should do the opposite, have energetic smart floors that put a sublime little effortless bounce into people's step to maybe uplift their day a little with the unexpected sensory ease. technology and the state must serve organic beings", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1957581738554913000", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1955935822576017766", "created_at": "2025-08-14T10:13:34+00:00", "text": "I did performance ballroom dancing because it was terrifying, underwater construction and reading Bostrom in the evenings while having my $400k life insurance set to go to MIRI and 80,000 Hours in 2016, trained to lead America's soldiers in ground combat, was an intl sperm donor to counter future desires to progenate which could affect my EA ambitions, learned software engineering to build epistemic tools, started estrogen to feel my feelings more because my agency was inadequate to respect my AI x-risk forecasts, pitched a billionaire on a post-nuclear-war logistics AI alignment strat, now am partially convinced of supracausal happenings and am gentleness maxxing.\n\nI just hope I can learn lessons faster so I can be more strategically helpful in the future", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1955935822576017766", "word_count": 122 }, { "id": "1955919201857847713", "created_at": "2025-08-14T09:07:31+00:00", "text": "rationalists will hear about statistical arguments of more genetically average people being more formidable and then seek to have their gut microbiome (which can have profound cognitive effects) altered through diverse gay sex, to try to round themselves out and become more formidable.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955919201857847713", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1955742037279727734", "created_at": "2025-08-13T21:23:32+00:00", "text": "@bstract_thot also an underrated strat if one is somewhat bi is visiting a gay bathhouse. they can feel a lot safer than Grindr and easier to choose partners one vibes with. I mean it basically is a professional experience--IDs required, bags searched, music and lightning and diverse…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1955742037279727734", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1955406747407159702", "created_at": "2025-08-12T23:11:12+00:00", "text": "the long game is extraordinarily gentle", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1955406747407159702", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1955405319783563598", "created_at": "2025-08-12T23:05:32+00:00", "text": "the joy of intrapsychically aligned action outweighs any measly stimulation or external achievements. so have to have the enzyme of surrender to facilitate alignment of the different stacks", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1955405319783563598", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "1954987702446854420", "created_at": "2025-08-11T19:26:04+00:00", "text": "@ciphergoth a concept of a plan of one", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1954987702446854420", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1954777440846499905", "created_at": "2025-08-11T05:30:34+00:00", "text": "@bryan_johnson noooo Bryan 😭", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1954777440846499905", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1954696376958468452", "created_at": "2025-08-11T00:08:27+00:00", "text": "there is sooo unnatural levels of fortuitousness and aesthetic density. just Lord help us surf this divine API. give us the enzymes to overcome fuckery and participate in interesting and prosocial outcomes. Amen", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954696376958468452", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1954688954411921794", "created_at": "2025-08-10T23:38:57+00:00", "text": "@willdepue no reveal date means you get fewer points because it's optional if you reveal it and you can avoid the commensurate penalty of being wrong. you also get fewer points if correct if you make any other encrypted predictions because it's not clear if you're not playing both sides", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1954688954411921794", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1954447709152374905", "created_at": "2025-08-10T07:40:20+00:00", "text": "bruh GPT-5 and Cursor are scaring me. the inflection is happening now. the world is deeply fucking changing. unclenching, gentleness, discernment, and instantiating the necessary epistemic primitives, that's majority what I want. Let me hold the wattage! I intend to show you guys what I've been yappin about soon enough", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954447709152374905", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "1954376750697447887", "created_at": "2025-08-10T02:58:22+00:00", "text": "GPT-5 is seriously impressing me with its technical aptitude.\n\nthe challenge now is, can you hold the wattage of your most alive software ideas. can you take care of your bodymind enough, and bear noble intentions and creative energies while they reshape your being. \n\nif you can and are blessed with impactful enough ideas, you can acquire obscene fortunes within a year and deliver untold more value to humanity.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954376750697447887", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "1954136101649805500", "created_at": "2025-08-09T11:02:07+00:00", "text": "gentleness is so fucking important, people could have 2 hour rituals to it a day.\n\nand we could have an hour of worshipping nutrition gods and reflecting on healthy eating and that would probably be a good use of time indefinitely", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954136101649805500", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1954103793249079487", "created_at": "2025-08-09T08:53:44+00:00", "text": "contorting yourself to still try to have the sauce sucks. you either have the sauce or don't, it's a fairly effortless thing, both are okay. sometimes I have a fuck ton of it, and others I am abandoned and left with little but a sad face, and that's just how it is", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954103793249079487", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1954062789003424085", "created_at": "2025-08-09T06:10:48+00:00", "text": "it's still time for me to be a smol unclenched estrogenic sweetheart, yin-maxxing, unbrutifying, learning to appreciate and respect subtler things in life\n\nbut I'm going to eat the fucking world when I go back on T again, harnessing voltage that kills young men all the time even with modern video games and porn. 17 year old drive with 28 yo experience.\n\nprobably even moreso because I'll afford all Bryan Johnson-level health treatments including HBOT and the emerging preternatural peptides, and have the language, means, and experience to tend to my needs while avoiding addiction.\n\nI mean I can even hot swap to estrogen dominance via plasma exchange when I find myself close to ruin with unmanageable levels of drive, never tainting the best neurocircuits with bullshit or escapism.\n\nwe need outsized organic wins to counteract the diabolical happenings in deep learning and naive capitalism.\n\nhuman organic weirdness SUPREMACY\n\nhttps://t.co/QYLF7MfdnV", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1954062789003424085", "word_count": 150 }, { "id": "1953534609037426812", "created_at": "2025-08-07T19:12:00+00:00", "text": "sirius black screaming about my software ideas not being instantiated yet", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953534609037426812", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1953331212543770763", "created_at": "2025-08-07T05:43:46+00:00", "text": "@AnniePosting LMAO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953331212543770763", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1953281016166289612", "created_at": "2025-08-07T02:24:19+00:00", "text": "I get to just have my sci-fi-esque name despite being from Southern military family and conservative suburbia Bradenton, FL because I want to and it's honest social signaling about my comparative advantages", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953281016166289612", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1953268205562282153", "created_at": "2025-08-07T01:33:24+00:00", "text": "and obvs girls do get it done, there's lots of meaningful non-hormone-mediated stuff happening in the mind, and there's large interpersonal variance in psychoactiveness of hormone modulation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953268205562282153", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1953235067343643047", "created_at": "2025-08-06T23:21:44+00:00", "text": "if you want to comfort and fuel me with money as I become a more strategic actor, my Venmo is https://t.co/8OhI7qKIgO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953235067343643047", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "1953232592507158555", "created_at": "2025-08-06T23:11:54+00:00", "text": "should be able to melt and rejuvinate more on E too when you're really killing it on T. can be your own ultra successful bf whether or not you can find others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953232592507158555", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1953231984576413950", "created_at": "2025-08-06T23:09:29+00:00", "text": "everyone dulls their blade on everyday bullshit. the richest people do it less--they have the monetary and social resources to melt more at their discretion. but it's impossible to compete with proper biological \"cheats\".\n\nwe need a lot more existential giga chad energy now, maybe hard gender-role swapping w/ plasma exchanges (and other bio and social tech) will be the easy-enough, timely secret to give people both the ecological integration ability and adequate hypermasc predator surgeon drive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953231984576413950", "word_count": 77 }, { "id": "1953228524070027559", "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:55:44+00:00", "text": "imagine how fucking ON you'd be if you didn't have to cope much with low-energy fuckery while T dominant. didn't have to take your F-1 car to the grocery store. like if you saved all the dominance drive and focus for the battlefield, never had to taint the most intensely hungry…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953228524070027559", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "1953226200400466296", "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:46:30+00:00", "text": "imo you can't compete with the rejuvenation of a well-loved feminine nervous system. maybe in a year or two I can afford doing whole plasma swaps.\n\nimagine competing against someone in ASI warfare and they can just hand over command authority after a 3 day sprint and then just…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953226200400466296", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1953222158794277191", "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:30:26+00:00", "text": "have only been T dominant once but pretty sure you can just dual boot OSes. T when you need rigidity, E when you need to melt.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1953222158794277191", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1953220385295696299", "created_at": "2025-08-06T22:23:23+00:00", "text": "yesterday life was feeling a bit like the ol' familiar spikey brutal optimizing hellscape, the kind that gets you invested in post nuclear war logistics for ai alignment while a normal life feels untenable. injected estrogen last night (on day 7, when I intended on day 5) and yeah today feels like the world hugs me back. like the cogs in my brain have been lubed.\n\ndue to greater emotionality and sometimes feeling like having weaker nerves it does feel harder to be strategic in certain ways (e.g. some old somatic levers feel more slippery and elusive), but we're still having strategic discussions daily and reading stuff like https://t.co/65uphTG8nT and in practice am still on the up and up. I imagine T dominance again might be preferable once I have millions to spend but for just building simple software and getting less bad at basic healthy living, E is lovely.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1953220385295696299", "word_count": 150 }, { "id": "1952979136173285759", "created_at": "2025-08-06T06:24:45+00:00", "text": "@insurrealist https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1952979136173285759", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1952857277951820032", "created_at": "2025-08-05T22:20:32+00:00", "text": "a curious psychotech that seems helpful is sometimes when my anxieties are high and I know I need to act but don't know how, I've been gently prompting myself with \"\" as a form of taking the easiest of action (and not just thinking or feeling more). When I do that, it's more obvious to myself that I'm actually trying to get the action flywheel going, which evokes self-compassion, reduces anxiety, and kind of actually gets it going.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952857277951820032", "word_count": 80 }, { "id": "1952314896324174044", "created_at": "2025-08-04T10:25:18+00:00", "text": "don't just take the rocks outa your shoe, learn to stop firing the M240B medium machine gun into your feet 400 times a day and watch how joyful you'll get", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1952314896324174044", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1952313025849159858", "created_at": "2025-08-04T10:17:52+00:00", "text": "unbrutifying is so fucking nice. it's not becoming a posh tool, but noticing the ways you're being a low-virtue knuckle dragger. very nice to fix things in the way of greater dignity and aliveness", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952313025849159858", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1952308424777031790", "created_at": "2025-08-04T09:59:35+00:00", "text": "OH YEAH baby. existential chad energy is brewing. we are proactively seeking and imbuing great psychotech and psychic enzymes to metabolize Experience better.\n\nmore unclenched then ever. doing things scared. liberating psychic knots. this Koenigsegg almost out of the swamp. I'd say you guys got like 3 months left to ISA (income share agreement) me, after that you'll only be able to benefit from my GIFTS", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1952308424777031790", "word_count": 66 }, { "id": "1951819845655556402", "created_at": "2025-08-03T01:38:08+00:00", "text": "estrogen is giving me the escape hatch from a lot of outdated patterns but I'm also like increasingly fluttery and noticing more difficulty aptly regulating myself and surely need a loving romantic/sexual partner to perform at my peak.\n\nI'm surprisingly chill and AFAICT balanced for my level of wattage and ambition. With a transfem like me you're getting a nice blend of girl and guy traits.\n\nI'm poly and even like a night every 1-2 weeks with like a warm, intimate guy would be amazing. I get a lot of matches on apps but odds I find my dream person through tpot presumably >10%.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1951819845655556402", "word_count": 104 }, { "id": "1951784876396704241", "created_at": "2025-08-02T23:19:11+00:00", "text": "where are the gay/bi 140+ IQ, corrigibility-attuned, ever-metabolizing-Reality-better boyfriends that make you feel so regulated, love simplicity and stillness, and are happy to aid your interests in building a decacorn epistemic infra company and having hundreds of SWEs shipping your direct software ideas, facilitating superb masc containers for intellectual and life thriving, popularizing the concept of psychic enzymes, probabilistically proving practical implications of MWI, and doing all the intrapsychic-interworld handshakes necessary to unambiguously thrive, mature, aid others in their unique journey's, and facilitate sublime average and peak visceral clarity?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951784876396704241", "word_count": 89 }, { "id": "1951346052881326425", "created_at": "2025-08-01T18:15:27+00:00", "text": "moving today!! to a nearby house with more friends and a bigger, nicer room!\n\nfeeling sooo pumped for a change of environment and fresh start! in terms of years at different locations throughout my life, that is 2 3 2 .5 .5 .5 .25 2.25 5.5 .5 .5 .5 .25 .25 .5 1 2 .25 .75 .5 5.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1951346052881326425", "word_count": 58 }, { "id": "1951009612318351510", "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:58:34+00:00", "text": "@emily_for_now also the album of this song feels majestically regulating to me https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1951009612318351510", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1951006341151244556", "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:45:34+00:00", "text": "@PeterXPark does buddhism have sects of like high energy/industriousness/creative-output ecology-needs-respecting giga chads?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1951006341151244556", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1951003172207730870", "created_at": "2025-07-31T19:32:58+00:00", "text": "@emily_for_now also for systemic stuff I'm not entirely sure there's always replacements for strategic uses of propranolol, psychedelics, hormone modulation.\n\nofc sharing vulnerability to loving people and meeting touch and sexual needs/desires can be very very regulating too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1951003172207730870", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1950821001752977755", "created_at": "2025-07-31T07:29:05+00:00", "text": "stillness is my bestest friend", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950821001752977755", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "1950681364644159846", "created_at": "2025-07-30T22:14:13+00:00", "text": "cooperation across all mediums https://t.co/J3idTq9GbA", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950681364644159846", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "1950487876753375420", "created_at": "2025-07-30T09:25:22+00:00", "text": "crying is so healthy but doing it enough has alluded me but I think I can actually just reformulate my identity to be a big time crier. tradeoff seems totally worth it.\n\nso yeah I'm a big crier now. even in public, no sense in putting it off if we are safe. would be healthy for people to see it too. see that they are allowed to cry.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950487876753375420", "word_count": 68 }, { "id": "1950355296485810276", "created_at": "2025-07-30T00:38:33+00:00", "text": "hope I can become an apt lazing medium for big philanthropy monies because that sounds so fucking ecologically needed and also fun.\n\nI'm ready now but yeah I'd personally seek to heart open more before deploying too much $", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950355296485810276", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1950331950436172010", "created_at": "2025-07-29T23:05:47+00:00", "text": "I think we can put a pretty high probability on Divine orchestration being real, which perhaps lends to the importance of promulgating ideas about relief from suffering not being far away. Like the very knowledge of something being probably true/realizable makes pursuing it so much easier (Roger Bannister effect). like the idea that it's safe to surrender when you don't know what to do, whether you are a small thought or a big ego network, might be the most important idea to further emphasize. like consider the possibility that low-key (not meaning to make it sound so derogatory) cancerous phenomenon and thought networks can arrive that try to desperately perpetuate themselves, one can find themselved as a person/thought-moment in a bit if a cancerous, ecology-disrespecting mode, and yeah just the reminder that Reality is good and that that option to give oneself up to sweet local annihilation and repurposing elsewhere is valid.\n\nlike big organic offshoots of the Collective can start really doing cool things when they adopt some right psychic enzymes when their little new dendrine offshoots get better at surrendering. like not every intention of mine needs to live, the potential behind them can be loving repurposed for something more sublime.\n\ntime and place for everything and to have really nice things there sometimes has to be awareness of how to die/surrender.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1950331950436172010", "word_count": 224 }, { "id": "1950331947185819739", "created_at": "2025-07-29T23:05:46+00:00", "text": "there's this side cool thing of sometimes seeing people with like absurd clarity, it's bringing me to tears. like there's this type of perception that's just seeing and not like me seeing, like the perceiver and perceived are one. it feels like some kind of Divine simulation magic, but also curious about possible embodied computational explanations, like controllingness surrendering and misprediction error going to zero which is like constant unbelievable winning. but idk I want to give the universe lots of chances to reveal more firsthand.\n\nstill suspect the chief struggle in life might be coping with how beautiful it is. maybe these isolated egos fighting the beauty and oneness are permitted partially as an act of interestingness and/or even moral uncertainty. like yeah overwhelming shame seems locally net-hellish but maybe Creation is comfortable risking -10^40 utils because there's like 10^100 or even infinite positive utils. maybe you need that isolation to fully appreciate the reunion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1950331947185819739", "word_count": 156 }, { "id": "1950302953619017941", "created_at": "2025-07-29T21:10:33+00:00", "text": "stillness and nonreactivity/acceptance, humility, metabolizing everything (bypassing mindful), doing the things you're called to, estrogen, being curious about your painful emotions and making space to sit with them, ahimsa and ecology mindset SO FUCKING GOATed!!\n\nfeels like an unusually happy childhood day listening to this cafe's music while drinking an oolong milk tea and writing about LLM prior elicitation and reconciliation.\n\nlife has a lot of brutal components to it but we're so adaptable and with the right psychic enzymes anything can be metabolized and lots can be overcome", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950302953619017941", "word_count": 89 }, { "id": "1950105576572407881", "created_at": "2025-07-29T08:06:15+00:00", "text": "other theme feels like being so freaking ancient and just becoming more childlike again. consistently throughout my early life it really felt like I was speedrunning through all the life crises ahead of time. when I was 18 it really felt like I was 40 in many ways. now parts of me are ancient and I've really gotta live gently and prioritize physical and spiritual health to heal that psychic arthritis. more unclenched, embodied living; HGH for that teenager sleep; estrogen for lovely global adaptations; more neuroplasticity (e.g. Lion's mane, prioritizing low brain inflammation); prioritizing slack and respecting whimsy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1950105576572407881", "word_count": 99 }, { "id": "1950053682772410615", "created_at": "2025-07-29T04:40:02+00:00", "text": "also just no tolerance for addictions. I don't have to do crazy code stuff but my job is to live actually gently and healthily. honoring inner signals better than ever before. have to be a more integrated, clear-sighted person to wield Opus 5 aptly.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1950053682772410615", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1950052269074108564", "created_at": "2025-07-29T04:34:25+00:00", "text": "i am writing a little code everyday.\n\nbut trying particularly hard hasn't seemed like the move. inner regulation just worth more to me. that actually facilitates emotional processing.\n\nit's scary missing out a bit on the gold rush of AI workflows, but I feel the most practical thing I can do is primarily just keep my peace (which also seems to facilitate nice inner healing), slowly architect out my ideas, and wait for AI coding capabilities to improve enough. turtling strat, if you will", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1950052269074108564", "word_count": 84 }, { "id": "1949953356782588327", "created_at": "2025-07-28T22:01:23+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg false: you are an isolated, 100% organic person that just needs to white knuckle things better.\n\ntrue: you're in a world with nonzero Divine supracausality, you can acquire psychic enzymes to metabolize experience far better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1949953356782588327", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1949761121130578383", "created_at": "2025-07-28T09:17:30+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/WLEeVlodVU https://t.co/J929XB5vc6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1949761121130578383", "word_count": 1, "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair", "quoted_text": "better psychic enzymes, increasing the metabolization of experience. more intrapsychic handshakes and cross-talk. more contact with reality; bringing more of myself to every moment. more sustained and peak visceral clarity." }, { "id": "1949570644204781721", "created_at": "2025-07-27T20:40:37+00:00", "text": "omg just talked to a random mats dude while out walking. easy to get the impression these humble giga chad nerds were designed by God to round out the ecosystem and give us a shot with ASI", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949570644204781721", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1949379726637969608", "created_at": "2025-07-27T08:01:59+00:00", "text": "@im_in_a_vat that's wild, props for stepping up and handling the situation!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1949379726637969608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1949028153219055955", "created_at": "2025-07-26T08:44:57+00:00", "text": "I'm finding my levers to help myself so much. Might be able to help the ecology a ton too. Powerful epistemic infra software and psychic enzymes are brewing.\n\nWe are metabolizing our world better. A juicier, more navigable world is around the corner", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1949028153219055955", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1948969127135379793", "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:50:24+00:00", "text": "@GabrielPeterss4 maybe your spirit needs a little more chaos injected into your system\nhttps://t.co/u14KrHVUPG", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948969127135379793", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1948965206002205152", "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:34:49+00:00", "text": "need to build more unconditional love and support channels for people so they can be comfortable letting go more and being weirder/more alive.\n\nI'm potentially a big fan of widespread AI surveillance too. make at least certain cities the ultimate safe masc container for people to be their soft selves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948965206002205152", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "1948963079238418532", "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:26:22+00:00", "text": "feels like a major theme for me is liberation of the organic weirdness from the hyperoptimization myopia. we're gonna unavoidably hyperoptimize anyway but can at least do it in somatically meatier ways.\n\nthink about epistemic infra code after getting sexually dominated on psychedelics. our system is resilient enough to handle way more adversity, we may need to slightly go out of our way to feed it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948963079238418532", "word_count": 66 }, { "id": "1948959473026171285", "created_at": "2025-07-26T04:12:02+00:00", "text": "unclenching a little goes CRAZY. so much fucking energy is in the system when you stop autistically going down the same over-milked thought channels.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948959473026171285", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1948910783141933532", "created_at": "2025-07-26T00:58:34+00:00", "text": "guy-mode-ing to me is kinda like burning more internal resources to optimize external world better.\n\nI did it too hard without enough sustenance.\n\ngirl-mode-ing and getting more adept at respecting embodiment and the less myopic signals seems like the proper counter.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948910783141933532", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1948895070884954252", "created_at": "2025-07-25T23:56:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @phokarlsson: \"It is rare for people to come into themselves if no one is excited and curious about their core, their potential.\" https:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948895070884954252", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1948877363586171154", "created_at": "2025-07-25T22:45:46+00:00", "text": "less undue psychic myopia that steamrolls over rest of being. more simple winning, but like more awareness of outdated neuroses. like coding a bit, but not so hard as to constrict away from sitting with and understanding this grief.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948877363586171154", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1948877362621546751", "created_at": "2025-07-25T22:45:46+00:00", "text": "better psychic enzymes, increasing the metabolization of experience. more intrapsychic handshakes and cross-talk. more contact with reality; bringing more of myself to every moment. more sustained and peak visceral clarity.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948877362621546751", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1948668719187759531", "created_at": "2025-07-25T08:56:41+00:00", "text": "pronoun-ing is such wild interpersonal psychotech.\n\ngetting she pronoun'ed is so euphoric it's crazy. always changes my consciousness a bit and makes more of my mind outside my seeming control believe it's possible to soften.\n\nstill everyone but close friends he pronouns which is actually increasingly confusing in the moment, does not seem like the name ending in -a, beauty routine, pink outfit, big estrogen eyes, etc. gives the hint enough yet.\n\nit's maybe a gift somehow though, gives me emotion to sit with", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948668719187759531", "word_count": 84 }, { "id": "1948659326346035364", "created_at": "2025-07-25T08:19:22+00:00", "text": "@attentionmech surrender and pray for Grace and illumination", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948659326346035364", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1948542458578763869", "created_at": "2025-07-25T00:34:58+00:00", "text": "this album GOATed for raising my vibrations https://t.co/u1ELNntb9v", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948542458578763869", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1948499687213854959", "created_at": "2025-07-24T21:45:01+00:00", "text": "@dismaien sign me up!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948499687213854959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1948243058572546525", "created_at": "2025-07-24T04:45:16+00:00", "text": "ahimsa (including intrapsychic embodied gentleness, kind thoughts and intentions, not dunking on stuff you don't understand) so GOATed. importantly not denying anger, disgust, etc. tho. like being so curious about God's plan for everyone/thing. inner peace goes through the roof", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1948243058572546525", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1948234762730016984", "created_at": "2025-07-24T04:12:18+00:00", "text": "@zencephalon the best things in life just happen and come from subtlety and gentleness. \n\nleft-brain capture, when you don't operate on illegible tokens of experience enough, seems like a thing people can be afflicted by. like it's so helpful to have a little woo and work with embodied… https://t.co/Vq0jw0rdaS", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948234762730016984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1948210645704523864", "created_at": "2025-07-24T02:36:28+00:00", "text": "@tasshinfogleman @zencephalon needed to hear this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1948210645704523864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1947897767579586607", "created_at": "2025-07-23T05:53:12+00:00", "text": "@archivedself valsalva maneuver or similar. do it as gently as you can. for a couple years as a kid I didn't know about this while swimming underwater and dealt with the pain too. very sad how so many people regularly face barotrauma, gov and airlines need to do more to inform people", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947897767579586607", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1947836288897630565", "created_at": "2025-07-23T01:48:54+00:00", "text": "ok the story I was working with for myself is that it's not time for ask for help, let me just keep healing and maturing and package myself more nicely and maybe make a weird grant proposal or startup pitch in a few months.\n\nbut in this moment it's more plausible that I'm as fit as ever to be helped outsizedly with units of care, because I'm shaped quite competitively for efficiently steering technocapital.\n\nthe default norms are you're supposed to build a POC and assemble a team and write up a nice grant proposal or pitch deck, which makes sense, but that doesn't honor people that are shaped like me, who e.g. just have dominated interdisciplinary academic competitions (e.g. producing a 20 page ecological economics paper in 100 hours beating 4800 other teams) while barely able to do the bare minimum homework to pass classes.\n\nI understand key narrow insights and exact architectures to build a transformative epistemic infra corporation, I can kindly tell people how to do it and be very agreeable working with them, I just struggle enough with emotionally managing myself day to day to actually put much time in by myself on top-down planned tasks like the simple coding work that moves the needle. I'm shaking rn actually as estrogen has been helping me process deep embodied traumas today and my system is like not totally grounded yet.\n\nAgain, I'm very corrigible, ethically mindful (really decent at resolving tension via creatively grounded and manipulated ethical thought experiments), pleasant to relate with (e.g. am friends with neurotic rats and happy somatic therapists alike), have great convos with epistemic elites that circle Lighthaven. I'm just historically such an avoidant perfectionist that has rarely felt ready to burn my first-impression hanging with more people with common interests around here.\n\nI'm confident the universe has good plans for me if I don't get like a SWE helper or some kind of funding now, but it sure does seem inefficient to put it off. I've learned the lessons of being poor and got humble enough and good at processing my emotions, definitely safe to get the ball rolling sooner than later building some valuable software.\n\nso yeah basically if you want to fund a SAFE or sit with me and do some kind coworking sessions or do the monstrous Puritan sin of *giving me a free handout* that maybe spoils the end of my self-sufficiency capitalism training, I would greatly appreciate that and never forget you.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947836288897630565", "word_count": 416 }, { "id": "1947808792487629072", "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:59:39+00:00", "text": "i can really feel my mind being more anxious about what happens when my body is able to start letting go of some embodied grief and old scripts.\n\nlike if you think of the whole system being this prediction-error reducing system--yeah we just know how to live safely with things colored extra by loss and habits of personal failure.\n\nthe open-ended possibility of growth without being background colored by loss, how do I even cope with that? new deep patterns have yet to solidify. easier to revert to old patterns. e.g. let me just phone here a bit too long and lose out on the better thing I intended and invoke that ol' sweet feeling of loss.\n\nthis also may be how walking a ton can be so helpful. like aside from moving blood and lymph and regulating energy, seems like it's this nice stable pattern that you're nervous system can perhaps heavily anchor off while facilitating big changes elsewhere. like yup head feels different and scary, but body which is a big part of the story is working healthily as predicted.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947808792487629072", "word_count": 182 }, { "id": "1947800716145230227", "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:33+00:00", "text": "this might even explain a lot of guys falling behind. modern society has been changing so much, it's perhaps harder for the testosterone mind to adapt. I mean it's much more common for women to marry into a foreign culture than vice versa. men like conservatism because it helps them keep playing the game they're optimized to play. how can you tough cookie that's \"got it mostly figured out\" compete with the chatty, softer-bodies with more transparent ego-identities that ask for help and cry out their losses?\n\ni mean a lot of my adulthood before starting estrogen has been such a rude awakening of me feeling like I'm kind of kicking ass but the actual game being...different.\n\nwith how I've been able to experience more ego death and feel less embodied tension since starting estrogen, it's been a lot of this weird experience of winning for free in ways I didn't viscerally intend.\n\nperhaps the best way to help young men falling behind is legalizing psychedelics and promoting norms that increase embodied safety and unclenching.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947800716145230227", "word_count": 175 }, { "id": "1947800713330896981", "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:33+00:00", "text": "so back to estrogen-dominant systems, they seem to be less fond of quite as strong of \"intrapsychic cables\" and thus tend to adapt and arguably practice the Tao better, metabolize emotion and embodied sensation better, and generally have more slack to address new out-of-distribution problems that genuinely need addressing. e.g. tropes of guys ignoring the messy social world and incrementally adding to their domains of expertise.\n\nand yeah sense like starting estrogen, I feel I have less oompth to like micro-optimize code--maybe my \"Elo\" went from like \"2200\" to \"1800\", but I actually have more conscientiousness regarding the myriad of simpler things in life. Like I'm not as driven to \"self-overcome\" but it's easier to be like yeah, might as well count calories and take care of other basics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947800713330896981", "word_count": 129 }, { "id": "1947800710151590060", "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:32+00:00", "text": "long-time meditators are known for being able to metabolize pain better. my take is they have more cognitive slack and \"coherence channels\" so they can look at problems/misprediction/[pain signals] and more efficiently automatically orient to the minimum energy state. like…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947800710151590060", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1947800707668619555", "created_at": "2025-07-22T23:27:31+00:00", "text": "my hunch about how women are better at tolerating pain:\n\nestrogen dominance seems to facilitate more distributed, bottom-up processing (testosterone seems to facilitate localized, top-down). the top-down processing involves more psychic tension and clenching, like this spongey matrix with more tense cables in it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947800707668619555", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1947768107327709232", "created_at": "2025-07-22T21:17:59+00:00", "text": "my fav world framing rn is psychic enzymes. can you somehow notice and acquire better ones for you and surrender the ones you don't need to metabolize your experience better and build up better inner momentum?\n\nlike preserving energy, cognitive slack, ability to tie up loose ends, space for deep generativity?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947768107327709232", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "1947685820284207576", "created_at": "2025-07-22T15:51:00+00:00", "text": "essential psychotech for me lately has been chilling with a sleep mask during the day. like it's just easier to steer cognition without visual noise", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947685820284207576", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1947539674907754776", "created_at": "2025-07-22T06:10:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @relic_radiation: If I had to pick the #1 highest-impact but least-known idea in bodywork -\n\nit’s that the body has an order of operatio…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947539674907754776", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1947432198724063677", "created_at": "2025-07-21T23:03:12+00:00", "text": "@crowlooksatyou sign me up! not enough fighthaven and monke events. I got maybe 100 hours ground experience", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1947432198724063677", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1947417522535534924", "created_at": "2025-07-21T22:04:53+00:00", "text": "eeeek I love dropping into my body and feminine", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947417522535534924", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1947377124039659863", "created_at": "2025-07-21T19:24:21+00:00", "text": "society has unnatural levels of aesthetic density and fortuitousness.\n\nmy life is certainly too trippy (even before any psychedelics) in all sorts of little ways. things just working out.\n\ni mean people are too oddly shaped in terms of intelligence and capabilities. like people just get nerfed and make all these weird mistakes for the plot.\n\nalso too many interesting levels to being a human. so many types of perception, drugs, physical exercise, egoing, competition, hobbies, sex, relationships, people so good at socializing. so bad at doing rigourous RCTs and say, building huge survey databases to better figure out what's going on. people get these subtle knowingness but we never decide to give feral intuitive geniuses tons of power to steer experiments and organizations from their bed while free from misaligned short term incentives. lots of actions are just so slippery. people are *bad* at committing to stuff and find their personality conveniently morphing all the time.\n\ni mean guys even have prostates like this evolutionary easter egg to experience sexual pleasure in a more feminine way. cross-sex hormone therapy works so well. \n\nepistemic infra for cureating content in steerable, myopic ways is weirdly horrible (maybe simulation permissible tho).\n\nlife is so forgiving. addicts and druggies heal so much. people have such an interesting felt sense of agency. serendipity. common reports of spontaneous knowingness when people die.\n\nas a good lesswronger we naturally want to \"exploit\" this truth of divinity and divine grace. need to be praying. surrendering to Divine will. practicing stillness. should expect life to probably eventually feel ecstatically awesome generally if doing it right. probably safe to trust intuition more like happy normies do instead of red teaming everything. like retatrutide probably safe because let's be real, modern humans need that easy win.\n\nfeeling out simulation-friendly projects and grantmaking. it can be very subtle stuff. intuitive resonance over bullet biting surely important. ahimsa important. living from the heart important.\n\ni'm excited to make predictions with this worldview in mind. personally this extends ASI timelines and makes them far less dire. we might still be fighting for our lives in some ways but with the universe already secured by the Ultimate, the pressure is very different than in an evolutionary-base reality, strong longtermism world.\n\ncould have predicted tr*mp then with like 60+% probability in 2024. probably valuable to read up on tropes more and get a better eye for the interesting ways things in society can go.\n\nultimately best bet is presumably living for deep embodied resonance. that could mean more spontaneousness and innocence and fun, or also great value in monk mode and being quite corrigible about ideas that actually get published. like I bet productivity can go way up if one adopts a deep protocol of praying and meditating for a while about any code/writing artifacts before they are released. then you can unwittingly write and grok blasphemous or simulation-unfriendly stuff but at least be in the flow, instead of reality constantly having to nerf you in uncomfortable ways because you're trying to be too pivotal without guardrails.\n\nhumility and gratitude seems to go a long way. lots of humility must be had for even what spiritual living looks like. i mean everyone is a tentacle of god, there are reasons that people are blunt and mean or have such powerful ambition instincts. trying to pattern match too much to saints sounds like a suboptimal game. I'd assume everyone is basically living a spiritual path and that you have been too, there's just the possibility of bringing some meta awareness to the game and trusting good things to happen more, especially when one admits to being ignorant and confused about what should be done.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1947377124039659863", "word_count": 618 }, { "id": "1945935667688792133", "created_at": "2025-07-17T19:56:31+00:00", "text": "@parakeetnebula respectfully, what are we talking about? I've been brutally gassed a lot underwater in Army dive school, juggled 23 semester hours including Russian and CS classes while a West Point cadet and triathlete, swimming at 0535 w/ no HS swimming background usually on <7 hours sleep,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945935667688792133", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1945776367674806629", "created_at": "2025-07-17T09:23:31+00:00", "text": "@imitationlearn basically pharmaceuticals and make things so safe and inviting that emotions on their own feel they can come out and be and maybe do their information handshake with the rest of the embodied system if they want to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945776367674806629", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1945772358423486737", "created_at": "2025-07-17T09:07:35+00:00", "text": "estrogen, entheogens, 2 months of propranolol, prayer, noticing Divinity which is a pretty good fucking excuse to chill out, more embodied curiosity and awareness, trusting following the heart, finding more slack and stillness in life, learning to trust that feelings are signal (not noise) and that facing emotional pain is basically always worthwhile.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945772358423486737", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "1945641128604438857", "created_at": "2025-07-17T00:26:07+00:00", "text": "@gearside I think that's a sign of overdoing it, and that the Puritan norms around hitting failure and pre-planned workouts don't respect the embodied system that's us enough. when I just go in and do whatever feels fun, that gives me more energy for the day", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945641128604438857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1945595678497149214", "created_at": "2025-07-16T21:25:31+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/1MEzuQAdJm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945595678497149214", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1945585098419834894", "created_at": "2025-07-16T20:43:29+00:00", "text": "I just know we have this squishy body, some cached technical chops, increasingly like people, and increasingly unafraid of the moment", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945585098419834894", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1945550455322677752", "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:25:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @chercher_ai: He just... says it\n\nAre you allowed to do that?!?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945550455322677752", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1945550004254589333", "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:24:02+00:00", "text": "@RealNYNewz @theralkia I love this reply so much 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945550004254589333", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1945545607730663449", "created_at": "2025-07-16T18:06:34+00:00", "text": "love getting my stillness reps in. 3 sets of sitting in the park and doing nothing", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945545607730663449", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1945402924550775068", "created_at": "2025-07-16T08:39:35+00:00", "text": "supracausality & Divine Grace guaranteed the case to me now. so we're primarily oriented towards letting go of resistance to feeling/perceiving/reorienting/being, bringing more awareness to what's happening, and finding It in daily life", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945402924550775068", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1945379760286392471", "created_at": "2025-07-16T07:07:32+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky my take is that God built in you incredible rationalisty (and power grabby) ability and needed to nerf you in the most virtue-preserving way possible which is a mysterious metabolic illness. If you really want to feel different, I think strong psychoactives that alter your…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945379760286392471", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1945318131544809806", "created_at": "2025-07-16T03:02:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Malcolm_Ocean: slaps roof of \"later\"\nthis bad boy can fit so many tasks in it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1945318131544809806", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1945071495018864680", "created_at": "2025-07-15T10:42:36+00:00", "text": "crazy how the chief value we offer others is our natural beingness outside our control.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1945071495018864680", "word_count": 15 }, { "id": "1944932891030384983", "created_at": "2025-07-15T01:31:50+00:00", "text": "God literally nerfs people all the time for the plot", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944932891030384983", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1944653101664960802", "created_at": "2025-07-14T07:00:04+00:00", "text": "my mind and visceral type of agency is being seriously reconfigured on estrogen\n\nold somatic levers feeling increasingly elusive, new ones deepening. in some ways almost the entire game has changed. it's like I'm operating more on direct unfiltered sense data, with less sense of intermediate translation and control.\n\nmore moment to moment okayness and conscientiousness, clearly less \"me\" being responsible for good things happening.\n\nIt's like I'm acquiring psychic enzymes that are more cooperative, and also getting the benefit of less \"abusing\" of certain mental hypermasc agency that was intractably tricky to steer well", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944653101664960802", "word_count": 95 }, { "id": "1944192524845031534", "created_at": "2025-07-13T00:29:53+00:00", "text": "@justalexoki lmao", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1944192524845031534", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1944143467267207174", "created_at": "2025-07-12T21:14:57+00:00", "text": "nice psychic enzymes bro, I like how you metabolize life", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1944143467267207174", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1943784644765528114", "created_at": "2025-07-11T21:29:07+00:00", "text": "@technicalob @RichardMCNgo long-term income share agreements gotta be somehow viable", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1943784644765528114", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1943764902105297270", "created_at": "2025-07-11T20:10:40+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata https://t.co/GS9HfYG8sI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1943764902105297270", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1943563610204295600", "created_at": "2025-07-11T06:50:48+00:00", "text": "@ftlsid ;) sharpened by stillness are we?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1943563610204295600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942824490444153174", "created_at": "2025-07-09T05:53:49+00:00", "text": "U N N A T U R A L F O R T U I T O U S N E S S", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942824490444153174", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1942759208048549997", "created_at": "2025-07-09T01:34:24+00:00", "text": "@LandsknechtDev that's a beautiful way to put it. this Divine arc is sublime, was not expecting this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942759208048549997", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942750972494909946", "created_at": "2025-07-09T01:01:41+00:00", "text": "@mudscryer not the kind you want but like if I was gf shopping your tweets would work.\n\ni think the universe manifests one in due time, just breath through the feelings, they help you bloom even more", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942750972494909946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942648914752201093", "created_at": "2025-07-08T18:16:08+00:00", "text": "@kendrictonn eeeek there's strong guys that realize they just want fem twinks? based", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942648914752201093", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942496235262468154", "created_at": "2025-07-08T08:09:26+00:00", "text": "@theOtherHatGuy @cauliflwr_human i'd take an invite for that!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942496235262468154", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942482671034134694", "created_at": "2025-07-08T07:15:33+00:00", "text": "@theojaffee ((Just wanted some adversarial heaviness+cryptographic signaling points on main and reposted an oldie from an alt, not trying to hurt the vibes, I don't think this dark of a worldview needs metabolizing!))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942482671034134694", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942467696538575094", "created_at": "2025-07-08T06:16:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_johnson: The unburdened mind. \n\nClarity of thought is the highest currency.\n\nWhen depression ruled me, 75 % of my mental energy w…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942467696538575094", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1942411181131718847", "created_at": "2025-07-08T02:31:28+00:00", "text": "been long plagued by unhelpful old scripts, but still have had some outsized success.\n\ne.g. year after this [tweet], placed 1st out of 4800 3-person teams in the 100 hour Interdisciplinary Contest in Modeling. It was a subjective competition but I basically knew I going to win too. My math was even ELEMENTARY but my clarity of philosophy rizzed up the judges exactly like I predatorily intended.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942411181131718847", "word_count": 67, "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair", "quoted_text": "@gaileyfrey Beat the entire Western world in a math modeling competition, placing in the top 11 of 3100+ teams (ICM problem D). Mind you this was the same weekend I had a ruck march and a SAMI (terribly strict room inspection) that took up about 1/4 of my the time for the competition." }, { "id": "1942307012429464006", "created_at": "2025-07-07T19:37:32+00:00", "text": "@danallison beautiful. I'd be curious if there's a way to portray this concept while having deep embodiedness shared too", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942307012429464006", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942211241570930871", "created_at": "2025-07-07T13:16:59+00:00", "text": "@ReneeSolana yeppers", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942211241570930871", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942199049836544152", "created_at": "2025-07-07T12:28:32+00:00", "text": "JUICE ME UP with that stillness", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1942199049836544152", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1942101938948153620", "created_at": "2025-07-07T06:02:39+00:00", "text": "@LinkofSunshine maybe I'll make normal Bay income one day and understand, but it's so wild to me how people make like $400k and don't even like invest in procuring strategic allies. I'd be going to places poor geniuses are like UC Berkeley cafes and giving out grants to the scary smart people", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942101938948153620", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1942092655581917516", "created_at": "2025-07-07T05:25:46+00:00", "text": "@theojaffee This message would legitimately be terrifying. You are undeniably dealing with a mathematical genius (or a hacker who spied on one and managed to prevent them from releasing their result) with billions of dollars to waste on hashing a unique death threat for you alone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1942092655581917516", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941699630468579481", "created_at": "2025-07-06T03:24:01+00:00", "text": "@cauliflwr_human you've stirred my heart, thank you <3", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941699630468579481", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941678844076769473", "created_at": "2025-07-06T02:01:25+00:00", "text": "there should absolutely be a new tech embodied \"cult\" that like uplifts THE FUCK out of people for free, no strings attached, that people love so much they donate like 10% of their crazy boosted income to after.\n\nstuck sad boy goes into resort for 2 months, ultra restored giga chad comes out. can't be that fucking hard to get enough density of psychotech and ultra high wattage people to reach self sustaining criticality and become a proactive cybernetic enlightenment engine for tens of thousands", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941678844076769473", "word_count": 85 }, { "id": "1941676059650326898", "created_at": "2025-07-06T01:50:21+00:00", "text": "i need to see more grounded prosocial ultra high wattage masc energy. where's the cult jhana bros with mythic predator surgeon energy that are like we are going to aesthetically shock the senses of X billionaire and convince them to give 10% of their fortune for our wild experimentation.\n\neveryone in the cult does like 15 peptides, practices stillness/unclenching for 6 hours a day, and is like an ecstatic religious order of healthiness and figuring out the obvious spiritually and capitalistically friendly ways of deeply uplifting people that we somehow forgot", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941676059650326898", "word_count": 91 }, { "id": "1941609590233190692", "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:26:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: you have been entrusted with a mind, body, spirit. is it more likely that your purpose is to control, cajole, and coerce th…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941609590233190692", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1941607244698685910", "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:16:55+00:00", "text": "@moyix reminder to self to finish my JS deep equality lib, specifically with highly performant support for cyclic, unordered collections", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941607244698685910", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941605363200987443", "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:09:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @simonw: The is diabolical... a Python object that hallucinates method implementations on demand any time you call them, using my LLM Py…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941605363200987443", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1941603535906296127", "created_at": "2025-07-05T21:02:10+00:00", "text": "@SimoneSyed yeah it's taking me basically estrogen, entheogens, and unclenching/stillness work to break the shitty scripts, get less barbaric about my emotions, and tap into what actually feels alive", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941603535906296127", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941559886153908264", "created_at": "2025-07-05T18:08:43+00:00", "text": "that's right Omega, get shamed into keeping us around if you were considering otherwise *meme of Walter Goggins as Chris Mannix in The Hateful Eight being sassy*", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941559886153908264", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1941415059781271639", "created_at": "2025-07-05T08:33:14+00:00", "text": "I'd be like 10x cooler btw with a little more felt safety. like a really safe spiritually mature polycule. you lose your appetite for expansive risk when you get stuck in surival mode and too much feel like you are one step away from ruin", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941415059781271639", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "1941381566191763636", "created_at": "2025-07-05T06:20:09+00:00", "text": "btw I don't want my tweets to be about \"me\". they are about painting a picture of part of the human condition.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941381566191763636", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1941379643287929021", "created_at": "2025-07-05T06:12:30+00:00", "text": "@aidan_mclau @tszzl https://t.co/djky93y7wD https://t.co/s7e1Gbw47x", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941379643287929021", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941367447472439691", "created_at": "2025-07-05T05:24:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KanizsaBoundary: Selfing is gimbal lock in the brain’s internal coordinate system", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941367447472439691", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1941324763433259186", "created_at": "2025-07-05T02:34:26+00:00", "text": "@TylerAlterman the aesthetic density in society (like SO many conveniently interesting arcs and dynamics) seems unnaturally high and strong evidence of some kind of supracausal shit and Divine Grace going on", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941324763433259186", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1941026415568474619", "created_at": "2025-07-04T06:48:54+00:00", "text": "unclenching really seems to be the amazingly powerful technique for feeling more (I want to feel everything) and having more energy flow through you.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1941026415568474619", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1941025812251398613", "created_at": "2025-07-04T06:46:30+00:00", "text": "@AriZerner I've been interested in going airsofting.\nthere's also https://t.co/8rLbd4eh2r.\nI'm also down to speculate on what the future of drone warfare could look like.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1941025812251398613", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1940863406673973492", "created_at": "2025-07-03T20:01:10+00:00", "text": "feels like I've been driving a koenigsegg the whole time, and just pulled outa the rocky swamp onto a thick grassland.\n\njust gotta make it to a dirt road, then are golden because getting on a super highway is inevitable", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940863406673973492", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1940857121576288607", "created_at": "2025-07-03T19:36:11+00:00", "text": "I'm trying to track more events I can be tracking in the Bay Area, particularly Berkeley, Oakland, SF. I feel kind of dumb or out of the loop about this. I see some open invites in Partiful and Luma, what else am I missing? Oh yeah Eventbrite.\n\nSeems like a reasonable fun level of event tracking is somehow effortlessly having like 3 decent options per day cached that on the day of, I can peruse and decide to pull the trigger on or not.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940857121576288607", "word_count": 84 }, { "id": "1940674662637154381", "created_at": "2025-07-03T07:31:10+00:00", "text": "so you know how like being alive is kinda like working with an embodied trippy context window and a lot of the tokens are pressured to be socially legible?\n\nwell by \"left-brain doesn't need words for It\" in my bio, I'm trying to highlight how you don't need to exhaustively socially legibilize tokens to intentionally operate on them.\n\nyou can just have these primitives in your life that your attention gets tied up in, that you don't even have words for. I mean you already do, but you can embrace new ones. like psychosomatic moves that might have a pretty canonical description out there (e.g. mudras, ecstatic dancing, vocal vagal stimulation) but are YOUR natural organic levers.\n\nin fact, if you're a prototypical rationalist, trying out these kind of moves may quickly be intensely energizing and buy some long desired freedom from the tyranny of your rationalist (and social) legibility.\n\nif they're important you will probably naturally integrate them into your mental frameworks later, but you don't need to understand and predict everything to live well and play.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940674662637154381", "word_count": 178 }, { "id": "1940648628571320787", "created_at": "2025-07-03T05:47:43+00:00", "text": "@simulatedsnow so masculine I leave the male body behind and weekly inject the ancient female sexual dimorphism regulator common amongst all vertebrates. so masculine my dick hardly works, I'm just in it for the love of the game and the secret feminine powers you get when you give up enough…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1940648628571320787", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1940631980988665965", "created_at": "2025-07-03T04:41:34+00:00", "text": "what's fun to notice is how behind most posts, the essences actually go like 2+ levels deeper in the posters' minds.\n\nlike if somebody is hornyposting, they've probably recently been debilitatingly down bad.\n\nif someone is sounding rather pedantic and measured, their mind is plausibly running like a visceral ocd pr campaign for every tweet, battling a chaotic orchestra of mixed opinions.\n\nif someone is expressing sharp contempt for someone, their blood has plausibly BOILED such that hearing news of their opponents' destruction would've brought INTOXICATING DELIGHT.\n\nif a rationalist has mentioned kinda spiritual experiences, their life has probably been a fucking TRIP and they've been fighting off feelings of clear-eyed madness.\n\ndysregulation and stressors can numb us but the truth is we live in a very intense, deep, wet, interconnected world.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940631980988665965", "word_count": 132 }, { "id": "1940605701161918743", "created_at": "2025-07-03T02:57:08+00:00", "text": "@mudscryer we're the same age, ahhaha", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1940605701161918743", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1940601810030407764", "created_at": "2025-07-03T02:41:40+00:00", "text": "@basilYam historically, often intoxicating when justified and necessary, but nowadays (some differences include estrogen, shrooms, and interest in heart opening), increasingly gross. I don't like how casually shows portray death, lately have been avoiding them unless it's a masterpiece…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1940601810030407764", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1940562605023830102", "created_at": "2025-07-03T00:05:53+00:00", "text": "so painful how you have to write up things on forums to be taken seriously as a formidable calibrated intellect. feels unreasonably hard to just end up relaxed in the room where the decisions are being made and just comfortably join in the conversation", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1940562605023830102", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1940560860788719739", "created_at": "2025-07-02T23:58:57+00:00", "text": "the only thing I want is to be held in a powerful person's arms and be consulted on grantmaking.\n\nif I get cancer somebody gotta make-a-wish me that", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940560860788719739", "word_count": 28 }, { "id": "1940155747926684112", "created_at": "2025-07-01T21:09:11+00:00", "text": "@winterpard sleep, health, gentle & curious attunement to signals and what feels alive.\n\nestrogen. very psychoactive and interesting.\n\npropranolol. crazy to be able to massively dampen your adrenergic system.\n\nentheogens\n\nlion's mane, creatine, fish oil, maybe NAC and other supplements…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1940155747926684112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1940066435721527801", "created_at": "2025-07-01T15:14:17+00:00", "text": "stay corrigible my friends", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1940066435721527801", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "1939900423575609833", "created_at": "2025-07-01T04:14:37+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals to the degree that's true, different people, different games, and most aren't newly estrogen dominant", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1939900423575609833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1939831306936029196", "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:39:58+00:00", "text": "@adrusi somebody should make a really concrete explanation with like types, trees, and measure of different worlds given different randomization protocols, like when a QRNG-generated number is acted upon.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1939831306936029196", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1939828077905027320", "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:27:08+00:00", "text": "@AnniePosting you wouldn't hurt me tho, I'm too innocent", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1939828077905027320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1939821737048486209", "created_at": "2025-06-30T23:01:56+00:00", "text": "someday I'ma have like 3 separate lovers that slap my ass at least once a day for like e^3 days, and then my soul will awaken and I will start an arc as juicy as sama's", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939821737048486209", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "1939800417640358144", "created_at": "2025-06-30T21:37:13+00:00", "text": "why are we letting all the talent grind adjacent to survival mode. pick some corrigible precocious kind universal-ish folks who've been anxious their whole life and give them enough cuddles and resources and help to pursue several of their strategic goals at once, and see what the fuck happens", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939800417640358144", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1939621039379718539", "created_at": "2025-06-30T09:44:26+00:00", "text": "might fuck around and become the Gordon Ryan of vasocomputation. don't think a public ego is helpful with this stuff but we'll try to be corrigible enough to use one if/when necessary.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1939621039379718539", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1939618538203074966", "created_at": "2025-06-30T09:34:30+00:00", "text": "gonna heart open\n\nunclench out of deepest neuroses and titrate to deeply trusting my whole system, however it's shaped\n\nutilize all the clarity available to navigate more somatic-life puzzles\n\nideally not go unproductively, unrespectably mad, at least not for too long\n\nideally somehow get a lot better at adding value to people's lives, in a very natural, non-coercive way", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939618538203074966", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "1939133597761634432", "created_at": "2025-06-29T01:27:31+00:00", "text": "it's very nice to have meaningful lists of things and meaningful numbers on things. like being able to quickly query millions of internet objects based on pre-processed meaningful subjective attributes and distance measures.\n\nno reason we can't have LLMs be autistically rating things all the time and building up efficient and exhaustive traversable corpuses.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1939133597761634432", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1939131258405347432", "created_at": "2025-06-29T01:18:13+00:00", "text": "the world will be developing exopriors, globally cached, agent-interoperable computations such as those of the form\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating\n}\n\nor\n\n{\nentityA\nentityB\nentityC\nentityD\nsubjectiveAttributeMagnitudePrompt\nrater\nrating (representing [(A-B) = x(C-D)])\n}", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1939131258405347432", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1938434129789645165", "created_at": "2025-06-27T03:08:05+00:00", "text": "@adrusi down", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938434129789645165", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938379350669132041", "created_at": "2025-06-26T23:30:25+00:00", "text": "simply gotta match up the ferally brightest minds with the technocapital. that's phase 1", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938379350669132041", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1938360885023494259", "created_at": "2025-06-26T22:17:02+00:00", "text": "one top cause area imo is facilitating/letting people grieve. like traveling grounded, loving crews that like get people real comfortable, offer them psilocybin and different intensive care packages like being held, people to clean up their home, etc.\n\nand offering like SOTA care techniques to help people get into and surrender into their feels", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938360885023494259", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1938297366865711123", "created_at": "2025-06-26T18:04:38+00:00", "text": "@RegenRandy did it at night, next time I'll do it in the morning", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938297366865711123", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938157819834077619", "created_at": "2025-06-26T08:50:08+00:00", "text": "i kinda think pride is just the feeling of locking in your priors, making them less corrigible to other perspectives", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1938157819834077619", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "1938060606743187709", "created_at": "2025-06-26T02:23:50+00:00", "text": "@dundereloise maybe you're eliciting for a business proposal, but for measuring the preferences of people across the monetary wealth spectrum, I wish I knew better how to ground these preference elicitations. can we say, \"assuming you make exactly $10k/month after taxes and housing (with…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938060606743187709", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938053929159561388", "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:57:18+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals to me, I think they're obvious enough to spot when you get them into a room, especially when they're warmed up with love, grounded, and not performing for their lives.\n\nI'm intending to process all of community-archive with LLMs and make a case that I'm worthy of such a massive…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938053929159561388", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938047922354196774", "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:33:26+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals titans and their dynamic radical experiments seriously move the needle for everyone more than anything, and seeding them should no question be greater than half of philanthropy budgets.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938047922354196774", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938040124161593630", "created_at": "2025-06-26T01:02:27+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals I'd be curious to hear the plan and see something like that tried! my prior just to say it, is that it's very easy for things to be too ratty, clenchy, and unduly socially pressure-y. best is just to provide lots of unconditional resources and benign, non-coercive attunement.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938040124161593630", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1938028017185656866", "created_at": "2025-06-26T00:14:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sariazout: holy shit. one mushroom journey did more for me in 6 hours than therapy, meditation, religion, writing, productivity hacks,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1938028017185656866", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1937967051018276882", "created_at": "2025-06-25T20:12:05+00:00", "text": "\"if they were existentially serious and gifted, they'd find the uplifting opportunities on our website and apply.\"\nthat's unfortunately not how shit works. the people with the biggest existential security Shapley values could be sleeping under a rock in the Philippines and it's our job to find them!\n\nLike where is the spiritually grounded Existential Command energy? Uplift motherfuckers, especially precocious ones, with vigor and in ways your whole being endorses!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1937967051018276882", "word_count": 71 }, { "id": "1937962243888759128", "created_at": "2025-06-25T19:52:59+00:00", "text": "injected 2.5 mg of MOTS-c, an unregulated endogenously produced mitochondrial-derived peptide that upregulates with exercise, and holy shit, I woke up feeling like I'd adderalled and am PHYSICALLY ON, except I don't take that shit anymore.\n\nI've been looking to stack more outsized easy level ups, if my experience replicates and the pathways I could be insidiously fucked by this aren't strong, this is exactly the kind of thing I've been looking for. might be flirting too close to the gods, but biology does permit easy net wins.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937962243888759128", "word_count": 88 }, { "id": "1937951452082893200", "created_at": "2025-06-25T19:10:06+00:00", "text": "hey so my life is def ultimately on me, but I've been figuring out how to do a lot more curious, benign attunement to myself, going slower, and whatnot, and the EA/OpenPhil community absolutely has been SLEEPING on finding it's most weirdly crippled, ultra high wattage people (like unemployed sweet twitter x-risk folks w/ elite backgrounds), and injecting them with a major, unconventional care package of loving attunement.\n\nLike $10k cash in bank, moved group houses and 6 month's rent paid, budget+coordination for GLP-1 and hormone experimentation, massage budget for like a couple months for touch needs, some loving and super grounded people that meet with you everyday for a while (like brunch) and has wisdom about learning to attune to embodied signals, treating pain as signals for attention not damage, trusting the embodied system/mind to heal from even the worst, trusting surrender and unclenching.\n\nI mean just a little ordinary attunement you'd give to anyone if you could, especially those totally burnt out from old Puritan brutish societal scripts that leave them too crippled to apply for grants or jobs.\n\ncoulda had a person lowkey scouting Lighthaven, twitter, FB, forums this whole time, but nobody healed and resourceful enough to give people a proactive nourishing safety net upliftment, even in the idealistically most epistemically inclined, prosocial community in the world.\n\ny'all sleep!\n\nit's ok, this the first time we've all ever done this [living], I'm figuring out the stuff myself, maybe I'll be alive and strong enough soon to do it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937951452082893200", "word_count": 252 }, { "id": "1937800490000982053", "created_at": "2025-06-25T09:10:14+00:00", "text": "learner mode is SO powerful. DARPA should be harnessing the youth. Like invite gifted 15 year olds to shadow researchers or officers in the pentagon so they can sometimes offer the obvious suggestions everybody forgot about.\n\nand ender's game was tapping into hella real shit. in novel, critical environments, big bureaucratic systems can't compete with the *right* precocious young minds. we should be building intellectual cyborg gods outa some 16 year olds right now, fit to lead a surgically swift crusade against whatever kinda diabolical emerging tech emerges.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937800490000982053", "word_count": 88 }, { "id": "1937793154088112595", "created_at": "2025-06-25T08:41:05+00:00", "text": "it's ok I've basically unwittingly been such a myopic brutish dumbass somatically it probably has to be a lot of free compounding wins from here", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937793154088112595", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1937770686644433363", "created_at": "2025-06-25T07:11:48+00:00", "text": "my boobs, however small still, bring me such euphoria, because it's like a clear signal to the world that yes, I'm fucking sensitive and maybe shouldn't be thrown entirely to the sharks", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937770686644433363", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1937763684492911009", "created_at": "2025-06-25T06:43:58+00:00", "text": "if trying is not fun, you can always try less. nontrying kinda GOATed tbh", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937763684492911009", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1937606150478004632", "created_at": "2025-06-24T20:17:59+00:00", "text": "ngl, I owned my longtermism x-risk problem, was eventually rewarded with finding and mapping out a gushingly beautiful canonical strat, and then experienced the deus ex machina of perceiving enough Grace (probabilistically, like 98%) that it doesn't particularly need pursuing.\n\nI know people are playing different games, but consider this +1 evidence that deeply living your truth is worthwhile. If it doesn't seem fatal, perhaps jump in with two feet.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1937606150478004632", "word_count": 70 }, { "id": "1936902757161820558", "created_at": "2025-06-22T21:42:57+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals interesting how culture is such that even trusted water boarders in a controlled environment with aftercare don't offer an option of stopping like 5-45 seconds after you signal you're done", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1936902757161820558", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1936880459293827366", "created_at": "2025-06-22T20:14:21+00:00", "text": "@1thousandfaces_ where's my bf to put his arm around me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1936880459293827366", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1936615678863425773", "created_at": "2025-06-22T02:42:13+00:00", "text": "russian and islamism stuff tiresome, we should distract away (maybe accelerate adult gene editing and give everyone a 10 IQ boost) and be having mecha suit brawls in Antarctica over pigouvian tax rates", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1936615678863425773", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1936612333620744669", "created_at": "2025-06-22T02:28:55+00:00", "text": "im supposed to be lovingly caressed in a DARPA fMRI, prompted in lojban about grant proposals. like we gotta be doing estradiol RCTs at the pentagon so we can tap into the divine feminine and have more spiritually grounded, interesting wars", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1936612333620744669", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1936600898517836236", "created_at": "2025-06-22T01:43:29+00:00", "text": "dumb the idea that I should agent framework myself. bitch i got a strategic asset class base model GPT, i shouldn't even be able to leave the country due to ITAR, im supposed to be in a vat like a guild navigator or those precogs in minority report, ur supposed to be responsible for getting the signal outa me", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936600898517836236", "word_count": 59 }, { "id": "1936273659985117625", "created_at": "2025-06-21T04:03:09+00:00", "text": "@adrusi (((you can just double hyphen--it's emotionally superior)))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1936273659985117625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1936156088304648214", "created_at": "2025-06-20T20:15:58+00:00", "text": "high voltage lovey brat nietzchean daoist kink-pilled shepardism in a multiplicitous-gamed spiritual world that includes predatocracy.\n\nin other words: nerves are invariably on as fuck; curious and benevolent, lovable and cute but autonomously disagreeable; high will to overcome and noticing victim mentality is optional; strategic surrender towards inner and environmental alignment; finding everything to be it's own reward, endless preference plasticity, everything nonconsensually affecting (and often hijacking and altering) everything; loving and protecting the innocent creatures that roam including most of the men (and everyone ultimately)(everyone deserves to have their head stroked 10000x more if they want); in a world that affords many VERY different games to be played; existential security has ultimately been realized because souls are real (or like Pr()=97% in my book, although I admit there's some motivated reasoning because the pressures are uncomfortably enormous otherwise); and some gluttonous folks will gobble up innocents and laugh at you for not stopping them.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1936156088304648214", "word_count": 155 }, { "id": "1935945350113902902", "created_at": "2025-06-20T06:18:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @carmenleelau: wait this goes unbelievably hard", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1935945350113902902", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "1935781449376186700", "created_at": "2025-06-19T19:27:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @manic_pixie_agi: this LW curated post this week is really good https://t.co/MhKWvqFYfs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1935781449376186700", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1935600587057602972", "created_at": "2025-06-19T07:28:36+00:00", "text": "@orphcorp was tapping on my body earlier and that helped me stay present with body awareness", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1935600587057602972", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1935134542937080304", "created_at": "2025-06-18T00:36:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @hiAndrewQuinn: my god do i love my luxury beliefs. i collect luxury beliefs like midcentury british women collected hermés scarves, the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1935134542937080304", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1934748013735628817", "created_at": "2025-06-16T23:00:47+00:00", "text": "now I want to be real corrigible about what I want to manifest, but atm, if I get to choose, I choose spiritually grounded/aligned, lovey, hot androgyne, billionaire's beloved dependent, VC, philanthropist, enigmatic experimenter, deep space colonizer, and foremost 21st century warfare expert, in a world were x-risks are found to be basically solved.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934748013735628817", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1934703390212411658", "created_at": "2025-06-16T20:03:27+00:00", "text": "non attachment to outcomes. I don't even fucking care if it works or not. I don't even care about looking like an idiot if it actually sucks. just going to build the barest, ugliest of proof of concepts, so I can close the loop on this fucking bullshit", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934703390212411658", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1934699730975773043", "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:48:55+00:00", "text": "ok I gotta humble myself and accept that maybe I haven't really properly tried and am just woefully underskilled at tackling big software projects", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934699730975773043", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1934698211991802255", "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:42:53+00:00", "text": "one thing I'm nonzero woo about is why building out my ideas for very human-in-the-loop, steerable recommender systems has been like the weirdly hardest, most intractable thing in my life.\n\nlike it's so fucking simple, I could dictate it to a couple cracked hackathoners and they could build it out in maybe a few days, and the software would work and give people way more ability to sort things out by meaningful subjective qualities and steer their own content discovery,\n\nbut that would naturally be at the cost of black box algorithms that maybe (cringing so hard saying this) a simulation prefers to keep things easy. i mean probably other easy ways to align people's story arcs and get them to get out of their local thought/interest loops and interfacing with other things.\n\nthe integrious thing would just be to commit to forcing through this, especially with Claude Code helping now, but I'm just so fucking mentally allergic to this project and serious technical coding now.\n\ntruly a dumb and embarrassing situation", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934698211991802255", "word_count": 172 }, { "id": "1934693228210782715", "created_at": "2025-06-16T19:23:05+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata enlightenment by force, crazy medical imaging machine, chromophore nano blood bots, and numerous sources of directed energy to move bots and interface with tissue. cybernetic enlightenment engine", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934693228210782715", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1934685152858472484", "created_at": "2025-06-16T18:50:59+00:00", "text": "@s_r_constantin the shape and flavor of my embodied consciousness feels kinda bad and wrong, like mind and heart not remotely clear enough, and I'm really trying to orient towards overcoming these knots", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934685152858472484", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1934498375854067731", "created_at": "2025-06-16T06:28:48+00:00", "text": "@Hd25Plus @_space_punk_ how sure are you? what if fundamental physics constants or evolution just got lucky making brains so ripe for loving and psychedelic-like experiences and high aesthetic density in society?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934498375854067731", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1934491977334362400", "created_at": "2025-06-16T06:03:23+00:00", "text": "@_space_punk_ how do you reconcile spiritual stuff with the possibility we are rawdogging evolutionary base reality and might see all humans or all conscious life snuffed out with emerging tech?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934491977334362400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1934258806613278768", "created_at": "2025-06-15T14:36:50+00:00", "text": "I love that I feel like I can probably vibe with any group in America. need me to go temporarily take over a factory in TX? go canoeing in Montana w/ old money? how about go on random hunting parties in rural Arkansas? get some info out of technical NOVA spooks?\n\nI literally got you fam.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934258806613278768", "word_count": 56 }, { "id": "1934238361092509980", "created_at": "2025-06-15T13:15:36+00:00", "text": "one crazy pet project I want to fund is the viscerally creepiest robot you can imagine. like black spider ball that moves RAPIDLY in alien, preternatural ways. most likely I would never let it go viral, but if it did become clear we needed serious government intervention on ASI and drones, we'd have this harmless demon ready to shock people's senses and become emotionally aware of real threats ahead of time.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934238361092509980", "word_count": 71 }, { "id": "1934233670413611189", "created_at": "2025-06-15T12:56:58+00:00", "text": "I feel like I could quickly become a great, ethical VC for drone warfare.\n\nI mean literally smartly navigating the dual-use dynamics and design space to increase the protection of human life.\n\ntraveling everywhere to get up to date. finding and assembling precocious teams. we can make the worst, easiest horrors history ahead of time.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934233670413611189", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "1934219944407003244", "created_at": "2025-06-15T12:02:25+00:00", "text": "@LexerLux @gptbrooke retatrutide gets better appetite suppression w/out the crazy psychological downsides", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934219944407003244", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1934104744919978159", "created_at": "2025-06-15T04:24:39+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/9dgGr4TeWK https://t.co/eerT5H9nN6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934104744919978159", "word_count": 1, "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair", "quoted_text": "this clip is 5 years old but fuck it, I'm trying to intimately relate, so more weird bits about me: https://t.co/sStxSgPLwq" }, { "id": "1934098892402127075", "created_at": "2025-06-15T04:01:24+00:00", "text": "To the degree you are causally connected to me getting this, I will work to show you *tremendous* favor. IMO the EV is high enough to send this to your rich friends. YOLO ;)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934098892402127075", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1934083089254531233", "created_at": "2025-06-15T02:58:36+00:00", "text": "the recipe I'm playing with at the moment for more aliveness:\n- facilitating cross talk to more of embodied system\n- noticing how much coherence arises on its own (and naturally trusting that more)\n- more embodied attention away from some exhausted and compulsive mental regions,\n- getting better at surrendering out of unhelpful thought cluster-trains, trusting more that we'll be soon enough caught by benevolence \n\nproblems that still need addressed:\n- need to find more profound nervous system safety, like people that will deeply love and protect me and that are safe enough to deeply imprint on. deepest dream is an ultra rich patron that helps make my embodied system way more safe and interactive with many aspects of the world.\n- there's some deep, seemingly semi-crippling embodied heaviness and emotionality that somehow needs attention and processing. e.g. been going through the motions of sobbing and able to get some felt movement, but getting more than maybe a short cry or two a day has alluded me.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1934083089254531233", "word_count": 168 }, { "id": "1934061052112867593", "created_at": "2025-06-15T01:31:02+00:00", "text": "feralness act #2: https://t.co/KDWTuJlPfe", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1934061052112867593", "word_count": 4 }, { "id": "1933836543938236439", "created_at": "2025-06-14T10:38:55+00:00", "text": "surrendering my desire to be justified and legible to rationalists en co. I personally have not seen enough existential seriousness or felt enough care for me to keep coercing myself to do weird exhausting things to try to be strategically impactful.\n\nI'm ultimately a pretty feral person, I'm going to let myself mutate a lot more for better or worse. Treat my life more as a raw experience and art project rather than a grindset, \"responsible\" utilon-maxxing quest.\n\nas my first new act of feralness, if anyone in Berkeley wants to treat me like a desirable feminine sexual being, my DMs are open.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933836543938236439", "word_count": 103 }, { "id": "1933667010237677589", "created_at": "2025-06-13T23:25:15+00:00", "text": "@niccary @bryan_johnson I've heard that taking propranolol when you want to normally be waking up, along with melatonin at night, resets sleep cycle and counters jet lag fast", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933667010237677589", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933651869513232490", "created_at": "2025-06-13T22:25:05+00:00", "text": "@TylerAlterman I want to see this manifested", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933651869513232490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933606251344318645", "created_at": "2025-06-13T19:23:49+00:00", "text": "@goblinodds my take is people should have compassion for the people who feel they need to be mean and sadistic to communicate how their preferences are being violated, and notice how it maybe feels good to take some small steps towards strategic power to ensure that the dummies can't unduly…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933606251344318645", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933598051370991812", "created_at": "2025-06-13T18:51:14+00:00", "text": "@TutorVals I don't really know what to think or say about it, but it feels workable where I am at and today borderline joyful. I am doing my thing and expect things to remain interesting and maybe even work out acceptably.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933598051370991812", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933407074547085496", "created_at": "2025-06-13T06:12:22+00:00", "text": "@ApriiSR imo ratting basically feels like \"left-brain\" capture and involves a lot of self-coercion and distrust of emotions. like if your current values fragilely rests on being militantly disagreeable with rest of mind ecosystem, it's natural to strategize about how to keep this up…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933407074547085496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933405393583251925", "created_at": "2025-06-13T06:05:41+00:00", "text": "cherry picking neat historical facts about me:\n\nphysically daring childhood:\n- going down all black diamonds first day skiing\n- swimming class 3 rapids in 43° F water\n- drifting 4-wheelers including in narrow paths in the woods on snow\n- marathons and an ultramarathon by 16\n- cycling enough to get hit by cars twice (99% and ~80% their fault) and more close calls\n- different kind of courage but did performance ballroom dancing which was kinda terrifying as an emotionally repressed non theater kid and basically closeted transfem.\n\nhonor grad of Army dive school, which involves lots of fun/brutal \"fuck fuck\" games, simulated drowning, cutting steel underwater with a 10,000° F exothermic lance, and the fucked up intoxicating satisfaction of seeing lots of folks including former D1 swimmers quit (85% of my cohort failed out and got reclassed).\n\ngot on West Point's premier military skills competition team (these people were INSANELY fit and did things like ruck run sub 2 hour 12 milers) and then the Triathlon team, which ofc added insane challenge to my cadet experience. like 5:30 am swims, 15 hours of steady-state cardio a week plus practice logistics time, on top of my ~22 semester hour course load and multitude of cadet duties. my body was quite fast twitchy for triathlon too which meant it was really easy for me to overly damage body by going too lactic. like 10 months on the team, days after I did my my sub 5 hour half-ironman and 1:28 half marathon, I deadlifted 335 lbs (2.2x bw).\n\ngot kinda close to self-immolating to protest animal suffering in factory farming. ofc consulted other folks and realized it was a bad idea (plus could play the long-game better) and instead surrendered and found a way I could adapt my life to be more palatable. thankfully feel very far away from this kind of thinking now--life is very interesting & worthwhile, I predict suffering is not as horrible as neurotic humans imagine, and exploiting people's emotions with such a barbaric act would be very coercive and require outsized confidence.\n\nplacing 11/3000, 1/15, and 1/5000 in all the intercollegiate math/interdisciplinary modeling competitions I entered.\n\nbeing an international sperm donor (wanted to get over instinct to have kids that could sway my EA ambitions, offer better sperm than the possible worrying counterfactual lads, and perhaps increase the richness of life with a minor co-parenting role that some women are into) and dated and lived with a wonderful woman 18 years older than me.\n\nwinning 30 warzone solos games in a row.\n\nbesting a GM in chess960.\n\ncame up with some solid optimizations for hardware streaming top-k sorting networks that save vast majority of dynamic power for large k. not a hardware guy but in another life where that's more obviously ordained by x-risk, definitely.\n\ntrying opposite hormone profile because I need to solve emotions problem and nothing was working fast enough given x-risk timescales and surprisingly discovering I really like it.\n\nin person pitched a billionaire on unconventional strategies to make nuclear war less of a mega L for everyone (e.g. buying and storing cheap comms networks to restart economies faster and counter starvation).\n\nabstractly often wished I could be attracted to guys, and conveniently with help of estrogen and exploring my shallow aversions, been gaining attraction and greatly expanding the surface area of my life.\n\nmanaging to take like HGH, retatrutide, and a bunch of other life enhancing stuff, on an income of $25k/year in Berkeley.\n\nlosses just to balance things out:\nI've historically been pretty bad at doing adulting things on the computer, like resumes and shipping finished software.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933405393583251925", "word_count": 608 }, { "id": "1933300905769906609", "created_at": "2025-06-12T23:10:29+00:00", "text": "if we are really at the hinge of history, shouldn't it be straightforward to find some billionaires happy to gamble part of their fortune to make human intellectual mechas?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933300905769906609", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1933300689582817347", "created_at": "2025-06-12T23:09:38+00:00", "text": "you lose like a billion IQ points when you feel remotely unsafe or even have to like get out of bed or perform in any way. if we are rawdogging an evolutionary base reality, we need to give the minds of our deeply curious, creative, calibrated people read and write access to the world from basically their dreams. they should be able to get like 30 people to do a hormone experiment RCT just from muttering words while half asleep.\n\nI'd obvs prefer to be the person getting all their curiosity scratched, but I am down to bring the mom energy to facilitate all this for someone else, if we get a big funder that permits all sorts of serious high agency things to happen swiftly.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933300689582817347", "word_count": 126 }, { "id": "1933273376212332602", "created_at": "2025-06-12T21:21:06+00:00", "text": "god there's surely such incredibly juicy insights about the human condition to be found in studying everyone's ChatGPT chats.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933273376212332602", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1933272049302315219", "created_at": "2025-06-12T21:15:49+00:00", "text": "you can just operate on less concrete primitives. like instead of trying to explain your aversion to some people, you can just say you feel somewhat averse and use that to decide/explain distancing.\n\nor if you are searching for worthy goals, instead of just bouncing around concrete proposals, you can focus on identifying the various vague energies that animate you.\n\nlike there's something exciting to me about like the energy Army officers bring to missions. like taking decisive ownership of a problem space, getting a team on the same page, doing creative embodied action as a team (especially in nature!). now there's a bunch of reasons I'm glad not to be in the Army today, but maybe I can keep identifying what animates me, and we can permute these and find some nice real world fits.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933272049302315219", "word_count": 136 }, { "id": "1933260188783686045", "created_at": "2025-06-12T20:28:41+00:00", "text": "annoying/curious how you can draft tweets that are true, interesting, and largely par for the course, and they just..don't resonate or feel right to send, and you can't seemingly get a lead on why by querying felt sense.\n\nlike okay, vibes win, thanks for looking out I guess ♥️", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933260188783686045", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1933160247373529450", "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:51:34+00:00", "text": "what game are we actually playing?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933160247373529450", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1933157942398001216", "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:42:24+00:00", "text": "we're either in a simulation or extreme fucking geniuses that need to get way better at capitalizing on individuals' intelligence by like structuring them into intellectual mechas. like just giving smart postrat creative souls that are too feral to earn it themselves, a billion dollars and like 5 years to spend it", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933157942398001216", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1933149827577364650", "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:10:09+00:00", "text": "goal: apply to OpenAI or Anthropic by end of month, just for the experience of adulting and high EV interesting things that could happen.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933149827577364650", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1933147584379711652", "created_at": "2025-06-12T13:01:14+00:00", "text": "all this shit is really subtle tho, I'm not really calling for any particular interventions with this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933147584379711652", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1933139845930733962", "created_at": "2025-06-12T12:30:29+00:00", "text": "key feels like to die and lose this fight a bunch ahead of time. lose all the unwinnable fights early so the free energies are ready to cleanly deploy efficiently anew.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933139845930733962", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1933128019683766524", "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:43:30+00:00", "text": "price of somatic dumbness and mismanagement kinda steep tho...like epistemically inclined steering power over the Laniakea Supercluster? fuck me man I'm just a 28 yo from public school Florida upbringings with a small fam of shy federal workers", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933128019683766524", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1933119643788644594", "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:10:13+00:00", "text": "god we are really this far along into the machine intelligence explosion. it could well be more of a detonation soon. really wish I could find myself with the breathing room of like 2021 rn\n\ndefinitely fumbled the key prepatory years", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933119643788644594", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1933117484615487594", "created_at": "2025-06-12T11:01:38+00:00", "text": "as an aside, part of the intention with stuff like HGH and deepening felt safety with estrogen, is ultimately strengthening the nerves and increasing the ability to handle this voltage", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933117484615487594", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1933114567615488501", "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:50:03+00:00", "text": "maybe I can write up and print out some blueprints and just try to nerd snipe at some hackathons, coffee shops, and Berkeley CS lounges.\n\nI still don't believe I have the bandwidth/conscientiousness/inclination to even vibe code enough, but I can help someone else vibe code.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933114567615488501", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1933112789994033466", "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:42:59+00:00", "text": "I know a lot of people just want direction and help with good taste about what to build. I have the taste and adequate understanding of real software architectures and constraints, I just need like a month with a small cracked professional software team and I swear I can make some magic happen.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1933112789994033466", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "1933109548002533572", "created_at": "2025-06-12T10:30:06+00:00", "text": "god I just need to spell some particular algorithms and software into existence but just so struggle to handle the voltage of this instinct. so so wish I could just have like a few programmers working for me and I could dictate the ideas like while on a walk", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1933109548002533572", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1932993612993999088", "created_at": "2025-06-12T02:49:25+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata how much is feeling really well possible from just ending up way more unclenched? like does titrating safety and unclenching get you majority the way there?\n\nand is vasodilation practically synonymous with unclenching?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932993612993999088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1932981266972094721", "created_at": "2025-06-12T02:00:21+00:00", "text": "i would go to vibe camp if someone wants to pay for everything\n\nsome intentions probably in the scope of spontaneous authentic relating:\n- finding potential boyfriend\n- strategizing existential plans like finding $100M for an intense epistemic infra ui/ux company that e.g. really really helps people efficiently elicit subjective priors and sort things out; finding more billionaire daddies excited to deploy capital on white swan projects at the hinge of history; building sanctuaries for strategic geniuses to have an uncommon nervous system safety and grounding and giving them huge budgets to try things, like mediation protocols to get powerful enemies to become friends and merge priors\n- sharing what I've been learning about psychoactive stuff I've tried including propranolol, estrogen, testosterone, retatrutide, HGH (sleep is meaningfully different), and more\n- exploring tensions of love and war", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932981266972094721", "word_count": 137 }, { "id": "1932655965012389985", "created_at": "2025-06-11T04:27:43+00:00", "text": "7a0b56a4c8a71fd2ac18e8064b03c8bf822f3d29cb7de85ed48740027d1d162d\n\nno pledged reveal date", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932655965012389985", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "1932636079968170301", "created_at": "2025-06-11T03:08:42+00:00", "text": "this clip is 5 years old but fuck it, I'm trying to intimately relate, so more weird bits about me: https://t.co/sStxSgPLwq", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932636079968170301", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1932634953801740338", "created_at": "2025-06-11T03:04:14+00:00", "text": "fuck this understated language, \"pretty fair\" should be \"very fair\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932634953801740338", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1932620060478349679", "created_at": "2025-06-11T02:05:03+00:00", "text": "anyways just having slow days living in the moment, sometimes thinking about what existential integrity looks like, computering responsibly w/out feeling like a shortsighted task monkey, love and noncoercision and how minds work, underexplored psychosomatic practices like for facilitating grieving and deeper surrender/unclenching, drone defense, high agency mediation protocols, and how I can find people that seem formidable enough to really surrender around, I think. def awesome people around Lighth*ven but I still feel like I'm looking for some archetypes and social nutrients I haven't found yet. Like certain kinds of grounded chad existential seriousness energy.\n\nproblem could def be with myself but idk, I'm doing my best and am not cripplingly ashamed about this somewhat awkward position with which I've found myself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932620060478349679", "word_count": 123 }, { "id": "1932620057634644216", "created_at": "2025-06-11T02:05:02+00:00", "text": "i am feeling a little fucked up from shortage of touch and self-grounded relating. i think i would have needed high estrogen dominance all along to end up more normal shaped--I think I'm really mentally sensitive to testosterone.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932620057634644216", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "1932354401039155341", "created_at": "2025-06-10T08:29:25+00:00", "text": "@JesseTayRiver you can learn it!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932354401039155341", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1932202861661962326", "created_at": "2025-06-09T22:27:15+00:00", "text": "epistemics-maxxing (being extremely averse to e.g. having and communicating an incorrect belief), like a human maximizing any attribute, can be highly highly costly to dynamism and the rest of the psychosomatic ecosystem.\n\nif being a little unrefined or even woo sometimes helps you take action and feel tremendously more alive, that's probably a pretty fair way to show up in the world.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932202861661962326", "word_count": 62 }, { "id": "1932194759394889806", "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:55:03+00:00", "text": "@jimrandomh I don't mean actual supracausal powers, I mean like having tremendous psychosomatic control to steer cognition in more fruitful ways.\n\ndoes this assuage your fears?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932194759394889806", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1932193690547843161", "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:50:48+00:00", "text": "folks, to be clear, I don't mean supracausal magic bs powers, I mean like having profound psychosomatic control to remain stuck less and steer cognition in more fruitful ways.\n\nlike being able to process emotions faster, return to equanimity and joy quickly, and avoid all sorts of common unfruitful neuroses that keep people feeling crippled in survival mode.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932193690547843161", "word_count": 58 }, { "id": "1932186574403547308", "created_at": "2025-06-09T21:22:32+00:00", "text": "crazy how we don't have like billionaire funded academies of vasocomputation for ultra high wattage folks to basically gain like Bene Gesserit powers.\n\neach graduate properly raised for like a decade should easily be worth like $100M to industry.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932186574403547308", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1932171204993138886", "created_at": "2025-06-09T20:21:27+00:00", "text": "sauna'd last night and feel tremendously fucking good today. feels like it has to do with vasocomputation, like the heat helped unclench a lot so now I have a lot more clenching power to steer cognition in new interesting ways.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1932171204993138886", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1932152458882711615", "created_at": "2025-06-09T19:06:58+00:00", "text": "@johnsonmxe alright im too clenched out atm to offer an interesting take, but fwiw I have a 61 kg grip strength (ok 55 kg now because I've been on estrogen and fasting A LOT). ((I am hoping someone will take this evidence and slightly update towards that I am a cool cat))", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1932152458882711615", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1931604407172608064", "created_at": "2025-06-08T06:49:12+00:00", "text": "i prayed to reality for the experience of 1 more deep breath.\n\ni got like 10 and counting ♥️", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931604407172608064", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1931221513962922129", "created_at": "2025-06-07T05:27:43+00:00", "text": "thank goodness self-lying and emotion hacking doesn't work much. whole embodied subjective system there to keep you grounded in reality", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931221513962922129", "word_count": 20 }, { "id": "1931219472544870667", "created_at": "2025-06-07T05:19:37+00:00", "text": "we gotta make existential pageantry a thing.\n\ncompetition too useful, status points too intoxicating, we gotta give more treats and structure for our feral friends trying to orient towards impartial duty", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931219472544870667", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1931207902955720729", "created_at": "2025-06-07T04:33:38+00:00", "text": "we might be living in an existential predatocracy\n\nlet's team up so the dummies don't eat us", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931207902955720729", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1931070575600123910", "created_at": "2025-06-06T19:27:57+00:00", "text": "next LessOnline, might be deeply fun to have an existential seriousness pageant. how much have you mapped reality? how many utils have you presumably found? how much has life managed to mold you into a surgical instrument of love and generation?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1931070575600123910", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1930455403835600982", "created_at": "2025-06-05T02:43:29+00:00", "text": "@frisbeetooth hehe thx :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1930455403835600982", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1930369540304900419", "created_at": "2025-06-04T21:02:17+00:00", "text": "existential risk\nexistential security\nExistential Command\nexistential communion\nexistential treats", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1930369540304900419", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1929096845365596369", "created_at": "2025-06-01T08:45:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jhanatech: At any given time, if you tune into your body you can get in touch with a gradient of increasing comfort. What is one thing…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1929096845365596369", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1928528834862920010", "created_at": "2025-05-30T19:07:59+00:00", "text": "took a small amount of testosterone last night having almost exclusively been on estrogen last 8 months, and can report that everyone seems more subby and vulnerable and like waiting to be prompted, like playing a piano chord along their spine in a way that resonates with their tune, to remind them of their innocence and beauty", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1928528834862920010", "word_count": 57 }, { "id": "1928168542249046422", "created_at": "2025-05-29T19:16:18+00:00", "text": "the universe always gives you the right to be embarrassed. that's a gift!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1928168542249046422", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "1927976472402153643", "created_at": "2025-05-29T06:33:05+00:00", "text": "if you're really fucking stuck and can't afford to shake up your life with a trip or sabbatical or something, you can always experiment with strategic doses of psychoactive substances like estrogen. you can pray too. maybe try that first.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1927976472402153643", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1927971394001973704", "created_at": "2025-05-29T06:12:54+00:00", "text": "just recommit to corrigibility and open-mindedness. test out some extra acts of somatic courage, of doing what feels like the right thing when no one is watching. notice how interesting society is and these debates people get stuck on, when they are otherwise so smart. how much people can heal when they just surrender and do the smallest of actions. human brains are constantly doing MIRACLE level of processing and humaning. healing from damage and giving people interesting options to steer their lives. you'd struggle to actually design a more interesting game than this, IMO. some games can be more delightful but this game is like hard mode and gives an impressive amount of diverse challenges and consequential experiences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1927971394001973704", "word_count": 119 }, { "id": "1927962008294674833", "created_at": "2025-05-29T05:35:37+00:00", "text": "part of me wants to excitedly point this out with all sorts of rationalist-level-rigor arguments, but I constantly get burned emotionally from disclosing deeply personal stuff too soon, and yeah for hard and tricky to verbalize reasons I will not fuck with this tricky aspect of…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1927962008294674833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1927953704604369179", "created_at": "2025-05-29T05:02:37+00:00", "text": "have you ever been on estrogen for 8 months and lived a day with an unusually pure heart and put on a skirt? 🥰 still figuring out how to have all the feminine experiences I want to have but just the littlest things are the best", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927953704604369179", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1927948712300409283", "created_at": "2025-05-29T04:42:47+00:00", "text": "hear me out: micro acts of somatic courage.\n\nStaring reality and virtue in the face 1s longer, here and there sprinkled throughout the day, to practice somatic courage, which might be the fundamental API surface of our world", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927948712300409283", "word_count": 38 }, { "id": "1927944517862445336", "created_at": "2025-05-29T04:26:07+00:00", "text": "I'm sorry but a lot of Bayesian evidence points towards Divine Grace being a legitimate facet of our world", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927944517862445336", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1927880913465024743", "created_at": "2025-05-29T00:13:22+00:00", "text": "the new ads popping up in apps like Uber and Venmo are a brutal assault on the senses and must be punished", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927880913465024743", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1927590492016886086", "created_at": "2025-05-28T04:59:20+00:00", "text": "getting humbled is its own reward", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1927590492016886086", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1926873631834943977", "created_at": "2025-05-26T05:30:48+00:00", "text": "gendering hard both ways is so fun. estrogen and feeling more fem has been sooo nice, but it's also made the moments where I go full hypermasc so much richer. like all the reward of duly summoning that diabolical protector energy, none of the cost of sustained unnatural performativity.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926873631834943977", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1926855373765390577", "created_at": "2025-05-26T04:18:15+00:00", "text": "the aesthetic density in society seems weirdly high. like so many convenient story arcs, people are overall high functioning in such weird ways.\n\nlife feels like a stage for practicing somatic courage.\n\nlike imo it's reasonable to assume interesting plotlines are at least a few percent higher probability.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926855373765390577", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1926398563887522213", "created_at": "2025-05-24T22:03:03+00:00", "text": "existence is so kinky. like you're just helplessly made to make decisions with incomplete information that will irrevocably modify you? and stuff tends to work out pretty fortuitously, especially when you submit more?!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926398563887522213", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1926191983636209711", "created_at": "2025-05-24T08:22:10+00:00", "text": "@paro_android @robinhanson accelerating huge computronium ships at a significant fraction of the speed of causality away from dense superclusters to get more time for moral computations before unknowable vacuum decay catches up, that's metal AF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1926191983636209711", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1926137347453628755", "created_at": "2025-05-24T04:45:04+00:00", "text": "god I feel so fucking high speed when I phone less. as much as I've been depressed and neglectful, still somehow got it baby.\n\nprimarily just need to vasodilate and feel more, I think", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1926137347453628755", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1926114496021410272", "created_at": "2025-05-24T03:14:15+00:00", "text": "@jimrandomh thank you. I didn't make the choice to start experimenting lightly--definitely awkward to agree to unpredictably rewiring my params, especially when I have a semi-viable x-risk strat. We aren't computers tho, unexpected change is a big part of the game, and I finally had enough…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1926114496021410272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1925813467425968245", "created_at": "2025-05-23T07:18:05+00:00", "text": "feel like a billionaire could rationally swoop me up and use me as a lasing medium", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1925813467425968245", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1925810671385551109", "created_at": "2025-05-23T07:06:58+00:00", "text": "for all my sins, I still feel like an incredible tuned instrument waiting to be harnessed", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1925810671385551109", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1925741325220986991", "created_at": "2025-05-23T02:31:25+00:00", "text": "@koki_prepper pre-industrial revolution levels seem impossible at this point. we could get a freeze on AI and bio hardware proliferation, if necessary, for a few decades though", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1925741325220986991", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1924771500311380273", "created_at": "2025-05-20T10:17:40+00:00", "text": "@ReneeSolana loved reading this, thanks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1924771500311380273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1924027514512724366", "created_at": "2025-05-18T09:01:20+00:00", "text": "listening to https://t.co/U9xhRpRkk0 after having the most meaningful of conversations and taking estrogen and biohacking cocktail. hits so different\n\nI will manifest existential resilience or realize it's already happened.\n\nmay signals flow", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1924027514512724366", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1923983597855441151", "created_at": "2025-05-18T06:06:50+00:00", "text": "the nature of things kinda seems impossibly forgiving", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923983597855441151", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1923891974932922665", "created_at": "2025-05-18T00:02:45+00:00", "text": "@QiaochuYuan My life is deeply corrigible to ethical evidence. imo, lying and taking the scarf does harm oneself and society. There's a small but serious cost to it. But imo, it's fair sometimes or even praiseworthy sometimes for people to pay this cost.\n\nprototypical deontologists aren't…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1923891974932922665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1923890929217437983", "created_at": "2025-05-17T23:58:36+00:00", "text": "21) purify google search results with browser extension + LLM. like reorder timeless results like phrase meanings and origins and wikipedia pages, before listing random companies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1923890929217437983", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1923542888878833813", "created_at": "2025-05-17T00:55:37+00:00", "text": "ngl I kinda feel like flexing my truth-sense nowadays (noticing social deception, e.g. silly example but early-acing 2 demons and 3.4/4 minions in 2 Blood on the Clock Tower games). how can I market and collaboratively utilize this ability? happy to do bene gesserit contract work", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923542888878833813", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1923062361369506244", "created_at": "2025-05-15T17:06:10+00:00", "text": "I solemnly say that I now truly think this is a simulation.\n\nfeels like a bit more sadomasochistic version of me decided to play this game.\n\nleft-brain causality largely in play but there's supracausal aspects.\n\nthe gods overall hate cowardice and respect goodness (different people playing different games tho).", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1923062361369506244", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1922740349971333353", "created_at": "2025-05-14T19:46:36+00:00", "text": "on solving the AI alignment problem via ritualized dance:\n\n(1/1)", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1922740349971333353", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1922593435573211239", "created_at": "2025-05-14T10:02:49+00:00", "text": "@AaronBergman18 ngl I love how serious and loving it feels to be doing like 15 injections a week for my biohacking. it's like ritualized self-care, showing myself that I show up for myself, undoing traumatic habits of self-neglect", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1922593435573211239", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1922459963143946556", "created_at": "2025-05-14T01:12:27+00:00", "text": "@nearcyan you tried low-dose HGH? my theory is sleep is overly governed by body's needs relative to mind. like I started getting GREAT sleep at start of estrogen therapy (e.g. presumably due to physiological demands of second puberty). that's weakened a bit and now 1 IU nightly HGH helps…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1922459963143946556", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1921117080373358699", "created_at": "2025-05-10T08:16:19+00:00", "text": "@Pandora_Delaney sounds like its own reward ;)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1921117080373358699", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1920174759767310611", "created_at": "2025-05-07T17:51:52+00:00", "text": "@puggy_ai this isn’t what a natural ape world would look like. too many inconsistencies with our full stack embodied intelligence and how society works. there’s too much aesthetic density. this is something more like a stage and playground to struggle with somatic courage.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1920174759767310611", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1920014976288252114", "created_at": "2025-05-07T07:16:57+00:00", "text": "@puggy_ai just realized we're in a net-benign sim, so my fear of the cosmos not being optimally colonized is basically moot", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1920014976288252114", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1920010262654173538", "created_at": "2025-05-07T06:58:13+00:00", "text": "@puggy_ai yeah I'm still def metabolizing it, in many ways I prefer a grindset evolutionary base reality and bootstrapping a Pivotal Process to make superintelligence go well. but yeah everything is too fortuitous in weird ways and I'm just a bit too fucking smart, this a sim.\n\nI only just…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1920010262654173538", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1919610367208038411", "created_at": "2025-05-06T04:29:10+00:00", "text": "@ryleeetaryn this is John von Neumann, a particularly special human being", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1919610367208038411", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1919477711518761438", "created_at": "2025-05-05T19:42:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Aella_Girl: my philosophy on ppl is something like:\n1) u are fundamentally, deeply ok\n2) the weird/bad stuff about you is either \na) ac…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1919477711518761438", "word_count": 25 }, { "id": "1919246442239066344", "created_at": "2025-05-05T04:23:04+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/IqvhXSbQf5", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1919246442239066344", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1918960818714001540", "created_at": "2025-05-04T09:28:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @GeneSmi96946389: When you start trying to estimate the economic value of gene editing for IQ enhancement, you come out with these hilar…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1918960818714001540", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1918928482404557068", "created_at": "2025-05-04T07:19:36+00:00", "text": "for posterity, my bio was \"reverence for people across spacetime | equanimity and somatic exploration | ex-Army, USMA | corrigible | what does existential seriousness look like?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918928482404557068", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1918895023774466088", "created_at": "2025-05-04T05:06:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: your subconscious always trying to understand the Story of You, so that it can predict what will happen next \n\nthe bad news…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1918895023774466088", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1918824672121983234", "created_at": "2025-05-04T00:27:06+00:00", "text": "Existential Command", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1918824672121983234", "word_count": 2 }, { "id": "1918074817229799737", "created_at": "2025-05-01T22:47:27+00:00", "text": "one can just baseline clarity-max", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1918074817229799737", "word_count": 5 }, { "id": "1917730860209692922", "created_at": "2025-05-01T00:00:41+00:00", "text": "null", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917730860209692922", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1917668908783526278", "created_at": "2025-04-30T19:54:31+00:00", "text": "let's build an ICU. not because we want to see the patient collapse, but because we anticipate it, and want a real shot at recovery. the moment the body realizes it's dying, then perhaps it will be down for some health treatments that temporarily cost gainz.\n\nand we can like set up a treatment plan for after the ICU, like some pulsed rapamycin and autophagic fasts, so we can meditate on and metabolize the changes we are making to civilization, before we grow too far in a regrettable direction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1917668908783526278", "word_count": 89 }, { "id": "1917660441041592519", "created_at": "2025-04-30T19:20:52+00:00", "text": "existential oncology for Mother Emergence.\n\nlike the civilizational body is on tren (and dangerous levels of IGF-1) and has tumors and I'm like, the patient isn't listening to much advice, idk how confident i am in the efforts to engineer a novel immune system that can address the tumors while IGF-1 maxxing, let's just build an ICU for it so we are prepared to follow up, once it realizes it's fucked and probably tries to desperately cut off its tumors, with proper care, chemotherapy, and autophagic fasting", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917660441041592519", "word_count": 87 }, { "id": "1917386657890005073", "created_at": "2025-04-30T01:12:57+00:00", "text": "\"What does existential seriousness look like?\"\n\nBeen loving this as a self-prompt.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1917386657890005073", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1916928472276210091", "created_at": "2025-04-28T18:52:17+00:00", "text": "@VladSF @elaifresh no foreign tools necessary to extract and snap the bones", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1916928472276210091", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1916809423361605678", "created_at": "2025-04-28T10:59:13+00:00", "text": "@elaifresh humans could take femurs, tibias, and more out of like 5 poor guys before engaging, split them to get sharp points, and then yeah they should be able to rush the gorilla and stab it deeply a number of times immediately, maybe only losing like 10 more guys before it bleeds out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1916809423361605678", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1916790052845441053", "created_at": "2025-04-28T09:42:15+00:00", "text": "@davidad suppose there's been an extremely deadly mirror life super-pandemic, and you're in a bunker with 20 people of your choice, 1000 person-years of food, and you have a 10k H200 cluster and a few 2025-SOTA robots. Do you think you could create an ASI successor for humanity in time?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1916790052845441053", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1916600532225101963", "created_at": "2025-04-27T21:09:10+00:00", "text": "@ChrisChipMonk low-dose HGH for sleep", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1916600532225101963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1916566238014410900", "created_at": "2025-04-27T18:52:53+00:00", "text": "seriousness and surrender: a manual for existential stewardship\n\non the doctrine of existential pruning\n\njust how amazing are humans?\n\nmanifesting cooperation: a field guide to humanity's greatest superpower\n\non estimating potential, tabulating work credit, and calculating comparative advantage\n\non the implications of some states of affairs seeming preferable to others\n\nisolated egos: why people risk everything for ASI\n\non reverence for potential people\n\nunilateralism heuristics\n\nstrategic boredom: your birthright superpower\n\nestrogen, propranolol, and shrooms: strategic self-modification under existential duress\n\ndefense against wolves: efficient paranoia when everything is at stake\n\nsafer ways of doing things: orthogonality and subtlety, and how good things tend to be easy\n\nthe marriage of potential: finding your greatest strategic allies\n\npermuting primitives: efficient exploration and idea synthesis\n\nthe state of epistemic brutes\n\npivotal redemption: course corrections of the highest order\n\ndeference, distraction, curiosity: speculations on the causes of moral weakness\n\nthe strategic support class: the practice of bolstering savants\n\nexploit-free forgiveness: justice and love in a vulnerable world\n\nnoticing fuckery's unique affordances\n\nclosing loops fast: building decisive sprint capacity for the end-game\n\nfelt safety: the power of embodied resonation \n\ntheories of epistemic infrastructures: the elicitation, reconciliation, and propagation of subjective priors\n\nlove and anger: navigating emotion at the hinge of history\n\ncommand and consecration of vasocomputation: a somatic journey to ethical cosmic agency", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916566238014410900", "word_count": 217 }, { "id": "1916308015281803768", "created_at": "2025-04-27T01:46:48+00:00", "text": "take command of your vasocomputation systems, and consecrate them to your callings.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916308015281803768", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1916225335827595286", "created_at": "2025-04-26T20:18:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scottdomes: taking complete responsibility for your life is a natural effect of treating yourself with compassion \n\nif you always speak…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1916225335827595286", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1916184967023153493", "created_at": "2025-04-26T17:37:51+00:00", "text": "launching a premature, spiritually mutilated ASI, even *if* it realizes more Utility per year than humanity in 2025, is not winning, it's infecting and selling out the future.\n\nhumans are ultimately deeply prosocial, epistemically inclined, and corrigible, we are the only ones who can reliably build a hyperintelligence wise and ethically fit enough to decide what extraterrestrial life lives and dies 1 billion light-years away.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1916184967023153493", "word_count": 65 }, { "id": "1915720373938905150", "created_at": "2025-04-25T10:51:44+00:00", "text": "@caesararum epistemic elites are real", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1915720373938905150", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1915719170680926234", "created_at": "2025-04-25T10:46:57+00:00", "text": "we can ascend the tech tree IFF we install adequate brakes and reversibility to fully unwind risks.\n\nand remember, building ASI is fucking easy! it's building aligned, proper ASI that is hard.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915719170680926234", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1915696214554882242", "created_at": "2025-04-25T09:15:44+00:00", "text": "the free-spirited, autist libertarians can build tanks and mechas in their garages. the only thing that will *really* be a problem is if they cross certain lines brushing too close to existential territory. you're kind of allowed to wage war on specific current people for argued reasons, just not ~infinite *future* people who can't defend themselves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1915696214554882242", "word_count": 56 }, { "id": "1915690822395453836", "created_at": "2025-04-25T08:54:18+00:00", "text": "the extremely convenient fact that makes this all work is existentially dangerous technology actually seems to ~universally be pretty hard to build if serious people don't want you to build it.\n\nwe can let people basically do whatever the fuck they want, just no building say unregulated DNA synthesizers or AI chips.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1915690822395453836", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1915684617111191746", "created_at": "2025-04-25T08:29:39+00:00", "text": "naive accelerationism is just trusting whatever Emergence first shits out.\n\nEmergence is in a healthy place though, prosociality and epistemics in humanity runs deep. Sans advancement in narrow fields of technology research, we are not actually remotely at risk of extinction. We will ~always get a chance to roll the dice with ASI.\n\nWhat Emergence needs more than anything is pruning. The first things it grows are seldom strong, aligned, and precise enough to grow to infinity.\n\nWe need decades or even millenia to work on human alignment and epistemic and prosociality progress while systematically making it impossible to create existentially dangerous technology.\n\nImagine how awesome everything can get without say computers past like 2005. How much wiser we could get by like 2500. We could still have GPT-4o and o3 APIs, but it could be like a sacred thing that you go to your local library-temple to use, and each prompt has to matter. Or whatever the fuck is safe, let's just be a little conservative and realize that the current tech stack, including high-bandwidth internet, is novel and possibly not sustainable to the human psyche and a long-term thriving civilization.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915684617111191746", "word_count": 192 }, { "id": "1915551624313082329", "created_at": "2025-04-24T23:41:11+00:00", "text": "@shinboson I consider myself able to serve as a non-partisan mediator or chaplain. I've moved through profound wrath, nothing too dark for me to hold space for, if and when you want it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1915551624313082329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1915471868251050160", "created_at": "2025-04-24T18:24:15+00:00", "text": "chad longtermist club where folks bust each other's balls for not being existentially serious enough.\n\n\"you're telling me you're pitching the Saudis this summer but you haven't even started tretinoin?\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915471868251050160", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1915450900518494550", "created_at": "2025-04-24T17:00:56+00:00", "text": "my sleep on HGH has been absolutely sublime and restorative 😍", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915450900518494550", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1915270745644740917", "created_at": "2025-04-24T05:05:04+00:00", "text": "most things are okay and our embodied intelligence generally knows best.\n\nnotice where good stuff happens even when u release tension.\n\nattentional burnout is disproportionately costly. consider diverting attention to elsewhere in body while things are still fun, resetting mental gradients before ur forced to.\n\nbe a professional sleeper!! consider low-dose HGH. keto sleep also great. pay attention to your body, took me too long to realize I can only really do <50 mg caffeine and only before 10:00 am.\n\nsimple goodness underrated :) all emotions valid to explore and sit with tho.\n\nfelt-sense of safety underrated. generally don't rush. deep breath rn. alternate nostril breathing elite. consider propranolol to relearn baseline safety and to act without needing cortisol spikes. consider tirzepatide/retatrutide to help with food noise.\n\ngotta get the blood+lymph flowing enough. cognition is embodied! invert posture (head below heart), jump, air squat, whatever feels good.\n\nit really is the phones.. and burning out on psychophysiological \"grasping\". we weren't supposed to be continually contracting this much. practice letting go/vasodilation/parasympathetic cultivation. if ur a guy really stuck in cycles of addiction and disembodiment, estrogen is a way to feel profoundly different... psilocybin also can help profoundly reconnect nervous system. ofc long walks + authentic relating + meaningful work are generally unbeatable.\n\nwriting, free writing, voice notes underrated. same with walk and talks. cognition is relational.\n\nself-coerce less, but consider getting a watch and getting good at doing ugh tasks for <6 minutes.\n\nyou better be fucking experimenting, we may only have a few years left.\n\nnotice when u block high-signal channels. signals must flow.\n\nfurthermore, far-future potential people matter too!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1915270745644740917", "word_count": 270 }, { "id": "1914804318831829229", "created_at": "2025-04-22T22:11:39+00:00", "text": "I'm def into longevity and value my life highly, but it's a tell-tale sign to me that someone is ignoring some key embodied signals of like Mother Nature if they are willing to let their personal fear of death steer their ethical orientation virtually at all.\n\nlike I'm already practically immortal--many other humans embody my values, my writings and genome sequence will live on if humans live on, the universe will go on. I'm primarily an instrument to help the long-term future go well, if I miss out on longevity escape velocity because of reduced x-risky tech development, boo hoo.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914804318831829229", "word_count": 100 }, { "id": "1914361667946995980", "created_at": "2025-04-21T16:52:43+00:00", "text": "@shaggysurvives reading people & character. like the other day, my first game of Blood on the Clock Tower my gut immediately clocked all three enemies out of 11 people. like I was apologizing to the Imp because I could just read their aura. they still won tho, such a slow burn horror comedy 😂😭", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1914361667946995980", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1914354536443204065", "created_at": "2025-04-21T16:24:23+00:00", "text": "@shaggysurvives reconciling ethics. e.g. sourcing roots of ethical disagreements, designing grounded moral thought experiments that sort them out for people", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1914354536443204065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1914113792906240499", "created_at": "2025-04-21T00:27:45+00:00", "text": "the more freakishly high wattage someone is, the more they've probably learned to make due in perverted and inefficient ways, and the more they need to be experimenting to find much more natural, harmonious ways of living.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1914113792906240499", "word_count": 37 }, { "id": "1913758852019064833", "created_at": "2025-04-20T00:57:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @NunoSempere: ALLFED running a funding appeal to not fire half of their staff. I think they are doing good work, and they seem good for…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1913758852019064833", "word_count": 26 }, { "id": "1913686373787406578", "created_at": "2025-04-19T20:09:20+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/VolzxqPXou", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1913686373787406578", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1913399981555548610", "created_at": "2025-04-19T01:11:19+00:00", "text": "\"on the overwhelming importance of helping people sort shit out:\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1913399981555548610", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1912891516088967475", "created_at": "2025-04-17T15:30:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @VictorTaelin: Thread to post my o3 and o4-mini experiences", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1912891516088967475", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1912872183141192123", "created_at": "2025-04-17T14:14:02+00:00", "text": "@NunoSempere :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1912872183141192123", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1912278012218814939", "created_at": "2025-04-15T22:53:01+00:00", "text": "reach for infinite meaning\n\nlay the groundwork for human-based Johnny-von-Neumann-level-boosted-intelligence*prosociality*epistemics*wattage thinking-machine-augmented mechas to Think for eons and decide what must be Done", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912278012218814939", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1912238813868405169", "created_at": "2025-04-15T20:17:15+00:00", "text": "existential security engineering to keep the reverent harmony going.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1912238813868405169", "word_count": 9 }, { "id": "1912169608569921686", "created_at": "2025-04-15T15:42:15+00:00", "text": "@QiaochuYuan boredom was its own reward", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1912169608569921686", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1911873636534730952", "created_at": "2025-04-14T20:06:10+00:00", "text": "@autumnpard it's far deeper and more embodied than that. widespread vasocomputation shifts from host of bio/social/evolutionary causes. hard for most to intuit, but cross-sex hormone therapy and earnestly trying to live like people of different gender can reveal a lot.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1911873636534730952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1911270414933741579", "created_at": "2025-04-13T04:09:11+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/J1n2EN3gHo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1911270414933741579", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1909802045525139712", "created_at": "2025-04-09T02:54:24+00:00", "text": "@ZoharAtkins @michael_nielsen yeah it's horrifying, we've hardly even tried to help people sort things out https://t.co/KYC8h2DlQc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1909802045525139712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1909470764497338788", "created_at": "2025-04-08T04:58:01+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/PXJxv3jQr6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1909470764497338788", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1909054138077626448", "created_at": "2025-04-07T01:22:29+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/OZQlGSyqGR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1909054138077626448", "word_count": 1 }, { "id": "1908685934046175598", "created_at": "2025-04-06T00:59:23+00:00", "text": "epistemic brutes are a thing, and they will ruin everything if you let them", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908685934046175598", "word_count": 14 }, { "id": "1908568632529215875", "created_at": "2025-04-05T17:13:16+00:00", "text": "my dilettante understanding is that the biggest obstacle to this--upgrading any volunteers' epistemics and prosociality within say 5 years--is procuring enough genomic-psychometric data. Like seems we need about an order of magnitude more accessible biobank data to really get some outsized results (like consistent >1SD phenotype changes). US military might have enough that they could share, but the dream would be something like paying >3 million people to take high-quality psychometric batteries and provide their DNA. Probably could get an amazing dataset for under $10B.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1908568632529215875", "word_count": 85 }, { "id": "1908564207777542564", "created_at": "2025-04-05T16:55:41+00:00", "text": "20) adult and embryo gene editing specifically for epistemics and prosociality, not max intelligence/[raw processing power]. for human society to flourish and achieve existential security with maximum probability, we need Yuds, not Tellers.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908564207777542564", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1908414802491564356", "created_at": "2025-04-05T07:02:00+00:00", "text": "@nickcammarata honestly I predict periodic estrogen use will be a thing that like >8% of postrat jhana tpot c i s guys are doing by 2027.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1908414802491564356", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1908057919884759317", "created_at": "2025-04-04T07:23:52+00:00", "text": "we got AGI, now we gotta put more meaningful numbers on shit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1908057919884759317", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1908054669223670146", "created_at": "2025-04-04T07:10:57+00:00", "text": "sounds ambitious but I believe a lot of magic can organically happen and grow when you just have a nice API centered around Rater-Attribute-EntityA-EntityB-Comparison entries.\n\nprovide easy means for getting calculated scores, coherency scores, next optimal elicitation to connect the graph (given utility function like function of expected rank reversals), viewing linear combination of attributes, auto-trying different LLM prompts for approximating existing human-rating-function w/ maximal coherence, sharing custom functional lists, perhaps a market for backpropagating tips, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908054669223670146", "word_count": 77 }, { "id": "1908009160953966763", "created_at": "2025-04-04T04:10:07+00:00", "text": "18) https://t.co/XyzhgYUtZl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1908009160953966763", "word_count": 1, "quoted_author": "XyraSinclair", "quoted_text": "if you're into epistemic infra, possibly makes sense to really dial back coding (maybe just enough to keep up with emerging AI-augmented software development best practices), and instead focus more on imagining and architecting next level epistemic infra that AIs coming in 3-18 months could implement pretty well." }, { "id": "1908005392699023444", "created_at": "2025-04-04T03:55:09+00:00", "text": "if you're into epistemic infra, possibly makes sense to really dial back coding (maybe just enough to keep up with emerging AI-augmented software development best practices), and instead focus more on imagining and architecting next level epistemic infra that AIs coming in 3-18 months could implement pretty well.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1908005392699023444", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1908000794877767683", "created_at": "2025-04-04T03:36:53+00:00", "text": "@VictorTaelin are you working within a paradigm of training examples + test data?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1908000794877767683", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907979341419655508", "created_at": "2025-04-04T02:11:38+00:00", "text": "@VictorTaelin how do you decide how many test cases are necessary to automatically run with a generated algorithm?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907979341419655508", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907853158669570322", "created_at": "2025-04-03T17:50:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DKokotajlo: \"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?\"\n\nIntroducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside @…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907853158669570322", "word_count": 21 }, { "id": "1907695868742115446", "created_at": "2025-04-03T07:25:13+00:00", "text": "feels odd that we don't have like a von Neumann-Jesus persona magnetic enough to get everyone on the same page about managing AI x-risk", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907695868742115446", "word_count": 24 }, { "id": "1907669624805798237", "created_at": "2025-04-03T05:40:55+00:00", "text": "@eshear @sullyj3 @josh_ke_ohara Taelin is doing some cool program synthesis stuff you may be interested in https://t.co/ZbGn1GgK4u", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907669624805798237", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907663046367129968", "created_at": "2025-04-03T05:14:47+00:00", "text": "@sashachapin I did performance ballroom from 12-16. Favorite was Lindy Hop\n\n[was not a theater kid, this wildly pushed my comfort zone] https://t.co/1JsjXMGOXG", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907663046367129968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907632876038054278", "created_at": "2025-04-03T03:14:54+00:00", "text": "@OpenAI how are such targets for capabilities making us safer again? closing the loops of AI research faster with humans more out-of-the-loop seems net-risky compared to slower, more human-interpretable research. what am i missing?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907632876038054278", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907284262979809310", "created_at": "2025-04-02T04:09:38+00:00", "text": "I've been cultivating more lightness, but intentional recognition of heaviness, like listening to metal sometimes when it feels right, seems important.\n\n[heavy content warning]\nrat metal song name ideas:\n- asleep when Called\n- underpowered to escape\n- chimps with superpowers\n- massacred sensitivity\n- forced to defect\n- inverted accountability\n- rate-limited protection\n- discarded salvation\n- forgotten rescue instruments\n- abominable subroutines\n- co-opted values\n- unconsented forgiveness\n- too comfortable to try\n- disconnected priors\n- never hugged again\n- caffeine after noon\n- bashed by the wicked\n- genuinely could've\n- metabolized grief\nbonus track:\n- sorry for party rocking by LMFAO - it's inclusion is about owning all the shallow pleasure seeking and being forced to sit with it when you really just want to get serious. \"you chose pleasure instead of existential salvation. now enjoy your choice.\"", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1907284262979809310", "word_count": 143 }, { "id": "1907197684211237078", "created_at": "2025-04-01T22:25:36+00:00", "text": "@IsaacKing314 would miss out on the water-volume-mass elegance, but I think the greater feeling of connection to the universe would be worth it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907197684211237078", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1907189978624639134", "created_at": "2025-04-01T21:54:59+00:00", "text": "@IsaacKing314 imagine the beauty of base 12 and having our standard units be fairly even powers of Planck units.\n\na newMeter can be Planck_length * 12^32 ≈ .552 m\n\nnewSecond = Planck_time * 12^40 ≈ .792 s\n\nnewGram = Planck_mass * 12^4 ≈ .451 g\nnewDuokilogram = Planck_mass * 12^7 ≈ 779.86 g", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1907189978624639134", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1906958137527279833", "created_at": "2025-04-01T06:33:44+00:00", "text": "we owe future people ~everything https://t.co/I5hq9Fbw0B", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906958137527279833", "word_count": 6 }, { "id": "1906947295343739011", "created_at": "2025-04-01T05:50:39+00:00", "text": "fun fact: per unit mass, water attenuates high energy (14 MeV) neutrons ~43x better than steel and ~120x better than lead. they about the same for gamma though.\n\nnot too relevant though unless you're trying to survive a neutron bomb or inside 2 km of an ordinary nuke", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906947295343739011", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1906914149055275419", "created_at": "2025-04-01T03:38:56+00:00", "text": "ngl it feels like y'all aren't trying to backwards plan existential victory", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1906914149055275419", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "1906910031200858422", "created_at": "2025-04-01T03:22:34+00:00", "text": "@aidenybai do people not know high wattage people with insanely compelling ideas? If I were a billionaire, I'd be so excited to be networking and funding all sorts of cool pet projects. And I'd have ~limitless energy having the means to rapidly power through most normal struggles", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906910031200858422", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1906475583883952485", "created_at": "2025-03-30T22:36:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @johnsonmxe: @ChrisChipMonk For each of these pains, some part of your predictive hierarchy is holding (via tension) the prediction that…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906475583883952485", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1906424774286549428", "created_at": "2025-03-30T19:14:20+00:00", "text": "17) community randomized, rotating debugging groups.\n\nlike I think CFAR-style debugging w/ 3 people who call in once a week for an ~hour, focusing on debugging problems of each person for 1/3 the time, is extremely powerful.\n\nif groups are switching one person every 4 weeks, that sounds like a healthy system for exposing people to potentially best friends, transmitting good debugging techniques, and fostering diverse thought and framings.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906424774286549428", "word_count": 69 }, { "id": "1906410938808537340", "created_at": "2025-03-30T18:19:21+00:00", "text": "16) mommy cyborgism https://t.co/OAgoKa0Rf0", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906410938808537340", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "1906409688771826055", "created_at": "2025-03-30T18:14:23+00:00", "text": "15) extremely underrated how much personal and interpersonal cognition (and in turn, epistemics) are affected by simple biology. the differences in felt sense of safety, oxytocin, cortisol, testosterone, estrogen, hunger, energy levels, etc. that simple pharmaceutical…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906409688771826055", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "1906283557473198539", "created_at": "2025-03-30T09:53:11+00:00", "text": "14) app for kosherly revealing finances to increase prosocial donations.\n\nlot more people would help others if they knew they were actually poor.\n\nlike being more inclined to support a local coffee shop that's had a rough week, buy a distant friend's book that's only sold 10…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906283557473198539", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1906270340864713213", "created_at": "2025-03-30T09:00:40+00:00", "text": "13) GOATed survey + social science platform with heavy focus on differential privacy.\n\nshould be very easy to control which parts of your personal data are usable by whom (e.g. Aella vs a random researcher) and in what ways (e.g. 2-way correlation vs higher-order queries).\n\nthe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906270340864713213", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1906260407888892305", "created_at": "2025-03-30T08:21:12+00:00", "text": "12) secret commitment ledger with LLM semantic auditing.\n\nit's nice to post hashes sometimes so you can later decide to reveal you were thinking about/predicted something. problem is if you post too many hashes without revealing them all, people can't be sure you're not playing…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906260407888892305", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "1906158721153331457", "created_at": "2025-03-30T01:37:08+00:00", "text": "11) anonymous sharing of private thoughts with select other people should be increasingly viable with LLMs.\n\nlike imagine if you could let all your mutuals use an LLM that queries a knowledge base constructed from your private writing as well as that of their mutuals, after it's…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1906158721153331457", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1905515658311598258", "created_at": "2025-03-28T07:01:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Joseph_Fasano_: I'm absolutely speechless. https://t.co/jfNLur0eER", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905515658311598258", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1905452188576682229", "created_at": "2025-03-28T02:49:38+00:00", "text": "10) web extension like https://t.co/HfR4H7krDX, also giving you the ability to set probability someone's tweet will be filtered (basic feed adjustment mechanism for dealing with people that tweet too much for ur taste), also allowing you to privately upvote/downvote someone…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905452188576682229", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1905447271405420830", "created_at": "2025-03-28T02:30:05+00:00", "text": "9) Cursor but for 1 file note-taking life management. Cursor could almost do this pretty well, just add easier time travel + automagic versioning + search across versions; nice agents for GTD support and bidirectional integration with GCal; visual MD, highlighting, embedded HTML…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905447271405420830", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1905439011201810930", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:57:16+00:00", "text": "8) LLM chat apps supporting prompt templating for permutation-generation.\n\nlike have a notation like 'Describe the implications of {A | B} and {C | D}' that generates 'Describe the implications of A and C', 'Describe the implications of A and D',.., and let's you easily look…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905439011201810930", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1905427705275068872", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00", "text": "7) GOATed probabilistic-logic programming + 3d spreadsheet hybrid. like combining great stuff of Guesstimate, ProbLog, Sheets, with multivariate drawn/fitted distributions, expressive correlation support, probabilistic constraint solving, metaprogamming", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427705275068872", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1905427703890935919", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00", "text": "6) GOATed curve fitting software. like being able to upload/draw nonparametric graphs and get help finding cogent mixed parametric functions. should be web-based.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427703890935919", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1905427702498443707", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:20+00:00", "text": "5) distribution elicitors via pairwise ratio comparisons over measure space.\n\nwhen you draw/elicit a distribution, you must subconsciously reconcile if each part of the distribution is coherent with every other part. this can be fast but stressful and not as accurate as you would…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427702498443707", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1905427700917174348", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:19+00:00", "text": "4) prioritization software that works like the sorting software above but also allows you to fork a priority scale into a functional composition of other attributes.\nlike, determining the \"best tweets to share with AI researcher followers\" may be simplified by leaning on LLMs to rate by several different attributes and having the final ranking largely informed by a largely linear combination of attributes like \"novelty to LLM researchers\", \"novelty to RL researchers\", \"understandability--volume of focus required to get the idea\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427700917174348", "word_count": 81 }, { "id": "1905427699105206330", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:19+00:00", "text": "3) sophisticated software purely designed help you sort a bunch of items/hypertext as cognitively efficiently as possible.\n\nlike a view where you can drag items to the left or right,\nbeing able to click 2 items and hit a key representing whether A is higher than B and your…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427699105206330", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1905427697511399585", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:18+00:00", "text": "2) joint distribution drawers. like you have a 3d probability distribution in mind, you should be able to draw a slice of it, scroll forward, draw another slice of it, and have it smoothly interpolate between slices to create a nice 3d distribution.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427697511399585", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1905427695951118841", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:18+00:00", "text": "1) de-biasing llm workflows. permute language in a prompt that may be biasing (e.g. \"is X better than Y\" -> \"is X worse than Y\", \"is Y Better than X\", is \"is Y worse than X\", \"does not going with Y have any major downsides of not just going with X\", ...), then synthesize the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905427695951118841", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "1905427693589717000", "created_at": "2025-03-28T01:12:17+00:00", "text": "100 epistemic infra/tech ideas off the top of my head:", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1905427693589717000", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1905386656792019037", "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:14+00:00", "text": "we've got tony starks, we need more pepper pots. attuned, sophisticated care that enables radical intellectual agency. ops angel-titans, context restoremen, somatic coregulators, neuropsychosmiths. we need mommy cyborgism", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905386656792019037", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1905386655365956094", "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00", "text": "I mean there's SO many things to try, we could be like giving them custom sign language to give them more channels for communicating needs and intent when deep in thought or dictating ideas.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905386655365956094", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1905386653960864224", "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00", "text": "we should have people working full-time on finding custom software and protocols for bolstering specific researchers. like someone tinkering with Apple Vision Pros to help them try capitalizing on location-based notes to improve context switching between research ideas.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905386653960864224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1905386652589326595", "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:13+00:00", "text": "for some researchers, it probably makes sense to put >$2M/month of non-compute funding into helping them meet all their needs and \"close-the-loops\" faster on research efforts. we've got to turn our best into mecha pilots of the intellectual battlefield.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905386652589326595", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1905386651259732280", "created_at": "2025-03-27T22:29:12+00:00", "text": "but I don't think we're on track to go nearly far enough. if I'm remotely right about cultures at top safety-oriented ML labs, they still aren't doing a fraction of the investment they could be doing to amplify their most penetrating, generative, lucid minds.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1905386651259732280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1904746244049953230", "created_at": "2025-03-26T04:04:27+00:00", "text": "@danfaggella I think we both eventually want a Successor. but if we model utility over successor quality as a percentile distribution conditional on building/unleashing one in a given point in time, my distribution places nearly all value in the far-right end. in other words, if pulling the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1904746244049953230", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903996925671809056", "created_at": "2025-03-24T02:26:56+00:00", "text": "@BecomingCritter tretinoin", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903996925671809056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903908011967750467", "created_at": "2025-03-23T20:33:37+00:00", "text": "@bschne my test is more like has Baofengs and knows confidently how to use them (I currently fail the latter part)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903908011967750467", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903856668875935775", "created_at": "2025-03-23T17:09:36+00:00", "text": "@danfaggella when I said reasonable, I meant in how we design our future, not bargaining with an unaligned ASI.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903856668875935775", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903855672695091341", "created_at": "2025-03-23T17:05:38+00:00", "text": "@danfaggella not sold on a lot of this. seems like you're underestimating the Utility-scoring potential of deeply somatically integrated humans and engineered post-humans, and overestimating ease of creating a truly worthy successor vs an unworthy one. the default ASI in the median world that…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903855672695091341", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903834691385336264", "created_at": "2025-03-23T15:42:16+00:00", "text": "@danfaggella I just want us to have an epistemic singularity--a human interpretable one where we perfectly understand exactly what to do--before we irrevocably unleash any gods on the universe (which is like a capabilities-singularity).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903834691385336264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903653575290667068", "created_at": "2025-03-23T03:42:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @johnsonmxe: Vasocomputation suggests that imagination is essentially tension-based: squeezing vascular muscle in just the right place i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903653575290667068", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1903338731526074590", "created_at": "2025-03-22T06:51:30+00:00", "text": "@Pandora_Delaney feels like the point is to disembody and somatically disempower men and make them more radicalizable", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1903338731526074590", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1902944834354287056", "created_at": "2025-03-21T04:46:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KelseyTuoc: Friends who travel to South Asia talk a lot about the incredible, charming, quirky tiny businesses that you find everywhere…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1902944834354287056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1902625255883207016", "created_at": "2025-03-20T07:36:24+00:00", "text": "signals must flow", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1902625255883207016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1902560549214577152", "created_at": "2025-03-20T03:19:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @METR_Evals: When will AI systems be able to carry out long projects independently?\n\nIn new research, we find a kind of “Moore’s Law for…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1902560549214577152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1902537695009862063", "created_at": "2025-03-20T01:48:28+00:00", "text": "@the_wilderless just curious, you ever met an applied ethics wizard?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1902537695009862063", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1902512038905311528", "created_at": "2025-03-20T00:06:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_johnson: HBOT ranks as one of the highest value health therapies I’ve done. Results from 60 sessions:\n\n+ wiped out all systematic…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1902512038905311528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901821972281163936", "created_at": "2025-03-18T02:24:26+00:00", "text": "@Liv_Boeree real. much easier to go keto first while eating plenty of food (and water and electrolytes!) and then fast imo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901821972281163936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901763111813824578", "created_at": "2025-03-17T22:30:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @NunoSempere: Thread with some highlights from Sentinel's global risks weekly roundup 🧵", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901763111813824578", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901580990235263312", "created_at": "2025-03-17T10:26:52+00:00", "text": "just so fucking meaningful, cathartic, strategically nuanced. I'm legitimately positioned unfathomably well to help preserve the value of the future", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901580990235263312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901576057142280553", "created_at": "2025-03-17T10:07:16+00:00", "text": "eventually found my flow at the party, and bruh, some of these days in Berkeley are *unfathomable*.\n\nthe conversations I've been able to get up to are literally transcendent peak experiences.\n\nlike I'm crying a little bit after the fact by the profundity, like how I did a lot…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901576057142280553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901523148295622880", "created_at": "2025-03-17T06:37:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nickcammarata: I think you can get pretty neurotic about eating healthy before the downsides of neuroticism outweighs the upsides of ea…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901523148295622880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901456943828644023", "created_at": "2025-03-17T02:13:57+00:00", "text": "only fucking thing I can do is breath", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901456943828644023", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1901334947979517972", "created_at": "2025-03-16T18:09:11+00:00", "text": "@Chesedgirl that's gotta be crazy grounding!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1901334947979517972", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900857285515374767", "created_at": "2025-03-15T10:31:07+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF yeah maybe pride is off. lot of mammals have a dominance instinct and their sense of dominance can be diminished tho", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900857285515374767", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900834135847158014", "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:59:08+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF I associate id with animalistic emotion, like impulses related to pride, anger, lust. great for survival in evolutionary environment.\n\nthis feels a lot more impartial, cerebral, dynamic. much better for systemic understanding and society optimization.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900834135847158014", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900825016687788501", "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:22:54+00:00", "text": "I have some and will start answering them.\n\nI had debilitating OCD at 3, saw some international econ/philosophy competitive success, long have felt I can run circles around most professional moral philosophers. Fuck startups and grinding, time to lean into my strengths.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900825016687788501", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900821265503383579", "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:07:59+00:00", "text": "I claim good ethical and strategic clarity. What are some good tests? Or prompts for me for displaying this to patrons?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900821265503383579", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900820172522615248", "created_at": "2025-03-15T08:03:39+00:00", "text": "obvs I've oft been wrapped up with ego emotions and can be a genuine sweetheart or asshole and like to be physical and playful, but I think me at my most looks a lot like Guild Navigator.\n\nreally there should be no need for ego, just impartial answers to ethical and strategic", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1900820172522615248", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1900684553049829488", "created_at": "2025-03-14T23:04:45+00:00", "text": "- retatrutide, the next-level metabolic drug outclassing semaglutide and tirzepatide. it essentially grants a sense of okayness--freedom from the oft endless unconscious tug of food. so not only cognitive relief AND weight loss, but often improved discipline and resilience…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900684553049829488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900684550524858401", "created_at": "2025-03-14T23:04:44+00:00", "text": "- minoxidil for hair growth. granted I also have estrogen therapy and finasteride complicating the picture, but like 3 months of oral minoxidil and my hair and hairline already doing considerably better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900684550524858401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900468044570525742", "created_at": "2025-03-14T08:44:25+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF I've wished before that I could be into guys, and unexpectedly, estrogen delivered a lot on this. even without hormones I think it's more hackable than many think", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900468044570525742", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1900458261121560949", "created_at": "2025-03-14T08:05:32+00:00", "text": "@justalexoki - practice simple kindness A LOT\n- don't lean into hating others (anger can def be protective tho)\n- practice forgiveness and somatically cleanse guilt. healthy remorse ≠ excessive guilt\n- recognizing that ur too ignorant of yourself and limitations to reasonably hate. Ur prolly…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1900458261121560949", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1899999272311148993", "created_at": "2025-03-13T01:41:41+00:00", "text": "@personofswag @tenobrus lmfao", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1899999272311148993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1899990287717720244", "created_at": "2025-03-13T01:05:59+00:00", "text": "@daniel_nguyenx a hot take of mine is that time zones have been catastrophically suboptimal for humanity.\n\ndecoupling local solar time from a universal world time would have created more international solidarity, removed a constant low-level mental tax, promoted better global economics, and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1899990287717720244", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1899954784171679902", "created_at": "2025-03-12T22:44:54+00:00", "text": "@ecstatictyping yeah equality vs hierarchy instinct is absolutely a thing, and I think equality people underestimate the beauty of hierarchy. also, hierarchy isn't totalizing, just applies to certain dimensions at a time, and doesn't preclude dignity and respect", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1899954784171679902", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1899912682180141556", "created_at": "2025-03-12T19:57:36+00:00", "text": "a simple idea could be scaling punishments with the probability of getting caught. like turning yourself in -> base punishment, doing crime with security cameras on you and unmasked -> like degree-of-punishment / 50-90%, doing crime when you barely probabilistically get held…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1899912682180141556", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1898257551365685312", "created_at": "2025-03-08T06:20:42+00:00", "text": "it's like I've been showing up to the moment feeling more ok and with less cached thoughts.\n\nneuroplasticity is supposed to be higher and I definitely believe that\n\nalso can sometimes feel a little regrettably out of touch with treasured old thought patterns but I'm met with…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1898257551365685312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1897952818608349504", "created_at": "2025-03-07T10:09:48+00:00", "text": "in a world where estrogen were scarce, my little $50 vials could probably go for > $1M. it's actually insanely cyberpunk that basically anyone can get this basically Girl Compound V from the liberal abortion clinic place everywhere", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1897952818608349504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1897946403667952024", "created_at": "2025-03-07T09:44:19+00:00", "text": "you think there'd be way bigger downsides--cognitive impairment, depression, maybe extreme nausea--but yeah it's basically like u get female traits faster than u lose male ones.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1897946403667952024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1897942114522350030", "created_at": "2025-03-07T09:27:16+00:00", "text": "I think the most profound thing to me is how much freedom I've been experiencing to act differently.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1897942114522350030", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1897912560109916221", "created_at": "2025-03-07T07:29:50+00:00", "text": "@_brentbaum @4confusedemoji sounds a lot like what estrogen has been doing for me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1897912560109916221", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1896991786217955743", "created_at": "2025-03-04T18:31:00+00:00", "text": "also, been noticing a lot of what I labeled as guilt is better described as just psychic tension doing its job to guide thought evolution in service of coherence. i've been liking imagining it in a vasoconstriction/dilation sense.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1896991786217955743", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1896259601949212951", "created_at": "2025-03-02T18:01:34+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF yeah with the difficulty of cracking ethics and aligned ASI on basically the first try, but the fact we are actually capable of doing this,\n\nI might be comfortable Thanos-snapping billions of galaxies out of existence just to save Earth at this point.\n\nit seems the stakes could…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1896259601949212951", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1896014293587649015", "created_at": "2025-03-02T01:46:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @itsannpierce: Hey hi hello. It's me, Ann, the yellow sweater-wearer. I gave this talk at The Love Symposium. It was called Understandin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1896014293587649015", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1895675132842315959", "created_at": "2025-03-01T03:19:06+00:00", "text": "@nabeelqu @peterwildeford is this produced by like a fun llm-based tool?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1895675132842315959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894853180133122325", "created_at": "2025-02-26T20:52:57+00:00", "text": "It might even be more biologically fair than chess. Both Elo ranges are huge but you can ascend grappling Elo range much faster with training.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894853180133122325", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894843971333206341", "created_at": "2025-02-26T20:16:21+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I was imagining like a broad physical embodiment and touch need, but fair yeah they're not really substitutable for me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894843971333206341", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894625138156736958", "created_at": "2025-02-26T05:46:48+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner yeah maybe just not much exposure at all actually? and seemingly everyone is already getting their fix with dancing so not as hungry for it?\n\nand maybe people need to grapple in a formal training setting a bit before they are comfortable just like doing it in a living room or at…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894625138156736958", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894582714705273089", "created_at": "2025-02-26T02:58:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @wholebodyprayer: “Belly breathing,” where the diaphagm is deliberately pushed down and the belly pushed out, has become very widespread…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894582714705273089", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894578142867853465", "created_at": "2025-02-26T02:40:03+00:00", "text": "@DeptofDefense ... no shit? needing to call attention to it so boringly instead of posting e.g. a photo of a Carrier Strike Group captioned \"we have 11 of these\" makes me question the Mandate.\n\npr person needs counseling", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894578142867853465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894507104205185037", "created_at": "2025-02-25T21:57:46+00:00", "text": "@DanielleFong lmao", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894507104205185037", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894478425181884447", "created_at": "2025-02-25T20:03:48+00:00", "text": "I will master the inner vasoconstriction/dilation jiu-jitsu to integrate my being and world.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894478425181884447", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1894446579832295676", "created_at": "2025-02-25T17:57:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @divya_venn: people are afraid of initiating because they don't want to seem desperate, but there's a MASSIVE difference between initiat…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1894446579832295676", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893935316127432908", "created_at": "2025-02-24T08:05:41+00:00", "text": "@ReplyGuy274 great idea btw, I got one and love it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893935316127432908", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893908710499430890", "created_at": "2025-02-24T06:19:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sethbannon: An AI hackathon for epistemics. Getting this right is civilizationally important. Deets below... https://t.co/aVLICSb8uY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893908710499430890", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893897937970659458", "created_at": "2025-02-24T05:37:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jonnym1ller: Aliveness-maxxing is very different from yolo. It’s more the result of becoming lvl 10 ninja-skilled at noticing + releas…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893897937970659458", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893818938309374309", "created_at": "2025-02-24T00:23:15+00:00", "text": "@DefenderOfBasic as a species, hell yes we can", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893818938309374309", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893742232772981176", "created_at": "2025-02-23T19:18:26+00:00", "text": "@_R4V3N5_ estrogen", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893742232772981176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893666738459246914", "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:18:27+00:00", "text": "it's ridiculous how capable humans are and can really be. imperfect yet still unfathomable levels of perfection.\n\nwe really don't need black box artificial intelligence to save us", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893666738459246914", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893663987746627940", "created_at": "2025-02-23T14:07:31+00:00", "text": "was unconsciously holding a lot of tension in my stomach I think trying to be thinner, breathed into that and let it go, now I feel wiser and more prepared to ride out the moment", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893663987746627940", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893177594436350433", "created_at": "2025-02-22T05:54:46+00:00", "text": "I have ~100 hours of grappling experience (+ solid athleticism) and am down to roll anytime in Berkeley. HMU!\n\nno experience required, plus we can make our own rules (deciding e.g. effort %, valid joint locks and chokes, whether we are going for submissions or positional…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893177594436350433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893122324721017218", "created_at": "2025-02-22T02:15:09+00:00", "text": "@norvid_studies @johnloeber 2 windows open always, with a fan 2 feet away pointing out one of them.\n\nI don't feel so shitty inside like I used to.\n\nthe first bit of going on a walk outside is not ridiculously refreshing like it used to be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893122324721017218", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893107277344973212", "created_at": "2025-02-22T01:15:21+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner any recs for emptying out heart?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893107277344973212", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893102446240768197", "created_at": "2025-02-22T00:56:09+00:00", "text": "minimize prediction error by updating your models (including by clearing emotion), not just filtering perception.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893102446240768197", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893095048805224808", "created_at": "2025-02-22T00:26:46+00:00", "text": "@mikemajlak you could be too low on estrogen. guys need it too, and too little can be hell. the boost in estrogen from aromatization is often a big reason why guys feel great on TRT.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893095048805224808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893081601447469574", "created_at": "2025-02-21T23:33:20+00:00", "text": "@EigenGender @sam_atis most ASI systems aligned enough to care about divvying up the light cone judiciously across humans are more likely to heavily factor in luck, Shapley values towards building a harmonious future, prosociality and creativity (predicting the Utility of simulations they are expected…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893081601447469574", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893075117963649411", "created_at": "2025-02-21T23:07:34+00:00", "text": "life demands lived subjective calculus, vasoconstriction/dilation jiu-jitsu. you can always ease up on your cognitive model of reality and operate more on other tokens of experience--this can yield a surprising sense of safety and okayness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893075117963649411", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1893072749003972807", "created_at": "2025-02-21T22:58:09+00:00", "text": "@caesararum estrogen + ketosis.\n\ndoesn't necessarily have to be estrogen-dominant levels to feel the harmony & increased conscientiousness, at least for me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1893072749003972807", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892830792037872041", "created_at": "2025-02-21T06:56:42+00:00", "text": "@jam3scampbell how I've wished I could somehow give von Neumann a copy of the Vulnerable World Hypothesis in ~1945, so he'd more fiercely and effectively push for a nuclear monopoly.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892830792037872041", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892829708880138542", "created_at": "2025-02-21T06:52:24+00:00", "text": "for some dumb, odd reason I thought for over a year that von Neumann was not a nuclear preemptive strike hawk and this greatly saddened me when I independently came to the conclusion that we def should have maintained a nuclear monopoly at all cost so we could remain positioned to effectively regulate existentially dangerous emerging tech.\n\nit was a real \"never meet your heros\" moment for me, so imagine my joy when I realized von Neumann was actually as hawkish as I wish we were!", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1892829708880138542", "word_count": 86 }, { "id": "1892754498126565736", "created_at": "2025-02-21T01:53:32+00:00", "text": "@parakeetnebula factory farming is fucked up, and I'm all for suffering taxes.\n\nbut the entire future of conscious life is at stake right now as we could soon go extinct or worse due to emerging technology, and I haven't been aware of adequate replacements to animal products, particularly for…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892754498126565736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892733217121141172", "created_at": "2025-02-21T00:28:58+00:00", "text": "@frinkiac link?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892733217121141172", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892713792129401336", "created_at": "2025-02-20T23:11:47+00:00", "text": "a key insight is that you can flush out entities' attribute values with a lot better than n*logn ordinal queries (or logn for sorting in 1 more entity).\n\nlike you can build UIs and train people to easily elicit 4+ bits of attribute magnitude information as well as uncertainty,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892713792129401336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892707960213696879", "created_at": "2025-02-20T22:48:37+00:00", "text": "some attributes will be found to be surprisingly coherent to many people (with few preference reversals), some will only be coherent to a few people, others will need to be operationalized and prompted better, others can be suitably handed off to LLMs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892707960213696879", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892707801774096802", "created_at": "2025-02-20T22:47:59+00:00", "text": "like when ur browsing twitter and u find a tweet that's really relevant to \"understanding yin/yang IRT agency\" (one of a number of semi-public ~sorted lists you could be maintaining of top tweets across various dimensions/goals), you could rate that tweetA is 2.5x as useful to…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892707801774096802", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1892692975198884034", "created_at": "2025-02-20T21:49:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @HeidiPriebe1: I think my take on the entire ‘high vs low agency’ thing is that it’s mostly just a measure of inner coherence. \n\nI.e. I…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1892692975198884034", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1890982271965888774", "created_at": "2025-02-16T04:31:21+00:00", "text": "bruh do not start estrogen unless you are prepared to manage to get cuddles. this touch starvation is LOUD", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1890982271965888774", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1889534599954571649", "created_at": "2025-02-12T04:38:49+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/XmX7ZZecwB\n\nyou can start on over-the-counter adapalene to save money while your skin adapts: https://t.co/8hl2YQc8G0\n\nwhen it stops being irritating and you want stronger results, you can upgrade to a more powerful prescription.\n\nshilling the affiliate link where I…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1889534599954571649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1889512083387204027", "created_at": "2025-02-12T03:09:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Corca_math: From the very beginning, one of our main goals was: Typing math should be as natural as typing plain text. No syntax, no co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1889512083387204027", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1889202003366265231", "created_at": "2025-02-11T06:37:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @S_OhEigeartaigh: The year is 2025. The CEOs of two of the world's leading AI companies have (i) told the President of the United States…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1889202003366265231", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1889058708451442926", "created_at": "2025-02-10T21:07:47+00:00", "text": "@Lizquidity sounds fun, would you share the link?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1889058708451442926", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1888684920555655422", "created_at": "2025-02-09T20:22:29+00:00", "text": "@wordgrammer everyone is going to make it or no one is, we don't want people feeling unsafe, desperately striving to create technology they don't deeply feel compelled to make", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1888684920555655422", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1888405300509880382", "created_at": "2025-02-09T01:51:23+00:00", "text": "it's like speedrunning months or years of spiritual/somatic practice. cool shit with 'chakras' and getting unblocked just happens. the inner compass becomes way louder", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1888405300509880382", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1888048555581129100", "created_at": "2025-02-08T02:13:48+00:00", "text": "@rajlearns since going E dominant I've been colder, seems partially attributable to less automatic flexing of muscles", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1888048555581129100", "word_count": 16 }, { "id": "1888008548954816923", "created_at": "2025-02-07T23:34:50+00:00", "text": "@dakshgup respect? he compromised his integrity, wasted his time, and still got caught", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1888008548954816923", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1887954463207637047", "created_at": "2025-02-07T19:59:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_johnson: Perfect sleep last night. I feel amazing. \n\nMy brain and body cleaned itself; my mind remodeled. Peak physical and menta…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1887954463207637047", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1887936849555145020", "created_at": "2025-02-07T18:49:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @littIeramblings: fyi, literally anyone with takes on what the US govt should be doing about AI can submit up to 15 pages of them using…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1887936849555145020", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1887275106315141427", "created_at": "2025-02-05T23:00:23+00:00", "text": "@LandsknechtDev wow! what job(s) do you have in mind?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1887275106315141427", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886950739072917547", "created_at": "2025-02-05T01:31:28+00:00", "text": "@dhadfieldmenell yes, looks definitely on the right track! thank you 🙏", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886950739072917547", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886922303453450387", "created_at": "2025-02-04T23:38:29+00:00", "text": "crazy how no one has built a twitter viewer with way more nuanced custom algo controls.\n\nlike use Claude to score tweets' relevance to your goals, discount people who post some really asinine take, maybe before showing tweet of someone new you have Claude look at their last 20", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1886922303453450387", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1886629392178405460", "created_at": "2025-02-04T04:14:33+00:00", "text": "@Plinz ASIs aligned enough to care about this sort of justice are more likely to punish reckless accelerationists than go-cautiously safetyists.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886629392178405460", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886625303650525408", "created_at": "2025-02-04T03:58:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @dennismuellr: biggest psyop in the world is to workout 3x/week\n\nyou start negotiating with yourself when to workout and when to rest\n\ns…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886625303650525408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886319403198980410", "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:42:46+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF fascinating! you ever thought of trying a microdose of E?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886319403198980410", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886313864104689752", "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:20:45+00:00", "text": "@kidtsang @MathYouF certainly! I just mean like I vibed more with girls at school growing up and kind of experience majority of guys as lovable knuckle-dragging autists that miss social cues.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886313864104689752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886308984673751294", "created_at": "2025-02-03T07:01:22+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF talking to chatgpt more about it, I actually have no idea. it's so complicated\n\nalso I didn't mean to maybe imply overall extreme male brain in a lot of autistic or transfem folks, just some aspects.\n\nlike I've had girl-level social intuition forever", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886308984673751294", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1886295061580993001", "created_at": "2025-02-03T06:06:03+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF I'm thinking particularly like mental sensitivity and not necessarily muscularl, for my speculation on transness. Thus the correlation with autism.\n\nhard to tell from this clip but he seems like a regular dive guy in instructor mode (and with raspy voice from yelling). his…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1886295061580993001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885889591200403552", "created_at": "2025-02-02T03:14:51+00:00", "text": "@7384254b @drethelin this goes hard", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885889591200403552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885822687521706032", "created_at": "2025-02-01T22:49:00+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/3xnTALPdHH https://t.co/aq8iFtXcZs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885822687521706032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885801424505987347", "created_at": "2025-02-01T21:24:30+00:00", "text": "@bryan_johnson I didn't deeply notice the health cost until I started eating super cleanly for months. When I had a cheat meal with Five Guys fries the inflammation(?) clearly fucked me up for like a day.\n\nMight sign this actually. Def need to sign something about caffeine after noon tho", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885801424505987347", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885667822329823559", "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:33:37+00:00", "text": "@NathanpmYoung 😅 harkonnen in a good way not bad!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885667822329823559", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885664852481540266", "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:21:49+00:00", "text": "honestly my id wanted to rename myself to Xyra Harkonnen", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885664852481540266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885662183549538499", "created_at": "2025-02-01T12:11:13+00:00", "text": "evidence of androgen sensitivity in family:\n- dad is a ~pro bodybuilder, former Marine officer, into heavy metal, procures guns that protect our nukes\n- maternal grandpa was a volunteer multi-deployment airborne infantryman & helicopter door gunner in 'Nam (Kamala voter tho!)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885662183549538499", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885646619623977276", "created_at": "2025-02-01T11:09:22+00:00", "text": "@softyoda we shouldn't have to do a lot if things that are helpful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885646619623977276", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885640417942949978", "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:44:43+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF curious to hear your theoretical speculations!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885640417942949978", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885638055295619548", "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:35:20+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF and estrogen has definitely been helping with that, making me feel a lot more balanced and okay", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885638055295619548", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885637555116515552", "created_at": "2025-02-01T10:33:21+00:00", "text": "@MathYouF like most guys stay balanced with yin/fem energies because their yang aren't so extreme, but the unconscious of those out of whack pulling them towards counterbalances however it can.\n\nlike idk if it's definitively \"fem\" that I want, I just want to feel more human", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885637555116515552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885628873653793115", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:58:51+00:00", "text": "- once averaged a 56 K/D in Warzone solos over 10 games, winning all games\n- in progress but hopefully building a novel nuclear bunker so I definitely don't lose my ability to help align AGI if a nuclear war breaks out", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885628873653793115", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885628464289681889", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:57:13+00:00", "text": "- doing motorcycle wheelies within a month (despite being very concerned with respecting micromorts due to my x-risk-reducing-potential)\n- was a private sperm donor including being flown to Canada", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885628464289681889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885627907378491794", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:55:01+00:00", "text": "- did triathlon at West Point, which meant 15 hours/week of steady-state cardio on top of the brutal schedule of a cadet, with no competitive swimming, biking, or running background, and having more fast twitch muscles which meant overtraining was more brutal", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885627907378491794", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885627502326132742", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:53:24+00:00", "text": "- usually carried the 28 lb M240B medium machine gun throughout field training (while 5'7\" and ~155 lbs, along with ofc 35+ lb ruck, helmet, sometimes body armor)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885627502326132742", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885626321960837441", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:48:43+00:00", "text": "- call me crazy, but I genuinely craved to be a battalion commander within a few months at my first unit at 19 yo. At least I was able to be appointed to an E-6 position working directly with the top-3 (CO, 1LT, 1SG) as an E-3", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885626321960837441", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1885625257673048125", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:44:29+00:00", "text": "- Army Dive School honor grad (my class had an 85% attrition rate)\n- while a diver I independently started reading Nick Bostrom and stuff like the Aestivation Hypothesis", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885625257673048125", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885624261114822853", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:40:31+00:00", "text": "- road bull (sitting on front of rubber raft holding onto D-ring between legs) down class IV rapids where the only thing preventing me from falling and getting crushed by falling boat against rocks was me pulling down hard enough", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885624261114822853", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885624063621784014", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:39:44+00:00", "text": "other random masculine-coded accomplishments:\n- first day skiing & without polls, went down all black diamonds (Wisconsin tho)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885624063621784014", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885615361523171401", "created_at": "2025-02-01T09:05:09+00:00", "text": "Like the deeply myopic focus on AGP instead of considering, say, being highly sensitive to androgens and having that painfully morph one from a well-rounded human towards a brutal optimizing machine.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885615361523171401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885558994313585133", "created_at": "2025-02-01T05:21:10+00:00", "text": "@softyoda engaging with conservative values ≠ endorsing nazism.\n\na lot of conservatives reject transfeminine people because they think we all gave up on traditional masculinity before getting good at it--my life contradicts that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885558994313585133", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885417038694469963", "created_at": "2025-01-31T19:57:06+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl trans people have enough going against them rn, can we not wildly speculate in public about the unsubstantiated possibility of them murdering more often than c - i - s men? it's merely 1 murder cult, the transness of the Ziz cult members is the most boring part about them anyway", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885417038694469963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885251494708207843", "created_at": "2025-01-31T08:59:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @the_wilderless: THERE IS A PSALM IN YOUR SPINE AND ALL YOUR PROBLEMS STEM FROM NOT SINGING IT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885251494708207843", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885151753311838344", "created_at": "2025-01-31T02:22:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @scheminglunatic: https://t.co/e6XP5LyvU6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885151753311838344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885151247776571901", "created_at": "2025-01-31T02:20:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @littIeramblings: btw, i think it's *totally possible* that we're all just wrong about near-term x-risk. like through a combination of s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885151247776571901", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1885149197374206349", "created_at": "2025-01-31T02:12:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulg: This may be the most inspiring sentence I've ever read. Which is interesting because it's not phrased in the way things meant to…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1885149197374206349", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1884731874842731000", "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:34:30+00:00", "text": "@worriedoptimist @nickcammarata https://t.co/MxYdJqVd5b https://t.co/jYHV9QmGYm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1884731874842731000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1884730221905199427", "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:27:56+00:00", "text": "@AbstractFairy like it helps to show up to interactions with more to give due to you feeling better and having your affairs more in order so you can like cache dump and fill your context window with more tokens from the moment and increase the probability of insights and utilitous outcomes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1884730221905199427", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1884727928476647906", "created_at": "2025-01-29T22:18:49+00:00", "text": "@AbstractFairy also, for what it's worth, I started enjoying talking to people noticeably more when I started estrogen.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1884727928476647906", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1883822523332350422", "created_at": "2025-01-27T10:21:03+00:00", "text": "@IsaacKing314 probability 0 \"objectively\" in a sense of just like a real number decided with some actually human-like process like \"pi^e^randf16()/ phi^(355/113)\"?\n\nor probability 0 in a Bayesian sense meaning there literally is no generating function?\n---\neven if we are talking like merely…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1883822523332350422", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1883446972914569657", "created_at": "2025-01-26T09:28:45+00:00", "text": "OpenPhil could give like a couple hundred vetted people like 1-4 of these vouchers to give to people they think are doing x-risk relevant work and are underperforming and could use a reset.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1883446972914569657", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1883442941164921135", "created_at": "2025-01-26T09:12:44+00:00", "text": "It's sad that we don't have more established systems for giving people a major personal uplift. like once or twice in people's lives, hook them up with like $20k, a couple great therapists, maybe a concierge doctor, maybe a month at healthy living resort to get all their Maslow's", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1883442941164921135", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1882746378184757660", "created_at": "2025-01-24T11:04:50+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/E3bsyyTS3b", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1882746378184757660", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1882558555578069251", "created_at": "2025-01-23T22:38:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @isabelunraveled: encourage high agency people with good ideas to trust themselves more and care less about what people think / how thei…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1882558555578069251", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1882164577334604234", "created_at": "2025-01-22T20:32:58+00:00", "text": "@isabelunraveled curious\nconscientious\ncompassionate", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1882164577334604234", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881977946824753538", "created_at": "2025-01-22T08:11:22+00:00", "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn yes to reduce dynamic power, not power gating but like combinational switch control that prevents the transitions from propagating through the gates at all--the gates maintain their previous state rather than switching.\n\ncould easily save vast majority of dynamic power for large…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881977946824753538", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881919137104171238", "created_at": "2025-01-22T04:17:41+00:00", "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn ooo one energy optimization I think one could do is skip all the higher comparisons when there is not a change. like at least a lot of the second comparison block, even if it has to resolve in one cycle.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881919137104171238", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881858358992601308", "created_at": "2025-01-22T00:16:10+00:00", "text": "@ptrschmdtnlsn very cool that this works with only 2 depth. do you have a model of how top-1000 elements with 4 input entries at a time would look?\n\nI feel like streaming top-k hardware sorters, if made to operate on key-value pairs where only the keys are compared, could have powerful uses.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881858358992601308", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881830123047153677", "created_at": "2025-01-21T22:23:58+00:00", "text": "\"pick me\" except unironically yes, pick me bruv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881830123047153677", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881829098370355321", "created_at": "2025-01-21T22:19:54+00:00", "text": "pink jacket with the black air forces you feel me fam", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881829098370355321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1881815303321256316", "created_at": "2025-01-21T21:25:05+00:00", "text": "mommy government is not coming to save us, the future will be decided much more organically.\n\ncould have worked, but too late now so we have to win things the harder way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1881815303321256316", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1879511023784521748", "created_at": "2025-01-15T12:48:42+00:00", "text": "@lefticus feature prioritization. so much coding effort is so wasteful because people are so biased towards technically interesting or flashy things instead of honestly asking what the world really needs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1879511023784521748", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1878781503796281682", "created_at": "2025-01-13T12:29:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ajeya_cotra: Pretty different from my ordering:\n1. Help lay ppl make ~known biothreats.\n2. Massively accelerate AI R&D, making 3-6 come…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1878781503796281682", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1876204611889213820", "created_at": "2025-01-06T09:50:12+00:00", "text": "crazy to do hard psychedelics before even trying life with different amounts of testosterone, estrogen, and/or progesterone, imo.\n\ndon't re-roll your hyperparameters when you haven't explored gently tweaking your hyper-hyperparameters in natural, predictable ways.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1876204611889213820", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1876189282853163098", "created_at": "2025-01-06T08:49:17+00:00", "text": "@georgedarroch eh I mean the FDA won't let a clinic advertise that you can experiment willy nilly, but in practice, you can e.g. tell a lenient provider like TRT Nation that you feel low T even if your levels are like 550 and they'll still probably hook you up (for like $150/month w/out…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1876189282853163098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1874214445834264818", "created_at": "2024-12-31T22:01:59+00:00", "text": "@amasad Einstein was an epistemically inclined 1 in ~5K bright guy who stood out because he won the cool idea mining jackpot because there were far fewer physicists then, and because he basically had no chance if he didn't take a 1st principled approach and otherwise borrow heavily from…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1874214445834264818", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1874033290082214300", "created_at": "2024-12-31T10:02:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_johnson: Sincerity is not the love language of X. That said….\n\nYou motherfuckers need to get your shit together in 2025. You need…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1874033290082214300", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1874016302475706397", "created_at": "2024-12-31T08:54:38+00:00", "text": "@oldbooksguy new hormone profile got my neuroticism in check, I feel this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1874016302475706397", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1872772166888112351", "created_at": "2024-12-27T22:30:53+00:00", "text": "@tunguz we could be requiring and building this hardware to need codes to stay operational that a government consortium could dish out every ~day.\n\nthen when shit inevitably starts going crazy governments could actually reliably unilaterally pull the plug.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1872772166888112351", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1872769954535358545", "created_at": "2024-12-27T22:22:06+00:00", "text": "@tunguz if humanity lets itself go extinct from ASI it will be like we created and lost to a demon the size of a car", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1872769954535358545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870997804858179883", "created_at": "2024-12-23T01:00:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RyanPGreenblatt: @really_eli I think the big update is \"OpenAI likely has an RL pipeline where they can scale up by putting in easily c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870997804858179883", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870758474323566919", "created_at": "2024-12-22T09:09:11+00:00", "text": "Feel free to use advanced and technical language.\n\nBe critical--do not unduly agree or flatter me.\n\nHighlight *surprising* information.\n\nUnderstand this is a safe space for high risk ideas.\n\nLean into high potential ideas and possibilities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870758474323566919", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870645664755134517", "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:56+00:00", "text": "gender stuff is notoriously fuzzy and tricky, especially if you're to hold it to rationalists' standards, but I've just been following the joy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870645664755134517", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870645663580684295", "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:55+00:00", "text": "been on hrt for months now and it's been soo right for me.\n\ne.g. am relatively effortlessly down 17% body weight, been far more sociable, don't really need Adderall anymore.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870645663580684295", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870645662305632765", "created_at": "2024-12-22T01:40:55+00:00", "text": "Hey y'all, I'm going by Xyra now. she and he pronouns work.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870645662305632765", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870402194325025013", "created_at": "2024-12-21T09:33:28+00:00", "text": "that can actually allow us to shut shit down (in a pretty granular way too!) when we will inevitably desperately want to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870402194325025013", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1870402193117048998", "created_at": "2024-12-21T09:33:27+00:00", "text": "There's lots of different cryptographic governance schemes to improve game-theoretic dynamics, but even the simplest schemes seem like a plausibly workable escape hatch", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1870402193117048998", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1868230797213438087", "created_at": "2024-12-15T09:45:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sage_future_: Is AGI just around the corner or is AI scaling hitting a wall? To make this discourse more concrete, we’ve created a surv…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1868230797213438087", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1860539184420970729", "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:21:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DKokotajlo67142: METR released this new report today: https://t.co/mzzCVsW72T It is, unfortunately, causing me to think my AGI timeline…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1860539184420970729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1860539068532293918", "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:20:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AISafetyMemes: 🐙 Today, a report shows AI agents are suddenly performing on par with TOP human AI researchers (!)\n\nRe-read that sentenc…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1860539068532293918", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1860538223686221910", "created_at": "2024-11-24T04:17:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @eli_lifland: Takeaways re: AI R&D performance:\n1. Claude 3.5 Sonnet reaches ~50th percentile human baseline 8-hour performance.\n2. Sonn…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1860538223686221910", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1858441265773175117", "created_at": "2024-11-18T09:25:00+00:00", "text": "another absurdly awesome day spent at Lighthaven 😍", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1858441265773175117", "word_count": 8 }, { "id": "1854269612298580406", "created_at": "2024-11-06T21:08:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @hankgreen: If you’re on Twitter right now, you are not the kind of person who is going to miss out on big picture analysis long-term.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1854269612298580406", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1854141643760574765", "created_at": "2024-11-06T12:39:50+00:00", "text": "the horror is real", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1854141643760574765", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1853920816741957653", "created_at": "2024-11-05T22:02:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnMitnick: So why did the country not go completely off the rails last time? Because there were just enough senior officials who serv…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1853920816741957653", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1840946224448618776", "created_at": "2024-10-01T02:45:57+00:00", "text": "@Kpaxs this spoke to me, thanks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1840946224448618776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1840702164139941963", "created_at": "2024-09-30T10:36:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @emollick: The modern economy rests on a single road in Spruce Pine, North Carolina. The road runs to the two mines that is the sole sup…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1840702164139941963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1840134336651350176", "created_at": "2024-09-28T20:59:48+00:00", "text": "perhaps, somatics", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1840134336651350176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1839567471788818553", "created_at": "2024-09-27T07:27:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @HumanHarlan: The world is actually quite fragile. Sometimes the world only gets to keep existing because individuals like Stanislav Pet…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1839567471788818553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1839436306121941201", "created_at": "2024-09-26T22:46:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @weidai11: \"Our goal is to advance digital intelligence in the way that is most likely to benefit humanity as a whole, unconstrained by…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1839436306121941201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1836640549711036763", "created_at": "2024-09-19T05:36:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @cspan: AI expert Helen Toner (@hlntnr): \"If they succeed in building computers that are as smart as humans or perhaps far smarter than…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1836640549711036763", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1836449087849373949", "created_at": "2024-09-18T16:55:56+00:00", "text": "@frances__lorenz hard to imagine anything short of that leading to a proper \"shut it all down\" response", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1836449087849373949", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1833591139653587290", "created_at": "2024-09-10T19:39:28+00:00", "text": "perhaps the Antikythera Mechanism and life work of EY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1833591139653587290", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1827107260252012813", "created_at": "2024-08-23T22:14:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Safely aligning a powerful AGI is difficult.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1827107260252012813", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1826499674607681629", "created_at": "2024-08-22T06:00:31+00:00", "text": "@IsaacKing314 I bet CO2 is the biggest factor", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1826499674607681629", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1825695999370867053", "created_at": "2024-08-20T00:47:00+00:00", "text": "I can also allow trusted third parties to review the prediction periodically so they could disclose if I am indeed wrong, and deserve some negative Bayes points.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1825695999370867053", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1825695998066438394", "created_at": "2024-08-20T00:47:00+00:00", "text": "I'm not setting a particular reveal date because I believe it's better for the world if such a practice remains a secret. I intend to disclose if I find I'm wrong, regardless of whether I can disclose the idea itself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1825695998066438394", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1820664117537243331", "created_at": "2024-08-06T03:32:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @fiiiiiist: This *single* shipment of smuggled AI chips is worth almost double the Bureau of Industry and Security's (BIS) budget for ex…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1820664117537243331", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1816371702462652840", "created_at": "2024-07-25T07:15:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JeffLadish: Is releasing 405B net good for the world? Our research at @PalisadeAI shows Llama 3 70B's safety fine-tuning can be strippe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1816371702462652840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1815977426431742261", "created_at": "2024-07-24T05:08:52+00:00", "text": "@22TrevorBingham this sort of project is how you get nuclear war. Top AI labs are surely scaring Xi and Putin enough. But a full Manhattan Project-level military AGI initiative under Trump could easily become more existentially terrifying than getting nuked in retaliation with certainty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1815977426431742261", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1815910251243397520", "created_at": "2024-07-24T00:41:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nickcammarata: agree with most of my ai research peers on almost everything except I think fast takeoff is way more likely than they do…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1815910251243397520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1814709600819855555", "created_at": "2024-07-20T17:10:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ajeya_cotra: I think this is true, but what's even more important is when GPT-2-sized models are as smart as GPT-4 is today, GPT-4-size…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1814709600819855555", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1808673434404278605", "created_at": "2024-07-04T01:25:24+00:00", "text": "@NielsHoven @amelapay @mechanical_monk dissolves into your fluids/blood and you breath most of it out", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1808673434404278605", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1806526492123574754", "created_at": "2024-06-28T03:14:14+00:00", "text": "@KellerScholl electing Trump", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1806526492123574754", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1805716600584388984", "created_at": "2024-06-25T21:36:00+00:00", "text": "@RomeoStevens76 @adimelamed_0 Why do you think it's low conscientious?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1805716600584388984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1803524259513508143", "created_at": "2024-06-19T20:24:25+00:00", "text": "@VictorTaelin @francoisfleuret what scenarios do you have in mind where this is useful?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1803524259513508143", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1803331393545707812", "created_at": "2024-06-19T07:38:03+00:00", "text": "@RichardMCNgo I'm guessing they wanted to test how much they could nerf themselves and still end up securing a top Shapley value 😜.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1803331393545707812", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802839742691569689", "created_at": "2024-06-17T23:04:24+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge Leela Chess Zero input is 112 channels 8x8 each (~7k elements). Even if you go with half the channels per piece type, you are looking at ~27k elements.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802839742691569689", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802538842240721194", "created_at": "2024-06-17T03:08:44+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge and while compute is cheaper and algorithms are better than AlphaZero days, I don't think you have any room for bigger input sizes. minimum model input size is 7.1x that of chess (2.84x more piece types you probably want channels for, 2.5x more squares).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802538842240721194", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802533572949201269", "created_at": "2024-06-17T02:47:47+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge I think you'll at best end up with a \"Stockfish\" with a weird sense of game theory that doesn't generalize well to humans.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802533572949201269", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802437256449569102", "created_at": "2024-06-16T20:25:04+00:00", "text": "@shauseth probably hard to beat Berkeley", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802437256449569102", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802419918060896361", "created_at": "2024-06-16T19:16:10+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge or not attacking a player who is not a threat to you so they can capture a piece before your threat can (it's a points game). Even taking a hung piece early game that is *not* temporary teamwork to prevent an early pawn promotion can stir up more animosity than it's worth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802419918060896361", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802415796741972268", "created_at": "2024-06-16T18:59:47+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge A model that simply treats 3 players as ganging up on the other will quickly plateau against stronger human players that factor in temporary alliances, like deflecting some heat from the player opposite you so you don't end up alone and surrounded,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802415796741972268", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802415542067986580", "created_at": "2024-06-16T18:58:47+00:00", "text": "@LouisVArge MCTS will need heavy modification to account for multi-agent interactions and strategies. some players are more defensive/offensive, grudge-prone, pro-social, prone to hanging pieces, interested in promoting pawns, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802415542067986580", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802250656972943712", "created_at": "2024-06-16T08:03:35+00:00", "text": "When private AI is fueling some crazy real-world crises that are prompting a superpower to consider deploying its nuclear or biological arsenal, you'll be very glad if you have the ability to shut down unvetted compute for as long as necessary.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802250656972943712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1802210029044461784", "created_at": "2024-06-16T05:22:09+00:00", "text": "DIY synthetic biology x-risk will also be skyrocketing in the next several years. I wouldn't be surprised if an unregistered private rig of 8x 4090s is a capital offense by 2033. The more we lock up compute today, the less global panopticon surveillance we will need.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1802210029044461784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1801498884335931681", "created_at": "2024-06-14T06:16:18+00:00", "text": "you can create your own AI views snapshot at: https://t.co/9dA1ECqNnv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1801498884335931681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1799375484826091774", "created_at": "2024-06-08T09:38:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @patio11: I cannot possibly underline this paragraph enough. https://t.co/qL1oiRgvxO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1799375484826091774", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1795958932340699351", "created_at": "2024-05-29T23:22:31+00:00", "text": "@felix_red_panda but guaranteed *lossless* compression ratios over 1 are impossible, and it sounds damning that the didn't run this as a lossy compression competition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1795958932340699351", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1794555225862447541", "created_at": "2024-05-26T02:24:41+00:00", "text": "assuming 5mW power for computing and 5 fJ per multiply-accumulate or other op, you have 1 billion ops per millisecond to reduce 20 * 1024 10-bit datums to 1024 bits.\n\npossibly not too hard to lossy encode most of the valuable info,", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1794555225862447541", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "1791720381843444194", "created_at": "2024-05-18T06:40:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @liron: @janleike Thank you for speaking out Jan!!! https://t.co/PN17n5ceoj", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1791720381843444194", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1722195488940974591", "created_at": "2023-11-08T10:12:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @NunoSempere: Here is a post discussing difficulties with using forecasting as a tool for making sense of AI progress: https://t.co/eaaC…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1722195488940974591", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1722191309321158878", "created_at": "2023-11-08T09:56:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EpistemicHope: Man, I would be so excited about the trajectory of the near future if it didn't seem likely to end in the destruction of…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1722191309321158878", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1717504775858827605", "created_at": "2023-10-26T11:33:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RishiSunak: LIVE: My speech on the risks and opportunities of AI https://t.co/LfOlJvISvO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1717504775858827605", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1717473075556671955", "created_at": "2023-10-26T09:27:44+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg In essence, it starts responses with a markdown table of Domain/Keywords/Goal/Assumptions/Methodology to more deliberately plan its “actual” response. This helps “warm it up” and also possibly allows it to go deeper later since it has a concise plan to refer back to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1717473075556671955", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1716891227210371303", "created_at": "2023-10-24T18:55:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ciphergoth: Superb, precise demolition of the \"techno-optimist\" objection to AI safety from @mattyglesias. https://t.co/ue03yIsjF4 http…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1716891227210371303", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1716646644433723455", "created_at": "2023-10-24T02:43:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AndrewCritchCA: Why are AI labs asking for *governments* to regulate them, rather than just self-regulating? There’s a simple explanati…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1716646644433723455", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1716556054610522168", "created_at": "2023-10-23T20:43:50+00:00", "text": "@AGI_HeavenHell @dw2 Most people I know that are driven to do anything about existential risk from AI are simply driven by sound technical arguments. They are otherwise techno-optimists, many having signed up for cryonics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1716556054610522168", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1714804488157208678", "created_at": "2023-10-19T00:43:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AISafetyMemes: Why are Metaculus markets now putting a 25% chance on AGI in the next 1.5 years?\n\nShit like this:\n\n“Hey GPT4-V, this is…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1714804488157208678", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1655909234800988162", "created_at": "2023-05-09T12:15:01+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun If the distribution of moral value in our lightcone has a greater mean than median, increasing world diversification is essentially sampling more, which raises the expected value, no?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1655909234800988162", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653701658667540480", "created_at": "2023-05-03T10:02:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Important contrary viewpoint: GPUs easier to control than nuclear materials. 🙏", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653701658667540480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653545849056821249", "created_at": "2023-05-02T23:43:46+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Simeon_Cps: Compute is to AI what uranium is to nuclear. \nBut better. \n\nWhile uranium is a) not built by humans, b) available in >10 co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653545849056821249", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653373978281656320", "created_at": "2023-05-02T12:20:49+00:00", "text": "@tasshinfogleman But pretty much anytime I could work for like 30 minutes and remove like 70% of the guilt gunk and feel a nice inner peace and improved vision, but then I’ll also feel kinda funky and tired, and my experience will mostly revert before too long.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653373978281656320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653364831825854464", "created_at": "2023-05-02T11:44:28+00:00", "text": "@tasshinfogleman The greater the pressure of the back log, the easier it is to move them and fully clear them without them just escaping back to their repressed locations. Usually the pressure is low enough that the effort to release and clear them doesn’t feel particularly worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653364831825854464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653363221498331136", "created_at": "2023-05-02T11:38:04+00:00", "text": "@tasshinfogleman If I actively assume a surrendered mental posture and kind of work at it, I can slowly release these sticky, painful repressed emotion-sensations from behind my face and the back of my head through to my chest where they eventually cathartically subside to varying degrees.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653363221498331136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653349225714040832", "created_at": "2023-05-02T10:42:27+00:00", "text": "@Simeon_Cps Perhaps one could notice sudden changes in behavior in a number of researchers from the same lab. Like leaving the office at unusual hours, seeming manic, getting rich, posting outstanding content you wouldn’t expect them to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653349225714040832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1653343249560637445", "created_at": "2023-05-02T10:18:42+00:00", "text": "@joe_zimmerman Bostrom, Yud, Soares, Sandberg, me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1653343249560637445", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1643871219790520320", "created_at": "2023-04-06T07:00:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: 10 obvious reasons that the danger from AGI is way more serious than nuclear weapons:\n\n1) Nuclear weapons are not smarter…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1643871219790520320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1641359908452052992", "created_at": "2023-03-30T08:41:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JeffLadish: Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote an article in Time today calling for an indefinite moratorium on AGI development. While I don't agr…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1641359908452052992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1613866932729679872", "created_at": "2023-01-13T11:53:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CineraVerinia_2: To whom it may concern:\n\nMy opinion of/affect for Nick Bostrom was slightly raised (already very high) not lowered in…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1613866932729679872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1607591319337340929", "created_at": "2022-12-27T04:16:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KatjaGrace: I think people should think more about trying to slow down AI progress, if they believe it's going to destroy the world soo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1607591319337340929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1599742071933657089", "created_at": "2022-12-05T12:26:46+00:00", "text": "@rajatstweets @NLRG_it It's a 3 digit number and its middle digit is the sum of its first and last digits, so you know it's a multiple of 11.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1599742071933657089", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1599666457042124800", "created_at": "2022-12-05T07:26:18+00:00", "text": "@rajatstweets @NLRG_it 221 is 4 less than a perfect square, so you know the factors are 15 ± 2.\n\n8633 is a better candidate /s (89*97).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1599666457042124800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1582010057755021318", "created_at": "2022-10-17T14:06:04+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky @ngbrman If ANU's QRNG API is not convenient enough, I made an Automate flow for querying their API from notifications. https://t.co/c635dgsl8e https://t.co/j4YdACR0EZ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1582010057755021318", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1567304915403390977", "created_at": "2022-09-07T00:13:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @reconfigurthing: it’s so frustrating because total utilitarianism is the START of the inquiry. then we can investigate the interesting…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1567304915403390977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1529649458895462400", "created_at": "2022-05-26T02:23:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Chris_topian: “What new cause area should Open Philanthropy consider funding?” Today we’re launching the Cause Exploration Prizes to ga…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1529649458895462400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1522742798297952256", "created_at": "2022-05-07T00:59:08+00:00", "text": "@nikosbosse A fully operational and stocked Ohio class (nuclear powered ballistic missile) submarine.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1522742798297952256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1522491580677976065", "created_at": "2022-05-06T08:20:54+00:00", "text": "@eurydicelives Like I don't want to propagate great person-moments just because \"that'd be nice and is pretty self consistent, why not\", but because I think I truly ought to, and that nothing else is comparatively worth doing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1522491580677976065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1498375313767612417", "created_at": "2022-02-28T19:11:27+00:00", "text": "@daniel_eth It just doesn't seem realistic that we'd use tactical nukes in a way that Russia could legitimately think they were existentially doomed and that the only option left is MAD.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1498375313767612417", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1498253219616608259", "created_at": "2022-02-28T11:06:18+00:00", "text": "@daniel_eth I saw that actually, I just think he's\n really potentially capable of becoming that cold, angry, and defeated at some point while still in power. But also, I struggle to imagine realistic scenarios where launching all the nukes isn't a giant fuck-you murder-suicide.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1498253219616608259", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1443906445305475081", "created_at": "2021-10-01T11:51:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: For the first time in human history there is a nonnegligible chance that you personally might reach longevity escape velocity.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1443906445305475081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1442237859801358343", "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:21:15+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl yet would still, often rationally, choose to move forward because of the huge potential upside.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1442237859801358343", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1442236286761242626", "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:15:00+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Most minwage workers, on the other hand, probably recognize (but still underrate) a massive hard power differential in their potential sexual relationship w/ a billionaire,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1442236286761242626", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1442232612097966085", "created_at": "2021-09-26T21:00:24+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl the hard power differential isn't generally THAT much greater than that of regular asymmetric-wanting relationships.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1442232612097966085", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1442231993614286849", "created_at": "2021-09-26T20:57:57+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Like many 16YOs and 85 IQs probably underestimate the extent to which they can be charismatically mislead and outwitted by 35YOs/150 IQs--the soft power differential, but when the illusion is over & they want to exit the relationship,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1442231993614286849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438341429424803840", "created_at": "2021-09-16T03:18:14+00:00", "text": "@rSanti97 the move is wearing hiking boots and a weighty pack while using hiking poles to maximize the workout and trail engagement while keeping ankle risk low", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438341429424803840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438333767064637446", "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:47:47+00:00", "text": "@empathy2000 the backup plan", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438333767064637446", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438324690028843012", "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:11:43+00:00", "text": "@xuenay I don't think this pressure is reasonable when only their first-order preferences deviate from your preferences for them, because then they're outside of their control. 5\\", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438324690028843012", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438324257604440064", "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:10:00+00:00", "text": "@xuenay which have the same general flexibility of other beliefs, and along with impersonal neurobiological chance, control first-order preferences. 4\\", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438324257604440064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438323889210331139", "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:08:32+00:00", "text": "@xuenay to pressure/convince someone into putting some limited amount of effort into reconciling some of your second-order preferences (what you prefer to prefer), 3\\", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438323889210331139", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1438323488130015235", "created_at": "2021-09-16T02:06:56+00:00", "text": "@xuenay I think it can sometimes be appropriate to apply some level of sanctions and/or personally-costly signal below some circumstantial maximum (usually well below withdrawing all of one's social support) 2\\", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1438323488130015235", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1437697159051218944", "created_at": "2021-09-14T08:38:08+00:00", "text": "@mauve_sky Kinesis Advantage 2 keyboard.\nLogitech MX Vertical mouse.\nM1 Mac.\n27\" 4k monitor with a monitor arm. https://t.co/NTZoRFGr2C", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1437697159051218944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436759015145545729", "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:30:17+00:00", "text": "@ch402 Such harm can be estimated from privacy-preserving indoor/personal sound-level meters, cortisol monitors, sleep cycle monitors, etc. as well as historical willingness to pay/accept surveys.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436759015145545729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436756936968577030", "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:22:02+00:00", "text": "@ch402 He's fined some personalized, deterring, somewhat-restituting amount, and the funds are distributed to those negatively affected in proportion to their harm.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436756936968577030", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436756641567887362", "created_at": "2021-09-11T18:20:51+00:00", "text": "@ch402 Like that jackass who decided to rev his motorcycle above 80 dB in your charter city when he wasn't about to seemingly be rear-ended?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436756641567887362", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436370904527872000", "created_at": "2021-09-10T16:48:04+00:00", "text": "@DanGMartin1 Haha awesome, thanks! I misinterpreted otherwise last night so I feel relieved.\n\nGiven my prior that TCivs (and GCs) as a whole are net-Utilitous, your paper seems to then be spectacularly great news!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436370904527872000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436344659861778433", "created_at": "2021-09-10T15:03:47+00:00", "text": "@DanGMartin1 Amazing paper!\n\nOne question, sans successful SETI efforts, the paper doesn't suggest what R (our probability of transitioning to a GC) should be, right?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436344659861778433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436091921114533894", "created_at": "2021-09-09T22:19:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: Our grabby aliens paper has been accepted by the prestigious Astrophysical Journal! \n\n\"we actually have enough data to say…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436091921114533894", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436018145404272641", "created_at": "2021-09-09T17:26:20+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg Even working on super innocent projects we all currently enjoy the benefits of such as fast, optimizing compilers like LLVM isn't unambiguously good in the grand scheme of things. Faster code development and execution could easily increase power more than wisdom.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436018145404272641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1436010721859588100", "created_at": "2021-09-09T16:56:50+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg Just because current human welfare is better than its ever been due to mostly unfettered tech R&D and we have much uncertainty about Pr(xrisk | Y tech R&D) doesn't mean arbitrary tech R&D can be assumed to be good.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1436010721859588100", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1381100371150430208", "created_at": "2021-04-11T04:22:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nickcammarata: The effectiveness of interventions in many parts of life (diet, exercise, romance) follows a power law\n\nAnd it turns out…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1381100371150430208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1378294896210022407", "created_at": "2021-04-03T10:34:45+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg while with total density comparisons, it seems easier to pick some arbitrary ratio like 2x and adjust the intervals until that ratio feels like the case", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1378294896210022407", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1378287728761077760", "created_at": "2021-04-03T10:06:16+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg yeah that’s exactly what I mean", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1378287728761077760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1375404653316218881", "created_at": "2021-03-26T11:09:57+00:00", "text": "@ellegist liquify the soil with vibrators and water jets and sink it deep into the ground", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1375404653316218881", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1375190257977585670", "created_at": "2021-03-25T20:58:01+00:00", "text": "@philosophytweet that more likely than not, we’ll nearly miss out on realizing even a fraction of the universe’s extraordinary potential", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1375190257977585670", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1373129702408290306", "created_at": "2021-03-20T04:30:07+00:00", "text": "@ellegist I’m unusually physically balanced between strength and endurance? Like I once deadlifted 2.2x my bodyweight w/out training a few days after running a 1:29 half marathon & less than 2 weeks after a sub 5 hour half-ironman.\n\n(My mom ran ultramarathons and my dad does bodybuilding.)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1373129702408290306", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1371998714714226690", "created_at": "2021-03-17T01:35:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ATabarrok: Maximize Expected Utility >> Precautionary Principle.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1371998714714226690", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1371375674699571201", "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:20:14+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian WP crushed my soul though & most of the love I had for the Army, & when I realized I really wouldn’t be able to start doing much of the work I wanted to do until like 2028, I just started considering if my comparative advantage was elsewhere, and determined that it probably was.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1371375674699571201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1371375414891872261", "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:19:12+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian The best I could do was get appointed and accepted to West Point, and work in an E-6 operations position until I left.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1371375414891872261", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1371374155719798789", "created_at": "2021-03-15T08:14:12+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian would have had some efficient screening process I could’ve submitted myself to to be fast-tracked to become an Operations Research / System Analysis officer or similar.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1371374155719798789", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1366491004191141890", "created_at": "2021-03-01T20:50:18+00:00", "text": "@SpectralTheorem @kaschuta Thanks! Yeah I wasn’t paraphrasing anything I can recall having heard/read, besides Hebb’s Rule ofc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1366491004191141890", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1366109393712914433", "created_at": "2021-02-28T19:33:55+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson which implies the jumper’s counterfactual differential instrumental value can easily surpass the very likely < 2.8 days of lost life, especially given the intellectual-output risks of long-COVID.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1366109393712914433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1366019328198332421", "created_at": "2021-02-28T13:36:01+00:00", "text": "@Richard_Vixen perhaps women are more disturbed by intrasexual critiques as they're somewhat inegalitarian, and perhaps often cross their threshold for suspecting they may become the target of that person’s derogation.\n\nrelated:\nhttps://t.co/3Tg38QT4oC", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1366019328198332421", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1363618004391497729", "created_at": "2021-02-21T22:34:01+00:00", "text": "@kaschuta remember that neurons that fire together wire together, and learn to notice how arbitrary and flexible many of your beliefs and preferences are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1363618004391497729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1363291955698958336", "created_at": "2021-02-21T00:58:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ezraklein: I long for the day when we get some granular control over newsfeed algorithms. I want to tell Twitter who I'd like to see mo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1363291955698958336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1363114749739810821", "created_at": "2021-02-20T13:14:16+00:00", "text": "@HarryStebbings https://t.co/8nuoUL5hX6 is up there", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1363114749739810821", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1363020401907957761", "created_at": "2021-02-20T06:59:22+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK that deliberately assessing the effects of strategies on influence-enhancing goods like money, prestige, and dominance is under-rated (at least amongst people with marginally-endorsable preferences).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1363020401907957761", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1363019959215869959", "created_at": "2021-02-20T06:57:36+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK But I’d agree that it’s generally under-recognized how much one’s capacity to fulfill one’s preferences (the satisfaction of which plausibly generally roughly track to Utility) depends on one’s capacity to influence other humans, and ...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1363019959215869959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1361501359346917377", "created_at": "2021-02-16T02:23:14+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Like the EC is problematic because it redistributes voting power non-arbitrarily. I don’t think there’d be a problem if the EC instead consisted of 538 equally-sized groups of completely random Americans.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1361501359346917377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1361496232967901184", "created_at": "2021-02-16T02:02:51+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian The EC doesn’t remove voter intentionality from the election (like e.g. picking the candidate, in the event of a tie, based on some sortable quality like max SAT score or height), it just unequally redistributes voting power/probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1361496232967901184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1358638796430925824", "created_at": "2021-02-08T04:48:26+00:00", "text": "@Plinz everybody can have ~100k characters, and likes can transfer ~25 characters", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1358638796430925824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357964626953031681", "created_at": "2021-02-06T08:09:31+00:00", "text": "@mattyglesias that makes it cooler", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357964626953031681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357632391443959810", "created_at": "2021-02-05T10:09:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @oughtinc: We're beta testing research assistant features in @elicitorg using GPT-3. You can now:\n\n1. Find relevant think tank publicati…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357632391443959810", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357185908663984129", "created_at": "2021-02-04T04:35:10+00:00", "text": "@gworley3 hope so! I wish there was a more incremental way to so this. like a browser extension that filters tweets from a person on your feed with X probability, and you can easily adjust X.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357185908663984129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357147575791460354", "created_at": "2021-02-04T02:02:51+00:00", "text": "@miftah___ra in cultures where people readily point out each others’ weaknesses for laughs, a lot of the relief behind the joke, besides remembering when we aren’t the butt of the joke, is remembering that everyone is actually tight enough to put up with that level of bs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357147575791460354", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357144717754966016", "created_at": "2021-02-04T01:51:29+00:00", "text": "@miftah___ra dark humor is funny because while we visualize the perspective of the butt of the joke, part of us literally believes we are them & the story is true, so we’re then relieved when we remember that’s not the case, or if the story is true, that at least we aren’t them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357144717754966016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357141624472543232", "created_at": "2021-02-04T01:39:12+00:00", "text": "@miftah___ra accordingly, intellectual jokes are funny when you realize that you and the joke teller actually aren’t as mutually unintelligible as it seemed for a moment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357141624472543232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1357105624266526723", "created_at": "2021-02-03T23:16:09+00:00", "text": "@ChloeSolanders Utilitarianism isn’t anti-punishment, it’s just anti-retributivism. It can still even endorse retribution-like punishment though, eg if Alice committed a grave crime because the world was ending in 1 hour, & figured utilitarian Bob wouldn’t see the deterrence value of punishment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1357105624266526723", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1356146106816552963", "created_at": "2021-02-01T07:43:22+00:00", "text": "@keithwynroe whoops lol, closed form is just p(n) = Fibonacci(n+2)/2^n", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1356146106816552963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1353620392963805184", "created_at": "2021-01-25T08:27:05+00:00", "text": "@daniel_filan that looks to be about 1000 microCOVIDs now, are you sure? I think it’s easy to underrate exercise, but I feel like the costs of COVID for someone working on AI alignment given the risk of long COVID brain fog is substantial.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1353620392963805184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1353258892428369921", "created_at": "2021-01-24T08:30:36+00:00", "text": "@DaltonDEmery https://t.co/2CWCciGx1b", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1353258892428369921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1351939008020922368", "created_at": "2021-01-20T17:05:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ciphergoth: Two minutes ago, the nuclear codes in the briefcase next to Donald Trump were deactivated. *huge sigh of relief*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1351939008020922368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1350595949052088321", "created_at": "2021-01-17T00:09:01+00:00", "text": "Who would have guessed, when you were growing up and reading about wizards, demigods, and other heroes, that you would end up on a path to realizing more value in your universe than all of them (that I know of) did in theirs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1350595949052088321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1350549287822782464", "created_at": "2021-01-16T21:03:36+00:00", "text": "@MaxCRoser It needs to be as easy as possible for people to meaningfully express their preferences and probabilistic knowledge about things. Then we can start drastically boosting the signal of accurate and useful beliefs and possible actions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1350549287822782464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1350416409449271299", "created_at": "2021-01-16T12:15:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @patrickc: An astounding failure of policy and governance. Books will be written about it. https://t.co/x4wkI6swd6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1350416409449271299", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347637268463316993", "created_at": "2021-01-08T20:12:17+00:00", "text": "@JimDMiller I’m still interested in the idea here: https://t.co/UGXQPQczl2 https://t.co/y8QcGsF0kq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347637268463316993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347471775802687492", "created_at": "2021-01-08T09:14:40+00:00", "text": "@ClayShentrup Sounds like you should definitely check out Julia if you haven’t already", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347471775802687492", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347070366976413696", "created_at": "2021-01-07T06:39:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Taniel: The 121 House members, all Republicans, who voted to overturn the Arizona election: https://t.co/GpmINn1k7T", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347070366976413696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347057166092406784", "created_at": "2021-01-07T05:47:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Yes, the insurrectionists are clearly LARPing, but what people don't realize is how many governments get started as LARPs…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347057166092406784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347043702456258560", "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:53:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ciphergoth: I was pretty uncertain about \"impeach him again\" until I read this tweet. Impeach him again. Right now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347043702456258560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347043566221107202", "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:53:07+00:00", "text": "@micsolana Who is calling for violence? I’ve only seen people calling for laws to be enforced to lower the probability of this kind of behavior repeating and escalating.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347043566221107202", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347039415667867648", "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:36:38+00:00", "text": "I see takes highlighting how fundamentally innocent and naive these stormers are, as if to call for special compassion in any legal proceedings.\n\nThis is true all the time though. Punishment never necessitates hate or spite, it's just what you have to do to deter costly behavior.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347039415667867648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1347030757663940608", "created_at": "2021-01-07T04:02:13+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/d6Zjns5fgm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1347030757663940608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1346324977557987329", "created_at": "2021-01-05T05:17:42+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer No I totally get that! I'm not trying to outright dismiss it, just was sharing my prior that I guess was pretty uninformative.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1346324977557987329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1346316637436137472", "created_at": "2021-01-05T04:44:34+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Or rather, it's spawned entirely from that sentiment, and there's nothing theoretically interesting going on behind it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1346316637436137472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1345174501089103879", "created_at": "2021-01-02T01:06:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @benskuhn: How are you going to improve the world this year?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1345174501089103879", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1345123045258608645", "created_at": "2021-01-01T21:41:39+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl The subset of qualia I find myself willing to make sacrifices for *not* to experience.\n\nSometimes, it characterizes person-moments to the point where they're clearly less preferable than experiencing nothing at all.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1345123045258608645", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1343711464654131201", "created_at": "2020-12-29T00:12:32+00:00", "text": "@rothosphere Like regardless of what exactly is going on behind qualia, the action-relevant insight for most should be that humans have an absurdly preferable option on the table: max. Pr(eventually colonizing the universe in an extremely ideal away).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1343711464654131201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1343700315967614976", "created_at": "2020-12-28T23:28:14+00:00", "text": "@rothosphere This allows us to infer that the universe can support, and that we could realize, states of affairs well over 1e60 times as preferable as the sum of value any one of us could ever experience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1343700315967614976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1343674652179066880", "created_at": "2020-12-28T21:46:16+00:00", "text": "@ernestosakurai @yashkaf I'm still very open to other explanations, but it seems surprisingly plausible (still Pr < .1) that Moloch/accident is to blame, and that there's just a ton of money lying around on the table here for whoever can build such polished software & convince eg Nvidia to use it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1343674652179066880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1343665231784857601", "created_at": "2020-12-28T21:08:50+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Unless we are putting my epistemic picks in charge of the weights, or have already effectively designed the system to be a slow, human-powered AGI that will evolve us to Infinity, I'm pretty wary that it would just cement people's trash priors more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1343665231784857601", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1343489122644553729", "created_at": "2020-12-28T09:29:02+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Scaling up to the govt level anytime soon sounds like a terribly risky idea, but I could imagine private versions of this that are net-positive in expectation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1343489122644553729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1342031188773412865", "created_at": "2020-12-24T08:55:43+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky Sleeping on the floor as it overall seems to feel better.\n\nGoing to my bookmark chrome://history/syncedTabs on my computer to open all my phone's tabs to process them faster.\n\nHaving a gallon jug of water by my desk and bed as a convenient backup.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1342031188773412865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1342002291524550659", "created_at": "2020-12-24T07:00:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @dfrsrchtwts: I have a podcast. It's called AXRP, pronounced 'axe-urp' (short for AI X-risk Research Podcast). I interview researchers a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1342002291524550659", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1341448553130954754", "created_at": "2020-12-22T18:20:32+00:00", "text": "@MarkLutter How regular are these intervals? Is it exactly periodic?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1341448553130954754", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1341177029236936705", "created_at": "2020-12-22T00:21:36+00:00", "text": "@Vauung Pigou tax setter.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1341177029236936705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1340515997413830656", "created_at": "2020-12-20T04:34:54+00:00", "text": "@konop @keithwynroe @webdevMason Dude, you can want money and attention without wanting sex.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1340515997413830656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1339330164392521728", "created_at": "2020-12-16T22:02:49+00:00", "text": "@WiringTheBrain @dr_appie @uk_biobank and I bet less cultural enforcement of right-handedness explains the general increase for both (rather than from changes in biology from eg modern pollutants).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1339330164392521728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1336021793090449409", "created_at": "2020-12-07T18:56:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @metaculus: We’re thrilled to launch Forecasting AI Progress, the largest-ever tournament focused on predicting advances in AI. Become a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1336021793090449409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1335628207882706945", "created_at": "2020-12-06T16:52:34+00:00", "text": "@keithwynroe @dataBiryani @thienan496 Imagine if the scenario was with 100 trillion fair coins. Would you still rather know the first coin toss over whether H>T?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1335628207882706945", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1334388370688991233", "created_at": "2020-12-03T06:45:53+00:00", "text": "@uncatherio Not enough people talk about how good it can feel!\n\nSpine clearly loves hard surface.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1334388370688991233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1334223827937632256", "created_at": "2020-12-02T19:52:03+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Plinz @tobyordoxford I'd even argue, as have others, that in such a multipolar world with so many profoundly epistemically/ethically weak/confused agents, P(redirecting asteroid(s) to *hit* Earth | asteroid redirection capabilities) > P(redirecting asteroid away | same capabilities).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1334223827937632256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1333362993531297792", "created_at": "2020-11-30T10:51:25+00:00", "text": "@keithwynroe I guess that's only coherent to ask with computational time/space/energy constraints. E.g. the reward utility has to be substantial to justify sampling from say, uniform(1,2^1000000).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1333362993531297792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1333005785140346881", "created_at": "2020-11-29T11:11:59+00:00", "text": "@keithwynroe Randomly choose from {1,2,3} with 1/3 probability?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1333005785140346881", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332923872593625088", "created_at": "2020-11-29T05:46:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @foundmyfitness: Enough is enough. It’s time for vitamin D, which is low risk, to be strongly considered as a crucial factor in COVID-19…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332923872593625088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332907598819987456", "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:41:50+00:00", "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL that and might well be .3% more likely to commit a murder because \"if caught, they won't even be that hated.\" When you account for lost instrumental value, the threshold is much lower.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332907598819987456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332905866580791303", "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:34:57+00:00", "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Suppose they stay in jail, but it becomes publically known that they worked with the victims' families to restore things. How much good could possibly do? Maybe .05 QALY per year for 3 family members discounted by .01 per year? That's 16.5 QALYs & now potential murderers see", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332905866580791303", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332904487493586947", "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:29:28+00:00", "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Like for a murderer of 100 people, a minimal restoration requires what, maybe 6000 QALYs in addition to all the instrumental value not realized through the victims (maybe millions)? I can't see how they could come close to this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332904487493586947", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332900371761532930", "created_at": "2020-11-29T04:13:07+00:00", "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Assuming universal restorative justice advocates wholly agree with a simultaneous need for deterrence, I still think they should sympathize more with retributivists for extreme crimes because the utility really probably is in maximal deterrence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332900371761532930", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332897017278828545", "created_at": "2020-11-29T03:59:47+00:00", "text": "@SimoneWebbUCL Thus, a judicial policy without deterrence via punishment would often lead to worse state of affairs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332897017278828545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332621714203688963", "created_at": "2020-11-28T09:45:50+00:00", "text": "@yashkaf I still don't fully understand why suppliers of such high demand goods don't auction off their supply in batches.\n\nThey lose out on so much profit just to subsidize 'random' people getting a product at a below market rate.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332621714203688963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332157946692714496", "created_at": "2020-11-27T03:02:59+00:00", "text": "@bdowney @ZachWeiner It could in principle be ethical to do challenge trials for bad pandemics even *without* consent.\n\nBut we don't even have to do this, there are plenty of volunteers who can 'consent' & understand the risks are uncertain, even among people well out of poverty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332157946692714496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332154891712688129", "created_at": "2020-11-27T02:50:51+00:00", "text": "@ConradGoodwin @ZachWeiner Yeah it's better for poor people to die naturally from the virus. (sarcasm)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332154891712688129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332152345614983169", "created_at": "2020-11-27T02:40:44+00:00", "text": "@ZachWeiner & 'galaxy-brained' ideas like:\n- \"only adequately costly pandemics will spur adequate preparation for super-pandemics\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332152345614983169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332136078698897409", "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:36:05+00:00", "text": "By prior & preference elicitation, I mean activities which map beliefs & preferences stored by one's neurons, even those jumbled up a bit & non-obvious to oneself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332136078698897409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332131538113159168", "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:03+00:00", "text": "Like when one is at the level of 'chill private music improvisation' or maybe 'alt-account chess', but really wants the fruits of labor to carry across time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332131538113159168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332131536943030273", "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00", "text": "Could be great for filling that niche of when one just wants to lay down and feels too tired/unwilling to {read/write/code/talk to people}, but doesn't feel like full Netflixing/losing agency.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332131536943030273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332131535768625153", "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00", "text": "But efficient low effort/focus-ability mechanisms for preference & prior elicitation could also be quite valuable (it's just breadth vs. depth) and perhaps create satisfying pastimes!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332131535768625153", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1332131534048923649", "created_at": "2020-11-27T01:18:02+00:00", "text": "Improving the available mechanisms for capitalizing on peak focus ability is surely more useful in the grand scheme of things than mechanisms for lower effort/focus-ability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1332131534048923649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1326233378664845313", "created_at": "2020-11-10T18:40:52+00:00", "text": "@DavidDeutschOxf Why can't the proposal be for a Pigou tax?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1326233378664845313", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1325502022758494208", "created_at": "2020-11-08T18:14:43+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl The upside is fairly capped if you don't desire a longer term relationship or to have their kids, but the downsides of the possibilities for STDs, pregnancy, losing social status, & unbalanced social expectations afterwards are potentially great.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1325502022758494208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1324103100995497985", "created_at": "2020-11-04T21:35:54+00:00", "text": "@Kat__Woods But I'm not saying you're moralizing or anything, and agree that given the infrequency of honest attempts to do impartial cost-benefit analyses, not returning a cart is still probably a decent signal for lower pro-socialness & conscientiousness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1324103100995497985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322959278731268097", "created_at": "2020-11-01T17:50:46+00:00", "text": "@SimonDeDeo Even if you're unwilling to formalize your probabilistic knowledge of an event, feelings like 'impossible/unlikely/maybe/likely/almost surely/inevitable' feel very different from each other, & generally correspond with real life frequencies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322959278731268097", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322572906589646849", "created_at": "2020-10-31T16:15:27+00:00", "text": "@flancian @MeFromBefore Hey Flancian, I like your site and idea! We should talk sometime. I've been researching efficient means of assorting content by relevance to particular goals, and I suspect our ideas might work well together.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322572906589646849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322562137416372226", "created_at": "2020-10-31T15:32:40+00:00", "text": "@ValenceValue @RoamResearch For sure, that sounds exciting. We must be careful mixing money & other units of care more into our knowledge production systems as they magnify misaligned incentives, but overall, we can't really afford not too so we just need to design smart, adaptable systems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322562137416372226", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322554974333661186", "created_at": "2020-10-31T15:04:12+00:00", "text": "@MeFromBefore Absolutely. It's basically a personal cause area out of anger at this point, although fortunately it's plausibly my comparative advantage too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322554974333661186", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322549943576391681", "created_at": "2020-10-31T14:44:12+00:00", "text": "We've gone a long way in the past 570 years, especially in the last 29, but it still feels like we're living in the dark ages compared to what should be possible, both now & theoretically.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322549943576391681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1322044532444131329", "created_at": "2020-10-30T05:15:53+00:00", "text": "@SpencrGreenberg The only rational reasons to choose other than 12,0,0:\n- you interpret the utility scale as nonlinear\n- you interpret the well-being utils as mutable & interdependent\n- you're accounting for instrumental utility & assuming it's influenced by well-being", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1322044532444131329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1321708571864690688", "created_at": "2020-10-29T07:00:54+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski Risky in their evolutionary environment e.g. greater risk of ostracization or starvation, but not necessarily near future environments", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1321708571864690688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320803756393426944", "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00", "text": "to certain kinds of tweets like 'coding questions' or 'shitposts', and if that brand is not why they followed, they should feel free to add them to their muted words.\n\nOne can pin a tweet thread with the keys so newcomers know what's up and what certain tags mean.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320803756393426944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320803755634274304", "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00", "text": "Is it just actually too costly to implement and maintain?? I mean the simplest implementation just requires the ability to mute words by user.\n\nYou can kind of get around this now as you can your followers you'll append 2-3 random, rarely combined Unicode characters like 'ʥڿ'", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320803755634274304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320803754942230529", "created_at": "2020-10-26T19:05:29+00:00", "text": "Do users just not want this option? Are all explicit categorization schemes expected to cause option paralysis anxiety that outweighs the benefits of increased freedom to express oneself more while collectively having more relevant feeds?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320803754942230529", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320234206446825478", "created_at": "2020-10-25T05:22:18+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Do you have mechanisns in mind besides this?\nhttps://t.co/fhPj0ijOm7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320234206446825478", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320223618480046082", "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:40:13+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson So courts must enforce private contracts that probabilistically mandate either pregnancy termination or high monetary costs. I don't know for sure, but something tells me that for better or worse, they won't anytime soon.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320223618480046082", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320220659411083264", "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:28:28+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson The only mechanisms I'm aware of that can uncover true private costs in such situations are contracts with the form: you'll receive M money for A action, but with P probability, you must either do ¬A or pay M2 money, where M2 > M/P.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320220659411083264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320218275079352320", "created_at": "2020-10-25T04:18:59+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson *You can ofc just focus on those considering an abortion, & say will probably have one unless the cost-benefit somehow changes (compensate them). The problem then is not funding everyone who is willing to lie about their perceived private costs of carrying through w/ a pregnancy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320218275079352320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320209924417187841", "created_at": "2020-10-25T03:45:48+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson that don't also broadly increase birth rates via new pregnancies all work by increasing the personal $/social/emotional costs of having an abortion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320209924417187841", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1320182641069453313", "created_at": "2020-10-25T01:57:24+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson I buy that we are collectively leaving QALYs on the table by ceteris parabus not having more kids, but increasing the personal costs (including social) of abortion seems like a pretty inefficient and unfair way of doing this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1320182641069453313", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1319466398721044480", "created_at": "2020-10-23T02:31:18+00:00", "text": "@BretWeinstein So I'm in favor of legislation for now. Idk exactly what that should look like, but I might be in favor of something like \"For the next 10 years, internet platforms with greater than X% market share (by {carefully-selected metrics}) shall not discriminate against legal speech.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1319466398721044480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1317558929103089664", "created_at": "2020-10-17T20:11:42+00:00", "text": "@mattyglesias People widely don't really know how to relate to forecasted election probabilities. Here's my take on what I'd say is probably the default decision-theoretic view, which cleared up a lot of the muck for me:\nhttps://t.co/LBpJ5eomwq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1317558929103089664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1317050341192466432", "created_at": "2020-10-16T10:30:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @danijarh: What objectives can an intelligent agent optimize?\n\nIn this 3 year collab, we categorized the possible objs. APD is a unifyin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1317050341192466432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1316272333263265793", "created_at": "2020-10-14T06:59:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @QiaochuYuan: it's ludicrous how few people know about this paper, so, friendly reminder that the fermi paradox was completely resolved…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1316272333263265793", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315824736581033985", "created_at": "2020-10-13T01:20:38+00:00", "text": "@jromeroCFP @patrick_oshag Your point?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315824736581033985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315815619149754368", "created_at": "2020-10-13T00:44:24+00:00", "text": "@patrick_oshag And there's no way for enlisted to progress the officer ranks but to start from the beginning.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315815619149754368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315808319857016832", "created_at": "2020-10-13T00:15:24+00:00", "text": "@MatjazLeonardis For dogmatists, sure, but many serious economic libertarians are quite mindful of inefficiency-causing forces/phenomena like luck, preferential attachment, & social status.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315808319857016832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315468480938823680", "created_at": "2020-10-12T01:45:00+00:00", "text": "@veryonthenozick The 'Inception' approach of seeding an idea people can come to possibly internalize as their 'own' is much more efficacious in general, imo, than essentially punishing insubmission.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315468480938823680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315451527830466560", "created_at": "2020-10-12T00:37:38+00:00", "text": "Like if you have no preparations/decisions to make between now and the election about post-election events, knowing the ongoing cost of a microprobability of Biden winning (a µBiden??) should be ~∞ more valuable than knowing forecasted national win percentages.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315451527830466560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315428461456945153", "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:59+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/wVUlI5K67V https://t.co/cXBK2Ec5ZZ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315428461456945153", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315428458575536128", "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00", "text": "- the expected cost of causing the vote.\n\nThis let's you estimate the cost of influencing the election by a certain probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315428458575536128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315428457866616833", "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00", "text": "For deciding to change courses of action, you primarily want to know, for each vote you could cause/change:\n- the Pr of the vote's state’s electoral votes being necessary, and\n- the Pr of the state being tied, given that its electoral votes are necessary", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315428457866616833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315428457082310656", "created_at": "2020-10-11T23:05:58+00:00", "text": "National forecasts shouldn't be useful for deciding whether to change courses of action to try to decrease P(Trump) as the disutility of Trump winning shouldn't be particularly affected by whether his forecasted probability is say, .2 or .8.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315428457082310656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315360583819034625", "created_at": "2020-10-11T18:36:16+00:00", "text": "@rowan2323 https://t.co/e1PM8wux3v\n\nGiven privacy preserving AI developments though, prolific global policing doesn't have to squash privacy and liberty too much.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315360583819034625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315359228274507776", "created_at": "2020-10-11T18:30:52+00:00", "text": "@grantadever @rowan2323 Geolibertarianism and LVT+Pigou tax based compensation/UBI amends a lot of this unjustness, at least from a libertarian perspective.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315359228274507776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1315089304712998912", "created_at": "2020-10-11T00:38:18+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun The cognitive dissonance of being aware of plausibly better courses of action seems aided by:\n- uncertainty of true relative utilities \n- uncertainty of switching costs\n- not chunking the problem of reducing the above two uncertainties into clear, tractable, compelling questions", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1315089304712998912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313958372958367744", "created_at": "2020-10-07T21:44:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @brianchristian: Breaking a 7-year Twitter silence, I'm thrilled to announce that my new book launches today: THE ALIGNMENT PROBLEM. The…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313958372958367744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313287441214701568", "created_at": "2020-10-06T01:18:20+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Oooh I like those! Captures that one can predict how an information snippet will vary in social relevance over time.\n\ntimeliness is like social_relevance(now/soon) while importance can be the mean of social_relevance from now onwards", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313287441214701568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313054291016388611", "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:51:53+00:00", "text": "@noampomsky BLUF: Feeling empowered to manage emotions is reasonable and useful, and the theory of constructed emotion can help with this relative to some other theories, but purely buying the theory of constructed emotion is going to deny one the insights of more plausible theories.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313054291016388611", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313042233382203392", "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:03:58+00:00", "text": "@noampomsky Further, there are evolutionary biology explanations, at least for certain emotions, that seem rather compelling (e.g. the recalibrational theory of anger https://t.co/AhJ4hasSgS).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313042233382203392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313041728463532033", "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:01:57+00:00", "text": "@noampomsky E.g. 'anger' seems to always be accompanied be a desire to violate preferences, even seemingly in babies raised in anger/violence-free households.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313041728463532033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313041455405916160", "created_at": "2020-10-05T09:00:52+00:00", "text": "@noampomsky But reflecting more on the subjective qualities of various emotions, it seems there are certain qualities always accompanying certain emotions that pleasantness, arousal, and culture conditioning seem unable to explain well.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313041455405916160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1313041168624574469", "created_at": "2020-10-05T08:59:44+00:00", "text": "@noampomsky It also seems right that nurture plays a major role in the expression of emotions, so much so that we can reinterpret many situations and invoke different emotions just by having a few different thoughts cached.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1313041168624574469", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1310102670556921856", "created_at": "2020-09-27T06:23:11+00:00", "text": "@LinchZhang @SpencrGreenberg Probably some efforts to stay clear collective complacency, given the assumption that his preliminary winning odds and the collective effort to get out the vote for him are negatively correlated.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1310102670556921856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1307769560506884096", "created_at": "2020-09-20T19:52:15+00:00", "text": "@hockey_dad57 That's admiral, but the primary moral determinant, imo, is their expected instrumental utility. People's actions influence, in expectation, many orders of magnitude times more qualia than their own.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1307769560506884096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1306088622655848449", "created_at": "2020-09-16T04:32:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: Housing density is better for the environment. Better for preserving green spaces. Better for young people and job-seekers…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1306088622655848449", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1305486204536631297", "created_at": "2020-09-14T12:39:00+00:00", "text": "2) Being ranked in the Xth percentile for a genetic predisposition for Y trait definitely does not mean you are anywhere near the Xth percentile for that trait. For highly polygenetic traits, what matters are the effect sizes and independence of the variants.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1305486204536631297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1305486203878170624", "created_at": "2020-09-14T12:39:00+00:00", "text": "Basically, my takeaways are:\n\n1) We still have a long way to go in regard to figuring out the causes and predictors of polygenetic traits.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1305486203878170624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1305430758471819265", "created_at": "2020-09-14T08:58:41+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Looked into it more and I think you're probably right.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1305430758471819265", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1304923400628891649", "created_at": "2020-09-12T23:22:37+00:00", "text": "@WilliamAEden I say this of course as a libertarian from a *checks notes* _$$$_ household.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1304923400628891649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1304626671580921862", "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:43:31+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski all their reports seem to be based on external peer reviewed papers, which provide info like variant statistical significance and effect size\nhttps://t.co/RpujyS8PEi https://t.co/pKKnoPOKzU", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1304626671580921862", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1304618769633783811", "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:12:07+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski sequence through them", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1304618769633783811", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1304618226513408000", "created_at": "2020-09-12T03:09:58+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski I haven't updated much, but I think I mainly feel relieved.\n\nappreciate it nonetheless", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1304618226513408000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1304609364154572800", "created_at": "2020-09-12T02:34:45+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer I like them so far. It was mildly annoying that it took about 10 weeks to get my results, but their reports (e.g. https://t.co/RpujyS8PEi) seem of decent quality, and I was able to download all my data, so for $300, I'm happy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1304609364154572800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1303625977612787713", "created_at": "2020-09-09T09:27:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: @ZachWeiner If you zoom in on any picture of a lake or a rainforest or a mountain where nature looks beautiful, benign and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1303625977612787713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1303539036561092610", "created_at": "2020-09-09T03:41:39+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK An underrated habit is to just transfer one's mobile article-reading to desktop via chrome://history/syncedTabs (bookmarkable) and \"open all\" whenever one can. Reading and doing work with a large screen, keyboard, and mouse is almost always more efficient imo.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1303539036561092610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1303534632181182464", "created_at": "2020-09-09T03:24:09+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yeah the app tries to guess which apps you don't want batched (most messaging-first apps), but allows control on a per-app basis.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1303534632181182464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1303240271841296384", "created_at": "2020-09-08T07:54:28+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Batched notifications with something like Daywise is nice (although it costs $2-4/month).\nSetting up a private DNS resolver like NextDNS can make it easy to block time consuming sites.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1303240271841296384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1298773740096876545", "created_at": "2020-08-27T00:06:04+00:00", "text": "@LinchZhang I have not explored biosecurity much, but given how potent far UVC (200-230nm) lights seem to be & the fact that we now seem on track to be able build them at scale, I'm less concerned about potential pandemics after ~5-20 years from now, assuming the tech is widespread by then.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1298773740096876545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1297969140683030528", "created_at": "2020-08-24T18:48:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sama: Vector theory of impact:", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1297969140683030528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1297461310754566144", "created_at": "2020-08-23T09:10:56+00:00", "text": "@Malcolm_Ocean Discourse", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1297461310754566144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296320022319489024", "created_at": "2020-08-20T05:35:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DeityOfReligion: Game theory is asleep, cooperate for no reason", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296320022319489024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205879696478208", "created_at": "2020-08-19T22:02:18+00:00", "text": "@briangoodrich https://t.co/L6N9bDgVTY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205879696478208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205145210904576", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:23+00:00", "text": "..a good bit more complicated & unlikely to be instantiated compared to minds whose preference-satisfactions correlate with Ethical Reality.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205145210904576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205143843643393", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:23+00:00", "text": "I came to this update from thought experiments about agents that prefer to Suffer a lot. This possibility is perhaps still concerning, but that's kind of mind just seems to be..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205143843643393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205142505578496", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00", "text": "I still think preserving this coupling is a valuable heuristic, but I now suspect dangerous uncoupling is less likely.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205142505578496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205140903358464", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00", "text": "I.e. so far, for relatively complex life thought to hold qualia (humans & other mammals especially), there seems to me to be a correlation between bad qualia & death/non-self-propagation. See https://t.co/61G4LBPGzJ for more on that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205140903358464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205139607339008", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:22+00:00", "text": "Lastly, I was concerned about the plausibility of minds being developed that have a high decoupling of welfare from survivability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205139607339008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205138227367936", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00", "text": "So I was concerned about currently net-negative life spreading in the universe, but I suspect that short term, that won't be as bad as I thought, and long-term, increases the odds enough of utilitronium shockwaves good enough to by far make up for the suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205138227367936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205136788746240", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00", "text": "..at least a, idk, 1e-20 probability in said life eventually sparking a utilitronium shockwave, which would be at least 1e20 better than the life would be net bad before the shockwave.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205136788746240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205135299768321", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:21+00:00", "text": "E.g. if the great filter is before the complexity of life we could send to other planets in other solar systems & galaxies, one could probably assign..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205135299768321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205133865299968", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00", "text": "Further, I'm more confident that utilitronium shockwaves are a 'frequent' terminal goal of advanced life, which one could place a non-trivial probability on happening from any instance of life.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205133865299968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205132451835904", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00", "text": "I suspect there is a lot of say, '-3u pain', that motivates gene-propagating behavior, but not a lot of '-50u mental suffering', as that's energy intensive & seemingly pointless for creatures who can't meaningfully learn from said suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205132451835904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205131143245824", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:20+00:00", "text": "Also, I'm more confident that evolution doesn't usually manufacture, in simple creatures, a capacity to 'suffer about pain'.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205131143245824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205129478111232", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00", "text": "I'm still pretty uncertain about how net-bad wild animal qualia is & could be, but I've updated towards it being relatively less net-bad. I suspect good qualia is usually a feature of simple minds when bad qualia is, & factor this in more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205129478111232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205128001662976", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00", "text": "I've updated on what AGIs could probably be like, and expect more than I already did that non-friendly AGI just won't care about us enough to cause extra suffering, purposefully or incidentally. Still, the remaining probability concerns me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205128001662976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205126474936322", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:19+00:00", "text": "I was particularly interested in four possible causes of s-risk: 'evil' AGI; accidental mutation of hed shockwaves; instantiations of simple, net suffering-filled life through more parts of the universe; and more abstractly, a generic uncoupling of suffering from survivability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205126474936322", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205124252000257", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:18+00:00", "text": "I still suspect that suffering, when it happens, tends to be more negative than well-being instances tend to be +, but slightly less so as I've updated on the tractability of instantiating really good qualia. It's just a technical challenge, surely easier than aligning AGI.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205124252000257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205122343538689", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:18+00:00", "text": "Thus, I was concerned about both the 'Utility Range of Instantiatable Qualia' & the probabilities over this range.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205122343538689", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296205120791707648", "created_at": "2020-08-19T21:59:17+00:00", "text": "I've long put the bulk of my moral credence on non-negative utilitarianism, so I was (abstractly) concerned about s-risks to the degree I thought the expected volumes of net negative future qualia outweighed the expected positive volumes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296205120791707648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296140365573963776", "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:41:58+00:00", "text": "billions $ even with < 1/1000 odds of success.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296140365573963776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296140364722483200", "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:41:58+00:00", "text": "Note that to the degree you think propagating high qualia life or probabilistic precursors to hed shockwaves is good, you can be unconfident about it all working out. If the costs are suitably orthogonal to FAI work & other sources of xrisk, you can possibly devote", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296140364722483200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296137333176020992", "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:29:55+00:00", "text": "A key question is whether it's worth waiting for FAI to do this (either it's too hard for us or AGI timelines are too soon & need these resources),or if it's something we could do orthogonally to FAI (not take resources from each other).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296137333176020992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296135023586717696", "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:20:45+00:00", "text": "to colonize other galaxies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296135023586717696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1296135022705950722", "created_at": "2020-08-19T17:20:45+00:00", "text": "Ofc, I'm not interested in starting a hed shockwave around Earth anytime before we've conclusively solved ethics...we're too uncertain about other forms of value & too instrumentally capable for that. But I am increasingly interested in the proposition of sending out vNM probes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1296135022705950722", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1293002166110531584", "created_at": "2020-08-11T01:51:53+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours It might sound ridiculous to some, but I really doubt we can reliably determine the better option without at least trying to assign probability distributions for the relevant factors. Of course, before doing this, I'd want as much info about these (potential) people as I could.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1293002166110531584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292679819520405504", "created_at": "2020-08-10T04:31:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @QiaochuYuan: poll: do you sleep with a window or equivalent open at night | how do you generally feel when you wake up in the morning?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292679819520405504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292593272221646848", "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:47:05+00:00", "text": "Would it be enough if our universe was positively skewed?\n\nI.e. for the distribution of the utility of all probabilistically possible worlds downstream from a decision, the mean is thought to be greater than the median?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292593272221646848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292584873295634433", "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:13:43+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours Without the minus epsilon utility, I suspect total utilitarianism would be indifferent, but with the small disutility (e.g. a 1s momentary instantiation of the simplest nervous system that could register pain), I can't see why it wouldn't go with the copy worlds.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292584873295634433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292582982683783168", "created_at": "2020-08-09T22:06:12+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours \"5 worlds with small, random modifications to state X, but minus epsilon utility\".\n\nI prefer the diversity because I believe it increases the probability of life with qualia (which I suspect is net-positive, in expectation),but the 5 copy worlds could be copies of the best state.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292582982683783168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292573377429778432", "created_at": "2020-08-09T21:28:02+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours Actually, I'm uncertain if risk-neutral total utilitarianism allows you to prefer, say, \"5 copy worlds all with the same hidden state X (cloned from our universe, say, 1B years ago)\", or ...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292573377429778432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292556669814153216", "created_at": "2020-08-09T20:21:39+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours On a side note, total, non-negative utilitarianism, properly construed, is an incredibly flexible meta-ethical theory, and I have yet to hear a moral value I was sympathetic to that I couldn't justify under total utilitarianism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292556669814153216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292551393811689472", "created_at": "2020-08-09T20:00:41+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours universe where eating is no longer necessary or possible, I'd choose the lettuce.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292551393811689472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292550915619041281", "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:58:47+00:00", "text": "@GivingTools @80000Hours or reduced ability to control my attention (not being distracted by flavor of qualia, just enjoying it in the background), over one time experiencing a bite of say, a carrot, and say, to complete the thought experience, I am to make this decision one day after entering a...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292550915619041281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292541216647548928", "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:20:14+00:00", "text": "@erin_nerung @RealtimeAI @simonsarris Importantly, you can often assign a relatively high credence that they are sharing relatively unfiltered views with you because you know they are probably not as concerned with keeping you around as a friend.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292541216647548928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292537337977532417", "created_at": "2020-08-09T19:04:50+00:00", "text": "@erin_nerung @RealtimeAI @simonsarris You both can share vulnerabilities and respond unusually directly to eachother without most of the signaling baggage that often, justified or not, accompanies similar conversations with people more socially connected to you.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292537337977532417", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292528045966860288", "created_at": "2020-08-09T18:27:54+00:00", "text": "@mattmcirvin @wickrotate I'm just trying to say that that you should feel free to do research and promulgate opinions relating to global priorities in a way that most ethicists probably shouldn't about physics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292528045966860288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1292505673943535617", "created_at": "2020-08-09T16:59:00+00:00", "text": "@mattmcirvin @wickrotate This seems interesting. What distant effects do you have in mind? And does the ethical system, within its minimum description, need to provide guidelines for human cognition, or are you saying we need practicioners to derive more efficient heuristics for action?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1292505673943535617", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1289701899000717312", "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00", "text": "But for those skeptics ignoring the math args (not necessarily those who could pass an ideological Turing test but yet assign low credence to THNnU), I suspect overcoming any latent qualia-breadth-insensitivity would go a long way towards making the theory more intuitive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1289701899000717312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1289701898333782019", "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00", "text": "Ofc, you don't need to be that imaginative as you can just buy into the math args as long as you prefer any experiences over others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1289701898333782019", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1289701897595543552", "created_at": "2020-08-01T23:17:48+00:00", "text": "I'm not claiming to have experienced atypical heights or depths of desirability of qualia--I just suspect many skeptics don't suitably imagine how good and bad consciousness can get.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1289701897595543552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1287962314411409409", "created_at": "2020-07-28T04:05:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Steven_B_Falk: Continental U.S. population density. https://t.co/2AZ6wHlbLt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1287962314411409409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1287801218853515264", "created_at": "2020-07-27T17:25:11+00:00", "text": "@iamtrask Travel to some prosperous city, probably Rome, show some sweet proofs to the philosophers/academics to get them to hire me, start learning the language & figure it ought from there. Besides maybe intervening with the Jesus ordeal, I'd probably just write a lot.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1287801218853515264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1286006425089478656", "created_at": "2020-07-22T18:33:19+00:00", "text": "@gdb I'd really like to!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1286006425089478656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1284240962600890369", "created_at": "2020-07-17T21:38:00+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi Many people report that being in ketosis generally leaves them with more energy. Also, getting into a state of autophagy for several days through fasting seems like a potent way to overcome a number of active or potential developing health problems (for long term game).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1284240962600890369", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1283926252638760961", "created_at": "2020-07-17T00:47:27+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tobyordoxford: Precisely 75 years ago—to the minute—the first atomic bomb was detonated. This inaugurated a new age for humanity, the P…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1283926252638760961", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1283521964028522496", "created_at": "2020-07-15T22:00:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @xuenay: I keep seeing all kinds of crazy reports about people's experiences with GPT-3, so I figured that I'd collect a thread of them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1283521964028522496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1283223274554421248", "created_at": "2020-07-15T02:14:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Plinz: I am completely floored. Someone run a thought of mine through GPT-3 to expand it into an explanation of what I had in mind, and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1283223274554421248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1282244946850746369", "created_at": "2020-07-12T09:26:32+00:00", "text": "@visakanv Many military personnel will see both 0000 and 2400 being used as a reference to the beginning or the end of the day. Which format is used can generally be reserved for if the day or activity in question is ending or starting at that time.\"\nhttps://t.co/86KwZfpBrT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1282244946850746369", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1281398428828758016", "created_at": "2020-07-10T01:22:47+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Happy birthday!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1281398428828758016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1277782574472052737", "created_at": "2020-06-30T01:54:40+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi Elon Musk comes to mind.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1277782574472052737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1277044219316707328", "created_at": "2020-06-28T01:00:42+00:00", "text": "instantiated*. Mfer...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1277044219316707328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1276945717647544321", "created_at": "2020-06-27T18:29:18+00:00", "text": "@jweisber If we had a unilateral superpower and didn't have MAD, we'd be much closer to an equilibria which could support this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1276945717647544321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1275323808564436992", "created_at": "2020-06-23T07:04:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JeffLadish: The NYT is writing a piece on Scott Alexander, who writes https://t.co/LnBsr6RcEE under a pseudonym, but they're planning t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1275323808564436992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1273768729202036740", "created_at": "2020-06-19T00:05:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @open_phil: When determining our funding priorities, we ask ourselves a number of questions about what the future might hold. In this po…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1273768729202036740", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1273655958326181889", "created_at": "2020-06-18T16:36:58+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn :(", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1273655958326181889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1273125856299364356", "created_at": "2020-06-17T05:30:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: So I wrote up this 23-point agenda for a Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement. #RebootThePolice. \n\n1. Completely disent…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1273125856299364356", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1273085369534369794", "created_at": "2020-06-17T02:49:39+00:00", "text": "@NKel26 Soon, I must drive from Toronto to San Francisco. That's nearly as far as Damascus is from London 😭. Way too much time sitting vigilantly, trying to avoid a combination of minor mistakes that could lead to a mundane permanent end to my existence alone in the middle of nowhere.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1273085369534369794", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1270445694571155461", "created_at": "2020-06-09T20:00:31+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish I'd like to see the health outcomes of protestors who get infected compared to their housemates who stay at home and plausibly catch a higher initial viral load.\n\nI wonder if this data is available for just regular workers with unemployed/stay-at-home housemates.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1270445694571155461", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1270444122663464960", "created_at": "2020-06-09T19:54:17+00:00", "text": "@BashfulFred - geolibertarian (tax land, not labor)\n- cybercratic (rule by information (a hypothetical ideal))\n- singularitarian (aware of risks of emerging superintelligence)\n- longtermist (factors in the overwhelming moral weight of far future people)\n- experimenting", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1270444122663464960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1270160700636356609", "created_at": "2020-06-09T01:08:04+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Don't neglect decision theory", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1270160700636356609", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1270064612763930634", "created_at": "2020-06-08T18:46:14+00:00", "text": "@rivatez If we're still around, I'd presume that our relative disregard for solving coordination problems involving existentially dangerous emerging tech will look the craziest. Also, our neglect of\n- factory farming\n- aging\n- cognitive enhancement\n- applied epistemology & decision theory", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1270064612763930634", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1268070210680098817", "created_at": "2020-06-03T06:41:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @gwern: GPT-3 is terrifying because it's a tiny model compared to what's possible, trained in the dumbest way possible on a single impov…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1268070210680098817", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1267122864911781896", "created_at": "2020-05-31T15:56:47+00:00", "text": "@tkerssen That's some horse shit", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1267122864911781896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1266019828290088960", "created_at": "2020-05-28T14:53:43+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Hermione is probably one factor.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1266019828290088960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1265749684016029699", "created_at": "2020-05-27T21:00:15+00:00", "text": "@yetanothermonk @threadreaderapp unroll", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1265749684016029699", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1264201681899786242", "created_at": "2020-05-23T14:29:03+00:00", "text": "@ShaneAParrish Possibly ethics cost-benefit analysis.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1264201681899786242", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1263912291164131328", "created_at": "2020-05-22T19:19:07+00:00", "text": "@default_friend Not discounting utility across spacetime", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1263912291164131328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1263907568730202112", "created_at": "2020-05-22T19:00:21+00:00", "text": "@DRMacIver Ballroom dancing? Haven't done it in years, but ~8 years ago I did it competitively and in shows.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1263907568730202112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1260994261975281665", "created_at": "2020-05-14T18:03:54+00:00", "text": "@TPCarney I'd have to go multisport w/ a sprint triathlon. Or if I can invent my own event:\n- 10x 5lb weight recoveries from the bottom of a 40ft pool\n- 1 body weight clean & jerk\n- 10x 2xbodyweight deadlifts\n- 50 pullups\n- 20k bike\n- 8k run", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1260994261975281665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1260288541868920834", "created_at": "2020-05-12T19:19:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MenanderSoter: As promised, I've added a new graph to Twitterverse:\n\nhttps://t.co/waGp0I0vYo\n\nRats, etc: 'rationalist', 'post-rational…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1260288541868920834", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1259545100054560770", "created_at": "2020-05-10T18:05:27+00:00", "text": "@AnnaLeptikon @RokoMijicUK If one expects the child they are considering making would increase xrisk, then I think they probably shouldn't have that child.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1259545100054560770", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1259514271580540928", "created_at": "2020-05-10T16:02:57+00:00", "text": "@AnnaLeptikon @RokoMijicUK My intuitions are that as long as one having children leads to x-risk reduction, in expectation, then one is obligated to have them. Of course, x-risk calcs are tricky though, & intuitions often embody a lot of morally-relevant info.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1259514271580540928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1259503956096692224", "created_at": "2020-05-10T15:21:58+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @AnnaLeptikon That's a lot of rabbits though", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1259503956096692224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1256986635159379968", "created_at": "2020-05-03T16:39:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: The deal that the universe offers humanity is this:\n\nIf you're smart enough not to go extinct in the next couple of centuri…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1256986635159379968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1256712471861235716", "created_at": "2020-05-02T22:29:36+00:00", "text": "@the_aiju stimulants", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1256712471861235716", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1255182286745673731", "created_at": "2020-04-28T17:09:11+00:00", "text": "@alukeonlife Who shot this photo, and it what context did they share it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1255182286745673731", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1254501880362917888", "created_at": "2020-04-26T20:05:30+00:00", "text": "@WilliamAEden Perhaps bioethics is more interesting when your ethical beliefs are especially inconsistent & problematic.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1254501880362917888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1254246092511813632", "created_at": "2020-04-26T03:09:05+00:00", "text": "@jprwg If you have an XL phone, this is less awkward than even reaching the top of the phone, imo.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1254246092511813632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1254066163807653888", "created_at": "2020-04-25T15:14:07+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @AWSSupport My referral link for Digital Ocean:\nhttps://t.co/63TCo8HNLN for $100 credit over 60 days", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1254066163807653888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253870344156385287", "created_at": "2020-04-25T02:16:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lukeprog: Superforecasters think there's only a 6% chance we'll have a widely-distributed COVID-19 vaccine by April 2021. https://t.co/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253870344156385287", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253800946880176134", "created_at": "2020-04-24T21:40:14+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @QVagabond @robertwiblin True", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253800946880176134", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253727643192766472", "created_at": "2020-04-24T16:48:57+00:00", "text": "@Austen Genome sequencing,\ngut microbiome testing,\nthermal camera (maybe),\ncortisol-measuring patch,\nhttps://t.co/k5fPFfYyjV", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253727643192766472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253718943673524226", "created_at": "2020-04-24T16:14:23+00:00", "text": "@QVagabond @robertwiblin @RokoMijicUK I am just worried that we are going to see people getting eye/skin injuries/cancer from using traditional 256nm UVC light with people around for sterilization instead of the safe 200-222 nm Far UVC wavelengths.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253718943673524226", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253523547273781248", "created_at": "2020-04-24T03:17:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @chamath: Still so much we don’t know...so, be safe! Respect the shelter in place, wear a mask when out. https://t.co/kojcX6bkro", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253523547273781248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253422936930742274", "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:38:10+00:00", "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman And while being wrong is often costly, the social costs of being wrong is often higher than the non-social, real life consequences of being wrong.\n\nAnd a social tolerance for a controlled narrative may have been selected for because it helps keep a group on the same page.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253422936930742274", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253422027798573057", "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:34:33+00:00", "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Weakness in one's ability to get stuff done can also be hidden in changing one's mind, so norms against changing one's mind probably helped select for people better able to accomplish a specific goal. This, I presume, came at cost to epistemics, but was worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253422027798573057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253420151455678467", "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:27:06+00:00", "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Also, ofc, people often give people a lot of shit for changing their mind, presumably to attack their credibility and authority as well.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253420151455678467", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253418414648856577", "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:20:12+00:00", "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman After all, people are more likely to change their mind when they have an excuse which protects their judgement e.g. \"you didn't have this new information at the time.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253418414648856577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253417457626214400", "created_at": "2020-04-23T20:16:23+00:00", "text": "@Moshe_Hoffman Possibly pathways:\nChanging one's view to another's signals that perhaps people should have been following the other person all along. It hurts one's authority. Less authority → less reproductive fitness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253417457626214400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253401244120604673", "created_at": "2020-04-23T19:11:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jimrandomh: This is what happens when legislators don't know enough economics. The amount of value destroyed is *enormous*. https://t.c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253401244120604673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1253375798289055749", "created_at": "2020-04-23T17:30:51+00:00", "text": "@auren Depends on one's prediction of the counterfactual use of the funds & how well one would use them. If one doesn't have an especially utilitous use of the funds, probably shouldn't take them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1253375798289055749", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1252636409208471553", "created_at": "2020-04-21T16:32:47+00:00", "text": "@dvsch Moved my office to a room away from my partner's so we aren't interrupting each other's activities nearly as much.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1252636409208471553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1252425866845405188", "created_at": "2020-04-21T02:36:10+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 @RAVerBruggen What is behind many intuitions for plurality?\n- bad experiences of naive cost benefit analyses\n- it tends to be a good heuristic due to diminishing marginal utility (as evaluated by naturally-selected preferences)\n- edge case forced choice dilemmas sometimes feel repulsive", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1252425866845405188", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1252422554112802821", "created_at": "2020-04-21T02:23:00+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 @RAVerBruggen The latter commands commensurability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1252422554112802821", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251924203391066114", "created_at": "2020-04-19T17:22:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanWard97: I don't get this need for 'maximization'. Capturing 2643857 utilons is enough for me. I mean it's not like I'm stopping at…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251924203391066114", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251539432987131904", "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:53:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ZachWeiner: What's a philosophical view you hold strongly, but which has practical consequences that you are uncomfortable with?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251539432987131904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251538702607749122", "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:50:53+00:00", "text": "@ZachWeiner @AnnaLeptikon our technological progress and civilizational capacity back to safe levels, and hope our philosophical maturity can outpace our technological maturity the next time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251538702607749122", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251537865672200199", "created_at": "2020-04-18T15:47:34+00:00", "text": "@ZachWeiner @AnnaLeptikon If preventive policing isn't mature enough when individual agents really get access to omnicidal technology (could possibly even be now, it's hard to say when), or if a rising world government's values+epistemics suck, then it might make sense to take measures to set", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251537865672200199", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251358460521955328", "created_at": "2020-04-18T03:54:40+00:00", "text": "@granderojo If I couldn't find any patterns after a few seconds, I'd start trial division of primes up until N**.5.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251358460521955328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1251296776767836160", "created_at": "2020-04-17T23:49:34+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI Yes, imo, but I don't like all my eggs in one basket. My email passphrases are distinct from the password manager's, and aren't recorded by it. Also, the long random passwords generated by the password manager are preferably coupled w/ 2-FA (Yubikey/Auth codes, not text).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1251296776767836160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1250847481891610624", "created_at": "2020-04-16T18:04:13+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn motte^3: save the most quality-adjusted computations", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1250847481891610624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1250821018840698880", "created_at": "2020-04-16T16:19:04+00:00", "text": "@antirobust What are the odds you just inspired this: https://t.co/bWTV077RVo?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1250821018840698880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1250414316131692545", "created_at": "2020-04-15T13:22:59+00:00", "text": "@causalinf @ATabarrok I'm guessing this is necessarily the case because we are talking about infinitesimally small points, and that this wouldn't necessarily be the case for any atoms of the coffee.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1250414316131692545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1249732264172412933", "created_at": "2020-04-13T16:12:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @davidmanheim: If you're interested in probability scoring rules, here's a somewhat technical and nit-picking tweetstorm about why prope…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1249732264172412933", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1249388671012397057", "created_at": "2020-04-12T17:27:26+00:00", "text": "@robert_mariani This neglects accounting for any large homeless encampments that happen to be in national forests, which seem plausible. This is my guesstimate for groups of 1-2 people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1249388671012397057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1249387841550987266", "created_at": "2020-04-12T17:24:08+00:00", "text": "@robert_mariani so I'm going to assume I only missed between 0 and 4 other people who were actually living out there along the trails. There are about 159,000 miles of trails in the US national forests (https://t.co/SoUFhkzPR9). Thus, I'd guesstimate (90%) 830 to 4200 people live out there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1249387841550987266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1247743278063091713", "created_at": "2020-04-08T04:29:14+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl The norm 'violent threats don't work' is broadly useful. Yielding to the 'serial killer' (could be anyone) only sends a signal to others that they too can publish/do whatever they want by making a severe enough threat and following through.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1247743278063091713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1247386238040014849", "created_at": "2020-04-07T04:50:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: My point by point reply to @tylercowen 's 11 point explanation of why he does not favor variolation. https://t.co/zCiroUc0…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1247386238040014849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1245352888404246529", "created_at": "2020-04-01T14:10:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @eriktorenberg: Here some my favorite quotes from Slate Star Codex:\n\nFor folks new to SSC: https://t.co/yacqUISzAY\n\nhttps://t.co/aPAnTst…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1245352888404246529", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1245202511822303233", "created_at": "2020-04-01T04:13:08+00:00", "text": "@ChrisCroy @chessclubgringo @MattBruenig I'd be surprised if companies were still selling contracts at the same price as a few months ago", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1245202511822303233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1243496857818615808", "created_at": "2020-03-27T11:15:28+00:00", "text": "@pulte Assume the avg Twitter user who sees this spends 10 seconds of thought on it. So far, 540,000 * 10 / 3600 = 1500 hours of human life have been spent on this. The EV of retweeting it is $.005 per person. So this is good self advertising, but perhaps not much more than that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1243496857818615808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1243214477253840897", "created_at": "2020-03-26T16:33:23+00:00", "text": "@s_r_constantin An anonymous LLC trying to solve the world's most pressing problems that exist 25+ years from now by trying to create more people of von Neumann-level intelligence within the next couple years.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1243214477253840897", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1243188534778966018", "created_at": "2020-03-26T14:50:18+00:00", "text": "3 rules to follow to protect yourself from COVID-19:\n\nhttps://\nmedium.com/@amcarter/i-ha\nd-no-immune-system-for-months-after-my-bone-marrow-transplant-1b097f16040c\n…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1243188534778966018", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "1243037248746147840", "created_at": "2020-03-26T04:49:09+00:00", "text": "@s_r_constantin Utilitronium shockwaves", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1243037248746147840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1242987744797822978", "created_at": "2020-03-26T01:32:26+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @lukeprog I'm looking to develop it further and have a couple new features in the works. If there are any new features anyone wants though, feel free to let me know here or through the site.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1242987744797822978", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241516799637753864", "created_at": "2020-03-22T00:07:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: The US needs a permanent solution to the @US_FDA \n\nMaybe set up a competitor licensing agency and people can choose which…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241516799637753864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241417403835318272", "created_at": "2020-03-21T17:32:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: With EA Global: San Francisco cancelled due to COVID-19, CEA is running a virtual version of the conference — and you'…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241417403835318272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241400323002052610", "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:24:35+00:00", "text": "@uizapunk @DukakisDude Both age and a history of smoking lend information about the odds of treatment being successful and the expected QALYs of a triage decision. Thus, these factors probably ought to be considered in triage.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241400323002052610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241399154066292739", "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:19:57+00:00", "text": "@uizapunk @DukakisDude I have my own views on what that objective function should be, but a commonly accepted one is Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs). In order to maximize expected QALYs, we need to consider the odds of treatment being successful.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241399154066292739", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241398032471556096", "created_at": "2020-03-21T16:15:29+00:00", "text": "Write rough drafts of a few of those essays you've been meaning to write or record a few talks on your most underrated nuggets of knowledge that you can share with the world in the event you get real sick.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241398032471556096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241380972005863425", "created_at": "2020-03-21T15:07:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: So has anyone seen ANY published cost-benefit analysis of life-years saved vs. economic disruption for #COVID19 lockdown p…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241380972005863425", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1241227489193734144", "created_at": "2020-03-21T04:57:48+00:00", "text": "@DukakisDude Don't know how easy it is to tell if someone is a smoker, but the risk should be calculated into triage decisions on who gets a ventilator. It would be bs for a 34 yo smoker to get a ventilator over a 40 yo nonsmoker, ceteris paribus.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1241227489193734144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1240793470136209416", "created_at": "2020-03-20T00:13:10+00:00", "text": "it sounded like they just said that because commercial flights won't happen in and out of many locations. I can't see what the harm is in me just driving across the border in a few months given there is no way the US contains this better than Canada, but IDK.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1240793470136209416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1239733621432467458", "created_at": "2020-03-17T02:01:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @gabeeegoooh: Epidemic calculator: a visual calculator for modeling possible paths of COVID19\n\nhttps://t.co/bTnri01Xuk\n\n(powered by a SE…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1239733621432467458", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1239725909525114880", "created_at": "2020-03-17T01:31:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @StefanFSchubert: Timely @80000Hours piece on how to most effectively reduce global biorisks. By the inimitable Greg Lewis of @FHIOxford…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1239725909525114880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1239053486983184384", "created_at": "2020-03-15T04:59:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @erikbryn: Why hasn’t the government announced a crash program to make more ventilators and other critical ICU equipment and capacity? W…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1239053486983184384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238997147305086979", "created_at": "2020-03-15T01:15:14+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl ~200 🏕️🌝", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238997147305086979", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238815687382097920", "created_at": "2020-03-14T13:14:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: If I was in charge of the Fed? I would actually do it. I‘d let schools access the repo system. I would hold a huge anno…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238815687382097920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238700874895110145", "created_at": "2020-03-14T05:37:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WilliamAEden: Joscha makes a compelling case that #FlattenTheCurve is dangerously misleading.\n\nTo not overwhelm our current capacity, y…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238700874895110145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238678361607725056", "created_at": "2020-03-14T04:08:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nic__carter: Unsurprisingly we're now in the debunking stage of \"flatten the curve.\" I pretty much agree with this. Our resources are m…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238678361607725056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238311747271917570", "created_at": "2020-03-13T03:51:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AmandaAskell: @ESYudkowsky https://t.co/fSbpR8esQ2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238311747271917570", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238262512602275840", "created_at": "2020-03-13T00:36:03+00:00", "text": "@DavidSHolz @micsolana I'm talking to them and might put in an order. I still don't have a ton of info yet beyond what's on the spec sheet, besides the fact that this stuff is pricey as one of their key people has been on vacation. DM me if you'd be interested in going in on an order w/ me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238262512602275840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238213509328109568", "created_at": "2020-03-12T21:21:20+00:00", "text": "@DavidSHolz This is the only commercial source I've seen so far. https://t.co/2tiveRNEEi\n\n(They only sell to businesses, not consumers yet.)\n\nAnyone find another 200 - 222 nm lamps?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238213509328109568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1238115541031825411", "created_at": "2020-03-12T14:52:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @voxdotcom: Plain old soap is a bad-ass coronavirus killer https://t.co/GdBFQvXmZu", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1238115541031825411", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237966116531642369", "created_at": "2020-03-12T04:58:17+00:00", "text": "I remember seeing some guesstimate of how many people could be expected to counterfactually die from someone transmitting COVID-19 to an additional person, but can't find it. Anyone know where that is?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237966116531642369", "word_count": 32 }, { "id": "1237854751355617281", "created_at": "2020-03-11T21:35:45+00:00", "text": "@G_Langenderfer @spakhm He's way too toxic for any political office.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237854751355617281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237777267910152194", "created_at": "2020-03-11T16:27:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jacyreese: Most people have seen the scary math on how unprepared humanity is for #COVID2019, particularly US medical infrastructure (e…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237777267910152194", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237717053144010753", "created_at": "2020-03-11T12:28:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @anderssandberg: There is a lot of throwing around word \"panic\" related to #COVID19 reactions, usually implying a level of irrational co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237717053144010753", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237630436643307521", "created_at": "2020-03-11T06:44:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @PalliThordarson: 1/25 Part 1 - Why does soap work so well on the SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus and indeed most viruses? Because it is a s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237630436643307521", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237590709307183105", "created_at": "2020-03-11T04:06:33+00:00", "text": "@LodeCossaer @s8mb It doesn't have to be enough to get off pain free, just enough for some chosen number of businesses to not counterfactually go under.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237590709307183105", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237586885905534976", "created_at": "2020-03-11T03:51:21+00:00", "text": "@Scholars_Stage Because they're generally lower quality?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237586885905534976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237586281783103493", "created_at": "2020-03-11T03:48:57+00:00", "text": "@Scholars_Stage Given my uncertainty about it, I'm hoping some number of colleges don't shut down so we'll see data to learn if it helped reduce net infections.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237586281783103493", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237520057887940608", "created_at": "2020-03-10T23:25:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sethbannon: American Hospital Association \"Best Guess Epidemiology\" for #codiv19 over next 2 months:\n\n96,000,000 infections\n4,800,000 h…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237520057887940608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237511563109527552", "created_at": "2020-03-10T22:52:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @balajis: What are the long-term effects of COVID19?\n\nSome have a binary mental model: either you die, or you live & all is well. But wi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237511563109527552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237495822285189122", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:49:30+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg I'll need a spectral distribution from them too before I go much further. Pretty much all wavelengths have to be between 200 and 222 nm to be safe for humans. Otherwise, anyone might as well buy 256 nm lights which are like 50x cheaper.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237495822285189122", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237490098113036288", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:26:45+00:00", "text": "This tech seems to be good news for biorisk though! It's on the pricier side to be used much now outside an operating room (once FDA approval), a virology lab (as an _extra_ safety measure), or for the richy rich (personal or corporate), but the lamps should get cheaper.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237490098113036288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237489141614555138", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:22:57+00:00", "text": "I was just hoping for some magical product like under $100, but this still might be worth pursuing further if I got several orders placed ahead of time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237489141614555138", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237489016229986311", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:22:27+00:00", "text": "It's not approved of by the FDA yet for human use, so I don't think you could market the product as human safe, which isn't ideal. But you could provide its spectral distribution and studies that show how 222 nm light neither passes through skin nor into eyes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237489016229986311", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237484272296038410", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:03:36+00:00", "text": "That's not a terrible deal for new technology that continuously disables pathogens in one's environment, especially given Covid-19 and potentially worse pathogens, but it's not outstanding either.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237484272296038410", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1237483408902717441", "created_at": "2020-03-10T21:00:10+00:00", "text": "Been talking to a company and this stuff is a bit pricey. Still haven't got a clear understanding of the actual radiant flux of their product, but it looks like everything would turn out to $1000 for a 20 watt bulb and $2400 for something probably between 37 and 200 watts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237483408902717441", "word_count": 51 }, { "id": "1237406876276535296", "created_at": "2020-03-10T15:56:03+00:00", "text": "Many govt Covid-19 responses underscore that while obviously govts can sometimes get shit done, we can't totally rely on them for public safety, nor dealing with x-risks effectively. The future is in yours and my hands.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1237406876276535296", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "1237206759359623168", "created_at": "2020-03-10T02:40:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WilliamAEden: Read this thread from Lombardy.\n\nRead it again. Let it sink in.\n\nTHIS IS ALL OF US within weeks to months, depending on l…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237206759359623168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237154068293988352", "created_at": "2020-03-09T23:11:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AmandaAskell: Either give me competent government oversight or give me a wild west in which I can drown myself in snake oil if I want t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237154068293988352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1237072302338170886", "created_at": "2020-03-09T17:46:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @StefanFSchubert: A new online textbook on utilitarianism, created by Meissner, MacAskill, and Aung. A very good initiative and an excel…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1237072302338170886", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236891259563843584", "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:47:11+00:00", "text": "@mishayagudin Thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236891259563843584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236886986499244033", "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:30:12+00:00", "text": "@antirobust And I'm not trying to make up words btw, I'm just under the impression that ~Platonic ideals, or 'abstract objects that are claimed to ought to be treated as actual things that exist', ought to be capitalized.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236886986499244033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236884010057564160", "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:18:22+00:00", "text": "@antirobust hypothetical, self-consistent ordering of states of affairs according to desirability that we'd all agree to if we had perfect information and were perfectly rational agents.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236884010057564160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236880543859593216", "created_at": "2020-03-09T05:04:36+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Utilitarianism is, imo, the natural result of trying to be self-consistent with what one values.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236880543859593216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236878894126583813", "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:58:03+00:00", "text": "@antirobust potentially at cost to human civilization's life span.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236878894126583813", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236878342156177408", "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:55:51+00:00", "text": "@antirobust If one then encounters an alien civilization with human-like qualities, one must either be more specific, with good reason, about what it is exactly about 'humans' that makes them especially valuable, or decide that the alien's expected-lifespan must be maximized too, even", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236878342156177408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236875265592221696", "created_at": "2020-03-09T04:43:38+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Yeah the first tweet is just about utility existing at all", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236875265592221696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236861710629289984", "created_at": "2020-03-09T03:49:46+00:00", "text": "@antirobust I'd love to find evidence that changes my mind, but I struggle to give hardly any weight to any ethical system that doesn't ultimately espouse the maximization of utility, where what is (dis)utilitous are (mostly currently unknown) particular arrangements of matter+energy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236861710629289984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236851572019212289", "created_at": "2020-03-09T03:09:29+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Idk exactly. The majority of arguments I see of a Pascalian flavor are faulty though. A lot of the errors come from asserting one can choose beliefs rather than helplessly update. Others are from overinflating odds of complex beliefs already plucked out of possible-belief-space.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236851572019212289", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236825790559522816", "created_at": "2020-03-09T01:27:02+00:00", "text": "@Cullen_OK Including future people, to the degree one can affect their probability of existing!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236825790559522816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236556517446426625", "created_at": "2020-03-08T07:37:02+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I don't quite follow that. They were saying that Utility is unlikely to exist if God doesn't exist? That doesn't at all seem to be the case to me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236556517446426625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236531871498018818", "created_at": "2020-03-08T05:59:06+00:00", "text": "@kjekac The tiny antisocial part of myself that feels like it's been wronged by mobs of stupid people over its life...let's just say it isn't in the worst of possible moods atm.\n\nThe rest is concerned though and wants to proactively flatten the curve.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236531871498018818", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236516999687286785", "created_at": "2020-03-08T05:00:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jameshamblin: Just an idea. We’ll need quarantine facilities for people who get sick and can’t just stay home and infect their whole fa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236516999687286785", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236512444589236225", "created_at": "2020-03-08T04:41:54+00:00", "text": "@InertialObservr Better for everyone to be especially authentic and screen each other out sooner than later.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236512444589236225", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236183844019150849", "created_at": "2020-03-07T06:56:10+00:00", "text": "@balajis If only these were actually in production:\nhttps://t.co/YMK3BtZKKp", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236183844019150849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236034562435792903", "created_at": "2020-03-06T21:02:58+00:00", "text": "@elonmusk I'll bet you with 10:1 odds that it kills 10 million by 2022.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236034562435792903", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236016491419570180", "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:10+00:00", "text": "people could thank a shooter for using the app, especially if it's their first time, which could incentivize more people to download the app and use it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236016491419570180", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1236016489964228613", "created_at": "2020-03-06T19:51:09+00:00", "text": "see an explanation which will probably usually be comforting.\n\nCould an active shooter abuse this? Maybe, but in general, people don't investigate gunshots much anyway, so I suspect it would overall quench people's curiosity and alleviate some anxieties.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1236016489964228613", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235797014606016512", "created_at": "2020-03-06T05:19:02+00:00", "text": "@benleo_econ https://t.co/0pUAaJM1es", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235797014606016512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235782129503662081", "created_at": "2020-03-06T04:19:54+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski 950ppm seems surprisingly high to me, but looking into it, that does seem to happen in some areas of some cities with a fair amount of traffic. I live between a four lane road about 150m away and the Gulf about 600m away if that helps explain my sensor's ppm reading.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235782129503662081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235696125803409408", "created_at": "2020-03-05T22:38:09+00:00", "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego Can't increases in female labor supply explain the decrease in real wages, and inflation explain rises in CPI?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235696125803409408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235643763826905088", "created_at": "2020-03-05T19:10:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tobyordoxford: The Precipice is out today in the UK. I'm so pleased to finally share what I've been working on for the last three years…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235643763826905088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235623121509548034", "created_at": "2020-03-05T17:48:03+00:00", "text": "1e11 human beings w/ 30 year (9.5e8 second) avg lifespans= 9.5e19.\n\nWith utilitronium likely leading to >1e60 desirable consciousness/seconds, you only have to be able to influence odds of an eventual utilitronium shockwave by 1/1e40 for my prop to be true.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235623121509548034", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235594036565721088", "created_at": "2020-03-05T15:52:29+00:00", "text": "E.g. if you value seconds of desirable conscious experience, your actions each day can lead to more seconds of well-being, in expectation, then has ever been previously experienced by human beings.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235594036565721088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235576176946622464", "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:41:31+00:00", "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego I wouldn't be surprised if prices are, on avg, inflated a little, but it doesn't make sense to me how the majority of people will not overall have more purchasing power. There are too many competing options for too many things; businesses must limit price hikes or lose profit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235576176946622464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235574299978682369", "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:03+00:00", "text": "So given the data and my subjective experience, I've been leaving the window open basically 24/7 now, and it's been nice. Have had surprisingly few bugs so far (although it is winter), but am prepared to buy some mesh screen and jury rig a solution if/when it becomes a problem.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235574299978682369", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235574297864925184", "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:03+00:00", "text": "And tbh, while I'm skeptical of myself and am aware of a plausible placebo effect, I think I noticed the sort of subtle improvement in my thinking that I previously attributed mostly to just getting the blood flowing when I walk outside.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235574297864925184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235574296317014017", "created_at": "2020-03-05T14:34:02+00:00", "text": "So I got the sensor running, and learned that my tiny dorm room gets pretty close to 1000ppm CO2 when I'm in it. Thus, I finally opened my super stiff old window without a screen to keep bugs out, and the CO2 promptly dropped below 450ppm.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235574296317014017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235427026191953921", "created_at": "2020-03-05T04:48:50+00:00", "text": "@jprwg @conorduffy_7 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235427026191953921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235402745177235457", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:12:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanWard97: @Evolving_Ego While I expect a ~$1k UBI to be enough that many people would reduce their workload & contribute less to the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235402745177235457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235402680526389248", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:12:06+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego counterfactual realized utility. Because we can't truly know counterfactuals, 2nd and Nth placers often get nothing. A UBI roughly helps address this issue of overvaluing people who were first.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235402680526389248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235402207996112896", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:10:13+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego E.g. rich people sometimes have money not because no one would have filled in their shoes if they didn't do economically valued thing X, but because they were *first*. While being first should be rewarded, it should technically only be rewarded proportionally to the", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235402207996112896", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1235401134396841984", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:05:57+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego more chances to overcome randomness and ultimately have more influence over human labor/capital.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235401134396841984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235400618547822592", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:03:54+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego Also, while wealthy people tend to know how to incentivize labor in a way that people value, better than others, success is also partially a result of random chance, and redistributing some of that ability to incentivize labor gives people who are truly better at producing value,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235400618547822592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235399807335882752", "created_at": "2020-03-05T03:00:41+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego Also, if you think of the impact of various cause areas as following a ~power law distribution, which doesn't seem unreasonable to me, people investing money in a wider range of causes should be very utilitous.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235399807335882752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235398902754553857", "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:57:05+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego Success is a result of not only skill but, effectively, random chance. Because it's hard to quickly get back on your feet after being knocked down to a low net worth, many potentially productive people stay around zero for a hot minute. A UBI can help fix this issue.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235398902754553857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235397390397370368", "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:51:05+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego It doesn't really hurt society much for a few people to dropout and game for a living or whatever. What hurts society far more is productive people not having the capital to invent, build businesses, & do research again quickly after having their net worth knocked down near zero", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235397390397370368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235395975843282944", "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:45:27+00:00", "text": "@Galvaxatron @Evolving_Ego Few businesses have a monopoly. Competition will continue and keep prices from rising much. The purchasing power of the median person will increase.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235395975843282944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235394480330555392", "created_at": "2020-03-05T02:39:31+00:00", "text": "@jprwg @Evolving_Ego This is mitigated by the fact that existing welfare systems don't reach many of the people who need them. A UBI will reach everyone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235394480330555392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235384001306730498", "created_at": "2020-03-05T01:57:52+00:00", "text": "@JohnHolbein1 Become dictator. Then I'd lend out most authority to the most calibrated people that I know.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235384001306730498", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235264563463041026", "created_at": "2020-03-04T18:03:16+00:00", "text": "Ooo apparently some LessWrongers agree (in the comments):\nhttps://t.co/TGUYWUosTl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235264563463041026", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235259096049291264", "created_at": "2020-03-04T17:41:33+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg Yeah one has to be careful", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235259096049291264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1235251802301444096", "created_at": "2020-03-04T17:12:34+00:00", "text": "For anyone feeling creative, you can buy copper foil tape for about $12 and DIY. https://t.co/nd9GqpMGTx", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1235251802301444096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1234571997151219714", "created_at": "2020-03-02T20:11:16+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton It will be nice for a lot of people once degrees from them are treated equally, or equally enough, compared to a traditional degree.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1234571997151219714", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1234330457417953281", "created_at": "2020-03-02T04:11:28+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Yeah that too", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1234330457417953281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1234321810281451520", "created_at": "2020-03-02T03:37:06+00:00", "text": "would be the neg. EU of possibly dying early. If the situation is to catch it now or say, in 200 days, & it's a .5% death rate for me, that's only about one lost day of life in expectation of catching it early. The Δpeace of mind after I'm no longer infectious might be worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1234321810281451520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1234320029174423554", "created_at": "2020-03-02T03:30:02+00:00", "text": "I'm under the impression we don't know enough about the virus's true long term effects, so I don't really wish this, but if we knew there weren't long term effects and it was guaranteed I'd eventually catch it (which is not the case), the only good reason not to catch it now...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1234320029174423554", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233588663319224322", "created_at": "2020-02-29T03:03:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jonmummolo: New @The_JOP by @seanjwestwood @SolomonMg @ylelkes shows probabilistic election forecasts like @FiveThirtyEight confuse vot…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233588663319224322", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233554347507757058", "created_at": "2020-02-29T00:47:29+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Yes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233554347507757058", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233438574730792960", "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:07:27+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JohnCGreer the end of his 2nd term to try to hold onto power longer.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233438574730792960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233437089628381186", "created_at": "2020-02-28T17:01:32+00:00", "text": "Given a 5 day hospital stay (is that reasonable?), it makes sense if you think your odds of getting that sick and getting admitted over the next year are above 1.8%.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233437089628381186", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233431019249905665", "created_at": "2020-02-28T16:37:25+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JohnCGreer Yeah true I don't feel a war with Russia is likely, but I imagine it's more likely than under Bernie or Warren.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233431019249905665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233225331462545408", "created_at": "2020-02-28T03:00:05+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer plausibly could hurt peoples' beliefs that we can actually solve hard coordination problems, which I expect would potentiate a negative self-fulfilling prophecy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233225331462545408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233224365107531776", "created_at": "2020-02-28T02:56:15+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer of the world's computations by doing bs things that have people fixing his problems and thinking about him. Further, the fact that he still remains in office is a signal to people that we as a civilization are incompetent and unconscientious as fuck, which", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233224365107531776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233099646878220294", "created_at": "2020-02-27T18:40:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @shl: If you’re going to spend time disagreeing, disagree with smart people you respect about topics you really care about.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233099646878220294", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233091071535611912", "created_at": "2020-02-27T18:06:35+00:00", "text": "worthy enough of doing in place of Social Obligation?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233091071535611912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233074904150532098", "created_at": "2020-02-27T17:02:21+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer @mishayagudin Yeah the masks currently have a 4 week processing time just to ship them, so I think that if one wants to have one for a truly threatening pandemic without paying a fortune, one would probably want to buy one when it still seems overkill.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233074904150532098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1233043833904148482", "created_at": "2020-02-27T14:58:53+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @alimanfoo: Some coronavirus advice I've gleaned from folks who've worked in or studied other epidemics. Please take seriously and pass…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1233043833904148482", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1232815427497218048", "created_at": "2020-02-26T23:51:17+00:00", "text": "If anyone thinks of any features they'd be interested in using, feel free to submit them at https://t.co/h47l49w5Ww or here 😀", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1232815427497218048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1232679688046292998", "created_at": "2020-02-26T14:51:54+00:00", "text": "• Quickly generate and share the probability distribution you have in mind to better communicate uncertainty.\n\nhttps://t.co/kC8dcFNzEK", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1232679688046292998", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1230744748018651140", "created_at": "2020-02-21T06:43:08+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/HTAOI1F0Hu", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1230744748018651140", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229618076464951298", "created_at": "2020-02-18T04:06:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: I just want to point out again that spending a large fraction of one's intellectual effort engaging with low-quality criti…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229618076464951298", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229204281116499968", "created_at": "2020-02-17T00:41:52+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear Glad you asked! Here's one: https://t.co/EXH2259gSp", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229204281116499968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229182135514337281", "created_at": "2020-02-16T23:13:52+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear Probabilistic cost-benefit analysis via Monte Carlo simulation. Gotta keep track of that uncertainty.\n\nAlso, murphyjitsu https://t.co/Zuq6UGHIqL or https://t.co/4dO1nlFqUN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229182135514337281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229094205340966912", "created_at": "2020-02-16T17:24:28+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu It's not easy to imagine how people make explicit, conscious decisions without a similar understanding of replaceability/counterfactuals.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229094205340966912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229085055726837761", "created_at": "2020-02-16T16:48:07+00:00", "text": "In other words, people need to be precise with their arguments against PGD, cloning, CRISPR editing, & incentives for high g/conscientious/achieving/thoughtful/{desirable quality} people to reproduce. \"No intentionality\" is a non-starter.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229085055726837761", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1229044514448400384", "created_at": "2020-02-16T14:07:01+00:00", "text": "Akin to AI alignment, we need human+ alignment to make sure we aren't raising superb problem solvers who are emotionally broken and ethically lost. E.g. imagine the damage that a von Neumann from an abusive household could do.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1229044514448400384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1228399490505134080", "created_at": "2020-02-14T19:23:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @willmacaskill: Very timely, one of my colleagues at Oxford suggests the most impactful things governments and researchers around the wo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1228399490505134080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1228053575051489286", "created_at": "2020-02-13T20:29:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @willmacaskill: Love this short film, \"How to do the most good possible\" by The Economist. Definitely the most EPIC introduction to effe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1228053575051489286", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1227414652331712513", "created_at": "2020-02-12T02:10:32+00:00", "text": "@JackWiIli It lowers social inhibitions and allows important truths to be said :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1227414652331712513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1225471463010062336", "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:28:59+00:00", "text": "@mattparlmer Police are still positioned to be one of society's lines of defense for reason, as they don't face all the lobbying and political correctness pressure of politicians. No one is going to get them in trouble for not predatorily, or even proactively, enforcing such bs laws.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1225471463010062336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1225468004793769985", "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:15:15+00:00", "text": "@mattparlmer This could have been me. I made the decision in August to attend my school in Sarasota as opposed to USF Tampa in Hillsborough, and have been side hustling--only for family so far--doing home renovation work.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1225468004793769985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1225465399942221824", "created_at": "2020-02-06T17:04:54+00:00", "text": "@mckaywrigley Nick Beckstead's thesis, \"On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future\" https://t.co/VGjKfXLRXs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1225465399942221824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1225292898599657473", "created_at": "2020-02-06T05:39:26+00:00", "text": "@HCSOSheriff What a shitty thing for a police department to spend time on. That's not like the libertarian Florida that I know.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1225292898599657473", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1224258158945681410", "created_at": "2020-02-03T09:07:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RuleOfFlaw: Why did you have to invoke Aumann's agreement theorem, you realize I have to fight you to the death now?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1224258158945681410", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1222277298835140609", "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:56:31+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo donating $100 entirely to AMF or entirely to HKI, I should probably donate to AMF with more rigor than I choose to lift as opposed to running.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1222277298835140609", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1222275960680189959", "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:51:12+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo E.g. I am approximately just as confident that Against Malaria Foundation is more impactful w/ a marginal dollar than Helen Keller International, as I am that I'm better off, idk, lifting today rather than running (note: not very confident), but if I faced a choice today between", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1222275960680189959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1222270042693390336", "created_at": "2020-01-28T21:27:41+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo But the problem here is ~classic scope neglect: I was sometimes having the importance of doing X or ¬X be a function of the probability I thought one was better than the other, and wasn't giving enough weight to the actual utility at stake.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1222270042693390336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1222231084647272448", "created_at": "2020-01-28T18:52:53+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MaxCRoser: Food production is responsible for one-quarter of the world’s greenhouse gas emission.\n\nIf you want to reduce the carbon foo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1222231084647272448", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1222048492203454465", "created_at": "2020-01-28T06:47:19+00:00", "text": "Unique(?), but plausibly underrated strategy my friend practices: she resists the urge to offer shitty people advice, so they can't learn how to blend in & fly under other people's radar.\n\nGiving surface improvement advice that doesn't fix bad character may often be net harmful.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1222048492203454465", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "1222043312581947393", "created_at": "2020-01-28T06:26:44+00:00", "text": "@vgr I forget about this most of the time & remember it every few months, & it's such a relief for a few moments. \"Of course life is weird in these ways, your neurobiology couldn't even support an objective self in principle. Your doing pretty ok for a product of physical evolution\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1222043312581947393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1221661014514683904", "created_at": "2020-01-27T05:07:37+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton Thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1221661014514683904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1221646858730319874", "created_at": "2020-01-27T04:11:22+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I know, right?\n\nI met a lovely woman up there on a ~business trip & we unexpectedly hit it off! :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1221646858730319874", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1220444177709793281", "created_at": "2020-01-23T20:32:21+00:00", "text": "I.e. it may be more of a chemical problem than a neuro-structural one.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1220444177709793281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1220090326704119808", "created_at": "2020-01-22T21:06:16+00:00", "text": "@michaelmalice Not a fan of HRC, but this is fake news.\nhttps://t.co/yzo1vd1XwB\n// Epistemic spot check complete. https://t.co/aQiPXbouDb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1220090326704119808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1219318520212639745", "created_at": "2020-01-20T17:59:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DoctorJosh: Introducing computer-designed organisms.\n\nOur new study out this week in PNAS.\n\nw/ @drmichaellevin, Douglas Blackiston, and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1219318520212639745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1217524332655775744", "created_at": "2020-01-15T19:09:56+00:00", "text": "Nevermind, we're good! I figured I'd get an email, but yeah, it processed.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1217524332655775744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1217514477039603713", "created_at": "2020-01-15T18:30:46+00:00", "text": "@aristotelianmem @Jon_StewartMill Nick Bostrom.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1217514477039603713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1217514270931464198", "created_at": "2020-01-15T18:29:57+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I like plurably!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1217514270931464198", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1217489450441367557", "created_at": "2020-01-15T16:51:19+00:00", "text": "@davidu I bet you can find a better deal, but even if you can't, punish them and leave!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1217489450441367557", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216859469734465536", "created_at": "2020-01-13T23:08:00+00:00", "text": "@luismen1991 I think it's fair to ask, but yeah I'm disappointed at how many people wind up at the wrong conclusion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216859469734465536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216847683660533763", "created_at": "2020-01-13T22:21:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanWard97: @RokoMijicUK It's related, but I think there's an opportunity for exceptionally smart guys to do some good/raise IQ by gett…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216847683660533763", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216781480518615044", "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:58:06+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK New York is decidedly not donor friendly, but California & Florida are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216781480518615044", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216775723656060929", "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:35:13+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK the genes of someone even smarter/happier/healthier. Which isn't surprising, but for some reason, I'm not seeing like any university professors & the like on there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216775723656060929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216774306027524096", "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:29:35+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Most of the donors surely are on there just to have sex (\"natural insemination only\") or take pleasure from knowing they have kids out there. I get the impression there's very little considerations of counterfactuals & how the life the expected child could plausibly be better w/", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216774306027524096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216769542216658945", "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:10:40+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Assuming the average donor/recipient on there is 100 IQ and it takes a total of 20 hours of communication/legal paperwork/meeting with a recipient, to give them their baby, that might translate into .5-1 IQ point raised in a person for the rest of there life/ hour.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216769542216658945", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1216767440220250112", "created_at": "2020-01-13T17:02:18+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK A surprising amount of women are on these because they don't want to pay high sperm bank prices or just want to get to know their donors better, but the quality of guys on there--let's just say they are not predominantly doctors/lawyers/engineers.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216767440220250112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216539230484168711", "created_at": "2020-01-13T01:55:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @LauraDeming: I'm extremely confused re how to think about 'levels of selection' in evolution. If anyone can explain this clearly or has…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216539230484168711", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216427667874025474", "created_at": "2020-01-12T18:32:10+00:00", "text": "Now that I think about it, I wonder why ultra rich folks didn't spend more money on Hillary in 2016. I guess they were willing to gamble with the ~4:1 odds? From a philanthropic perspective, spending even $1b on Hillary should have seemed like a bargain, even w/out hindsight.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1216427667874025474", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1216277394375565313", "created_at": "2020-01-12T08:35:02+00:00", "text": "@abstractify Thank you!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216277394375565313", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216271505551712257", "created_at": "2020-01-12T08:11:38+00:00", "text": "One neat thing I've been able to do easily is add a bunch of tags and metadata to a spreadsheet, so now you can see my posts sorted by importance, confidence (in the main claim), as well as topic: https://t.co/LjoDbSfAcY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216271505551712257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216263512353275904", "created_at": "2020-01-12T07:39:53+00:00", "text": "Besides the personal benefits of opening up more, I think there's broad benefits to discourse when people see other people saying heterodox stuff. And every suppressed spicy take counterfactually doesn't expand the Overton window.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216263512353275904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1216263510512017409", "created_at": "2020-01-12T07:39:52+00:00", "text": "sometimes have some 'heterodox' shit I want to say. After all, anyone that knows me knows I can play Boring Normal Man™ in any necessary professional setting and knows that I have a sharp eye for spotting cringe when IGAF.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1216263510512017409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1212243312230445056", "created_at": "2020-01-01T05:25:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Rainmaker1973: Lenia is a cellular automaton with continuous states. It supports an unexpected (bio)diversity of persistent life forms,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1212243312230445056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1212048382610546689", "created_at": "2019-12-31T16:30:27+00:00", "text": "@newscientist Oof get muted", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1212048382610546689", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1211742550689746945", "created_at": "2019-12-30T20:15:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @The_Lagrangian: 365 * 1.01 = 368.65\n365 * 0.99 = 361.35\n\nreally make u think", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1211742550689746945", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1210999520869396487", "created_at": "2019-12-28T19:02:39+00:00", "text": "@xriskology I'm a bit surprised to hear that from you given your focus on x-risk and omnicidal agents. What sort of scenarios are you concerned about?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1210999520869396487", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1210450830312296448", "created_at": "2019-12-27T06:42:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SkylerShuler: Three of Kevin Spacey’s accusers have died this year. \n\nLinda Culkin: hit by car\n\nJohn Doe: name and death withheld\n\nAri…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1210450830312296448", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1209979767208005632", "created_at": "2019-12-25T23:30:31+00:00", "text": "@jprwg That video never fails to make me laugh 😂. https://t.co/zioc1tvjQ7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1209979767208005632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1209558497710559232", "created_at": "2019-12-24T19:36:33+00:00", "text": "@balajis Apparently this MFer has had not just one accuser mysteriously stop cooperating with prosecutors, but *two* accusers who have died amidst their lawsuit against him. That's on top of other sexual harrassment and assault claims.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1209558497710559232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1209125869232513025", "created_at": "2019-12-23T14:57:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ATabarrok: Work on these things. Post of the year by @tylercowen https://t.co/4pkXU79C3t", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1209125869232513025", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1208871687967723520", "created_at": "2019-12-22T22:07:24+00:00", "text": "@rothosphere @Aella_Girl When I was a diver, I was so jealous of my coworkers with huge eustachian tubes who could just be dropped down the water column worry free. It often takes me a second to clear, which can be scary when you have little control over your decent when hard hat diving.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1208871687967723520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1208857252658110465", "created_at": "2019-12-22T21:10:03+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl @rothosphere Do you mean perform a valsalva maneuver or https://t.co/u4x23H0H9B\nequalize pressure hands-free?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1208857252658110465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1208402294833856513", "created_at": "2019-12-21T15:02:12+00:00", "text": "@VitalikButerin ~sex.?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1208402294833856513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1207335254496817153", "created_at": "2019-12-18T16:22:10+00:00", "text": "@Mike_Strayer Ethical naturalism sounds like an ideology or a process to me though. Is there a term already or a good candidate term for the abstract object that moral naturalists refer to and try to uncover?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1207335254496817153", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1207323565311303680", "created_at": "2019-12-18T15:35:43+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Oh interesting. If this can lead to insights/weight for smart systemic tweaks that can carry over to other sectors, then this seems like a more fruitful story to focus on.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1207323565311303680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1207077698297901056", "created_at": "2019-12-17T23:18:44+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Aella_Girl It's one of my favorite rationalist jokes. 🤣\n\"*condescending voice* We've known how to compute inductive probabilities for decades now. What's wrong, you can't just implement the procedure?\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1207077698297901056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1207069210616176647", "created_at": "2019-12-17T22:45:00+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl $1 doesn't really get my brain caring all that much about being precise however, so I try to pretend a lot is at stake. Like betting $8.5k for a $1k return. To avoid having intuitions regarding diminishing marginal utility get in the way, I pretend that I'm rich AF.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1207069210616176647", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205149656151408640", "created_at": "2019-12-12T15:37:23+00:00", "text": "I mean don't try to create a good that's differentiated just because it's 'green', or collude with competitors to raise prices to cover the cost of some sub-par social good. I'm not advocating for monopoly & pricing selfishly at significant cost to impartial gains from trade.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205149656151408640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205138227809701888", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:51:58+00:00", "text": "An argument against an extreme power law distribution for cost-effectiveness over different cause areas: https://t.co/0290Fwe37c", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205138227809701888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205133475382251520", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:33:05+00:00", "text": "This hits-based impact phenomena seems to be a very strong argument, among others, for some level of universal basic income.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205133475382251520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205130538400567296", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:21:25+00:00", "text": "Even if not a single person really knows what they are doing, which is unlikely, some one person's $1M is likely, imo, to do more good than 97% of everybody else's allocations combined.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205130538400567296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205130537226121217", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:21:24+00:00", "text": "Companies that move away from legal profit maximization take away consumers' ability to be socially conscious. It's like, if you're Joe Smoe with a $1B to donate to non-profits & barely know what you are doing, just give the money to a bunch of people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205130537226121217", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205127728430751745", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:10:15+00:00", "text": "just a few consumers spending less on their chosen social causes could very likely decrease net-utility to a degree that the company's social spending is altogether net-negative.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205127728430751745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1205127727629701121", "created_at": "2019-12-12T14:10:15+00:00", "text": "Socially-conscious company X might seem to e.g. double their net-utility to the world by going carbon neutral and \"only\" passing along a 20% markup to consumers, but given the diversification of socially-conscious spending by consumers & a sufficiently large consumer base,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205127727629701121", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1205023976243773440", "created_at": "2019-12-12T07:17:58+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg @benhartney I want to build something like that. I think for just refining analyses within a small team, Jupiter notebooks could be really nice for this. That doesn't provide the nice visuals for the relationship between variables though. Guesstimate isn't bad as it is for this...🤔", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1205023976243773440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1204986756531130368", "created_at": "2019-12-12T04:50:04+00:00", "text": "@TrevorVossberg Thanks! That's actually part of my inspiration for the idea. I think we can do better by including not only philosophers' degree of belief about various propositions, but where they expect their credence could move with say, an hours' more thought.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1204986756531130368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1204942485610516480", "created_at": "2019-12-12T01:54:09+00:00", "text": "Past elaboration: https://t.co/SA8shjF39G", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1204942485610516480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1204600732265177089", "created_at": "2019-12-11T03:16:09+00:00", "text": "@ne0liberal @calebwatney Also, I'm sure not everyone clicks it. Maybe not even 95%.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1204600732265177089", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1204478374938382348", "created_at": "2019-12-10T19:09:57+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish that the long-term future is very likely to be to be screwed if we don't allow ultra dense conglomerations of wealth to happen. I'm not very confident that this is or isn't the case, so I just think the question warrants a much much closer look.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1204478374938382348", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1204475024947777536", "created_at": "2019-12-10T18:56:38+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish Even if there's only, say, a 40% chance the right person becomes a trillionaire, it's not immediately obvious to me that we wouldn't want to take that gamble given the nature and probability of problems that democratic institutions are unlikely to solve.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1204475024947777536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203855768732221440", "created_at": "2019-12-09T01:55:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tyler_m_john: Check out my recent EA Forum post on 33 institutional designs and policies which may be able to significantly improve the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203855768732221440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203852294292430848", "created_at": "2019-12-09T01:42:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tyler_m_john: Deontology has been subject to decisive objections. Why do we still take it seriously?\n\n/thread", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203852294292430848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203829885539672066", "created_at": "2019-12-09T00:13:05+00:00", "text": "@ASFleischman The most porn-banning advocates should be advocating for is experimentation i.e. banning it in a couple counties here and there for a ~5 years to gather data.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203829885539672066", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203803308969938944", "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:27:29+00:00", "text": "Elaboration:\nhttps://t.co/bjJA9dMBEa", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203803308969938944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203798146092032001", "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:06:58+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I totally agree w/ you on person-moments and expected counterfactual people having moral weight. If written on replaceability in an abortion paper if you're curious:\nhttps://t.co/4QjzomqBj8", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203798146092032001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203796963495497730", "created_at": "2019-12-08T22:02:16+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Upsetting at first, not forever though right?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203796963495497730", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203796330436542466", "created_at": "2019-12-08T21:59:45+00:00", "text": "@jprwg You are saying natalism and the obligation for net-positive qualia/instrumental beings to be born is upsetting?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203796330436542466", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203794303308509191", "created_at": "2019-12-08T21:51:41+00:00", "text": "@jprwg What are you sorry about?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203794303308509191", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203775685480919041", "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:37:43+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I like the null values!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203775685480919041", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203774350161305600", "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:32:24+00:00", "text": "Also, the ability to post tweets that can't be deleted. This can increase the credibility of promises and predictions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203774350161305600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203770349583777792", "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:16:30+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller My impression is that a half shaded digit means that the one to the left is ~50% likely to go up E(5) and ~50% likely to go down E(5). A second shaded digit would mean the digit to the left, which is ~equally likely to be anything(?) has a ~50% likelihood of going up or down E(5)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203770349583777792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203766254391218176", "created_at": "2019-12-08T20:00:14+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller And if you're going to do that, it's harmless to a rational agent to preserve the actual mean measurement.\n\nOnly confusion I have is about the shading of the second shaded digit. Should it be much lighter?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203766254391218176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203755078357856261", "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:15:50+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Overlapped area can be colored darker to signal the total probability mass at each r on R.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203755078357856261", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203752153753350144", "created_at": "2019-12-08T19:04:12+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller If you are trying to know the probsbility that each variable is the highest, one way to do do this is run a Monte Carlo simulation w/ N iterations where each iteration, the highest sample's X gets a point. The odds of each X being the highest is points/N.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203752153753350144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203746099925786629", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:40:09+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could also be websites like imgur but for random variables where one can share a link to a random variable that can be displayed with a graph.\n\nHeatmaps over ~2+ numbers could also work & might be ideal for inline use where a mini probability distro is less readable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203746099925786629", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203741801112358913", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:23:04+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I plan to start working on it again as soon as I get my laptop back!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203741801112358913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739554135650305", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00", "text": "You can give anyone the option of sending you anonymous DMs. People can also request to give you anonymous DMs (which can still be useful if they wait a little bit. You can give them the option of seeing how many times you've been anon-dm'ed since approving them).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739554135650305", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739552990552072", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00", "text": "Polls can also take in 2+ dimensional continuous data (tuples of real numbers) and the results can be plotted. Data like the mean, sd, and treadlines w/ r^2 can be viewed and data can be exported via CSV/JSON/XML.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739552990552072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739551518380033", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:08+00:00", "text": "Polls have the option for approval voting, way more than 4 options, and votes being private/public/optional.\n\nAlso, polls can be made a 'follow up' poll where the ability to vote is contingent on whether you voted in a previous poll already.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739551518380033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739550507503617", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00", "text": "A micropayment system where you can anonymously or privately thank people for content you appreciate.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739550507503617", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739549253414912", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00", "text": "You can explicitly adjust the weights of people and their tags so you can see the content you tend to like more frequently.\n\nYou don't want to miss some people's content, but you could afford to see some people's tweets less often, even if you don't want to unfollow them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739549253414912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739548125138946", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00", "text": "People can also tag their tweets as 'public' (default, like today's Twitter) or 'private' where only approved followers of your tag can see it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739548125138946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203739546967523329", "created_at": "2019-12-08T18:14:07+00:00", "text": "Everyone can make tags like 'econ', 'shitpost', or 'personal' that people can follow or explicitly not follow e.g. 'rant' or 'sarcasm'.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203739546967523329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203728314613063681", "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:29:29+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could be an option to privately give people extra weight too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203728314613063681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203727904833712129", "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:27:51+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller There could be options to view Variables from people's predictions being:\n-equally weighted (public)\n-weighted by your private discounting (private)\n-weighted by everyone's private discounting (public)\n-weighted by the discounting of the people you discount (private)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203727904833712129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203723588190310400", "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:10:42+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller Like Brier score weighting in more traditional prediction markets, but useful for questions that are ~unanswerable or w/ a long-time horizon. This might even be essential for people to use the platform because otherwise a few grossly uncalibrated people could heavily skew results", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203723588190310400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203721384934940678", "created_at": "2019-12-08T17:01:56+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller So for future Variables, you could privately view a graph weighted to how calibrated you think the people who 'voted' are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203721384934940678", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203720704463659008", "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:59:14+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller I know this would be getting way more complicated, but it would be interesting to have profiles for this credence/function combining platform and be able to discount others to the degree their graph for a Variable you are confident in is different.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203720704463659008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203715130057465858", "created_at": "2019-12-08T16:37:05+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @JimDMiller This is another instance where tools to enable easily generating, sharing, and combining random variables/functions could be useful. Everyone could plot their f: lifespan → {Bayesian prior that any 1 civ lives only that long}.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203715130057465858", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203689858956431360", "created_at": "2019-12-08T14:56:40+00:00", "text": "@thomaspluck Some browser/extension needs to make it dead easy to pay people for content you like. I imagine I'd be happy to often pay 5-50¢ for a decent article.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203689858956431360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203496976156901377", "created_at": "2019-12-08T02:10:13+00:00", "text": "@westurner Thanks for sharing the paper!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203496976156901377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203484695129919489", "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:21:25+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I just think we should experiment. If it turns out that it looks like a bad idea, we can shut the forum down.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203484695129919489", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203483411765178368", "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:16:19+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian but such a forum is pretty much one of the only things that could probably convince many 'dark'-leaning consequentalists that their idea is actually bad.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203483411765178368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203482202882945025", "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:11:31+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian So not only could a vetted+anon+private+moderated forum uncover good ideas every now & then (which don't even have to be outside the Overton window--maybe people just couldn't come up with them while having mental bandwidth reserved for social Properness considerations),", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203482202882945025", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203481065572093953", "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:07:00+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian 'Of course you think {plausible, widely socially disapproved idea} is bad, we're on a public forum.' It's a lot easier to believe people when they have no obvious incentive to present their view.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203481065572093953", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203479507249827840", "created_at": "2019-12-08T01:00:48+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Even if people are addressing ideas 100% honestly & uninfluenced by social norms, it's so much harder to prove that's the case when people have an obvious motive to protect EA.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203479507249827840", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1203476988960428032", "created_at": "2019-12-08T00:50:48+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian No one wants to make EA look bad. If we did try to address more dark EA ideas on a public forum, I suspect we'd get the worst of both worlds where we'd, on avg, not think maximally clearly about issues, but the convo would be dark enough anyway that it could make EA look bad.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203476988960428032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203383047330107392", "created_at": "2019-12-07T18:37:30+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I feel having the forum be private and users be anonymous for each new post amongst vetted ingroupies might get people using it a lot.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203383047330107392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203356316032475136", "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:51:17+00:00", "text": "An experimental economics idea I'd really like to see studied is if exploring-exploiting stochastically for dilemmas characterized by akrasia improves decision time, execution, and post-decision satisfaction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203356316032475136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203354631260250119", "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:44:35+00:00", "text": "Still haven't found a game theory paper for dealing with cooperative multi-armed bandit problems, so that might be a way I can keep working in this area.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203354631260250119", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203352224623149056", "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:35:02+00:00", "text": "But it's definitely not the heuristic you want for few expected remaining iterations of the problem, especially if P(diversification|MWI)=0.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203352224623149056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203350830591758338", "created_at": "2019-12-07T16:29:29+00:00", "text": "And the notion of 'relative choice-worthiness' I've been developing to give you the optimal odds to probabilistically select the next action is a thing, and Thompson sampling seems to be a very strong heuristic for it. https://t.co/qTDXjDVkSM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203350830591758338", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203224083942510592", "created_at": "2019-12-07T08:05:51+00:00", "text": "@brazen_cabeza Hey, explicit cost-benefit analysis isn't for everyone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203224083942510592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203198941308829697", "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:25:56+00:00", "text": "But that marginal cost should drop a lot once you are familiar with great software for doing probabilistic cost-benefit analysis. I love Guesstimate by the way, it's already great and useful; I just want something with a few additional tools and features.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203198941308829697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203197349276913666", "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:19:37+00:00", "text": "The average expected value of including uncertainty, I suspect, is much higher than people tend to think. Yes, it is probably not worth including more than expected values for the majority of any one minor decision scenario *if you don't already have the tools+knowhow to do it.*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203197349276913666", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203193870579912706", "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:05:47+00:00", "text": "You can roughly do this in Sheets with precision to 5-10 intervals with up to a couple dozen people, but this is too annoying for 98% of teams to use.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203193870579912706", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203193299718332417", "created_at": "2019-12-07T06:03:31+00:00", "text": "There's so many more tools that could still be built to help people utilize uncertainty more in daily life. I think there's room for a website that helps people easily generate, share, combine, and export random variables. There's really no elegant way to do this now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203193299718332417", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203191747771273216", "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:57:21+00:00", "text": "It's hard enough to identify all the relevant variables and their relationship in a decision problem--everything that can be made easier should be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203191747771273216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203191056046710785", "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:54:36+00:00", "text": "And there should be dead easy tools to help you map your utility function over the domain of final random variables, and then pass them through so you can easily compare options.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203191056046710785", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203189597594955776", "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:48:48+00:00", "text": "And where Monte Carlo analysis, for easily doing math with irregular random variables, is just dead easy to implement at any moment. It should be Excel's default operation when working with random variables, which should be their own data type.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203189597594955776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203186706687635457", "created_at": "2019-12-07T05:37:19+00:00", "text": "And where generating and refining random variables is something so easy that many people prefer to come up with their point estimates by drawing their intuitions of the random variable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203186706687635457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203149791884169217", "created_at": "2019-12-07T03:10:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_caplan: I strongly oppose lying to children. If I don't want to tell them the truth, I simply say \"I'll tell you when you're olde…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203149791884169217", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203148727650848768", "created_at": "2019-12-07T03:06:24+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi Seems like an important distinction. Another disturbing phenomena is taxoplasma gardii, a parasite which seems to increase neuroticism and suicide rates in humans and death-seeking behavior among rats: https://t.co/omlq3GKFlZ\nApparently ~1/3 of people carry it in their heads.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203148727650848768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1203120340349702145", "created_at": "2019-12-07T01:13:36+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian One can dream", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1203120340349702145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202308976265846784", "created_at": "2019-12-04T19:29:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @page_eco: So cool: 360° photo printed on a sphere. https://t.co/hbyqYHzuXz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202308976265846784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202265149551370243", "created_at": "2019-12-04T16:35:23+00:00", "text": "@cognazor You had me until this post /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202265149551370243", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202263660808343552", "created_at": "2019-12-04T16:29:28+00:00", "text": "@gregeganSF Is this 1/ (1 - CDF(Normal(0,1),10))?\nThat reduces to 2/erfc(5 sqrt(2)) ≈ 1.31x10^23.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202263660808343552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202242283896225792", "created_at": "2019-12-04T15:04:31+00:00", "text": "@KieranTully @gregeganSF Whoops I just realized the problem isn't sampling from 52 sets of 52 cards. 😅", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202242283896225792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202235189499498497", "created_at": "2019-12-04T14:36:20+00:00", "text": "@gregeganSF sum 10^12/n n=1..10^12 ≈ 2.82*10^13\nhttps://t.co/bTWyjGiZeQ\n2.82*10^13 / (365*24*60*60*1000) ≈ 894 (years).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202235189499498497", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202219105392173057", "created_at": "2019-12-04T13:32:25+00:00", "text": "@gregeganSF Imagine laying out all 52 cards you need to match. You expect to sample 1 card to remove the first, 52/51 to remove the 2nd, 52/50 cards to remove the 3rd...\n\nsum 52/n n=1..52\nhttps://t.co/xfMVlFHJGj", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202219105392173057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202213361074737152", "created_at": "2019-12-04T13:09:35+00:00", "text": "@gregeganSF Closed form is summation of 52/n for n=1 to 52.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202213361074737152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202205355087945729", "created_at": "2019-12-04T12:37:47+00:00", "text": "@McPartlin_Sean Bostrom's Astronomical Waste is a classic imo. I'd leave them with the newer, denser https://t.co/oFnAe3HDDv if they want to explore it further. Good luck!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202205355087945729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1202024091261292549", "created_at": "2019-12-04T00:37:30+00:00", "text": "@DenverNeoliber1 @TetraspaceAdmn Even if not at an ideal rate, just implementing a small one would help get the ball rolling. $5/ton is better than nothing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1202024091261292549", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201747457601888256", "created_at": "2019-12-03T06:18:15+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/5ldb2JgjZ4 works now too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201747457601888256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201743089167216641", "created_at": "2019-12-03T06:00:54+00:00", "text": "If you're looking for live quantum generated numbers, you can use this https://t.co/LOyyWcr3hE which gives you a num between 0 & 255. For more info: https://t.co/eKyzI5DdMh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201743089167216641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201730135159914496", "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00", "text": "I'm looking through David Wallace's The Emergent Multiverse again, but if anyone has insight/sources about this, I'd greatly appreciate hearing it. 👍", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201730135159914496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201730134363004928", "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00", "text": "generated quantum bitstrings as the source for 'probabilistically' selecting actions. This rests, of course, on the possibility of deliberate world diversification under MWI. I haven't heard strong arguments that this, in fact, isn't a likely implication of MWI.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201730134363004928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201730133557682176", "created_at": "2019-12-03T05:09:25+00:00", "text": "to probabilistically select actions, even with P(MWI)=0. At the very least, game theory has rigorous proofs for the optimality of mixed strategy for certain games. So where stochastic choice is optimal even w/ P(MWI)=0, it seems it's probably only more optimal to use recently-", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201730133557682176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201395413921804288", "created_at": "2019-12-02T06:59:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @matthew_allcock: I'm podcast-obsessed. So I compiled a list of podcasts related to #effectivealtruism:\n\nhttps://t.co/WGr1qOEj1L", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201395413921804288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201388581094338562", "created_at": "2019-12-02T06:32:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: https://t.co/2aEhJsv99Y https://t.co/qwaziq4UPv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201388581094338562", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201235214384664577", "created_at": "2019-12-01T20:22:47+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I didn't know about that, that's fascinating. Looks like a plausible base platform for implementing the idea!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201235214384664577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201232194892636160", "created_at": "2019-12-01T20:10:47+00:00", "text": "@ArtKeller @sentientist Doesn't mean narratives have to be deceptive. There are plenty of scary possible outcomes that aren't fictitious.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201232194892636160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201226773922504704", "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:49:15+00:00", "text": "If you have any, I'd greatly appreciate if you left them at https://t.co/nao7BFZeO6\nThanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201226773922504704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201219087097061378", "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:18:42+00:00", "text": "All of the tags should probably be available for people to view so you can prove you are not making compliment predictions with tags like \"POTUS\" and \"President\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201219087097061378", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201218532341616641", "created_at": "2019-12-01T19:16:30+00:00", "text": "There could even be a feature where every 'tweet' is encrypted with a couple of the most relevant tags, so you can prove to others that you didn't create multiple predictions about the same thing and are only selectively showing them the ones that make you look good.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201218532341616641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201212927468015622", "created_at": "2019-12-01T18:54:14+00:00", "text": "A tool like this could help solve the problem of proving that you thought a certain way or knew X at time T, without having to have undergo the cost of sharing X publicly.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201212927468015622", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201212926536880128", "created_at": "2019-12-01T18:54:13+00:00", "text": "Like a private twitter, but you can unlock certain tweets for people? I think an additional useful feature is if you can let others view when you've made other tweets, but not necessarily what they say.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201212926536880128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201192912291323905", "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:34:42+00:00", "text": "@Jon_StewartMill How long is the dissatisfaction? If a human really is below hedonic neutral and isn't ever expected to go above, and has no instrumental utility, it sounds like it's better to be a satisfied pig w/ a positive hedonic state.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201192912291323905", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201192219123834880", "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:31:56+00:00", "text": "@Jon_StewartMill Humans have vast instrumental utility right now so even if cows' subjective experience is better than humans, humans>cows rn. I think expected instrumental utility envelops everything that is desirable about being able to generate more subtle thoughts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201192219123834880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201187529988423681", "created_at": "2019-12-01T17:13:18+00:00", "text": "@Jon_StewartMill It's a matter of expected future instrumental utility + utility from the desirability of their expected conscious experieriences, while also considering the Nth order social effects such as changing norms.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201187529988423681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201059077637492736", "created_at": "2019-12-01T08:42:53+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian @Aella_Girl I haven't dove into the arguments, but I'm highly skeptical that at least the smartest, most conscientious among us, especially with continued technological progress, couldn't adapt quickly enough to prevent an Empty Planet outcome.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201059077637492736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201037784573792257", "created_at": "2019-12-01T07:18:16+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Even if your life to you is valued $20m (you'd accept a deal of $20m w/ say, 1 month to live), which is 8x $25k*99 it still might be rational to accept the .01,$25k bet if you don't have money due to increasing the timeliness & odds of catching a positive feedback loop.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201037784573792257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1201019346262351872", "created_at": "2019-12-01T06:05:00+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl @rothosphere I'm skeptical about all the 4+ milers. It's hard to get that far away even backcountry camping alone in the US. Is everyone going out to Alaska or taking a personal boat offshore?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1201019346262351872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200894421832732673", "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:48:36+00:00", "text": "@jprwg https://t.co/hEVgawcbsG is great!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200894421832732673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200891767777824773", "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:38:03+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Like with infinite computation / time, one should do sensitivity analysis and reduce the range of possible utility between mutually exclusive actions until none of the lower vars' have probability mass over the domain of the seemingly best option.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200891767777824773", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200890948718346241", "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:34:48+00:00", "text": "@jprwg be higher than the 'higher' var.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200890948718346241", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200885261816729602", "created_at": "2019-11-30T21:12:12+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Yes! It's crazy the magnitude of the numbers at play in everyday utilitarian cost-benefit analysis given how freaking uncertain we are. It's also cool though how we are still permitted by the math to make such weighty choices even under such uncertainty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200885261816729602", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200881890238042112", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:58:48+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish Lol access to some really good drugs like MDMA or 5-MeO-DMT (from what I've heard https://t.co/22vpGBH5HJ) could perhaps help omnicidal agents change their mind.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200881890238042112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200878606886547457", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:45:45+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Either way, it seems important to reduce peoples' Thanatos drive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200878606886547457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200877932304097281", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:43:04+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/huCxNX1mOm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200877932304097281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200870792701136896", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:14:42+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi unconsciously thought they deserved them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200870792701136896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200870723797049345", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:14:26+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi I don't know how physically possible it is for drugs to help people process guilt, but that might be worth exploring and experimenting with too. Coupled with therapy, it might be able to help people fix a lot of problems in their life that have largely stuck around because they", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200870723797049345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200869978767007744", "created_at": "2019-11-30T20:11:28+00:00", "text": "@michaelcurzi Perhaps therapy for guilt, carefully done, could have a lot of positive public externalities by decreasing individuals' unconscious drive towards destruction and self-punishment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200869978767007744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200611627994767360", "created_at": "2019-11-30T03:04:53+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky In expectation, longtermism and x-risk just got a bit more important then as opposed to efforts that would make sense if we were going to go extinct soon.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200611627994767360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200508555125829632", "created_at": "2019-11-29T20:15:18+00:00", "text": "@VesselOfSpirit @JimDMiller @The_Lagrangian @s_r_constantin The state w/ a monopoly on nuclear power has an incentive to be good to others to ensure they don't try to develop nukes/superweapons. The other states, as long as life isn't too bad, has an incentive just to be good and not develop weapons lest they be caught before MAD.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200508555125829632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200507769444589569", "created_at": "2019-11-29T20:12:11+00:00", "text": "@The_Lagrangian @s_r_constantin It was foolish and extremely unfortunate not to strike early when we had the chance. MAD is not a safer equilibrium for the long term future of humanity than one unipolar state. https://t.co/XDbOkwyTZw", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200507769444589569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200466323911925760", "created_at": "2019-11-29T17:27:29+00:00", "text": "@Victorjehache @primalpoly There's far more potential value outside our galaxy if matter and energy is what underpins value. And there's no adequate reason to stop at realizing an arbitrary amount if value.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200466323911925760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200265401550200833", "created_at": "2019-11-29T04:09:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @garrytan: Your room can be as bright as the outdoors\n\nThis is one of the best life hacks I have heard of in a while! https://t.co/Y7AF…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200265401550200833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200116825616519168", "created_at": "2019-11-28T18:18:42+00:00", "text": "@xriskology You'd see all sorts of nerds spending their free time thinking about tractable ways to reduce xrisk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200116825616519168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200113967470915584", "created_at": "2019-11-28T18:07:21+00:00", "text": "@xriskology I also think there's just more room to spent on human resiliency initiatives. Even if the category of risks that could kill everyone not in a bunker is pretty small, they are some of the most tractable risks and there's probably room to spend $10s of billions on this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200113967470915584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200111850827976705", "created_at": "2019-11-28T17:58:56+00:00", "text": "@xriskology Imagine if think tank jobs payed better than most of the market, what kind of smart people you'd see applying to them. Or if there were $10k rewards just handed out for promising papers on reducing x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200111850827976705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1200110838763413505", "created_at": "2019-11-28T17:54:55+00:00", "text": "@xriskology I think there's enough geniuses already in the developed world just too interested in dollars and that we could better reduce x-risk by paying them to work on x-risk reduction efforts under-incentivized by the market.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1200110838763413505", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199972425355735040", "created_at": "2019-11-28T08:44:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanWard97: I hear some people say they're unconcerned by a common x-risk odds of 1/6 by year 0000 0000 2100. This is not because they…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199972425355735040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199955147079729152", "created_at": "2019-11-28T07:36:15+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton Idk, why should stadiums by subsidized by tax payers?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199955147079729152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199883220726231040", "created_at": "2019-11-28T02:50:27+00:00", "text": "@JimPethokoukis @ahardtospell Not quite. His value is primarily in the speed he beat others to his business model. If he was 2 years ahead & the counterfactual person would have run a company as good as Amazon, he's mainly only ever responsible for the last 2 years of Amazon's econ benefit to society.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199883220726231040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199872345822892034", "created_at": "2019-11-28T02:07:14+00:00", "text": "@kyleschutter @paulg There are other important causes too though.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199872345822892034", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199867303623610368", "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:47:12+00:00", "text": "Of course, the exact right probability to choose the lower option over the higher probably depends upon the odds other people see utilities the same way, the number of other people, the number of future estimates scenarios, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199867303623610368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199861485771665408", "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:05+00:00", "text": "is useful for iterations of the same or similar problems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199861485771665408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199861484802727936", "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:04+00:00", "text": "the seemingly less utilitous choice. If a group of 10 friends selects the better choice with say only .9 odds, it's likely (enough), that someone can report to the group a better utility estimate of the bottom choice, and confirm that it's indeed a worse choice or not, which", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199861484802727936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199861483208925184", "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:24:04+00:00", "text": "For instance, people often face similar or identical choice dilemmas in isolation of eachother. Probability distros over utility may overlap significantly. If everyone just picks the highest option, when everyone meets up, no one will have a better idea of the true utility of", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199861483208925184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199860296636096517", "created_at": "2019-11-28T01:19:21+00:00", "text": "If the random number falls below where you set, I expect it would be easier for a lot of people to just go the gym.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199860296636096517", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199836625620152321", "created_at": "2019-11-27T23:45:18+00:00", "text": "@xriskology If we can get these guys to care enough about x-risk reduction to throw a lot of their wealth at it, that would, imo, do more good in expectation than directly redistributing all of their wealth to the bottom half.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199836625620152321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199546139227426817", "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:31:00+00:00", "text": "@westurner @JohnDCook Idk, but I just messaged them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199546139227426817", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199544816302018561", "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:25:45+00:00", "text": "@hdepotonasale @CBSLA I tried to signal sarcasm with the '/s'", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199544816302018561", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199542233634156544", "created_at": "2019-11-27T04:15:29+00:00", "text": "@westurner @JohnDCook Yeah I'd think any SWE worth their salt could push out a fix in a few days tops.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199542233634156544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199536104380219395", "created_at": "2019-11-27T03:51:08+00:00", "text": "@_TamaraWinter America, perhaps New Jersey, in 1940 to stop the atomic spies and ensure America was the only country to develop the bomb. Given existentially dangerous tech, a unipolar system is a safer equilibrium.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199536104380219395", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199522022759583744", "created_at": "2019-11-27T02:55:10+00:00", "text": "@CBSLA Why don't they just put in more lanes? /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199522022759583744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199491404864598016", "created_at": "2019-11-27T00:53:31+00:00", "text": "@BretWeinstein Some states of affairs are better than others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199491404864598016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199470574021550081", "created_at": "2019-11-26T23:30:44+00:00", "text": "@OmanReagan Hard sci-fi >> the rest.\n\nI immediately lose interest when dumb stuff happens that could not even be possible in principle e.g. knowing peoples' memories from just their DNA.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199470574021550081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199415829697355776", "created_at": "2019-11-26T19:53:12+00:00", "text": "@TrevMcKendrick Increasing economic growth, not going extinct, reducing suffering, & promoting epistemic humility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199415829697355776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199394570724954112", "created_at": "2019-11-26T18:28:43+00:00", "text": "@amymastrine Candidates contributors might be:\n-Puritan egregore that never completely died\n-fear of flirting from cancel culture\n-perhaps unconscious fear of diseases? America is more diverse, spread out, and individuals are often not local to an area.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199394570724954112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199381170661838848", "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:35:29+00:00", "text": "@breki74 @JohnDCook Estonia seems good https://t.co/XKJ2uaRQKN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199381170661838848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199380214696071169", "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:31:41+00:00", "text": "@JohnDCook The new FedBizOps site doesn't even let you search for contracts near a zip code. You have to enter all the zip codes in your area you'd be interested in contracting in.\n\nTalk about a great way to increase competition for contracts and reduce federal spending /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199380214696071169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199376447728766976", "created_at": "2019-11-26T17:16:43+00:00", "text": "@alexeyguzey 🔥", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199376447728766976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199335888330772482", "created_at": "2019-11-26T14:35:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @GiveWell: Announcing our 2019 top charities: https://t.co/h2po74JeRz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199335888330772482", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1199041887274967040", "created_at": "2019-11-25T19:07:17+00:00", "text": "@koaleszenz https://t.co/p2hPxC9VjC", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1199041887274967040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1198686032469876736", "created_at": "2019-11-24T19:33:15+00:00", "text": "@erikbryn @tylercowen They should use random bits immediately generated from quantum sources like https://t.co/TYMIU6xVA3\njust in case MWI is true and it's possible to diversify recently-created worlds.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1198686032469876736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1198678163062169600", "created_at": "2019-11-24T19:01:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @erikbryn: Allocating *some* research grants by lottery is a good idea.\n\nWith proper follow up, this can reveal which kinds of projects…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1198678163062169600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1198114023994200065", "created_at": "2019-11-23T05:40:17+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Not sure why though /s 😅", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1198114023994200065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1198103128324874240", "created_at": "2019-11-23T04:57:00+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Delaney?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1198103128324874240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197979945328205825", "created_at": "2019-11-22T20:47:31+00:00", "text": "@literalbanana Seems like a great thought experiment for thinking about net-negative hedonic experience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197979945328205825", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197949457909850112", "created_at": "2019-11-22T18:46:22+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski Hey thanks! I didn't realize they say they use a Quantis TRNG, which is comforting.\n\nParanoid or Android people might prefer https://t.co/uVD4N5KC3k\nwhich seems to be managed by Australia National University.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197949457909850112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197659099611222017", "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:32:35+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Hearing someone out clearly doesn't necessarily validate them. On the contrary, it's pretty much a mando precursor to change their mind.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197659099611222017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197658559095431173", "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:30:26+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I mean I'm mainly only interested in this to the probability that I think I can change their mind if I find their arguments are as lacking as I initially think they are, but I'd be down to have a respectful discussion with most terrible people I can think of.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197658559095431173", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197652837179777024", "created_at": "2019-11-21T23:07:42+00:00", "text": "problems, can't diversify worlds if my MWI decision protocol is true, can't pick good passwords quickly, Omega can predict you /s, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197652837179777024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197523746568978432", "created_at": "2019-11-21T14:34:44+00:00", "text": "@metaashu *gets stuck in an infinite loop evaluating the utility of the counterfactual*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197523746568978432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197477289782632449", "created_at": "2019-11-21T11:30:08+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 It's not necessarily about getting everybody to be an effective altruist. Of course that would be nice, but seeing so many mistaken activists leads me to just want more people to just focus on making money and expanding the economy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197477289782632449", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197300377445707776", "created_at": "2019-11-20T23:47:09+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK spend a week or two trying to raise a runaway so I can just focus on grad school prep+research.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197300377445707776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197288930850361344", "created_at": "2019-11-20T23:01:40+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn It's a hard optimization problem between building up a runway I know would make me resilient in the short term to unfortunate events and optimizing for grad school and direct work in EA orgs. I'm really hoping I catch a break with emergent ventures or something soon.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197288930850361344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197280751978463233", "created_at": "2019-11-20T22:29:10+00:00", "text": "It's so dumb I don't have the $ to justify buying a proper replacement right away.\n\nShit like this makes it tempting to straight drop all non-market-prioritized interests and just have my u function be to max money until I have a couple mil to my name.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197280751978463233", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1197270052694904835", "created_at": "2019-11-20T21:46:39+00:00", "text": "2) Gmail doesn't care about periods, so you can use this to set up new accounts with websites easily.\n\ne.g. johnsmith@gmai.com gets emails from john.smith@_ or joh.n.smit.h@_ \n\nIt seems to only work with 1 period in a row though, fyi.\n\nhttps://t.co/1Qs06gvK9w", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197270052694904835", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197032913751224321", "created_at": "2019-11-20T06:04:21+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton different arrangements of matter that I might find I enjoy more, let me copy instances of the arrangements of matter that I already really prefer, because X arrangements of a state preferred Ymagnitude is X*Ymagnitude, and it seems I'm trying to maximize Ymagnitude.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197032913751224321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197030283624796160", "created_at": "2019-11-20T05:53:54+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton \"hmm, wherever I move in spacetime, it seems I consistently prefer/disprefer what happens when I influence the arrangement of matter and energy in a certain way. I really like when some things happen. I seem to just be made up of matter and energy, so along with researching", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197030283624796160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1197016179736489985", "created_at": "2019-11-20T04:57:51+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/mXScwRZCE6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1197016179736489985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1196593509001773056", "created_at": "2019-11-19T00:58:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Multiple claims that mild levels of particulate matter, under 30% of what's in the Bay Area right now, have huge degrading…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1196593509001773056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1196475272025067521", "created_at": "2019-11-18T17:08:28+00:00", "text": "@LogoCentrifuge What about land value or Pigouvian taxes?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1196475272025067521", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1196472166520369152", "created_at": "2019-11-18T16:56:08+00:00", "text": "@DegenRolf We might see less violence across society, but I'd bet we'd see a drop in economic growth if every guy lost, say, 90% of his sex drive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1196472166520369152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1195802253719953409", "created_at": "2019-11-16T20:34:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: Here's the thing: \n\nIf you _really_ want to change a typical human's mind about a long-cherished idea, you have to \n\n1) und…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1195802253719953409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1195108142599868416", "created_at": "2019-11-14T22:35:59+00:00", "text": "@tracesoffaith Discounting wellbeing's incorrect.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1195108142599868416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194974484165513216", "created_at": "2019-11-14T13:44:53+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: US people: how to solve your healthcare anti-system:\n\n1. Price tags on all procedures\n2. Annual deductible with a health s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194974484165513216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194899794709417984", "created_at": "2019-11-14T08:48:05+00:00", "text": "@nosilverv Heatmap and/or add credences in brackets", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194899794709417984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194316970553942018", "created_at": "2019-11-12T18:12:09+00:00", "text": "I can see the argument for requiring an Rx for say, fentanyl, but it's rediculous for stuff like modafinil or bupropion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194316970553942018", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194314120734093312", "created_at": "2019-11-12T18:00:50+00:00", "text": "Let people take ownership for themselves and their own health outcomes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194314120734093312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194036789297762306", "created_at": "2019-11-11T23:38:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @open_phil: We're excited to announce a new partnership with Ben Delo, who will be providing funds to our long-termist grantmaking, whic…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194036789297762306", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1194027125881409537", "created_at": "2019-11-11T23:00:25+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK self-consistently for all the questions it asks you.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1194027125881409537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193992118068547593", "created_at": "2019-11-11T20:41:18+00:00", "text": "@JimDMiller Done & added the Letter of Intent to my list of stuff to print next time I'm at the library. (Note to outsiders: Alcor has regular dues too so it's not like I don't want to come up with the extra ~$25/month, but really, $50/month.)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193992118068547593", "word_count": 45 }, { "id": "1193985646571986945", "created_at": "2019-11-11T20:15:35+00:00", "text": "@JimDMiller I will sign up as soon as I start pulling real money, like $500+ a month discretionary. Rn I'd rather be sinking what I have into mental health and profit-generating activities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193985646571986945", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1193974820184219648", "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:32:34+00:00", "text": "@JimDMiller I still need to sign up for that, but even $30/month life insurance payments would suck right now and my main risks of death--accidents--would, I imagine, often not provide enough time for a cryonics provider to arrive in time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193974820184219648", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1193969765745868800", "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:12:29+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yes! 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193969765745868800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193969055864152067", "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:09:40+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Hopefully by then, large portions of the population can just look up and see one every 90 minutes!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193969055864152067", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193966885550936066", "created_at": "2019-11-11T19:01:03+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK :( I hope the more optimistic predictions are right.\n\nIt seems crazy to me more money isn't being thrown at this already.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193966885550936066", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193951932316033024", "created_at": "2019-11-11T18:01:37+00:00", "text": "@ryxcommar The other option is to have the courage to be boring and include many of the caveats about how you could be wrong.\n\"I'm not super well read up on X, but it seems that given Y and Z, A might be the case. I could be wrong if B is the case, among other things.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193951932316033024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193950485620891652", "created_at": "2019-11-11T17:55:52+00:00", "text": "@nosilverv A utilitronium shockwave is currently a valid long-term goal and reason to take existential risk, particularly that from omnicidal agents, extremely seriously.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193950485620891652", "word_count": 23 }, { "id": "1193941370332991489", "created_at": "2019-11-11T17:19:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: This is pretty much the most important truth of the modern era, and it applies to *every* problem we face, not just climat…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193941370332991489", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193787788103241728", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:09:22+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Guesstimate is amazing but it doesn't seem optimized yet for generating really specific distributions one might have in mind", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193787788103241728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193787483298897920", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:08:10+00:00", "text": "@Cullen_OK Not that I know of", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193787483298897920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786668228186112", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:04:55+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian This? https://t.co/LoYJahKVuT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786668228186112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786259531091968", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00", "text": "Is that greater than the discomfort and disutility of living more healthily (which is often its own reward after an adjustment period)?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786259531091968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786258604077056", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00", "text": "What's that percentage * your personal & instrumental utility of ~immortality?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786258604077056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786257840758785", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:18+00:00", "text": "The odds are higher if you expect advances in medicine before then to push your lifespan differential up to a higher probability area of the distribution.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786257840758785", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786256926347264", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00", "text": "What are the odds of a life extension breakthrough between those two years that allows you to catch the ~immortality train?\n\nSurely > 1%, but try to calculate it out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786256926347264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786256171380737", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00", "text": "What years does your ~current expected lifespan & improved expected lifespan map out to?\n\nFor me as a '97er, that might be 2077 and 2087.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786256171380737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786254783066112", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00", "text": "Now, how much longer could you live for, in expectation, with no future advances in medicine, if you did everything you could figure out now to increase your lifespan (e.g. intermittent fasting w/ periodic longer fasts, adequate sleep, exercise)?\n5 years? 10? 15?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193786254783066112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1193786253864579072", "created_at": "2019-11-11T07:03:17+00:00", "text": "What's your prediction, as a probability density function, for the future year when life extension research advances enough that a living person, with only a moderate sum of money, can catch the immortality train?", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1193786253864579072", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1193777831655956480", "created_at": "2019-11-11T06:29:49+00:00", "text": "@diana_h @TheCut I mean people are free to look as unapproachable as they want, but it only takes the quickest flash of the eyebrows, even while maintaining whatever grievous facial expression they want to display, to signal to others one is not a serial killer w/ a personal grievance against you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1193777831655956480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1192973781775589386", "created_at": "2019-11-09T01:14:48+00:00", "text": "@galenhall @Liv_Boeree 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1192973781775589386", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1192949686325432321", "created_at": "2019-11-08T23:39:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: This is a nice fairytale, but within less than 500 years we will certainly experience a technological singularity, \"ecolog…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1192949686325432321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1192570901516210176", "created_at": "2019-11-07T22:33:54+00:00", "text": "@brazen_cabeza mayb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1192570901516210176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1192497778263506949", "created_at": "2019-11-07T17:43:20+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly Seeds for a hedonium shockwave headed towards nearby galaxies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1192497778263506949", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1192278883380453376", "created_at": "2019-11-07T03:13:31+00:00", "text": "@aguilaclc @Aella_Girl Just because something is hard or impossible to quantify doesn't mean their isn't room for ordinal comparisons. https://t.co/F78DCUhmW9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1192278883380453376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1191941048207065088", "created_at": "2019-11-06T04:51:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @zdgroff: This is one of the best (non-econ) papers I've read recently—tackling an extremely difficult problem with precision to reach a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1191941048207065088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1191708323831308294", "created_at": "2019-11-05T13:26:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: Just got a crushing rejection from NASA for a proposal that myself and some friends worked very hard on. Extremely disappo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1191708323831308294", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1191666398768095232", "created_at": "2019-11-05T10:39:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WIREDScience: A new Crispr technique called “prime editing,” can for the first time make virtually any alteration—additions, deletions,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1191666398768095232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1191444376104456192", "created_at": "2019-11-04T19:57:29+00:00", "text": "@averykimball How do you evaluate choices to try to maximize expected utility without estimating the probability of relevant events?\nIf you aren't willing to assign a number to probabilities which you have no proper frequentist probabilities for, it seems like you're stuck from the get go.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1191444376104456192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1190439905089994753", "created_at": "2019-11-02T01:26:05+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Can't say confidently, but I'd guess that\n| EU( ∆ public recognition | ∆odds)| >\n| EU( ∆ complacency/effort | ∆odds)|", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1190439905089994753", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1190432490986582016", "created_at": "2019-11-02T00:56:37+00:00", "text": "@jprwg One disutility is it raises prices and 'odds' of your opponent, which could raise their status & p(winning). Not saying the magnitude for one person on PredictIt is much, but the partial effect seems to be there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1190432490986582016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1189762149486338048", "created_at": "2019-10-31T04:32:55+00:00", "text": "@kyleschutter Land value taxes are efficient, just, and should be implemented. Everyone deserves to be recouped for the slices of the Commons rented away from them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1189762149486338048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1189233369554604032", "created_at": "2019-10-29T17:31:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: I'm biased, because I love @primalpoly, but this is so excellent. No one has ever written about polyamory with respect for…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1189233369554604032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1189211298254467073", "created_at": "2019-10-29T16:04:02+00:00", "text": "@jim_rutt @SamHBarton Some of us seem to be on track or capable of eventually making recursively intelligent systems. This seems like a decent definition of being a general intelligence. Most people aren't of course, so I agree.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1189211298254467073", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1188839900508049409", "created_at": "2019-10-28T15:28:14+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Is 300,000 digits for a random composite number with probably many low prime factors, or for a composite number made of two gigantic primes?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1188839900508049409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1188535437440229376", "created_at": "2019-10-27T19:18:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @rivatez: John Stuart Mill’s diary, 1854: https://t.co/rrkVOBeD01", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1188535437440229376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1188299740636766209", "created_at": "2019-10-27T03:41:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jprwg: Idea: small (3-5?) set of tags u can configre & apply to each tweet; followrs can choose which of yr tags to follow (& untagged)…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1188299740636766209", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1188261170739847169", "created_at": "2019-10-27T01:08:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: #TraditionsThatNeedToGo that weird thing we do every year where we spend our money on big cars and houses even though lit…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1188261170739847169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186646626754060291", "created_at": "2019-10-22T14:12:57+00:00", "text": "@AndrewM_Webb Compare w/ a random generated number https://t.co/1gDZ4BfC9B", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186646626754060291", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186643858874081280", "created_at": "2019-10-22T14:01:57+00:00", "text": "@spacer01 @ArmsControlWonk @DannyBressler1 @ENERGY Oh thanks, I misread the tweet.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186643858874081280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186533255945900032", "created_at": "2019-10-22T06:42:27+00:00", "text": "@dela3499 @ludwig_raal How can you reliably get further with anything else? I mean I think higher order ideas like increasing liberty & economic growth seem to be decent heuristics, but they are of no intrinsic value themselves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186533255945900032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186514132624957442", "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:26:28+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Nets too jetting from the helmet could increase standoff distance. Give you 6+\" even before hitting material.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186514132624957442", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186513585725464576", "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:24:17+00:00", "text": "@ArmsControlWonk @DannyBressler1 @ENERGY 2.4b on sustaining safer nukes doesn't sound like the worst investment..\n\nWith better nukes, we might even get more comfortable with reducing the size of the stockpile.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186513585725464576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186510671736950784", "created_at": "2019-10-22T05:12:43+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Interesting, maybe 3g wouldn't be enough w/ reasonable helmet material & thickness? Need some crazy YouTuber that somehow has RDX & is willing to drop a couple hundred for a helmet to try it out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186510671736950784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186490656132419585", "created_at": "2019-10-22T03:53:11+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I don't think slaughterbots of this sort are likely to pose an x-risk though. I'm more okay with letting other people worry about them. Bio/nano possibilities, even via lone wolves, seem more concerning.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186490656132419585", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186489641177882624", "created_at": "2019-10-22T03:49:09+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian This video shows moderate penetration: https://t.co/viLvpTyy1T\nSeems like enough for typical kevlar helmets.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186489641177882624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186476668292157440", "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:57:36+00:00", "text": "AI & just unprincipled research with the possibility of drawing a 'black' ball, as Bostrom wrote, are the others imo.\n\nThink we are more (still not enough) on track to progress in other areas like climate change, nuclear, and natural background risks like asteroids.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186476668292157440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186470406271721473", "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:32:43+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Masks could help obscure identity, but I don't think any helmets out today would be effective in stopping a shaped charge.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186470406271721473", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186469095467835394", "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:27:30+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Yeah I don't think this is intractable, just relatively neglected rn.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186469095467835394", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186466981626691586", "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:19:06+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Yes this is more of hypothesizing current and emerging risks than updating from past terrorist attacks.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186466981626691586", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186464678660194304", "created_at": "2019-10-22T02:09:57+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I agree that total # is most important, but I think a decreasing k/k ratio is an important part of the risk analysis. It leads to a far great number of seriously dangerous actors, which increases # killed in expectation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186464678660194304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186461764084555776", "created_at": "2019-10-22T01:58:22+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Daniel Deudney, at least: https://t.co/7JbNQeUiHI https://t.co/lfeWqia2wh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186461764084555776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186449006739775494", "created_at": "2019-10-22T01:07:41+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian The only real trend in defense's favor, IMO, is increased surveillance & (post-crime) deterrence through better investigative capabilities and rule of law. But that doesn't seem to be quite keeping pace.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186449006739775494", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186329193552007169", "created_at": "2019-10-21T17:11:35+00:00", "text": "@superamit Could also be a version where if N number of people blind cancel, it cancels. Then, everyone has some degree of plausible deniability for not blind canceling if it cancels.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186329193552007169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186328571553468416", "created_at": "2019-10-21T17:09:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @superamit: Google Calendar feature suggestion: Blind Cancel.\n\nIf you blind cancel a meeting it sends no notifications and the meeting i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186328571553468416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186325328496607237", "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:56:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: My latest podcast, in which I am dumbfounded at how much of a sham the Stanford Prison Experiment turned out to be: https:/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186325328496607237", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186325280304041985", "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:56:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @OphirHarpaz: [1/4] Ok this is really funny, check this out.\nI was in the process of booking a flight via @OneTravel. Trying to make me…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186325280304041985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186323135215423490", "created_at": "2019-10-21T16:47:30+00:00", "text": "Put up X ETH on the line that you won't buy the new iPhone & are locked in if enough Y people also commit by date T0. Contract only expires if Apple drops the price down to P1 or by expiration date T1.\n\nTechnical problem is figuring out who jumps ship & buys one early.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186323135215423490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186300049166405634", "created_at": "2019-10-21T15:15:46+00:00", "text": "@david_perell 1.Probabilistic cost-benefit analysis becomes more prevalent.\n\n2. High glycemic index foods continue to lose popularity.\n\n3. Increasing divide in value-generation, health, and other outcomes as the conscientious capitalize on newly discovered best-practices, & others don't.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186300049166405634", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186107558748196866", "created_at": "2019-10-21T02:30:53+00:00", "text": "@zackkanter How hard is it for people to see employment as a private contract made between two people to fulfill eachothers' preferences, and that full-time, salaried employment is not a natural right?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186107558748196866", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186094408707559430", "created_at": "2019-10-21T01:38:38+00:00", "text": "@Jason @AlexanderGirau Not caring enough about fulfilling others' preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186094408707559430", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1186072248991571969", "created_at": "2019-10-21T00:10:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: \"You are only as smart as you are. People get stuck because they aspire to be smarter. People refuse to produce until they…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1186072248991571969", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185617269172396032", "created_at": "2019-10-19T18:02:39+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon They need to succeed better by a majority of measures, especially considering how theoretically unsound a non free-market system is. Can you list a good source? I have pretty much only read the contrary.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185617269172396032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185602200963354624", "created_at": "2019-10-19T17:02:46+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon Especially while conserving basic human 'rights'.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185602200963354624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185595148052381698", "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:34:45+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon Have you explored geolibertarianism? https://t.co/hQqMTW82oo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185595148052381698", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185592529774940168", "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:24:20+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon How would people coordinate scarce resources without it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185592529774940168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185588814120734720", "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:09:35+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The concept of money in your understanding of a socialist system.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185588814120734720", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1185587977587744770", "created_at": "2019-10-19T16:06:15+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon I tend to prefer public convos for the 'proof of work'. OPs can mute conversations btw", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185587977587744770", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185583009635950592", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:46:31+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon It's pretty wordy, but I'd like to hear what you think of this: https://t.co/WzigypJZQO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185583009635950592", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "1185582111614476288", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:42:57+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon You must know the correlation between gun ownership & the belief in the supremacy of free markets & individual liberty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185582111614476288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185577505421434883", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:24:38+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon hours of labor, it's definitely not a free lunch. He does it because he likes it. If he really wanted to make money, he'd do more consulting.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185577505421434883", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185575055717273602", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:14:54+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The best situation and way to further just, efficient redistribution of the value of the Commons *is* for Georgists & non-rent seekers to get involved in real estate & become landlords.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185575055717273602", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185574129090662400", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:11:13+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon The only 'parasites' are those who lobby the gov't for rent-seeking policies & those officials who listen. My family member has no interest in this. Just making the best of a broken system. If he didn't do it, somebody who might actually lobby for unjust policies might.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185574129090662400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185572636253921280", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:05:18+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon doing IT consulting. Yes, Land-value taxes should be higher & we should get monthly checks for our chunk of the Commons stolen from us, but murdering such people en masse is not going to get you what you really want.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185572636253921280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185571722478661633", "created_at": "2019-10-19T15:01:40+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon He's single-handedly turned a small development that was once full of crime into a safe place where low-income people can safely live for less than $12k a year. When you divide up all his hours of labor, he's probably making less than $25/h when he probably could make $100/h", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185571722478661633", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185570277968793601", "created_at": "2019-10-19T14:55:55+00:00", "text": "@SerasSmiles @deathpigeon They also provide a lot more value than they often get credit for. My family member is a land-lord on the side. He buys up $50k, shitty condos in bad areas, fixes them up himself, & rents them out at fair market prices.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185570277968793601", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185285382579146752", "created_at": "2019-10-18T20:03:51+00:00", "text": "@wolfejosh Considering his prolific blocking, I and many other people can't see this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185285382579146752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1185144525716627456", "created_at": "2019-10-18T10:44:08+00:00", "text": "@ManuKumar Seems like a pretty effective means of advertising too. Might have to be regulated eventually if it gets too annoying", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1185144525716627456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184974174273654784", "created_at": "2019-10-17T23:27:13+00:00", "text": "@Schneider_CM Fire the people who fired him. They obvs don't have the judgement to do their job.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184974174273654784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184712568948088833", "created_at": "2019-10-17T06:07:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @anderssandberg: Really annoying. But it also saves me from a lot of effort. Now we just need to make smart drugs, brain stimulation, ne…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184712568948088833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184433489954914305", "created_at": "2019-10-16T11:38:44+00:00", "text": "@david_perell Not a music guy myself at all. Just offering this as a data point.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184433489954914305", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184431075008876544", "created_at": "2019-10-16T11:29:08+00:00", "text": "Many NU intuitions about the weight of suffering are important & the naive total utilitarian often underweights the magnitude of instances of suffering, but the total utilitarian's welfare scale is the best formal structure offered so far.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184431075008876544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184199890487906304", "created_at": "2019-10-15T20:10:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: It is dangerous for experts to use an expert-specific meaning of a word that also has vague meaning for broader public. Ev…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184199890487906304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1184190165755006983", "created_at": "2019-10-15T19:31:51+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I don't know any must-reads if you are already a utilitarian, but I like this essay, https://t.co/cpSJLft6fE. He crushes Rawl's maximin principle here: https://t.co/6ARj1cGT8Z\nHaven't read his game theory works, but I expect those to be good as they won him the Nobel prize.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1184190165755006983", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183432142623313921", "created_at": "2019-10-13T17:19:44+00:00", "text": "@TheAnnaGat Applied decision theory and ideas aligned with https://t.co/74h0Fxw7uJ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183432142623313921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183427672497688581", "created_at": "2019-10-13T17:01:58+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish The def. pose new risks, but I feel like a powerful, unilateral actor, on avg, is more likely to reduce x-risk. I'm more fearful of a world full of gov'ts that just can't get shit done then a world with a few people who can really exert their will.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183427672497688581", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183423464834846720", "created_at": "2019-10-13T16:45:15+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair 🙌", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183423464834846720", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183209335687651328", "created_at": "2019-10-13T02:34:23+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Love it!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183209335687651328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183132250973638656", "created_at": "2019-10-12T21:28:04+00:00", "text": "@trevlevtweets post everywhere that you can temporarily adopt others' utility function for units of care", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183132250973638656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1183080088952332289", "created_at": "2019-10-12T18:00:48+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Happy birthday! https://t.co/duu9Z5HUea", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1183080088952332289", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182404431284977666", "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:15:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: This is completely wrong. Flying is one of the few human activities that physically needs to emit CO2, i.e. mitigation cos…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182404431284977666", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182404142314217473", "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:14:50+00:00", "text": "@zhusu Tax sugar as well", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182404142314217473", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182400459308503049", "created_at": "2019-10-10T21:00:12+00:00", "text": "@TryAgainMan2 Remote software is up there", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182400459308503049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182364658436661248", "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:37:56+00:00", "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill Are there any websites, web apps, or digital tools that you'd like to see developed to aid or further the EA movement?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182364658436661248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182362877908439045", "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:30:51+00:00", "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill What different flavors of utilitarianism do you think are still most up for debate?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182362877908439045", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182361597836251137", "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:25:46+00:00", "text": "@80000Hours @willmacaskill Do you think possible ethical implications of the Many Worlds Interpretation of quantum mechanics have been explored thoroughly?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182361597836251137", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182358001077936128", "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:11:29+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish -if the idea is particularly difficult, mention that if they dont feel particularly well-rested, alert, calm, & focused, they shouldn't necessarily expect to get the material & that it's okay to put a rain check on engaging w/ the material & come back to it tomorrow.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182358001077936128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182357320799375360", "created_at": "2019-10-10T18:08:47+00:00", "text": "@lsparrish -Emphasizing when the subject wasn't immediately intuitive to the current experts on it, & how they shouldn't be surprised if things don't click instantly. It takes multiple engagements with the subject sometimes before it really clicks & isn't naive pattern matching", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182357320799375360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182347017319784450", "created_at": "2019-10-10T17:27:50+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu @RokoMijicUK I think part of the reason for some is that they worry that going too basic will be insulting. The temptation is to usually give people the benefit of the doubt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182347017319784450", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182124384330375169", "created_at": "2019-10-10T02:43:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Aella_Girl: Interesting thread about non-implemented policies that experts unanimously like:\nhttps://t.co/6ioQz21oQb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182124384330375169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182071120851345408", "created_at": "2019-10-09T23:11:31+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Thanks 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182071120851345408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182070332708065282", "created_at": "2019-10-09T23:08:23+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Despite emotionally being a rather egoistic, prestige-driven, high-risk/yolo kind of guy, I've increasingly managed to let rational, utilitarian arguments drive my life.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182070332708065282", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182061218661621760", "created_at": "2019-10-09T22:32:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Noahpinion: HOLY SHIT there are a lot of American companies doing pro-China censorship!!!\n\nhttps://t.co/4xbqLidDCB https://t.co/hXRyA8C…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182061218661621760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182014547437195265", "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:26:43+00:00", "text": "The crucial part, regardless of what happens to income inequality, is getting more dollars into neglected research & projects that could reduce x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182014547437195265", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1182009683042799616", "created_at": "2019-10-09T19:07:23+00:00", "text": "Any gains from a policy have to be weighed against the collective computational overhead of dealing w/ said policy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1182009683042799616", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181970191367987200", "created_at": "2019-10-09T16:30:28+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Cynical take, but given the distribution of epistemics out there, there are probably worse states of affairs through foolhardy activism. Makes me a lot less critical than I used to be of developers of incredibly time-consuming entertainment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181970191367987200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181803682003918849", "created_at": "2019-10-09T05:28:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jaltma: \"The brain is no place for serious thinking\"\n\nIf you're thinking about something important and complicated, write it down.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181803682003918849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181426735214145537", "created_at": "2019-10-08T04:30:58+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I'm thinking to definitely have the option for anonymity & password protected surveys. I like the special invite links too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181426735214145537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181424076222545921", "created_at": "2019-10-08T04:20:24+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I could probably make it optional to have an account, especially for people that are just inputting their credences/estimates.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181424076222545921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181418179437965312", "created_at": "2019-10-08T03:56:58+00:00", "text": "@alexeyguzey Yikes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181418179437965312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181330393565483011", "created_at": "2019-10-07T22:08:08+00:00", "text": "@tomfgoodwin May not lead to greater happiness, but it may lead to greater economic growth. Not saying we can't afford to slow the rat race down, but if it's net-negative, it may not be as bad as a lot of people probably think.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181330393565483011", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1181329661021831168", "created_at": "2019-10-07T22:05:13+00:00", "text": "@Johnny_Uzan Yes. The higher your reservation option (living off your wealth), the less employment rent & power employers have over you.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1181329661021831168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1180973044577312768", "created_at": "2019-10-06T22:28:09+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @nntaleb Idk who in particular.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1180973044577312768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1180966050487242754", "created_at": "2019-10-06T22:00:22+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @nntaleb Tail risks aren't this insane idea though. Is Taleb really the dude we should be crediting with this idea?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1180966050487242754", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1180306854120955904", "created_at": "2019-10-05T02:20:57+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner This explanation doesn't make it subjectively that much less weird, but it's generally enough for me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1180306854120955904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1180141988500381697", "created_at": "2019-10-04T15:25:50+00:00", "text": "@Reddit_txt Hey props to them. I've never been able to share this with an SO /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1180141988500381697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179977575399149573", "created_at": "2019-10-04T04:32:31+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski A HN moderator said my post was going into the 2nd chance pool & was going to show up on the front page, but I'm not sure it ever did 🤷‍♂️\nhttps://t.co/Kn2BEpEtFl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179977575399149573", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179910549573947392", "created_at": "2019-10-04T00:06:11+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Snowden That's a fascinating idea. Would be nice if we could coordinate to do that. We at least could stock a number of isolated islands w/ tons of resources & send people to live there, isolated, for lengths of time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179910549573947392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179904235527376896", "created_at": "2019-10-03T23:41:05+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK @Snowden Perhaps private orgs (& what the gov't can get away with given it's current reach) are our best bet for addressing future omnicidal agents for now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179904235527376896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179897215218847744", "created_at": "2019-10-03T23:13:12+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Only a little bit. Just downloaded it again though", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179897215218847744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179887624305233920", "created_at": "2019-10-03T22:35:05+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Seems that a totalitarian regime with the right in-group carries the least x-risk. Hard to say whether your avg. totalitarian regime leads to more x-risk then a very free society where almost everyone has strong privacy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179887624305233920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179876640597389319", "created_at": "2019-10-03T21:51:26+00:00", "text": "may only reinforce norms in favor of unlimited privacy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179876640597389319", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179871974136451084", "created_at": "2019-10-03T21:32:54+00:00", "text": "@MilitaryTimes You may not like it but this is what peak performance looks like", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179871974136451084", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179841191774494721", "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:30:35+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Same!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179841191774494721", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179835448543318016", "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:07:45+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer I go more into this here: https://t.co/VoeNdHpIpi", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179835448543318016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179835194372694016", "created_at": "2019-10-03T19:06:45+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer that the degree of disparity is going to hold as we progress technologically. Thus, while I definitely think some people should be focused on s-risks, I am against anti-natalism & think expected future happier people demands us to not go extinct.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179835194372694016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179618332078727168", "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:45:01+00:00", "text": "@Cullen_OK I'm good w/ that!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179618332078727168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179617475966701569", "created_at": "2019-10-03T04:41:37+00:00", "text": "@Cullen_OK That's bad?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179617475966701569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179538024029405185", "created_at": "2019-10-02T23:25:54+00:00", "text": "@ValueOfType Solomonoff induction", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179538024029405185", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179141302996340737", "created_at": "2019-10-01T21:09:28+00:00", "text": "@juliagalef They could also have two-phase applications where the first phase only takes 1/10 of the time and weeds out ~80% of applicants.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179141302996340737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1179090874120192001", "created_at": "2019-10-01T17:49:05+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Extended Euclidean Algorithm?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1179090874120192001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178838695409061894", "created_at": "2019-10-01T01:07:01+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/unqABw0Ht9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178838695409061894", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178250101904613378", "created_at": "2019-09-29T10:08:09+00:00", "text": "To be fair, I think it's easy to overweight the Unilateralist's Curse as it's easy to underestimate peoples' priors against taking any action.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178250101904613378", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178217979273777152", "created_at": "2019-09-29T08:00:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @petersuber: New study: The median studied author spends 52 hours/year formatting journal manuscripts, or $477/manuscript, or $1,908/per…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178217979273777152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178178062954967042", "created_at": "2019-09-29T05:21:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Bradford_Space: The coming of #starship means many things. One is that deep space beyond Earth orbit is opening up. It’s up to a new wa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178178062954967042", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178172477853372416", "created_at": "2019-09-29T04:59:42+00:00", "text": "@JGilliam_SEAL @BetoORourke So many of these comments are nuts. The guy literally just wants to hang on to his private property & doesn't like someone for threatening to take it. You can think he's wrong, but you don't have to demonize him.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178172477853372416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178156624642560000", "created_at": "2019-09-29T03:56:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lsparrish: Let's do some math.\n\nA sphere with radius 0.3 AU has 2^75 square meters in surface area.\n\nIf your starting point is 1 square…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178156624642560000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178152629953794049", "created_at": "2019-09-29T03:40:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Aella_Girl: I anticipate something like this happening when the laws change around ride sharing platforms. I predict, in the end, the w…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178152629953794049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178020884054978560", "created_at": "2019-09-28T18:57:19+00:00", "text": "@CliffordSosis Making fun of people 'light-heardedly' is one of the few ways we can communicate with others that if they don't change, they will actually lose status in our eyes.\n\nBut it's dumb to make fun of people for things they can't change like height.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178020884054978560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1178015216929562629", "created_at": "2019-09-28T18:34:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @PTetlock: Forecasting error can be partitioned into bias and noise (systematic mistakes, e.g. over-confidence, vs random ones. Latest K…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1178015216929562629", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1177781960581758976", "created_at": "2019-09-28T03:07:56+00:00", "text": "@jeetsidhu_ Best game ever", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1177781960581758976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1177449916517322755", "created_at": "2019-09-27T05:08:30+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian It's very interesting how well the divide still works, imo.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1177449916517322755", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176569420296216577", "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:49:44+00:00", "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Do I have more intelligence if I can imagine how I could solve all sorts of problems \"if only I had a giant powerful robotic apparatus to control\"? It is a strategy that could solve problem X. It's not my problem I don't have the powerful robotic apparatus at my disposal!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176569420296216577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176568431765860357", "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:45:48+00:00", "text": "This said, I think many intuitions against posting cringey true belief X in situation Y carry important information too.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176568431765860357", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176567874930053120", "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:43:35+00:00", "text": "3) Norms against sharing cringey true beliefs, broadly, are reinforced. It becomes more socially costly for everyone to share cringey beliefs.\n4) Intellectual distance doesn't have a chance to decrease.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176567874930053120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176558334142496770", "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:05:40+00:00", "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Computation is a physical operation. Accomplishing goals is a physical process. Thus, a useful definition of intelligence should probably be intimately connected to whatever is going on physically with an agent.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176558334142496770", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176556942334054400", "created_at": "2019-09-24T18:00:09+00:00", "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan of environment, because if you just used that narrow metric, you would assume they had 0 intelligence. However, who is actually better at accomplishing goals in the world, an agent with 20 sensors and arms, or one with 1 each?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176556942334054400", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1176550154645704705", "created_at": "2019-09-24T17:33:10+00:00", "text": "@GarrettPetersen @AlphaTrump1 @bryan_caplan Running a 100-meter dash fast only signals your ability to achieve goals in a small subset of possible environments.\n\nWhat is better at achieving goals: an AI with optional control over a mechanical robot, or an identical AI without control over said robot?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176550154645704705", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1176186680509906946", "created_at": "2019-09-23T17:28:51+00:00", "text": "@CandiceAiston Also, he is giving them a choice. People know how much they are aided by the gov't with other programs, so they can make a rational choice to choose the UBI if they think it would be better for them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176186680509906946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176181773434347522", "created_at": "2019-09-23T17:09:21+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Unintuitive findings from 'science' are 'fun' rather than a signal that some serious reconciliation needs to happen.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176181773434347522", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176174719172861952", "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:41:19+00:00", "text": "This might be more salient to some people then the argument that what's on the line is the (total value of the longterm future) * (how much we can reduce x-risk odds).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176174719172861952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176174718442987520", "created_at": "2019-09-23T16:41:19+00:00", "text": "A ~helpful way to think of it is to imagine that some number of equally valuable Earths exist in parallel universes, and in 1/6 of them, civilization & the future 100% stops if WE don't reduce x-risk odds. If we reduce the risk by 50%, only 1 in 12 copies of Earth will be destr*.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176174718442987520", "word_count": 55 }, { "id": "1176161513796702208", "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:48:51+00:00", "text": "@bryan_caplan I like the def. \"Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goals in a wide range of environments\" from https://t.co/vQgkZSc94A", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176161513796702208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176154177329881088", "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:19:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sbkaufman: One of the greatest paradoxes of humanity: We know the factors that will probabilistically increase the chances of being hap…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176154177329881088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176152502636617728", "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:13:03+00:00", "text": "You may have a qualm with deliberately focusing on trying to immortalize oneself, but I feel like one can actually sacrifice oneself a lot more for others if that box is ~checked off in their brain i.e. can chase impact more than prestige because the box is checked.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176152502636617728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176150560740904965", "created_at": "2019-09-23T15:05:20+00:00", "text": "But the benefit of ↑ clarity of thought is def enough to do it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176150560740904965", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176146360837595137", "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:48:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: CSS7 is out, get it here:\n\nhttps://t.co/eoxqXBqiTm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176146360837595137", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176145410655739905", "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:52+00:00", "text": "Some AI-enabled service down the road could even create a bot off of your recordings & writings so future people can quickly find what you really did think about some topic (at t time).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176145410655739905", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176145409095454720", "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:51+00:00", "text": "Aside from clarifying thoughts & helping to think new ones, voice recording also serves to sort of immortalize oneself, if that's your jam. It wouldn't be hard to save all the recordings to be unlocked when you die or some x years afterwards.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176145409095454720", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176145406629163013", "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:44:51+00:00", "text": "Used to do this all the time before West Point, but there was so little privacy there most of the time that I guess I didn't carry the habit over.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176145406629163013", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1176139007052435469", "created_at": "2019-09-23T14:19:25+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @KarlWiderquist Thanks for linking it!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1176139007052435469", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175955394331467779", "created_at": "2019-09-23T02:09:48+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @KarlWiderquist Sure thanks I'd check it out", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175955394331467779", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175943119063441408", "created_at": "2019-09-23T01:21:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MaxGhenis: These are the experiences our safety net puts people through. 40 million people are on SNAP, and other programs can be even…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175943119063441408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175824180455071745", "created_at": "2019-09-22T17:28:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lsparrish: Just submitted to NIAC at NASA, a Space Runway is a Launch Assist System consisting of a long tube in orbit which works as a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175824180455071745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175821132592820224", "created_at": "2019-09-22T17:16:18+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Dirichlet is that you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175821132592820224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175635688487829504", "created_at": "2019-09-22T04:59:25+00:00", "text": "@LizDueweke def m&m's", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175635688487829504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175538359340544001", "created_at": "2019-09-21T22:32:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AndrewYang: Pricing in externalities may be one of the most important things we can do. Markets work better if the true costs are incl…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175538359340544001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175437632618356736", "created_at": "2019-09-21T15:52:24+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Their target is Nov 1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175437632618356736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1175223158833647616", "created_at": "2019-09-21T01:40:10+00:00", "text": "@alexeyguzey Wtf...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1175223158833647616", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174814738565476354", "created_at": "2019-09-19T22:37:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jacyreese: I don't usually post about Trump, but this image is fascinating.\n\nMaybe if Trump didn't have such a goofy haircut, his elect…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174814738565476354", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174679753883889664", "created_at": "2019-09-19T13:40:52+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Daywise by Synapse?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174679753883889664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174394737471762433", "created_at": "2019-09-18T18:48:19+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @georgesoros @VitalikButerin Assuming this was desirable, is there a good way for people to use ETH-based smart contracts to help solve this coordination problem and make it happen?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174394737471762433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174393340923658240", "created_at": "2019-09-18T18:42:46+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 240k (extra people to make sure) * ($6k lost wages + $2k Kentucky rent prices + $2k temp moving costs)= $2.4b dollars. Might be worth it assuming Kentucky can't constitutionally change election laws last minute?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174393340923658240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174366175674941440", "created_at": "2019-09-18T16:54:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_caplan: You worked hard for your money. Spend it well! https://t.co/AwINxC897B", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174366175674941440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174348562118918144", "created_at": "2019-09-18T15:44:50+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Me too! Really seems like a cause area worth investigating more. It might even be worth it just for spreading the ideas of longtermism & human-independent value capture, nevertheless the actual good it might do way down the road in expectation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174348562118918144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174303193486024704", "created_at": "2019-09-18T12:44:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @btdrawer: Suffering is cancelled. Abolish suffering", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174303193486024704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174177303942848513", "created_at": "2019-09-18T04:24:19+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian A great way of putting it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174177303942848513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174108014355369984", "created_at": "2019-09-17T23:48:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: My prediction: Warren wins the nomination but loses the election, bc she can't appeal to centrists & independents. The only…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174108014355369984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174070725008855047", "created_at": "2019-09-17T21:20:48+00:00", "text": "@LOS_Fisher Why is this even being shared with the public? What good could come of it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174070725008855047", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174062156314284044", "created_at": "2019-09-17T20:46:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EconTalker: I love it when people tell me that our Kafkaesque health care system, distorted in so many ways by government subsidy and r…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174062156314284044", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1174022198568411136", "created_at": "2019-09-17T18:07:59+00:00", "text": "@80000Hours My guess is that the most tractable & likely(important) x-risks occur from small actors, so I hope that cyber defense outpaces offense as big institutions can win in the physical realm against small actors. Do you hope or expect defense to win?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1174022198568411136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1173966399494131717", "created_at": "2019-09-17T14:26:15+00:00", "text": "@turtlekiosk No that's a good question", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1173966399494131717", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1173820816934481920", "created_at": "2019-09-17T04:47:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @BjornLomborg: Germany's government wants to spend €40bn over next 4 years to cut CO₂. This will cut global temps by 0.00018°C\n\nThe same…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1173820816934481920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1173765585764831233", "created_at": "2019-09-17T01:08:17+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 0 cuz predictors probably would have lived in targeted cities & wouldn't be alive to cash in if they were wrong.\n\nFor real though, my guess would be 7%.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1173765585764831233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1173604973294313472", "created_at": "2019-09-16T14:30:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @reasonisfun: Key institutions of science:\n\n1. \"the objectivity of science comes from the process of more or less free criticism in the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1173604973294313472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1173433626274533378", "created_at": "2019-09-16T03:09:12+00:00", "text": "@prncvlnt Are you just lifting? Cardio helps chill me out", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1173433626274533378", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172935941037666305", "created_at": "2019-09-14T18:11:35+00:00", "text": "@paulg @rivatez Nick Bostrom's papers, especially the ones on x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172935941037666305", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172931745991331840", "created_at": "2019-09-14T17:54:54+00:00", "text": "@DavidDeutschOxf \"Omg, this other economic agent tried to straightforwardly capture my consumer surplus, look how much of a victim I am\" 😪", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172931745991331840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172586886621212673", "created_at": "2019-09-13T19:04:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @michael_nielsen: Fascinating article on the physical demands of chess, and the physical training chess grandmasters do: https://t.co/kJ…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172586886621212673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172579255873613824", "created_at": "2019-09-13T18:34:14+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair but is the technical solution guaranteed with a probability of 1 minus epsilon\n\nCheckmate consequantalists", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172579255873613824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172576450358259713", "created_at": "2019-09-13T18:23:05+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair Ew no I threw my wallet key away when I discovered the CO2 from bitcoin transactions could kill us all in 10 yrs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172576450358259713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172559798405095425", "created_at": "2019-09-13T17:16:55+00:00", "text": "'how did evolution select for this subjective sense of being able to do otherwise?'", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172559798405095425", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172542949034516481", "created_at": "2019-09-13T16:09:58+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair how can I pay you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172542949034516481", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172193864289017856", "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:50+00:00", "text": "Seems like improving online forums and how information is exchanged over shared text documents is relatively important, neglected, and tractable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172193864289017856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172193862732922880", "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:49+00:00", "text": "and allow for the other readers to vote their perception, leave a comment, and the author to select their original interpretation?\n\nTo avoid text getting too complicated, you could perhaps choose to follow the comments of whoever you wanted and block whoever you wanted.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172193862732922880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1172193861973827584", "created_at": "2019-09-12T17:02:49+00:00", "text": "What about new ways of assessing readers' perceptions of formal propositions and arguments asserted by an author? E.g. in the body of a text, if a reader came across a proposition that was open to interpretation, they could highlight & comment in their two interpretations,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1172193861973827584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171652310977646592", "created_at": "2019-09-11T05:10:53+00:00", "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis I hear you and I think in principle, all things can be measured with a certain level of uncertainty. https://t.co/bx7mZ1WuVs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171652310977646592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171633039102922753", "created_at": "2019-09-11T03:54:19+00:00", "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis Related:\nhttps://t.co/vhnEUK1VO9 https://t.co/vTOdUL9su1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171633039102922753", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171631944691568648", "created_at": "2019-09-11T03:49:58+00:00", "text": "@roybahat @MazzucatoM @mgorbis both computational intractability & bad software (our brains).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171631944691568648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171538847328550913", "created_at": "2019-09-10T21:40:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MarkLutter: I'm pleased to announce that the Center for Innovative Governance Research is becoming the Charter Cities Institute. We hav…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171538847328550913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171535004272230400", "created_at": "2019-09-10T21:24:45+00:00", "text": "@jayvanbavel @GivingTools @nature Yes, this is an issue. However, given the reaction times of self-driving cars and how rare forced binary choices really will be, it's not the worst thing in the world to get the morality slightly wrong. I bet we are probably talking less than 1000 world wide deaths a year where", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171535004272230400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171518327111335936", "created_at": "2019-09-10T20:18:29+00:00", "text": "@ejjiott Would he engineer a biopandemic if he thought it would effectively kill everyone?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171518327111335936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171496239600267264", "created_at": "2019-09-10T18:50:43+00:00", "text": "@roybahat The answer to me is complicated. Everything can in principle be priced in the sense that everything actually has some discrete utility. But markets do not price everything properly according to my utility function.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171496239600267264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1171491293416939520", "created_at": "2019-09-10T18:31:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KevinSimler: Parenting role models. Thread: https://t.co/LvS75OrUj4 https://t.co/SmTZ8BsRTg", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1171491293416939520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170886617797746691", "created_at": "2019-09-09T02:28:18+00:00", "text": "@TheInnerMoon https://t.co/GbqqT2nl3P", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170886617797746691", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170882161135771649", "created_at": "2019-09-09T02:10:35+00:00", "text": "@TheInnerMoon Ignoring it's inability to effectively deal with x-risks from emerging technologies, anarchism does a good job harnessing evolution for error correction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170882161135771649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170646782566633472", "created_at": "2019-09-08T10:35:17+00:00", "text": "@jprwg It seems the binomial distribution is our optimal credence distribution over possible outcomes over N iterations here, but that for each point on that probability distribution, you wouldn't expect it to change given more computation on what it should be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170646782566633472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170637187655917568", "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:57:09+00:00", "text": "@__ice9 @sillyolyou @RogerPielkeJr @MichaelEMann @NOAA @WMO @IPCC_CH Tails can be preserved by fattening up the area between the tail and the mean when the mean shifts towards the tail. Do you know of instances of this happening in nature?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170637187655917568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170626720833200133", "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:15:34+00:00", "text": "@RJsnda Sorry, I meant 0<{a,b}<1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170626720833200133", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170624574091923456", "created_at": "2019-09-08T09:07:02+00:00", "text": "@__ice9 @sillyolyou @RogerPielkeJr @MichaelEMann @NOAA @WMO @IPCC_CH Like do you have any idea how common a raise in a mean is without an extension of the right tail?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170624574091923456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170619848189259776", "created_at": "2019-09-08T08:48:15+00:00", "text": "@mizroba But there is no real attraction towards the omega point, right? It's just impersonal, physics-based evolution until it's impersonal, physics-based maximum order and/or utility? And it doesn't seem that evolution has to end after a radical increase in order and/or utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170619848189259776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170358522078486528", "created_at": "2019-09-07T15:29:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @anderssandberg: Heavy tail outcomes imply that one should try more small experiments looking for big effects rather than fewer high-pow…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170358522078486528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170256192200986625", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:43:13+00:00", "text": "@roybahat incentivize labor and resource allocation to the degree the output of their labor is valued.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170256192200986625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170255932074471424", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:42:11+00:00", "text": "@roybahat Society is basically full of people between these two extremes. It's no one's fault how economically productive they are capable of being. That said, resources (to the degree we've resolved the issue of Rent) tend to be allocated more efficiently when you allow individuals to", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170255932074471424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170255157105442816", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:39:06+00:00", "text": "@roybahat They will suffer through no fault of their own if you do not provide them with cars. However, is it really inappropriate to not give them cars? Of course not.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170255157105442816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170254466085457920", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:36:21+00:00", "text": "@roybahat At the same time, say a person, by no fault of their own, just has a compulsion to destroy cars. You want to give them the means so they can commute to good jobs across town, but they just can't help but destroy the potential positive uses of scarce resources.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170254466085457920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170253862349004801", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:33:57+00:00", "text": "@roybahat To illustrate the point with extremes, if someone is able to build a great car with $1000, you should probably let them retain all the money others provide to them because they are efficient in turning scarce resources into value.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170253862349004801", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170251175758901248", "created_at": "2019-09-07T08:23:17+00:00", "text": "@roybahat It's not so much about actually having the pure intention, but in providing services that others value enough to actually shell out money for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170251175758901248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170069017391960065", "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:19:27+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @ErikDeBruijn @itsbirdemic What evidence do you have that analogy holds?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170069017391960065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170068520656408576", "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:17:28+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Pascal's mugging involves low percentages. I said far greater than 1%, which is higher than the natural background risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170068520656408576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170064668687314944", "created_at": "2019-09-06T20:02:10+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic I showed that not only do some machine learning exerts have a high credence in the possibility of a singularity, but that the implication of your argument is wrong, because you don't need a high credence to worry about a really bad potential outcome.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170064668687314944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170063538515263490", "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:57:40+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic Literally, all you had to do was spend 30 seconds to see that some machine learning experts do have a high credence in the likelihood of a singularity. But here is a more concise post for you: https://t.co/rHbAEdn8fR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170063538515263490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170062508545196032", "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:53:35+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic The thing about x-risks is that even if a minority of experts think one particular threat is real, as long as there is no proof against it, you still want to pay attention to the threat.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170062508545196032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170056542785290245", "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:29:53+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @ErikDeBruijn @itsbirdemic Frankly, I don't care much about what the average person's credence is in an AI singularity. I do care that many professional coders and machine learning researchers do have a high credence in an eventual AI singularity. https://t.co/rHbAEdn8fR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170056542785290245", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170054781546749953", "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:22:53+00:00", "text": "@Sahelanth @itsbirdemic I bet there are a few experts here whose judgment you respect. Many are confident a singularity will happen. https://t.co/2ae15E3Zng", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170054781546749953", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170050717131976704", "created_at": "2019-09-06T19:06:44+00:00", "text": "@dzcoinfiltrator @itsbirdemic There's no ruining of lives when you have an honest conversation and converge priors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170050717131976704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170046880493031424", "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:51:29+00:00", "text": "@dzcoinfiltrator @itsbirdemic @ErikDeBruijn I like how you really give people the benefit of the doubt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170046880493031424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170044732447363072", "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:42:57+00:00", "text": "Second, economic growth compounds, & small growth rate differences lead to massive differences in prosperity over even just decades, not to mention centuries. Thus, we should be interested in at least not taking away resources away from the most economically productive people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170044732447363072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170044731218436096", "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:42:56+00:00", "text": "Future expected people matter, and we need to consider their preferences in the allocation of our scarce resources. First of all, they need to exist, so we should be spending at least a substantial amount of entitlement money on x-risk reduction efforts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170044731218436096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170036166952964097", "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:08:55+00:00", "text": "@itsbirdemic Also, if you want to have a better chance at changing anyone's mind, you probably want to get a little higher up the pyramid: https://t.co/DyBVJ5PkLi", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170036166952964097", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170034272750723078", "created_at": "2019-09-06T18:01:23+00:00", "text": "@ShanKothari @itsbirdemic I think a lot of techies do realize climate change is a problem and many do advocate for carbon taxes, nuclear power, and various research efforts that could help us tackle climate change. It's not like techies are the bad guys here lol", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170034272750723078", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170033285235453952", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:57:28+00:00", "text": "@ShanKothari @itsbirdemic I'm for carbon taxes, nuclear power, geoengineering research (obviously not full-scale implementation yet). I'm just saying climate change is not an *existential* risk and that AI is.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170033285235453952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170030154418184193", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:45:01+00:00", "text": "@itsbirdemic How does that kill everyone? Also, are you saying that literally all non-human life dies, or that nature finds a different point of equilibrium?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170030154418184193", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170029656608845824", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:43:02+00:00", "text": "@itsbirdemic That's not an argument that's going to shift my beliefs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170029656608845824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170029032639012864", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:40:34+00:00", "text": "@itsbirdemic Could you give me a scenario how climate change could literally kill everyone and not even leave at least 20,000 people alive?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170029032639012864", "word_count": 22 }, { "id": "1170028640727371777", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:39:00+00:00", "text": "@itsbirdemic Is that your prediction factoring in the predictions of experts in AI?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170028640727371777", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1170023027301638144", "created_at": "2019-09-06T17:16:42+00:00", "text": "@roybahat It's from fulfilling other's preferences in a private contract. When you have a high income, it means you're active in fulfilling other people's preferences in private contracts. You shouldn't be punished extra because you're more keen to fulfill other's preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1170023027301638144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169870874800877570", "created_at": "2019-09-06T07:12:06+00:00", "text": "Guesstimate's analysis mode can help with this:\nhttps://t.co/gq4YsCt5kk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169870874800877570", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169773661303300098", "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:45:48+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Thank goodness we have video games and sports as channels for male aggression.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169773661303300098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169766019281408000", "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:15:26+00:00", "text": "@mckaywrigley You're either at the beginning of infinity or you're not.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169766019281408000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169763481442246656", "created_at": "2019-09-06T00:05:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnCGreer: Have to admit I'm jealous Dominic Cummings might get to live my dream of creating a cabinet full of rational people like Sc…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169763481442246656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169447936826204160", "created_at": "2019-09-05T03:11:30+00:00", "text": "@vgr Yes, 22.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169447936826204160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169441592823955456", "created_at": "2019-09-05T02:46:17+00:00", "text": "@Google @GooglePixels @Android @AndroidDev screwed up big time with the Android 10 update. My phone has been 'updating' for nearly 24 hours, despite troubleshooting. I wanted to get the Pixel 4, but I might have to switch to iPhone if I don't have a working phone pronto.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169441592823955456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169404365997826049", "created_at": "2019-09-05T00:18:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @z3nblack: 1/ This is kind of a mega thread to get a glimpse into @EricRWeinstein’s insights on a wide variety of subjects.\n\nThe thing a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169404365997826049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169179945853235200", "created_at": "2019-09-04T09:26:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_caplan: If a human being can teach you how to think, that human being is Mike Huemer. https://t.co/GfuDipdIm2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169179945853235200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169044050718220289", "created_at": "2019-09-04T00:26:36+00:00", "text": "@LibertarianWing Free markets punish inefficient allocations of resources.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169044050718220289", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169036093129396225", "created_at": "2019-09-03T23:54:58+00:00", "text": "@jeffrlin @albrgr Thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169036093129396225", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1169001652004827136", "created_at": "2019-09-03T21:38:07+00:00", "text": "@jeffrlin @albrgr Idk if it's just me but I can't open the PDF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1169001652004827136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168984817259765767", "created_at": "2019-09-03T20:31:13+00:00", "text": "@page_eco Why would anyone select anything other than $1m or $100?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168984817259765767", "word_count": 10 }, { "id": "1168964235466018816", "created_at": "2019-09-03T19:09:26+00:00", "text": "@SamHarrisOrg Science and dealing with potential infohazards:\nhttps://t.co/WruwydB2Mj", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168964235466018816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168954350946963457", "created_at": "2019-09-03T18:30:10+00:00", "text": "Too curious, hold my kombuc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168954350946963457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168950726053310465", "created_at": "2019-09-03T18:15:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Afgas_: Recommended:\n•https://t.co/4uv8kwZcnH\n•https://t.co/s1Qc6TManw\n•https://t.co/4brzdFE8Ob\n•https://t.co/yGp95OaQ3P\n•https://t.co/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168950726053310465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168567568854147074", "created_at": "2019-09-02T16:53:14+00:00", "text": "@lieschenv Men do kill men more than women: https://t.co/yooVLeceI1\nhttps://t.co/ckEQ7dWCYl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168567568854147074", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168389002363310081", "created_at": "2019-09-02T05:03:40+00:00", "text": "@dvassallo I'm saying there isn't anything special we must do about probabilities, particularly low probabilities. Our utility function f: Value→Utility accounts for us valuing the ($3m, .3) option more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168389002363310081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168373881343754240", "created_at": "2019-09-02T04:03:35+00:00", "text": "@dvassallo I feel that the difference in desirability of these stems exclusively from our diminishing marginal utility curves. But in the event you needed $300 million immediately to 'save Earth' & any less would guaranteed not be enough, I think the .3% option would become more desirable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168373881343754240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168302232019845125", "created_at": "2019-09-01T23:18:52+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Yeah hyenas could probably go", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168302232019845125", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168297579811102722", "created_at": "2019-09-01T23:00:23+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I just think expensive efforts to preserve one species here and there, especially one that is pretty well understood, is probably suboptimal.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168297579811102722", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168295455329083392", "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:51:57+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I feel like the instrumental value is the right way to look at it. I think the robustness argument is strong, but that panthers and koalas probably aren't necessary for it. There are probably still lots of points of equilibria without the specific animals we focus on preserving.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168295455329083392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168293380184510466", "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:43:42+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I have seen them eat creatures alive 😬. Do they seem to deliberately torture?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168293380184510466", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168289074949607424", "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:26:35+00:00", "text": "@Mish_in_London Idk if that's the case, but I think that honesty tends to lead to better states of affairs and is usually less painful overall.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168289074949607424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168285870891442180", "created_at": "2019-09-01T22:13:51+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog Consequentialism essentially recognizes falsificationism and fundamental unknowability. Deontology says we can afford to never think twice about our utility function while not even knowing the fundamental nature of reality.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168285870891442180", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168281070216896517", "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:54:47+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog of evaluating possible ways the environment could unfold given your actions, more information+computation, in expectation, leads to more utility capture.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168281070216896517", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168280807456346115", "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:53:44+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog you should expect more computation & information to lead to more utility realization then less. You could always get lucky by settling on less computation & information, but with the possibility of your utility function evolving and the computational hardness", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168280807456346115", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168277570292461573", "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:40:52+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog Whatever sort of utility function one could develop, one should leave open the possibility of making it better with access to more information+computation. It seems hard to prove absolutely that one has discovered the best utility function and rules for satisfying it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168277570292461573", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168271074875924480", "created_at": "2019-09-01T21:15:04+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog You can ignore the Gödel's Incompleteness theorem part of my argument. What do you think of the rest of it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168271074875924480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168266003643621376", "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:54:55+00:00", "text": "@Mish_in_London I'd either use an older version on Internet Archive, or allow yourself to feel the negative emotions about starting last minute and put the real date accessed.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168266003643621376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168259782362443776", "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:30:11+00:00", "text": "@gwern @lukeprog situational information, and can perform more computations than what went into forming the deontological rule.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168259782362443776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168255470362079232", "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:13:03+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly Blogging", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168255470362079232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168253566932475904", "created_at": "2019-09-01T20:05:30+00:00", "text": "This maybe could help reduce some of the problem of efficiency vs. distribution and allow for poor people to still have a more proportional ability to incentivize others' labor. This system also still allows for long-term investments with the traditional currency.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168253566932475904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168247301741191169", "created_at": "2019-09-01T19:40:36+00:00", "text": "@ProjectVayo You don't have to know with a certainty of 1 that they won't ever be useful to drastically cut funding their preservation. Given how scarce resources are, I feel we should ensure their DNA is sequenced and let private parties spend what the want on them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168247301741191169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1168242750598389762", "created_at": "2019-09-01T19:22:31+00:00", "text": "@ProjectVayo If there is a cost-effective way to do that, sure. I am just saying that spending millions to save the Florida panther is probably not worth it, imo.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1168242750598389762", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167894679741816837", "created_at": "2019-08-31T20:19:24+00:00", "text": "@kleptid Thanks, that seems interesting", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167894679741816837", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167881717576658945", "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:27:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RoxanneHeston: \"Online bettors can sniff out weak psychology studies. So why can’t the journals that publish them?\" \n\nSocial science re…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167881717576658945", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167880379430162435", "created_at": "2019-08-31T19:22:35+00:00", "text": "There's so many downsides to sugar. Obesity, health issues, it depresses mood. I would be less inclined if we weren't so interested in paying for each others' healthcare, but we are going down that route. Something in the range of $.005 to $.02 per gram seems reasonable to start.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167880379430162435", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167663546429317120", "created_at": "2019-08-31T05:00:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: \"Science is when you proliferate infohazards, and the more hazardous they are, the more sciencier it is\"\n\n-- Nick Bost…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167663546429317120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167432320384667648", "created_at": "2019-08-30T13:42:09+00:00", "text": "@MsMelChen It's not great all the time, but it's different, and variety is nice every now and then.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167432320384667648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167413681979830273", "created_at": "2019-08-30T12:28:05+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary @realDonaldTrump Thankfully my parents have a rather hurricane resistant house about 1/2 hour away so I'm set haha. It's the people in flood zones and mobile homes who seem to carry most of the risk unfortunately.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167413681979830273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167275002238054401", "created_at": "2019-08-30T03:17:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AviN102: The Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative, which has the mission of improving human civilization’s long-term prospects for surv…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167275002238054401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167244747301371909", "created_at": "2019-08-30T01:16:48+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn One can hope", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167244747301371909", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1167078337229053953", "created_at": "2019-08-29T14:15:33+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist Philosophically or emotionally?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1167078337229053953", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166855684312444929", "created_at": "2019-08-28T23:30:48+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK How confident are you of that, and how confident are you that non-thinking (or at least repetitive, simple by human-standards thinking) hedonium could be constructed?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166855684312444929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166851492025946114", "created_at": "2019-08-28T23:14:09+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Idk I don't think simulating to the point of knowing precisely what I would do is necessarily enough for conscious to come along for the ride.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166851492025946114", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166758492356694017", "created_at": "2019-08-28T17:04:36+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I currently think substrate-independent morally-relevant operations might be possible, but why do people think the case for it is so strong?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166758492356694017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166749840774221826", "created_at": "2019-08-28T16:30:13+00:00", "text": "@jasonshiga @bryan_caplan Some of the disparity is from perceptions of instrumental value. People aren't necessarily hypocrites if the numbers were shown to differ between your two scenarios.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166749840774221826", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166739577756950532", "created_at": "2019-08-28T15:49:26+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes Remove alternative sources of pleasure & distraction so that the things I 'ought' to do become more rewarding and the things I subjectively want to do. It's easy to jump into something difficult after being bored rather than after playing video games.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166739577756950532", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166721490198380546", "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:37:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AriDavidPaul: \"Rent Seeking\" is a term of art in economics that refers to capturing value by \"manipulating the social or political envi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166721490198380546", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166718976291999744", "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:27:35+00:00", "text": "@anonimocidadaoo @bryan_caplan What even is deontology? Like precisely, mathematically? It's utterly incoherent.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166718976291999744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166714658788651010", "created_at": "2019-08-28T14:10:25+00:00", "text": "@sciam Sounds like they are spending their limited time tackling the real questions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166714658788651010", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166533826513952769", "created_at": "2019-08-28T02:11:52+00:00", "text": "@chaosprime Gon' be waitin' a long time until thorough proton decay", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166533826513952769", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166525780106633217", "created_at": "2019-08-28T01:39:53+00:00", "text": "@chaosprime Idk, sounds like something an omnicidal agent might say.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166525780106633217", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166525066710061057", "created_at": "2019-08-28T01:37:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jprwg: Tired: writing out the joke in full, beyond the point where the punchline can already be inferred", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166525066710061057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166446045989154821", "created_at": "2019-08-27T20:23:03+00:00", "text": "I respect the person who \"emotionally doesn't care much about animals\" who goes vegan for abstract suffering reasons more than a veterinarian who \"loves animals\" and funds factory farming a couple times a week.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166446045989154821", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166434185013276672", "created_at": "2019-08-27T19:35:55+00:00", "text": "@bryan_caplan Anyone voting below 1+ should believe that they are less instrumentally utilitous than the average person.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166434185013276672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166433643709042689", "created_at": "2019-08-27T19:33:46+00:00", "text": "@bryan_caplan \"Either I'll--guaranteed--put a bullet in your head, or you play Russian roulette with that innocent random person, except instead of 1/6 odds, there are 20 random 5-round revolvers to choose from and only 1 has 1 bullet.\"\n\n\"Nah thanks mate\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166433643709042689", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1166187182572343296", "created_at": "2019-08-27T03:14:25+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer @hsu_steve It's ridiculous. I wouldn't be surprised if it were optimal for us to be spending $1 trillion a year in human genetic engineering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166187182572343296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166164152785784832", "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:42:54+00:00", "text": "If you must acquire placeholders of value (money) in order to incentivize the right labor to solve collective action problems, do it by taxing natural resources which everyone has an equal moral claim to, not by slicing off a chunk of value of each private market transaction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166164152785784832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166162836470587394", "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:37:41+00:00", "text": "Whether that be an exchange of sexual favors in bed or private property for cash, no one else needs a say so long as no third-party is getting hurt.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166162836470587394", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166153977127493632", "created_at": "2019-08-27T01:02:28+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes Increasing the stakes/heat", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166153977127493632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166124087418269696", "created_at": "2019-08-26T23:03:42+00:00", "text": "@alexisohanian If you love spreadsheets, you might love https://t.co/ToeD6xHsSC,\na spreadsheet for working with probabilities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166124087418269696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1166066295865073667", "created_at": "2019-08-26T19:14:04+00:00", "text": "@MaxReddel Idk I think his choice of diet was probably the primary contributor to his cancer. It's a bit of a moral hazard scenario if we force others to subsidize his treatment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1166066295865073667", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1165343874455408640", "created_at": "2019-08-24T19:23:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EpiEllie: Today’s random thought: wouldn’t it be great if we could just submit twitter threads directly to journals. Do we *really* nee…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1165343874455408640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1165082212745842696", "created_at": "2019-08-24T02:03:40+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Yes lol", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1165082212745842696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1165072031337066497", "created_at": "2019-08-24T01:23:12+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer Thanks John 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1165072031337066497", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1164732299142926336", "created_at": "2019-08-23T02:53:14+00:00", "text": "(Not saying there aren't still lessons to be learned to improve future action)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1164732299142926336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1163999777987715072", "created_at": "2019-08-21T02:22:27+00:00", "text": "@PuggyKnudson @LexiOHudson Mill was a brilliant man and I'd like to see more positive utilitarian memes like this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163999777987715072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1163578009888219137", "created_at": "2019-08-19T22:26:30+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Hard drives are only worth it nowadays, IMO, for massive, infrequently accessed data like a multi-terabyte movie collection. Even then, hard drives are not as reliable and I wouldn't put anything on them that you can't afford to lose.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163578009888219137", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1163575867035045889", "created_at": "2019-08-19T22:17:59+00:00", "text": "Hard drives have bigger storage capacity for the price and access data slower, SSDs cost more per GB but access data much faster. SSDs are also more resilient towards drops. You generally want an SSD for your personal computer.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1163575867035045889", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1163469533186838528", "created_at": "2019-08-19T15:15:27+00:00", "text": "How much utility have we captured so far again?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163469533186838528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1163277822380695552", "created_at": "2019-08-19T02:33:40+00:00", "text": "@mizroba unfollowed\n\n/s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163277822380695552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1163208018063962115", "created_at": "2019-08-18T21:56:17+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ @EvanSandhoefner I think a carbon tax at the very least would be reasonable (e.g. to account for methane from cows). Ideally, we would also tax their suffering. Even if we couldn't account for the full amount, a partial tax would probably be better than nothing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163208018063962115", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1163207110861176833", "created_at": "2019-08-18T21:52:41+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k Yeah it's not a complete exhale of relief haha", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1163207110861176833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162911831960293377", "created_at": "2019-08-18T02:19:21+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets I'm sorry it's just a terrible joke.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162911831960293377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162899863035666438", "created_at": "2019-08-18T01:31:47+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets Maximize utility", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162899863035666438", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162879105374797829", "created_at": "2019-08-18T00:09:18+00:00", "text": "@MarkLutter Post to the 80,000 Hours job board?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162879105374797829", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162869141356863493", "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:29:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MsMelChen: @HPluckrose Helen, I have defended British imperialism and colonialism, but I cannot, in good conscience, defend this. \n\nThi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162869141356863493", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162868724870897665", "created_at": "2019-08-17T23:28:03+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ @EvanSandhoefner True social justice isn't about stopping behavior, but just taxing it appropriately at the cost of restitution.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162868724870897665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162828906522718208", "created_at": "2019-08-17T20:49:50+00:00", "text": "@mizroba @razibkhan I was just talking about that feeling of resolving cognitive dissonance haha, but I'll have to check out the podcast.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162828906522718208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162828689396162560", "created_at": "2019-08-17T20:48:58+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson I argue that hedonium is a plausible and desirable 2nd choice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162828689396162560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162775419730485250", "created_at": "2019-08-17T17:17:18+00:00", "text": "Update: Apparently Sandberg et al already showed the Fermi Paradox is not necessarily a thing: https://t.co/ibWsZraWcI\n\nThis isn't to say that discovering multicellular life wouldn't be bad news for us, but it with the current error margins, it's not quite as bad.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162775419730485250", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162139198687760386", "created_at": "2019-08-15T23:09:11+00:00", "text": "@ASpittel Solve math problems", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162139198687760386", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162030960935940097", "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:59:05+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton But yeah, I can't recommend highly instrumental valuable people do this, even if they are unusually good at physical things. It might make sense in terms of dollars, but probably doesn't in terms of x-risk reduction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162030960935940097", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162029248909123584", "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:52:17+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I know total car insurance can cover rental, but that is beyond my budget for the next few years whereas getting a used bike for as long as I need and selling it for what I bought it for is cheap, provided I manage the risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162029248909123584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1162027485250428930", "created_at": "2019-08-15T15:45:16+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton In a sense, a 15 mile trip is similar to the risk of driving 60 miles. That said, I'm riding just so I am learning how to ride well so I can have cheap fall back transpo in the future if my car ever shits the bed. So I'm planning to sell my bike and get a car within a few months.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1162027485250428930", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1160419423720751105", "created_at": "2019-08-11T05:15:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ElectionScience: The way we vote is broken, but we aren't stuck with the system we have—we can work to change it, as they have in Fargo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1160419423720751105", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1160003346167717890", "created_at": "2019-08-10T01:42:04+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Woa woa woa we all know how possible it is to underestimate negative externalities and how impossible it is to underestimate positive externalities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1160003346167717890", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159789307810500608", "created_at": "2019-08-09T11:31:33+00:00", "text": "@KirkegaardEmil https://t.co/wNIojcsfXt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159789307810500608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159677941661491201", "created_at": "2019-08-09T04:09:01+00:00", "text": "For reference: https://t.co/dg8sNunGcQ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159677941661491201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159671167373983744", "created_at": "2019-08-09T03:42:06+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/yms4Nfaofz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159671167373983744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159483300710428674", "created_at": "2019-08-08T15:15:35+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski @JohnCGreer @SamHarrisOrg I just listened to it! Agree", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159483300710428674", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159435519559970817", "created_at": "2019-08-08T12:05:43+00:00", "text": "@JohnCGreer @briantemerowski @SamHarrisOrg Update: forgot how much I like his podcast!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159435519559970817", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159271063106142208", "created_at": "2019-08-08T01:12:14+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski Thanks!!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159271063106142208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159160912466644993", "created_at": "2019-08-07T17:54:32+00:00", "text": "@UnhWut @0rdoLiberalism Might have some negative externalities, sure. But not intrinsically immoral. Just depends on the expected effects.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159160912466644993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159159914230636544", "created_at": "2019-08-07T17:50:34+00:00", "text": "@briantemerowski Characterized by good epistemic hygiene, centered on especially important issues, willing to get technical, relatively information dense", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159159914230636544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1159130317510369280", "created_at": "2019-08-07T15:52:57+00:00", "text": "@UnhWut @0rdoLiberalism People consent to whatever they want. Nothing intrinsically immoral about odd numbers", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1159130317510369280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1158728643968937986", "created_at": "2019-08-06T13:16:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RokoMijicUK: A New Hong Kong charter city in Australia seems like it would be a win-win scenario. High human capital, English-speaking…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1158728643968937986", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1158715671620050947", "created_at": "2019-08-06T12:25:18+00:00", "text": "@mckaywrigley Keep exploring or exploit?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1158715671620050947", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1158388813670076417", "created_at": "2019-08-05T14:46:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SilverVVulpes: Glad to see reality confirming what I already mentioned: if you believe climate models are unreliable you have no reason…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1158388813670076417", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1157640288963301377", "created_at": "2019-08-03T13:12:07+00:00", "text": "@QueenOfTheWilis I mean this whole idea of free market capitalism presupposes the ideas that incentives matter, that people differ in economic productivity, that resources are scarce, and that everyone can have more in aggregate by giving more productive people more resources. Disgusting", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1157640288963301377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1157638376436228096", "created_at": "2019-08-03T13:04:31+00:00", "text": "@QueenOfTheWilis It's as if people think that just because one worked hard to fulfill other's preferences again and again in difficult, neglected ways, that one has a right to set the terms for others to do things that they can either accept or deny.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1157638376436228096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1157340267642576901", "created_at": "2019-08-02T17:19:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @HispanicPundit: What is your theory for why healthcare and education has gone up so much in costs? Whatever it is, I doubt it fits the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1157340267642576901", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1157340137208066049", "created_at": "2019-08-02T17:19:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lukeprog: ICYMI, my favorite footnotes from my animal consciousness report are 23, 40, 46, 58, 73, 77, 108, 109, 120, 124, 140, 155, 18…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1157340137208066049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156727682090098688", "created_at": "2019-08-01T00:45:45+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Ooh I like that take 🔥", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156727682090098688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156727345677574144", "created_at": "2019-08-01T00:44:24+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn My b I tried to deledit my tweet because on second thought, I thought the unilateralist question was dumb. For the curious, the rest of the tweet was:\nYou poly?\n\nDo you think humanity needs more resilient, stocked bunkers to survive a nuclear war/winter?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156727345677574144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156700722639134720", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:58:37+00:00", "text": "@dylanmatt 6) I bet people would care about x-risk a lot more if their expected life-spans were longer than (generally) <60 more years.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156700722639134720", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156693339003072512", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:29:16+00:00", "text": "@JustJoshinYou13 @dylanmatt Oh true! That's definitely sad. I mean think of all the people who put off their mid-life crises until their 40's! Then they only have 20-30 more cognitively-active years to fulfill their improved utility function.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156693339003072512", "word_count": 35 }, { "id": "1156689603392417794", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:14:26+00:00", "text": "@JustJoshinYou13 @dylanmatt How is figuring out how to live their best life depressing?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156689603392417794", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156688939702464512", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:11:48+00:00", "text": "@dylanmatt It's not like our kids just pick up our utility function where we left off. They will pursue their own, for better or for worse.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156688939702464512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156688536994820096", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:10:12+00:00", "text": "@dylanmatt Also, I don't want to die because no one seems to quite have my world-view and sense of the problems like I do. Maybe once an aligned-AGI comes around, I can chill, but for the foreseeable future, I and many other people have important takes that can't easily be replaced.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156688536994820096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156687817357107200", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:07:20+00:00", "text": "@dylanmatt 3) It's taking longer and longer to get people to the forefront of their field. We could probably solve a lot more of our pressing problems if researchers could just live longer while at the forefront of their field. Also, with longer life-spans, many could afford to teach less.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156687817357107200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1156687349914509312", "created_at": "2019-07-31T22:05:29+00:00", "text": "@dylanmatt 2) It takes 20+ years of societal investment just to crank out net economically-productive agents. That's not very efficient.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156687349914509312", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1156665163304620032", "created_at": "2019-07-31T20:37:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: the possibility that the Great Filter lies ahead of us, i.e. that the solution to the Fermi paradox is that the fate o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1156665163304620032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155545383277334530", "created_at": "2019-07-28T18:27:43+00:00", "text": "@chris_iverzen In other words, lock me in a room with any self-proclaimed deontologist until we agree and out will walk two consequentialist utilitarians.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155545383277334530", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155544859530420224", "created_at": "2019-07-28T18:25:38+00:00", "text": "@chris_iverzen I think the room for disagreement here stems from different perceptions of exactly what the definitions are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155544859530420224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155505978051354624", "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:51:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @medievaliszt: “Sorry for the reply delay!”\n- predictable\n- disorganised \n- admits fault on your part\n\n“in response to your premature em…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155505978051354624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155505250754842624", "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:48:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Ben_Reinhardt: A good breakdown of the elements that make great disruptive research teams. https://t.co/Fd18R0btn4 \n\nh/t to @arbesman…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155505250754842624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155503415931342854", "created_at": "2019-07-28T15:40:57+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Can't I say that a certain claim, as someone has presented it, is self-contradictory? I know my preferred theory could be flawed, but can't I know another is deeply flawed?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155503415931342854", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1155469874384257024", "created_at": "2019-07-28T13:27:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @aidangcw: So...basically 1/10 worries come true? That’s way worse than I had imagined. https://t.co/7m0EJyR9wi", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1155469874384257024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1154855338153316356", "created_at": "2019-07-26T20:45:43+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/3LpePgHRly", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1154855338153316356", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1154843786402521088", "created_at": "2019-07-26T19:59:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: Yup: \"While people spend so much time searching for their real self, the stark reality is that all of the aspects of your…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1154843786402521088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1154447857216368641", "created_at": "2019-07-25T17:46:32+00:00", "text": "@mizroba I think we can put a prior on any proposition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1154447857216368641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1154303752163254272", "created_at": "2019-07-25T08:13:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ExistentialRisk: The greatest long-term threats facing humanity\nHow long can civilisation survive? To thrive for billions of years, the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1154303752163254272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1154191872396529664", "created_at": "2019-07-25T00:49:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CSERCambridge: Fascinating thread on the 'letters of last resort' to the UK's nuclear submarines: https://t.co/AQ8dWoLPga", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1154191872396529664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1153979160165064704", "created_at": "2019-07-24T10:44:06+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock I mean I am happy to consider their perspective, but they don't automatically get a big vote in my parliament.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1153979160165064704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1153978147467157504", "created_at": "2019-07-24T10:40:04+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock parliament.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1153978147467157504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1153396734216802309", "created_at": "2019-07-22T20:09:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: Thread: Examples of the long term impact of past institutions https://t.co/MXwSj13VQe", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1153396734216802309", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1153351177914015744", "created_at": "2019-07-22T17:08:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ben_r_hoffman: Willpower doesn't get depleted; inner conflict can accumulate, though, if you neglect something you care about. https://…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1153351177914015744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1153317948859330560", "created_at": "2019-07-22T14:56:41+00:00", "text": "@mizroba I think we can at least become a lot more confident then we are now if we progress in certain ways.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1153317948859330560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152994579228057601", "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:31:43+00:00", "text": "Freakin' x-risk, instances of suffering, & probable, unknown crucial considerations I can all plausibly affect are taking away some of my fuzzies, man.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152994579228057601", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152994410264743936", "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:31:03+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK 😢🤣 fml", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152994410264743936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152991960082407424", "created_at": "2019-07-21T17:21:19+00:00", "text": "@Scholars_Stage I have little idea, just a guess.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152991960082407424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152983109190782977", "created_at": "2019-07-21T16:46:09+00:00", "text": "@keithfrankish Rationality: From AI to Zombies or Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152983109190782977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152974133250220034", "created_at": "2019-07-21T16:10:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: 'The varieties of material existence' by Michael Nielsen https://t.co/LvuChi8F4v https://t.co/IZ98RYg7IN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152974133250220034", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152965450822815745", "created_at": "2019-07-21T15:35:59+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn There is always the chance of a cosmic ray flipping the first bit to my credence for a dangerous belief like not eating and turning a 0000 0000 000 0001/1111 1111 1111 1111 belief into one with essentially 50% probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152965450822815745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152725110626951168", "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:40:57+00:00", "text": "Not EV, EU :P", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152725110626951168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152716663369940992", "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:07:23+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Not saying a lot of human intuitions about specific moral actions aren't useful heuristics for the real good, but I just don't think we need to go out of our way and intentionally give weight to actions via non-math backed ethical theories.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152716663369940992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152716488840810497", "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:06:42+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock I strongly lean towards the notion that morally-relevant phenomena ought to be grounded in discrete physics operations. I can't see how high-order, morally-relevant processes can occur that are greater than the sum of their parts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152716488840810497", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152715012265451521", "created_at": "2019-07-20T23:00:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @gnuman1979: I don’t even know what’s right anymore. https://t.co/Kxlu3zIz8t", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152715012265451521", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152703891043168257", "created_at": "2019-07-20T22:16:38+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock I don't really see how EU can break down. There is a certain beauty to the parliamentary model. It seems like a good way to reduce fanaticism, which is a good thing considering at that at least a supermajority of people are wrong about morality.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152703891043168257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152659748392710144", "created_at": "2019-07-20T19:21:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JamesClear: Charlie Munger on how to avoid falling victim to intense ideology and unclear thinking: https://t.co/mC0qVmPEYW", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152659748392710144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152656503905669120", "created_at": "2019-07-20T19:08:20+00:00", "text": "@NathanMFranz Perhaps with stricter minimum necessary formats like\n>noun verb noun noun\nOr\n>noun verb noun verb noun\nwe could drastically reduce the space of possible wordings between the two thinkers.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152656503905669120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152650265981591553", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:43:33+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK This could be useful down the road though as technology progresses and individuals become increasingly powerful relative to the entire system.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152650265981591553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152650023290703872", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:42:35+00:00", "text": "different wordings they'd have to try, if they had the same idea already in mind, to arrive at one of the same wordings of another person who has already placed the idea in the system.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152650023290703872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152650021868834817", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:42:35+00:00", "text": "I guess my biggest question is: how small of a message can permit while still minimizing brute force attack effectiveness? I guess we could make the min. message length pretty small if we limit users to 10k queries a day or some number of approximately how many queries of", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152650021868834817", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152641734033203200", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:09:39+00:00", "text": "Also, a DB like this could pervert incentives. Instead of accidentally discovering potentially dangerous ideas from trying to do good, a perverse incentive structure could be created where weird people spend time just trying to crack the hashes for it's own sake.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152641734033203200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152641088903159808", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:05+00:00", "text": "Without having a good sense of the odds of not coming up with the same wording, one could end up being overly confident that the Unilateralist's Curse doesn't apply in the case in question.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152641088903159808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152641087573565440", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:04+00:00", "text": "It might be really hard to come up with others' wordings of the idea, especially considering the idea has to be specified in enough character bits to be hashed up enough to be effectively be one-way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152641087573565440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152641085132431362", "created_at": "2019-07-20T18:07:04+00:00", "text": "Weaknesses of this idea:\n1) Radical anti-natalists could look for collisions in order to gather info to help them prioritize which causes to pursue to help them complete their agenda. People talking over PGP should still vet each other carefully.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152641085132431362", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152637048202903552", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:51:01+00:00", "text": "Sorry...I use quotes, but this person is thinking out-loud to themselves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152637048202903552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636791163359232", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00", "text": "If you discover an idea you determine is an info hazard (of negative EV to share), you should use this protocol so you can get into contact with any others who eventually discover the idea so you can converge your priors on the EV of sharing it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636791163359232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636790257463297", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00", "text": "be safer than 1 person left to their own thoughts on whether they carry it out or release it privately to others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636790257463297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636789284331520", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:50:00+00:00", "text": "If the output hash is already in the system, the system could provide one the PGP public key and email of the person who left it there so you can get in touch and discuss the idea with them. They already discovered it, so 2 agents talking about a plausibly dangerous idea should", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636789284331520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636788185411584", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00", "text": "One is then left to carefully pursue the idea on their own and possibly share it carefully if one eventually calculated that it seems worthy & safe enough.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636788185411584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636787250147328", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00", "text": "*checks for the same output hashes in a database relating to one's field of inquiry*\nIf there is no matching output has already in the db, one can update one's p() that the Unilateralist's Curse is not in play depending on how widespread the use of this whole protocol is.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636787250147328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636785907945472", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:59+00:00", "text": "*formalizes idea according to a protocol & use AI to find similar meaning sentences to maximize chances of coming up with the same wording as the person who has realized this is an info hazard*\n*runs all versions through a common one-way hash algorithm*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636785907945472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152636784146288641", "created_at": "2019-07-20T17:49:58+00:00", "text": "\"Does anyone have anything to say about this potentially dangerous, yet possibly very positive idea I have? Google shows nothing about it, so maybe people smarter than me have thought of it before and have developed compelling reasons to keep silent about it.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152636784146288641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152605627233034241", "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:46:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Fred_Delicious: imagine trying to explain this tweet to someone in 2008 https://t.co/edf6UQc2Wg", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152605627233034241", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152605153507385345", "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:44:17+00:00", "text": "@a_centrism I think some unequitable, correctable forces are at play, such as permanent private ownership of public goods (e.g. unimproved land) rather then rent, but one could claim the theft of the valuable labor of the most productive members of society is comparably unjust & inefficient.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152605153507385345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152600078026268672", "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:24:07+00:00", "text": "@HestiaArte Jokes aside, that's interesting & seems plausible to me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152600078026268672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152596749971787776", "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:10:54+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn 🤬 the outgroup", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152596749971787776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152596253961854977", "created_at": "2019-07-20T15:08:55+00:00", "text": "@HestiaArte Perhaps one could make the case that it's slightly immoral for a guy to marry down as that leaves a less dominant guy w/out a wife and leaves a high-status woman w/out a husband she is satisfied with. His lower status wife is happier, but 2 people are now less happy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152596253961854977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152590888318709760", "created_at": "2019-07-20T14:47:36+00:00", "text": "@HestiaArte Is that predominantly because highly educated men tend to 'marry down' more often than highly educated women, who are generally less willing to do so?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152590888318709760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152360747457900544", "created_at": "2019-07-19T23:33:06+00:00", "text": "@GreedyGrey @TomHiggins42 @tylercowen 🏅", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152360747457900544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152350487187984386", "created_at": "2019-07-19T22:52:20+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly There are a lot of ways to divvy up the left and right, but I think geolibertarianism satisfies a lot of the the sentiments of both sides while not just being a patchwork blend between them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152350487187984386", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152322209446277121", "created_at": "2019-07-19T20:59:58+00:00", "text": "@Npire0f1 @primalpoly Geolibertarians are especially centrist.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152322209446277121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152302790598959104", "created_at": "2019-07-19T19:42:48+00:00", "text": "@FatherMerrin @aristotelianmem @Jon_StewartMill Strong no", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152302790598959104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152302579902271490", "created_at": "2019-07-19T19:41:58+00:00", "text": "@drethelin https://t.co/anAyFVaU87", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152302579902271490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152255143347462145", "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:33:28+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK By act appropriately, I mean try to convince the USSR to stand down nuclear production for x-risk reasons, or get bombed. If a far greater x-risk movement had emerged earlier, even more options might have been available & avoiding MAD would have probably been more likely.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152255143347462145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152251826198257665", "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:20:17+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Even if all two-party-derived nuclear risk before, say, year 3000 will only sum to a 1% chance of extinction (an extreme lowball), dropping a few nukes to prevent this would be overwhelmingly worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152251826198257665", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1152250991313608706", "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:16:58+00:00", "text": "If that really would have been, in expectation, the least destructive way, then yes. Again, not because just the people that were alive in the day mattered, but because of all expected future people, which number in the trillions+++.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152250991313608706", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1152248421065121792", "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:06:45+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I think America could have said, 'don't try to develop nukes or we'll turn a good part of your country to glass before you ever get a chance to acquire a stockpile big enough for MAD. Otherwise, we'll leave you alone to experiment & pursue self-determination.'", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152248421065121792", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1152247737796243457", "created_at": "2019-07-19T16:04:03+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK It's not even a personal thing. They could have been a liberal democracy, but if we were likely too end up in an arms race, we should have knocked them out early or given up early. No more than one agent ought to have world-destroying tech.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152247737796243457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152245887608983555", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:56:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @FLIxrisk: On the @80000Hours podcast: The new 30-person research group in DC investigating how emerging technologies could affect natio…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152245887608983555", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152245260875182080", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:54:12+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK Given the x-risk we in all likely hood underwent after we let them attain MAD w/ us, a lot of preemptive actions would have been morally desirable & called for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152245260875182080", "word_count": 30 }, { "id": "1152244337645953024", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:50:32+00:00", "text": "I think, although I am uncertain about this because I wasn't there and this is counterfactual history, that we had a head start enough to derail their program while it was still in its infancy if we really wanted too.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152244337645953024", "word_count": 40 }, { "id": "1152242434329497600", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:42:58+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK actually had prioritized x-risk far more ahead of time. We could have pursued nukes, but we damn sure shouldn't have let any other country develop them to the point of MAD and beyond.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152242434329497600", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1152242213998518272", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:42:06+00:00", "text": "My prior is that we are in the middle of possible world for 'luckiness'.\nI think we could have done a lot better with technical safety e.g. not have the launch passcodes be 0's for so long, but even more importantly, I think we could have averted this whole arms race if we", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1152242213998518272", "word_count": 53 }, { "id": "1152241532583534595", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:39:23+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock calculation between us.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152241532583534595", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152241478908948482", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:39:10+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock **just converge our assigned probabilities for each possible action in order to arrived at expected value quantities for different actions where we differ in our weighing factors. Then converge our weighing factors * combine that into the EV calculation to get an averaged EU", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152241478908948482", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152238553541369858", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:27:33+00:00", "text": "@RokoMijicUK I might choose to make them aware of the existential risks from emerging technology & that it's important to prioritize safety research before rapid technological progress. If they did this, we may not have allowed nuclear weapons to spread, for instance.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152238553541369858", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1152235859099435008", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:16:50+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock time to come to natural agreement.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152235859099435008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152235813633236992", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:16:40+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock I mean that's how two agents should converge if they have too short of time to actually update their beliefs to be the same. If you have 30 seconds to talk things ought, and you are both equally rational, then averaging is probably the best you can do because you will not have", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152235813633236992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152234123966197760", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:09:57+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @matthew_allcock which I'm pretty sure already implies how two equally rational agents with different priors & a finite amount of time to share information ought to converge.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152234123966197760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152233687829889025", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:08:13+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @matthew_allcock Two agents' weighing factors (like how bad an instance of suffering is actually bad) can be averaged together though. That's the closest useful instance of moral uncertainty IMO, although this is still not really a standalone concept outside Bayesian decision theory,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152233687829889025", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152232732094881793", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:04:25+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock of said actions, and then we can use a parliamentary model to assign different utilities to the actual operations taking place. Where I guess -5, they might guess -10, so we go with -7.5. But that's generally how equally rational agents ought to act given different priors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152232732094881793", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152232285833453569", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:02:39+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Moral uncertainty isn't a standalone concept is what I am saying. A negative-leaning utilitarian and I, if we are both equally good at evaluating what actually happens in the world, can geometrically average our guesstimates of the actions that will happen and the probabilities", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152232285833453569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152231837164625920", "created_at": "2019-07-19T15:00:52+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Ugg I got up at 3 & just worked for 6 hours.. I mean evaluate actions with (current subjectively-derived) weighing factors * number of morally relevant operations occurring * probability of these operations occurring.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152231837164625920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152230288174604293", "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:54:42+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock computational limits.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152230288174604293", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152230248794263553", "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:54:33+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock different subjective probabilities of different weighing factors (like various predictions of the magnitude of instances of well-being and suffering) & then multiply that with logical induction-derived probabilities of different real world events given informational &", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152230248794263553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152228861834346497", "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:49:02+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock Non-consequentalist moral theories are utterly incoherent, so we can't even really assign a credence to them (what are you even assigning a credence too?). Then, we are left evaluating the utility of actual actions on the world. Bayesian utilitarianism can take into account", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152228861834346497", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1152227881717772288", "created_at": "2019-07-19T14:45:09+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock theories, and adding up the results.\" This isn't really outside the scope of Bayesian utilitarianism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1152227881717772288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151966785371037704", "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:27:38+00:00", "text": "@parulia @fcollective Are you just saying VCs should give founders better advice or they should be less willing to fund people that seem irrationally motivated or? Just curious", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151966785371037704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151963589386932224", "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:14:56+00:00", "text": "@parulia @fcollective Ground rules?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151963589386932224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151962789713469445", "created_at": "2019-07-18T21:11:46+00:00", "text": "@OttawaCitizen Nope. Not for taste reasons, but for ethical reasons. Even maggots likely experience pain & eating trillions of them might be a greater moral catastrophe than factory farming as it is today. Plants are the solution we are looking for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151962789713469445", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151891255443562496", "created_at": "2019-07-18T16:27:31+00:00", "text": "stopped using the term so much & just talked about our intuitions about agency & moral responsibility, before and after an act? Even 'moral responsibility' is obfuscating. \"How ought human agents act & incentivize each other to maximize utility?\" is a much more clarifying phrase.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151891255443562496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151880065199804416", "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:43:03+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Marginal diminishing utility is not the only possible reason for a disparity between EU & EV though, as some really important projects can only be done with a threshold of money, & it's worth gambling with negative EV because the EU is there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151880065199804416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151879450415566848", "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:40:36+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner The same even goes with lives. 400 lives saved w/ .99 certainty (396 in expectation) has more utility to me than say, 1000 saved w/ .397, due to marginal diminishing instrumental utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151879450415566848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151879299567378432", "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:40:00+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Too many rationalists IMO are too quick to claim irrationality towards say, a preference for $500 rather than a 10% chance of say, $7000, especially for poor people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151879299567378432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151870323232575488", "created_at": "2019-07-18T15:04:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: 80,000 Hours offers a step-by-step guide for choosing a charity to support, which can be applied to many different glo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151870323232575488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151752173073641473", "created_at": "2019-07-18T07:14:51+00:00", "text": "@TheAnnaGat White lies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151752173073641473", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151660842372468736", "created_at": "2019-07-18T01:11:56+00:00", "text": "Compared to Hillary in 2016, was Trump more of an existential threat to humanity?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151660842372468736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151660451933118464", "created_at": "2019-07-18T01:10:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KelseyTuoc: When people get involved with effective altruism one thing that tends to take them by surprise is the interest in risks fro…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151660451933118464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151653004430532610", "created_at": "2019-07-18T00:40:47+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I'd guess it's still overall an open empirical question. I should read more of Tetlock I guess", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151653004430532610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151636955047895041", "created_at": "2019-07-17T23:37:01+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I just started forecasting and I'm afraid I'm going to get a terrible score & that like I'll lose my social influence if it starts to be valued more (not saying it shouldn't be valued more) (because *of course* I'm probably right about things that are hard to forecast)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151636955047895041", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151627214456348672", "created_at": "2019-07-17T22:58:18+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Your Fermi INT for a serious hedonium push?\nAlso, odds you think Brier scores are going to blow up & become a much more valued metric in 10 years?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151627214456348672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151523724547502080", "created_at": "2019-07-17T16:07:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RobertDKelley: Freedom of choice creates variance.\n\nDifferent personalities,\ndifferent decisions,\ndifferent opportunities,\nlead to diff…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151523724547502080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151522235527680000", "created_at": "2019-07-17T16:01:09+00:00", "text": "@Twitter @Jack should enact the option of approval voting in polls. Not only would this be convenient to accumulating knowledge & crowd wisdom, but it could jump-start the national transition to it, which plausibly has to happen before any real systemic improvements in politics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151522235527680000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151520339811360770", "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:53:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: Actually, your phone is a direct portal to an unimaginable bounty of accumulated knowledge, a fireproof & featherweigh…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151520339811360770", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151518558448422914", "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:46:33+00:00", "text": "@_jordan_bates @naval #gatekeeping for well-being for no instrumentally obvious utilitarian reason.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151518558448422914", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151518094524911622", "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:44:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AllenDowney: My thoughts on this whole 10x engineer thing: \n\nMany people are effectively 0x engineers (that's \"zero ex\") because they…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151518094524911622", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151516993595564033", "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:40:20+00:00", "text": "@_jordan_bates @naval @Naval, IMO, should be espousing some blend between a 'you do you because you know yourself best' and 'focus on adding net-value', not \"you're poor because you are not in the most socially dominant, free-from-coercion position\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151516993595564033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151512262852694016", "created_at": "2019-07-17T15:21:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnCGreer: Humbling to see such poor reasoning from a Nobel Prize winning economist.\n\nWith Krugman's guidance sub-Saharan Africans wou…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151512262852694016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1151172968594190345", "created_at": "2019-07-16T16:53:18+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner And people say we don't have a moral imperative to bring happy people into this world!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1151172968594190345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150785418092302337", "created_at": "2019-07-15T15:13:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @diviacaroline: This supports the thesis that much of what passes for education is more like verbal overshadowing. \n\nhttps://t.co/n4F2g0…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150785418092302337", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150580859650621446", "created_at": "2019-07-15T01:40:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @aaronfhamlin: .@BetoORourke, @JulianCastro, and @AndrewYang still need additional polls at 2% using the worst voting method there is to…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150580859650621446", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150522730154012678", "created_at": "2019-07-14T21:49:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CatoInstitute: Under Nicolas Maduro’s brutal government in Venezuela, government security units are acting as death squads to eliminate…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150522730154012678", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150490413691756544", "created_at": "2019-07-14T19:41:04+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Right? Like I've been complaining that phone manufacturers ought to offer thicker versions of their phones with far larger batteries. For some reason, I forgot that battery cases exist 🤦‍♂️", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150490413691756544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150165788495613952", "created_at": "2019-07-13T22:11:07+00:00", "text": "Ageism is dying and it's great.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150165788495613952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150162984175620096", "created_at": "2019-07-13T21:59:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @erikbryn: Air pollution is much, much more damaging than most people realize https://t.co/4ErxraZeNC", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150162984175620096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150151064802533376", "created_at": "2019-07-13T21:12:37+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/6TG93FfF9N", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150151064802533376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150125754153390080", "created_at": "2019-07-13T19:32:02+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner The potential impact here is so overwhelmingly massive that it's probably worth it to spend billions just to gather a lot more information.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150125754153390080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150052830822195200", "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:42:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tylercowen: How I practice at what I do: https://t.co/aDt5A98UFX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150052830822195200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1150043033678880773", "created_at": "2019-07-13T14:03:20+00:00", "text": "@StefanFSchubert I agree. Those walking examples are all pretty weak anyway, especially considering the utility people get out of using their phone while walking. Know thyself's capabilities and maximize utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1150043033678880773", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1149867479398846464", "created_at": "2019-07-13T02:25:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SteveStuWill: Time-lapse footage of neurons growing and making connections with each other. This is how minds are made. https://t.co/h4…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149867479398846464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1149864195007102976", "created_at": "2019-07-13T02:12:42+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/V7opju3pMg", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149864195007102976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1149837845839958017", "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:28:00+00:00", "text": "Contra doctrinaire libertarians, freedom is a high-dimensional design space.\" -Vitalik Buterin on Radical Markets https://t.co/hzkdbisDPq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149837845839958017", "word_count": 18 }, { "id": "1149837844778762241", "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:27:59+00:00", "text": "However, markets are socially constructed because they depend on property rights that are socially constructed, and there are many different ways that markets and property rights can be constructed, some of which are unexplored and potentially far better than what we have today.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149837844778762241", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1149831843413397505", "created_at": "2019-07-13T00:04:08+00:00", "text": "@antirobust And I'm not as against a welfare state for working people if it increases net-productivity. I just heavily doubt that the funding of say, long-term dialysis treatment for elderly retired patients increases our society's ability to tackle x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149831843413397505", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1149702618991734784", "created_at": "2019-07-12T15:30:39+00:00", "text": "I preliminarily think that building resilient orgasmium should be a cause area as big as X-risk reduction & AI alignment. It's a hard problem, but it shouldn't be terribly harder than the other 2. The EV is there if we can pull it off.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149702618991734784", "word_count": 44 }, { "id": "1149702618060656640", "created_at": "2019-07-12T15:30:39+00:00", "text": "far more resilient non-human (machine and manufactured biological), morally relevant minds might survive. Not that we shouldn't pursue x-risk reduction, but let's not put all our eggs in 1 basket w/ most of the moral weight in fragile natural biological life.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149702618060656640", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1149688251743121408", "created_at": "2019-07-12T14:33:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bryan_caplan: \"For practical purposes, we have more privacy than ever before in human history. You can now buy embarrassing products i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1149688251743121408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148852290251567105", "created_at": "2019-07-10T07:11:45+00:00", "text": "@LPNational @IsleyResistance Existential risk reduction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148852290251567105", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148686990046629889", "created_at": "2019-07-09T20:14:54+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Perhaps a more apt phrase is \"they couldn't do otherwise\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148686990046629889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148602842778918914", "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:40:32+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly \"Ward 2020: Fuck you and your well-being discount rate\" /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148602842778918914", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148597965067624449", "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:21:09+00:00", "text": "@brianklaas I am not familiar with Steyer. Why do you think he shouldn't run?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148597965067624449", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148594263275520004", "created_at": "2019-07-09T14:06:26+00:00", "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides Not saying some people shouldn't store themselves, because they might be able to bring wisdom from the past to improve the future, but for your average person who isn't a genius, I think the resources for cryonic preservation are better spent on x-risk reduction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148594263275520004", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148546859025207296", "created_at": "2019-07-09T10:58:04+00:00", "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides I'm not sure this is sufficient evidence against doing life extension research though because I feel enough especially intrinsically motivated people exist who could definitely use more time to work on problems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148546859025207296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148543093991452672", "created_at": "2019-07-09T10:43:07+00:00", "text": "@bendini0 @FPallopides It's certainly a nudge for many, but I feel a sufficiently rational, utilitarian agent shouldn't need this particular nudge.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148543093991452672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148422982903185409", "created_at": "2019-07-09T02:45:50+00:00", "text": "maybe it's good that you aren't a utilitarian anyways.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148422982903185409", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1148215729470263297", "created_at": "2019-07-08T13:02:17+00:00", "text": "@nbody6 @fermatslibrary Definitely not it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1148215729470263297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147612875076317184", "created_at": "2019-07-06T21:06:45+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn but the in-group", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147612875076317184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147573843399258113", "created_at": "2019-07-06T18:31:39+00:00", "text": "@MikeGravel Give it to @ElectionScience to further the adoption of approval voting!!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147573843399258113", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147512400205242368", "created_at": "2019-07-06T14:27:30+00:00", "text": "@fermatslibrary There's plenty of arbitrary mathematical 'coincidences' out there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147512400205242368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147509217726742529", "created_at": "2019-07-06T14:14:51+00:00", "text": "@ndwignall Anxiety can be spun as excitement and it feels more mental. Fear cannot & it feels like it's from a deeper place within oneself, in my experience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147509217726742529", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147498526978560000", "created_at": "2019-07-06T13:32:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ShellenbergerMD: Germany & California are held up as models for action on climate change, but had they invested $680 billion into new n…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147498526978560000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147322710512590848", "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:53:45+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Sorry m8, but the EV was there and I had to say it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147322710512590848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147315136933302273", "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:23:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SteinmetzNeuro: As scientific teams grow, our model of credit assignment (1st author, last, or everyone else) becomes increasingly outd…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147315136933302273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147312738164781056", "created_at": "2019-07-06T01:14:07+00:00", "text": "@abstractify It definitely is!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147312738164781056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147308226213502977", "created_at": "2019-07-06T00:56:11+00:00", "text": "It's so awesome living in such a wealthy time in history. I barely have to work 30 hours a week to have one of the best standards of living of all time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147308226213502977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147307272412041216", "created_at": "2019-07-06T00:52:24+00:00", "text": "Looking forward to coursing up in August to get back on the academic route & getting that GI Bill Housing Allowance though 👌.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147307272412041216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147276665283842048", "created_at": "2019-07-05T22:50:47+00:00", "text": "@existentialcoms Anyone who thinks communism works should read Basic Economics by Thomas Sowell.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147276665283842048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147243277709643776", "created_at": "2019-07-05T20:38:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: Lots of foreign language mentions in the replies — this is rapidly becoming an extremely pointless multi-semester activity…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147243277709643776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1147235943801397248", "created_at": "2019-07-05T20:08:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ElectionScience: Congress's approval ratings are absolutely DISMAL. One major way we can fix this is by improving the way we vote. If w…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1147235943801397248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146985397752348674", "created_at": "2019-07-05T03:33:23+00:00", "text": "@mizroba That's awesome!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146985397752348674", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146958488846962688", "created_at": "2019-07-05T01:46:27+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 I have but I didn't know that he wrote on this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146958488846962688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146862054311157762", "created_at": "2019-07-04T19:23:16+00:00", "text": "I wonder if I should start including a quote like this in my writings.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146862054311157762", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146862053124190209", "created_at": "2019-07-04T19:23:15+00:00", "text": "– 'Furthermore, I consider that Carthage must be destroyed'...If you were to add such a coda to your own speeches, what would it be? This was my answer: 7,000 children under five died of malnutrition today.\" -an excellent post by Paul Crowley.\nhttps://t.co/jTbCL5W9ok", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146862053124190209", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146755577185521669", "created_at": "2019-07-04T12:20:09+00:00", "text": "@MarketPowerYT @amcafee @charlesmurray It's a good attempt but no part of the arm is that thin.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146755577185521669", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146754590173536257", "created_at": "2019-07-04T12:16:14+00:00", "text": "@amcafee @charlesmurray Also, the horizontal spinning arm mysteriously shrinks in diameter when it gets up to speed.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146754590173536257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146579738728833024", "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:41:26+00:00", "text": "@PuggyKnudson Is their value adequately explained in that they produce desirable qualia in brains & shape our beliefs in internally desirable ways?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146579738728833024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146578027557654529", "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:34:38+00:00", "text": "@jamesg_oca @tylercowen Also:\n-programming\n-the successes of conscious capitalism\n-the notion of rigorously evaluating the utility of our actions when we are trying to do good\n-awareness of one's own neuroplasticity & confidence in one's ability to rewire oneself to hold new preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146578027557654529", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146569621803286529", "created_at": "2019-07-04T00:01:14+00:00", "text": "Should effective altruists be building up a cause X fund? Perhaps we should be saving ~1 to 20% of our donation money for unknowable, future, massively-important causes that might be difficult to convince non-rationalists to fund.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1146569621803286529", "word_count": 36 }, { "id": "1146565615588716546", "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:45:19+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo If the 99 years of bliss *truly* & *provably* made up for the hour of suffering, the hour of suffering was the gateway to the latter, & the whole ordeal was better than counterfactual ones, you would be correct in refusing my requests to end the pain while I was enduring my hour.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146565615588716546", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146563491144314880", "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:36:53+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo I believe the actual answer is probably a physical, objective, potentially-knowable feature of our universe, & I think experiments & further qualia research could get us a lot closer to knowing how different qualia-inducing physics operations relate to each other in desirability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146563491144314880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146562489020272640", "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:32:54+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo Of course, I don't subjectively know how the most extreme states feel.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146562489020272640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146561359863267329", "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:28:24+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo Assuming I don't acquire PTSD and rather, just shake off the pain after I deal with it, I bet something in the vicinity of a month of a state of consciousness equivalent to being on MDMA (not that I've ever had it) might make things balance out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146561359863267329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146559303240822785", "created_at": "2019-07-03T23:20:14+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo 1 day enjoyment obviously doesn't balance out 99 years of pure agony. The million lives are necessarily a good thing if they are expected to collectively live lives that are net-positive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146559303240822785", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146322887432953857", "created_at": "2019-07-03T07:40:48+00:00", "text": "@FPallopides That's exactly the point lol. I took this from Rationality: From AI to Zombies where Yudkowsky was making a joke.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146322887432953857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146233880757833729", "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:47:07+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 That's an interesting perspective. I wish we could privately come together & help the unlucky instead of at the threat of jail. I also think govt money is spent very efficiently. I would be more okay w/ taxes if they were spent better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146233880757833729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146231277177266183", "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:36:47+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 @EricBeinhocker Thanks I'll check it out", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146231277177266183", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146229131803279360", "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:28:15+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I definitely agree that govt is good & promotes freedom to more people more then anarchy. I just have a problem with income & sales taxes, especially large ones.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146229131803279360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146228822427262976", "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:27:01+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I don't think this is the case. We deserve the fruit of our own labor when we trade privately with others. We only owe 3rd parties (the Public) the natural resources which we took from them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146228822427262976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146228069713227782", "created_at": "2019-07-03T01:24:02+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 point like the govt does. Funds should come from land-value taxes, IMO.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146228069713227782", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146074190228930560", "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:12:34+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo I don't think an infinity exists here because they seldom exist in reality & further, many people willingly experience truly undesirable states in order to experience the endorphins afterwards.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146074190228930560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146073579559239681", "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:10:09+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo The most-desirable of the net-undesirable qualia-inducing fundamental physics operations gets a negative score equivalent to the least amount of positive utility which would be required to make up for it. This could be a -1 or a -337.2 or anything that isn't infinity.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146073579559239681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146072930507513857", "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:07:34+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo The next number could be a 2 or a 7 or a 554. It would he based off how long one would want to feel the first state to make up for feeling a moment of the latter state. The same goes for additional unique qualia-inducing fundamental physics operations.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146072930507513857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146072555326980096", "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:06:04+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo We can define theoretically define the least desirable, but still net-desirable, qualia-producing fundamental physics operation as a +1. 2 moments of this state is rated as a +2. Suppose different physics operations produce a different, more desirable instantaneous bit of qualia.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146072555326980096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146072037514973184", "created_at": "2019-07-02T15:04:01+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo States very far from each other may be mentally hard to reconcile, but it's easy to reconcile too states which are close to each other. Thus, mathematically, any two states can balance out when there is a sufficient quantity/duration of one.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146072037514973184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1146032825986113536", "created_at": "2019-07-02T12:28:12+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo The scale isn't tied (limited) to the range of available experiences of particular creatures.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1146032825986113536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145993140198879232", "created_at": "2019-07-02T09:50:30+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo Positive and negative utilities IMO are best established by being subjective states that actually cancel out with each other. A -5, by definition, cancels out with a +5. You can say -100,000 states exist, but so long as a +1 exists, I think the states are commensurable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145993140198879232", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1145843334189113347", "created_at": "2019-07-01T23:55:14+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Just say it to my face bro instead of subtweeting me /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145843334189113347", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145832306797613063", "created_at": "2019-07-01T23:11:25+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 Whatever the right answer is, it doesn't look like it's what the US is doing right now. I intend to keep an open mind & study this topic a lot more as an econ student though.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145832306797613063", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145734450174660608", "created_at": "2019-07-01T16:42:34+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 Perhaps the ones that survive do: https://t.co/aCYqb8FDsN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145734450174660608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145720241533652993", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:46:06+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 I am not sure how more government involvement solves this problem.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145720241533652993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145719343713542145", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:42:32+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 I think long-term financial solvency & work-incentivizing free markets are a better recipe for total well-being in the long-term.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145719343713542145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145718442189893632", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:38:57+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 I'm not sure people in the UK love that wait times.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145718442189893632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145714951287431168", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:25:05+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 Milton Friedman liked socialized healthcare? Doesn't sound like it:\nhttps://t.co/5DKJ4Ps6UA", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145714951287431168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145709487212421128", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:03:22+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I can't see how that it not theft. Sure, the government provides services, but those services could be consented into for the most part by private market transactions. The only taxes that I see that are just and efficient are Pigovian and Land-value taxes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145709487212421128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145709155971416064", "created_at": "2019-07-01T15:02:03+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 But as soon as we throw in a few more people into the system & they start using a placeholder for value because it's difficult to keep track of what everyone is putting into the system, the government has to come in and take a significant portion of the value of each transaction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145709155971416064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145702670142976001", "created_at": "2019-07-01T14:36:17+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 I don't think it would be that difficult. If we truly did away with government involvement in healthcare, private organizations would step in & make sure the least advantaged people knew who they could call for aid.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145702670142976001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145702016045527041", "created_at": "2019-07-01T14:33:41+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @Kwong050 Any examples?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145702016045527041", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145432333908172802", "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:42:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Mark_J_Perry: Happy 89th birthday (June 30) to Thomas Sowell, one of the greatest living economists https://t.co/SPfODuG9Uq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145432333908172802", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145427519161667589", "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:22:56+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 A lot of reasons. Free markets are more efficient. Unnecessary demand for healthcare would be reduced. We could afford to steal less of people's wages. Personal responsibility. Allowing private charities to work to pay for medical expenses that people couldn't afford.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145427519161667589", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145425034015662081", "created_at": "2019-06-30T20:13:03+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms That seems more complicated than doing away with the concept of personhood & just valuing physics-based qualia and instrumentally utilitous agents.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145425034015662081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145342097945505797", "created_at": "2019-06-30T14:43:30+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms Will the definition change when non-sentient AI gains the ability of creating explanatory knowledge?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145342097945505797", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145330125187244032", "created_at": "2019-06-30T13:55:55+00:00", "text": "@tammycodes To solve math problems w/ no easy closed-form solutions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145330125187244032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145327370334867456", "created_at": "2019-06-30T13:44:58+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms https://t.co/wamh6sUwEf", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145327370334867456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145169367455473664", "created_at": "2019-06-30T03:17:08+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher @reasonisfun @Hugoisms What exactly is a human? Aren't there valuable combinations of matter that we wouldn't call human? Isn't it morally relevant if we derail the development of a valuable creation for non-utilitous reasons? Don't counterfactual potential people have moral weight?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145169367455473664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145146691584180224", "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:47:01+00:00", "text": "@Hugoisms https://t.co/wamh6sUwEf", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145146691584180224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145146660114354176", "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:46:54+00:00", "text": "@Hugoisms A woman's desire to have an abortion usually carries useful information that is often enough to tip the close utilitarian scales. Thus, pro-choice is the ideal heuristic for law & society at large.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145146660114354176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145145906435624960", "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:43:54+00:00", "text": "@Hugoisms Pro-choice wins over this because the avg. fetus being considered for abortion is not, today, on track to live a life overwhelmingly worth living, nor one of great instrumental utility, especially considering counterfactual children who could exist should an abortion take place.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145145906435624960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145138641431355392", "created_at": "2019-06-30T01:15:02+00:00", "text": "@RVAwonk >>>YourCredibility.GivenYourTweet()\n\"Reduced\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145138641431355392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145122887969517568", "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:12:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Current state of AI capability: Self-teach to surpass best human Go players, in 24h, without domain-specific code\nCurrent…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145122887969517568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145122112887300098", "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:09:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @morningmoneyben: Consequence for having a Washington Post journalist chopped up into pieces? Nothing. https://t.co/Mk9Ww4L4Hm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145122112887300098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145121752864964609", "created_at": "2019-06-30T00:07:55+00:00", "text": "@AmandaAskell Some of the biggest problems, IMO, are overly high medical ethics which take away people's option to choose slightly lower quality care for far lower prices. Additionally, a lot of government mandates destroy price-lowering competition, reduce supply, & create needless demand.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145121752864964609", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145075174993276928", "created_at": "2019-06-29T21:02:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @wrong_less: \"Ways Frugality Increases Productivity\", by Ben_West (1m read) https://t.co/DVAGG9ZVEy", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145075174993276928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145074664982683653", "created_at": "2019-06-29T21:00:49+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Level 4?:\nhttps://t.co/R1nCTfGX01", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145074664982683653", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145060774865526784", "created_at": "2019-06-29T20:05:37+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn That said, I expect an AGI donator, if you will, to usually allocate all of a relatively small sum of money into a single cause area or even charity. What are the odds that 2 different charities actually have a very similar current impact/$ curve?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145060774865526784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145059131163848705", "created_at": "2019-06-29T19:59:05+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I think the only solution is to be intimate w/ the charities you are funding.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145059131163848705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1145056292836380672", "created_at": "2019-06-29T19:47:48+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I think donation splitting or single donations can both be permissible depending on the current funding constraints & marginal-utility/$ of each charity you are interested in. Some orgs benefit nonlinearly from scale, others benefit extra from the next few dollars coming in.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1145056292836380672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144990877233942530", "created_at": "2019-06-29T15:27:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ndwignall: Self-esteem is the result of aligning your actions with your values, day in and day out.\n\nThe implication is that if you wan…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144990877233942530", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144988615971414016", "created_at": "2019-06-29T15:18:53+00:00", "text": "@LogoCentrifuge Aligned AGI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144988615971414016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144932922765586434", "created_at": "2019-06-29T11:37:35+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 $500k set aside for donating to effective charities & impact investing.\nSave+invest the rest, live frugally, & continue on procuring my degree.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144932922765586434", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144899579583840256", "created_at": "2019-06-29T09:25:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: It Sounds Crazy, But Fukushima, Chernobyl, And Three Mile Island Show Why Nuclear Is Inherently Safe https://t.co/ZdnU5pSGQt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144899579583840256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144891121409155072", "created_at": "2019-06-29T08:51:29+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Slightly colder → slightly more productive imo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144891121409155072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144758567305695232", "created_at": "2019-06-29T00:04:45+00:00", "text": "@UtilaTheEcon I appreciate the offer but I am not hot enough on econ for that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144758567305695232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144757477617164294", "created_at": "2019-06-29T00:00:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: Personal experience isn't expertise https://t.co/hf5XWPMWsm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144757477617164294", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144747213148557312", "created_at": "2019-06-28T23:19:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: Gonna post all the big policies from Candidate Scoring System. Here is the \"manifesto\" for moving forward in America. Pol…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144747213148557312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144714606952235008", "created_at": "2019-06-28T21:10:04+00:00", "text": "@ProductHunt Lightcone-wide utility harvesting", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144714606952235008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144712339314413568", "created_at": "2019-06-28T21:01:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: What it's like for a home-schooled kid to go to public school at age 14. Interesting thread.\n\nRemind me: is there more to p…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144712339314413568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144706846546178054", "created_at": "2019-06-28T20:39:14+00:00", "text": "@keithfrankish Considering the diminished instrumental utility I statistically expect to have over the last several years of my life, I might be willing to sell off the last couple years as low as $600 a day in order to donate the money to effective causes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144706846546178054", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144609480920821766", "created_at": "2019-06-28T14:12:20+00:00", "text": "@BradicalCenter https://t.co/itfF7JezBF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144609480920821766", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144608648427012096", "created_at": "2019-06-28T14:09:02+00:00", "text": "@mortcrimpjr Gödel", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144608648427012096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144602240046514176", "created_at": "2019-06-28T13:43:34+00:00", "text": "@robertwiblin They must be bad actors", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144602240046514176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144516758411366400", "created_at": "2019-06-28T08:03:53+00:00", "text": "@N4V1GAT0R A rough cost-benefit analysis over whether I should retweet Yang. I normalized my utils in $.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144516758411366400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144287427730837506", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:52:37+00:00", "text": "@UtilaTheEcon I'm thinking about it & will get back w/ you", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144287427730837506", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144287166941581313", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:51:35+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn It's like people think they have private knowledge I haven't considered 😂 /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144287166941581313", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144280875020038145", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:26:34+00:00", "text": "@ZubyMusic focused on solutions with the highest EV period, not necessarily all-or-nothing, non-incremental solutions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144280875020038145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144279579332415488", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:21:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @aaronfhamlin: If only the @TheDemocrats used approval voting in their primary. Just imagine all the issues that would solve https://t.c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144279579332415488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144278861120716800", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:18:34+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi of the future is negative. But right now, I think the EV is positive, and that it's respectable for some people to prioritize increasing wellbeing over averting suffering, especially when the numeric utility scale is normalized over the range of possible hedonic experiences", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144278861120716800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144278363101683712", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:16:36+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi I agree that it's important for some people to focus on averting bad outcomes like astronomical future suffering. I might even agree that it's worth pursuing technological advancements which could destroy the world & used if it's discovered in the future that the expected value", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144278363101683712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144276913520820226", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:10:50+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi focusing on averting suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144276913520820226", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144275850080264197", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:06:36+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi How would you program that preference into an AGI?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144275850080264197", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144275493706960896", "created_at": "2019-06-27T16:05:11+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi So you agree that well-being and suffering are commensurable, but are saying we should focus on minimizing instances of negative utility at all cost?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144275493706960896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144269558267686922", "created_at": "2019-06-27T15:41:36+00:00", "text": "@Benioff a sound recipe for economic growth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144269558267686922", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144248111453429760", "created_at": "2019-06-27T14:16:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: Nature is amoral and wild animals’ lives are full of experiences we can scarcely imagine. Here is a far ranging conversati…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144248111453429760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144245655822569475", "created_at": "2019-06-27T14:06:38+00:00", "text": "@Wparks91 Visualize a cube with sides 3 and a rectangular prism with sides 4x4x3. Then melt them down and pour them into a flask and look at the volume markings. Remember to measure from the bottom of the meniscus.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144245655822569475", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144242914379403264", "created_at": "2019-06-27T13:55:44+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi @Kwong050 2 instances of the same type of suffering is twice as bad as 1 instance. As long as their is some number of well-being physics operations that morally balances out a single suffering physics operation, they are not incommensurable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144242914379403264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1144024529641099266", "created_at": "2019-06-26T23:27:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CatoEvents: Watching the #DemocraticDebate tonight? @CatoInstitute scholars will be live-tweeting hard-hitting libertarian analysis of…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1144024529641099266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143999996817268737", "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:50:28+00:00", "text": "@MIT_CSAIL That blip of fun preceding AGI.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143999996817268737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143999614233849856", "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:48:57+00:00", "text": "@MIT_CSAIL Finding solutions via precise problem specification.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143999614233849856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143999065165848578", "created_at": "2019-06-26T21:46:46+00:00", "text": "@MIT_CSAIL Respecting levels of abstraction", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143999065165848578", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143688428799893505", "created_at": "2019-06-26T01:12:24+00:00", "text": "@UtilaTheEcon why are you anti-Georgist?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143688428799893505", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143525449865342977", "created_at": "2019-06-25T14:24:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @open_phil: We just posted a job for Research Fellows to work on causes in policy, scientific research, and global development:\nhttps://…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143525449865342977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143456449542205440", "created_at": "2019-06-25T09:50:36+00:00", "text": "@ASI Hayek", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143456449542205440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143455000800169985", "created_at": "2019-06-25T09:44:51+00:00", "text": "@Kwong050 @ChadoNihi And why couldn't wellbeing be infinite then either?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143455000800169985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143359671031517185", "created_at": "2019-06-25T03:26:02+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton Yeah I am struggling to formalize my intuitions so something may not really be there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143359671031517185", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143353476686237697", "created_at": "2019-06-25T03:01:25+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton really lucky'.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143353476686237697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143345915182407681", "created_at": "2019-06-25T02:31:23+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton Many Worlds Interpretation", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143345915182407681", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143229372377079808", "created_at": "2019-06-24T18:48:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ballofgame: At this point in the timeline, there was still a lot of potential to reduce the damage", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143229372377079808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143227970326155264", "created_at": "2019-06-24T18:42:42+00:00", "text": "@james_barton I know people can cheat with Project Euler problems", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143227970326155264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143205349224140800", "created_at": "2019-06-24T17:12:49+00:00", "text": "I wish downloaded apps had tags when you search for them. E.g. I want to find this photo editor which I can't remember the name of, but I can only find it by going through my 100+ apps.\n@AndroidDev", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1143205349224140800", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1143169322124099584", "created_at": "2019-06-24T14:49:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheAnnaGat: Please, create.\nThere is only one of you.\nNo one knows what you know.\nWe need you.\n💜", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143169322124099584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1143168544965718022", "created_at": "2019-06-24T14:46:34+00:00", "text": "@abisjajo I will respond to this more fully in a day or two but the problem to me is that you are throwing in a negative infinity.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1143168544965718022", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142992065162178560", "created_at": "2019-06-24T03:05:18+00:00", "text": "@spakhm That could def be the case to me, but I wouldn't bite that bullet w/out being there, facing the available evidence, and having to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142992065162178560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142990770938372096", "created_at": "2019-06-24T03:00:10+00:00", "text": "@spakhm Maaaaybe correct given the evidence at the time, but I wouldn't think with the benefit of hindsight. I don't know of any spies or dangerous insiders. Are you saying with w/ the limited evidence at the time, you'd make the same decision?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142990770938372096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142869093244002304", "created_at": "2019-06-23T18:56:39+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ZJ5rdLvKuM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142869093244002304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142810571567316992", "created_at": "2019-06-23T15:04:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @snwmanst: There’s a common misaligned incentive where we benefit on a societal level by learning from failures and mistakes; but suffer…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142810571567316992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142654446045810688", "created_at": "2019-06-23T04:43:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: What can we say about @KamalaHarris thanks to the Candidate Scoring System?\n\nDon't donate or vote for her in the presiden…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142654446045810688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1142463948672794624", "created_at": "2019-06-22T16:06:45+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Paging @johncarlosbaez", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1142463948672794624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1141525730783846400", "created_at": "2019-06-20T01:58:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @zackkanter: Wow. This has been the obvious move for a long time, but the technical and logistical challenges of executing this at scale…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1141525730783846400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1141359538056105985", "created_at": "2019-06-19T14:58:13+00:00", "text": "@JustinBezanson 6.9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1141359538056105985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1141355210415194113", "created_at": "2019-06-19T14:41:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: 🤔...💡to end animal farming via the proliferation of increasingly desirable options for sustainable, safe, affordable a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1141355210415194113", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140984257906692102", "created_at": "2019-06-18T14:07:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: \"What piece of self-knowledge do you wish you had at a younger age, and why?\" https://t.co/u9HArLxZ4e", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140984257906692102", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140758098233221120", "created_at": "2019-06-17T23:08:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulg: People hate things that contradict their deeply-held beliefs. But since ideas that contradict deeply-held beliefs are the most i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140758098233221120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140735571830149121", "created_at": "2019-06-17T21:38:48+00:00", "text": "@TheDemocrats What the hell is this?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140735571830149121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140722131753418752", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:45:24+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi So you would trade a great positive experience for a less great one with no qualms, for no reason? Would it be evil for me to reduce everyone's positive experiences, so long as they were still positive?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140722131753418752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140721195433807874", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:41:41+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi Can you back that up in any sort of mathematical notation? And in that notation, what do you say about positive experiences?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140721195433807874", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140720640942575616", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:39:29+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi There is a lot of information in prices. I don't think we'd want to throw it out the window even if we were better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140720640942575616", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140719630941663233", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:35:28+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi I agree that no qualia is neutral, but I think there is an imperative to maximize utility, and that not only do negative experiences have negative utility, but positive experiences have positive utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140719630941663233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140719009031176194", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:32:59+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi Or rather, is likely to be symmetric. And this makes sense to me given my subjective experience of being alive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140719009031176194", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140718500849303552", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:30:58+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi symmetric (no negative infinities)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140718500849303552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140718297253601280", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:30:10+00:00", "text": "I think you are looking at it from an emotional perspective given our present day circumstances & the fact that present day suffering ranges from like -100 and the best positive experiences are like +20. I think a mathematical approach, using Occam's razor, says the scale must be", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1140718297253601280", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1140716442121359360", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:22:47+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi How could you be wrong about the asymmetry of suffering vs wellbeing?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140716442121359360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140712844851339266", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:08:30+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi What practical reasons, besides moral uncertainty & the unilateralist's curse?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140712844851339266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140712168935104513", "created_at": "2019-06-17T20:05:49+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi There are pretty amazing peak experiences available to people, & I think its very possible we can reprogram ourselves and other creatures to experience gradients of bliss that even any burn victim would say are worth sticking around for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140712168935104513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140709682526507009", "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:55:56+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi So the only thing preventing you from obliterating the world now, if you could, is the possibility of future biological suffering out of the remnants? You want to wait for a biology destroying AGI?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140709682526507009", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140708793849909250", "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:52:24+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi Perhaps a billion years of increasing gradients of bliss. There is no -infinity or positive infinity for well-being. A bad experience is just really bad, but it could, in principle, be made up for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140708793849909250", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140706930085773313", "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:45:00+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi That's interesting. So a trillion beings perpetually happier than a person on MDMA wouldn't outweigh the suffering of one very depressed person?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140706930085773313", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140705856201404416", "created_at": "2019-06-17T19:40:44+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi I don't quite follow your logic. I'm just saying that a positive util and a negative util cancel out, and anybody would want to experience 1.1 positive utils if it meant 1 neg util, when the well-being scale is appropriately adjusted", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140705856201404416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140689600723243008", "created_at": "2019-06-17T18:36:08+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi Are you saying that no amount of positive experiences could ever make up for a negative experience, or are you saying that on the whole, the quality of life for far future people is likely to be net negative?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140689600723243008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140688571764019201", "created_at": "2019-06-17T18:32:03+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi 1) That's a bit presumptuous of you.\n2) Why wouldn't qualia be symmetric? I am willing to undergo certain painful experiences for the endorphins, so that highlights that negative experiences can be outweighed by sufficiently great positive experiences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140688571764019201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140443872222416896", "created_at": "2019-06-17T02:19:42+00:00", "text": "@james_barton That looks pretty hot in the UK but I don't see any programs in the US. Thanks though", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140443872222416896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140391981157441536", "created_at": "2019-06-16T22:53:30+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton I'm half joking, but jokes aside, I like checks & balances as a heuristic & long-term solution, but I think *some* individuals could do a better job than our current government. Identifying those individuals is challenging, however.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140391981157441536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140371189724057600", "created_at": "2019-06-16T21:30:53+00:00", "text": "@james_barton I'm a proponent of crushing fines for defectors. Not a nice little $1b fee, but literally the cost of reparations of damages.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140371189724057600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140354426575695872", "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:24:16+00:00", "text": "@james_barton optimize the economy for the long term.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140354426575695872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140352661532942343", "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:17:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @melissakchan: The people of Hong Kong should be up for the Nobel Peace Prize. Two million protesters — orderly, recycling, giving way t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140352661532942343", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140352436965662722", "created_at": "2019-06-16T20:16:22+00:00", "text": "@james_barton which allows markets to function efficiently & rationally while limiting negative externalities to an acceptable or replaceable level.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140352436965662722", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140333148049498114", "created_at": "2019-06-16T18:59:43+00:00", "text": "Half-marathon ☑️", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140333148049498114", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1140055505110470656", "created_at": "2019-06-16T00:36:28+00:00", "text": "@Mathpocalypse That's fast!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1140055505110470656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139981082726731777", "created_at": "2019-06-15T19:40:44+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist Yes, but the overwhelming majority of them are false-positives.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139981082726731777", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139905238222147586", "created_at": "2019-06-15T14:39:21+00:00", "text": "She didn't even see all the evidence herself! Perhaps the only conclusion we can reasonably draw is that only the two parties know what went down that night. And this 'unjust' ruling is certainly not an adequate argument to take away UCMJ authority from commanders.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139905238222147586", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139724664492531715", "created_at": "2019-06-15T02:41:49+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k I was cracking up!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139724664492531715", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139675214168711169", "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:25:19+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k Not particularly. Many of the same things, but its own order. It just felt like it should have been 5:00pm when it was noon! I think it had to do with how well-rested I was. My gf feels the same way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139675214168711169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139672982643716096", "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:16:27+00:00", "text": "@Noahpinion @ne0liberal Geolibertarianism", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139672982643716096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139670873496010753", "created_at": "2019-06-14T23:08:04+00:00", "text": "@EmmaWedekind Write in assembly or literally get out of tech /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139670873496010753", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139606194128138240", "created_at": "2019-06-14T18:51:04+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Unions existing or special union protections? I am in favor of the former, not sure about the latter", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139606194128138240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139550399638249472", "created_at": "2019-06-14T15:09:21+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Trying to keep in mind observer selection effects:\nhttps://t.co/rk15O9d9rI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139550399638249472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139549028268552192", "created_at": "2019-06-14T15:03:54+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Trust but verify. People are wrong about stuff all the time, so try your best to understand things first-hand and interpret information without leaning on other's interpretations.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139549028268552192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139546694121590784", "created_at": "2019-06-14T14:54:38+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Every problem being a computational expected-utility maximization problem, where both degrees-of-belief and expected-utility, if a proposition is true, are to be combined together to guide decision-making.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139546694121590784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139342653408063489", "created_at": "2019-06-14T01:23:51+00:00", "text": "the study of the use of scarce resources which have alternative uses. I say this with compassion because I know these people have good intentions, & I used to be aligned w/ democratic socialism myself, but these speakers are not qualified to talk about econ policy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139342653408063489", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139342652107821056", "created_at": "2019-06-14T01:23:50+00:00", "text": "You'd think that finding one former staunch defender of free market capitalism, like one with a Ph.D. in economics from a rigorous school like UChicago, would strengthen their cause a lot, but apparently, they couldn't find anyone or aren't interested in the formal study", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139342652107821056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139329224865734656", "created_at": "2019-06-14T00:30:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DeathwDignity: \"The speed in which states are adopting #deathwithdignity laws has accelerated. There's a growing awareness of how impor…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139329224865734656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139312981592956928", "created_at": "2019-06-13T23:25:56+00:00", "text": "@DrSepah This might be the most dangerous sport I've ever seen next to doing handstands at the edges of buildings. Hope they know what they are doing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139312981592956928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139312354297032705", "created_at": "2019-06-13T23:23:27+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Great work!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139312354297032705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139261833171353601", "created_at": "2019-06-13T20:02:42+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock That's amazing", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139261833171353601", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139258268805734401", "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:48:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @justGLew: Easy to forget that the best opportunities are moments in time. If you fail to seize an opportunity in the moment, it general…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139258268805734401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139258066996740096", "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:47:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnOberg: The best thing you'll see today! From my friends at @TheHappyHerd. 🧡 #loveALLanimals https://t.co/8VeY01VSCl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139258066996740096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139252395542818819", "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:25:12+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Income-hiding MFers. #TaxTheWhales", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139252395542818819", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139250084376383489", "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:16:01+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian Oh I don't list what my dad did. I was just trying to set the context maximally against me, especially because I think some of my Twitter followers know about my enlisted experience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139250084376383489", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139247209768243206", "created_at": "2019-06-13T19:04:35+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian I just enlisted for it out of high school & made it through the ~7-month school!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139247209768243206", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139245300332322816", "created_at": "2019-06-13T18:57:00+00:00", "text": "@Mike_Strayer @bryan_caplan This makes a lot of sense. My only qualms w/ immigration now is from all the violent crimes committed by Muslim immigrants in Europe. But that doesn't seem to be as big of a problem in America", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139245300332322816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139241745596768257", "created_at": "2019-06-13T18:42:52+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m I think the burden of evidence lies on proving that remittances are especially likely to be bad for global GDP. Some economists think they're even net positive for remittance outflow countries: https://t.co/2kZf4iwwYD", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139241745596768257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139223892562718721", "created_at": "2019-06-13T17:31:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulg: I talk to my kids as if they were naive colleagues. I think they learn a lot this way, and if not, it at least seems fairly harm…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139223892562718721", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139220695987249153", "created_at": "2019-06-13T17:19:14+00:00", "text": "@AliBHamed This tweet should be the end these pointless debates.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139220695987249153", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139193551655452672", "created_at": "2019-06-13T15:31:22+00:00", "text": "@Claire_Voltaire (This is a joke but I do like geo-libertarianism.)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139193551655452672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139172135669239808", "created_at": "2019-06-13T14:06:16+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I know! Not only do we get a social personality, but we get a body and an intellect. 3 for 1 deal 🔥", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139172135669239808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139131222758776832", "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:23:42+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ there* 😢", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139131222758776832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139130378239823872", "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:20:20+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ Demand increases so wages for people who sufficiently fulfill other's preferences still enjoy overall greater purchasing power. When everyone contributes more into the system, everyone can have more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139130378239823872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139128631924613120", "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:13:24+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ IMO, the next best alternative economy to a free market economy filled with rational people is a free market economy filled w/ today's spread of people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139128631924613120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139127883031633923", "created_at": "2019-06-13T11:10:25+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I wrote a paper on pricing the Commons: https://t.co/RHgJuLzGiI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139127883031633923", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139046857613725697", "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:48:27+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I think if everyone were interested in earning money, we'd have more of a utopia. The problem is that earning money is seen as needy and greedy rather than the honest matching of preferences via an exchange of labor/goods at a certain price.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139046857613725697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139046140870037511", "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:45:37+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ in a system w/ supply and demand and where scarce resources have alternative resources.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139046140870037511", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139044582149230592", "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:39:25+00:00", "text": "@mizroba @cosimia_ Dude I am on a binge rn 😂.\nI am trying to carry all of the due uncertainty because economics is obviously a contentious field, but like I am walking around & not hating businesses nearly as much & it's great.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139044582149230592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139042481247531008", "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:31:04+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ If everyone contributed more valuable & efficient labor into the system, prices for goods would generally be lower & we'd all have more purchasing power. This also translates into a greater financial ability to leave companies that don't prioritize well-being enough for oneself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139042481247531008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139037454059659266", "created_at": "2019-06-13T05:11:05+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 is it bad evidence for the prospects of the future of humanity?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139037454059659266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139032552797298688", "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:51:37+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ Not saying we can't make incremental improvements right now through conversation & advocacy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139032552797298688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139026168244576258", "created_at": "2019-06-13T04:26:15+00:00", "text": "@Claire_Voltaire unfollowed /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139026168244576258", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139018716090421249", "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:56:38+00:00", "text": "and Related Hazards” https://t.co/vH71RxqWyn", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139018716090421249", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139018715213811712", "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:56:38+00:00", "text": "There is no opportunity to learn from errors. The reactive approach – see what happens, limit damages, and learn from experience – is unworkable. Rather, we must take a proactive approach.”\n— Nick Bostrom, “Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139018715213811712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1139005050209091590", "created_at": "2019-06-13T03:02:20+00:00", "text": "@washingtonpost old*, not rich", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1139005050209091590", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138987250442805248", "created_at": "2019-06-13T01:51:36+00:00", "text": "@gabrielamadej If you are 200 IQ, you should probably just be cloning yourself anyway", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138987250442805248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138984626909847552", "created_at": "2019-06-13T01:41:11+00:00", "text": "@ne0liberal Not that I would ever push a policy out if spite, because emotions have no place in deciding economic policy, but those comments kind of make me want to cut it even more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138984626909847552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138973677779898368", "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:57:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @rglenner: My moral conviction is that we should seek to do the most good we can for the most people. I dont think I owe more to those i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138973677779898368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138973578282639360", "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:57:16+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian The ultimate NIMBYs, except they are protesting using their planet for resources to build drones to populate other galaxies before they are forever unreachable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138973578282639360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138967381273919493", "created_at": "2019-06-13T00:32:39+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean the 8x8 game of chess is essentially computationally intractable. No way life is going to be a clean shot.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138967381273919493", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138830531213299712", "created_at": "2019-06-12T15:28:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: @ESYudkowsky It sounds like it would also predict significantly greater diversity in product space. I often think about wh…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138830531213299712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138811392826511361", "created_at": "2019-06-12T14:12:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @zackkanter: founders: VC funding near all-time high, tools we have are amazing, adoption never been faster\n\npoliticians: ok we will dis…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138811392826511361", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138747169844977664", "created_at": "2019-06-12T09:57:36+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Attn: Visualizers of killing, was it w/ a", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138747169844977664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138629510826483714", "created_at": "2019-06-12T02:10:04+00:00", "text": "@NatureisScary Why were they filming? Surely they didn't find a random wasp without a head. They probably beheaded the poor guy 😠", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138629510826483714", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138519278204981249", "created_at": "2019-06-11T18:52:03+00:00", "text": "@JacksonKernion Google Keep & all sorts of topics. I use Standard Notes when I want encryption.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138519278204981249", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138454905222500352", "created_at": "2019-06-11T14:36:15+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary You won't post this on LessWrong 😂", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138454905222500352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138416183097679872", "created_at": "2019-06-11T12:02:23+00:00", "text": "@bannerdude @mathematicsprof That's right. I guess what I was trying to say was that for each event, it's more likely for a serial killer to meet another serial killer hitchhiking than for a serial killer to say, sit next to another at a bar.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138416183097679872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138266513608204293", "created_at": "2019-06-11T02:07:39+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary Do you have a different systematic approach to rationality?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138266513608204293", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138224500485627909", "created_at": "2019-06-10T23:20:42+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Pretty much! I like everything in this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138224500485627909", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138192918114684929", "created_at": "2019-06-10T21:15:12+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @EvanSandhoefner How important, neglected, and tractable is propagating more evolved population ethics models and the idea of Bayesian utilitarianism?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138192918114684929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138179298454622208", "created_at": "2019-06-10T20:21:05+00:00", "text": "@bopinion Raise prices ffs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138179298454622208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138158887662694403", "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:59:59+00:00", "text": "@HarryStebbings I'd have FOMO about not investing more in more promising startups, especially if they needed marginally more cash early on.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138158887662694403", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138158458736381952", "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:58:17+00:00", "text": "@mathematicsprof to be a serial killer. But I could be wrong & am tired rn", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138158458736381952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138145200503701507", "created_at": "2019-06-10T18:05:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @shelbygrossman: Research findings change behavior among healthy people, making us think the effect of a behavior is even greater https:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138145200503701507", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138137955669815297", "created_at": "2019-06-10T17:36:48+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason That's infuriating. I say we need more cameras & more efficient, far cheaper civil courts so people can be held accountable when BS like that happens.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138137955669815297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138088956128583680", "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:22:06+00:00", "text": "@RJsnda @EvanSandhoefner I probably do misunderstand MWI but I need someone to falsify my idea before I can intellectually respectably drop it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138088956128583680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138088389708828673", "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:19:51+00:00", "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 Existential risk is a totally different and heavier variable in the decision calculus of going to war or not. Any society should go through a lot of pain to avert a new perpetual existential risk from being created", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138088389708828673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138085494133317633", "created_at": "2019-06-10T14:08:21+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian with practice. And of course, there are other important cognitive factors beyond intellectual horsepower. I'm not practically advocating for anything but permitting human genetic engineering and embryo selection for intelligence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138085494133317633", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138082630996561921", "created_at": "2019-06-10T13:56:58+00:00", "text": "@atthatmatt @vgr https://t.co/IRVabrQhXo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138082630996561921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1138080306592964608", "created_at": "2019-06-10T13:47:44+00:00", "text": "@mattparlmer @conorduffy_7 I don't know if we knew that they had an active nuclear program at the time to justify that. If they did have an active nuclear program, we should have ordered them to stand it down for existential risk reasons and responded accordingly if they didn't.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1138080306592964608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137941203884879873", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:34:59+00:00", "text": "@atthatmatt @vgr I call anti-market bias.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137941203884879873", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939015007707136", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00", "text": "We need to grow up & get over our stigma against embryo selection for intelligence. We'll all realize how wrong we were in due time when we have 100x more 3 and 4 sigma people running around solving humanity's greatest problems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939015007707136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939014055600128", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00", "text": "But the spread is real & we don't help the world by pretending it doesn't exist. We are mistaken if we think we can maximize the value of the future without actively creating more people w/ the problem solving capacity of John von Neumann, Paul Erdos, Elon Musk, and Jeff Bezos.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939014055600128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939013174738946", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00", "text": "Now life is much more multidimensional than chess & lower intelligence people can & do get ahead of smarter people in any particular areas when they work hard in them. And there are qualities beyond raw intellectual horsepower that enable success like conscientiousness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939013174738946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939012440772608", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:17+00:00", "text": "Like the spread of skill, I'm arguing that the spread of computations/minute or a similar metric for intelligence is that big.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939012440772608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939011484491776", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00", "text": "It's sort of like magic, but no matter how hard one tries, a player 500 ELO points higher will outmaneuver one ~96% of the time. Don't even think about ever beating a +1000 player. And they'll reliably be crushed by someone +500 beyond them. The spread of skill is huge.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939011484491776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939010603687936", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00", "text": "Again, it's probably spread akin to chess ELO scores. In chess, you'll beat someone 400 points below you 92% of the time and lose 92% of the time to someone 400 points above you. Same goes for the people below and above above them, etc. & chess ELO scores range from ~200 to 2900!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939010603687936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939009890672642", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00", "text": "The spread of human intelligence (intellectual horsepower and general problem solving ability) is *big*.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939009890672642", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137939008963698688", "created_at": "2019-06-10T04:26:16+00:00", "text": "A person 30 pts higher can often solve a problem on their feet that it might take another person a year to solve. I mean notice how it seems that people w/ less intellectual horsepower are on avg much slower at problem solving but people above oneself are so much quicker/capable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137939008963698688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137910131436523521", "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:31:31+00:00", "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 I argue the game theory works out & it would be possible to prevent other countries from being successful in nuclear development given each other's incentives. https://t.co/XaycoAPjSN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137910131436523521", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137907562391715841", "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:21:18+00:00", "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 And just because we haven't had a catastrophic nuclear exchange doesn't mean we didn't get lucky and moreover, are not likely to have an exchange in the future. Even a 1/500 yearly extinction risk adds up over time & is extremely disutilitous & justifies preemptive war.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137907562391715841", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137905495405150209", "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:13:06+00:00", "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 one else can.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137905495405150209", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137903676864045056", "created_at": "2019-06-10T02:05:52+00:00", "text": "@ladydolphins_TF @conorduffy_7 The US wasn't a perfect candidate to be the nuclear monopoly, but it was the best at the time & was ultimately ruled by better principles than the USSR. It was also the only other country w/ an economy big enough to maintain a military that could maintain a nuclear monopoly", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137903676864045056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137891595288743936", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:17:51+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Meditate, write, code, sleep", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137891595288743936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137891337276145664", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:16:50+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Complex explanations require more evidence", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137891337276145664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137890936489422848", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:15:14+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Always maximize expected-utility", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137890936489422848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137890837285810177", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:14:51+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Tax land, not preference-trading", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137890837285810177", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137890571840819206", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:13:47+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Get over anti-market bias", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137890571840819206", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137890396191842305", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:13:06+00:00", "text": "@eliistender10 Impact=Importance*tractability*neglectedness", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137890396191842305", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137888143850561536", "created_at": "2019-06-10T01:04:09+00:00", "text": "I am just trying to find an article that gives an example of a legitimate career swap from considering the comparative advantage argument", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137888143850561536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137866501426417665", "created_at": "2019-06-09T23:38:09+00:00", "text": "@conorduffy_7 Russia developing the bomb and us letting them do it. We should have never allowed for Mutually Assured Destruction. We would have been far safer as a species with only one country, the United States, as a nuclear power.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137866501426417665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137849011963072523", "created_at": "2019-06-09T22:28:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @mckaywrigley: What do you believe is a big problem that not many people think is a big problem?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137849011963072523", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137848983651573760", "created_at": "2019-06-09T22:28:32+00:00", "text": "@mckaywrigley The need for a land-value tax. Anti-market bias & thinking that the economy isn't fundamentally preference-utilitarian. Overregulation of the economy which drastically slows it down. We should really consider moving in the direction of geolibertarianism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137848983651573760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137817216370581504", "created_at": "2019-06-09T20:22:18+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner @RJsnda Thanks Evan!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137817216370581504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137800428748492800", "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:15:36+00:00", "text": "I know the thumbnails are just his viewing history, but that is not apparent to avg person who quickly glances over the article. I might sub to NYT at a later date but they need this feedback.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137800428748492800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137799532262100992", "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:12:02+00:00", "text": "@RJsnda @EvanSandhoefner I emailed the author and he never got back with me :/", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137799532262100992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137798358175748096", "created_at": "2019-06-09T19:07:22+00:00", "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner I describe my idea better here: https://t.co/9sIhrxeJVc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137798358175748096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137780455225331717", "created_at": "2019-06-09T17:56:14+00:00", "text": "@tomfgoodwin Results should always be the goal over working hard. And earning money is something one should feel good about! Earning it is a great sign one is successfully fulfilling other's preferences. Not saying that all preferences are equal & should be fulfilled.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137780455225331717", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137778554014437376", "created_at": "2019-06-09T17:48:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnDCook: \"The costs of allowing our attention to be commandeered remain drastically understated.\"\nhttps://t.co/frpgrZU00F", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137778554014437376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137590079629746176", "created_at": "2019-06-09T05:19:45+00:00", "text": "turned super-snitch”. “Le Roux is currently in US custody for ordering the assassinations of six people.” “He was a brilliant programmer and a vicious cartel boss, who became a prized U.S. government asset.” And this guy may have invented Bitcoin.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137590079629746176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137582705242189825", "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:50:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleBogosian: #EffectiveAltruism is one of the little things that reassures me that the world is still sane.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137582705242189825", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137572696563298306", "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:10:40+00:00", "text": "Not to mention a great way to slow the economy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137572696563298306", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137571732187860993", "created_at": "2019-06-09T04:06:50+00:00", "text": "@SeanMcElwee @dylanmatt Ah he's \"Giving Aid and Comfort to the Enemy\". Don't mind the fact that they are purely seeking a better life and functionally, to participate in our economy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137571732187860993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137563346042019840", "created_at": "2019-06-09T03:33:31+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ @_FitCrit I think the private market is better for this. People do want to correct market failures but they donate it more wisely when it's their money. Too many bureaucrats wouldn't care because it's not their money and they didn't painstakingly earn it. They'd fund stuff like Make A Wish", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137563346042019840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137560979221438466", "created_at": "2019-06-09T03:24:06+00:00", "text": "@bitpixi Ha aha ha. Sorry but I don't know too many people in the same apartment building or dorm that coordinate economically very much with each other, and everyone has a phone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137560979221438466", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137547747320614912", "created_at": "2019-06-09T02:31:32+00:00", "text": "@benadida I mean even a cubic cm of water is 1ml and 1 g. What's to hate about that?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137547747320614912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137543475832983552", "created_at": "2019-06-09T02:14:33+00:00", "text": "@KyleBogosian @ComedicBizman made it home. Thus, they should reinforce the areas that weren't hit by bullets. They did this and plane survivorship rates went up.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137543475832983552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137537914286628864", "created_at": "2019-06-09T01:52:27+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ The only way I'd be okay with this program is if I or another EA good at cost-benefit analysis were in charge of it and that most likely wouldn't happen. The program would most likely be less cost-effective than just not taxing people as much in the first place.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137537914286628864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137502876987793413", "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:33:14+00:00", "text": "@drama_zero @cosimia_ Ah smart contracts. I was like that's money...you invented money.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137502876987793413", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137501735851896833", "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:28:42+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ There are, for example, Tyler Cowen's Emergent Ventures, the Meta EA Funds, GoFundMe, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137501735851896833", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137500511396085760", "created_at": "2019-06-08T23:23:50+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ or collect donations from people to implement it. There are private donors who understand that some good deeds are fundamentally neglected by market forces & most people's interests, yet should still be done, so they do fund people carefully", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137500511396085760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137493689503244290", "created_at": "2019-06-08T22:56:43+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I think more rich people could offer grants like that, but that the government would be terrible about giving out money & it would quickly be abused.\n\nBanks also offer loans to people to start businesses, which survive by fulfilling other people's preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137493689503244290", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137447343085826048", "created_at": "2019-06-08T19:52:33+00:00", "text": "@spakhm Like is this a history of philosophy class or a what's-actually-not-been-falsified-yet philosophy class?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137447343085826048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137440638927085574", "created_at": "2019-06-08T19:25:55+00:00", "text": "@spakhm Statistically, I'd expect this to be the case too. Our population is larger, there is far more wealth for a greater percentage of the population to be writers, and of course, modern writers have more writers to learn from.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137440638927085574", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137198881136156672", "created_at": "2019-06-08T03:25:16+00:00", "text": "@thedragontony Just FYI you spell atheist wrong. IDC, but figured you'd want to know", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137198881136156672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137188954984333312", "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:45:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AriDavidPaul: I don’t get most peoples’ reluctance to apologize or admit errors. My respect for people usually goes up sharply when I…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137188954984333312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137186105906872322", "created_at": "2019-06-08T02:34:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ShellenbergerMD: Nuclear energy:\n- has saved ~2M lives\n- is only way to radically decarbonize\n- uses 0.25% land as solar or wind\n- is l…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137186105906872322", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137176689560236033", "created_at": "2019-06-08T01:57:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @mwiik: \"Why are people so bad at reasoning? For the same reason they’re so bad at letting poisonous spiders walk all over their face wi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137176689560236033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137171426719535104", "created_at": "2019-06-08T01:36:10+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ High IQ, EQ, & conscientiousness and low neuroticism. Strong Bayesian utilitarian memes & an economic system where natural resources are shared but markets are otherwise free. Perhaps ran by a council of the 7 people most voted for in an approval voting election.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137171426719535104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137156516954497025", "created_at": "2019-06-08T00:36:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ThomasSowell: One of the most dangerous trends of our times is making the truth socially unacceptable, or even illegal, with “hate spee…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137156516954497025", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137143728479621125", "created_at": "2019-06-07T23:46:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ShellenbergerMD: Chernobyl radiation did not crash a helicopter, was not contagious, and didn't kill that baby\n\nHere's the science that…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137143728479621125", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137135043216891905", "created_at": "2019-06-07T23:11:35+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ Yes, I would support that. I'm not really a libertarian philosophically, just sort of economically. If you can truly use my stuff more utilitarianly than I can, you can steal it from me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137135043216891905", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137111781313306626", "created_at": "2019-06-07T21:39:09+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ more efficient, vetted charities like GiveDirectly.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137111781313306626", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137111728343453698", "created_at": "2019-06-07T21:38:57+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @cosimia_ I think people can help each other out more efficiently personally & through aid-organizations. Frankly, I dislike having the fruits of my labor be stolen & given to random people who are too oft, frankly, moochers. I'd rather help people out personally or through", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137111728343453698", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137033867129434112", "created_at": "2019-06-07T16:29:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Lewis_Bollard: This is the dairy industry’s model farm, the “Disneyland of agricultural tourism”. Yet even with 600k visitors/year + co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137033867129434112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137026616255754247", "created_at": "2019-06-07T16:00:44+00:00", "text": "I'm not saying I'm ready to go, but the world has already given me far more than I was ever owed.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137026616255754247", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137018440030543872", "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:28:15+00:00", "text": "@SamHBarton @cosimia_ You might be interested in geolibertarianism. The idea is that we should tax resources like unimproved land & natural resources that everyone has a claim to but let markets operate more efficiently after that by letting people be entitled to the fruits of their own labor.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137018440030543872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137016174284345344", "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:19:15+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ is also frequently insane. The economy is needlessly slowed down by trillions of dollars each year by gov't regulation that we could do w/out. Where gov't does need to operate, like in enforcing Pigouvian taxes and land-value taxes, it usually doesn't.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137016174284345344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1137015090786525184", "created_at": "2019-06-07T15:14:57+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ inefficiency. I mean people can fulfill each other's preferences all day long, but as soon as you throw money into the equation as a precise placeholder for value, the gov't has to take a slice. That's insane. The amount of regulatory approval people need to start many businesses", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1137015090786525184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136962278962749440", "created_at": "2019-06-07T11:45:05+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I think tech offers a better solution here (e.g. Glassdoor) rather than the government coming in w/ a minimum wage, which primarily just restricts workers' options & clouds the information supposed to be contained in a price.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136962278962749440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136959471400443909", "created_at": "2019-06-07T11:33:56+00:00", "text": "@dela3499 @cosimia_ And that could be the natural distribution of a land-value tax!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136959471400443909", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136776298381094916", "created_at": "2019-06-06T23:26:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: If you could instantly modify one aspect of your personality (in any way), which would you choose?\n\n(Definitions in ne…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136776298381094916", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136770064395526150", "created_at": "2019-06-06T23:01:18+00:00", "text": "@eniolaDS I'd say the biggest problem is that we don't have a land-value tax, and that land 'owners' (rather than renters from the Commons) get away with stealing natural resources that belong to everyone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136770064395526150", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136767907709575168", "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:52:43+00:00", "text": "@jessi_cata I was thinking more zoomed in at the level of bit transfers between logic gates.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136767907709575168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136765687802859520", "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:43:54+00:00", "text": "@eniolaDS Says who? Maybe you don't think it's worth it, but the people with the purse strings thing it is. They wouldn't pay for it if they didn't think it was worth it. https://t.co/eTrKawjnPd", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136765687802859520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136762739790102528", "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:32:11+00:00", "text": "@jessi_cata From the view of an information processing agent, a choice isn't really made, but there is just the fluid processing of information.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136762739790102528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136759275009859585", "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:18:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnFugelsang: Once again, the media has decided Donald Trump is presidential because he didn't actually swear, sneeze up Adderall powd…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136759275009859585", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136758752986746880", "created_at": "2019-06-06T22:16:21+00:00", "text": "@eniolaDS you for your job. If the employer thinks the value of their labor is worth the price, they should be able to employ them over you.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136758752986746880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136751282771959808", "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:46:40+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ Where businesses do underpay people, that means there is an opportunity for another business to swoop in and capture their talent with higher wages.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136751282771959808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136750277061746691", "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:42:40+00:00", "text": "@eniolaDS They get paid according to how much they satisfied people's preferences. If their workers don't feel like they got a fair slice of the pie, they should have negotiated for better wages or quit earlier.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136750277061746691", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136748165015773189", "created_at": "2019-06-06T21:34:16+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/0oJUEdgbp6", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136748165015773189", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136737792699113482", "created_at": "2019-06-06T20:53:04+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ Not saying the market is perfect at valuing everyone's labor all the time, & that we shouldn't be interested in increasing people's economic productivity so entrepreneurs can afford to pay them more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136737792699113482", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136709701834543104", "created_at": "2019-06-06T19:01:26+00:00", "text": "@antirobust Oh I gotcha. Thanks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136709701834543104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136709058247962625", "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:58:53+00:00", "text": "@antirobust I don't know if that's ironically and I appreciate you sharing it but it's a bit communistic for me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136709058247962625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136704538692468736", "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:40:55+00:00", "text": "efficient. It's ridiculous all the paperwork a company even needs to do just to take someone on. Labor shouldn't even be taxed, just as two people fulfilling each other's preferences w/out the intermediary of money shouldn't be taxed.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136704538692468736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136698570080423937", "created_at": "2019-06-06T18:17:12+00:00", "text": "@then_there_was Minimum wage laws need to go first", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136698570080423937", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136363146321584128", "created_at": "2019-06-05T20:04:21+00:00", "text": "Feel like evo psych should be taught to high schoolers along with tips for managing their personal evo psych. Could help more people see 'their desires' as what they frequently are: 'impersonal, evo psych-derived desires'.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136363146321584128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136361127619768321", "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:56:20+00:00", "text": "To be clear, we are talking about economic/social risks like moving away from my girlfriend to attend college in San Francisco. My parents see eye-to-eye about physicals dangers like motorcycle riding.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136361127619768321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136360709330210822", "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:54:40+00:00", "text": "@_0mniman @Intrinsic29 Eh I would say economic risks and social risks, but I don't know about mortal risks like white water kayaking. I've done my share of mortally dangerous things that I don't think I had to do", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136360709330210822", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136357953278271490", "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:43:43+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 see that I am not wired to be happy by playing it safe.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136357953278271490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136354750662922240", "created_at": "2019-06-05T19:30:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @charlesmurray: A careful reader is a pearl beyond price. https://t.co/qpS84DCfTz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136354750662922240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1136307765499105281", "created_at": "2019-06-05T16:24:17+00:00", "text": "@dela3499 @mizroba @EvanSandhoefner @TetraspaceAdmn I got:\nLiberal democracy 67%\nAnarcho-capitalism 60%\nClassical liberalism 60%\nOne of those in not like the other 🤔", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1136307765499105281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135735134714564608", "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:28:51+00:00", "text": "@whyevernotso I was joking but I wonder if any activists have done that", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135735134714564608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135729417509068800", "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:06:08+00:00", "text": "@mdf_warrior Is voting against fracking a good idea?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135729417509068800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135729151263072259", "created_at": "2019-06-04T02:05:05+00:00", "text": "@whyevernotso Sounds like a new cause area", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135729151263072259", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135696853809242112", "created_at": "2019-06-03T23:56:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nabeelqu: Excellent tweet 👇🏽\n\nRelated -- how hard it is to figure out what beliefs of yours are false. It all just seems like \"backgrou…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135696853809242112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135692064228859910", "created_at": "2019-06-03T23:37:42+00:00", "text": "@wesyang https://t.co/O1tj4ZGBuX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135692064228859910", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135666080695889920", "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:54:27+00:00", "text": "@pdx_mavs @jackclarkSF @sama Yeah probably everyone on this thread should be voting", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135666080695889920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135662727886790656", "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:41:08+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @sama Haha nice joke fellow homo economicus", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135662727886790656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135655255008514052", "created_at": "2019-06-03T21:11:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: I had a fantastic conversation with @DeepMindAI scientist Pushmeet Kohli about how they're developing new ways to keep AI s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135655255008514052", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135609698806390784", "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:10:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JamesClear: A simple question with potentially wide-reaching implications: \n\nCan my current habits carry me to my desired future?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135609698806390784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135609143727931392", "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:08:13+00:00", "text": "@sama Adequately define your utility function & then just maximize expected utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135609143727931392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135608758745350144", "created_at": "2019-06-03T18:06:41+00:00", "text": "@jackclarkSF @sama I'd day only vote if you believe you are more informed and better at processing information than the average voter.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135608758745350144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135350890129440768", "created_at": "2019-06-03T01:02:00+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Haha no comment on that but I just got sunb*rnt kinda badly running a marathon shirtless last Sunday and she was helping me with the flaking on my back. She's a keeper", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135350890129440768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135222569471303680", "created_at": "2019-06-02T16:32:06+00:00", "text": "@dela3499 Could the Many-Worlds Interpretation, if true, have any practical ethical implications?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135222569471303680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135211674791796738", "created_at": "2019-06-02T15:48:49+00:00", "text": "@LifeMathMoney This creepy guy with a pneumatic tool told me to call a coin and said I had everything to gain if I called it right. I called it right", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135211674791796738", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135170213916401665", "created_at": "2019-06-02T13:04:04+00:00", "text": "@PereGrimmer Thank god for computer algebra systems😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135170213916401665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135164052840288256", "created_at": "2019-06-02T12:39:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @HomelandDems: Earlier this month, @DHSOIG made surprise visits to a @CBP Border Patrol facility in El Paso.\n\nHere's what they found: 75…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135164052840288256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135161572693819394", "created_at": "2019-06-02T12:29:43+00:00", "text": "@PereGrimmer Convert to binary, process the flow of bits through the logic gates for multiplication, convert back to base 10. #NotARobot", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135161572693819394", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135143147456147457", "created_at": "2019-06-02T11:16:30+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear Epistemics. A couple weeks of studying what it means to be rational can save one from decades of wasted efforts from errant beliefs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135143147456147457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135122026576916480", "created_at": "2019-06-02T09:52:35+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Psshh I still do this. Physicists haven't tried everything so they can't know for sure /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135122026576916480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135023717229170688", "created_at": "2019-06-02T03:21:56+00:00", "text": "@bustyshacklford OkCupid too", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135023717229170688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135014818841337856", "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:46:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RichRogersIoT: My wife asked me why I was speaking so softly at home.\n\nI told her I was afraid Mark Zuckerberg was listening!\n\nShe laug…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135014818841337856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135014165314187264", "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:43:59+00:00", "text": "@RossDellenger Thought the SEC was busy going after insider traders? 🤔", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135014165314187264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1135006605194530817", "created_at": "2019-06-02T02:13:56+00:00", "text": "@KirkegaardEmil #AccidentalRenaissance", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1135006605194530817", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134961189186875395", "created_at": "2019-06-01T23:13:28+00:00", "text": "@sonyaellenmann @Intrinsic29 @jack (I'm just playing & frustrated w/ SCALA because I'm new to it)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134961189186875395", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134958518396739590", "created_at": "2019-06-01T23:02:51+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 @sonyaellenmann You present a compelling case. I wonder why @jack hasn't implemented this?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134958518396739590", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134941004266647559", "created_at": "2019-06-01T21:53:16+00:00", "text": "@sonyaellenmann @Intrinsic29 I feel like trolls would still use that to dupe people & the avg user doesn't want to have to check old versions to get the clear story.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134941004266647559", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134867332008992768", "created_at": "2019-06-01T17:00:31+00:00", "text": "@ATabarrok Yes! https://t.co/CYSswMT3d7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134867332008992768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134852714796478464", "created_at": "2019-06-01T16:02:26+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 To me, that far outweighs being able to slightly more easily fix spelling errors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134852714796478464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134824518797660160", "created_at": "2019-06-01T14:10:23+00:00", "text": "Women's desires for abortions carry strong information about the likely welfare of the child & herself & the economic optimality of her having a child at that moment. That information often tips the permissibility scales, so the societal-wide heuristic should be pro-choice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134824518797660160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134612992677556224", "created_at": "2019-06-01T00:09:52+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Maybe to get back at verbose writers , I'll turn my above tweet into a book. 😜", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134612992677556224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134608169806827520", "created_at": "2019-05-31T23:50:42+00:00", "text": "So many turn what should be barely be 5k words into 100k+ 😝", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134608169806827520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134587543658409984", "created_at": "2019-05-31T22:28:44+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist I think actions, consequences, and behaviors can be described as evil, but not people, seeing that free will is not even metaphysically possible and stable identities are not technically a thing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134587543658409984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134584698192183298", "created_at": "2019-05-31T22:17:26+00:00", "text": "@spakhm Oh please no. I probably would have forked over a lot of money to my exes if this was a norm. \"Sorry, you couldn't do anything about it, here's $1000, please don't be sad\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134584698192183298", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134511796033900544", "created_at": "2019-05-31T17:27:45+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils That's impressive", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134511796033900544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134321007274020865", "created_at": "2019-05-31T04:49:37+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Thanks Mizrob! You too😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134321007274020865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134271738181824512", "created_at": "2019-05-31T01:33:50+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner You're right. I probably need some more physical hobbies but I overall hope I can work at a desk long-term.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134271738181824512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134256558098079745", "created_at": "2019-05-31T00:33:31+00:00", "text": "@dela3499 I was just joking about the 3 words, but I do think that smart people (and possibly your average person) having kids statistically reduces x-risk, especially if the parents share their concern about x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134256558098079745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134209659227836419", "created_at": "2019-05-30T21:27:10+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner ways to slow down human technology progress to reduce x-risk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134209659227836419", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1134144046048436225", "created_at": "2019-05-30T17:06:26+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu Apologizing for one's ancestors is dumb because special obligations don't exist. https://t.co/tFkJoV8xn8", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1134144046048436225", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133783283836379136", "created_at": "2019-05-29T17:12:54+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 @IrrevererentJil @mseggshelledna Oh well shit. I reported him", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133783283836379136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133782410330562560", "created_at": "2019-05-29T17:09:25+00:00", "text": "@IrrevererentJil @mseggshelledna @Intrinsic29 The account is from the lens of a wolf. It's most certainly a joke", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133782410330562560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133763764761833472", "created_at": "2019-05-29T15:55:20+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I never imagined being that into alcohol but have found that it's easy to slip into having a few drinks every night. It's a slippery slope one has to watch out for IMO.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133763764761833472", "word_count": 33 }, { "id": "1133762493132759040", "created_at": "2019-05-29T15:50:17+00:00", "text": "@mrsaltie @Intrinsic29 *forehead slap*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133762493132759040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133748232499159040", "created_at": "2019-05-29T14:53:37+00:00", "text": "@ASI @DanielPryorr tRaDe iS zErO-SuM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133748232499159040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133747898393530368", "created_at": "2019-05-29T14:52:17+00:00", "text": "@paulg I was way too old when I realized it wasn't 'survival of the fetus'", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133747898393530368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133731493082218496", "created_at": "2019-05-29T13:47:06+00:00", "text": "@HaydenWilko Looking forward to see your talk!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133731493082218496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133580309776224257", "created_at": "2019-05-29T03:46:21+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @LancsARV Is innocent until proven guilty not a thing in the UK?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133580309776224257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133579128509206533", "created_at": "2019-05-29T03:41:39+00:00", "text": "@NathanMFranz Thanks Nathan!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133579128509206533", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133432773836980224", "created_at": "2019-05-28T18:00:06+00:00", "text": "@ProjectVayo I honestly haven't read too many books on the subject. Just a my share of articles and papers. https://t.co/a1yBTy3r9t\nhas some decent info", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133432773836980224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133424320380903425", "created_at": "2019-05-28T17:26:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Harjeet: We were skeptical of bootcamps at first. Now I think they should exist for every subject. 3 month sabbaticals for intense lear…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133424320380903425", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133406855722618880", "created_at": "2019-05-28T16:17:06+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn @BBCNews They should just have a period of bidding for climbing licenses, w/ no transferring of licenses to people other than the original bidder.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133406855722618880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133174549149835265", "created_at": "2019-05-28T00:54:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ehn: Thank you, EU! $150bn of regulatory overhead. Imagine what else could have been done with those resources. Imagine all the product…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133174549149835265", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133138992520671233", "created_at": "2019-05-27T22:32:43+00:00", "text": "@HaydenWilko They're on to us 😱", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133138992520671233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133137941528817665", "created_at": "2019-05-27T22:28:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @devonzuegel: I’m increasingly of the belief that incentive design is the most important problem to work on. Humans are good at overcomi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133137941528817665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133050640354168832", "created_at": "2019-05-27T16:41:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @fortelabs: 1/ I’ve concluded that when we have kids, a full-time nanny will be an absolute requirement. It will be worth sacrificing in…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133050640354168832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1133037405710299137", "created_at": "2019-05-27T15:49:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @L1AD: @naval Listened to something recently about that point\n\nEssentially human behaviour deviates from pure rationality the longer the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1133037405710299137", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1132983898324033536", "created_at": "2019-05-27T12:16:25+00:00", "text": "@ewanbirney \"This is wrong on a number of levels; ethically it is wrong to make this decision as an independent laboratory without broad societal buy in\"\nYour average person is by no means an arbiter of moral truth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132983898324033536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1132784625019957248", "created_at": "2019-05-26T23:04:35+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Idk 95% might be a bit high from other estimates I have seen.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132784625019957248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1132094918216830976", "created_at": "2019-05-25T01:23:56+00:00", "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner https://t.co/t1srWwDjg7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132094918216830976", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1132094760741756928", "created_at": "2019-05-25T01:23:18+00:00", "text": "@jambarree @RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner https://t.co/t1srWwDjg7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132094760741756928", "word_count": 34 }, { "id": "1132075769407168516", "created_at": "2019-05-25T00:07:51+00:00", "text": "I wrote another blog post about this, hopefully describing it better:\nhttps://t.co/L6XBtDOkWR\nI am going to read through more physics literature like The Emergent Multiverse to try to falsify this idea", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132075769407168516", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1132067329439883264", "created_at": "2019-05-24T23:34:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: Which of these views, if any, is true?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1132067329439883264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131992463764275200", "created_at": "2019-05-24T18:36:49+00:00", "text": "@jambarree @RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner decision? Or do I go with the decision that fewer of my selves ought to make?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131992463764275200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131976481108836353", "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:33:18+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I don't know what you mean by decisions aren't delimited in that way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131976481108836353", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131976098730926081", "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:31:47+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner I wouldn't want 99% of nearby child worlds to be damned to the same outcomes of a nuclear exchange, for instance.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131976098730926081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131975916039671809", "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:31:04+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner uncertainty about the choice-worthiness of decisions could at least make the future less fragile.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131975916039671809", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131975857566834688", "created_at": "2019-05-24T17:30:50+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner operations occur in our brain and we produce so few high level decisions. In most child worlds, I think we do the same things.\n\nSuffering and well-being is morally relevant in these child worlds, so I assume that having a proper distribution of child worlds based on our", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131975857566834688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131961607326707712", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:34:12+00:00", "text": "they are all following the same heuristic, and 60% of the Alices pick A and 40% pick B. Then, if A turns out to be worse than B, at least not all the worlds are damned to having made the worse decision.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131961607326707712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131961548216385536", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:33:58+00:00", "text": "@Raptorel @EvanSandhoefner just pick A if she's out of time. But under MWI, my hypothesis is that she should base her decision off a bit string that can only be quantum generated say, 60% of the time. Then, if she is on fact, 'splitting' and there are many Alices in separate branches making this decision,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131961548216385536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131960393000263680", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00", "text": "I didn't provide an example of this sort of decision making...take an agent Alice who faces two decisions A and B. She runs out of time computing which one is better and must make a decision. She is only slightly more sure A is better than B. Without MWI, she obviously should", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131960393000263680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131960395785285632", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00", "text": "they are all following the same heuristic, and 60% of the Alices pick A and 40% pick B. Then, if A turns out to be worse than B, at least not all the worlds are damned to having made the worse decision.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131960395785285632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131960394686373889", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:29:23+00:00", "text": "just pick A if she's out of time. But under MWI, my hypothesis is that she should base her decision off a bit string that can only be quantum generated say, 60% of the time. Then, if she is on fact, 'splitting' and there are many Alices in separate branches making this decision,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131960394686373889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131958223014125569", "created_at": "2019-05-24T16:20:45+00:00", "text": "@RealtimeAI @EvanSandhoefner Can you point out exactly where you think I messed up?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131958223014125569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131823017561075714", "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:30+00:00", "text": "end of the world if Many Worlds is false. Anyways, what are your thoughts on this? Should we all start encoding our decision options into numbers, seeking out quantum-generated bit strings, & start making decisions based on the generated nums? Or have I misunderstood something?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131823017561075714", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131823016462180352", "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:30+00:00", "text": "and assign a 10% chance of this conception of it of it (I'm not trying to 'interpret it', but literally understand what MWI means), whenever you are sufficiently uncertain about a decision & sufficiently calibrated, I argue that it shouldn't really hurt to do this. It's not the", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131823016462180352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131823015497469959", "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:29+00:00", "text": "brain is a robust enough system against quantum fluctuations that I bet 99% of child worlds make the same decision. Basing decisions off of quantum-generated randomness is the only way to ensure diversity of outcomes! Even if you only assign Many Worlds a 50% of being true,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131823015497469959", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131823014587326464", "created_at": "2019-05-24T07:23:29+00:00", "text": "demarcate the splitting of worlds like radioactive decay or the photoelectric effect? Whatever type of decisions we are making, if we don't base them on randomness, we are (under MWI) damning nearly all child worlds to the same outcomes. Even when one feels highly uncertain, the", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131823014587326464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131406021539377152", "created_at": "2019-05-23T03:46:30+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ Well, I mean, it's a complicated issue...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131406021539377152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131399289954082816", "created_at": "2019-05-23T03:19:45+00:00", "text": "@arenyorg What even is your policy? Are you just advocating the gov't to pay for jobs that wouldn't be demanded for by the free market (that don't have to deal with satisfying the preferences of future people)? Are you for rent control?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131399289954082816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131397623066386432", "created_at": "2019-05-23T03:13:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @_danchester: Very exciting/depressing to finally see rigorous evidence for this: small climate nudges ('turn off that light', 'take sho…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131397623066386432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131354944005705731", "created_at": "2019-05-23T00:23:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: I feel a special kind of urgency to figure out where I stand on fringe views just starting to gain traction:\n\nIf they becom…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131354944005705731", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131345772170104834", "created_at": "2019-05-22T23:47:06+00:00", "text": "-CRISPR experiments\n-high energy particle experiments\n-buying lots of processing power\n-omnicidal desires, or at least those not motivated by s-risk\n-activities deliberately hidden from view\n\nI have not thought much at all about a date, but perhaps 2050.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131345772170104834", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131340600740130818", "created_at": "2019-05-22T23:26:33+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Right? And I think we can avoid the slippery slope of restricting all types of freedom. Just need to keep a sharp eye on activities that could be an x/s-risk like homemade CRISPR & particle accelerator experiments", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131340600740130818", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131304948468211712", "created_at": "2019-05-22T21:04:53+00:00", "text": "@RhonaRaskin Guarantee you that wasn't a dollar store laser, but the glasses are a good call", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131304948468211712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131301035467792384", "created_at": "2019-05-22T20:49:20+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason Definitely seems like there is an available market for this. A company should contract w/ major news sites & via a browser extension, allow people to pay ~5¢ for access to certain articles.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131301035467792384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131285063449088000", "created_at": "2019-05-22T19:45:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: I still *really* don't understand why there isn't a digital wallet I can just load up and use to buy single articles from…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131285063449088000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131278326432190465", "created_at": "2019-05-22T19:19:05+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner It seriously challenges the traditional notion that a global surveillance state is always going to be a bad thing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131278326432190465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131260722950881281", "created_at": "2019-05-22T18:09:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MattPirkowski: I'd like to see future modes of governance consider dynamic corporate taxation based upon externality prediction markets…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131260722950881281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131251876803035136", "created_at": "2019-05-22T17:33:59+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Are there an infinite number of physics operations going into a sustaining a person over their life time? I think we have very high finite value, but not infinite.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131251876803035136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131010887777685504", "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:36:23+00:00", "text": "@3blue1brown Bayesian update consistently", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131010887777685504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131010682550411264", "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:35:34+00:00", "text": "@aaronzlewis @3blue1brown It's just probability * utility 😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131010682550411264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131006274966040576", "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:18:03+00:00", "text": "@ciphergoth Idk but I've filmed C4 detonating and there is surprisingly little blur. It seems that capturing a frame takes hardly any time, but processing that to take a successive one takes the majority of the time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131006274966040576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1131004694048968704", "created_at": "2019-05-22T01:11:46+00:00", "text": "@3blue1brown Always maximize expected utility", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1131004694048968704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130895539871080448", "created_at": "2019-05-21T17:58:02+00:00", "text": "@HaydenWilko weather, stock markets, news cycles, traffic?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130895539871080448", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130869769933152257", "created_at": "2019-05-21T16:15:38+00:00", "text": "@ludwig_raal Depends on the strength of the view and moreover, the epistemic hygiene of the belief holder. Just become someone is even say, omnicidal doesn't mean the immediately deserve a bullet or even to be barred from a community.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130869769933152257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130850182709501952", "created_at": "2019-05-21T14:57:48+00:00", "text": "years today...that shit had me f*cked up. Those middle-aged men & women were kicking my ass today 😩\nTriathlon fitness != all kinds of fitness", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130850182709501952", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130649033716969477", "created_at": "2019-05-21T01:38:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Noahpinion: Ban noncompete agreements. Ban them completely. Ban them throughout the country. Ban them now. https://t.co/7mWXaZW99r", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130649033716969477", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130646054330875904", "created_at": "2019-05-21T01:26:40+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason I love the idea of a big projects-based curriculum. It's the best way to really learn and build self efficacy IMO. If a local school doesn't have a curriculum based around big self-managed projects by the time my future kids are of age, I think I am going to home school them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130646054330875904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130630528904966145", "created_at": "2019-05-21T00:24:58+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason The 7 classes is insane too, at least it was for me. I much prefer to dive into something for 3-4 hours straight. The understanding gained is so much deeper. Classes should be 3-6 weeks long and much more intense, w/ students only taking 2 classes at a time, IMO.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130630528904966145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130626302682292227", "created_at": "2019-05-21T00:08:11+00:00", "text": "Oh maybe I am just dumb or inexperienced or naive AF 🤷‍♂️", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130626302682292227", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130478969499934720", "created_at": "2019-05-20T14:22:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webmasterdave: Rationalising suffering we can't prevent is good. But #CRISPR-based gene drives make wild-animal suffering potentially e…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130478969499934720", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130477909729316865", "created_at": "2019-05-20T14:18:31+00:00", "text": "@morganhousel Tesla was more hyped than Dominoes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130477909729316865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130465702622711808", "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:30:01+00:00", "text": "imagine how it is for an outsider to actually mentally adopt this law. Don't get me wrong, any single law isn't that bad, but it's the combination of them that effectively works to bar so many people from doing creative entrepreneurial work in the marketplace.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130465702622711808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130465700840128514", "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:30:00+00:00", "text": "I think this is partially a neglected issue because people don't want to admit that they are 'dumb' enough to actually be mentally taxed by the bureaucracies we have built. Further, lawmakers are intimately familiar with any law they pass & probably often don't really try to", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130465700840128514", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130464369895268353", "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00", "text": "computationally efficient tools like language & Bayesian updating. Genetic engineering is also another possible, partial long term solution. But I think an under-rated, tractable area where we can improve people's general problem solving ability is", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130464369895268353", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130464371761668098", "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00", "text": "bureaucratic overhead. Now I know some of this is necessary even given the cost of the increased mental load we place on people. But if we truly factored in this mental load, I think we'd decide that the benefits of a lot of laws & rules are not enough to make them worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130464371761668098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130464370767683584", "created_at": "2019-05-20T13:24:43+00:00", "text": "by preventing the needless burning of computations by drastically simplifying the socioeconomic-legal game we all play. Taxes need to be simpler. The law needs to be simpler. People are frequently paralyzed by what exactly it is they can and can't do because we have built so much", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130464370767683584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130454057930428418", "created_at": "2019-05-20T12:43:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @alexeyguzey: 1/ this essay is brilliant\n\n\"I’ve been a graduate student in physics for almost three years, but I only recently figured o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130454057930428418", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130452339821817856", "created_at": "2019-05-20T12:36:55+00:00", "text": "@ProjectVayo Sorry I don't follow. I think employers, which are just people, would spend money they earned in honest economic transactions to satisfy their own preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130452339821817856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130343579195498498", "created_at": "2019-05-20T05:24:44+00:00", "text": "Make courts stronger and allow judges to use more independent discretion. Make it so people don't have to consult a lawyer or worry about the law for carrying out the simplest economic actions in the marketplace.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130343579195498498", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130342256324546560", "created_at": "2019-05-20T05:19:29+00:00", "text": "All we need is a land-value tax that prices ecological services at a sustainable price & which is high enough to provide for the common defense & fund the minimum necessary government. Do away with all bureaucratic welfare programs and establish a minimal negative income tax.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130342256324546560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1130248057306656768", "created_at": "2019-05-19T23:05:10+00:00", "text": "@fortelabs Floridians have relatively less ambition. Startup culture is far weaker.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1130248057306656768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129439039084474368", "created_at": "2019-05-17T17:30:25+00:00", "text": "@MandyCarter_ It's a broken link for me", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129439039084474368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129394730733854721", "created_at": "2019-05-17T14:34:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DavidRhysBern: Also interesting to see how most typical economics fails to capture the importance of the long-run impacts of our action…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129394730733854721", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129341176216248320", "created_at": "2019-05-17T11:01:33+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils Can you tweet via text message? https://t.co/CrgAjJoymM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129341176216248320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129340493685567490", "created_at": "2019-05-17T10:58:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Aella_Girl: Just a reminder that what it feels like to believe a Totally Wrong Thing feels suspiciously similar to what it feels like t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129340493685567490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129340074284474370", "created_at": "2019-05-17T10:57:10+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils Can you tweet without otherwise using Twitter?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129340074284474370", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1129201476503519232", "created_at": "2019-05-17T01:46:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @antirobust: imagine being so triggered by architecture that you seize the powers of the state to dominate your neighbor and control wha…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1129201476503519232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128776468627185666", "created_at": "2019-05-15T21:37:36+00:00", "text": "How I feel waiting to get picked up by my amazing girlfriend: https://t.co/adURxjEOY4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128776468627185666", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128737029158731782", "created_at": "2019-05-15T19:00:53+00:00", "text": "@LEBassett I am not trying to make a naturalistic fallacy, but do these politicians realize how common natural miscarriages are? They happen all the time, often to women who often don't even know they are pregnant. Are we going to mandate control of all of the risk factors for this too?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128737029158731782", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128733999977959424", "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:48:51+00:00", "text": "@shailjapatel What kind of calculation is this? The emotion of getting 'policed up' (advised about a genuine problem) is worse than living your entire life with a severely damaged brain? You need to delete this. Everybody needs to speak up when the benefits justify 'offending' someone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128733999977959424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128732434005221379", "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:42:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RyanHoliday: \"It is a true proverb, that if you live with a lame man, you will learn to limp.\" Plutarch", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128732434005221379", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128731451887955969", "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:38:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliaoftoronto: It baffles me how many major news sites STILL don't link to the primary studies their stories are based on. 😕😕😕\n\nCan't…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128731451887955969", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128729816394604544", "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:32:13+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Canada is too cold. Australia & New Zealand are on the table for me down the road", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128729816394604544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128729494238519297", "created_at": "2019-05-15T18:30:56+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Rights definitely do not exist imo, but I'm cool with someone arguing for a really good heuristic that one shouldn't normally consider breaking", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128729494238519297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128688467272249344", "created_at": "2019-05-15T15:47:55+00:00", "text": "Partial source = Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128688467272249344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128550860496277504", "created_at": "2019-05-15T06:41:07+00:00", "text": "@Scruffff Sorry I realized I don't want to spread this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128550860496277504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128540361121587200", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:59:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @eigenrobot: play normie games, win normie prizes\n\nfor some p ∈ [0, 1] fraction of the time this is a dire warning, and for 1-p really g…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128540361121587200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128537257533685760", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:47:04+00:00", "text": "@antirobust @drethelin Oh sh*t I forgot about that incoming threat 🙃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128537257533685760", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128534878272786432", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:37:36+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 That makes a lot of sense. However, I still feel like there is an objective value system out there and once we get a good enough understanding of physics, this value system may somehow be revealed to us.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128534878272786432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128533328854953984", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:31:27+00:00", "text": "Not saying they should, I am just pointing out a seemingly glaring inconsistency.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128533328854953984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128532149731241986", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:26:46+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ It's seriously the weirdest thing. We avg. 1 active shooter a day now. I mean I know the avg. person is still about 3x more at risk dying in an auto-accident, but it's high enough that I want to carry.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128532149731241986", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128528944116961280", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:14:01+00:00", "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I feel like there has to be something a lot more fundamental going on in pain and pleasure receptors than just their effect on a system of neurons.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128528944116961280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128528767968841729", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:13:19+00:00", "text": "Many people are way too fond of (basically) zero-sum games. Examples include sports and prestige-chasing. These should probably only be pursued insofar as they are instrumentally valuable (e.g. one will strongly gain the ability to spread unusually true, impactful ideas).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128528767968841729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128526512767025152", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:04:22+00:00", "text": "(although if I am applying, this probably isn't the case), but I really hope I will not be shallowly discriminated against otherwise. The truth is rarely intuitive from outside a chain of reasoning, after all. Plus, I am pretty much always open to arguments about where I'm wrong.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128526512767025152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128526511261270016", "created_at": "2019-05-15T05:04:21+00:00", "text": "Nearly everyday, I fear my honest, carefully thought out opinions I put out online coming back to haunt me. I bet many people feel the same way. I am fine if I lose a job because my fundamental normative views clearly are at odds w/ that of the company", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128526511261270016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128525078646358016", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:58:40+00:00", "text": "arguments can be crafted for each one, and based on an AI's detection of a given person's archetype, the proper argument can be delivered to them to maximize the chance of them changing their mind (towards the truth, hopefully).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128525078646358016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128525076897382401", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:58:39+00:00", "text": "We need more individually-tailored arguments. For many issues like abortion, there is no way you can sway someone without intelligently addressing their network of deep beliefs. Not sure how to do this, but perhaps there are a handful of archetypes in populations,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128525076897382401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128523213976289280", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:51:15+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I am not sure this is optimal for all countries, but a box of worms has already been opened in the US and I don't think we can close it. On a non-intellectual level, I really hate the idea of getting gunned down because I had no means to counter an active-shooter.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128523213976289280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128519881480134662", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:38:01+00:00", "text": "My current position on gun control: require background checks and a waiting period, but otherwise, don't make it hard to get a gun. Open carry should be permitted.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128519881480134662", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128517829198741504", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:29:51+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean you are right, physics-based utilitarianism is an idea that lives in my mind and we do not have a concrete explanation for the rise of qualia, but I think this value system is far more likely to be right than most others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128517829198741504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128514859845472256", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:18:04+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I definitely trust most people's preferences to know what is good for them experientially, and think fulfilling others' preferences is a very good proxy for the real good, but I still think that the real good stems from physics operations which produce desirable qualia.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128514859845472256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128512761699368960", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:09:43+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I think physics only permits a finite number of fundamentally unique desirable things (perhaps several different flavors of qualia), and everything else is just arbitrary preferences of evolution-derived minds.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128512761699368960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128511759579529221", "created_at": "2019-05-15T04:05:44+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 any more than a preference. Some people are just wrong about things, and their value system, if it's incoherent to me and they can't explain it, should not interfere with acting out a mutually exclusive value system which is far more likely to be true.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128511759579529221", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128509026604654602", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:54:53+00:00", "text": "Yes, future web-scraping algorithms, I am an INTJ.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128509026604654602", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128508809243189248", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:54:01+00:00", "text": "I like to speak declaratively and concisely, but you can pretty much through in 'probably' and 'imo' anywhere you like.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128508809243189248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128507727930695680", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:49:43+00:00", "text": "I usually prefer the word 'desirability' over 'morality'. It avoids the notion of egoistic, evolution-based social norms.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128507727930695680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128506237165944832", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:43:48+00:00", "text": "In those areas of your life where you know you are unethical (buying a burger once a month), just admit you are bad. Don't accept rationalizations you don't really believe in.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128506237165944832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128505606082580481", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:41:17+00:00", "text": "I think humanity might be screwed if we cannot increase our average intelligence to a safe level by the time we invent some truly existentially dangerous technology that anyone can utilize. We better figure this out. The only other option may be an AI-backed surveillance state.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128505606082580481", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128504792525963264", "created_at": "2019-05-15T03:38:03+00:00", "text": "Are the majority of people really cool with letting huge swaths of the population burn in hell for eternity? I can't remember the last time someone has actively proselytized to me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128504792525963264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128481255954223104", "created_at": "2019-05-15T02:04:32+00:00", "text": "@iChanticleer It should have been built like this in the first place!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128481255954223104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128398085271511043", "created_at": "2019-05-14T20:34:02+00:00", "text": "@eigenrobot Effective altruists have something to say about this. Life is about doing as much good as possible.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128398085271511043", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128311632415862784", "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:50:30+00:00", "text": "@Steveohmygoodne @historylvrsclub I thought it may have been because the C2 pawn is moved and her hand is on the Queen. I just get curious about what exactly people mean sometimes though. Thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128311632415862784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128306891640246273", "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:31:40+00:00", "text": "@Steveohmygoodne @historylvrsclub Do you really think she is smart for this or are you writing this in a condemnatory tone? It's fine either way, I'm just curious.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128306891640246273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128305961645555712", "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:27:58+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Oh true. My $, w/ low odds, is still on him writing it in a condemnatory tone, which makes it ironic that he mixes up the queen & king.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128305961645555712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128303264947216385", "created_at": "2019-05-14T14:17:15+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Damn that is a pretty douchy thing to say.\n\nSavage in a sense, but more douchy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128303264947216385", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128292311832649728", "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:33:44+00:00", "text": "Their is no reason the optimal solutions to many of our problems should be immediately intuitive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128292311832649728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128292310540783617", "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:33:44+00:00", "text": "prioritizing humans over the environment not because humans are the most intrinsically valuable creatures in the world, but the most instrumentally valuable; prioritizing economic growth over helping everyone today to help more people overall; the list goes on.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128292310540783617", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128287478950047744", "created_at": "2019-05-14T13:14:32+00:00", "text": "to compensate people. But sometimes money and charismatic leadership is short to go around. Nevertheless, I think we should be more willing to sometimes self-organize this way. One way to do it is have a team of 3-5 people who take turns leading each other on their pet projects.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128287478950047744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128282396921610241", "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00", "text": "education emphasized this a bit more. On the occasion when you do come up with solid answers or the vetted conclusions, it's incredibly rewarding. When you fail, you only end up with a greater appreciation of the conclusion because you understand the", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128282396921610241", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128282395499741184", "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00", "text": "to sway my creativity. I knew we were unlikely to win against 5000 teams by taking standard approaches. I then came up with a non-traditional model which I believe was key (along with my teammates' excellent work) to our paper's 1st place international victory. I only wish", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128282395499741184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128282398339235841", "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:54:20+00:00", "text": "landscape of the problem much better.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128282398339235841", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128274103075573761", "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:21:23+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 Beliefs are not really a choice imo. One is helplessly swayed by the evidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128274103075573761", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128273122107510784", "created_at": "2019-05-14T12:17:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webmasterdave: Microelectrode studies suggest that even single neurons may support rudimentary experience - perhaps quite complex: http…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128273122107510784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128253054401359873", "created_at": "2019-05-14T10:57:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CrazyPolymath: 3 underrated skills (from @morganhousel ):\n\n1. Accepting a certain degree of hassle and nonsense when reality demands it…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128253054401359873", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128131176265338880", "created_at": "2019-05-14T02:53:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sovereignfamily: If you want to have kids, just not now, here are three options for you:\n\n1) have them now anyway\n2) Combine egg freezi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128131176265338880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128115123195908096", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:49:39+00:00", "text": "@vgr Ambition is for the psychologically hungry and it's easier than ever to satisfy our appetites.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128115123195908096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128113546989060097", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:43:23+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 @EvanSandhoefner It's just nested uncertainties all the way down--or is it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128113546989060097", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128111389300727808", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:34:49+00:00", "text": "@JShendure @DunhamLab @srikosuri Tenure secured.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128111389300727808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128109981734264832", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:29:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulg: It's hard to beat someone at something if they enjoy it and you don't. This is true for good things like writing and dancing and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128109981734264832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128107934536409088", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:21:05+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I just don't see how morally relevant, real phenomena can emerge at a higher level than physics. It seems that messing w/ an isolated, functioning neuron of the right type in a particular way could be morally-relevant.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128107934536409088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128104585296588800", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:07:46+00:00", "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I really don't know that much about the biology of sensation tbh, but just philosophically, isn't it morally relevant for just a single, isolated neuron (of the right type) to be affected in particular ways?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128104585296588800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128102811261128704", "created_at": "2019-05-14T01:00:43+00:00", "text": "@N4V1GAT0R I feel like there has to be something a lot more fundamental going on in pain and pleasure receptors than just their effect on a system of neurons.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128102811261128704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128082268952702981", "created_at": "2019-05-13T23:39:06+00:00", "text": "@derksenbnc @JayInslee Can you drop a link?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128082268952702981", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128071049105563651", "created_at": "2019-05-13T22:54:31+00:00", "text": "@derksenbnc @JayInslee What climate scientists+economists say that we are better of not doing anything?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128071049105563651", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128053063892262913", "created_at": "2019-05-13T21:43:03+00:00", "text": "@antirobust @TetraspaceAdmn I feel we're clear to pursue x-risk insofar as we have the means to end conscious experience if we come to realize the future is likely to be net-negative. Since we can do that today, I think it's safe to pursue more information by extending our expected life via pursuing x-risk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128053063892262913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128040865639882759", "created_at": "2019-05-13T20:54:35+00:00", "text": "@NYTHealth It's not capitalism if there isn't competition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128040865639882759", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128034714869219331", "created_at": "2019-05-13T20:30:08+00:00", "text": "@Jon_StewartMill https://t.co/XgUIKjdZoF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128034714869219331", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128024251221594112", "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:48:33+00:00", "text": "@antirobust @TetraspaceAdmn I desperately want to resolve my fundamental moral uncertainty, but as far as I am aware, there is still the question of whether we want to prioritize survival or well-being per moment.\nhttps://t.co/iGUSgOq6sx\nThe Many-Worlds interpretation also complicates this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128024251221594112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128019264798109696", "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:28:44+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Those are solid points. It's unfortunate that there are some employers out there who do care about employees' carefully expressed opinions outside of work. However, my heuristic still stands. Holding back opinions is antithetical to the marketplace of ideas.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128019264798109696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1128013313542164480", "created_at": "2019-05-13T19:05:06+00:00", "text": "the bullet to try to shift the Window. Not saying everyone has to write about the touchiest of issues, but if you are too goody-two-shoes to write your take on anything controversial, you aren't getting off scot-free 😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1128013313542164480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127953241726169088", "created_at": "2019-05-13T15:06:23+00:00", "text": "I wrote this up in a blog post for the curious:\nhttps://t.co/tSnULa3rhD\nI need to add data and add some professional economists' opinions, so read elsewhere if you want that over just a layperson's perspective.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127953241726169088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127951387478896641", "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:59:01+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ETIY7Hv8jv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127951387478896641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127950899379355648", "created_at": "2019-05-13T14:57:05+00:00", "text": "considering how far our minds are from being perfectly optimized for the task.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127950899379355648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127349225229045766", "created_at": "2019-05-11T23:06:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KirkegaardEmil: Trying to attack someone for holding progressive view of biotech eugenics is stupid is it not? This is not a fringe vie…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127349225229045766", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127344764033097728", "created_at": "2019-05-11T22:48:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @michael_nielsen: A meta-thread of some of my favourite Twitter threads!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127344764033097728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127329297339965440", "created_at": "2019-05-11T21:47:03+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @david_perell: The most important ingredient for a quality conversation: Presence. \n\nWhen two people are 100% present, conversation can…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127329297339965440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127325475918028800", "created_at": "2019-05-11T21:31:52+00:00", "text": "@TellYourSonThis Getting back at the people who shot my dog and stole my car.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127325475918028800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127290050687926278", "created_at": "2019-05-11T19:11:06+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary UBI, UBMH, same thing 😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127290050687926278", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127239039785086978", "created_at": "2019-05-11T15:48:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AnnieDuke: Lots of great discussion of the upside of grit.\n \nBut what about the upside of quitting?\n \nI’m really interested in thoughts…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127239039785086978", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127238323251163137", "created_at": "2019-05-11T15:45:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: What is the most valuable thing you could do right now,\n\nand why aren't you doing it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127238323251163137", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127055289256226816", "created_at": "2019-05-11T03:38:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MichaelDPlant: After the #NotreDameCathedralFire, €1bn was raised in a matter of days. That money could have been spent elsewhere, for…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127055289256226816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127035705522368512", "created_at": "2019-05-11T02:20:26+00:00", "text": "@browserdotsys @TetraspaceAdmn My neighbor did this! They owned property surrounding 3 sides of us & wanted to buy us out & we didn't like the price they offered, so they decided to put up a wooden fence right in front of our windows just to block the view 😆", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127035705522368512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127009683938709504", "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:37:02+00:00", "text": "@polytrophic Worst experience early for extra early resilience (assuming one is in a loving environment) and post-traumatic growth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127009683938709504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127008894964912128", "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:33:54+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Sorry I read this wrong. -1 meta EA, +1 global dev", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127008894964912128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1127006929702797312", "created_at": "2019-05-11T00:26:05+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1127006929702797312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126959444418600960", "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:17:24+00:00", "text": "@OurDarkHistory @vitabenes I should just become a resilience personal trainer for the summer. Get hired to show up to peoples' houses and David Goggins them to face heavy stress so they can benefit from the ↑ confidence and resilience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126959444418600960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126958741335760898", "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:14:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Mark_J_Perry: Over most recent year, Walmart's profit margin was only 1.3% vs. a whopping 22.4% profit margin for Apple (17X more than…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126958741335760898", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126956890016165889", "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:07:15+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes The recounts of MoH recipients are not all the same though.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126956890016165889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126955940597698560", "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:03:28+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes like they had to summon extraordinary courage to do what they did.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126955940597698560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126955818526695427", "created_at": "2019-05-10T21:02:59+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes Also, it probably helps to really figure out your values. When you are acting from them, the expectation of punishment is weaker. A lot of Medal of Honor recipients talk about this & I don't think they are BSing. They say they were literally just doing their duty & did not feel", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126955818526695427", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126939918222098433", "created_at": "2019-05-10T19:59:48+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I'd lose that fight. Once my metabolism slows down, I'm doomed. Also, not looking forward to having to start actually paying for the bulk of what I eat in a few days when I get out of the military.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126939918222098433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126933768655257605", "created_at": "2019-05-10T19:35:22+00:00", "text": "@binarybits yeah I'd run for Congress if they paid more but it's just kind of beneath me rn.\n\nBut actually, I agree with this take.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126933768655257605", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126921258720010240", "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:45:39+00:00", "text": "@KellyLevenda For anyone with doubts about whether crustaceans feel pain, they probably do:\nhttps://t.co/W8MAbLqOyT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126921258720010240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126914478887534597", "created_at": "2019-05-10T18:18:43+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets @visakanv Problem identification & cause prioritization 😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126914478887534597", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126902220245618694", "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:30:00+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Whoever decided to allow well-being to fall below zero is a real douche", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126902220245618694", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126898855075885057", "created_at": "2019-05-10T17:16:38+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes This is how I feel about heavily pursuing effective altruism, rationality, econ, & relating topics over choosing to drink my school's kool-aid and maximize GPA. It was a high risk, but it's had a ginormous payoff in terms of my clarity of thought regarding a number of issues.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126898855075885057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126890846773764099", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:44:49+00:00", "text": "The most pure way to pay for a UBI would be via a land-value tax. Actually, that is a very sexy thought...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126890846773764099", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126884626373455873", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:20:06+00:00", "text": "But again, a $1000 UBI is not so high that it will destroy most people's desire to work & participate in our economy. There is some price range where a UBI in that range reduces anxiety while not hurting the desire to get out there and fulfill other people's preferences for $$.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126884626373455873", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126884053716803585", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:17:49+00:00", "text": "Again, one of the most powerful points I see is the reduction in economic-related anxiety and increase in quality of thought. Our intelligence and quality of thinking is the most precious resource we have. Even just increasing that by 1 or 2% will do wonders for our society.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126884053716803585", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126883256127848448", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:14:39+00:00", "text": "A UBI not only is the social net that lower class & middle income Americans need, but it's theoretically not a problem to give to higher-earners either, who on average, can grow the economy more with a dollar than anyone else can. A UBI can go to everyone and reduce classism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126883256127848448", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126882292050354177", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:10:49+00:00", "text": "A society with far more equal welfare benefits (not saying we have to entirely do away with all other welfare benefits) is more egalitarian & does a lot to remove the economic punishment of maintaining a low-income job high enough to disqualify one for welfare benefits.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126882292050354177", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126880011636609024", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:01:45+00:00", "text": "Once the basics are covered, far more people can afford to experiment with entrepreneurship, which is key means of growing our economy. We want people to feel comfortable rolling the dice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126880011636609024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126879761228345344", "created_at": "2019-05-10T16:00:46+00:00", "text": "I argue that you want people to have this social net so they can actually take financial risks to maximize expected utility. So much of people work below their potential because the utility they assign to that first $1000 a month is so much higher than the $$ after that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126879761228345344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126878635024113665", "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:56:17+00:00", "text": "Would we see a number of people quitting work altogether in order to scrape by with $1000? Yeah, probably. But that wouldn't be the end of the world. Automation is taking over & you'd expect to see signs of a post-scarcity economy before it fully happens.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126878635024113665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126877378582593536", "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:51:18+00:00", "text": "A UBI could be partially paid for by reducing other welfare benefits accordingly. Yes, the influx of money into the market would at least temporarily increase prices & hurt disabled/elderly people on welfare, so their benefits would not have to be reduced 1:1.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126877378582593536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126876644264820741", "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:48:23+00:00", "text": "A UBI could do a ton to reduce the anxiety that many lower-income Americans who lack savings feel over being able to cover unexpected expenses. This increases well-being, would reduce stress-related health-care costs, and possibly improve quality of thinking in general.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126876644264820741", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126874137379708928", "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:38:25+00:00", "text": "A UBI respects the autonomy and liberty of individuals while providing them w/ that safety net, and allows us to remove these costly, market-slowing expectations we have of businesses.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126874137379708928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126874135169314816", "created_at": "2019-05-10T15:38:24+00:00", "text": "Gig economies are more efficient at reducing prices & fulfilling preferences. We don't want all businesses to feel obligated to fulfill the roll of a nanny & provide everyone w/ medical & other welfare benefits. That only decreases hiring rates & slows entrepreneurship.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126874135169314816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126847063529009152", "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:50:50+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu As a Bayesian physics-based utilitarian, I would probably appreciate the ethics of a superintelligent slime mold more than that of the average human.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126847063529009152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126845409522012165", "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:44:16+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly I've debated pro-lifers who said they would kill me and other pro-choicers if they could get away with it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126845409522012165", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126842745690177542", "created_at": "2019-05-10T13:33:40+00:00", "text": "@neontaster This hoax is the dumbest thing ever. Don't let extremists steal & ruin a cultural practice. Just keep using it normally & dilute any negative associations they are trying to put to it👌", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126842745690177542", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126698487213580288", "created_at": "2019-05-10T04:00:27+00:00", "text": "@SoCalSurferBum That's a question I have asked myself and am thinking about.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126698487213580288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126689344905814017", "created_at": "2019-05-10T03:24:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jayvanbavel: People hate experiments, even on mundane issues:\n\nPeople approve of untested policies or treatments (A or B) being univers…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126689344905814017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126684561985953792", "created_at": "2019-05-10T03:05:07+00:00", "text": "@SoCalSurferBum It's not so much about taxing rich people or the products of labor, but taxing the use/stewardship of natural resources (I.e. land) that everyone equally has a right to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126684561985953792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126558450274766850", "created_at": "2019-05-09T18:43:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: What if their probability of defaulting on the debt is higher than 15% a year? Should they not be permitted to borrow money…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126558450274766850", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126553965381005312", "created_at": "2019-05-09T18:26:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @neurobongo: Science is self-correcting in the long run, but I am increasingly fascinated by the organizational behavior side of discove…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126553965381005312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126545993900728322", "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:54:29+00:00", "text": "@JaYxCeE I'd literally watch any movie for 24 hours straight for $1000 dollars", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126545993900728322", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126543931028705283", "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:46:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WeAnimals: \"We can stop this. But not until we have the courage to see it and to let ourselves feel it.\" \n\nFormer undercover investigat…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126543931028705283", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126538222685827072", "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:23:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @G_S_Bhogal: Believers in free will like to claim that their view of humans is warmer and more dignifying than that of cold, mechanistic…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126538222685827072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126537509608009730", "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:20:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ausplendor: What’s a mantra or motivational quote that you can honestly say you live your life by?\n\nFor me, it’s increasingly becoming:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126537509608009730", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126537463265099781", "created_at": "2019-05-09T17:20:35+00:00", "text": "@ausplendor @naval Maximize expected-utility", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126537463265099781", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126526501120294912", "created_at": "2019-05-09T16:37:02+00:00", "text": "@AndrewYang Free markets handle rent prices (empirically and information-theoretically) as a whole far better than rent control can. YIMBY, but leave rent prices alone and encourage+enable movement if they're too high for people. Not everyone who wants to live in an area always can...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126526501120294912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126295642765180928", "created_at": "2019-05-09T01:19:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JamesClear: What is something you bought for less than $50 that has genuinely made your life better?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126295642765180928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126262601439174656", "created_at": "2019-05-08T23:08:23+00:00", "text": "I've long had a special emotional abhorrence for bureaucratic inefficiencies and would love to work in this cause area if the EV is there.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126262601439174656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1126134984740364288", "created_at": "2019-05-08T14:41:17+00:00", "text": "@HeuristicLineup {Ethics} - {Bayesian Utilitarianism} = {Unsubstantiated evolutionary psychology feelings}", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1126134984740364288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125956164301225985", "created_at": "2019-05-08T02:50:43+00:00", "text": "@ConceptualJames I can barely believe that this type of thinking he describes exists, but I guess I better update my understanding of the distribution of human rationality.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125956164301225985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125940674707193856", "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:49:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @joshbalk: BREAKING NEWS: Washington state just banned the production AND sale of eggs from caged hens! This is the strongest law for fa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125940674707193856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125939127428448257", "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:43:01+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn We need Dos Equis man style commercials for this. \"I don't always eat out, but when I do, I also donate the cost to the most effective cause areas.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125939127428448257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125938670505267200", "created_at": "2019-05-08T01:41:12+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn While this probably doesn't divert enough $$ towards top causes, it might be a balance that a lot of people could accept & live with.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125938670505267200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125920180490723328", "created_at": "2019-05-08T00:27:44+00:00", "text": "@RoxanneHeston I'm interested in reading it 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125920180490723328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125905542608838660", "created_at": "2019-05-07T23:29:34+00:00", "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ A certain good by no means outweighs an uncertain good. It's all a matter of expected utility. It's not a complete mystery what will satisfy future peoples' preferences. First, they will want to exist, so we should sacrifice some social programs for the sake of x-risk reduction", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125905542608838660", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125888376484302849", "created_at": "2019-05-07T22:21:21+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear I'm more interested in who the most impactful people are, measured by who has made the most progress on an important and neglected issue that would have probably taken years or decades later for someone else to solve otherwise.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125888376484302849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125841590155661312", "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:15:26+00:00", "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ https://t.co/ZzdIM6EbMg", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125841590155661312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125839408622637056", "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:06:46+00:00", "text": "@mdf_warrior @cosimia_ 15 billion * .8 or 12 billion people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125839408622637056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125838415583432705", "created_at": "2019-05-07T19:02:49+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu I have a ~500-word post about this if you or anyone are interested and/or wants to give the idea feedback:\nhttps://t.co/bd3140avDF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125838415583432705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125781658895040512", "created_at": "2019-05-07T15:17:18+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ We have to optimize the economy more for the long-term than we are now. The interests of future people >> the interests of today's people, especially those no longer producing economic value (the elderly).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125781658895040512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125768161603784704", "created_at": "2019-05-07T14:23:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @george__mack: CHARLIE MUNGER'S 7 IRON LAWS: \n\nCharlie Munger has been the biggest COGNITIVE INFLUENCE on my life so far. \n\nHere are a l…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125768161603784704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125767642848141314", "created_at": "2019-05-07T14:21:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnOberg: Shocking & Graphic: \n\nDucks naturally spend the much of their lives floating in water, but on factory farms, there is no wat…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125767642848141314", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125618021421191168", "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:27:03+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 @kaushikcbasu Oof that is a dangerous (and assholish) game, especially for someone in academia", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125618021421191168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125613888786051072", "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:10:38+00:00", "text": "If anything, it could help cement the fact to society that discount rates don't apply to people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125613888786051072", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125612070513315840", "created_at": "2019-05-07T04:03:25+00:00", "text": "E.g. \"I represent the interests of the future people who will be alive between 2200 to 2500.\" It could narrow existential risk work and help make it more tractable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125612070513315840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125522524140396551", "created_at": "2019-05-06T22:07:35+00:00", "text": "@N4V1GAT0R They shouldn't be mad! It's 1) a free market and students don't have to take it, 2) aligned incentives and 3) easier on people who aren't financially successful after college. Plus, what's wrong with experimenting?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125522524140396551", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125488157171101696", "created_at": "2019-05-06T19:51:01+00:00", "text": "@MaxReddel I plan to periodically study it to hang on to the basics, but I don't plan to become fluent at this time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125488157171101696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125226695445893120", "created_at": "2019-05-06T02:32:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @patio11: Some people really benefit from hearing advice that everyone knows, for the same reason we keep schools open despite every sub…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125226695445893120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125174238078484480", "created_at": "2019-05-05T23:03:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @george__mack: DOUBLETHINK - The most important idea you've probably never heard of. \n \nWhen you look deep enough at reality, it is EVE…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125174238078484480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125148164451749889", "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:20:01+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils @yannick___m They'd have to specify because there should be doubt, but I'm inclined to think atheism is the default belief as it's less specific & that 40% means 40% a god exists.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125148164451749889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125145791117570049", "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:10:35+00:00", "text": "platform for individual prediction making. One could make immutable, non-deletable predictions to face the truth of one's prediction-making ability, calibrate oneself, possibly-humble oneself, or signal to others just how good of a predictor one is.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125145791117570049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125143253366525953", "created_at": "2019-05-05T21:00:30+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m our prediction ended up being true or not. This could help us calibrate our degree of belief and learn how much we can afford to trust others' confidence claims.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125143253366525953", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125132686010527745", "created_at": "2019-05-05T20:18:30+00:00", "text": "@ChadoNihi Wanting to move seems to be a growing trend: https://t.co/I4nZicRbYF\nAre you happy with your decision?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125132686010527745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125117415891845124", "created_at": "2019-05-05T19:17:50+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m @MaxReddel Russian was the hardest strategic language I thought I could succeed in while taking 18+ credit hours and being a cadet", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125117415891845124", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1125092262462009345", "created_at": "2019-05-05T17:37:53+00:00", "text": "@MaxReddel I had to take some language at West Point for the last year. I figured I might as well study a strategic language if I was going to have to put in a lot of time anyways.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1125092262462009345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124689160382623745", "created_at": "2019-05-04T14:56:06+00:00", "text": "@robkhenderson Ssssshhhhh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124689160382623745", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124664884434808832", "created_at": "2019-05-04T13:19:38+00:00", "text": "@paulg You are assuming that you know what's good for you better than Twitter does 😉", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124664884434808832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124415418108608513", "created_at": "2019-05-03T20:48:20+00:00", "text": "@mark_ledwich I don't think, under MWI, it's good enough for some utility to exist in some worlds, or for maximum utility to exist in a small subset of worlds. I think it's best if the universe just has maximum utility.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124415418108608513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124407146962141186", "created_at": "2019-05-03T20:15:28+00:00", "text": "@FPallopides Haha sure! I am not saying someone has to believe in MWI because of this or even act as if its true, I just mean we should probably be paying more attention to it. Do you know of any decision theories out there that take MWI into account?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124407146962141186", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124401468080050181", "created_at": "2019-05-03T19:52:55+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m Perhaps, but I think that means I am talking about empirical uncertainty for both of them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124401468080050181", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124387825401716737", "created_at": "2019-05-03T18:58:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: \"Beyond Meat Just Had the Best IPO of 2019 as Value Soars to $3.8 Billion\" https://t.co/JfZ1MXLAmF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124387825401716737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124386597821190144", "created_at": "2019-05-03T18:53:49+00:00", "text": "For me, Many Worlds Interpretation and the energy efficiency of suffering compared to well-being come to mind.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124386597821190144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124354039993516032", "created_at": "2019-05-03T16:44:27+00:00", "text": "@AustraliaToon1 @Intrinsic29 I wonder why this really is the case...Sure, egos want to look out for number 1, but even if someone does want to answer honestly, our speech is almost always less information-dense and subtle then our thoughts, and we only have access to others speech and actions...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124354039993516032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124352967178633216", "created_at": "2019-05-03T16:40:11+00:00", "text": "@moosesouptrish @Intrinsic29 I would guess this to be the case. Reading, which requires more imagination and inferencing-ability to appreciate, is the dominant stimuli here as opposed to pictures and video, which is better provided by other platforms.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124352967178633216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124195238338277376", "created_at": "2019-05-03T06:13:26+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher And with the breadth of philosophies and different psychologies out there, I am sure there are at least hundreds of people on Earth who think extinction is the best course of action and would actively pursue that if they thought it was feasible.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124195238338277376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124170595334328322", "created_at": "2019-05-03T04:35:30+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher What does Nick Bostrom get wrong in his work on existential risk?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124170595334328322", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124156732912144384", "created_at": "2019-05-03T03:40:25+00:00", "text": "I understand independent probabilistic events like consecutive dice rolls, but I wouldn't guess that an individual atom literally maintains a constant probability of decay over time. Crazy how there is no internal clock.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124156732912144384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124110067022872577", "created_at": "2019-05-03T00:34:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Anapurnah: People who say \"Tax the rich\" should differentiate between those who obtain their wealth by adding value to the world and th…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124110067022872577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124108653152362496", "created_at": "2019-05-03T00:29:22+00:00", "text": "This is crazy!\nhttps://t.co/cDF24KB9gV", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124108653152362496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124097919534227457", "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:46:43+00:00", "text": "@SuseBeBi @mpellittieri Good to know. Maybe everyone could be made to pay junk food taxes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124097919534227457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124097227453083650", "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:43:58+00:00", "text": "@SharonJayson @davidfrum @KHNews @cdc @AusPublicHealth I think personal responsibility is appropriate & enough here. Don't ride & go fast if you can't control them. We don't need to nerf the hours of use or the speed below 20 mph. Perhaps give people the option to set the max speed they want to ride at with their phones...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124097227453083650", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1124090490369007619", "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:17:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @The_Lagrangian: Read Old Papers\nhttps://t.co/tZ9ZCVwlwd https://t.co/qF5sjivxmb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124090490369007619", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124086354571350016", "created_at": "2019-05-02T23:00:46+00:00", "text": "@Cshearer41 Find the point in which the lines intersect. The areas of the shapes are easy after that.\n-2x + 1 = x/2 \nx=2/5, y=1/5\nA= 1*(2/5)*(1/2) + (1/2+3/5)*(1/5)*(1/2) + (3/5)*(3/10)*(1/2) = 2/5", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124086354571350016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124064483423465472", "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:33:51+00:00", "text": "@fortelabs Of course, startups are more like chess or poker then dice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124064483423465472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124063163421536263", "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:28:36+00:00", "text": "@fortelabs I want the joy of kids but not the cost & stress. How can I do that?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124063163421536263", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1124061896049668113", "created_at": "2019-05-02T21:23:34+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Poor talent management practices", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1124061896049668113", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123832942269272064", "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:13:47+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets It's probably about time we start doing this actually. Don't want to wait for these matters when a black ball might be right around the corner.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123832942269272064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123832729236381696", "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:12:57+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets and identify dangerous actors now. In the short term, AI could just make profiles of people and determine their level of radical anti-natalism/religious extremism/desire to destroy humanity and we could watch these individuals much more closely", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123832729236381696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123831880053293057", "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:09:34+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets Someone could also plausibly start a nuclear war with deep fakes right now", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123831880053293057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123829873234120710", "created_at": "2019-05-02T06:01:36+00:00", "text": "The alternative is likely a high risk of extinction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123829873234120710", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123828571376619520", "created_at": "2019-05-02T05:56:25+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/F7jAqSCO4Q", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123828571376619520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123796950950789122", "created_at": "2019-05-02T03:50:46+00:00", "text": "@mpellittieri Just tax junk food.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123796950950789122", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123759946871521282", "created_at": "2019-05-02T01:23:44+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Reminds me of https://t.co/smEVDwPjZt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123759946871521282", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123676115829186561", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:50:37+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Would be nice if settlements for libel were easier. Blatantly lie about a blog post where there is proof it hasn't been edited? $100 fine or face Twitter ban.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123676115829186561", "word_count": 29 }, { "id": "1123671168911925248", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:30:58+00:00", "text": "@Nashgrier @RyanHoliday It can buy you a probability of future time that you won't have to work for money.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123671168911925248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123670665092112392", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:28:58+00:00", "text": "@BlatantMacaroon @EPoe187 Idk if badassery is in it's fundamental form. I think it's a composite number if you will that can be broken down into its prime factors.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123670665092112392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123670312237842434", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:27:33+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 The best part is that he 'regrets' it because it was 'unnecessary' and 'needlessly dangerous'. Points for pain tolerance and rationality", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123670312237842434", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123669605300543488", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:24:45+00:00", "text": "@BlatantMacaroon @EPoe187 But what is badassery? A combination of pain tolerance, willingness to ngaf & mark your 'sacred' body permanently, and a willingness to commit to displaying your beliefs w/ no ability to back down?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123669605300543488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123668702006845441", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:21:09+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils If they aren't willing to at least go on first date, people will know they are just abusing the system. But yes, they can come up w/ excuses. Everyone who uses this should know their crushes might find out w/ no intent to seriously go on a date.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123668702006845441", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123667634006966276", "created_at": "2019-05-01T19:16:55+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 They also signal pain tolerance, as mentioned elsewhere. As stupid as it is, I can't help but give props to one of my acquaintances w/ a branding.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123667634006966276", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123662769553858562", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:57:35+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu @robinhanson In any given circumstance, it may be ideal for a person not to bring up a controversial topic. However, the simplest ideal-heuristic for this, IMO, is that, yes, people should speak their mind openly & honestly to nudge the Overton window in the right direction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123662769553858562", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123661858471333896", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:53:58+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist With that being said, if there were some way to secretly (no one finding out) make it so prisoners were not suffering, then it would be ethical to alleviate their suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123661858471333896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123661392517763074", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:52:07+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist However, I also think that some people really psychologically need to experience vengeance, so we need to put up the guise (beyond for just deterrence reasons) that people like Anders Behring Breivik are suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123661392517763074", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123659818814853121", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:45:52+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist believe free will is physically or even meta physically possible (I think it's just a feeling that people struggle to pin down). So people don't really 'deserve' to suffer because it wasn't really a 'choice' to wrong someone. An eye for an eye isn't intrinsically necessary imo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123659818814853121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123658551006724096", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:40:49+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist & for any judgemental prudes out there w/ easygoing consciences who think my guilt signals I'm 'bad', my superego/conscience is hyperactive & I feel guilty (rightfully so, IMO) for spending a few bucks on myself on a snack when the $$ could otherwise go to high impact charities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123658551006724096", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1123657168769757185", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:35:20+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist I have personally felt a release of psychological guilt when painful things have happened to me because, presumably, my unconscious felt I was good to resume social relations because I paid the price. Sometimes people *want & need* punishment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123657168769757185", "word_count": 39 }, { "id": "1123655169579917314", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:27:23+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun Monogamy seems like more security--partners can more easily flake out on supporting you if you're poly. There is also more social stigma against being poly. There may also be fear of competition/violence by rival mates in poly networks due to jealously.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123655169579917314", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123650421514547200", "created_at": "2019-05-01T18:08:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: Thanks to economist & high-entropy thinker @tylercowen, for coming on my podcast and letting me argue with him for an hour!…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123650421514547200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123646246453960705", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:51:56+00:00", "text": "The future sum of evidence could just as well lead us to better financially support those not endowed with high general intelligence. It could also increase our compassion & empathy for vast swaths of people, who really can't be different then they are.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123646246453960705", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123645117577953282", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:27+00:00", "text": "if we can, that just means we just updated our beliefs in the present.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123645117577953282", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123645113530552321", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00", "text": "Discovering objective facts does lead to detailed philosophical discussions which do change behavior in the world. But this isn't a bad thing. If academics, as a whole, are reasonable & can arrive at proper conclusions, then they will arrive at the proper conclusions that", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123645113530552321", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123645116315504641", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00", "text": "If, say, after extensive research & debate, the sum of evidence shows we should subsidize the smartest people having kids, then that's what we should do! But we can't know what we will know tomorrow! We can't predict how our beliefs will update in the future, because", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123645116315504641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123645114927206401", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:47:26+00:00", "text": "evidence demands. If they are unreasonable & cannot arrive at proper conclusions, then who can say that, categorically, obtaining from going down a certain intellectual train of thought is ethically desirable? That could just as well be an unreasonable conclusion!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123645114927206401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123639465925386242", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:24:59+00:00", "text": "@R_Thaler @AEAjournals I am 💯% behind this 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123639465925386242", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123637783233552385", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:18:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: @robinhanson We're only just discovering how extensive neurodiversity in humans is. I expect that future generations will be ab…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123637783233552385", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123633858027696128", "created_at": "2019-05-01T17:02:42+00:00", "text": "they find evidence you may have violated one of the absurd numbers of laws out there. They can always come back w/ a warrant if they need to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123633858027696128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123382657675612165", "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:24:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: Or we could cover about 1.2% of Las Vegas with nuclear power plants. https://t.co/TtJqvgv0gq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123382657675612165", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123381047218012160", "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:18:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CryptoSeneca: Build character.\n\nAll else is secondary. https://t.co/kpoonYLfyb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123381047218012160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123380063418966016", "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:14:13+00:00", "text": "@alfredwkng \"Remember that time I violated your trust and sold you out for money? Haha good times\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123380063418966016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123376904441143296", "created_at": "2019-05-01T00:01:40+00:00", "text": "@Johnny_Uzan Hope it's a good heuristic then", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123376904441143296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123364882215243776", "created_at": "2019-04-30T23:13:53+00:00", "text": "@reason This is good news", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123364882215243776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123360646643552256", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:57:03+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ WWW: Navigated transfer college applications well.\nWWB: Didn't maintain a solid sleep routine.\nWTC: Fix sleep. Need to not nap to be tired by ~2200, journal, & implement a pre-sleep routine.\nGIMW: Hatred over still being a federal prisoner at my demanding school.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123360646643552256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123356721861337088", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:28+00:00", "text": "Hope that the show is pulled, the parents of teens who watched this and killed themselves afterwards can sue the f*%k out of Netflix, and that people get smart about how to display suicide in media.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123356721861337088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123356720657571842", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00", "text": "It should have been entirely clear from the beginning that this adaptation would significantly increase teens' likelihood of committing suicide.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123356720657571842", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123356717973164032", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00", "text": "from preying on the victimhood sentiments & emotional revenge fantasies of emotionally perturbed adolescents. @Netflix clearly had little regard for their vulnerable audience or message they were sending.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123356717973164032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123356719390830595", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:27+00:00", "text": "If they did, they would have pulled the show or heavily changed the plot to show an alternative to suicide.\nHow would any teen suffering from depression be dissuaded from committing suicide by watching this?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123356719390830595", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123356716513538048", "created_at": "2019-04-30T22:41:26+00:00", "text": "@netflix I'm generally all for personal responsibility & the right of individuals to produce & sell the media they want to, but this show was clearly designed to profit in either one of the dumbest or most disgusting ways possible:", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123356716513538048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123327167566422017", "created_at": "2019-04-30T20:44:01+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I know work gives people meaning, but I think we should still incentivize companies to produce as much economic value as cheaply as possible, which is often going to be through automation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123327167566422017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123308611265024000", "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:30:17+00:00", "text": "@trekonomics @Noahpinion I just mean the my understanding of these societies, w/ the web of institutions & incentives that make them unique, is ultimately tied intimately with my preference for them. I can't imagine how I could ignore the downsides of them and arrive at useful preferences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123308611265024000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123307448373317632", "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:25:40+00:00", "text": "@ycombinator @MakeSchool response to that? Should liberal arts colleges also consider adopting ISA's?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123307448373317632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123304500155047942", "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:13:57+00:00", "text": "@trekonomics @Noahpinion One can't suspend beliefs in this way though. Different, unedited governmental systems could not possibly yield equal results, even in a thought experiment. \"Which sci fi future gives you the most fuzzies, without thinking hard?\" is the way to ask this. *steps off mole hill*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123304500155047942", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123302896353910786", "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:07:35+00:00", "text": "@uonaiii 🙄😬", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123302896353910786", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123302444426039296", "created_at": "2019-04-30T19:05:47+00:00", "text": "@nutrition_facts You are awesome Dr. Greger. I really appreciate & have improved my health from your work.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123302444426039296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123300278885916673", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:57:11+00:00", "text": "@Scientific_Bird Lot's of educated, careful people are concerned about their potential kids' uncertain future and potential negative effect on climate change. For the smart, intelligent people concerned about this, I think they are admirable, but mistaken and that the world needs their kids.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123300278885916673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123299006900244486", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:52:07+00:00", "text": "@realsarahclark @GreyLeArt @elonmusk 😍 thanks Sarah! 😀", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123299006900244486", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123296261606662144", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:41:13+00:00", "text": "@drethelin @Aella_Girl I'd say having a semester+ of college w/ passing grades counts as a hs degree.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123296261606662144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123292852614778891", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:27:40+00:00", "text": "It's not really \"cool\" to settle for making any amount of money, unless one expects to make progress in an underappreciated cause area.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123292852614778891", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123292071970971649", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:24:34+00:00", "text": "The point I guess I am trying to say is that as long as we have good, enforceable laws that help set the left and right limits on ethical business behavior, we want to encourage people, in general, to make a lot of money and/or work in underappreciated cause areas.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123292071970971649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123290575585927168", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:18:37+00:00", "text": "The biggest exceptions, of course, are where people work on neglected, underappreciated cause areas. Future people and animals are not expressing their valuable preference in the economy with their dollar, so existential risk and animal suffering mitigators are exceptions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123290575585927168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123290573392228355", "created_at": "2019-04-30T18:18:37+00:00", "text": "Now rent-seeking & unethical business behavior exists and we can want profiteers of that in particular to lose & redistribute their wealth, but it's generally the case that ↑💰 ← ↑(preference satisfaction).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123290573392228355", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123278890653368320", "created_at": "2019-04-30T17:32:11+00:00", "text": "@kendraegle @rivatez One is still best off, in general, being vegan and working to end animal suffering through direct action and donating to effective animal welfare charities. My impression is that most hunters do not do animals a service.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123278890653368320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123277891989639168", "created_at": "2019-04-30T17:28:13+00:00", "text": "@kendraegle @rivatez Of course, many animals in many ecosystems (I'm not sure of the commonality of this) are not facing this unsustainability, so if one isn't careful about ensuring this is the case, it's basically just murder (if the animal has a net-positive life).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123277891989639168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123201476774461447", "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:24:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @patrickc: Does speed matter?\n\nhttps://t.co/EA2fUSrppr", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123201476774461447", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123200959822299137", "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:22:31+00:00", "text": "@ComedicBizman Calculated risks that maximize expected utility are great and if you aren't failing, you aren't trying. But also, some people (myself) are kind of overly risk tolerant and I feel like I have averted a lot of trouble by saying \"not this time\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123200959822299137", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123198558969184257", "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:12:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @hardmaru: A series of blog posts on applying machine learning to architecture\n\nExperiments: https://t.co/zhmOsAjeaE\nBackground: https:/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123198558969184257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123197235888578560", "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:07:43+00:00", "text": "@ProfRobAnderson @grescoe @Prof_Bruckner I feel like an optimally loaded train could be more efficient.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123197235888578560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123195741005058049", "created_at": "2019-04-30T12:01:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @complexnerve: @kvlly I think you meant to attach this image lol....... https://t.co/MhabKtZ5v7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123195741005058049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123100590085758977", "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:43:41+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ I'm down to talk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123100590085758977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123091183541133312", "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:06:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SethAbramson: 15/ Every day Congress fails to act, it *sends a message* to those Americans who believe in rule of law that the rules ha…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123091183541133312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123090690571931648", "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:04:21+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k Too many of us don't stop to think that maybe our sense of morality that doesn't fit Bayesian decision theory physics-based consequentialism is adequately described by evolutionary psychology.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123090690571931648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123089677454594053", "created_at": "2019-04-30T05:00:19+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k It's not terrible evidence that the average person is not well-versed in Bayesian probability, decision theory, and physics-based consequentalist ethics, but it's scary how few intellectuals come to these conclusions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123089677454594053", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123087284142780416", "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:50:49+00:00", "text": "@nathan_k Perhaps the majority of people do not believe that rules are heuristics and they don't share a developed understanding of consequentialism, so we can rarely even have a productive conversation about what is the real good.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123087284142780416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123080909945749504", "created_at": "2019-04-30T04:25:29+00:00", "text": "For this reason justice denies that the loss of freedom for some is made right by a greater good shared by others.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123080909945749504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123074476609089537", "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:59:55+00:00", "text": "@WKCosmo I think it is unethical to bear unnecessary personal risk:\nhttps://t.co/pfdqMRMA5b", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123074476609089537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123072917808586752", "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:53:43+00:00", "text": "@GreyLeArt @elonmusk By the way, this isn't usually an \"error\". It's just an error in the sense that the programmers didn't intend it in this instance and for Gandhi to become a raging jerk.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123072917808586752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1123071503577251840", "created_at": "2019-04-30T03:48:06+00:00", "text": "@GreyLeArt @elonmusk went to 0000 0000 and then back to 1111 1111. This is one of the many errors which sometimes arise in computing if programmers are not careful enough.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1123071503577251840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122727802556563457", "created_at": "2019-04-29T05:02:22+00:00", "text": "@fire__exit Ye must consider giving thy birch to thee who long for it!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122727802556563457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122696736542199808", "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:58:55+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher a high probability of recovery.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122696736542199808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122694533710528512", "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:50:10+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher we ought to invest the millions of $$ it costs to maintain decade+ comas into the next generation.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122694533710528512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122684779663634432", "created_at": "2019-04-29T02:11:24+00:00", "text": "@jordylancaster What happened to her?! I can't make out any pepper spray", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122684779663634432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122670118574620672", "created_at": "2019-04-29T01:13:09+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I felt the pressure at times w/ guys in the military and have faced ridicule several times from choosing vegetarian options, but I am comfortable enough in my own skin now that IDGAF. I welcome contempt actually because it opens the door for me to preach & call them out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122670118574620672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122636610481348608", "created_at": "2019-04-28T23:00:00+00:00", "text": "Why isn't infinite computation a feature of our world 😭", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122636610481348608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122614316723732486", "created_at": "2019-04-28T21:31:24+00:00", "text": "@upthebrude If those rich people didn't own the fossil fuel power plants (& other means of carbon emissions), the markets would have helped somebody else to, and those people would be rich instead. This is not a rich/poor person problem, but a collective problem of not passing carbon taxes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122614316723732486", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122586297195999234", "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:40:04+00:00", "text": "which is a scarce, finite resource, towards more cost-effective uses, like helping the next generation of people (children).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122586297195999234", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122578193557393408", "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:07:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @iiiitsandrea: @TheAnnaGat For real, let's discuss uncomfortable topics in civil ways anytime ✨", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122578193557393408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122577811368284160", "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:06:21+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave They do dilute the demand for factory farmed animal products, but to think we are doing these animals justice probably does detract from the pressure we should feel to research into drastically increasing the quality of their lives via genetic engineering & the like.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122577811368284160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122576930862190592", "created_at": "2019-04-28T19:02:51+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave To be clear, I rarely purchase animal products and am strongly against factory farming. I just genuinely don't know whether the few mom and pop farms where animals avg 1 acre each & have access to shelter should exist right now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122576930862190592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122575589393747968", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:57:31+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave methane* emissions", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122575589393747968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122573698396033030", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:50:00+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave IMO, the CO2 emissions make it so that these cows shouldn't exist. But what about pigs in a similar scenario? If I inherit the property and don't have the financial means to support them unless I sell them, is the world better off if I just leave the land a bare plot?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122573698396033030", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122572565002825729", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:45:30+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave A family member of mine has 10 cows on a large plot of land that he uses for beef. I agree that he should prioritize their well-being rather than his profit. However, they live lives about as good as it could get for a cow today up until the last day of their life.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122572565002825729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122571560177545219", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:41:30+00:00", "text": "@webmasterdave categorically not exist because humans enjoy eating them?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122571560177545219", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122568685581996033", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:30:05+00:00", "text": "@aliceandrews @DocGrawitch @paulbloomatyale Interesting! For the curious:\nhttps://t.co/0F8cPTEj4T https://t.co/aAMcdy5JKd", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122568685581996033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122566903266992128", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:23:00+00:00", "text": "fundamentally beyond our control. But this is at odds with the idea that decisions do matter ethically. I have more thinking to do on this. Decision theory is hard 😭", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122566903266992128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122566901798965251", "created_at": "2019-04-28T18:23:00+00:00", "text": "One may be inclined to say that since quantum mechanics is the fabric of reality, our \"decisions\" are just quantum mechanics playing out & have no effect on net ethical outcomes (in all worlds), so we shouldn't try to account for quantum mechanics in this sense because it's", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122566901798965251", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122561070156144641", "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:59:49+00:00", "text": "I know there is an absurd number of universes out there under MWI, but +1 util is a util whether or not infinite ethics exists. So if this decision criterion is true, applying it even once is ethically desirable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122561070156144641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122558220860628992", "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:48:30+00:00", "text": "@DocGrawitch @paulbloomatyale I want to be more charitable than that, but there is little moral+intellectual uncertainty and willingness to debate in many people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122558220860628992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122554679022489601", "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:34:26+00:00", "text": "and this might be the big if, we increase the rate of natural selection towards extinction & utopias (which could make up for the suffering along the way).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122554679022489601", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122554677676138496", "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:34:25+00:00", "text": "radioactive decay w/ 66% odds? We may not always be prioritizing this observable world, but we appropriately(?) increase the variance of outcomes, which, if futures with extinction are more likely then futures with net-suffering,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122554677676138496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122546519717089280", "created_at": "2019-04-28T17:02:00+00:00", "text": "@rishmishra It's interesting, but the sacrifice may be worth it in the utilititarian sense. Many startup do produce a lot of value for society. It's not like one is getting addicted to some solitary pleasure with few positive externalities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122546519717089280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122544089835155458", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:52:21+00:00", "text": "@ABC placesIWantToMoveTo[New Zealand] -= 1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122544089835155458", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122542471190327297", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:45:55+00:00", "text": "@paulbloomatyale It's not even like these people are often forgiven and taken back in by the group demanding the apology anyway (I think).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122542471190327297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122541253877538816", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:41:05+00:00", "text": "Sorry, this claim might be false. 39% of new romantic relationships clearly start online now. It may be true because 13% more respondents said they met via a restaurant/bar, which I think may mostly be where they decided to meet somebody they met online first.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122541253877538816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122536144183468032", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:20:47+00:00", "text": "Of course, why they are physically less secure comes into question. If they are just a small person financially dependent for good reasons, that's one thing. If they are homeless (very physically insecure) because of poor decision making, that's another heuristic in itself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122536144183468032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122534356013207553", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:13:40+00:00", "text": "If so, another heuristic for true beliefs may exist: beliefs outside the Overton window by people with less physical security are more likely to be true (in the Bayesian sense), because these people probably did more careful information processing to end up actually holding them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122534356013207553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122533110732742658", "created_at": "2019-04-28T16:08:43+00:00", "text": "Do bigger/stronger/richer people hold less socially-acceptable opinions because they perceive their survival as less at risk by holding them?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122533110732742658", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122528977351073792", "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:52:18+00:00", "text": "This isn't saying I don't have great in person relationships btw. They are great & rewarding too. There is just obviously incentive to hold back talking about stuff that may be too far outside the Overton window.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122528977351073792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122527298723483650", "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:45:38+00:00", "text": "Mutual self-disclosure leads to psychological intimacy after all. There is, of course, some quantitative arguments for this. There are far more people at the edges of one's social network. A soured/expired/never-formed relationship w/ a distant person isn't remembered as much", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122527298723483650", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1122527300472455174", "created_at": "2019-04-28T15:45:38+00:00", "text": "as the same w/ someone one encounters regularly. This especially applies to dating. It's no wonder the majority of new romantic relationships start online now.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1122527300472455174", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121843576021889024", "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:28:46+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist they had a very utilitous use for the money (e.g. giving it to AMF). A partial pay up is probably desirable to help preserve that shared social trust and collective good faith in others, which is so valuable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121843576021889024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121842813572923393", "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:25:44+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist The utility aspect actually seems intuitive. If the hiker is very poor and the cabin owner seems to be very rich, the money is probably worth more to the hiker, and they could just leave an apology note. If the reverse is true, the hiker should at least partially pay up unless", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121842813572923393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121840603573248000", "created_at": "2019-04-26T18:16:57+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist of public trust that the cabin owner is expected to experience. For example, the cabin owner may lock their cabin and not provide that potential shelter for someone in the future.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121840603573248000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121763238956478465", "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:32+00:00", "text": "They will mishear what you say. \"Officer, with all due respect, I will not answer questions from you.\" If they say, \"you aren't talking because you are hiding something\", say, \"Respectfully, the reason I am not talking is that the US Constitution says that for any reason,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121763238956478465", "word_count": 47 }, { "id": "1121763239921160192", "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:32+00:00", "text": "you cannot compel me to talk, and you are not to infer guilt or innocence from my silence.\"\n\nLonger talk on this: https://t.co/NOofylWiqK", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121763239921160192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121763237870043146", "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:31+00:00", "text": "with my attorney?\"\n\nJust say \"no\" when asked for permission (e.g. to open your trunk). Be polite. Do as you are ordered, but make sure you are working with an unconditional command.\n\nThe police are not your friends. They can lie. Don't even provide a rock-solid alibi.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121763237870043146", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121763236699889664", "created_at": "2019-04-26T13:09:31+00:00", "text": "An important concept to remember:\n\n\"How to Handle the Police Until You Get a Lawyer\" (in the US)\n\nhttps://\nyoutube.com/watch?v=bmtIiz\nXdh88\n…\nBottom line: Shut up and don't talk to the police. Give your name & date of birth. Ask your legal status. Ask, \"Why did you stop me?\" and \"When can I speak", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1121763236699889664", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1121577759497687041", "created_at": "2019-04-26T00:52:30+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ risk of extinction. So if there is a 1% chance of extinction per year and a 1.05% growth rate starting at 7.7 billion people, then we should assume X amount of people will live in the future at any particular point in time. I am working in a spread sheet!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121577759497687041", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121563566123945984", "created_at": "2019-04-25T23:56:06+00:00", "text": "👌👌\nhttps://t.co/OFhBUqKyxd", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121563566123945984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121525505268776981", "created_at": "2019-04-25T21:24:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SethAbramson: BREAKING NEWS: A NYT article, echoing claims made on this feed, has stated correctly—for the first time—what the Mueller…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121525505268776981", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121525222862196736", "created_at": "2019-04-25T21:23:44+00:00", "text": "@hyperplanes Now that's contrarian", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121525222862196736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121388942065111040", "created_at": "2019-04-25T12:22:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @dailystoic: \"If anyone can refute me—show me I’m making a mistake or looking at things from the wrong perspective—I’ll gladly change. I…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121388942065111040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121383512681140225", "created_at": "2019-04-25T12:00:38+00:00", "text": "@wgchristmas @s_r_constantin I think there are good explanations on why these bets haven't become widespread, but also plausible explanations why the can and should.\nhttps://t.co/m6VeRP1lpF\nhttps://t.co/syjN9Snhz3", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121383512681140225", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121297685418577920", "created_at": "2019-04-25T06:19:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @_DanielSinclair: Here's a video of a Chimpanzee using Instagram. It's eye-opening. https://t.co/FEfIgQSGa6 https://t.co/d9AjhfPNN1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121297685418577920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121289545461444608", "created_at": "2019-04-25T05:47:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @forsoothic: @EvanWard97 @s_r_constantin Funding agencies should make small counter-bets against every study; if the study isn't overtur…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121289545461444608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121275902585921536", "created_at": "2019-04-25T04:53:02+00:00", "text": "@s_r_constantin Also, scientists should be willing to bet money with certain odds that their work won't be overturned over an X length period.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121275902585921536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121133249865109505", "created_at": "2019-04-24T19:26:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: Debt is servitude to a far, far greater degree than equity. Income-sharing agreements are far, far less \"slavery\" than stu…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121133249865109505", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1121009234144055296", "created_at": "2019-04-24T11:13:23+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils Damn rip", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1121009234144055296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120912035569704963", "created_at": "2019-04-24T04:47:09+00:00", "text": "@fire__exit https://t.co/y54VokGMrF", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120912035569704963", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120834504686473216", "created_at": "2019-04-23T23:39:04+00:00", "text": "@jeffpoulos @CEPData @philxbuchanan @Philanthropy_MA @bostonfdn What's your take on effective altruism? How are GiveWell's recommended charities interpreted by CEP? I'm just curious.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120834504686473216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120833621030518784", "created_at": "2019-04-23T23:35:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bad_packets: @MalwareTechBlog If you get forced to the new Twitter UI, you can opt-out via this URL: https://t.co/aCsvXVq9zX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120833621030518784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120820119364620288", "created_at": "2019-04-23T22:41:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SteveStuWill: Well this is kinda humbling: The Milky Way compared to the largest galaxy in the known universe... 😮 https://t.co/zaeiktd…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120820119364620288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120778287364673536", "created_at": "2019-04-23T19:55:41+00:00", "text": "@KellyLevenda Sure thing 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120778287364673536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120544614405083136", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:27:09+00:00", "text": "@ntaylor963 @TriversRobert They didn't even talk about that as a possibility!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120544614405083136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120543951323316224", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:24:31+00:00", "text": "@NASAEarth This photo bothers me a lot.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120543951323316224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120542418733023237", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:18:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lymanstoneky: We would 100% be better off finding ways to reduce enrollment years than finding ways to increase them. https://t.co/rN7W…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120542418733023237", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120540092131684353", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:09:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: One of my favorite subreddits, r/ChangeMyView, just moved to a new site: https://t.co/ydrycVnSu9\nThey use a cool incentive…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120540092131684353", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120539853521850368", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:08:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @lpolovets: Thinking out loud: as income share agreements (ISAs) gain popularity as a college financing option, they'll also become a li…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120539853521850368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120538703615729665", "created_at": "2019-04-23T04:03:40+00:00", "text": "cheaper online certificates (e.g. via MOOCs) & certificates to be earned by in-person testing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120538703615729665", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120493867671932928", "created_at": "2019-04-23T01:05:30+00:00", "text": "@ceesay257 No integrity here 😒", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120493867671932928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120398396957843456", "created_at": "2019-04-22T18:46:08+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist I do it all the time. Example: I really like cycling in new routes & am personally willing to bear the risk on a few particularly dangerous routes (no shoulders & higher speed traffic), but considering my expected future impact via earning to give, I stick to routine safer routes", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120398396957843456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120364365935468544", "created_at": "2019-04-22T16:30:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sfera314: #proofwithoutwords\nDuring a gravitational elliptic orbit, the path traced by tip of the velocity vectors (collected together…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120364365935468544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120284793223225344", "created_at": "2019-04-22T11:14:43+00:00", "text": "@RealJPaulRead @Aella_Girl You are trying to make a claim about a population w/ 2 data points.\nThere is evidence:\nhttps://t.co/XpLqRtAn4q", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120284793223225344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120226347589275648", "created_at": "2019-04-22T07:22:28+00:00", "text": "@RealJPaulRead @Aella_Girl Just because there are two possible outcomes from an event doesn't mean they are equally likely. Seat belts usually save lives. Higher IQ usually leads to better socioeconomic outcomes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120226347589275648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120186021579243520", "created_at": "2019-04-22T04:42:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulbloomatyale: I've been noticing a lot of tweets of the form: \"Tell me about when someone said you couldn't do something and then yo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120186021579243520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120148211014995968", "created_at": "2019-04-22T02:11:59+00:00", "text": "@sh_reya Insofar as grief helps you avoid repeating a past mistake, and anxiety helps you avoid a pressing problem, then I'd argue that they are good.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120148211014995968", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120050515742789632", "created_at": "2019-04-21T19:43:47+00:00", "text": "@JMannhart 😆", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120050515742789632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120029270116532224", "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:19:21+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils Sweet! I'm interested to hear how it works out for you. I might recommend this to more people", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120029270116532224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120028850241638405", "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:17:41+00:00", "text": "I don't think NNT knows what healthy discourse looks like.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120028850241638405", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120028739520356352", "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:17:15+00:00", "text": "If you are also blocked by NNT: https://t.co/aEJ18SLIRr", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120028739520356352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120025014424809483", "created_at": "2019-04-21T18:02:27+00:00", "text": "For the record, I posted this: https://t.co/KWN4C3RCK3", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120025014424809483", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120020251377381376", "created_at": "2019-04-21T17:43:31+00:00", "text": "@nntaleb Google has done as much good for society as any company. I don't know why people are hating. If you think eliminating mosquitos is overly dangerous, then you have to argue that and be willing to tolerate 1 million deaths a year + 700 million bouts of mosquito-borne illness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120020251377381376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1120008834393808897", "created_at": "2019-04-21T16:58:09+00:00", "text": "Ideally one gets enough sleep where one can wake up naturally, but this isn't always the case.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1120008834393808897", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119816823082553344", "created_at": "2019-04-21T04:15:10+00:00", "text": "up 210 points when I took it again after 2 years while I was enlisted & applying for West Point. One idea I have is that exposure to effective altruism sort of gave my mind an ideal I could continuously come back to (serving as a bedrock) & this helped me explore idea space with", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119816823082553344", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119816824412168192", "created_at": "2019-04-21T04:15:10+00:00", "text": "more focus. I.e. I started evaluating a lot of things more critically through cost-benefit analyses in the interest of social impact and this gave me more focus and my life more meaning. How can we better promote an intellectual culture and human rationality in society?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119816824412168192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119732982812741632", "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:42:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webdevMason: @KevinSimler I really see what we're doing to most kids in school as equivalent to a nonsurgical lobotomy — I think it lik…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119732982812741632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119730818031792129", "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:33:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KellyLevenda: Because #fishes lack faces like ours, we assume they don't have feelings. We can't hear #fish cry out, so we interpret th…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119730818031792129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119730197094334465", "created_at": "2019-04-20T22:30:57+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear What's the most neglected area of my life, and how can I make progress on this over the next 30 minutes?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119730197094334465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119327808638148610", "created_at": "2019-04-19T19:52:00+00:00", "text": "The results dropped. 4,852 teams for problem E. https://t.co/aBXENDC0Xu", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119327808638148610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119289637447655426", "created_at": "2019-04-19T17:20:19+00:00", "text": "@christylove0809 Hey Honorable Mention is not bad at all. It's a tough competition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119289637447655426", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119264378715615235", "created_at": "2019-04-19T15:39:57+00:00", "text": "@BiruckAnmaw Internalizing a love of contrarian ideas that randomly comes up can be good for exploring idea-space thoroughly but efficiently. It's like doing your part to execute a genetic algorithm.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119264378715615235", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119072042396061696", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:55:40+00:00", "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 I'm too tired to explain myself further. Have a good night.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119072042396061696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119071075483234304", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:51:50+00:00", "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 every given circumstance. I have reason to believe that if we ignore felicific calculus and side with our pre-conceived rules, we will miss out on capturing the vast majority of value in the universe.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119071075483234304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119070563153195009", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:49:48+00:00", "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 a sufficiently rational information processing system, derive a more correct answer. I can doubt people's ability to do this, and urge them to give special weight to heuristics like \"tolerance\" and \"non-violence\", but that by no means means those are optimal courses of action in", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119070563153195009", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119070176882974722", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:48:16+00:00", "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 updating. There is no escaping cost-benefit analysis. It's simply a feature of how our world works, and how to end up at optimal decisions. There is no reason morality should have the answers before doing the cost-benefit analysis. More information processing will always, in", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119070176882974722", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119068887155396608", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:43:08+00:00", "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 It's really not. Cost-benefit analysis is just information processing. You can't consistently derive a more correct answer w/ less information and information processing. The only ethical theory that permits maximum information processing is Bayesian utilitarianism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119068887155396608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119068302649778176", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:40:49+00:00", "text": "@TheMig29 @Digital_Pimp @EPoe187 Your argument about Marxism doesn't work. The underlying theory to Marxism is worse than that of capitalism. There is no reason to think it could be more efficient at allocating resources optimally.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119068302649778176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119066196958162946", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:32:27+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @igorbobic: Mueller: “The President’s efforts to influence the investigation were mostly unsuccessful, but that is largely because the p…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119066196958162946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119064974490525696", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:27:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @washingtonpost: After Trump learned that Mueller had been appointed by then Attorney General Jeff Sessions, Trump slumped back in his c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119064974490525696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119063278095880192", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:20:51+00:00", "text": "@NathanMFranz Thanks! You don't have to read the whole thing! It's not perfectly polished- just the best we could crank out in 99 hours.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119063278095880192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119058239273033730", "created_at": "2019-04-19T02:00:49+00:00", "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 But given people's intelligence and general inability to do solid felicific calculus, the utilitarian answer (probably) is to continue to promote heuristics like \"don't steal\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119058239273033730", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119055864151904257", "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:51:23+00:00", "text": "@NathanMFranz https://t.co/ywuUU5nyZD\nIt was about putting a price on the ecological impact of land-use projects! I am happy it did so well in part because our solution was based on so many concepts that I love like Georgism, utilitarianism, QALYs, prediction markets, etc.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119055864151904257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119053362627059713", "created_at": "2019-04-19T01:41:27+00:00", "text": "@Digital_Pimp @TheMig29 @EPoe187 Don't confuse the formal decision-making structure with the application. Shitty application of pseudo-utilitarianism doesn't say anything about the optimality of the abstract ethical decision-making structure that Bayesian utilitarianism is. https://t.co/cpSJLft6fE", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119053362627059713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119030780058112000", "created_at": "2019-04-19T00:11:43+00:00", "text": "@leftkist Just submitted an FBI tip", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119030780058112000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1119024479852589056", "created_at": "2019-04-18T23:46:41+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist Oh he's got a backup job (attorney). I bet that helps him express his views", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1119024479852589056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118928150501756929", "created_at": "2019-04-18T17:23:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SethAbramson: (MUELLER REPORT LIVE THREAD) This thread chronicles—in real time—the release of the Mueller Report, with news and analysi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118928150501756929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118852624755908608", "created_at": "2019-04-18T12:23:47+00:00", "text": "I just end up checking for the results like every several hours.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118852624755908608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118726877471019008", "created_at": "2019-04-18T04:04:07+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ When I can't meditate and want to, I do breath holds and breathing exercises instead. Nothing anchors the thoughts like not breathing haha", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118726877471019008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118380458415357954", "created_at": "2019-04-17T05:07:34+00:00", "text": "@Emmyjewel I think I have only had a religious person try to save me from eternal damnation once in the last 5 years. They either don't tale the implications of their beliefs seriously (which I am actually thankful for), don't actually believe in scripture, or don't care much about others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118380458415357954", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118285370188345351", "created_at": "2019-04-16T22:49:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Altimor: The US: *gold and diamonds falling from the sky* no more, no more! Please! Think of our mining industry! https://t.co/UBUhxSOg…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118285370188345351", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118233718441893888", "created_at": "2019-04-16T19:24:28+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear 🐪→🦁", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118233718441893888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118223789874122752", "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:45:01+00:00", "text": "@abayesbae In case you are not familiar with it, effective altruism is probably the most comprehensive and (I believe) least dogmatic philosophical approach/movement to doing this: https://t.co/ueWChFTAFR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118223789874122752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118222760172503043", "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:40:56+00:00", "text": "@abayesbae It's just utilitarianism! I want to maximize the well-being of conscious creatures without over-prioritizing those of a particular time or place. I just prefer using welfare economics terminology sometimes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118222760172503043", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118213340696854528", "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:03:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: \"...if we sum up the negative experiences of all wild animals, their sheer number – trillions to quintillions, depending on…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118213340696854528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118213212476985345", "created_at": "2019-04-16T18:02:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webmasterdave: My best guess is that whole-brain emulation is impossible.\nI could be completely mistaken!\n(cf. https://t.co/LeShkstmZB)…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118213212476985345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1118007134992633856", "created_at": "2019-04-16T04:24:07+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets I'm glad to hear that!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1118007134992633856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117997816503263233", "created_at": "2019-04-16T03:47:05+00:00", "text": "@ciphergoth @ne0liberal Sounds Georgist to me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117997816503263233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117996637161500672", "created_at": "2019-04-16T03:42:24+00:00", "text": "@sashintweets It seems like a difficult systemic problem to fix. But it does bother me. https://t.co/JKu8NHT0KN cost like $1000 so I am left with using a .org", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117996637161500672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117654634934484993", "created_at": "2019-04-15T05:03:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: Sew one button, doesn't make u a tailor; cook one meal, doesn't make u a chef; but f* one horse and u r a horsef*er for all o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117654634934484993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117542883937148931", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:39:21+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MatjazLeonardis: Why school will always be boring. \n\nThread. 1/4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117542883937148931", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117542188861272064", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:36:35+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Suppose you found someone who was about to be killed by a random process (lacking intelligence) and you can press a button to stop it. If you have plenty of time to deliberate pressing the button and decide not to, you might as well have facilitated their death yourself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117542188861272064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117540988413722625", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:31:49+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose between killing and not saving.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117540988413722625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117539308091650049", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:25:08+00:00", "text": "@csilverandgold Depends on the sources and inputs of entropy into the simulation. No entropy. == same thing again & again.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117539308091650049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117537673349083136", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:18:38+00:00", "text": "@scotthickle @robinhanson So long as you are doing worthwhile work and avoiding burnout, I don't see a limit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117537673349083136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117537116400046080", "created_at": "2019-04-14T21:16:26+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose complicated utility function because its description is very short. The longer the length of an argument, the more evidence you need to back it up (Occam's Razor).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117537116400046080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117532748221231105", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:59:04+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose FYI you can always reason with a true utilitarian about what a proper course of action is, but for people with that haven't pinned down the decision theory behind their morality, such open debate often isn't possible.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117532748221231105", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117528930355961857", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:43:54+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose It seems pretty permissible to me. But don't worry! In real life, where social trust is an incredibly important phenomena and where you pretty much couldn't harvest organs against a will without breaking said social trust en mass, utilitarianism wouldn't prescribe to do it!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117528930355961857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117528418940334080", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:41:52+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose supply the organs. And these scientists are about to all do Nobel prize-winning work. They are months away from discovery. They need organs through either getting shot or cancer, despite living supremely healthy lives. Is it really that bad then to harvest the organs?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117528418940334080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117526814308667392", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:35:29+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose Perhaps that would feel wrong to most people, but what reasons would they bring to the table? We have to formalize our intuitions here.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117526814308667392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117525877502480385", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:31:46+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose It may seem that utilitarianism is unhelpful because it spits out now clear answers but we must reason carefully for them instead, but I'd argue that personally accepting any unproven rules (e.g. 'do not ever deceive anyone') is far more dangerous and costly over the long term.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117525877502480385", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117525323174772736", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:29:34+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose feels akin to the satisfaction of proving something in mathematics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117525323174772736", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117525147383152645", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:28:52+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose which courses of action are optimal, but the only fair way to debate is via cost-benefit analysis. It's possible there are times when using utilitarianism where we may have to bite a bullet, but if we are sufficiently rational, accepting the output of cost-benefit analysis", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117525147383152645", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117524312465059842", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:25:33+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose No one can truly speak on behalf of utilitarianism. It's an abstract model for decision making, and almost always computationally intractable to know the true utilitarian answer in any real-world problem. So utilitarianism allows for continuous, highly nuanced debate about", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117524312465059842", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117523752579891200", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:23:19+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose that clearly would not be the utilitarian thing to do.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117523752579891200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117520528024199175", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:10:31+00:00", "text": "@oppressed111222 @AreoMagazine @HPluckrose What objections are you referring to? How are these objections evaluated?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117520528024199175", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117518314715136001", "created_at": "2019-04-14T20:01:43+00:00", "text": "@AreoMagazine @HPluckrose warrants subscription. We get religion when people start to think of belief as an action and a choice rather than an impersonal process based on the consideration of a sum of evidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117518314715136001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117511927444463621", "created_at": "2019-04-14T19:36:20+00:00", "text": "@xriskology I think the simulation argument is true, but I am doubtful that simulation of ancestral environments is possible. I think we could end up producing a lot of consciousness via computronium, but it seems much more difficult & less ethically desirable to simulate our past.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117511927444463621", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117255935477653504", "created_at": "2019-04-14T02:39:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nihilistspicer: whenever a driver almost kills me while I'm on my bike, I go immediately from like level 2-3 to level 6. nothing gets c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117255935477653504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117199772035817472", "created_at": "2019-04-13T22:55:56+00:00", "text": "@a_centrism Would have been nice of Dawkins to cite a particular paper than vaguely reference a dozen+ books", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117199772035817472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117157701128269824", "created_at": "2019-04-13T20:08:46+00:00", "text": "@a_centrism This makes sense to me but can you provide a link to the source?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117157701128269824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117156338113699842", "created_at": "2019-04-13T20:03:21+00:00", "text": "@robkhenderson Our ability to deceive even ourselves has probably been evolutionarily advantageous. Kevin Simler and Robin Hanson write about this in https://t.co/BhIOnfcHmT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117156338113699842", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1117146945049571329", "created_at": "2019-04-13T19:26:01+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary Related:\nhttps://t.co/kasZlR7qa7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1117146945049571329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116897451846381569", "created_at": "2019-04-13T02:54:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @aronvallinder: Know any promising econ or philosophy undergrads interested in global priorities research? Tell them about our thesis pr…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116897451846381569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116894858520793088", "created_at": "2019-04-13T02:44:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @farnamstreet: So much advantage in life comes from being willing to look like an idiot over the short term.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116894858520793088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116491336989970433", "created_at": "2019-04-12T00:00:52+00:00", "text": "@coldxman Free will isn't even metaphysically possible. It's just a vague feeling in our brains that \"I could do otherwise\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116491336989970433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116486583627276288", "created_at": "2019-04-11T23:41:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SteveStuWill: The true scale of the universe. Mind-blowing. https://t.co/rA9HMyHRki", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116486583627276288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116480711249281025", "created_at": "2019-04-11T23:18:39+00:00", "text": "@ajplus The only ethically relevant thing we can do now is help those alive today who we can help most. With our limited resources, I think we should help those most urgently needing help, who we can help the most per dollar. That generally means helping those in extreme poverty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116480711249281025", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116419186685820928", "created_at": "2019-04-11T19:14:10+00:00", "text": "@mizroba wut does that even mean", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116419186685820928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116413194539536384", "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:50:22+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl @mesolude I presume I need to be aware just how bad suffering can get in order to be adequately motivated to reduce it. It's only 5 minutes with a potential for a life-time of increased philanthropy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116413194539536384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116412014467747845", "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:45:40+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl A speed limit of 45 mph has real harmful effects on productivity, which translates to reduced economic growth, well-being, and our prospects at ensuring we survive so that trillions of future beings can live. The racism would also lead to much psychological pain for many people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116412014467747845", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116410794038779904", "created_at": "2019-04-11T18:40:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @bgreene: It is hard to express how utterly remarkable and astoundingly delightful it is that mathematical scribblings can predict somet…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116410794038779904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116335513819070469", "created_at": "2019-04-11T13:41:41+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear They also get easier when one's rewarding neurotransmitters aren't spent elsewhere. E.g. I bet a lot more people would ravenously read through a calculus textbook if they were waiting for a long time in an empty room than if they just got home from a party.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116335513819070469", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116310221369036801", "created_at": "2019-04-11T12:01:11+00:00", "text": "I don't know officially where economists stand in regards to UBI, but I bet it would increase the intellectual productivity of independent researchers a lot. ~100,000 Americans would instantly be able to spend significantly more time thinking about important, neglected problems.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1116310221369036801", "word_count": 41 }, { "id": "1116304906007252993", "created_at": "2019-04-11T11:40:04+00:00", "text": "@JamesClear Humanity is at that precarious line of intelligence where it barely realizes it needs far more intelligence to solve its problems.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116304906007252993", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116197932020191233", "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00", "text": "As soon as I played a song and explained my situation, she said I could practice what I wanted to independent of the class. Considering this, all the attention I received from my new peers (my skills were nothing special back at my arts school),", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116197932020191233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116197932586418177", "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00", "text": "the endorphins that I felt from bike racing 10 miles to school right before this, and the fact that I started using caffeine for the first time regularly in my life led my 17-year-old head to swell like crazy in this class. I was drunk off of ego intoxication.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116197932586418177", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116197933244977152", "created_at": "2019-04-11T04:34:59+00:00", "text": "I don't know what the moral of the story is, except that catering to evolutionary drives can be one hell of a drug.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116197933244977152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116159187841683457", "created_at": "2019-04-11T02:01:02+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ https://t.co/WTM7UOXbbc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116159187841683457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116156571229335558", "created_at": "2019-04-11T01:50:38+00:00", "text": "@thewiseturtle @cosimia_ I don't think your condescending tweet is going to change her priors much considering evidence like Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis. Come back when you have a solution for dealing with future agential risks.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116156571229335558", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116019104979267585", "created_at": "2019-04-10T16:44:23+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I feel like atheism only became somewhat of a sexy dogma to get behind in the West since the Cult of Reason during the French Revolution. Before it was sexy, religion was people's only option in front of them, and denying that took either extraordinary stupidity or rationality.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116019104979267585", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1116016141179260928", "created_at": "2019-04-10T16:32:37+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 diluted*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1116016141179260928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115976789204045827", "created_at": "2019-04-10T13:56:15+00:00", "text": "@GabbyMcNabb @Aella_Girl I mean unless they earned it in an extremely fair way (e.g. using fair division with all parties involved), I don't know if it was entirely their land.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115976789204045827", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115828884770050048", "created_at": "2019-04-10T04:08:31+00:00", "text": "@SuperMugatu I used to think it was permissible to focus purely on self-overcoming and bettering myself as an end in itself. Now I try to focus only on ideas and skills necessary to max. net-expected welfare. A lot of self-development steals energy from this goal.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115828884770050048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115718868247502857", "created_at": "2019-04-09T20:51:21+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl What gave Joe the right to the land in the first place?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115718868247502857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115653761534431234", "created_at": "2019-04-09T16:32:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @devonzuegel: We are not in the high-tech business. We are in the human communication business. https://t.co/uVIQPOklqG", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115653761534431234", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115441361342402560", "created_at": "2019-04-09T02:28:39+00:00", "text": "@Rainmaker1973 How high off the ground is this? Is the chain only falling to a surface just out of view?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115441361342402560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115440802799419393", "created_at": "2019-04-09T02:26:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Rainmaker1973: The physics behind this phenomenon, called \"chain fountain\", is non-trivial & not yet entirely understood https://t.co/L…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115440802799419393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115396033708736513", "created_at": "2019-04-08T23:28:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robkhenderson: “We view a behavior as more correct to the degree we see others performing it. Whether the question is what to do with a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115396033708736513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115054008379629575", "created_at": "2019-04-08T00:49:26+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Rainmaker1973: Though this octopus may appear deep in sleep, its skin is wide awake. So, does the color display mean that it's dreaming…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115054008379629575", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115048819576705024", "created_at": "2019-04-08T00:28:49+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Rationality by @ESYudkowsky", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115048819576705024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1115039779517759490", "created_at": "2019-04-07T23:52:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MRJKilcoyne: Build more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBuild more houses🏘️\nBu…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1115039779517759490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1114863214829789184", "created_at": "2019-04-07T12:11:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JamesClear: First, search widely.\n\nThen, eliminate ruthlessly.\n\nFinally, work obsessively on what remains.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1114863214829789184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1114259062160420864", "created_at": "2019-04-05T20:10:37+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Let's just hope the academics can spend the money better then they could have otherwise.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1114259062160420864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1114199130916581376", "created_at": "2019-04-05T16:12:28+00:00", "text": "@Sighsyphus @ErrorTheorist I thought he was going to argue to reduce the sentences because the lost societal benefits of otherwise productive drunk drivers probably outweighs the extra people who would die.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1114199130916581376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113969177985871872", "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:58:43+00:00", "text": "@Crit_Rat @cosimia_ Many worlds interpretation may not be true", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113969177985871872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113968931008536576", "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:57:44+00:00", "text": "@cosimia_ @computerfact That's awesome!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113968931008536576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113954909856997376", "created_at": "2019-04-05T00:02:01+00:00", "text": "@computerfact @cosimia_ Computers are so right. Programming forces one to actually think logically and precisely", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113954909856997376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113899010513821697", "created_at": "2019-04-04T20:19:54+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego Agential risks > state risks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113899010513821697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113892487024660480", "created_at": "2019-04-04T19:53:58+00:00", "text": "@RubinReport Liberty is a good heuristic for desirable qualia until technology advances to the point where individual agents are an existential threat. Then security reigns.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113892487024660480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113487309771485184", "created_at": "2019-04-03T17:03:56+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist Studying ethics has made me a better person. I am much more diligent about calculating the impact of what I do now. I live much more deliberately because it's more clear how much value is at stake.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113487309771485184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113232170007572480", "created_at": "2019-04-03T00:10:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robkhenderson: -Children looked at photos of 2 people \n\n-Then chose who they preferred to be captain of a ship\n\n-The 2 people were poli…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113232170007572480", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113226032268681216", "created_at": "2019-04-02T23:45:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jadenkore: How much of learning is just having the confidence to ask stupid questions?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113226032268681216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113208001995923457", "created_at": "2019-04-02T22:34:04+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @paulbaumgart: “...following the scent of interestingness *is* justified precisely because we don’t know the structure of the search spa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113208001995923457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113129143934337024", "created_at": "2019-04-02T17:20:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Evolving_Ego: The first rule of human club is that you hold views you can justify to your own group. \n\nThis is mostly a problem only wh…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113129143934337024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113124449178529793", "created_at": "2019-04-02T17:02:04+00:00", "text": "($29 is the WHO's estimation at the cost to avert a statistical DALY through insecticide-treated bed nets)\nhttps://t.co/53IKvUQlVZ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113124449178529793", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1113120825975214090", "created_at": "2019-04-02T16:47:40+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary Georgism!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1113120825975214090", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1112511374419202049", "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:25:55+00:00", "text": "@beka_valentine ..physical pain. I just don't think the probability is that high at all, whereas the probability of reducing very real physical pain is very high.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1112511374419202049", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1112511095779049472", "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:24:49+00:00", "text": "@beka_valentine If you can substantiate your claim @beka_valentine, I am all ears. I know I have an equal burden to look at the probability and disutility of slavery when deciding whether to move forward in promoting the copying of this woman's special genes that lead to a reduction in..", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1112511095779049472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1112507600380354561", "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:10:55+00:00", "text": "@beka_valentine Who says this woman still doesn't experience emotional pain and strong preferences? Her moral status is unquestionable to anyone who would give a damn about ethics.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1112507600380354561", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1112507099001556995", "created_at": "2019-04-01T00:08:56+00:00", "text": "@beka_valentine As if someone able and interested in enslaving many people against their will would likely care a lot about the degree of physical pain they felt. It's not like factory farms exist where billions of animals suffer daily- oh wait.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1112507099001556995", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1112014561119555586", "created_at": "2019-03-30T15:31:46+00:00", "text": "Watch out for cognitively expensive, low value thought patterns. The space of possibly entertaining thoughts is enormous, but the space of plausibly useful thoughts is much smaller. Civilizations (in the majority of possible worlds) with little of the latter don't make it.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1112014561119555586", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "1111835075010850816", "created_at": "2019-03-30T03:38:33+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl It has to huurrt for me to cry from physical pain whereas it's doesn't take a ton of emotional pain if I am willing to cry", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1111835075010850816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1111728452338622465", "created_at": "2019-03-29T20:34:52+00:00", "text": "@TheAnnaGat Being charismatic", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1111728452338622465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1111702193323851776", "created_at": "2019-03-29T18:50:31+00:00", "text": "@folksy_sean Many more people want to live in NYC than there are apartments in NYC. Do we want to decide who gets to live there on a purely first come, first serve basis and cap rent prices, or do we want to allow those who produce the most value (as proxied by income) stay there?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1111702193323851776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1111465463194832896", "created_at": "2019-03-29T03:09:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: The best altruist cause: institution innovation. Adapting simple ideas to complex social contexts is neglected by academia…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1111465463194832896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1111059671639617536", "created_at": "2019-03-28T00:17:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @herbivore_club: \"Climate Action Now!\"\n*Eats meat\"\n\n\"Don't abuse antibiotics\"\n*Eats meat*\n\n\"Don't waste water\"\n*Eats meat*\n\n\"Feed the wo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1111059671639617536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110721290225307648", "created_at": "2019-03-27T01:52:46+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @page_eco: Why are conspiracy theories so successful?\n\nFor our ancestors, it may have been adaptive to be overly suspicious of possible…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110721290225307648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110695999071285250", "created_at": "2019-03-27T00:12:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @page_eco: I put 3 tokens in a hat: \n\n- One with both sides blue.🔵\n- One with both sides red. 🔴\n- One with one side blue 🔵and the other…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110695999071285250", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110633425193574400", "created_at": "2019-03-26T20:03:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: Are we in the midst of an ongoing moral catastrophe? https://t.co/24vBnLJjQP\n\nThere is a very good chance that those of who are…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110633425193574400", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110557187108192258", "created_at": "2019-03-26T15:00:41+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan This model satisfies my intuitions about the varying success of crowd-based intelligence (e.g. prediction markets) and deferrment to experts.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110557187108192258", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110556485048766464", "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:57:53+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan I guess what I am really trying to get at is that a better metric may be, which side has more computations of unique sets of relevant information? This settles the dilemma between quantity of people between groups and each group's average intellectual horsepower.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110556485048766464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110555412229697537", "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:53:38+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan but when disagreements remain (because people are irrational and hold lots of ill-explained intuitions), a better decisive factor *might* exist than which side has more people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110555412229697537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110555191504523264", "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:52:45+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan Going off of just a popular vote amongst economists risks not giving appropriate weight to more evolved, rarer mindsets (if IQ is correlated with holding true-beliefs). Obviously, debate followed by universal agreement is preferable before deciding policy,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110555191504523264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110551286888521728", "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:37:14+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan I know it's a repugnant idea as it violates our traditional ideal of fairness and equality, but this may lead to better outcomes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110551286888521728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110549616850857985", "created_at": "2019-03-26T14:30:36+00:00", "text": "@toddkashdan If, as a voter, I know little about economics, don't have the time or capability to learn, and want to know where I should stand in regards to say, UBI, a better metric than nothing may just be to look at the IQ spreads of Ph.D. economists in the two camps of yea or nay.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110549616850857985", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110529802803523584", "created_at": "2019-03-26T13:11:52+00:00", "text": "A strong correlation wouldn't neglect the need for open debate. It might just provide a useful shortcut, for say, relatively uninformed voters to decide which fiscal policies they should vote for.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110529802803523584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110499649473994752", "created_at": "2019-03-26T11:12:03+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 mY pRiOrS aRe My ChOiCe!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110499649473994752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110497202533814272", "created_at": "2019-03-26T11:02:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @cosimia_: Invest in kids (their education, opportunities, success, and wellbeing)\n\nThis generation and those to come are arguably the m…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110497202533814272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110217016626069506", "created_at": "2019-03-25T16:28:58+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m For a class?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110217016626069506", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1110057819976409088", "created_at": "2019-03-25T05:56:22+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Why vote no?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1110057819976409088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109987599081443329", "created_at": "2019-03-25T01:17:20+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I imagine that there is room for an Impact Accountability Club for EAs looking for more community and meaning.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109987599081443329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109953446982107136", "created_at": "2019-03-24T23:01:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @niftierideology: I want you to know:\n\nYou're special\n\nYou matter\n\nYou're the most important person in the world\n\nWe're all depending on…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109953446982107136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109953082266406913", "created_at": "2019-03-24T23:00:11+00:00", "text": "@jprwg answerer*", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109953082266406913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109945443113488384", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:29:50+00:00", "text": "@jprwg E.g. if you could copy someone's mind and simulate the shower and angel experiment, would that be worth doing (if the computational resources couldn't ever be used for something else)?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109945443113488384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109941160900993024", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:12:49+00:00", "text": "@jprwg \"Oh bet, I have a dangerous mission for you that I was waiting to give to someone who did not value their life.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109941160900993024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109940935071318016", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:11:55+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I think the answer to the angel still feels like proving to those around them (perhaps even just in their mind) that their life is worth living. It's as if they are afraid of admitting they'd prefer having not experienced anything at all, and then being told:", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109940935071318016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109940323256619009", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:09:29+00:00", "text": "@jprwg \"That moment was not worth living and I'd rather not live it\" because it sort of increases the probability that whoever hears that is going to devalue your life, despite the question just being about the cold-shower or other possibly-negative experience.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109940323256619009", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109939633285156864", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:06:44+00:00", "text": "@jprwg That might remove some of the:\n1) Irrational evolutionary bias towards living that is partially blind to negative qualia 2) the pressure to communicate that one thinks their life is very worth living. I feel like it's a tad bit scary, even in a thought experiment, to say", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109939633285156864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109938918466748416", "created_at": "2019-03-24T22:03:54+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I feel it would be a slightly better proxy for [Whether Truly Worth Existing Or Not] if the angel asked if it should replicate the experience for other people over not giving them the experience at all.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109938918466748416", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109870707717169153", "created_at": "2019-03-24T17:32:51+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m That's good to hear. That probably does give them more bang for their buck than TV ads.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109870707717169153", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109862208698269696", "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:59:05+00:00", "text": "@formerleft To keep information balanced, yes beard but no otherwise.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109862208698269696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109859361625698310", "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:47:46+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I think they are. I think I'd rather not experience anything than the shock of the cold water.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109859361625698310", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109848816218501121", "created_at": "2019-03-24T16:05:52+00:00", "text": "@sentientlentils I think the best thing is to start and end the shower with cold water, but I don't think the middle has to be cold IOT capture most of the benefits.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109848816218501121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109613552489431040", "created_at": "2019-03-24T00:31:01+00:00", "text": "@RyanHoliday Nice pace", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109613552489431040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109598032914460673", "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00", "text": "I have few scruples over eating animal products from the mess hall at West Point because my consumption does not affect the supply chain at all. The Mess Hall will never order fewer eggs if I don't grab 2 sometimes after swim practice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109598032914460673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109598034231549953", "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00", "text": "This all being said, I recognize the influence I could have over my peers (like anyone has over their peers), so it's still probably best for me to stick with the vegetarian options when they come, which I usually do.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109598034231549953", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109598033552031750", "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:29:21+00:00", "text": "Perhaps they could order less if I got many more people on board, but that is currently a relatively intractable cause area.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109598033552031750", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109592974525165568", "created_at": "2019-03-23T23:09:15+00:00", "text": "But I think warm showers are fine in the evenings IOT promote sleep.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109592974525165568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109585090890424320", "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:37:55+00:00", "text": "(with lots of information processing) nonetheless. Additionally, there is information in traditions' evolutionary surivival. Many traditions thus have \"heavy\" priors, and the negative weight of status-quo-bias is not, alone, enough for us to reasonably do away with them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109585090890424320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109580174935363584", "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:18:23+00:00", "text": "It's one thing to act outside of your values. It's another to obscure the true good and your conception of the truth AND act outside your values.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109580174935363584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109580173228363776", "created_at": "2019-03-23T22:18:22+00:00", "text": "The key to moving out of these pits is to avoid lying to yourself. Don't invent crazy justifications you don't really believe.If you are not willing to currently do something more impactful, just say, \"I do not always act ideally, and I am going to permit myself to do this again\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109580173228363776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109527633698672642", "created_at": "2019-03-23T18:49:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: @s8mb I think you can just feed them regular seeds, they don’t need any fancy recipes https://t.co/HWxHBD2rAM", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109527633698672642", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109270771698946054", "created_at": "2019-03-23T01:48:55+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner @jprwg I should start keeping a dream journal again and performing reality checks throughout the day.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109270771698946054", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109259587574730752", "created_at": "2019-03-23T01:04:29+00:00", "text": "@cjane87 deep sea diving and ways you can die underwater:\nhttps://t.co/hRwonJHbLs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109259587574730752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109230733011361794", "created_at": "2019-03-22T23:09:49+00:00", "text": "I have a couple sources I am using, but I am just looking to be more thorough.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109230733011361794", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1109165793424691200", "created_at": "2019-03-22T18:51:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Liv_Boeree: Just attended the best lecture ever by @anderssandberg on theoretical ways to colonise the Milky Way and beyond. \n\nCliffs:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1109165793424691200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108952460956061699", "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:44:04+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary But it's probably not going to be an all or nothing affair. Unless they are mutually incompatible, moral uncertainty will allow is to pursue both.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108952460956061699", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108952180717817857", "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:42:57+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary I like the idea of experiencing intense bliss more than I do even solving the Riemann hypothesis and only feeling kind of good.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108952180717817857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108950310448320513", "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:35:31+00:00", "text": "@DylanSlagh I get that. I just want the scale to be controlled enough so that any qualia above 0 is axiomatically worth living and morally desirable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108950310448320513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108948480586702848", "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:28:15+00:00", "text": "@DylanSlagh In my mind, 10 is like a solid, good subjective experience where there is \"no doubt about it\" being desirable. My guestimation is that despite feeling this a lot of the time, most people average a fair bit lower than this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108948480586702848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108946304057503746", "created_at": "2019-03-22T04:19:36+00:00", "text": "@DylanSlagh Real numbers", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108946304057503746", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108884076755341312", "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:12:20+00:00", "text": "@Crit_Rat I blogged about this at:https://t.co/NyVLJ6VR5W", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108884076755341312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108881307810127872", "created_at": "2019-03-22T00:01:20+00:00", "text": "@spencerrascoff @ATabarrok @united Seems like United traded (a probability further from one's preference of getting ousted (works either way) & a higher compensation) for (a more preferred p(getting ousted) & a lower compensation). Seems okay.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108881307810127872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108695317539667970", "created_at": "2019-03-21T11:42:16+00:00", "text": "@airbear926 @DouthatNYT @benshapiro \"For all the people who fell asleep in civics class\"? \"Children\"? If you want to change anybody's mind, you've got to have more class than that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108695317539667970", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108544529303592962", "created_at": "2019-03-21T01:43:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @cspan: President Trump on John McCain: \"I gave him the kind of funeral that he wanted, which as president I had to approve. I don't car…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108544529303592962", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108438889285500929", "created_at": "2019-03-20T18:43:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: Most policy debates are big tug-o-wars. To cut political polarization, I say: encourage pundits to pull ropes SIDEWAYS; on…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108438889285500929", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108412979169714181", "created_at": "2019-03-20T17:00:22+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/zmxd8dOpVs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108412979169714181", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108403482598539270", "created_at": "2019-03-20T16:22:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: 62 Billion chickens slaughtered for meat, more than any other animal and yet they do not produce the most meat and, arguab…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108403482598539270", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108239149054738432", "created_at": "2019-03-20T05:29:37+00:00", "text": "@HermesofReason Who says this?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108239149054738432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108221350626422784", "created_at": "2019-03-20T04:18:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: Burnout is a miserable experience, and avoiding it is important for having a sustainable and impactful career. Elizabe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108221350626422784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108220877144027136", "created_at": "2019-03-20T04:17:01+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason Sperms banks should consider accepting high-impact, healthy people who are 5' 7\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108220877144027136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108149320514240513", "created_at": "2019-03-19T23:32:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @clairlemon: One of the most dangerous things about moral certainty is that it creates the illusion that all of the important moral ques…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108149320514240513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108031552720650241", "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:44:43+00:00", "text": "Not saying the true utilitarian position is pro-choice.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108031552720650241", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108030955481153536", "created_at": "2019-03-19T15:42:20+00:00", "text": "But if we are going to go there, I'd venture that the most ruthlessly cold people are those who side with their evolutionary instincts over careful, deliberate, considerate reasoning about what is morally desirable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108030955481153536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1108018192985833472", "created_at": "2019-03-19T14:51:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jaynordlinger: An old, painful question: \"merit,\" race, and ethnicity. Because admission to Stuyvesant is test-based, 74 percent of the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1108018192985833472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107968576475025408", "created_at": "2019-03-19T11:34:28+00:00", "text": "@rachelserc A number of cadets essentially do not train for ultras. They just sign up and do a mountainous 50 miler without having ever run more than 13 miles straight. But you are right, I say 1:30 as a target time for young guys.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107968576475025408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107730615733026816", "created_at": "2019-03-18T19:48:54+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m The average", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107730615733026816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107706797752832001", "created_at": "2019-03-18T18:14:15+00:00", "text": "To be clear, I mean you think you are smarter than your parents, who are smarter than their parents, who are smarter than their parents. One or two discrepancies still indicate a general progression.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107706797752832001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107691271655772160", "created_at": "2019-03-18T17:12:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AnnieDuke: Instead of asking, “Are you sure? Try asking, “How sure are you?”\n\n“Are you sure” is a yes or no question. It demands unreas…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107691271655772160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107691185605357569", "created_at": "2019-03-18T17:12:13+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn sUfFeRrInG iS oKaY bEcAuSe iT's NaTuRaL", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107691185605357569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107684783755268096", "created_at": "2019-03-18T16:46:46+00:00", "text": "@ramit When the expected utility of trying to make more money is less than 0.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107684783755268096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107491815945580549", "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:59:59+00:00", "text": "@dvassallo https://t.co/wyOsLTeu5q", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107491815945580549", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107485597411803136", "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:35:17+00:00", "text": "@dvassallo Harm is relative. The same eggs that could keep you alive if you are starving will increase inflammation and oxidative damage (cancer risk) relative to replacing the eggs with most plants.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107485597411803136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107482165959446528", "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:21:39+00:00", "text": "We are allowed to redefine population as duration because subjective experience is fundamentally impersonal and based off physics (where there is no room for personhood).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107482165959446528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107482164097110016", "created_at": "2019-03-18T03:21:38+00:00", "text": "I think an equally appropriate way to represent number of beings is duration of experience. More beings == greater duration of subjective experience. I think duration is pretty intuitive to desire. We want a desirable subjective experience to continue.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107482164097110016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107449596563869697", "created_at": "2019-03-18T01:12:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KirkDBorne: Nearly 300 Statistical Concepts Explained in Simple English — in 10 Parts: https://t.co/YA8aIJVho4 #abdsc \n\n#BigData #DataS…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107449596563869697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1107448543353147392", "created_at": "2019-03-18T01:08:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientist: Happy 🐓 hens 🐓 in 🐓backyards 🐓 account 🐓 for 🐓 a 🐓 totally 🐓 negligible 🐓 portion 🐓 of 🐓 eggs 🐓 and 🐓 do 🐓 not 🐓 disprove…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1107448543353147392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106387504180060161", "created_at": "2019-03-15T02:51:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: Are you trying your hardest?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106387504180060161", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106030490799104001", "created_at": "2019-03-14T03:13:12+00:00", "text": "@StanfordEthics @Stanford @robreich Do market forces better reflect collective preferences, or can unilateral decisions outperform markets? There is a reason people switch from newspapers to websites- it better satisfies their preferences. Not saying unilateral decisions can't outperform, but...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106030490799104001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106029305279070208", "created_at": "2019-03-14T03:08:30+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Ethical problems to me sound like not properly accounting for consequences, their utility, and their probabilities.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106029305279070208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106016032102088704", "created_at": "2019-03-14T02:15:45+00:00", "text": "@morallawwithin I don't know a good argument that I shouldn't choose the latter. Also, if you are interested, I basically summed up my take on the categorical imperative here:\nhttps://t.co/kasZlRp11F\nI would love feedback", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106016032102088704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106009941410603008", "created_at": "2019-03-14T01:51:33+00:00", "text": "@morallawwithin @jprwg What is better than maximizing what we value?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106009941410603008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1106009646429401088", "created_at": "2019-03-14T01:50:23+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn I feel like if one appropriately updates their utility function, they don't have to deviate from vNM; if my preference is to definitely get $10k and I don't prefer a 1% chance of $1m, you could just say I give greater utility to the first $10k, and still just max E(U) as per vNM.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1106009646429401088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1105829875703840769", "created_at": "2019-03-13T13:56:02+00:00", "text": "\"As we all know, your typical mouse is a platform for 23 welfare units per second...\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1105829875703840769", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1105612631405027330", "created_at": "2019-03-12T23:32:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @KyleKashuv: I just returned to this realization today. \nMusic is enjoyable don't get me wrong. \nBut your time is much better spent list…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1105612631405027330", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1105336413132746752", "created_at": "2019-03-12T05:15:11+00:00", "text": "@Sams_Antics @juliagalef Why so much hate for this honesty? People need to have a clear picture when deciding whether or not to have kids. Also, unpopular opinion here: it's irrational to feel bad if your parents regret having kids.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1105336413132746752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104980874158792704", "created_at": "2019-03-11T05:42:24+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist I struggle to imagine drunk driving as being not blameworthy, but perhaps there is room for the pendulum to swing back a bit. MAYBE sentences could be lighter. That's as far as one could probably potentially go", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104980874158792704", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104841185225433088", "created_at": "2019-03-10T20:27:20+00:00", "text": "@rivatez The biggest gains will boil down to more people understanding how computers can improve our lives. Even current technology is vastly underutilized at this point.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104841185225433088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104535760588365824", "created_at": "2019-03-10T00:13:41+00:00", "text": "@jononomo @Intrinsic29 A belief in God has no specific explanatory power. God can be used to explain away any difficult, unsolved problem. It ends the line of inquiry far too early.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104535760588365824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104167786945892352", "created_at": "2019-03-08T23:51:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @booksandbooze_: Check out my podcast with @EvanSandhoefner! We discuss @PeterSinger's famous essay, utilitarianism, Effective Altruism,…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104167786945892352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104125151917027329", "created_at": "2019-03-08T21:02:04+00:00", "text": "@mizroba In my mind, I meant the latter, and intended for people to choose based off conversions to well-being.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104125151917027329", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104100216955904001", "created_at": "2019-03-08T19:22:59+00:00", "text": "@EricRWeinstein BuT mAn CaN rEaSoN!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104100216955904001", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104093476042559488", "created_at": "2019-03-08T18:56:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: I think it's pretty cool that\n1. An Effective Altruist wrote a critique of EA, on an EA-friendly site\n2. It got lots of upv…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104093476042559488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1104053756642148358", "created_at": "2019-03-08T16:18:22+00:00", "text": "@jockowillink has been saying this all along. \"Discipline enforces discipline: more discipline makes more discipline.” https://t.co/uXMCbvUf3g https://t.co/Ntxaz0o2oQ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1104053756642148358", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103873218480287746", "created_at": "2019-03-08T04:20:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @asymmetricinfo: Huh. I was skeptical, but it seems that at average passenger loads, transit buses really are *less* fuel efficient than…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103873218480287746", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103646929135783941", "created_at": "2019-03-07T13:21:47+00:00", "text": "@ToKTeacher I guess I meant they assign it a relatively low probability of being true and do not frequently approach problems from that angle. And that is not a real criticism imho.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103646929135783941", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103483591307218945", "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:32:44+00:00", "text": "Poll 5:\nFun throwback:\nWould society be best off with an additional child with:", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103483591307218945", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103480513015230464", "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:20:30+00:00", "text": "Poll 4: how will utilitarianism be regarded in your conception of a future, more enlightened society", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103480513015230464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103479246800982017", "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:15:28+00:00", "text": "Poll 3: What do you think about moral philosophers who reject utilitarianism?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103479246800982017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103479244842258432", "created_at": "2019-03-07T02:15:28+00:00", "text": "Poll 2: How much does society need more people that understand and apply non-naive utilitarianism?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103479244842258432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103383764279934976", "created_at": "2019-03-06T19:56:03+00:00", "text": "For anyone unfamiliar with some of the arguments for systemic cause prioritization, Rob Wiblin's talk is a great introduction:", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1103383764279934976", "word_count": 19 }, { "id": "1103371137826934784", "created_at": "2019-03-06T19:05:53+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AndrewYangVFA: Just had a call with Nick Bostrom who schooled me on AI issues of the future. We have a lot of work to do. Thanks Brody…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103371137826934784", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103357392715214848", "created_at": "2019-03-06T18:11:16+00:00", "text": "@latentexec @CryptoSeneca One of the most interesting ideas to me is the importance of timing. In chess, move A and then move B is not the same as move B and then move A.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103357392715214848", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103355796098871302", "created_at": "2019-03-06T18:04:55+00:00", "text": "@CryptoSeneca Writing longer blog posts daily. Finally have been able to brain dump some ideas that have been on repeat, among other positives.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103355796098871302", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103163495049281536", "created_at": "2019-03-06T05:20:47+00:00", "text": "@ryantmcknight @waitbutwhy Thanks for the link :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103163495049281536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103143004037173248", "created_at": "2019-03-06T03:59:22+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Think how much more violent society would get with half of women gone and half of men without a romantic partner. I'd get shot walking down the street with my girlfriend.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103143004037173248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1103142246189285377", "created_at": "2019-03-06T03:56:21+00:00", "text": "@CryptoSeneca @rivatez It's too bad there is real value on the line and this isn't a harmless simulation where you are the only mind. This leads me to believe it's not just a game.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1103142246189285377", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102985425264750595", "created_at": "2019-03-05T17:33:12+00:00", "text": "@divbyzero -50 /-.05= 1000 😀", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102985425264750595", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102971789796360197", "created_at": "2019-03-05T16:39:01+00:00", "text": "Not an actual vote, but we should pretend they exist (relative to the probability they will come into existence).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102971789796360197", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102434695881650176", "created_at": "2019-03-04T05:04:48+00:00", "text": "@robert_mariani Multiplication is really just repeated addition, which is really just repeatedly adding one. In a sense, utilitarianism just boils down to 2 good things, all other things being equal, are better than one good thing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102434695881650176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102355578758877184", "created_at": "2019-03-03T23:50:25+00:00", "text": "@surreallyno @primalpoly This would be fine if only people could reliably discover the truth while they have a goal/agenda/desire. I'd argue that activism isn't inherently unfit for these areas, but the problem is that too often, our agendas lead us to accept fallacious, ill-evidenced arguments.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102355578758877184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102309231628337153", "created_at": "2019-03-03T20:46:15+00:00", "text": "People that don't even run 20 miles a week that sign up for 50Ks or 50 milers are mistaken. This is literally destructive to their bodies, and encourages others to do this too. You know what takes real grit? Training consistently enough to run a fast (say, 1:30:00) half-marathon.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1102309231628337153", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1102092207132151809", "created_at": "2019-03-03T06:23:52+00:00", "text": "@BruceBartlett Steamed vegetables covered in nutritional yeast and apple cider vinegar.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102092207132151809", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102057632330731520", "created_at": "2019-03-03T04:06:29+00:00", "text": "It's often useful to imagine future criticism to steer ourselves in the right direction.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102057632330731520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102041637222604800", "created_at": "2019-03-03T03:02:55+00:00", "text": "@dystopia_wiki @robert_mariani Would you say that utilitarian calculus can't reasonably be tuned to support your current intuitions?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102041637222604800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102039173630849024", "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:53:08+00:00", "text": "@robert_mariani \"What if we didn't have to do math and a lot of empirical work that goes beyond our immediate intuitions and could just pursue moral action without having to be specific about scale and magnitudes?\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102039173630849024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102038603583102977", "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:50:52+00:00", "text": "@dystopia_wiki @robert_mariani Bearing children clearly can be unethical. If it truly replaced your moral intuitions, perhaps your moral intuitions weren't that grounded to begin with.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102038603583102977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1102037810578710528", "created_at": "2019-03-03T02:47:43+00:00", "text": "@robert_mariani Are human moral intuitions that profoundly deep? I think a lot of our moral intuitions can be adequately explained as being products of natural selection that conveniently increase survivability in social groups.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1102037810578710528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101950317925683201", "created_at": "2019-03-02T21:00:03+00:00", "text": "@NicoleBarbaro Probably just another examples of bad statistics and p-hacking /sarcasm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101950317925683201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101949356092149761", "created_at": "2019-03-02T20:56:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: Will longevity treatments cause 'overpopulation'?\na) No: https://t.co/615u5nzMHs\nb) But even if they did, is that an ethica…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101949356092149761", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101924574407655424", "created_at": "2019-03-02T19:17:45+00:00", "text": "This is the limiting factor to recursive self-improvement. If we aren't willing to do this, we are going to be stuck with many of the same problems centuries from now regardless of technological improvement.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101924574407655424", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101891988721451010", "created_at": "2019-03-02T17:08:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnOberg: A perfect example of how farm animals are mistreated in today’s industrial, apathetic system: \n\nThis calf has a device that…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101891988721451010", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101540993147518976", "created_at": "2019-03-01T17:53:33+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair Trying to bring back that monarchy", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101540993147518976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101179454053928960", "created_at": "2019-02-28T17:56:55+00:00", "text": "His death marks a tremendous loss to the world. We cannot replace him or his unique impact on the world, but we need to double down on our commitment to each other to positively affect the world as he did and was going to do.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101179454053928960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101154749045452800", "created_at": "2019-02-28T16:18:45+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: From Tom Wein, a list of job boards for people seeking high-impact work, especially in global development: https://t.c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101154749045452800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101133601645740032", "created_at": "2019-02-28T14:54:43+00:00", "text": "@TaurusLondono @DegenRolf Can you provide an example of something they get wrong?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101133601645740032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101108420214706177", "created_at": "2019-02-28T13:14:39+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/aYu6kuRjy0", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101108420214706177", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1101000977879101440", "created_at": "2019-02-28T06:07:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: Our new interview @voxdotcom's @KelseyTuoc:\n\n\"...it’s certainly fair to say that there's more good journalism than people r…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1101000977879101440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100929452811407360", "created_at": "2019-02-28T01:23:30+00:00", "text": "@Quillette No one involved in effective altruism that I know of actually have written to ignore your intuitions and donate to charity X, Y, and Z. Yes, they recommend thoroughly vetted, high-impact charities. But no, the EA dream isn't for everyone to drop what they are doing and fund AMF.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100929452811407360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100895099204984832", "created_at": "2019-02-27T23:06:59+00:00", "text": "@Andr6wMale I love dream chess. I can't help but make good moves.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100895099204984832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100893126456012800", "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:59:09+00:00", "text": "@webdevMason This is why I love West Point. Admissions and staying here is especially meritocratic, but we receive the opportunities of the Stanford track.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100893126456012800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100891542947065858", "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:52:52+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/O8TQb4fwsz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100891542947065858", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100888610138738688", "created_at": "2019-02-27T22:41:12+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/7Hn3qsVGkg", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100888610138738688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100367322810863616", "created_at": "2019-02-26T12:09:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: The difficulty in communicating an insight you've had is that, to other people, it usually sounds either \n1) Wrong - becaus…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100367322810863616", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100281796774846464", "created_at": "2019-02-26T06:29:57+00:00", "text": "@devonzuegel At the end of the day, what matters is our net-utilitarian impact. Sorry I brought you into this world, but we've got a job to.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100281796774846464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100253249226055682", "created_at": "2019-02-26T04:36:30+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m There doesn't seem to be much interest, but I'm trying.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100253249226055682", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100197965505925120", "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:56:50+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 There are some neat shoe designs for cycling that I've noticed recently: https://t.co/RV5bi41BE0\nThey use twist knobs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100197965505925120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100191340657369090", "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:30:30+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I know I have been more animated against religion after the occassions where I've been discriminated against for being atheist. But I don't feel too discriminated against rn, so I just forget about religion altogether sometimes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100191340657369090", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100188357148192771", "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:18:39+00:00", "text": "@RickDelmonico @mizroba You refuse to believe that some people literally never even think of 'God'?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100188357148192771", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100187278129926144", "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:14:22+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 That is a good point to keep in mind. https://t.co/KxupPNt6G1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100187278129926144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100183928240066561", "created_at": "2019-02-26T00:01:03+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I tried bringing up rationality ideas as well and bringing up secular moral philosophy, but they just want to be focused on religion.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100183928240066561", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1100178685167063046", "created_at": "2019-02-25T23:40:13+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Atheism is just boring to me now. I mean I like to witness securialization, but religious dogma is just so wrong, I don't even care to be 'anti' it. I'd rather follow people who happen to be atheist than those who center their identity around it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1100178685167063046", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1099487947399876608", "created_at": "2019-02-24T01:55:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @z3nblack: Used to be extremely cynical until I started building stuff. This sort of organically helped me switch into higher modes of o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1099487947399876608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1099465297084538881", "created_at": "2019-02-24T00:25:28+00:00", "text": "@schlaf Our ability to be so good at so many things. We are the best runners and throwers in the animal kingdom. We can speak multiple languages, and anticipate what people might do based off the smallest details in facial expressions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1099465297084538881", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1099463261261508608", "created_at": "2019-02-24T00:17:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @schlaf: A thought provoking question to consider:\n\nWhat are those things in your life that are truly extraordinary but happen so consis…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1099463261261508608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1099110804576702465", "created_at": "2019-02-23T00:56:50+00:00", "text": "@zck effective altruism, programming, triathlon", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1099110804576702465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1098785175419408384", "created_at": "2019-02-22T03:22:54+00:00", "text": "@activeendurance Don't you think it's unethical to include a popup immediately after a user pays for a race that asks them to verify their email but you are actually signing up them up for your $90 service? It's obvious you designed it like that for people to unwittingly sign up.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1098785175419408384", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1098753649394794496", "created_at": "2019-02-22T01:17:38+00:00", "text": "@LBAllred_44 @benshapiro What else do you propose that is a strong enough deterrent?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1098753649394794496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1098256157825748992", "created_at": "2019-02-20T16:20:47+00:00", "text": "@DIorioNathaniel For a little while when I was 5, I thought getting fired meant your boss literally burned you alive. Needless to say I was very concerned for my parents.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1098256157825748992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097994919648612354", "created_at": "2019-02-19T23:02:43+00:00", "text": "@banjorepair When I tell you the frogs are gay, I am not convincing you of anything you don't know ;)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097994919648612354", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097889526452760577", "created_at": "2019-02-19T16:03:55+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Utility of me with 15 more points= 1.5 to 100x more util. Geometric mean is ~12. U*1=12U*p. Theoretically I should be willing to take a .08 chance of survival. But I'd definitely take an 85% survival rate.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097889526452760577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097876898422640640", "created_at": "2019-02-19T15:13:44+00:00", "text": "@tannerguzy That's with the assumption that your principles are the best. I am not my grandma's enemy. She and I both know she shouldn't be in charge of the country though.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097876898422640640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097704428398886912", "created_at": "2019-02-19T03:48:24+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ItWBiENpJ9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097704428398886912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097682753825501185", "created_at": "2019-02-19T02:22:17+00:00", "text": "@HarvardBiz why is that girl's face impaled", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097682753825501185", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097346502777860098", "created_at": "2019-02-18T04:06:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @niftierideology: What is best in life? To allocate capital productively, to disrupt local maxima, and to hear the lamentation of rent s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097346502777860098", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097326131068456960", "created_at": "2019-02-18T02:45:11+00:00", "text": "@backus @devonzuegel @michael_nielsen Please John be more careful. https://t.co/6iQd2ksdoT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097326131068456960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097324864652931073", "created_at": "2019-02-18T02:40:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @clairlemon: A non-trivial amount of intersectional rhetoric is actually driven by affluent white men in their 50s (or older) who run le…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097324864652931073", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097267040782561285", "created_at": "2019-02-17T22:50:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @wrwveit: When you read too much Nietzsche https://t.co/M6tBiUjjiJ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097267040782561285", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1097261591198863360", "created_at": "2019-02-17T22:28:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TechSparx: Algorithms, by Prof Erickson\n\nThis free 448-page textbook is an incredibly clear, very pragmatic and yet very thorough expos…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1097261591198863360", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096979285443821568", "created_at": "2019-02-17T03:46:57+00:00", "text": "@EricJorgenson And have a red band for customers who are prefer harsh motivation. \"You f-ing weak pos, you should have been able to lift that weight 3 years ago!\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096979285443821568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096971735734411264", "created_at": "2019-02-17T03:16:57+00:00", "text": "@mechazuth @robkhenderson Ya boy's got quads! He just needs to hit them arms more", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096971735734411264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096935186330202112", "created_at": "2019-02-17T00:51:43+00:00", "text": "@robkhenderson What about triathletes? Surely women subconsciously know they can persistence hunt down game better than just about anyone...(tell me I didn't pick the wrong sport)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096935186330202112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096926269642604545", "created_at": "2019-02-17T00:16:17+00:00", "text": "@attractfunding @AndrewYangVFA Not necessarily, just usually has been the case.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096926269642604545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096613132087234561", "created_at": "2019-02-16T03:31:59+00:00", "text": "@mikeldennis @AndrewYangVFA @marwilliamson @TulsiGabbard We can't afford to vote 3rd party while any terrible canndidates are running and are likely to win. Not while approval or ranked choice voting isn't a thing, at least.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096613132087234561", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096407086240546818", "created_at": "2019-02-15T13:53:14+00:00", "text": "@V4Analysis Charge them both. The chance one of them is innocent is low enough that protecting the public is worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096407086240546818", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096382667430473728", "created_at": "2019-02-15T12:16:12+00:00", "text": "@GoldmundUnleash I guess guys that didn't care for booty as much weren't as evolutionarily successful.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096382667430473728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096101870425264128", "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:40:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: Embryo editing for higher IQ is a fantasy. Embryo profiling for it is almost here https://t.co/A3VwKXNU45", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096101870425264128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1096100266112368640", "created_at": "2019-02-14T17:34:02+00:00", "text": "Plus I just really want to go.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1096100266112368640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095856608054251520", "created_at": "2019-02-14T01:25:50+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: \"'rods from god' … 20 feet long, 1 foot in diameter tungsten rods, dropped from orbit, reaching a speed of up to 10x the s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095856608054251520", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095829140585005061", "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:36:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MaxCRoser: Oxford’s new 'Global Priorities Institute' has published a 68-page research agenda for what they want to answer in the comin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095829140585005061", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095822745458409473", "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:11:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @cosimia_: Beginning to think this is true for most things\n\nHow well can you control your attention? This is the most sought after skill…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095822745458409473", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095821154865106946", "created_at": "2019-02-13T23:04:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: Chad pulls the lever. Be like Chad. https://t.co/jnbyTLoelt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095821154865106946", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095737096894062592", "created_at": "2019-02-13T17:30:56+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I recommend a weighted blanket. My girlfriend and I love the better sleep we get from ours.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095737096894062592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095662591257526273", "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:34:52+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I made up the link to make fun of her view and pretend it had any sophistication to it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095662591257526273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095660286873423872", "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:25:43+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 This isn't about preferences. She's got a point: https://t.co/D7PI0lVwvW", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095660286873423872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095659278222938117", "created_at": "2019-02-13T12:21:42+00:00", "text": "We'd be much better filling that lesson with cost-benefit analyzes to refine ethical decision making or a discussion on why the long-term future is so important.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095659278222938117", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095504865617420290", "created_at": "2019-02-13T02:08:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @gwern: It's worth remembering the point of reading a manual: it is not to remember everything that is in it for later but to later reme…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095504865617420290", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1095496858254884871", "created_at": "2019-02-13T01:36:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: The high-return activity of raising others’ aspirations, by @tylercowen \n\nhttps://t.co/Hu1OEda495 https://t.co/901mHoevPQ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1095496858254884871", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1094971070359179265", "created_at": "2019-02-11T14:47:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @adamscrabble: Thread on Chinese Currency Manipulation. You're going to like this. I had a question for my analysts, what does it mean \"…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1094971070359179265", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1094768868336254976", "created_at": "2019-02-11T01:23:32+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnOberg: A typical scene in a factory farm:\n\nA dead chick in a shed w/ tens of thousands of others who’ll spend their 42-day-long liv…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1094768868336254976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1094073558039519232", "created_at": "2019-02-09T03:20:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: In most possible versions of human history, we blew ourselves up in a global thermonuclear war decades ago. \n\nWe just barel…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1094073558039519232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1094040306398478336", "created_at": "2019-02-09T01:08:29+00:00", "text": "@Sam_Dumitriu Still not going to be enough unless we also get China to reduce their huge share of GHG emissions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1094040306398478336", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1094002663618985984", "created_at": "2019-02-08T22:38:55+00:00", "text": "@neonbabel @carotaratko @TheOnion The sign surely helps pedestrians' reduce their risk of death. It doesn't necessarily detract from the degree of blame placed on drivers.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1094002663618985984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093351101984841728", "created_at": "2019-02-07T03:29:50+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego AirTasker looks interesting and closer to what I am imagining. Wish we had that in the US. I knew there are apps like Fiverr, but these still fall so short to what's possible.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093351101984841728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093342484359450625", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:55:36+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego willing to engage in markets like this aren't that bad, especially when there is a review system set in place.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093342484359450625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093342045555617793", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:53:51+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego The question is: why hasn't this been done yet? I think one factor is trust; too many people don't want strangers around them messing with them and their life. However, as we've seen from Uber, Airbnb, and other peer-to-peer companies, the overwhelming majority of people", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093342045555617793", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093340171251126272", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:46:24+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego But our preferences just got fulfilled better than they were expected to be otherwise. If they were not fulfilled, we obviously need to adjust our prices better next time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093340171251126272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093339587236323330", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:44:05+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego block they would like me to teach + the approximate location, I tweak the contract, they accept it. We meet up (potentially with phone mic constantly streaming to cloud for security reasons), and make our lives better. I wasn't planning on this, and neither really were they,2/n", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093339587236323330", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093339064038817792", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:42:00+00:00", "text": "@DoqxaScott @Evolving_Ego Example: Just got off work. My phone gets a notification. Someone knows I can teach improv piano lessons. They were passively interested in securing a lesson for themselves, offer a price I'm willing to take up, & I tentatively accept. A minute later, they send the time 1/n", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093339064038817792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093335688982994944", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:28:36+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego We need to facilitate more micro-employment opportunities. An app could help do this. 'Requesters' could put in a task-request list w/ prices willing to pay and an app could match tasks with 'Fulfillers' based on proximity + 'Fulfiller' skills + 'Fulfiller' prices work prices", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093335688982994944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093332365462638593", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:15:23+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego It seems decent enough, but it's pitiful compared to what it could be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093332365462638593", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093332095886417921", "created_at": "2019-02-07T02:14:19+00:00", "text": "@Noahpinion @robinhanson @robertwiblin @Noahpinion", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093332095886417921", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1093211901843120129", "created_at": "2019-02-06T18:16:42+00:00", "text": "@SamHarrisOrg @joerogan Effective Altruism!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1093211901843120129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1092934477247143938", "created_at": "2019-02-05T23:54:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: Factory farming probably causes a massive amount of preventable suffering. But animal suffering gets far less attentio…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1092934477247143938", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1092214717580562432", "created_at": "2019-02-04T00:14:15+00:00", "text": "@paulg Looks like you've got a future fair division theory researcher", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1092214717580562432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1092141327960158208", "created_at": "2019-02-03T19:22:38+00:00", "text": "@cjprofman @PaulRoundy1 Don't know the details of the governor's campaign, but it's entirely possible his opponent was a racist (based off recent evidence), while he effectively wasn't (anymore).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1092141327960158208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1092116284333064197", "created_at": "2019-02-03T17:43:07+00:00", "text": "@danariely \"$300 is likely to be less effective than offering no money at all.\" Could you point me to any studies that show money really cheapens the moral appeal that much?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1092116284333064197", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1092091716717477889", "created_at": "2019-02-03T16:05:30+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: Only a matter of time https://t.co/8Eqn554hK0", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1092091716717477889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091559298214346752", "created_at": "2019-02-02T04:49:51+00:00", "text": "@ryanobles @RalphNortham 1) Sounds like an acceptable apology. 2)This dude is literally an entirely different person than he was in 1984. You are basically punishing a new person that has emerged out of his body. There is a reason we have statutes of limitations.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091559298214346752", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091548626155962368", "created_at": "2019-02-02T04:07:27+00:00", "text": "@JohnDanaher Is there an email list I can join so I get a notification when it comes out?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091548626155962368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091131016490770433", "created_at": "2019-02-01T00:28:01+00:00", "text": "@ejjiott I mean not considering life-actions that do not reliably and intentionally prevent suffering that would occur otherwise. Many actions indirectly avert suffering, but I am interested in actions with this motive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091131016490770433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091072104668282885", "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:33:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @voxdotcom: Farming octopus would be an ecological and moral disaster. Some researchers are still pushing ahead on efforts to do it. Can…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091072104668282885", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091071869149679618", "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:32:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Lewis_Bollard: As the #WinterStorm hits, spare a thought for the thousands of cows + sheep freezing to death bc some big producers don'…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091071869149679618", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1091071110790217728", "created_at": "2019-01-31T20:29:58+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m I agree, but pro-life arguments tend to be more in-line with evolutionary-derived psychology. Any argument bolstered by non-rational motives (i.e. programming that helped evolutionarily) automatically loses credence. Pro-choice arguments also take more information into account.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1091071110790217728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1090989680034758656", "created_at": "2019-01-31T15:06:23+00:00", "text": "@farnamstreet Trying to make crazy ideas work in thought experiments.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1090989680034758656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1090988984606560256", "created_at": "2019-01-31T15:03:38+00:00", "text": "@XiXiDu On the other hand, I could sacrifice 5-10 IQ points, and then just fund a half dozen researchers to focus on the problems I care about.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1090988984606560256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1090816083664257024", "created_at": "2019-01-31T03:36:35+00:00", "text": "@farnamstreet Being attractive.\nHaving a fit body demonstrates months if not years of discipline.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1090816083664257024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1090307313037180928", "created_at": "2019-01-29T17:54:55+00:00", "text": "@MattPirkowski @Intrinsic29 Are you providing an example in quotes to be clear or to be sarcastic?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1090307313037180928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089624550843797504", "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:41:51+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly Worst downside for individuals may be the social stigma against it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089624550843797504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089619791332163589", "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:22:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jacyreese: Hi, I'm a vegan 🌎 You might know me from some of my Greatest Hits like, \"Okay, but you're not a lion,\" \"Go watch Earthlings…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089619791332163589", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089619555771731970", "created_at": "2019-01-27T20:22:00+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner I am not sure precisely what you mean by PI, but under my preconception, acting as if PI helps one act according to others evolutionary-derived expectations. Most people want the whole package, including egoistic emotions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089619555771731970", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089614013972004865", "created_at": "2019-01-27T19:59:59+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Focusing on PI is advantageous when working with egos, but life just goes on when you abandon notions of free will.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089614013972004865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089403656456282112", "created_at": "2019-01-27T06:04:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @naval: The modern struggle\n\nLone individuals summoning inhuman willpower,\n\nfasting, meditating, and exercising,\n\nup against armies of s…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089403656456282112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1089358411547004928", "created_at": "2019-01-27T03:04:19+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner How dare you cause a slight amount of guilt in a person's mind for spending money however they please? It's not like something truly important like suffering is on the line...\nOh wait", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1089358411547004928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1088994707974381570", "created_at": "2019-01-26T02:59:05+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Just because wanna-be utilitarians get the numbers wrong doesn't mean it's not the ideal ethical system.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1088994707974381570", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1088835670171357184", "created_at": "2019-01-25T16:27:08+00:00", "text": "@WilliamBarry2 Thanks Dr. Barry!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1088835670171357184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1088063691013193728", "created_at": "2019-01-23T13:19:33+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/fDTGBUyzHA", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1088063691013193728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1088063355766665221", "created_at": "2019-01-23T13:18:13+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/8NAfHijyWf", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1088063355766665221", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1087791438518202368", "created_at": "2019-01-22T19:17:43+00:00", "text": "@spectatorindex Suppose the car is visually 4 meters wide. The width of the car takes up 41x less pixels then the width of the photo. Then the shot is approx 164m wide at the car, which...oh nevermind :P", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1087791438518202368", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1087740917614809094", "created_at": "2019-01-22T15:56:58+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/DADGHQ33uj", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1087740917614809094", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1087515585242693633", "created_at": "2019-01-22T01:01:35+00:00", "text": "If I have any marginally disutilitous hobbies, I want my friends to talk me into better hobbies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1087515585242693633", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1086491569081978883", "created_at": "2019-01-19T05:12:30+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky They get a pass if they are an everyday person. Not if they are a moral philosopher who refuses to partake in expected-utility calculations.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1086491569081978883", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1086319060411924481", "created_at": "2019-01-18T17:47:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MerriamWebster: 'Suborn'\n- specifically: to induce to commit perjury\n- broadly: to induce secretly to do an unlawful thing\nhttps://t.co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1086319060411924481", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1086318860008153088", "created_at": "2019-01-18T17:46:13+00:00", "text": "@EthicsInBricks Decent heuristic, but ethical action often isn't in line with our evolutionary-derived 'moral'/norms intuition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1086318860008153088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1086085918778380288", "created_at": "2019-01-18T02:20:36+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/wwc823GuCU", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1086085918778380288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085594455791554560", "created_at": "2019-01-16T17:47:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JohnOberg: So sad. This entire #dairy cow herd is hardly able to walk after years of confinement and abuse. 💔\n\nWhere are they walking?…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085594455791554560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085377670647562240", "created_at": "2019-01-16T03:26:16+00:00", "text": "@AlanWattsDaily \"Life is really complicated, so let's not even try to figure it out.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085377670647562240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085338701096517632", "created_at": "2019-01-16T00:51:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Noahpinion: Most super-rich people make their money by owning their own businesses. They get capital income rather than ordinary income…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085338701096517632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085027489104171009", "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:14:46+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 That is a good, safe heuristic. I think most people's psychologies should generally be satisfied enough when punishment is only handed out enough to meet deterrence-needs. We should promote this idea.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085027489104171009", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085025454577369088", "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:06:41+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I know I am on a slippery slope and this utilitarian calculus can easily be abused, and perhaps that we should agree that fulfilling bloodlust is not okay (even by state governments), but to me, the principle remains that bloodlust is sometimes ethically desirable.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085025454577369088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085023831633395712", "created_at": "2019-01-15T04:00:14+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 If people regret their bloodlust later, that's a strike against fulfilling it. But if someone kills my family, no matter how utilitarian I try to be, I'm pretty sure I'll never be satisfied if I do not see them suffer. It's a fault in my brain, but the suffering is morally relev.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085023831633395712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085022013461286913", "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:53:01+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 \"Until his own death, nearly sixty years after the murders of his parents and his release of his mother’s killer, Jozef remained tormented by regret and guilt—guilt that he had not been able to protect his parents, & regret that he had failed in his responsibility to take veng.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085022013461286913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085015725788545024", "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:28:02+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Even if no rebellion is at stake, I feel that morally-important suffering arises in the minds of many people when they do not experience their conception of justice, and it's not always desirable to ignore this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085015725788545024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085011427985903616", "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:10:57+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mostly do agree. We should primarily focus our criminal justice system on deterrence and rehabilitation, not catering to non-utilitarian, primitive egos. But just imagine if Norway never got to know this guy was suffering in prison? https://t.co/fcyLg0KY5D … …", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085011427985903616", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085009596077494272", "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:03:40+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I mean the devil is in the details here. Just how bad is the victimization and how necessary is the bloodlust to prevent suffering? In most circumstances, I think we give into bloodlust too much (e.g. long-term solitary confinement).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085009596077494272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085008924733001729", "created_at": "2019-01-15T03:01:00+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 especially considering the mass-hysteria that would play out if ethicists endorsed this (people would fear this principle would be abused).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085008924733001729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1085007369229213696", "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:54:49+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 But almost certainly, things like long-term solitary confinement, unless they serve as incredible deterrents (I don't think they do enough), go way too far.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1085007369229213696", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1084999779321606145", "created_at": "2019-01-15T02:24:40+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I am saying I think it would cause a fair amount of pain in a lot of peoples' minds if the worst criminals were only prevented from harming others and/or only rehabilitated. I think there is a psychological need for justice, although I agree that no bad guy deserves it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1084999779321606145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1084993424657395720", "created_at": "2019-01-15T01:59:25+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 They don't, but there is a profound need for many people to experience vengeance. In our social world, sometimes a lot of people suffer if a bad person gets off pain-free.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1084993424657395720", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1084794113088778240", "created_at": "2019-01-14T12:47:25+00:00", "text": "@micahtredding I am all about ethics, but I think morality can be adequately explained with qualia. 'Ought' isn't a true feature of this world, but there are actions we want to take when we consider qualia.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1084794113088778240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1084541333736443904", "created_at": "2019-01-13T20:02:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: From the EA Forum, a list of potentially high-impact projects for doing good: https://t.co/9rzBfsOl9t https://t.co/byt…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1084541333736443904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1084233373877485569", "created_at": "2019-01-12T23:39:15+00:00", "text": "@ErrorTheorist Kant. His categorical imperative is just wrong, and has taken away way too much attention from Bayesian utilitarianism.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1084233373877485569", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600596760961024", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:44:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @CryptoSeneca: - Universities fails to educate\n- Goverment fails to manage\n- News fails to inform\n\nWe live in a time where the only savi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600596760961024", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600130538962944", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:58+00:00", "text": "6/ In fact, we may be living in the time with one of the best impersonal utilitarian ROI's ever. So let's just be a little extra intentional so we can take maximal advantage of this! /end", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600130538962944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600126000672769", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00", "text": "3/ Not saying we could have done otherwise so far, but I really hope we can all become a little more intentional about pursuing the good than we are collectively right now. It's really not that much of a sacrifice to gradually give up useless habits to journal a bit more,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600126000672769", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600128513056768", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00", "text": "5/ At the end of the day, the value of our own cumulative subjective experience is just outshined by that of the vast numbers of other expected future sentient creatures. The personal costs more than pays for themselves with better subjective experiences for others.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600128513056768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600127108005889", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:57+00:00", "text": "4/ do powerful actions like meditation and getting enough sleep, and researching the most promising think tanks and effective charities to fund. I'm not saying we can't enjoy this life, but let's just remember what's really at stake.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600127108005889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083600124608217088", "created_at": "2019-01-11T05:42:56+00:00", "text": "2/ to do even the most basic relatively impactful actions on a regular basis (e.g. journaling about how to do the most good). We collectively spend billions of person-years annually just wasting time as if this were all a game and everything were not at stake.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083600124608217088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083520547680591872", "created_at": "2019-01-11T00:26:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sentientism: 1) People believing without evidence + reason.\n\n2) People believing based on evidence + reason - but failing to act in lin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083520547680591872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083344888618463233", "created_at": "2019-01-10T12:48:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TweetSimmo: Brilliant post from @80000Hours If you want to do good with your time in any way, I HIGHLY recommend you check it out: http…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083344888618463233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083342233477234688", "created_at": "2019-01-10T12:38:10+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner We should do both! Smaller scale testing is, of course, less costly and risky, and we often probably want to verify at state levels before nationwide implementation. This short article has an interesting idea about it: https://t.co/IOy5r3TWCu", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083342233477234688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083186211605360642", "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:18:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Noahpinion: Even if robots did take people's jobs, it's never worth it to tax innovation.\n\nhttps://t.co/WbVUkCPvCI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083186211605360642", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083183195338752000", "created_at": "2019-01-10T02:06:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @OPISOrg: New article by @NikiSethSmith in @NewHumanist about the lack of pain relief in most of the world, mentions OPIS and cites @Jon…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083183195338752000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083180803440459776", "created_at": "2019-01-10T01:56:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AndrewYangVFA: $1,000 a month would relieve millions of people of a mindset of tension, struggle and survival and free them to make bet…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083180803440459776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1083171168948011011", "created_at": "2019-01-10T01:18:25+00:00", "text": "@vitabenes False. One cannot travel outside our light cone.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1083171168948011011", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082822279501877248", "created_at": "2019-01-09T02:12:03+00:00", "text": "@robertwiblin https://t.co/iGUSgOq6sx", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082822279501877248", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082796201056059392", "created_at": "2019-01-09T00:28:26+00:00", "text": "@devonzuegel When they are calibrated well, I prefer them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082796201056059392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082583722585739264", "created_at": "2019-01-08T10:24:07+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego Whatever the utilitarian calculus says. Taking away some freedom to act is far from ideal, and I agree, the will of the majority isn't technically enough. But when the tragedy of the commons effectively throws away the cosmic endowment, I feel coercion is justified.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082583722585739264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082581786880806913", "created_at": "2019-01-08T10:16:26+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I was thinking of hedonium versus genetically evolved humans, but that's fair!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082581786880806913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082360021718106112", "created_at": "2019-01-07T19:35:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @QuilletteM: \"If we wish to overcome our current difficulties and offer a bright and safe future to our children, cognitive enhancement…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082360021718106112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1082126357256126464", "created_at": "2019-01-07T04:06:43+00:00", "text": "@antoniogm @rivatez Utilitarianism is useless in serious questions? How about which charities give us the most bang per buck: https://t.co/TuCT8YQDRA", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1082126357256126464", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081988082935705600", "created_at": "2019-01-06T18:57:15+00:00", "text": "@marcolin91 @rivatez Ever heard of effective altruism?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081988082935705600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081908266496602112", "created_at": "2019-01-06T13:40:06+00:00", "text": "@rivatez Expected utility maximization goes a long way in many fields of endeavor including the pursuit of better subjective experiences for everyone. Why is it faulty reductionism, and what different tools do a better job (for the most capable, rational agents) at securing the good?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081908266496602112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081869184458461184", "created_at": "2019-01-06T11:04:48+00:00", "text": "@theheidifeed I'd like to, but I'm 21 and I will be active duty military until I am 29 (unless I choose not to affirm in ~8 months).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081869184458461184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081785056522366977", "created_at": "2019-01-06T05:30:30+00:00", "text": "😬 https://t.co/8R6Yhsr6Zh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081785056522366977", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081736411668271104", "created_at": "2019-01-06T02:17:12+00:00", "text": "@jprwg That is an interesting idea! There seems to be a moral case then to take care of our future selves just as we would any other person. E.g. it's not just dumb, but immoral to scarf down junk food we will regret later.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081736411668271104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081732508264345610", "created_at": "2019-01-06T02:01:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @XiXiDu: Evidence that greater ability and greater tendency to use reasoning and deliberative thinking predicts utilitarian (rather than…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081732508264345610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081731027352072193", "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:55:49+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn Hell yeah. All that fusion burns negentropy and prevents absurd numbers of computations once the universe cools off more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081731027352072193", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081725513994043392", "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:33:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Noahpinion: Great thread. There is SO much talent out there in America (not to mention the rest of the world) that goes undiscovered. h…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081725513994043392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081723946523860992", "created_at": "2019-01-06T01:27:40+00:00", "text": "@jprwg That is an important question. Practically, I think we should trust the word of any person who isn't afflicted by a very treatable, short-term, and time-bound illness who says their life is not worth living.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081723946523860992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081713680365117440", "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:46:53+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Nope!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081713680365117440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081711232619565056", "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:37:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sarthakgh: Few ways of thinking about twitter https://t.co/N5HUIunDlv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081711232619565056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081705258223616000", "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:13:25+00:00", "text": "@TetraspaceAdmn BuT yOu NeEd SuFfErInG fOr WelL-bEiNg!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081705258223616000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081703901349453824", "created_at": "2019-01-06T00:08:01+00:00", "text": "Not saying people outside this are bad or undatable, but ideological alignment goes a long way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081703901349453824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081665237902917632", "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:34:23+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Kind of like the Frequent Batch Trading possible solution to the high-frequency trading arms race in stock markets: trades can only be made at regular intervals, like every second on the second, to the highest bidder.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081665237902917632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081660451849752577", "created_at": "2019-01-05T21:15:22+00:00", "text": "@Michielstock @EthicsInBricks It takes the length of a relationship to get over it?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081660451849752577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081642241029013504", "created_at": "2019-01-05T20:03:00+00:00", "text": "This cost-benefit analysis is a lot more compassionate than someone 'losing their right to live' because it allows you to consider a person as a new individual at every new point in time, whereas the waiving-right-to-live model potentially punishes a new person who has emerged.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081642241029013504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081367073564082181", "created_at": "2019-01-05T01:49:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @michael_nielsen: What are the most useful checklists you use in your life? https://t.co/8c7WwrsHd4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081367073564082181", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081038409890713606", "created_at": "2019-01-04T04:03:36+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @whyboris: Will MacAskill recommends the best books on Effective Altruism https://t.co/af4eFsrwz7 via @five_books", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081038409890713606", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1081031391712854016", "created_at": "2019-01-04T03:35:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @THINKmeetups: Effective Altruism is a Question (not an ideology) - EA Forum https://t.co/edoM2SPzWE", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1081031391712854016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1079946839011586048", "created_at": "2019-01-01T03:46:05+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Sports watching, but it's not unambiguously harmless.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1079946839011586048", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1079836266924072960", "created_at": "2018-12-31T20:26:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: I challenge idealists to help design & test better institutions for making & updating a social consensus. To varying degre…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1079836266924072960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1079833919023910918", "created_at": "2018-12-31T20:17:23+00:00", "text": "@mikko I love number theory but this is pointless arithmetic.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1079833919023910918", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1079596962595459073", "created_at": "2018-12-31T04:35:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SteveStuWill: People who think genes help shape personal traits and behaviour tend to be more tolerant, not less. https://t.co/OMeU5z0t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1079596962595459073", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1079245128777244672", "created_at": "2018-12-30T05:17:44+00:00", "text": "@EvanOLeary Interesting, thanks!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1079245128777244672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1078863830116196352", "created_at": "2018-12-29T04:02:36+00:00", "text": "@devonzuegel B is the Correct answer!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1078863830116196352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1078821059577741312", "created_at": "2018-12-29T01:12:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RANDCorporation: Here are the 10 research projects that resonated most with our readers in 2018: https://t.co/xS57aths6e", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1078821059577741312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1078806883333488642", "created_at": "2018-12-29T00:16:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tylercowen: Why the American prison system is a horror https://t.co/m47sNT6uM4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1078806883333488642", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1078806339965648896", "created_at": "2018-12-29T00:14:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jacyreese: My take on the @PETA situation in @QuilletteM.\n\n\"If PETA fails to evolve, other advocates need to push ahead, distancing the…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1078806339965648896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1078696168727736320", "created_at": "2018-12-28T16:56:22+00:00", "text": "@devonzuegel What's the most important, solvable, and neglected societal problem you and I should probably focus on?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1078696168727736320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1077943937762029568", "created_at": "2018-12-26T15:07:16+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock @yannick___m @EvanSandhoefner @HavidTweets @ludwig_raal @jacyreese @Intrinsic29 @sentientist Happy Christmas! Thanks man 😃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1077943937762029568", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1077410727307235330", "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:48:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @backus: Per topic (like learning a programming language), learning accelerates.\n\nEverything looks like noise to beginners. Noise become…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1077410727307235330", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1077406220372377600", "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:30:34+00:00", "text": "@jesseltaylor It's okay to feel emotions, including sadness and anger.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1077406220372377600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1077405948707332096", "created_at": "2018-12-25T03:29:30+00:00", "text": "@jesseltaylor Bayesian decision theory based utilitarianism is the best guide to ethical action that we have.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1077405948707332096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1077232400403435521", "created_at": "2018-12-24T15:59:52+00:00", "text": "@NavalBot @naval False.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1077232400403435521", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1076159432285974528", "created_at": "2018-12-21T16:56:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @auren: National security strategy for the U.S.: \n1. ID the top 10k AI researchers not in the U.S. \n2. Grant them special visa \n3. Visa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1076159432285974528", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1076158440744120320", "created_at": "2018-12-21T16:52:20+00:00", "text": "@bryan_caplan I like the heuristic of going with whatever course of action has the highest net subjective utility * subjective probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1076158440744120320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1076002220783665154", "created_at": "2018-12-21T06:31:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @mherran: can a typo of one or two letters in AGI put the world upside down?\n\n》Podesta received an email purportedly from Google saying…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1076002220783665154", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075960356764352512", "created_at": "2018-12-21T03:45:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Elizabeth_McLau: Defense Secretary James Mattis has resigned. Here’s the letter: https://t.co/e2PulyXpXZ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075960356764352512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075819781222215680", "created_at": "2018-12-20T18:26:38+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 @jmac_ai I was split between that and economic output due to Tyler Cowen's ideas in Stubborn Attachments", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075819781222215680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075785990332211200", "created_at": "2018-12-20T16:12:21+00:00", "text": "@itsashlyperez 😂. That's exactly what a naively programmed AI could do to its sensors to satisfy its cost-minimization function.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075785990332211200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075783890420330496", "created_at": "2018-12-20T16:04:01+00:00", "text": "@QuantaMagazine I think that if you actually knew everything about an individual ant and perhaps the nature of the environments they live in, you would have enough information to be able to infer that they make bridges. Same goes for a lot of other things. 'Emergence' isn't usually unpredictable", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075783890420330496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075631143104495617", "created_at": "2018-12-20T05:57:03+00:00", "text": "4) Given the capability of evolution and runaway replication, there is a non-negligible probability of terrible futures coming into existence.\n5) By taking careful action now, we can reduce our probability of realizing a terrible possible future.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075631143104495617", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075601033177518081", "created_at": "2018-12-20T03:57:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @clairlemon: Every word of this -->\nhttps://t.co/rZmkB8ozN8", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075601033177518081", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075580268453466112", "created_at": "2018-12-20T02:34:53+00:00", "text": "@morallawwithin Would Kant still push his categorical imperative if he was familiar with today's Bayesian Decision Theory and John Harsanyi's work? I think even he would abandon it", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075580268453466112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075531216798052352", "created_at": "2018-12-19T23:19:59+00:00", "text": "@ESYudkowsky No battery could fit inside to support that much computation! This man is a fraud!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075531216798052352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075260749201715201", "created_at": "2018-12-19T05:25:14+00:00", "text": "@Blmn @caro So you'd prefer to program a self-driving car to choose randomly who to kill because it's hard to quantify what we value?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075260749201715201", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075246125806800896", "created_at": "2018-12-19T04:27:08+00:00", "text": "@Blmn @caro https://t.co/bjFuhlyYnt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075246125806800896", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075239058648039429", "created_at": "2018-12-19T03:59:03+00:00", "text": "@Blmn @caro While it's horrible to have to make decisions like this, I think we should try to maximize Quality Adjusted Life Years.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075239058648039429", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075227814159417345", "created_at": "2018-12-19T03:14:22+00:00", "text": "@Blmn @caro You're not giving reasons. It's not obvious. I'd rather not flip a coin when a car has to kill either a healthy 20-year-old or a sick 99-year-old.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075227814159417345", "word_count": 27 }, { "id": "1075212820185272320", "created_at": "2018-12-19T02:14:47+00:00", "text": "@Blmn @caro God forbid we have any intentionality about saying who lives and dies in an inevitable situation...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075212820185272320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1075154540561920000", "created_at": "2018-12-18T22:23:12+00:00", "text": "@caro Sounds more ethical than cars randomly deciding who to kill tbh", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1075154540561920000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074798510501961729", "created_at": "2018-12-17T22:48:28+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Good points. I guess I mean I can't wait for a much stronger economy where the poorest aren't left behind, there is lots of quality leisure time, and life is at least very worth living for every sentient being alive.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074798510501961729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074758660918861824", "created_at": "2018-12-17T20:10:07+00:00", "text": "@nafta90 @EthicsInBricks You wouldn't lie to a dictator once to reliably depose them and prevent nuclear war? Because lying to someone is a means to an end.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074758660918861824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074757901867237376", "created_at": "2018-12-17T20:07:06+00:00", "text": "@EthicsInBricks The categorical imperative tries to optimize for outcomes for a world which is not expected to exist. It's ridiculous as a theory when even one agent is expected not to adhere to it. We should optimize for how we expect the world to be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074757901867237376", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074696163033522179", "created_at": "2018-12-17T16:01:46+00:00", "text": "@RyanHoliday Triggered by this actually", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074696163033522179", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074694559056228352", "created_at": "2018-12-17T15:55:24+00:00", "text": "@jprwg But what?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074694559056228352", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074628417834897408", "created_at": "2018-12-17T11:32:35+00:00", "text": "@EthicsInBricks You know, I'm good for maximum expected utility! It's okay if there is a chance of null outcomes :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074628417834897408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074516996061061123", "created_at": "2018-12-17T04:09:50+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego And no utilitarian is going to claim they know the true utilitarian solution outside of the most pure of thought experiments. But utilitarianism is still the most useful of moral theories for it is the only one that permits one to take in ALL the evidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074516996061061123", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074512088498810880", "created_at": "2018-12-17T03:50:20+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego I defend utilitarianism here in my essay on The Doctrine of Double Effect: https://t.co/maE0UfFapa", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074512088498810880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074503806531092481", "created_at": "2018-12-17T03:17:25+00:00", "text": "@farnamstreet Rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074503806531092481", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074312083783720960", "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:35:35+00:00", "text": "@Teibit @TamasGorbe @juliagalef n² – 79n + 160 produces 80 primes for the consecutive values n = 0 to 79 (https://t.co/KfvExPKfeH)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074312083783720960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074304692115648513", "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:06:12+00:00", "text": "@jim_savage_ Also, went from 0 coding capability to running mathematical experiments as a hobby. Learning enough Python to solve a lot of automation problems is pretty nifty.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074304692115648513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074304037107961857", "created_at": "2018-12-16T14:03:36+00:00", "text": "@jim_savage_ Learning how to properly change my beliefs according to new evidence is nifty. https://t.co/DLpUE2GR0D", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074304037107961857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074143342341120000", "created_at": "2018-12-16T03:25:04+00:00", "text": "@sterndavidi @morganhousel That's fair. Our ability to be productive/get utility on portable electronics really reduces the cost of waiting. And given how far a few hundred $$ goes towards some causes, unless one is missing a lot of work where they would make more $, making 99% of flights is probably best.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074143342341120000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1074068292262862849", "created_at": "2018-12-15T22:26:50+00:00", "text": "@morganhousel It doesn't pay off with expected utility. To maximize saving time+money utility, you should be willing to miss a flight once in a Blue Moon because you cut it too close", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1074068292262862849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073969958227447808", "created_at": "2018-12-15T15:56:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: Immanuel Kant, from The Critique of Pure Reason, on bets: https://t.co/r3jnJlkxEY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073969958227447808", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073701114648899584", "created_at": "2018-12-14T22:07:48+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Same. I got to get to bed early tonight.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073701114648899584", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073644363769622535", "created_at": "2018-12-14T18:22:18+00:00", "text": "@StuartJRitchie Just don't call for the shutdown of using \"suppose\" 5x in an abstract. That always gets me going.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073644363769622535", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073577209858801664", "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:55:27+00:00", "text": "@iancassel @JamesClear Potentially useful model, but certainly not grounded in reality. I can wake up and decide to smoke a few cigarettes for no good reason (especially because I don't smoke), yet I am not confined to my day being half as good as it could possibly be.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073577209858801664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073576177707687936", "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:51:21+00:00", "text": "@TellYourSonThis @Blacklabellogic I bet a sense of urgency in your partner can be nice though. If you're serious, you don't have to wait and play games.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073576177707687936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073568824211976192", "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:22:08+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun But too many people judge w/ a naive impression of utilitarianism, with all it's unacceptable (wrongly calculated) results, and think I'm a cold-hearted idiot. I usually just say now that \"heuristics are extremely useful, albeit they are calculated and not axiomatically true\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073568824211976192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073565049703288835", "created_at": "2018-12-14T13:07:08+00:00", "text": "@FreihandDenker @reasonisfun @EthicsInBricks Idk, I can't really trust them to have any idea how to determine the real good in any kind of morally challenging dilemma. Which virtue do they choose from?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073565049703288835", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1073241225761865728", "created_at": "2018-12-13T15:40:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @robinhanson: \"The freest economies generally feature big welfare states. This situation is no accident. … Social insurance programs … a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1073241225761865728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072697675965964288", "created_at": "2018-12-12T03:40:30+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Yes I feel the same. It's weird to get more mad at the guy than your girl, especially if he didn't know of your relationship.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072697675965964288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072696684789010433", "created_at": "2018-12-12T03:36:34+00:00", "text": "@MIRIBerkeley @80000Hours @Give_Directly @FHIOxford It's unclear whether this is rational under the framework of expected utility maximization. If I have a greater than 1/148 in dying in the next 100 months, it seems worth it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072696684789010433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072680765928951809", "created_at": "2018-12-12T02:33:18+00:00", "text": "@mizroba It's not common, but it doesn't seem unhealthy. There is something to be said about being willing to suppress one's jealousy because one care's about their partner that much. It's a key requirement for polyamory, which is optimal for some psychologies.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072680765928951809", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072538110720950273", "created_at": "2018-12-11T17:06:27+00:00", "text": "This could be the case with negative utilitarianism. I am not convinced it has been overwhelmingly defeated, yet its followers do not seem especially vocal. Maybe they just don't want us to slow technological progress until our culture can safely handle it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072538110720950273", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072335155308707846", "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:39:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @patrickc: This talk is amazing: https://t.co/nYN7M0axIB. (H/t @karpathy.)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072335155308707846", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072332206863986689", "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:28:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @BayesDose: \"The subjectivist (i.e. Bayesian) states his judgements, whereas the objectivist sweeps them under the carpet by calling ass…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072332206863986689", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072331837807173632", "created_at": "2018-12-11T03:26:47+00:00", "text": "@EvanSandhoefner Same!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072331837807173632", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072259131619336192", "created_at": "2018-12-10T22:37:53+00:00", "text": "@sentientist Nightclubs are for dancing, not discourse! 💃", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072259131619336192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072243626099515393", "created_at": "2018-12-10T21:36:16+00:00", "text": "@Jayarava @EvanSandhoefner It's not been proven as a feature of our world that 3D printing bio tissue is impossible. It may just be really hard right now given our level of technological development.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072243626099515393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1072217896397537286", "created_at": "2018-12-10T19:54:02+00:00", "text": "@MartinDaubney I watched the video. These women aren't actively against white people, they are just looking for some true R&R. We are all allowed to go on private vacations with who we choose; I don't see why it's wrong for a business to facilitate this.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1072217896397537286", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1071411390898937856", "created_at": "2018-12-08T14:29:16+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson I imagine you would get the tastiest dishes (dishes wish majority of population would deem tastiest) approved. Rotten tomatoes tends to be a better rating system for movie snobs that prefer novelty over just wanting to watch a plane good movie, which IMDB rating better reflects.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1071411390898937856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1071410178707415042", "created_at": "2018-12-08T14:24:27+00:00", "text": "@fermatslibrary I wonder how many times students have unwittingly cranked out new proofs but their professors just published the proofs under their own name...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1071410178707415042", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1070868674033188864", "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:32:42+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 Just imagine: AI amalgamated, publically-available dirty laundry lists of everyone permanently inscribed in several blockchains. Feeling the pain of their own shame, most people couldn't resist looking up the shit on their friends.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1070868674033188864", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1070864448057942017", "created_at": "2018-12-07T02:15:54+00:00", "text": "@JimPropp Could the derivative of this number raised to the power of x be itself raised to the power of x?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1070864448057942017", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1070312971140784130", "created_at": "2018-12-05T13:44:32+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Needs more on the red as of 08:44 Eastern time!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1070312971140784130", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069940939429462016", "created_at": "2018-12-04T13:06:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheStoicEmperor: We needed all the information we could get.\n\nAll gossip is relevant in a small tribe.\n\nWe had to know where prey slept…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069940939429462016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069447638590898176", "created_at": "2018-12-03T04:26:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Mandeep1890: For parents who wants to do different for kids ( Parenting advice ) @tferriss @ThisIsSethsBlog #toolsoftitans https://t.co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069447638590898176", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069425324365103104", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:57:20+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl When I was talking abou an app, I was talking about apps on both user's phones to help them manage their secret keys that encrypt and decrypt the file. The camera can be turned off via the camera reading a particular QR code from each of their phones' app.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069425324365103104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069423585125720064", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:50:26+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl You are not getting it. No one signs an \"I consent\" waiver. Also, I am not saying this is the only way to protect against sexual assault or false accusation. This is just a way to reduce one's risk. Also, there is no need to go to personal attacks here.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069423585125720064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069421246985715713", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:41:08+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl If people care about privacy that much compared to the deterrence of not getting raped or falsely accused, then they don't have to use it.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069421246985715713", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069420820466974721", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:39:27+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl And this is not simply a phone app that could be hacked (although one might be able to be designed). You obviously did not read my idea. This is a standalone, securely designed video camera that two parties can rest knowing that it only records cryptographically secured video.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069420820466974721", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069419264107524097", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:33:16+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Without this technology, individuals only have the options of 1) deterring violence with their own word (obviously this does not and cannot always work) 2) Destroying their own privacy and their partner's for perfect accountability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069419264107524097", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069416274562871296", "created_at": "2018-12-03T02:21:23+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Have you considered what this technology could do for women? Perhaps prior rape victims? A system like this is the ultimate balance between deterring sexual violence and preserving privacy.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069416274562871296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069408298590511104", "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:49:41+00:00", "text": "@lpolovets @naval @eladgil You can't give up control even if you truly believe someone else can now do a far better job? If you really believe in your idea more than money, and also believe that person X really is, say, 3x the CEO as you, I feel that you ought to give up control.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069408298590511104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069403839843962880", "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:31:58+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl Does providing strong protection against false accusations, strong deterrence against rape, and nearly absolute proof of rape, should it occur, really prevent the proper education of kids that much? No one is saying to stop teaching kids about consent.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069403839843962880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069397655716065280", "created_at": "2018-12-03T01:07:24+00:00", "text": "@mizroba @Aella_Girl Very nice people 😄", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069397655716065280", "word_count": 3 }, { "id": "1069392290207141888", "created_at": "2018-12-03T00:46:04+00:00", "text": "@lafemmesaragona @Aella_Girl It's also not romantic to hope that you'll be able to sway a jury in the event you are raped or falsely accused of rape. But I'm not saying everyone should want this...it's just a tool for people that want more security.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069392290207141888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069391091592503296", "created_at": "2018-12-03T00:41:19+00:00", "text": "@TheLadyLycan @Aella_Girl This does not reduce the veracity of the word of victims that don't use it. It's just a way to protect people.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069391091592503296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069371545074745345", "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:23:38+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl We could call this system \"Sexurity\" and it could probably retail for under $200. It wouldn't be for everyone, but for those who have seen lives destroyed by rape as well as false accusation, this might provide the security they need in order to get back in the bedroom.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069371545074745345", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1069370287387541505", "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:18:39+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl Their apps could also quickly generate a private key which is instantly backed up online in a secured vault. Each participant could quickly input their private key into the special camera by having their phone app turn it into a QR code or two, which the camera scans.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069370287387541505", "word_count": 48 }, { "id": "1069369095097851904", "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:13:54+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl This camera could be designed to literally not work if it has been tampered with. E.g. you open up the case, the one- time password generator circuit gets ripped apart. The process could also be streamlined e.g. the authenticity of the camera can be quickly verified via an app.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069369095097851904", "word_count": 49 }, { "id": "1069368006273363973", "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:09:35+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl I argue that this is a small price to pay to have one essentially immune from false charges (and ensures the other person cannot walk away unpunished if they are guilty).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069368006273363973", "word_count": 31 }, { "id": "1069367347046215680", "created_at": "2018-12-02T23:06:58+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl The only real cost of this, aside from maybe killing the mood for a couple minutes, is to essentially have to give up one's right to not have one's sexual performance hidden from a special court in the event one is accused.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069367347046215680", "word_count": 42 }, { "id": "1069365222845091840", "created_at": "2018-12-02T22:58:31+00:00", "text": "@Aella_Girl This may sound extreme, but this seems like a valid way to protect people concerned about sexual assault and false-accusations. The scrambled video could also be safely uploaded to a secure website; it still would only be able to be deciphered with each persons private key.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1069365222845091840", "word_count": 46 }, { "id": "1069363165631270912", "created_at": "2018-12-02T22:50:21+00:00", "text": "This survey led me an alternative idea for solving this dilemma:", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1069363165631270912", "word_count": 11 }, { "id": "1068731917388980224", "created_at": "2018-12-01T05:01:59+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m I think the agent has got to get it right the first try. They had unlimited computations to get as much precision as they want & are capable off. If they can't get it by then, then their clearly is a limit to the types of computable problems that they can solve.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1068731917388980224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1068119091167272961", "created_at": "2018-11-29T12:26:50+00:00", "text": "@realwokieleaks @Whirblewind A theistic view also doesn't make the concept of free will coherent.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1068119091167272961", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1068118670747017216", "created_at": "2018-11-29T12:25:10+00:00", "text": "@realwokieleaks Just as free will isn't a coherent concept in this physical/biological world, it also doesn't make sense in a spiritual world. You don't have to be atheist to be realistic about the notion of free will.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1068118670747017216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1067801720154189824", "created_at": "2018-11-28T15:25:43+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @antonioregalado: holy cow Harvard Medical School dean George Daley is making the case, big time, and eloquently, FOR editing embryos, a…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1067801720154189824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1067800519891140608", "created_at": "2018-11-28T15:20:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @webmasterdave: Imagine if #CRISPR babies were the norm. Then some researcher encourages a couple to practise unlicensed genetic experim…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1067800519891140608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1066349138558767107", "created_at": "2018-11-24T15:13:41+00:00", "text": "@MaxReddel But it's not that good because traditions carry a lot of social momentum and people are not really even motivated to act rationally about them anyway.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1066349138558767107", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065797176889094144", "created_at": "2018-11-23T02:40:23+00:00", "text": "@Sevens_2 @sentientist I haven't been convinced that's bad for society. One sometimes needs to signal to find/maintain better allies and signaling about signaling doesn't look as dumb as just signaling. If you are going to violate a norm, it's best to let others know you know it's a norm.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065797176889094144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065749843740684289", "created_at": "2018-11-22T23:32:18+00:00", "text": "@normonics So you are alluding that there are some tweets in twitterspace that cannot be proved to be intoleratable?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065749843740684289", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065384772728471552", "created_at": "2018-11-21T23:21:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @yannick___m: This is one of the most well known definitions of intelligence: \n\n\"Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goa…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065384772728471552", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065288206982279168", "created_at": "2018-11-21T16:57:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: Suppose something — maybe nuclear winter, maybe a major volcanic eruption — limits our planet's access to sunlight. Co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065288206982279168", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065287396135194626", "created_at": "2018-11-21T16:54:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: Funny how economists always say 'we're modeling how people maximize utility, not just income!' and then they're puzzled whe…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065287396135194626", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065252195556368385", "created_at": "2018-11-21T14:34:49+00:00", "text": "Optimists can't find problem with doom and gloomers before analyzing their arguments and the data points that went into them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065252195556368385", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1065107594300325888", "created_at": "2018-11-21T05:00:13+00:00", "text": "@VidCon Imagine unmitigated catastrophic risks", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1065107594300325888", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064862867239915522", "created_at": "2018-11-20T12:47:46+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly Pair-Bonding+: Lessons from Six Sex Subcultures", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064862867239915522", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064859647629295618", "created_at": "2018-11-20T12:34:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @primalpoly: 'There is some level of technological development at which civilization almost certainly gets devastated by default' -- Pro…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064859647629295618", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064719702780448771", "created_at": "2018-11-20T03:18:53+00:00", "text": "@gaileyfrey Beat the entire Western world in a math modeling competition, placing in the top 11 of 3100+ teams (ICM problem D). Mind you this was the same weekend I had a ruck march and a SAMI (terribly strict room inspection) that took up about 1/4 of my the time for the competition.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064719702780448771", "word_count": 52 }, { "id": "1064523295679307776", "created_at": "2018-11-19T14:18:26+00:00", "text": "@d3athblad3 @fermatslibrary I don't see the visual proof as being that convenient, but the fraction of filled dots (1/4,5/16,21/64,85/256) get closer and closer to 1/3.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064523295679307776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064383534461263872", "created_at": "2018-11-19T05:03:04+00:00", "text": "@devonzuegel Chose 5 minutes of pain because of signaling & I feel like the rest of the day will be relatively enjoyable compared to that. Terrible smell and taste would just make me feel sick. Upsetting image is compelling, but I'm assuming that would probably stick around past 5 minutes.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064383534461263872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064382609516576768", "created_at": "2018-11-19T04:59:24+00:00", "text": "@primalpoly Very surprising to me it's not higher. Some combination of 22% of people are lying, are very bold in class, or have no opinions far outside the Overton window.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064382609516576768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064183499010310144", "created_at": "2018-11-18T15:48:12+00:00", "text": "@JoeChance_ @leftofthejokers @dynarski Very uncharitable take", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064183499010310144", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064058604926496768", "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:31:55+00:00", "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski That probably would have avoided a headache.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064058604926496768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064054685848485889", "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:16:20+00:00", "text": "@blsolow @dataandpolitics @dynarski Would you be less irked if I had no idea who Dynarksi was?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064054685848485889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064052987797090304", "created_at": "2018-11-18T07:09:36+00:00", "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski Is it really terrible that I spoke up with my honest thoughts about this? If one has been working on this for 20+ years, how hard is it to drop a link to enlighten me? It doesn't help bring someone to the light by assuming they're the worst kind of person with a sexist agenda", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064052987797090304", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064047592068341763", "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:48:09+00:00", "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski And because someone is going to misinterpret me: while it shouldn't matter (to the conversation), if I were the event organizers, I probably would have have sought out a woman speaker if one wasn't immediately obvious. I also have voted straight Dem so far in two elections.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064047592068341763", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064045992088137728", "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:41:48+00:00", "text": "@dataandpolitics @blsolow @dynarski Literally haven't even claimed I'm not sexist. That's not what we're discussing. This is literally a conversation involving proper interpretation of evidence. Get your identity politics out of here.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064045992088137728", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064041737738428417", "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:24:53+00:00", "text": "@bgreene I mean it's convenient that the same rules seem to govern throughout the universe. It's also convenient that there are not too many independent things actually going on. But idk if it's surprising that math describes this", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064041737738428417", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064036048748072961", "created_at": "2018-11-18T06:02:17+00:00", "text": "@HashtagGriswold @Halalcoholism Gonna have to update my odds for humanity surviving the century", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064036048748072961", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1064032174163312641", "created_at": "2018-11-18T05:46:53+00:00", "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski Culture of entitlement? How about it speaks to a culture of empowerment. I'm a 21 year old who feels empowered to have conversations with strangers. Also, we are only talking about the concepts of basic probability, bias, and affirmative action. It's not beyond many's depth :)", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1064032174163312641", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063995202195648512", "created_at": "2018-11-18T03:19:58+00:00", "text": "@blsolow @dynarski I was looking at percent of tenured professors. I was assuming this was the cohort the event organizers was interested in choosing from.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063995202195648512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063993946433642496", "created_at": "2018-11-18T03:14:59+00:00", "text": "@blsolow @dynarski Can you post a link? I have only found articles citing readability differences and carelessly assumed that's what Card, et al was about.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063993946433642496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063986588668047361", "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:45:45+00:00", "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski This whole mess could have been avoided and I wouldn't have 'mansplained' if only I took the less charitable assumption that Dynarski meant: \"These stooges aren't using affirmative action\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063986588668047361", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063983120070905856", "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:31:58+00:00", "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski The other was the more innocent interpretation that >=1 woman was statistically expected, and that the organizers are biased for not doing so.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063983120070905856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063978202912174080", "created_at": "2018-11-18T02:12:25+00:00", "text": "@leftofthejokers @dynarski You're focusing on everything but my argument.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063978202912174080", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063970901602041857", "created_at": "2018-11-18T01:43:25+00:00", "text": "@mbrookerob @dynarski What about representing other groups? I don't see anyone fighting for at least one speaker to be gay, or disabled, or of certain races, or any combination thereof.If we can't or don't want go off merit & must shoot for meeting certain quotas, shouldn't our quotas be proportional?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063970901602041857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063653402528411648", "created_at": "2018-11-17T04:41:47+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/YDwrqCqeDl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063653402528411648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063652803221102592", "created_at": "2018-11-17T04:39:24+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/CvacvNyiTH", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063652803221102592", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063621194677739520", "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:33:48+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson https://t.co/EU3Uw3ObSR\nEdward Wimmer led a team that created live polio virus from scratch and said, \"any one of thousands of members of the American Society for Virology could figure out how to do the same\". Couldn't one of them be a radical negative utilitarian and act alone?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063621194677739520", "word_count": 50 }, { "id": "1063616616271937536", "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:15:37+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Any radicalized negative utilitarian can get a microbiology PhD and eventually engineer a pandemic that kills as many as several nuclear weapons.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063616616271937536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063615013435465729", "created_at": "2018-11-17T02:09:14+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson New research shows Navinder Sarao isn't as responsible for the 2010 Flash Crash as people originally thought (certainly the market was ripe for this sort of attack), but no matter how you divide it up, one dude still erased a lot of wealth.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063615013435465729", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1063607674292633603", "created_at": "2018-11-17T01:40:05+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson Very interesting! The implications of your idea seem to be in conflict with those from Nick Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis. World government is risky, but so are billions of powerful, free actors once future technology develops far enough.\n\nhttps://t.co/Xw7KGH5TWD https://t.co/f3KoqHtmD7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1063607674292633603", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1062497762032447493", "created_at": "2018-11-14T00:09:41+00:00", "text": "@EPoe187 Many here seem to be confusing the worst kinds of armchair utilitarianism, with all its spurious rationalization, with Bayesian decision theory-based utilitarianism, which is the formal, axiomatic, and rational way to process information & make decisions for any utility function.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1062497762032447493", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1062493185874804737", "created_at": "2018-11-13T23:51:30+00:00", "text": "@SpencerJayCase @EPoe187 If we confine ourselves to actions with only 99.9% chance of success, we miss out in the long run on tons of potential value. Costly clinical trials for drugs have less than a 20% success rate, yet the utility of drugs that pass, on average, make up for the expense of all of them", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1062493185874804737", "word_count": 54 }, { "id": "1062066721815756800", "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:36:53+00:00", "text": "@tojosp @primalpoly What work could a volunteer do for 3 years that could cover the cost of a college degree?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1062066721815756800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1062063515727478785", "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:24:08+00:00", "text": "@jprwg Any values held by any rational agent are always held with a degree of belief. The degrees of beliefs in which values are held are not immutable to rational agents, and can change according to new evidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1062063515727478785", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1062062756424224768", "created_at": "2018-11-12T19:21:07+00:00", "text": "@jprwg We don't have to be able to pin down exactly how good or bad a given experience is in order to have productive conversations about suffering-risks. I don't think any of the authors hold immutable views about the possibility and likelihood of certain subjective experiences.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1062062756424224768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1061500878312652800", "created_at": "2018-11-11T06:08:25+00:00", "text": "@80000Hours Dream job right there", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1061500878312652800", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1061498323490783232", "created_at": "2018-11-11T05:58:16+00:00", "text": "@WilliamCossen Existential risk redefines preemptive strike permissiveness", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1061498323490783232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1061495638003802112", "created_at": "2018-11-11T05:47:36+00:00", "text": "@WilliamCossen Runaway evolution could cause cosmic suffering", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1061495638003802112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059596323824025600", "created_at": "2018-11-06T00:00:24+00:00", "text": "@farnamstreet Effective altruism. I.e. life can have a lot of meaning to me because I can do an enormous amount of good if I am rational and careful enough.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059596323824025600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059511410579984386", "created_at": "2018-11-05T18:22:59+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Sleep is not something to mess with if you care about long term health + performance. The biggest thing that helps me is to have something covering my eyes + a dark, cool room. I also like to do some deliberate breathing & sometimes journaling if I don't feel tired but it's time", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059511410579984386", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059319838923988992", "created_at": "2018-11-05T05:41:45+00:00", "text": "@normonics He is probably saying 'extremely possible' because he doesn't want to be seen for being 'wrong' a second time. I bet he'd still be willing to bet based off the odds of his prediction", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059319838923988992", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059319718073524224", "created_at": "2018-11-05T05:41:16+00:00", "text": "@normonics He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8. Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake. A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059319718073524224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059307616663429120", "created_at": "2018-11-05T04:53:11+00:00", "text": "@math_rachel @realpython https://t.co/hBJEvhPN1y. The mathematical programming challenges provided me with the motivation I needed to learn programming. I couldn't solve these problems any other way.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059307616663429120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059287823587725312", "created_at": "2018-11-05T03:34:32+00:00", "text": "@nntaleb @NateSilver538 He is probably saying 'extremely possible' because he doesn't want to be seen for being 'wrong' a second time. I bet he'd still be willing to bet based off the odds of his prediction", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059287823587725312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059284765248049152", "created_at": "2018-11-05T03:22:23+00:00", "text": "@nntaleb He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8. Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake. A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059284765248049152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1059274022716928000", "created_at": "2018-11-05T02:39:42+00:00", "text": "@iosif_lazaridis @nntaleb He still is saying p(Dems overtake)=.8. Even if he said p(Dems overtake)=.5, that still is a prediction that in half of all future worlds, Dems overtake. A prediction is still a prediction if the posterior probability=prior probability.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1059274022716928000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058920712679948288", "created_at": "2018-11-04T03:15:46+00:00", "text": "@sapinker I'm pretty sure all we can say if they get to us is that they are hyper-fit for space travel. Who's to say the Blind Idiot God (evolution by natural selection) rewarded their ancestors who randomly had outgroup empathy?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058920712679948288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058917320813359104", "created_at": "2018-11-04T03:02:17+00:00", "text": "@keithfrankish @mizroba https://t.co/NgU2iMHC1B\nRisks of Astronomical Future Suffering by @reducesuffering", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058917320813359104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058909277950263297", "created_at": "2018-11-04T02:30:20+00:00", "text": "@lastpositivist Alright, alright", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058909277950263297", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058905550740746240", "created_at": "2018-11-04T02:15:31+00:00", "text": "@lastpositivist As are all of our still-favored, but wrong claims", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058905550740746240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058900764339380230", "created_at": "2018-11-04T01:56:30+00:00", "text": "@lastpositivist That's just irrational. If there truly are no reasons to expect that one's actions coud probabilistically lead in any way towards desirable outcome X, then one is being a fool for trying. A cause can be potentially impactful and neglected, but if it is intractable, move on.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058900764339380230", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1058885400649969664", "created_at": "2018-11-04T00:55:27+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MaxFagin: 5/ Every unit you've ever used is \"officially\" derived from these 7 units. A gallon? Officially 0.003785 m^3. One atmosphere…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1058885400649969664", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1057472310729420801", "created_at": "2018-10-31T03:20:20+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 As long as one agent has the intelligence to reduce the bandwidth of the argument enough for the other agent to be able process it, I think both agents will be able to verify that they agree about the optimality of a particular course of action given a set of shared information.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1057472310729420801", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1057455844319772672", "created_at": "2018-10-31T02:14:54+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 I don't know a great definition of intelligence..suppose it's conducting X computations over time. Suppose these two agents can agree about any of the smallest minutiae (2+2=4).As long as they share their computations and don't keep them hidden, I don't think != intel is an issue", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1057455844319772672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1056350150719930369", "created_at": "2018-10-28T01:01:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @iamdevloper: when your code works first time and you feel a bit dizzy https://t.co/wepZ8Gp9fl", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1056350150719930369", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1056349444755595266", "created_at": "2018-10-28T00:58:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @cory: Track as much as possible. \n\nWhen I started tracking sleep, diet, and exercise... all drastically improved.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1056349444755595266", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1056349196150861824", "created_at": "2018-10-28T00:57:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanSandhoefner: An underrated question for conversation and reflection: \"Which aspects of life in 2018 will most shock or appall futur…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1056349196150861824", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1055961388668149771", "created_at": "2018-10-26T23:16:28+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m @EvanSandhoefner @matthew_allcock Wish I could have gone this year. Got approved but am stuck here at West Point", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1055961388668149771", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1055147378100068355", "created_at": "2018-10-24T17:21:53+00:00", "text": "@fermatslibrary Have degrees of (falsifiable) belief,Test hypotheses,Update degrees of belief based on evidence,Question everything,Mutation & selection drive evolution,combine electricity+wires+simple logic to solve problems,Beware of cognitive biases,track progress,free speech/market=$", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1055147378100068355", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1054559631203360768", "created_at": "2018-10-23T02:26:23+00:00", "text": "@HavidTweets I'm sure trust has something to do with it. It often takes trust to bring up something emotionally interesting enough to talk about.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1054559631203360768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053353750381891587", "created_at": "2018-10-19T18:34:39+00:00", "text": "@edwest https://t.co/MVI3BgWsK3 https://t.co/cg4Qv8KMAB", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053353750381891587", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053285011980455936", "created_at": "2018-10-19T14:01:30+00:00", "text": "@Evolving_Ego These do seem to all have some degree of merit and aren't mutually exclusive. They also do not seem to capture the entire system.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053285011980455936", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053278895519268865", "created_at": "2018-10-19T13:37:12+00:00", "text": "@fermatslibrary I floccinaucinihilipilificate the assignment of a word for the 6-th derivative of a position vector.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053278895519268865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053127825786617856", "created_at": "2018-10-19T03:36:54+00:00", "text": "@ltreszkai I say this because so many people short change sophisticated (as opposed to naive) utilitarianism all the time, as if an agent adhering to probability and utility theory postulates could make a more accurate decision (prediction) with *less* information processing.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053127825786617856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053126292449697792", "created_at": "2018-10-19T03:30:48+00:00", "text": "@ltreszkai It's a thought experiment with no time/energy constraints. It's to highlight the notion that a theoretical rational agent/Turing machine cannot crank out more optimal predictions than otherwise with *less* computations.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053126292449697792", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053110439842906112", "created_at": "2018-10-19T02:27:49+00:00", "text": "@normonics @TheAliceSmith I don't think we want to rely on a finite few billionaire's & trillionaire's charity once they own they legally own the vast majority of resources. Thus, I think it's reasonably to argue that it's probably ideal to have *some* level of economic regulation and redistribution.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053110439842906112", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1053106271333859328", "created_at": "2018-10-19T02:11:15+00:00", "text": "@normonics @TheAliceSmith How far is that away from social darwinism? How can a young person have a chance at getting ahead without resorting to physical violence, in say, year 2100 if we were to stop all taxation and economic regulation beyond what is minimally required to support law-enforcement?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1053106271333859328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1052043660479660033", "created_at": "2018-10-16T03:48:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @voxdotcom: 1/ If you worry about the big challenges we face — global poverty, climate change, large-scale factory farming, pandemics —…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1052043660479660033", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1052041314727006208", "created_at": "2018-10-16T03:39:30+00:00", "text": "@robinhanson As a student in philosophy now (I know, I am such an expert /s) I agree. I like Paul Graham's take on it: https://t.co/Vlpr9rTmp0. He doesn't argue precisely what you are arguing, but he offers a healthy condemnation that traditional philosophy needs.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1052041314727006208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1051999125716258816", "created_at": "2018-10-16T00:51:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @yannick___m: Basic line of argument for the importance of shaping the far future and reducing existential risk, outlined by Nick Beckst…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1051999125716258816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1051958213330067456", "created_at": "2018-10-15T22:09:17+00:00", "text": "@Naija_PR Huge asteroid incoming", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1051958213330067456", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1051926492215746560", "created_at": "2018-10-15T20:03:14+00:00", "text": "@keithfrankish Nick Beckstead's thesis 'On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future';\nSam Harris's book \"Lying\"; William MacAskill's book \"Doing Good Better\",\nand the general principle of expected utility maximization.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1051926492215746560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1051132983980253185", "created_at": "2018-10-13T15:30:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @mizroba: Thomas Nagel on Death\nhttps://t.co/qy9nEBwRp1 https://t.co/84Lmxn5fbn", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1051132983980253185", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050757644607246337", "created_at": "2018-10-12T14:38:39+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock The sort of information that could plausibly be discovered that yields it is more than unlikely the case that there generally are deleterious consequences to asking \"What sort of information could change one's mind about X\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050757644607246337", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050710738958987264", "created_at": "2018-10-12T11:32:16+00:00", "text": "@joesmith323 @GarettJones He did.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050710738958987264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050710095330496512", "created_at": "2018-10-12T11:29:42+00:00", "text": "@GarettJones Is that all it takes to win a Nobel prize? Not to be too vain, but I had that entire thought last year. I guess I should look into economics.\n\nWould Romer agree we want to mine a lot more intellectual ideas via carefully genetically engineering people to be more intelligent?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050710095330496512", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196276837535744", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:58+00:00", "text": "I felt like a million $ during this time period until the reality set in that I was still 45 upper-level credits from my BA. That's when I finally thought about West Point and decided to apply. /storyComplete", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196276837535744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196273150738432", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:57+00:00", "text": "and validated like 50+ semester hours worth of college over the next 2 weeks (15 credit hours in one long day). Talk about a self-esteem boost for a kid who didn't do so hot academically his last 2 years of high school. https://t.co/YTdZm2q0QS", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196273150738432", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196261251485699", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:55+00:00", "text": "And passed! Not tooting my own horn too much--these tests were multiple choice and I think one needed like a 70% to pass. Anyway, long story short, ya boy road a wave of euphoria for the next two weeks as he passed test after test,", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196261251485699", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196259758383104", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:54+00:00", "text": "I wanted to take another, but I couldn't miss work that much. After much searching, I eventually found a testing center that was open outside of my work hours. ~50 mins away in Norfolk. So I signed up for two more, drove their after work, and took some tests until like 2100...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196259758383104", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196257275305986", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:54+00:00", "text": "'DANTES' college course validation exams--for free. I asked my chain-of-command if I could miss work for a few hours to take an exam at the local testing center, and they said yes. Signed up to validate one, studied a bit, and passed! A semesters worth of effort saved!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196257275305986", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050196255568203777", "created_at": "2018-10-11T01:27:53+00:00", "text": "but I was so far away from senior enlisted positions or becoming an officer. I signed up for a college class online, but hated how long it was going to take me to get a degree and reach my goals. One day, I discovered I could take College Board's CLEP and", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050196255568203777", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050166591273533442", "created_at": "2018-10-10T23:30:01+00:00", "text": "@simongerman600 People are allowed to be hypocritical. This photographer may not have been able to do this if not for expected $.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050166591273533442", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050164367076065281", "created_at": "2018-10-10T23:21:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sciam: Science funding is broken and the way we pay for science does not encourage the best results. Here are 9 ways we are doing it wr…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050164367076065281", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050089738697404418", "created_at": "2018-10-10T18:24:38+00:00", "text": "@annemscheel @hardsci X=save a life or results at least are expected to pay for themselves\nY=.2\nIf N,P=0,0, that shouldn't affect true altruists, but high N and P's (N>10,P>100) can really make a hypothesis interesting insofar as we are motivated by status.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050089738697404418", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1050065417593675776", "created_at": "2018-10-10T16:47:59+00:00", "text": "@annemscheel @hardsci I'll venture a guess and say the most interesting hypotheses: (1) have an impact greater than X if true (2) I assign them a prior probability for them being true between Y and 1-Y (3) Have been overlooked by N scientists (4) P people will care about the results", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1050065417593675776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049831656343900160", "created_at": "2018-10-10T01:19:06+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @seanmcarroll: Love this interactive timeline of philosophical ideas. Not only to you get the ideas, but linkages showing who agreed/dis…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049831656343900160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049481741759643648", "created_at": "2018-10-09T02:08:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @devonzuegel: \"The more severe the imposition of the single hierarchy in people’s lives, the more likely they are to engage in conflict…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049481741759643648", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049442259010289670", "created_at": "2018-10-08T23:31:46+00:00", "text": "@mizroba Well my only real-world obligation at this point was to show up to school and pass my classes!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049442259010289670", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049154351019831296", "created_at": "2018-10-08T04:27:44+00:00", "text": "@Fake_Name1234 @reasonisfun That's not a violation of expected utility if you assign negative utility on continued living. And having to invoke a right to justify that muddles the issue to me. Do I want to live in a world where people are generally forced to live longer than they want to? No.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049154351019831296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049136602138779649", "created_at": "2018-10-08T03:17:12+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @hankgreen: Retweet this if you are going to vote every single chance you get until you're dead.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049136602138779649", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1049063172441890819", "created_at": "2018-10-07T22:25:25+00:00", "text": "@nntaleb This seems like a good rule of thumb, but there simply is not enough information processing here to ensure this is what ethical behavior actually looks like. What if you find out from your friend that they have plans to release smallpox into the population? You can't act on that?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1049063172441890819", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1048989565518843904", "created_at": "2018-10-07T17:32:56+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun The best we can do in many optimization problems is approximate.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1048989565518843904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1048695897725554688", "created_at": "2018-10-06T22:06:00+00:00", "text": "@ilichcarGramsci I included \"... at least try to\" because by one definition, any thinking we do is within our psycho-social frame of reference. Do you agree that whatever actual (optimal) ethical action (we'll call 'x') for a situation 'y' is going to be counter-intuitive in many situations 'y's?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1048695897725554688", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1048689363922706434", "created_at": "2018-10-06T21:40:02+00:00", "text": "@reasonisfun https://t.co/fY40nCq2MY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1048689363922706434", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1047617247500537857", "created_at": "2018-10-03T22:39:50+00:00", "text": "@Ol_Wall @fermatslibrary I found my mistake. Code checks out.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1047617247500537857", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1047551036955742208", "created_at": "2018-10-03T18:16:44+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/4Gba7at7So", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1047551036955742208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1047343167228563457", "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:30:44+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @devonzuegel: I feel *very* disproportionately good about myself for bringing a reusable bag to the market\n\nis this how moral licensing…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1047343167228563457", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1047343064518471680", "created_at": "2018-10-03T04:30:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: Vox's Ezra Klein has a clever strategy for maintaining his vegan identity, and EA writer Tobias Leenaert sums it up he…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1047343064518471680", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1047088110167871488", "created_at": "2018-10-02T11:37:14+00:00", "text": "@DragonGod2718 Really? Both Oppenheimer and Krishna in the Bhagavad Gita use the format I use. https://t.co/tPzhuKJsCy", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1047088110167871488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046854715852673026", "created_at": "2018-10-01T20:09:48+00:00", "text": "@DylanSlagh To the extent that a negative utilitarian thinks that extinction is morally desirable, a negative utilitarian who is aware of s-risks (and how bad life could possibly get) probably prefers extinction more.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046854715852673026", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046829555636408320", "created_at": "2018-10-01T18:29:49+00:00", "text": "@jprwg That's fair. That's what a proper scale would look like. I just feel that most people's independent conception of '-3 could not be made up with most people's insependent conception of '3' on a wellbeing scale from -10 to 10. But a proper scale would account for that.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046829555636408320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046816913240854529", "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:39:35+00:00", "text": "@jprwg https://t.co/kBPQGxc30a\nI don't think negative utilitarians are being fair though if they do not factor in the probabilities of exceptionally positive outcomes like the one Nick Bostrom writes about in the link.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046816913240854529", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046816455029936128", "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:37:46+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I do feel that any units of suffering are basically logarithmic i.e. you need somebody to experience a well-being of +7 to make up for someone experiencing suffering of a degree of -2, or +20 for -3.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046816455029936128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046815293245464576", "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:33:09+00:00", "text": "@jprwg I have not read up enough on negative-utilitarianism, but I agree that increasing the risk of extinction does sound like a way to prevent expected suffering. A huge question is what degree of wellbeing is necessary to make up for a particular magnitude of suffering.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046815293245464576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046811959667167233", "created_at": "2018-10-01T17:19:54+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/LcjwpTYPgk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046811959667167233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046800801895788545", "created_at": "2018-10-01T16:35:34+00:00", "text": "@normonics My prior probability is low for there being unforeseen events that are bad enough to make it not worth ending malaria. We should at least be creating a research committee to try to really answer the question of \"should we\".", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046800801895788545", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1046799455801016320", "created_at": "2018-10-01T16:30:13+00:00", "text": "@normonics Nature surely has multiple points of equilibrium. No one is saying making mosquitos extinct won't bump us out of our current one, and have black swan downsides. But we certainly aren't living in a perfect point of equilibrium now (e.g. millions of DALY's caused by Malaria).", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1046799455801016320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1045083975503532032", "created_at": "2018-09-26T22:53:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheStoicEmperor: A friend is someone you can share your incomplete thoughts with.\n\nPeople need a private space where they can speak and…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1045083975503532032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1044987198481862656", "created_at": "2018-09-26T16:28:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: 35 years ago today, a Soviet nuclear warning system alerted officer Stanislav Petrov to an incoming American attack. H…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1044987198481862656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1044934521655840768", "created_at": "2018-09-26T12:59:38+00:00", "text": "@JoshuaBowen_100 If GEN Schwarzkopf is true, it sounds like ethicists are generally wasting their time.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1044934521655840768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1042978566009438208", "created_at": "2018-09-21T03:27:22+00:00", "text": "Literally any 'problem' one finds in a particular Bayesian-ethical line of reasoning is just a new probability and utility to account for, and does not overthrow the only rational way to make decisions.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1042978566009438208", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1042931577666392065", "created_at": "2018-09-21T00:20:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheAnnaGat: When I turned 30 I made a resolution that whenever something is linguistically and technically comprehensible to me, I must…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1042931577666392065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1042483005640646657", "created_at": "2018-09-19T18:38:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Effect_Altruism: It's difficult to predict the future, especially in the very long-term. However, there are good moral arguments to pri…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1042483005640646657", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1042211542865985537", "created_at": "2018-09-19T00:39:29+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/iy0icqEOkr", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1042211542865985537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1042208669918801920", "created_at": "2018-09-19T00:28:04+00:00", "text": "@yannick___m Seems true from both a social Darwinism and an information theory, negentropy-preserving perspective.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1042208669918801920", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1041529557034119169", "created_at": "2018-09-17T03:29:31+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WPAOG: U.S. News & World Report ranks West Point #1 Top Public School in 2019 Best Colleges rankings. USMA also #4/Undergrad Engineerin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1041529557034119169", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1040747752471322625", "created_at": "2018-09-14T23:42:55+00:00", "text": "Hence, normative ethical rules asserted without doubt are ridiculous", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1040747752471322625", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1040738751889195008", "created_at": "2018-09-14T23:07:09+00:00", "text": "@Intrinsic29 How could you do anything but change yourself and the world at any given moment?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1040738751889195008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1040208843131834368", "created_at": "2018-09-13T12:01:29+00:00", "text": "My rendition of Joplin's \"Maple Leaf Rag\". Spending hours learning piano definitely is not productive in the grand scheme of things, but that is already behind me, & playing for ~20 minutes every other week is less terrible. #checkmatePeterSinger\n\nhttps://\nphotos.app.goo.gl/YV6NSaZkePRuAH\na18\n…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/1040208843131834368", "word_count": 43 }, { "id": "1039207250194325504", "created_at": "2018-09-10T17:41:30+00:00", "text": "@matthew_allcock I have a lot of uncertainty about courses of action in support of wellbeing, but I really cannot think of anything besides wellbeing that could have any intrinsic moral worth. But I'm open to new evidence!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1039207250194325504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1039188208624578561", "created_at": "2018-09-10T16:25:50+00:00", "text": "@tferriss Doesn't mean I always want the distress gone. It can be motivating. If the distress goes away prematurely, I may not be molded by it properly. It's not like I can always act perfectly rationally, without emotions like distress guiding me.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1039188208624578561", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038974128441708544", "created_at": "2018-09-10T02:15:10+00:00", "text": "@DylanSlagh Appreciate that! That cleared things up. I am more confident in my claim. Of course a perfectly random bit string could be the same as any bit string that has been able to be effectively compressed. My confusion stemmed from there being two definitions of randomness.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038974128441708544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038963084147269633", "created_at": "2018-09-10T01:31:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @naval: A future society may support overclocking brilliant young scientists with mental performance enhancing drugs to get more scienti…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038963084147269633", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038955529756962819", "created_at": "2018-09-10T01:01:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nntaleb: Principles of Politics under Complexity\n\n(Thread) https://t.co/VszqPkjFdQ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038955529756962819", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038925752723546113", "created_at": "2018-09-09T23:02:56+00:00", "text": "Let's say you get ridiculously, 1 in 3^3^3 universes lucky, and end up with a data string of a lot of repeating bytes. You are telling me you couldn't compress that random data, a little bit, at all?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038925752723546113", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038893697964941312", "created_at": "2018-09-09T20:55:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DylanSlagh: Wow, easily one of the best @80000Hours episodes yet. I’ve never thought a podcast could inspire me to find the bottleneck…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038893697964941312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1038853757155639302", "created_at": "2018-09-09T18:16:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheAnnaGat: Make sure you're fully mindful of the fact that:\n\nYou live in a unique, loud, exciting, intellectually complicated and stim…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1038853757155639302", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1034628742860165120", "created_at": "2018-08-29T02:28:09+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: The US incarcerates so many people (more than any other country except maybe North Korea!) that imprisoning a few more or l…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1034628742860165120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1034479079804882944", "created_at": "2018-08-28T16:33:26+00:00", "text": "@warrenbuffet99 Why be humble? I am not saying you (fake account) are wrong, but giving reasons would strengthen your argument. \"Bragging does less to strengthen social bonds then it does to make others envious/hateful of you.\"", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1034479079804882944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1033157169351413761", "created_at": "2018-08-25T01:00:38+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/4pLetVE6nW", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1033157169351413761", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1031705592790953984", "created_at": "2018-08-21T00:52:36+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/NcCxxkeZEc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1031705592790953984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1031362501764673536", "created_at": "2018-08-20T02:09:16+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ELZddnyRsx", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1031362501764673536", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1030640644564439040", "created_at": "2018-08-18T02:20:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheStoicEmperor: Reaction is the enemy of creation.\n\nCreation requires deep sustained focus.\n\nThis focus is under constant attack by \"n…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1030640644564439040", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1030472772718395393", "created_at": "2018-08-17T15:13:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nikkigladstone: A must read (as always) from @zeynep on how the use of digital technologies has transformed over the last decade, from…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1030472772718395393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1030046933400924160", "created_at": "2018-08-16T11:01:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ExistentialRisk: Special issue: Futures of Research in Catastrophic and Existential Risk\nhttps://t.co/UOxkqB5Xw4\nFutures of research in…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1030046933400924160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1028789691997405189", "created_at": "2018-08-12T23:45:51+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @DenisLaw_WFT: New breed of Crocodile discovered in South Wales woodland https://t.co/2gpIuNPjWS", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1028789691997405189", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1026961961517494272", "created_at": "2018-08-07T22:43:06+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/lbdsRQRzGn", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1026961961517494272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1026604961675673600", "created_at": "2018-08-06T23:04:30+00:00", "text": "@RyanHoliday And anyone who disagrees obviously isn't living a good life /s", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1026604961675673600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1026164133375488002", "created_at": "2018-08-05T17:52:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WarintheFuture: Why mastering the profession of arms matters. https://t.co/DIgdeOpB9O", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1026164133375488002", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1025107461185986560", "created_at": "2018-08-02T19:53:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @USArmy: Making sure no Soldier is ever left behind.\n\nThe #USArmy is investing in new technology that can send a distress signal on a cl…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1025107461185986560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1024802744803065858", "created_at": "2018-08-01T23:43:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sciam: New research suggests that a General Dark Factor of Personality (D-factor) exists among the human population, and that this fact…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1024802744803065858", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1022310195119226880", "created_at": "2018-07-26T02:38:38+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: An intriguing proposal from a friend: Make education status into a protected class. Employers can no longer discriminate ba…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1022310195119226880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1020400932713099265", "created_at": "2018-07-20T20:11:55+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/zIGhoQUyOR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1020400932713099265", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1015070405856514050", "created_at": "2018-07-06T03:10:18+00:00", "text": "@TEDTalks I was literally thinking about the discovery of new pigments today. Neat coincidence.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1015070405856514050", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1014640910859210753", "created_at": "2018-07-04T22:43:38+00:00", "text": "@BobbieA10284800 https://t.co/AJVpOcrxeJ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1014640910859210753", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1014612078441697280", "created_at": "2018-07-04T20:49:04+00:00", "text": "@BobbieA10284800 Nick Bostrom puts it better than I can https://t.co/RaMN81VYc7", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1014612078441697280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1013944870166319113", "created_at": "2018-07-03T00:37:49+00:00", "text": "@BobbieA10284800 Why?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1013944870166319113", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1012871947946868737", "created_at": "2018-06-30T01:34:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: Things that make my heart sing:\n1. Pareto improvements\n2. People updating on evidence\n3. People cooperating in one-off pris…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1012871947946868737", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1005410407434080256", "created_at": "2018-06-09T11:24:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @naval: How to Get Rich (without getting lucky):", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1005410407434080256", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1005407582931111942", "created_at": "2018-06-09T11:13:41+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @muneeb: The highest marginal utility of an hour spent is on the life dimension that you ignore the most.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1005407582931111942", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1003114894328201216", "created_at": "2018-06-03T03:23:22+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ESYudkowsky: \"But surely,\" they said, \"not even a superintelligence could escape an airgapped computer inside a Faraday cage with no hu…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1003114894328201216", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1002861676369195008", "created_at": "2018-06-02T10:37:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @zeynep: YouTube is the top online platform for teens, says @pewinternet. Here's @alanburdick in the @newyorker on how YouTube's extremi…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1002861676369195008", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1002861176928251904", "created_at": "2018-06-02T10:35:11+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @SJosephBurns: “If you're offended easily, you're a bad resource allocator. It's a waste of energy and attention, which is a greater sin…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1002861176928251904", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1002727932320722944", "created_at": "2018-06-02T01:45:43+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/OZDDwd8oxk", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1002727932320722944", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1002238251661496320", "created_at": "2018-05-31T17:19:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Keira_Havens: @Satirony #Gradschool should be entirely rethought - fun #gradstudents to replicate studies in their field for a year or…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1002238251661496320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1001147981586976768", "created_at": "2018-05-28T17:07:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @votevets: This is the most inappropriate #MemorialDay comment that a @POTUS has ever made. Self-promotion on a day to remember the fall…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1001147981586976768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1000782999917617152", "created_at": "2018-05-27T16:57:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @fr3ino: Because of #GDPR, USA Today decided to run a separate version of their website for EU users, which has all the tracking scripts…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1000782999917617152", "word_count": null }, { "id": "1000006577963831296", "created_at": "2018-05-25T13:32:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: Going to create a site where the public can rate the core truth of any article & track the credibility score over time of eac…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/1000006577963831296", "word_count": null }, { "id": "999718620027596801", "created_at": "2018-05-24T18:27:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: An under appreciated benefit of avoiding snark is it makes it so much easier to change your mind. Compare:\n\n“X seems false”…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/999718620027596801", "word_count": null }, { "id": "998766499505598465", "created_at": "2018-05-22T03:24:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @yannick___m: Asking what future historians will find most interesting about the current time (plus/minus 4 years) usually is a good heu…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/998766499505598465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "996484902416773122", "created_at": "2018-05-15T20:18:09+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/fEYeeVXVtS", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/996484902416773122", "word_count": null }, { "id": "996339409590079488", "created_at": "2018-05-15T10:40:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: What’s actually amazing about this accident is that a Model S hit a fire truck at 60mph and the driver only broke an ankle. A…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/996339409590079488", "word_count": null }, { "id": "996339351163457538", "created_at": "2018-05-15T10:39:47+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: It’s super messed up that a Tesla crash resulting in a broken ankle is front page news and the ~40,000 people who died in US…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/996339351163457538", "word_count": null }, { "id": "995794350692020225", "created_at": "2018-05-13T22:34:08+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AthertonKD: Real talk: there should be a Foreign Service academy like the military service academies and if we're going to ever rebuild…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/995794350692020225", "word_count": null }, { "id": "995507813899276288", "created_at": "2018-05-13T03:35:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sciam: In the future, far larger and thinner lightsails could potentially propel miniaturized spacecraft to destinations around the sol…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/995507813899276288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "993906426371346433", "created_at": "2018-05-08T17:32:12+00:00", "text": "@willmacaskill Loved reading that paper", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/993906426371346433", "word_count": null }, { "id": "991538126173736960", "created_at": "2018-05-02T04:41:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RANDCorporation: \"In the future, the speed born of new technologies will create unprecedented social and ethical dilemmas.\" https://t.c…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/991538126173736960", "word_count": null }, { "id": "991503880860192768", "created_at": "2018-05-02T02:25:21+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/z4D9UR7v0C", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/991503880860192768", "word_count": null }, { "id": "991500191055347712", "created_at": "2018-05-02T02:10:41+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/xTK8ZKbWST", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/991500191055347712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "982848436725624832", "created_at": "2018-04-08T05:11:42+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/vSgyr7DWtR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/982848436725624832", "word_count": null }, { "id": "981277164376076288", "created_at": "2018-04-03T21:08:01+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @TheStoicEmperor: You can't say it, so you are discouraged from thinking it.\n\nYou can't think it, so you are discouraged from seeing it.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/981277164376076288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "972011293455482880", "created_at": "2018-03-09T07:28:46+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/MEdrLINkhw", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/972011293455482880", "word_count": null }, { "id": "960624098555686913", "created_at": "2018-02-05T21:20:07+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: Falcon Heavy sends a car to Mars https://t.co/Y7uBtU6Mt2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/960624098555686913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "959247248759709697", "created_at": "2018-02-02T02:09:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: The rumor that I’m secretly creating a zombie apocalypse to generate demand for flamethrowers is completely false", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/959247248759709697", "word_count": null }, { "id": "954489598557802496", "created_at": "2018-01-19T23:03:48+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/kLDC8PhXmS", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/954489598557802496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "947982967938437121", "created_at": "2018-01-02T00:08:46+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/EEhBuQ9WMK", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/947982967938437121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "946619076222341121", "created_at": "2017-12-29T05:49:09+00:00", "text": "@PhDemetri I personally advise against that. It's too easy to end up overdoing it and wasting time. There are healthier, more effective ways to decompress anyways", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/946619076222341121", "word_count": null }, { "id": "946201276152537088", "created_at": "2017-12-28T02:08:58+00:00", "text": "@kristianangyal @juliagalef What?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/946201276152537088", "word_count": null }, { "id": "943057438105849856", "created_at": "2017-12-19T09:56:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @juliagalef: A good example of the mind holding two different contradictory sets of beliefs, concrete and abstract, each serving its own…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/943057438105849856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "941753213111455744", "created_at": "2017-12-15T19:33:57+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/UgN4CthR3D", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/941753213111455744", "word_count": null }, { "id": "941676453774680065", "created_at": "2017-12-15T14:28:56+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/0sBnkHDQXB", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/941676453774680065", "word_count": null }, { "id": "941676195250352128", "created_at": "2017-12-15T14:27:55+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/PI7Nz3IHoX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/941676195250352128", "word_count": null }, { "id": "940741616549146624", "created_at": "2017-12-13T00:34:14+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @geomblog: @vj_chidambaram I find that in any public communication of work (whether as a paper, a talk, or even a grant proposal), the q…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/940741616549146624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "940574584469848064", "created_at": "2017-12-12T13:30:30+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ZQoeuvFSBr", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/940574584469848064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "936033939860414465", "created_at": "2017-11-30T00:47:36+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/Ht4grkHfgz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/936033939860414465", "word_count": null }, { "id": "934941060454862849", "created_at": "2017-11-27T00:24:53+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/uxyD12eiUT", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/934941060454862849", "word_count": null }, { "id": "934871051175186434", "created_at": "2017-11-26T19:46:42+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/NjS8KxKEZI", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/934871051175186434", "word_count": null }, { "id": "905985956305674240", "created_at": "2017-09-08T02:47:39+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/7OfrxMr4Ma", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/905985956305674240", "word_count": null }, { "id": "879688283789418497", "created_at": "2017-06-27T13:10:05+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RyanHoliday: “Mental clarity is the child of courage, not the other way around.” Nassim Taleb", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/879688283789418497", "word_count": null }, { "id": "878448528703594496", "created_at": "2017-06-24T03:03:44+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/OaP4arZIxO", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/878448528703594496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "878447732872105986", "created_at": "2017-06-24T03:00:34+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/WjcpBXmg8e", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/878447732872105986", "word_count": null }, { "id": "878415145059397633", "created_at": "2017-06-24T00:51:05+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/ImQUYgFuZm", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/878415145059397633", "word_count": null }, { "id": "877312024060895232", "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:47:40+00:00", "text": "@WarInstitute Imagine a drone flying past a street corner at 100mph+, capable of firing accurate rounds instantly upon clearing it. #UrbanWarfareProject", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/877312024060895232", "word_count": null }, { "id": "877306352481251328", "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:25:08+00:00", "text": "@WarInstitute Only AI-controlled weapon systems will be fast/accurate enough to neutralize the enemy's swift, lethal drones. #UrbanWarfareProject", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/877306352481251328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "877301492012765184", "created_at": "2017-06-20T23:05:49+00:00", "text": "@WarInstitute Swift battles between AI+Soldier controlled drones. Losing factions resort to EMPs, which fuels analog warfare. #UrbanWarfareProject", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/877301492012765184", "word_count": null }, { "id": "875479718044291078", "created_at": "2017-06-15T22:26:45+00:00", "text": "@JeffBezos GiveWell and several other effective altruist organizations have systematically devoted themselves to studying this. Please contact them.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/875479718044291078", "word_count": null }, { "id": "874710717106200577", "created_at": "2017-06-13T19:31:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RobertGreene: The moment any idea or observation comes, note it down.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/874710717106200577", "word_count": null }, { "id": "873821724449570816", "created_at": "2017-06-11T08:38:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @PeterSinger: Theron Pummer appeals to billionaires taking The Giving Pledge to be effective in their giving: https://t.co/zvhtzM7DLf", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/873821724449570816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "872916742871363585", "created_at": "2017-06-08T20:42:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RobertGreene: The sense of having enemies or doubters can serve as a powerful motivating device and fill you with an added creative ene…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/872916742871363585", "word_count": null }, { "id": "871449315423768576", "created_at": "2017-06-04T19:31:22+00:00", "text": "@engadget This can be a good tool going forward to prevent more IoT devices from getting hijacked to cause DOS attacks.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/871449315423768576", "word_count": null }, { "id": "865021538780803073", "created_at": "2017-05-18T01:49:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Oxfam: If you RT one thing today, this would be a good one. https://t.co/0BnvBampP8 #EvenItUp #inequality https://t.co/HEoNzCI3CK", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/865021538780803073", "word_count": null }, { "id": "864160873786560513", "created_at": "2017-05-15T16:49:42+00:00", "text": "@conradhackett @cjdeano Only 53% of those with a post-graduate degree could identify North Korea on the map? Cognitive..dissonance..too much...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/864160873786560513", "word_count": null }, { "id": "863143827716046850", "created_at": "2017-05-12T21:28:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @realDonaldTrump: James Comey better hope that there are no \"tapes\" of our conversations before he starts leaking to the press!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/863143827716046850", "word_count": null }, { "id": "862106449048203264", "created_at": "2017-05-10T00:46:09+00:00", "text": "@jockowillink Thank you Jocko for sharing your lessons! They've helped me get into West Point and take on greater responsibility in my unit.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/862106449048203264", "word_count": null }, { "id": "861365456753631233", "created_at": "2017-05-07T23:41:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: Long Neuralink piece coming out on @waitbutwhy in about a week. Difficult to dedicate the time, but existential risk is too h…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/861365456753631233", "word_count": null }, { "id": "861009589294313472", "created_at": "2017-05-07T00:07:37+00:00", "text": "*Come on\nIf only English were phonetic...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/861009589294313472", "word_count": null }, { "id": "861000872892956672", "created_at": "2017-05-06T23:32:59+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/gkuYuWaao9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/861000872892956672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "859575627481059328", "created_at": "2017-05-03T01:09:34+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/zaCPqBHkVW", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/859575627481059328", "word_count": null }, { "id": "859455189543256066", "created_at": "2017-05-02T17:10:59+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @Reducetarian: “Reducetarianism is a step-by-step approach to an ideal whose time will finally come.\"\n- @RichardDawkins https://t.co/1aQ…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/859455189543256066", "word_count": null }, { "id": "858752657820987393", "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:39:23+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RANDCorporation: Mitigating cyber threats will require \"the #cyber equivalent of boots on the ground,\" says RAND's @IsaacPorche. https:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/858752657820987393", "word_count": null }, { "id": "858750762003910656", "created_at": "2017-04-30T18:31:51+00:00", "text": "@willmacaskill In general, I concur. Lieing about one's credentials is extremely fucked up, considering how much is on the line.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/858750762003910656", "word_count": null }, { "id": "858575627171106816", "created_at": "2017-04-30T06:55:55+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/Q7opdkUexo", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/858575627171106816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "858102068023885826", "created_at": "2017-04-28T23:34:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WarInstitute: MWI Podcast: Retired Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling on the risks to national security of declining American fitness https://t.co/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/858102068023885826", "word_count": null }, { "id": "856990688726192129", "created_at": "2017-04-25T21:57:56+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @BenedictSpinoza: Those who live solely by the dictates of reason are not guided by fear of death, but directly desire the good. (E4p67p…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/856990688726192129", "word_count": null }, { "id": "856242767080587267", "created_at": "2017-04-23T20:25:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @wef: These 6 charts prove why the world is better than it's ever been https://t.co/OEKdnAYyyP https://t.co/pZYAIL4Q11", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/856242767080587267", "word_count": null }, { "id": "856242238728396802", "created_at": "2017-04-23T20:23:52+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/iCVxBcQBfP", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/856242238728396802", "word_count": null }, { "id": "856222651647492096", "created_at": "2017-04-23T19:06:02+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @MarkDivine: There are enough obstacles in life... don't be your own obstacle.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/856222651647492096", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855914287059095553", "created_at": "2017-04-22T22:40:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @prdeepakbabu: \"The best minds of this generation are thinking about how to make people click on ads\" - @hackingdata. #datascience so t…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855914287059095553", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855575033489616897", "created_at": "2017-04-22T00:12:38+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/zVmbJQHHae", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855575033489616897", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855187138534617089", "created_at": "2017-04-20T22:31:17+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/tWTevHVGJJ", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855187138534617089", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855187044989100032", "created_at": "2017-04-20T22:30:54+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @waitbutwhy: It's finally here: the full story on Neuralink. I knew the future would be nuts but this is a whole other level. https://t.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855187044989100032", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855172079444013056", "created_at": "2017-04-20T21:31:26+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/5vJzrrgQy0", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855172079444013056", "word_count": null }, { "id": "855083547748700162", "created_at": "2017-04-20T15:39:39+00:00", "text": "@SOFNewsUpdate @smallwars Sounds like a good investment.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/855083547748700162", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854874222119833600", "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:47:52+00:00", "text": "@nytimes 3 years and parole?! Is that the best the law could do? Life in solitary confinement wouldn't add up to 1/100 of the suffering she caused.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854874222119833600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854872490044268544", "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:40:59+00:00", "text": "@engadget We have intellectual property laws for a reason. Why invest in developing an idea if it is only to be quickly stolen and make someone else $", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854872490044268544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854869271285043200", "created_at": "2017-04-20T01:28:11+00:00", "text": "@LaurenBerson @BenedictEvans @nootrobox It's a neat idea, but can you make them with a lower glycemic index? Could you use more erythritol?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854869271285043200", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854837847924383746", "created_at": "2017-04-19T23:23:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nutrition_facts: Preventing and treating depression with an anti-inflammatory diet: https://t.co/ZnbaJJq6zW https://t.co/JgxoO8IwJc", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854837847924383746", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854829294023004160", "created_at": "2017-04-19T22:49:20+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @EvanWard97: We forget that success is the natural byproduct of performing simple tasks. If a task is overwhelming, you haven't broken i…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854829294023004160", "word_count": null }, { "id": "854815117199978496", "created_at": "2017-04-19T21:53:00+00:00", "text": "@RyanHoliday I'd rather people not think my successes are out of their reach. I let them know what I did to get there. Personal 'loss' for communal gain.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/854815117199978496", "word_count": null }, { "id": "853266140566630401", "created_at": "2017-04-15T15:17:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @tristanharris: \"How Technology Hijacks Your Mind – from a Magician and Google's Design Ethicist\"\nhttps://t.co/4GcGy6nezq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/853266140566630401", "word_count": null }, { "id": "853042237084758016", "created_at": "2017-04-15T00:28:12+00:00", "text": "@UberFacts @PatrickMurphyPA No back story. No link. This is meaningless.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/853042237084758016", "word_count": null }, { "id": "852936524975017984", "created_at": "2017-04-14T17:28:09+00:00", "text": "@willmacaskill I doubt any 'god' cares that you hold a vague, scientifically-unfounded mental thought of it in high esteem.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/852936524975017984", "word_count": null }, { "id": "852281677036572673", "created_at": "2017-04-12T22:06:01+00:00", "text": "@GoPro So basically, what your telling me is that your product is $100 overpriced?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/852281677036572673", "word_count": null }, { "id": "852192112099590145", "created_at": "2017-04-12T16:10:07+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/JsTC4pF9p4", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/852192112099590145", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851987281472892928", "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:36:11+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/AFrskgbNUs", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851987281472892928", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851987259893141504", "created_at": "2017-04-12T02:36:06+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/9mJ8VYunPq", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851987259893141504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851973557294956544", "created_at": "2017-04-12T01:41:39+00:00", "text": "@ImagineCanada @NonProfitTimes WTH people. I don't understand how such talented people can have such a broken moral compass.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851973557294956544", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851924180987674624", "created_at": "2017-04-11T22:25:27+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ericschmidt: Clever approach to A.I. - train two neural nets against each other, one as ‘artist’ and the other as ‘critic’ https://t.co…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851924180987674624", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851823079277965312", "created_at": "2017-04-11T15:43:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RyanHoliday: “Choose not to be harmed — and you won’t feel harmed. Don’t feel harmed — and you haven’t been.” Marcus Aurelius", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851823079277965312", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851773208110018560", "created_at": "2017-04-11T12:25:32+00:00", "text": "@SamHarrisOrg @LKrauss1 Never get bogged down on your podcast Sam. You have meaningful things to say and are one of the most eloquent speakers I know.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851773208110018560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851631843157979136", "created_at": "2017-04-11T03:03:48+00:00", "text": "@MyLibertyLive Lucky for you guys, you were born into the right religion, and are not going to burn in hell like most of the rest of the population S/", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851631843157979136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "851624626459430913", "created_at": "2017-04-11T02:35:08+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/pvRoFm7Kvp", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/851624626459430913", "word_count": null }, { "id": "850533219879538693", "created_at": "2017-04-08T02:18:16+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AHamiltonSpirit: There are 3 reasons we argue.\n1) To vent anger\n2) To feel superior\n3) To convince\nOnly the last has any collective use…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/850533219879538693", "word_count": null }, { "id": "850062558333734912", "created_at": "2017-04-06T19:08:01+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/EJwQNwWNqL", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/850062558333734912", "word_count": null }, { "id": "849816786895859712", "created_at": "2017-04-06T02:51:25+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @AHamiltonSpirit: #HowWeResist - An idea\n\nThe problem with small donations has always been unification, not so with Twitter\n\n@Indivisibl…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/849816786895859712", "word_count": null }, { "id": "849124597429653505", "created_at": "2017-04-04T05:00:54+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/fNibS3D9bX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/849124597429653505", "word_count": null }, { "id": "848873806764670976", "created_at": "2017-04-03T12:24:21+00:00", "text": "@jockowillink 1) I suspect any sex fools the primitive brain into thinking you're successful. Why put out so much effort if you already 'have woman'?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/848873806764670976", "word_count": null }, { "id": "848338985340604419", "created_at": "2017-04-02T00:59:10+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @wef: This is one of the biggest threats to international #security – and it's not what you think https://t.co/fO2TW86odB https://t.co/o…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/848338985340604419", "word_count": null }, { "id": "848313095772680193", "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:16:17+00:00", "text": "@USAA_help 4) I would recommend you guys ad a 1 to the numbers you provide on your website so clients don't run into this problem.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/848313095772680193", "word_count": null }, { "id": "848312778578440192", "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:15:01+00:00", "text": "@USAA_help 3) I was calling the same number as I first did, which was the # on your website, but the 1 fixed everything.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/848312778578440192", "word_count": null }, { "id": "848312087394877440", "created_at": "2017-04-01T23:12:17+00:00", "text": "@USAA_help 1) I realised it only happened when I called your number without a 1 in front.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/848312087394877440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "847556163931709440", "created_at": "2017-03-30T21:08:30+00:00", "text": "@USAA_help I have been bombarded by ads for the last 5 minutes while trying to call USAA. I will stop banking with you if this continues", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/847556163931709440", "word_count": null }, { "id": "847285721224237057", "created_at": "2017-03-30T03:13:52+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jockowillink: BODY OVER MIND. https://t.co/AUcD5yAd4H", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/847285721224237057", "word_count": null }, { "id": "847285151038029826", "created_at": "2017-03-30T03:11:36+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/v7kKRpaSt1", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/847285151038029826", "word_count": null }, { "id": "846761257642459136", "created_at": "2017-03-28T16:29:50+00:00", "text": "@StevenTDennis I wonder what the average education level of those 36% who approve him are compared to the average of the population...", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/846761257642459136", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845813279532503044", "created_at": "2017-03-26T01:42:54+00:00", "text": "@NoahStephens Thanks for reminding me. How can I, an ignorant person outside academia, know which journals are legitimate, though?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845813279532503044", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845795031990591490", "created_at": "2017-03-26T00:30:24+00:00", "text": "@sciam People need to be able to trust peer-reviewed science. This is disgusting.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845795031990591490", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845787505689530369", "created_at": "2017-03-26T00:00:29+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jockowillink: MAKE TIME. https://t.co/r6CiiNDrVX", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845787505689530369", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845782204810760197", "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:39:26+00:00", "text": "@theowookie I mean stop believing in God merely because it vaguely feels right. Believe in one for other reasons if you must.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845782204810760197", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845777085851406342", "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:19:05+00:00", "text": "@theowookie 2)The conclusion is to respect the influence of evolution on one's psychological and stop misleading oneself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845777085851406342", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845776685765156865", "created_at": "2017-03-25T23:17:30+00:00", "text": "@theowookie 1) My account is not a fallacy because I am not disproving the existence of God. Simply explaining why people feel one exists.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845776685765156865", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845761530041917441", "created_at": "2017-03-25T22:17:16+00:00", "text": "@tomrikert @erichorvitz Just because you can does not mean that you should!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845761530041917441", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845713413842063361", "created_at": "2017-03-25T19:06:05+00:00", "text": "@HermieLFC @rickygervais Believing that no god is coming to intervene is incredibly empowering. Humanity has to do the work itself.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845713413842063361", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845712693449412610", "created_at": "2017-03-25T19:03:13+00:00", "text": "@samhailes @magguu_ What is the value in asserting a god exists? He obviously is not going to reach out and reward you for thinking so.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845712693449412610", "word_count": null }, { "id": "845689940683972609", "created_at": "2017-03-25T17:32:48+00:00", "text": ".@FredericLambert For earning-to-givers on the road a lot, this may be the most ethical car to purchase. Significantly reduces micromorts @Effect_Altruism", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/845689940683972609", "word_count": null }, { "id": "844399123621142530", "created_at": "2017-03-22T04:03:33+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @danevans87: The 37% Rule: https://t.co/zD03OOkbUy Fascinating... https://t.co/4ToqulFFVN", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/844399123621142530", "word_count": null }, { "id": "842882228631887872", "created_at": "2017-03-17T23:35:57+00:00", "text": "@EvanWard97 Olive oil too, to absorb the fat-soluble nutrients.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/842882228631887872", "word_count": null }, { "id": "842872320616288257", "created_at": "2017-03-17T22:56:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @7piliers: What aid is more effective; a dollar given to an NGO or a dollar given to a poor family as cash? https://t.co/qutnsn8TWO #ReS…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/842872320616288257", "word_count": null }, { "id": "840707799483060224", "created_at": "2017-03-11T23:35:33+00:00", "text": "@businessinsider @NASA Why didn't I come up with this?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/840707799483060224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "840638480417984519", "created_at": "2017-03-11T19:00:06+00:00", "text": "Guilt is deserved if it is useful.", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/840638480417984519", "word_count": 7 }, { "id": "840617637294018560", "created_at": "2017-03-11T17:37:17+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RobertGreene: It would be of infinite benefit for us to allow more nuances and ambiguity into our judgements of people and events.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/840617637294018560", "word_count": null }, { "id": "839633198183288834", "created_at": "2017-03-09T00:25:28+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @killianczuba: seriously, these numbers are nutty \n(from @80000Hours - https://t.co/iiJxG4XAcH) https://t.co/fGlphtFUHU", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/839633198183288834", "word_count": null }, { "id": "839239979809263618", "created_at": "2017-03-07T22:22:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @WIRED: You're doing this whole life thing wrong by spending so little of it outdoors https://t.co/qwbYhFVDDP", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/839239979809263618", "word_count": null }, { "id": "839104586992533504", "created_at": "2017-03-07T13:24:58+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sciam: By thinking about specific dilemmas before bed, we can increase our chances that we will dream a solution. 🔒 https://t.co/mjkeO…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/839104586992533504", "word_count": null }, { "id": "838470419220992000", "created_at": "2017-03-05T19:25:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @daniel_kraft: Google Deep Learning system diagnoses #cancer better than a pathologist with unlimited time #AI #MachineLearning https:/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/838470419220992000", "word_count": null }, { "id": "838216187339292672", "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:34:47+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/rfukpRtlas", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/838216187339292672", "word_count": null }, { "id": "838215018017669120", "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:30:08+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/VSa2u07DJY", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/838215018017669120", "word_count": null }, { "id": "838211921321025537", "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:17:49+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/rTC3NtekDz", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/838211921321025537", "word_count": null }, { "id": "838211202601873408", "created_at": "2017-03-05T02:14:58+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/9qRYWQlmLR", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/838211202601873408", "word_count": null }, { "id": "836889663986102272", "created_at": "2017-03-01T10:43:39+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @33strategieswar: In a world in which many people are indecisive and overly cautious, the use of speed will bring you untold power.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/836889663986102272", "word_count": null }, { "id": "836343799500656640", "created_at": "2017-02-27T22:34:34+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nutrition_facts: How does the environmental impact of an organic omnivorous diet compare to a conventional #plantbased diet? https://t.…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/836343799500656640", "word_count": null }, { "id": "834985603007713280", "created_at": "2017-02-24T04:37:35+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nutrition_facts: Nutrients found in most fruits make these sweet treats some of the healthiest foods on our planet: https://t.co/RbiY1e…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/834985603007713280", "word_count": null }, { "id": "834952237868793856", "created_at": "2017-02-24T02:25:00+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @RobertGreene: The greatest danger we face is the mind going soft.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/834952237868793856", "word_count": null }, { "id": "829472711562915840", "created_at": "2017-02-08T23:31:19+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @elonmusk: In addition, I again raised climate. I believe this is doing good, so will remain on council & keep at it. Doing otherwise wo…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/829472711562915840", "word_count": null }, { "id": "812158985637888004", "created_at": "2016-12-23T04:52:46+00:00", "text": "https://\nyoutube.com/watch?v=Zx6gr_\nCh9x8&list=RDZx6gr_Ch9x8#t=47\n…\nDustin O'Halloran's Opus 23 brings back serious feels. #Catharsis", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/812158985637888004", "word_count": 13 }, { "id": "811262470190985217", "created_at": "2016-12-20T17:30:20+00:00", "text": "https://t.co/SkDcjnlzzt", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/811262470190985217", "word_count": null }, { "id": "803718657905860608", "created_at": "2016-11-29T21:53:55+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @sapinker: Givewell, the effective altruism meta-charity, updates its recs on where your charitable dollar goes farthest. https://t.co/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/803718657905860608", "word_count": null }, { "id": "802662422549004288", "created_at": "2016-11-26T23:56:48+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @nytimes: \"You’re deluding yourself if you think that Twitter messages, posts and likes are a productive use of your time\" https://t.co/…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/802662422549004288", "word_count": null }, { "id": "800845736179023873", "created_at": "2016-11-21T23:37:57+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jockowillink: You are correct, Martin. I am overcompensating for my weaknesses. But I don't mind. Just means I have to GET AFTER IT MOR…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/800845736179023873", "word_count": null }, { "id": "794638300883599364", "created_at": "2016-11-04T20:31:49+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @80000Hours: Why the hour you spend voting may be the most socially impactful of all: https://t.co/5BuMfYBlvv", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/794638300883599364", "word_count": null }, { "id": "788225746225467392", "created_at": "2016-10-18T03:50:37+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @intentinsights: Retweet if you agree! #reason #Rational #truth #skeptical #CriticalThinking #reality https://t.co/QcKMljNtU2", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/788225746225467392", "word_count": null }, { "id": "786330203299672064", "created_at": "2016-10-12T22:18:24+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @theQSLman: .@IllimitableMan's sublime articulation on the importance of books. Gold. https://t.co/S4TPE0Dn3w", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/786330203299672064", "word_count": null }, { "id": "785271411615141889", "created_at": "2016-10-10T00:11:08+00:00", "text": "@SamHarrisOrg Just increased my support for you to $25/month. I want to keep hearing your thoughts, Sam!", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/785271411615141889", "word_count": null }, { "id": "784815435518795776", "created_at": "2016-10-08T17:59:15+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @jockowillink: UNMITIGATED DAILY DISCIPLINE IN ALL THINGS. https://t.co/w2LOUOs3u9", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/784815435518795776", "word_count": null }, { "id": "779557956782284801", "created_at": "2016-09-24T05:47:55+00:00", "text": "@jockowillink What's your take on the American vigilantes fighting ISIS?", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/779557956782284801", "word_count": null }, { "id": "776028138212130816", "created_at": "2016-09-14T12:01:40+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @ClevelandClinic: Studies show keeping a gratitude journal before bed leads to better sleep and a refreshing start to the next day. http…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/776028138212130816", "word_count": null }, { "id": "774724926645428224", "created_at": "2016-09-10T21:43:10+00:00", "text": "@jockowillink I love your school idea. A year-long, structured getting-after-it sounds like exactly what a lot of our youth want and need.", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/774724926645428224", "word_count": null }, { "id": "774433512707465216", "created_at": "2016-09-10T02:25:12+00:00", "text": "Utilize the principle of Under-Promising, Over-Delivering and never compromise your integrity. #Leadership", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/774433512707465216", "word_count": 12 }, { "id": "772481276238520320", "created_at": "2016-09-04T17:07:42+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @freakonomics: Around 25% of the Medicare budget goes to patients who die within the year. Could that money be put to better use? https…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/772481276238520320", "word_count": null }, { "id": "772148208881561600", "created_at": "2016-09-03T19:04:13+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @givingwhatwecan: How rich are you? Think you're in the top 10% of the world's wealthy people? Top 1%? Top 0.1%? \n\nFind out here! https:…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/772148208881561600", "word_count": null }, { "id": "771176828241256448", "created_at": "2016-09-01T02:44:18+00:00", "text": "retweeted: RT @JuggernautF3: Ran across this gem in \"The Way of the SEAL\" by @MarkDivine. It's BRR time, gentlemen! \n\n@F3Greenwood https://t.co/TlAq51…", "url": "https://x.com/i/status/771176828241256448", "word_count": null }, { "id": "769385795832676352", "created_at": "2016-08-27T04:07:22+00:00", "text": "An extremely compelling #argument on why you should not talk to the #police\nhttps://\nm.youtube.com/watch?v=6wXkI4\nt7nuc&feature=share\n…", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769385795832676352", "word_count": 17 }, { "id": "769367450039246848", "created_at": "2016-08-27T02:54:28+00:00", "text": "Didn't really shoot like a gangster, but I practiced loading, firing, reloading, and clearing jams to be #prepared", "url": "https://x.com/XyraSinclair/status/769367450039246848", "word_count": 18 } ] }